Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment for USF Tampa

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1 Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment for USF Tampa & USF Health Downtown Tampa Facilities Presentation for the Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council Brady Smith, AICP, CFM Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council March 13, 2017

2 Background/Objective USF seeks to be included as a participating jurisdiction in the Hillsborough County Local Mitigation Strategy (LMS) A Hazard Identification, Risk Assessment, and Consequence Analysis is required to become an accredited Emergency Management Program (EMAP)

3 Vulnerability Assessment Natural Hazards Flooding Coastal Flooding, Tropical Storms, and Hurricanes Tornadoes Severe Thunderstorms and Lightning Lightning Wind Hail

4 Vulnerability Assessment Natural Hazards (cont.) Wildland Fires Drought and Extreme Heat Winter Storms and Freezes Sinkhole and Subsidence Incidents

5 Vulnerability Assessment Technological and Human-caused Hazards Hazardous Materials In-transit or Fixed-facility Utility Failure Civil Disturbance Terrorism/Active Threat Events Special Events Incidents Epidemic/Disease Outbreak

6 USF Tampa Campus acre site 40,000+ students 13,902 employed ~5,500 in on-campus student housing 250+ buildings 10 million+ square feet

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8 USF Health Downtown Tampa Facilities CAMLS 124 S. Franklin 1.2 acre site/90,000 sq. ft. Tampa General Hospital Northern tip of Davis Islands 1,018 bed teaching hospital Morsani College of Medicine Channelside Dr. & Meridian Ave. Expected completion late 2019 Will accommodate 2,275 faculty, staff, and students

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10 USF Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment Natural Hazards

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12 Flooding / Flash Flooding History 5/2/14: 6-9 of rain flooded roads & parking lots Two rescued from submerged vehicle that drove into flooded ditch 4/1/08: Campus Recreation Center & Marshall Student Center basement flooded 8/3/15 (off-campus): 27 people evacuated by HCFR boat from two apartment buildings off of Gibson Avenue

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14 Hurricanes, Tropical Storms, and Coastal Flooding History Great Gale of 1848 Category 4 storm, 15-foot surge Tampa Bay Hurricane of 1921 Category 3 storm, 10 to 12-foot surge Last major hurricane to make direct hit on Tampa Bay area Last direct hit from any hurricane in hurricanes affected area since 1985

15 Hurricanes, Tropical Storms, and Coastal Flooding Probability

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18 Hurricanes, Tropical Storms, and Coastal Flooding Maximum potential storm surge inundation depth (feet)

19 Hurricanes, Tropical Storms, and Coastal Flooding Maximum potential storm surge inundation depth (feet)

20 Severe Thunderstorms & Lightning History 8/10/01 Associate professor of engineering struck and killed by lightning near Alumni & Laurel 8/27/03 Undergraduate student crossing Maple was thrown to the ground unconscious and covered in dirt Lightning strike confirmed by later medical testing

21 Tornadoes No known tornadoes affecting USF Tampa campus 141 tornadoes in Hillsborough County since 1950 None rated higher than EF2 Low probability of a strong tornado, but significant consequences

22 Wildland Fires USF Tampa campus located near wildland/urban interface Prolonged significant drought increases threat No threat to USF Health Downtown Tampa facilities

23 Drought and Extreme Heat Last severe long-term drought was Heat stress, especially for vulnerable populations Wildland fire threat increased Sinkhole/subsidence threat increased Water rationing and electric power disruptions possible

24 Winter Storms & Freezes 12/13/62: Lowest ever temperature recorded in Tampa 18 degrees January 1977 freeze resulted in Presidential Disaster Declaration for Florida 1/19/77: Two-tenths of in inch of snow/winter precipitation accumulated Low overall threat to USF population and operations

25 Sinkhole and Subsidence Incidents Active cover-collapse sinkhole region 30+ cover collapse incidents on USF Tampa Campus since 1960s 8/24/15: 10 x 7 sinkhole opened up on Sycamore Drive (4 to 5 feet deep) 2/15/13: Suspected sinkhole behind USF Credit Union on Palm Drive boil water notice 7/11/10: 20 x10 sinkhole opened in parking lot of Bordeaux Village Condos 11 evacuated, one car fell into hole

26 USF Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment Technological & Human-caused Hazards

27 Hazardous Materials Spills/Releases Fixed-location or in-transport 3/5/14: Small explosion blew refrigerator door into inner pane of window in Research and Innovation Building USF Health Downtown Tampa facilities located close to Port Tampa Bay Anhydrous ammonia, sulfuric acid, fuels

28 Utility Failure Numerous short-term power outages on USF Tampa Campus 2/26/08: Small fire at an FPL substation in Miami-Dade County Cascading outages left 2 million without power throughout Florida Normal USF operations halted for one hour Water supply disruptions from maintenance issues or accidental main breaks

29 Civil Disturbance University campuses historically vulnerable to civil unrest Eight instances of protest/demonstration events since 1967 listed in HIRA USF Health Downtown Tampa facilities located close to Amalie Arena and Tampa Convention Center Potential for violence, deaths/injuries, property damage, disruption of normal University operations Damage to University s reputation from extensive media coverage

30 Terrorism/Active Threat Events Terrorism can take many different forms Large events held at USF Tampa Campus and near USF Health Downtown Tampa facilities 4/16/07: 32 killed/17 more injured by shooting from Virginia Tech student 8/1/66: 17 killed/31 injured by shooter on observation deck at University of Texas Media coverage may affect University reputation

31 Large Special Event Venues

32 Epidemic/Disease Outbreak International travel of USF population and campus live/work/study environment increases risk of disease transmission Mosquito-borne illnesses Zika, Chikungya fever, West Nile Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) Flu (H5 highly pathogenic avian influenza) Measles Viruses/other diseases not yet considered

33 HIRA Update and Next Steps Currently: Final revisions Work with Hillsborough County Hazard Mitigation staff to integrate document into County s Local Mitigation Strategy Annual update completed around yearend Submit HIRA as part of EMAP accreditation process

34 Questions/Discussion Brady Smith, AICP, CFM Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council x42

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