Agenda. International Workshop on the Madden-Julian Oscillation. August 6-9, 2016, Chengdu, China

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1 Agenda International Workshop on the Madden-Julian Oscillation August 6-9, 2016, Chengdu, China Day 0 (6 Aug 2016) Registration Day 1 (7 Aug 2016) 08:20-08:25 Chongyin Li (Chairman of MJO Workshop) 08:25-08:30 Jianxin He (Vice President of ) Welcome Remarks Chair: Ziniu Xiao 08:30-08:35 Chaolin Zhang (National Natural Science Foundation of China) Session 1 Overviews Chair: Jian Ling Chongyin Li Relationships between the MJO and Some Weather/Climate 08:40-09:10 Systems 09:10-09:40 09:40-10:10 Chidong Zhang University of Miami Boualem Khouider University of Victoria 10:10-10:30 BREAK&GROUP PHOTO 10:30-11:00 11:00-11:30 11:30-12:00 Eric Maloney Colorado State University Frederic Vitart ECMWF Tim Li 12:00-13:30 LUNCH 13:30-13:55 13:55-14:20 14:20-14:45 Chih-Pei Chang(invited) National Taiwan University Hai Lin(invited) Session 2 Environment and Climate Change, Canada Xiaolong Jia(invited) Years of the Maritime Continent A Short Overview of Multiscale and Stochastic Models for the MJO Improvements in Model MJO Performance Interpreted through Recent Theory MJO Prediction Intercomparison Using the S2S Database MJO Initiation Dynamics Impacts on Weather-Climate Chair: Ziniu Xiao Interaction of the MJO and Cold Surges in the Western Maritime Continent MJO Impact on Wintertime Northern Hemisphere Weather and Climate MJO and Precipitation Anomalies in China

2 14:45-15:00 Wen Zhou City University of HK 15:00-15:15 Leila Carvalho 15:15-15:35 DISCUSSION 15:35-15:50 BREAK Session3 15:50-16:15 Dongxiao Wang (invited) 16:15-16:40 Nurhayati (invited) BMKG 16:40-16:55 Peiming Wu JAMEST 16:55-17:10 Xin Wang 17:10-17:30 DISCUSSION 18:00-20:00 WELCOME DINNER Modulation of the MJO on Western North Pacific Tropical cyclones Understanding the MJO Influence on Extreme Winter Precipitation in the Western Himalaya Observations over the Maritime Continent Chair: Tim Li China Participation in Years of Maritime Continent Indonesia Participation in Years of Maritime Continent Why There is Little Rain over Sumatra Island in an Active Phase of the MJO? Biases of Various Latent Heat Flux Products and Their Impacts on Mixed-Layer Temperature in the South China Sea Day 2 ( 8 Aug 2016) Session 4 Extratropical Intraseasonal Oscillation Chair: Xiaolong Jia Characteristics of the Low-frequency Oscillations over the Yuanfa Gong (invited) 08:30-08:55 Tibetan Plateau and Its Impacts on Extreme High Temperature 08:55-09:10 Shuanglin Li 09:10-09:25 Fei Liu NUIST 09:25-09:40 Yanjun Qi 09:40-10:00 DISCUSSION 10:00-10:15 BREAK 10:15-10:40 10:40-10:55 10:55-11:10 11:10-11:25 Feifei Jin (invited) Jianhua Ju Yunnan Meteorological Service Eriko Nishimoto Kyoto University Xiong Chen PLA University of Science & Technology Nino Events of the Yangtze River Basin in 2013 The Difference of Intraseasonal Activity of the Eurasian Subtropical Zonal Wavetrain and the Associated Indian Summer Rainfall under the Two Opposite AMO Phases Modulation of Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillations over the Western North Pacific by ENSO Features of the Atmospheric Intraseasonal Oscillation Associated with Summer Rainfall over Eastern China Session 5 Dynamics Chair: Boualem Khouider MJO/WWB-ENSO El Nino Interaction: A Curse or Blessing? Impact of Warm SST over Atlantic on the Boreal Summer MJO Activity and following Super La Nina Modulation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation by the Stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation during Austral Summer Evolution of the Madden Julian Oscillation in Two Types of El 11:25-11:40 Seok-Woo Son Modulation of Organized Tropical Deep Convections by the

3 Seoul National University Stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation 11:40-12:00 DISCUSSION 12:00-13:30 LUNCH Session 6 Theories Chair: Chidong Zhang 13:30-13:55 Bin Wang (invited) A General Frame Work for Understanding Essential MJO Dynamics 13:55-14:20 Ángel F. Adames-Corraliza (invited) University of Washington Moisture, Convection, Radiation and Their Relation to the MJO 14:20-14:45 Da Yang (invited) A Gravity-Wave Theory for the Madden-Julian Oscillation 14:45-15:10 Sulian Thual (invited) New York University A Stochastic Skeleton Model for the MJO 15:10-15:50 DISCUSSION 15:50-18:00 BREAK & POSTER VIEWING Day 3 (9 Aug 2016) 08:30-08:55 08:55-09:20 09:20-09:45 09:45-10:00 10:00-10:15 Song Yang (invited) Sun Yat-Sen University Xianan Jiang (invited) UCLA Tomoki Miyakawa (invited) Tokyo University Shuyi Chen University of Miami Jiangyu Mao 10:15-10:25 BREAK 10:25-10:50 10:50-11:05 11:05-11:20 11:20-11:35 Charles Jones (invited) Hongli Ren Xiaqiong Zhou NCEP Yuiko Ichikawa Hokkaido University Session 8 Session 7 Modeling Chair: Eric Maloney Simulation of Intraseasonal Variability: Improvement from NCAR CAM-4 to SP-CAM Key Physics of the Madden-Julian Oscillation Based on Multi-model Simulations Interaction of the MC and MJOs Produced in the Global Cloud-System Resolving Model NICAM and Its Full Ocean-Coupled Version NICOCO Assessing Predictability and Model Uncertainty of MJO Convective Initiation and Propagation in ECMWF Stochastic Ensemble Forecasts Changes in the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation Projected by the CNRM-CM5 Model under the RCP 8.5 Scenario Prediction and Predictability Chair: Frederic Vitart Forecast Error Growth and Predictability during the Madden-Julian Oscillation MJO Prediction in Beijing Climate Center SST Impact on MJO Prediction in the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System 11:35-12:05 DISCUSSION: Modelling and Prediction 12:05 Chidong Zhang SUMMARY Methods to Evaluate Prediction Skill on the MJO Phase Space

4 12:20 LUNCH Note: For the duration of each oral talk, five or three minutes Q&A is included. Posters Author Title 01 Ming Bao Nanjing University The Response to MJO-like Forcing in a Nonlinear Shallow-Water Model 02 Pei Hsuan Chung University of Taipei An Analysis of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Genesis Probability under MJO during Warm Season 03 Lijun Duan Characteristics of Precipitation 10-20d Oscillation over the South of Tibetan Plateau in Summer Juan Feng Contrasting Madden-Julian Oscillation Activity during Various Stages of EP and CP El Ninos 05 Li Gao Ensemble MJO Forecasting based on T639 Global Forecast System in Numerical Weather Prediction Center of 06 Yao Ha PLA University of Science &Technology Influence of Intraseasonal Variability on Decadal Enhancement of South China Sea Tropical Cyclone Activity in Mid-1990s 07 Ying Han The Effect of Convective Moment Transport for Convectively Coupled Waves using WRF 08 Jorge Llamocca Huamani Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia e Rains in Peru Associated with the MJO index: Monitoring and Forecast Sub-Seasonal Hidrologia del Peru 09 Kai Huang Why the Madden-Julian Oscillation Changes in a Warmer World 10 Ke Huang Moored Observations of Vertical Structure and Seasonal Variability of the Equatorial Currents in the Tropical Eastern Indian Ocean 11 Ching Shu Hung National Taiwan University An Analysis and Modeling Study of the MJOs 12 Jianying Li Experimental 15-day-Lead Statistical Forecast of Intraseasonal Summer Monsoon Rainfall over Eastern China 13 Xin Li PLA University of Science &Technology The Relationship between Boreal Winter MJO Activities and the Variability of Tropical Pacific-Indian Ocean Associated Mode 14 Yanjie Li Examination of the Non-Stationary Rossby Wave Properties in Nonuniform Basic Flows 15 Yuna Lim Seoul National University Predictability of Madden-Julian Oscillation and Its Relationship with Quasi-Biennial Oscillation 16 Junmei Lv Teleconnection Patterns Impacting on the Summer Consecutive Extreme Rainfall in Central-Eastern China 17 Debashis Nath Wind Driven Pacific Origin Heat Transport to the Indian Ocean: Impact on Deep Convective Activity during Warming Hiatus Decade 18 Reshmita Nath Climate Impact on Extreme Weather Events in India: CMIP5 Model Projections 19 Xiaolu Shao The Linkages between the Madden-Julian Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation on the Intra-seasonal Timescale 20 Yuyang Shen Relationship Between Summer Low-Frequency Rainfall Over Southern China and Propagation

5 21 Qin Su Yunnan University 22 Ke Wang 23 Weiqiang Wang 24 Xu Wang 25 Jie Wu 26 Yujie Wu 27 Kang Xu 28 Hongming Yan Yunnan climate center 29 Yonghong Yao Nanjing University 30 Chongbo Zhao 31 Liang Zhao 32 Ming Zhao UCAR 33 Xin Zhou 34 Lei Zhou SIO of Tropical Intraseasonal Oscillation Enhancement of the Summertime day Oscillations over the Northern South China Sea since the Mid-1990s Characteristics of Low-Frequency Oscillation of Rainfall and Subtropical High over the Middle-lower Reaches of the Yangtze River during the Years of Abnormal Meiyu Period Fluctuations of the Thermocline in the Equatorial Pacific Related to the Two Types of El Nino Events Intraseasonal Variation of the Summer Quasi-Biweekly Oscillation over the South China Sea MJO Prediction Skill, Predictability, and Teleconnection Impacts in the Beijing Climate Center Atmospheric General Circulation Model An Assessment of Seasonal Simulations and Forecasting of Tropical Cyclones over the Western North Pacific CMIP5 Projections of Two Types of El Nino and Their Related Tropical Precipitation in the 21st Century Definition of a New East Asian Subtropical Summer Monsoon Index Subseasonal Variability of the Precipitation during the Boreal Winter in China Interpretation and Application of Real-Time Extended-Range Prediction Products from a Spatial-Temporal Projection Model Climatological Extended-Range Intraseasonal Oscillation Signals Near the Tropopause Preceding Persistent Strong Precipitation in South China during the Pre-Summer Rainy Season Recent Progress in GFDL Models' Simulation of MJO and a Mechanism Study using Moist Static Energy Budget The Effects of the Indo-Pacific Warm Pool (IPWP) on the Stratosphere A Central Indian Ocean Mode and Heavy Precipitation during Indian Summer Monsoon

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