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1 heritable diversity feb ! gene 8840 biol 8990 D. Gordon E. Robertson - photo from Wikipedia

2 HERITABILITY DEPENDS ON CONTEXT heritability: how well does parent predict offspring phenotype? how much genetic variation is associated with trait variation? how will that variation be used to respond to change in context? Tigriopus californicus

3 Predic5ng range shi9s: do popula5ons vary with respect to tolerance to TEMPERATURE? A B Temperature I II La%tude I II Both popula%ons persist Both popula%ons go ex%nct Pop. II could persist with gene flow from I Sanford & Kelly 2011

4 Predic5ng ex5nc5on risk A B Temperature Plas%city or adapta%on? I II I II La%tude do they have enough variation among individuals to survive as a population?

5 response can equal move, adapt, acclimate, or die here we focus on adapt the response to a selective force requires genetic variation for that trait this is heritability: the degree to which individuals harbor specific genetic information that is associated with a trait, and how variable that information is response = heritability x selection

6 R=h 2 S breeder s equation h 2 = R / S, where R is response to selection, S is selection differential S is difference in trait mean of selected parents and population as a whole

7 What is the scope for adapta%on? Selec%on experiments: Heat stress ~50% mortality pairs/ popula%on survivors reproduce! Repeat for 10 genera5ons Genera5on 5me ~4 wks

8 SELECTION from 4 populations ( hot, warm, cool, cold ), select in lab for the individuals that continue to be active at hotter temperatures RESPONSE evaluate how far we can move the LT50* from the natural populations *LT50: Lethal Temperature for 50% of individuals

9 selection so in this case, trait under selection is threshold temperature - what temperature is lethal we know the mean trait for the populations from the LT50 experiments but following each round of selection, you know the individuals survived, but you don t know the trait - only that it is higher than what exposed to now it gets kind of hairy in this case

10

11

12 proportion dead logistic curve the cumulative distribution function of mortality temperature

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14 eek! basically you know the selection temperature; the intensity is proportion dead (the vertical line); the distribution lets you get mean, variance of the dead as well as the survivors

15 the simpler approach Phenotype (P) = Genotype (G) + Environment (E) Var(P) = Var(G) + Var(E) + 2*covariance(G,E) in a planned experiment (common garden), no E variance, so heritability: H 2 = Var(G)/Var(P), broad-sense heritability, includes ALL genetic contributions even dominance and epistasis

16 narrow-sense heritability excludes dominance and epistatic effects, so only additive variance (Var (A)) h 2 = Var(A) / Var(P) breeders equation R = h 2 * S only works with narrow-sense so if you know selection differential S (difference in mean trait between population, and selected individuals) and you observe Response, h 2 = R/S

17 linear regression parent trait v. offspring: slope ~ h 2 Narrow-sense-heritability estimates (h 2 ) are based on the squared regression coefficient of the random effect

18 next 3 slides borrowed from Alan Rogers lectures adapted from Freeman & Herron textbook

19

20

21 is it clear why Morgan Kelly s study required more complicated mathematics? (a) mass selection rather than parent-offspring (b) unclear Selection differential, S is it clear that non-additive allele x allele and gene x gene interactions will complicate matters? this takes us towards multi-locus selection and response!

22 what is G?!

23 linear algebra a = b x c is algebra, variables and their relationship is linear algebra, each item is a vector of numbers, and their relationship 2-d vector (matrix) eqn. from above (2-trait Breeder s) written as algebra

24 variances and covariances G11,G22 are genetic variance for trait 1, trait 2 G12,G21 are genetic covariance between traits no covariance positive covariance

25 draw an ellipse around the points and their relationships no covariance (line slope 0) covariance (line slope >0)

26 tness landscape (topography) when covariance, evolution moves quicker along long axis so NOT straight to optimum. may never get there! again thanks to

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