Tsunami Simulations after the Mw7.5 78km N of Palu, Indonesia September 28, 2018
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1 Tsunami Simulations after the Mw7.5 78km N of Palu, Indonesia September 28, 2018 Luisa Urra, Erick Mas, Luis Moya, Shunichi Koshimura LABORATORY OF REMOTE SENSING AND GEOINFORMATICS FOR DISASTER MANAGEMENT
2 Summary of Cases Modeled Uniform Slip Model (USM) Case 0 (LxW:120x20km, H:5km, Sk:349, Dp:86, Sp:-17, Slip:3.1, Lat:-0.89, Lon:119.75) Case 1 (LxW:100x20km, H:5km, Sk:347, Dp:86, Sp:-17, Slip:3.7, Lat:-0.89, Lon:119.85) Case 2 (LxW:100x20km, H:1km, Sk:347, Dp:86, Sp:-17, Slip:3.7, Lat:-0.89, Lon:119.75) Finite Fault Models (USGS) USGS1-Case0 (Basic Inversion - Link) USGS2-Case0 (Complete Inversion - Link) USGS2-Case1 (Complete Inversion adjusted to the trench) USGS2-Case2 (Shifted south towards Palu Bay) USGS2-Case3 (Shifted southern inside Palu) TOHOKU UNIVERSITY Geoinformatics for Disaster Management 2
3 Summary of Max Tsunami Heights Case Height (m) USM-C0 1.3 USM-C1 2.7 USM-C2 2.7 Case Height (m) USGS1-C USGS2-C0 Under Simulation USGS2-C USGS2-C USGS2-C 'N Okada's deformation [m] 0 0' TOHOKU UNIVERSITY 0 30'S 'E 'E 'E USGS FFM file2-case 'E 120 0'E 'E 'E Source: Esri, DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Earthstar Geographics, CNES/Airbus DS, USDA, USGS, AeroGRID, IGN, and the GIS User Community Geoinformatics for Disaster Management Note: Maximum value was extracted from smallest region in Palu Bay. For best comparison confirm with max plots. 3
4 Uniform Slip Model Case 0 USGS Moment Tensor (NP2) Parameters (modified) Parameters (Mw7.5) (LxW, Depth, strike, dip, slip, dislocation) 120kmx20km, 5km, 349deg, 86deg, -17deg, 3.1m Max Tsunami Height: 1.3m (1 Region GEBCO) TOHOKU UNIVERSITY Geoinformatics for Disaster Management 4
5 Uniform Slip Model Case 1 USGS Moment Tensor (NP2) Parameters (modified) Parameters (Mw7.5) (LxW, Depth, strike, dip, slip, dislocation) 100kmx20km, 5km, 347deg, 86deg, -17deg, 3.7m Max Tsunami Height: 2.7 m (5 Regions GEBCO) TOHOKU UNIVERSITY Geoinformatics for Disaster Management 5
6 Uniform Slip Model Case 1 USGS Moment Tensor (NP2) Parameters (modified) Parameters (Mw7.5) (LxW, Depth, strike, dip, slip, dislocation) 100kmx20km, 5km, 347deg, 86deg, -17deg, 3.7m Max Tsunami Height: 2.7 m (5 Regions GEBCO) '0"E '30"E '0"E '30"E '0"E '30"E '0"E 0 52'30"S 0 52'0"S 0 53'0"S 0 53'30"S Tsunami height [ m] ,000 m TOHOKU UNIVERSITY Geoinformatics for Disaster Management 6
7 Uniform Slip Model Case 1 TOHOKU UNIVERSITY Geoinformatics for Disaster Management 7
8 8
9 Uniform Slip Model Case 2 USGS Moment Tensor (NP2) Parameters (modified) Parameters (Mw7.5) (LxW, Depth, strike, dip, slip, dislocation) 100kmx20km, 1km, 347deg, 86deg, -17deg, 3.7m Max Tsunami Height: 2.7 m TOHOKU UNIVERSITY Geoinformatics for Disaster Management 9
10 Uniform Slip Model Case 2 USGS Moment Tensor (NP2) Parameters (modified) Parameters (Mw7.5) (LxW, Depth, strike, dip, slip, dislocation) 100kmx20km, 1km, 347deg, 86deg, -17deg, 3.7m Max Tsunami Height: 2.7 m (5 Regions GEBCO) '0"E '30"E '0"E '30"E '0"E '30"E '0"E 0 52'30"S 0 52'0"S 0 53'0"S 0 53'30"S Tsunami height [ m] ,000 m TOHOKU UNIVERSITY Geoinformatics for Disaster Management 10
11 Uniform Slip Model Case 2 TOHOKU UNIVERSITY Geoinformatics for Disaster Management 11
12 12
13 Finite Fault Model USGS1-Case0 S l i p [ m ] 0 40'S 0 20'S 0 0' 0 20'N 0 40'N 'E 'E 120 0'E USGS/FFM1/case0 Dip angle: 86 Strike angle: 358 xll: yll: 'E Esri, HERE, Garmin, OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS user community 13
14 Finite Fault Model USGS1-Case0 14
15 Finite Fault Model USGS1-Case0 Max Tsunami Height: 3.19 m '0"E '30"E '0"E '30"E '0"E '30"E '0"E 0 52'30"S 0 52'0"S 0 53'0"S 0 53'30"S Tsunami height [ m] ,000 m 15
16 Finite Fault Model USGS2-Case0 S l i p [ m ] 0 40'S 0 20'S 0 0' 0 20'N 0 40'N 'E 'E 120 0'E USGS/FFM2/original Dip angle: 86 Strike angle: 358 xll: yll: 'E Esri, HERE, Garmin, OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS user community Under Simulation 17
17 Finite Fault Model USGS2-Case1 S l i p [ m ] 0 40'S 0 20'S 0 0' 0 20'N 0 40'N USGS/FFM2/case1 Dip angle: 86 Strike angle: 347 (-11) xll: (-15km) yll: (+10km) 'E 'E *( ) Delta from original data 120 0'E 'E Esri, HERE, Garmin, OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS user community 20
18 Finite Fault Model USGS2-Case1 21
19 Finite Fault Model USGS2-Case1 Max Tsunami Height: 1.17 m '0"E '30"E '0"E '30"E '0"E '30"E '0"E 0 52'30"S 0 52'0"S 0 53'0"S 0 53'30"S Tsunami height [ m] ,000 m 22
20 23
21 Finite Fault Model USGS2-Case1 0 30'N USGS/FFM2/case1 Dip angle: 86 Strike angle: 347 (-11) xll: (-15km) yll: (+10km) *( ) Delta from original data Horizontal deformation [m] F F F F F F F F F 'S 0 0' 'E 'E 'E 'E 'E USGS FFM file 'E 'E Source: Esri, DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Earthstar Geographics, CNES/Airbus DS, USDA, USGS, AeroGRID, IGN, and the GIS User Community Source: Esri, DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Earthstar Geographics, CNES/Airbus DS, USDA, USGS, AeroGRID, IGN, and the GIS User Community 'E
22 Finite Fault Model USGS2-Case2 S l i p [ m ] 0 40'S 0 20'S 0 0' 0 20'N 0 40'N 'E 'E USGS/FFM2/case Dip angle: 86 Strike angle: 346 (-12) xll: (-11km) yll: (-2 k) 120 0'E *( ) Delta from original data 'E Esri, HERE, Garmin, OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS user community 25
23 Finite Fault Model USGS2-Case2 26
24 Finite Fault Model USGS2-Case2 Max Tsunami Height: 3.17 m '0"E '30"E '0"E '30"E '0"E '30"E '0"E 0 52'30"S 0 52'0"S 0 53'0"S 0 53'30"S Tsunami height [ m] ,000 m 27
25 28
26 Finite Fault Model USGS2-Case3 S l i p [ m ] 0 40'S 0 20'S 0 0' 0 20'N 0 40'N 'E 'E USGS/FFM2/case Dip angle: 86 Strike angle: 346 (-12) xll: (-11km) yll: (-6 k) 120 0'E *( ) Delta from original data 'E Esri, HERE, Garmin, OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS user community 29
27 Finite Fault Model USGS2-Case3 30
28 Finite Fault Model USGS2-Case3 Max Tsunami Height: 2.80 m '0"E '30"E '0"E '30"E '0"E '30"E '0"E 0 52'30"S 0 52'0"S 0 53'0"S 0 53'30"S Tsunami height [ m] ,000 m 31
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