5-7 September, 2017 Guayaquil, Ecuador PROVISIONAL AGENDA
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1 5-7 September, 2017 Guayaquil, Ecuador PROVISIONAL AGENDA (Final Draft ) Day 1: 5 September 2017 (Tuesday) 08:30 09:00 REGISTRATION 1. Opening session 09:00 09:30 Opening Remarks by the PR of Ecuador Statement on behalf of the WMO Secretary-General (R.K. Kolli) Remarks by CIIFEN (R. Martinez) Tour de table (All) Logistic briefing (CIIFEN) 2. Setting the scene Chair: J.-P. Ceron Rapporteur: A. Hovsepyan 09:30 10:00 10:00 10:15 10:15 10:30 Global RCOF Review: The concept, goals and objectives of the RCOF Review; Recap of previous reviews RCOF operational practices: Towards objective seasonal forecasting GPC-LRFs, RCCs and their role in RCOF operations: Current status and future prospects 10:30 11:00 HEALTH BREAK & GROUP PHOTO R. Kolli (WMO) C. Coelho (CPTEC) 3. Reports of RCOF operations around the world Summary of activities of individual RCOFs, particularly focusing on operational aspects (based on the template provided, 10 min each) Chair: S. Mason (IRI) Rapporteur: D.S. Pai (IMD) 11:00 11:10 11:10 11:40 RA I (Africa) Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF) Central Africa (Prévisions Climatiques Saisonnières en Afrique Centrale : PRESAC) Sudano-Sahelian Africa (Prévisions Climatiques Saisonnières en Afrique G. Artan (ICPAC) A. Kamga (ACMAD) S.Traore (AGRHYMET) 1
2 11:40 11:50 Soudano-Sahélienne : PRESASS) Gulf of Guinea (Prévisions Climatiques Saisonnières pour les pays du Golfe de Guinée : PRESAGG) Northern Africa (Prévisions Climatiques Saisonnières en Afrique du Nord : PRESANORD) K. Kabidi (DMN, Morocco) 11:50 12:00 12:00 12:10 12:10 12:20 12:20 12:30 Southern African Regional Climate Outlook Forum (SARCOF) South West Indian Ocean Climate Outlook Forum (SWIOCOF) RA II (Asia) East Asia winter Climate Outlook Forum (EASCOF) Forum on Regional Climate Monitoring, Assessment and Prediction for Regional Association II (FOCRAII) F. Nsadisa (SADC-CSC) F. Bonnardot (Meteo France/La Reunion) Y. Mochizuki (TCC, Japan) Z. Gong (BCC, China) 3. Review of RCOFs around the world (continued) Chair: S. Mason (IRI) Rapporteur: A. Kamga (ACMAD) 14:00 14:10 14:10 14:20 14:20 14:30 14:30 14:40 RA II (Asia) contd. South Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF) RA III (South America) Southeast of South America Climate Outlook Forum (SSACOF) Western Coast of South America Climate Outlook Forum (WCSACOF) D.S. Pai (IMD, India) L. Aldeco (Argentina) RA IV (Northern America, Central America and the Caribbean) Central American Climate Outlook Forum (CACOF) B. Olmedo (RCHR) 14:40 14:50 Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF) A.Trotman (CIMH) 14:50 15:00 15:00 15:10 15:10 15:20 15:20 15:30 RA V (South-west Pacific) Association of South East Asian Nations Climate Outlook Forum (ASEANCOF) (RAII+RAV) Pacific Islands Climate Outlook Forum (PICOF) RA VI (Europe) 15:30 16:00 HEALTH BREAK North Eurasian Climate Outlook Forum (NEACOF) (RAII+RAVI) Mediterranean Climate Outlook Forum (MedCOF) (RAVI+RAI) 3. Review of RCOFs around the world (continued) Chair: S. Mason (IRI) Rapporteur: A. Kamga (ACMAD) T. Turkington (MSS, Singapore) A. Montoro (SPREP) V. Khan (NEACC) E. Rodriguez (AEMET, Spain) 2
3 16:00 16:10 RA VI (Europe) contd. South-East European Climate Outlook Forum (SEECOF) Arctic (RAII/RAIV/RAVI) B. Bijelic (SEEVCCC) 16:10 16:20 Pan-Arctic Climate Outlook Forum (PARCOF) B. Denis (ECCC, Canada) 16:20 17:30 Open Discussion: Elements of RCOF operations, common practices, successes, challenges, gaps 17:30 CLOSURE OF DAY 1 18:30-21:00 Social Event Moderated by M. Coughlan (BoM) Day 2: 6 September 2017 (Wednesday) 4. Synthesis of RCOF Operational Practices Chair: M. Coughlan (BoM) Rapporteur: C. Coelho (CPTEC) 09:00 09:15 Development of consensus based outlook including data/forecast inputs 09:15 09:30 Understanding sources of predictability 09:30 09:45 Downscaling techniques and tools J.P. Ceron (CCl) 09:45 10:00 Climate monitoring, Climate Watch Advisory E. Rodriguez (AEMET) 10:00 10:15 Forecast Verification S. Mason (IRI) 10:15 10:30 Discussion All 10:30 11:00 HEALTH BREAK 11:00 11:15 11:15 11:30 11:30 11:45 Capacity development activities in RCOFs: curent practices and possibilities for centralized training workshops Regional user engagement, sector-focused RCOF sessions, user applications and evaluation Coordination mechanisms: role of Regional Climate Centres W. Thiaw (NOAA) P. Ramirez (CCl) A. Kamga (ACMAD) 11:45 12:00 Sub-seasonal updates to RCOF products A. Trotman (CIMH) 12:00 12:30 Discussion All 5. Towards improved and sustained RCOF processes Chair: J.P. Ceron (CCl) Rapporteur: S. Diouf (NOAA) 14:00 14:15 14:15 14:45 14:45 15:00 15:00 15:15 15:15 15:30 Good practices in RCOFs, summarizing SWOT analysis The Role of Co-production in RCOFs: Toward Usable Climate Services Improved/standardized format of seasonal outlook statements CCl Expert Teams guidelines to help improving RCOF process Global Seasonal Climate Update: Current status and future prospects for RCOF applications A.Tait (NIWA) M. Daly (ULeeds) D.S. Pai (IMD) 3
4 15:30 16:00 HEALTH BREAK 16:00 16:15 16:15 16:30 16:30 16:45 16:45 17:00 17:00 17:15 17:15 17:45 LC LRFMME operation, access to products for RCOFs Copernicus Climate Change Service (ECMWF- : potential role in RCOF process Regional approach for implementation of Climate Services Information System NCOF concept: scaling down RCOF outlooks for decision making at national scale Mobilizing resources to sustain the RCOFs through funding mechanisms Open Discussion: integrating new approaches in RCOF operation 17:45 CLOSURE OF DAY 2 K.H. Cho (KMA) R. Kolli (WMO) G.Srinivasan (RIMES) All Day 3: 7 September 2017 (Thursday) 6. Breakout Sessions Participants in break-out groups will discuss the current status, and opportunities to introduce innovative approaches and standardized operational practices for generating RCOF outputs including, inter alia, the development of objective sub-seasonal and seasonal regional forecasts, tailoring forecast products to specific user-requirements, and mechanisms for the provision of regular sub-seasonal updates between the RCOF sessions. 09:00 09:10 Introduction to breakout discussion session S.Mason (IRI) 09:10 10:30 10:30 11:00 HEALTH BREAK Break-out group discussions on key topics (Moderator/Rapporteur): 1. Roles and operations of GPCLRFs in support of RCOFs and in introducing Objective approaches to RCOF products (C.Coelho/Z.Gong); 2. Roles and operations of RCCs in support of RCOFs, including capacity development and updates between RCOF sessions (A.Trotman/V.Khan); 3. Role of NMHSs in the follow-up integration of seasonal outlooks in decision making process at country level (G.Srinivasan/M.Etala); 4. User engagement in RCOFs (M.Daly/P.Luganda); 5. Expanding RCOFs portfolio (e.g. adding climate monitoring, climate change projections, etc.) (J.P.Ceron/T.Turkington) 11:00 12:30 Break-out Group Discussions continued 7. Conclusions and Recommendations for the future generation RCOFs Chair: Rapporteur: A. Hovsepyan (WMO) 14:00 15:00 15:00 15:30 Reporting back from break-out groups (10 min each) Open Discussion: findings of break-out discussions as recommendations for future development of RCOFs 15:30 16:00 HEALTH BREAK 16:00 16:30 Review of actions, conclusions and recommendations on way forward for improved RCOF operations 16:30-16:40 Any other business Moderators/Rapporteurs Moderated by A. Tait Moderated by A. Tait 4
5 16:40 17:00 Closing remarks CIIFEN, WMO 17:00 END OF WORKSHOP 5
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