Forecasting Hazard from Induced Earthquakes. Ryan Schultz
|
|
|
- Jasmin Neal
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Forecasting Hazard from Induced Earthquakes Ryan Schultz
2 Overview 1) Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA). Ground Motions Parameters Earthquake Catalogues & Recurrence Relations GMPEs Hazard Calculation Deaggregation 2) Shortcomings of PSHA for IS & workarounds. AGS 2
3 Chapter 1: Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA)
4 Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis Requires much input data: Ground Motion Parameters Recurrence Relationships Rate & Location Models GMPEs Means to make best-guesses at the likelihood of future earthquakes & their anticipated ground motion. Also allows user to see what s contributing most to the hazard. AGS 4
5 Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis After NRCan Website AGS 5
6 Recurrence Relations & Rate/Location Models Examine GR-FMD, fit for a- and b- values. Function that describes the expectation value for the number and frequency of earthquake at a given magnitude. Assumes enough information for a location, and a stationary Poisson process in time. NN MM = 10 aa 10 bbbb AGS 6
7 Ground Motion Parameters Collected in real-time from seismic stations. Multiple variants & data sources: PGA, PGV, PSA(f), MMI, IM, DYFI Ground motion results from multiple effects: source, propagation path, and site effects. AGS 7
8 Site Amplification & Vs30 Site conditions can affect the resultant amplitudes of ground motion. Near-surface soil shear-velocity conditions at seismic stations are often quantified. Vs30 acts as a proxy for site amplification, allowing for the removal of site-specific conditions from GM parameters. AGS 8
9 Case Study: Frasier River Delta After Hunter et al., 2010 AGS 9
10 Ground Motion Predication Equations (GMPEs) GMPEs provide a means to interpolate ground motions to regions without sensors. Provide an empirical fit to the data and account for multiple factors: distance, magnitude, local soil conditions, local structure, faulting mechanism, etc.. After Skarlatoudis et al., 2013 AGS 10
11 Ground Motion Predication Equations (GMPEs) GMPEs provide a means to interpolate ground motions to regions without sensors. Uncertainties in GMPEs are on a log scale. Caused by both epistemic error (systematic) caused by biased modelling, and aleatory error (random). AGS After Atkinson et al.,
12 Seismic Hazard Curve AGS 12
13 Seismic Hazard Curve Translation of multiple factors related to earthquakes into a simple relationship between probability (over a time interval) and ground motion (PGA, PGV, PSA, MMI, etc.). Variability from models and uncertainties can be propagated into hazard curve. Structural engineering and building After Bradley et al., 2012 codes based off of expected tolerances. See also USGS website. AGS 13
14 Final Product! After NRCan Website AGS 14
15 Deaggregation Deaggregation is a method to separate individual components contributing to hazard. Allows for the quantification of contribution to hazard for each variable, to see which affects the resultant hazard curves the most. After Peterson et al., 2011 AGS 15
16 Chapter 2: Complications for PSHA with Induced Earthquakes
17 Problems for IS-PSHA? Rate models: PSHA assumes stationary Poisson process in time, IS rates are variable with time. Location models: PSHA needs to characterize locations, IS pops up unexpectedly. Maximum magnitude: PSHA uses tectonic caps to magnitudes, does IS have operational-related maximums? After USGS USGS workaround is to use smaller time scales and assume conditions still hold. AGS 17
18 AGS 18 After Schultz et al., (in review).
19 The Rate Problem Examine GR-FMD, missing time dependence of induced seismicity. NN MM = 10 aa 10 bbbb Modifications to a value suggested based on solutions to pore-pressure diffusion equation [Shapiro et al., 2010]. AGS 19
20 The Rate Problem Examine GR-FMD, missing time dependence of induced seismicity. NN MM = 10 aa 10 bbbb Modifications to a value suggested based on solutions to pore-pressure diffusion equation [Shapiro et al., 2010]. Seismogenic Index: a = ΣΣ + log 10 (VV(tt)) NN MM = VV(tt) 10 ΣΣ 10 bbbb AGS 20
21 Rate via HF Stimulation Volume? Examine GR-FMD, missing time NN MM = VV(tt) 10 ΣΣ 10 bbbb dependence of induced seismicity. Modifications to a value suggested based on solutions to pore-pressure diffusion equation [Shapiro et al., 2010]. Seismogenic Index: a = ΣΣ + log 10 (VV(tt)) AGS 21 After Schultz et al., (in review).
22 The Location Problem AGS 22
23 Location Models: Geological Susceptibility Induced earthquakes locations in central Alberta have shown a spatial correspondence with carbonate reef margins. Induced earthquake locations have shown a spatial correspondence with relatively higher Duvernay formation overpressure. After Eaton & Schultz, 2017 After Schultz et al., 2016 AGS 23
24 Maximum Magnitude? PSHA incorporates maximum magnitudes based on tectonic considerations: e.g., length of longest known faults. It may be possible that IS maximum magnitudes could be capped due to the total amount of fluid injected. AGS 24
25 Send your questions or comments to: Ryan Schultz, Seismologist Alberta Geological Survey (780)
26
Risk Treatment. Todd Shipman PhD, Alberta Geological Survey/Alberta Energy Regulator November 17 th,2017 Induced Seismicity Workshop, Yellowknife NWT
Risk Treatment Todd Shipman PhD, Alberta Geological Survey/Alberta Energy Regulator November 17 th,2017 Induced Seismicity Workshop, Yellowknife NWT Risk Management Approach to Induced Seismicity Establishing
Development of U. S. National Seismic Hazard Maps and Implementation in the International Building Code
Development of U. S. National Seismic Hazard Maps and Implementation in the International Building Code Mark D. Petersen (U.S. Geological Survey) http://earthquake.usgs.gov/hazmaps/ Seismic hazard analysis
Risk Evaluation. Todd Shipman PhD, Alberta Geological Survey/Alberta Energy Regulator November 17 th,2017 Induced Seismicity Workshop, Yellowknife NWT
Risk Evaluation Todd Shipman PhD, Alberta Geological Survey/Alberta Energy Regulator November 17 th,2017 Induced Seismicity Workshop, Yellowknife NWT Risk Management Approach to Induced Seismicity Establishing
PSHA for seismicity induced by gas extraction in the Groningen Field
PSHA for seismicity induced by gas extraction in the Groningen Field Dirk Kraaijpoel, Mauro Caccavale, Torild van Eck, Bernard Dost Schatzalp Workshop Induced Seismicity 2015-03-13 Groningen Field # events
Non-Ergodic Site Response in Seismic Hazard Analysis
Non-Ergodic Site Response in Seismic Hazard Analysis Jonathan P. Stewart, Ph.D., P.E. Professor and Chair Civil & Environmental Engineering Dept. University of California, Los Angeles ESG 5 Taipei, Taiwan
RECORD OF REVISIONS. Page 2 of 17 GEO. DCPP.TR.14.06, Rev. 0
Page 2 of 17 RECORD OF REVISIONS Rev. No. Reason for Revision Revision Date 0 Initial Report - this work is being tracked under Notification SAPN 50638425-1 8/6/2014 Page 3 of 17 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page
Occurrence of negative epsilon in seismic hazard analysis deaggregation, and its impact on target spectra computation
Occurrence of negative epsilon in seismic hazard analysis deaggregation, and its impact on target spectra computation Lynne S. Burks 1 and Jack W. Baker Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering,
Development of Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis for International Sites, Challenges and Guidelines
Development of Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis for International Sites, Challenges and Guidelines ABSTRACT Dr. Antonio Fernandez Ares Paul C. Rizzo Associates, Inc. 500 Penn Center Boulevard, Suite
Regional Workshop on Essential Knowledge of Site Evaluation Report for Nuclear Power Plants.
Regional Workshop on Essential Knowledge of Site Evaluation Report for Nuclear Power Plants. Development of seismotectonic models Ramon Secanell Kuala Lumpur, 26-30 August 2013 Overview of Presentation
Arthur Frankel, William Stephenson, David Carver, Jack Odum, Robert Williams, and Susan Rhea U.S. Geological Survey
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Maps for Seattle: 3D Sedimentary Basin Effects, Nonlinear Site Response, and Uncertainties from Random Velocity Variations Arthur Frankel, William Stephenson, David Carver,
Assessment and Mitigation of Ground Motion Hazards from Induced Seismicity. Gail M. Atkinson
Assessment and Mitigation of Ground Motion Hazards from Induced Seismicity Gail M. Atkinson (with acknowledgement to many collaborators, especially Ghofrani and Assatourians) NSERC/TransAlta/Nanometrics
EARTHQUAKE HAZARD ANALYSIS: MUSKRAT DAMSITE, LOWER CHURCHILL, LABRADOR. Draft Report: May 22, 2014
EARTHQUAKE HAZARD ANALYSIS: MUSKRAT DAMSITE, LOWER CHURCHILL, LABRADOR Draft Report: May 22, 2014 By: Gail M. Atkinson, Ph.D. Engineering Seismologist For: SNC Lavalin Ltd. 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive
Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis. Hong Kie Thio AECOM, Los Angeles
Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis Hong Kie Thio AECOM, Los Angeles May 18, 2015 Overview Introduction Types of hazard analysis Similarities and differences to seismic hazard Methodology Elements o
Understanding Seismic Hazard Needs for Infrastructure Risk Analysis: Lessons from SYNER-G
Systemic Seismic Vulnerability and Risk Analysis for Buildings, Lifeline Networks and Infrastructures Safety Gain Understanding Seismic Hazard Needs for Infrastructure Risk Analysis: Lessons from SYNER-G
EARTHQUAKE HAZARD ASSESSMENT IN KAZAKHSTAN
EARTHQUAKE HAZARD ASSESSMENT IN KAZAKHSTAN Dr Ilaria Mosca 1 and Dr Natalya Silacheva 2 1 British Geological Survey, Edinburgh (UK) imosca@nerc.ac.uk 2 Institute of Seismology, Almaty (Kazakhstan) silacheva_nat@mail.ru
Non-Ergodic Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analyses
Non-Ergodic Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analyses M.A. Walling Lettis Consultants International, INC N.A. Abrahamson University of California, Berkeley SUMMARY A method is developed that relaxes the ergodic
Overview of Seismic PHSA Approaches with Emphasis on the Management of Uncertainties
H4.SMR/1645-29 "2nd Workshop on Earthquake Engineering for Nuclear Facilities: Uncertainties in Seismic Hazard" 14-25 February 2005 Overview of Seismic PHSA Approaches with Emphasis on the Management of
Ground motions from three recent events in western Alberta and northeastern B.C. and their implications for induced-seismicity hazard
1 Ground motions from three recent events in western Alberta and northeastern B.C. and their implications for induced-seismicity hazard Gail M. Atkinson NSERC/TransAlta/Nanometrics Industrial Research
Japan Seismic Hazard Information Station
Japan Seismic Hazard Information Station (J-SHIS) Hiroyuki Fujiwara National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention (NIED) Background of the Project Headquarters for Earthquake Research
BC HYDRO SSHAC LEVEL 3 PSHA STUDY METHODOLOGY
BC HYDRO SSHAC LEVEL 3 PSHA STUDY METHODOLOGY M. W. McCann, Jr. 1, K. Addo 2 and M. Lawrence 3 ABSTRACT BC Hydro recently completed a comprehensive Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) to evaluate
Eleventh U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering Integrating Science, Engineering & Policy June 25-29, 2018 Los Angeles, California
Eleventh U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering Integrating Science, Engineering & Policy June 25-29, 2018 Los Angeles, California Site-Specific MCE R Response Spectra for Los Angeles Region
WP2: Framework for Seismic Hazard Analysis of Spatially Distributed Systems
Systemic Seismic Vulnerability and Risk Analysis for Buildings, Lifeline Networks and Infrastructures Safety Gain WP2: Framework for Seismic Hazard Analysis of Spatially Distributed Systems Graeme Weatherill,
The Role of Physics-Based Ground Motion Models in Non-Ergodic Site-Specific PSHA Studies
The Role of Physics-Based Ground Motion Models in Non-Ergodic Site-Specific PSHA Studies Luis A. Dalguer and Philippe Renault Hazard and Structural Analysis Swissnuclear, Switzerland Disclaimer: This presentation
Interpretive Map Series 24
Oregon Department of Geology and Mineral Industries Interpretive Map Series 24 Geologic Hazards, Earthquake and Landslide Hazard Maps, and Future Earthquake Damage Estimates for Six Counties in the Mid/Southern
Site specific seismic hazard assessment a case study of Guanyin offshore wind farm 場址特定地震危害度評估 - 以觀音離岸風力發電廠為例
Site specific seismic hazard assessment a case study of Guanyin offshore wind farm 場址特定地震危害度評估 - 以觀音離岸風力發電廠為例 Supervisor : Dr. Chyi-Tyi Lee and Dr. Kuo-Fong Ma Speaker : Jia-Cian Gao 2018/04/26 1 1. A
Monte Carlo simulations for analysis and prediction of nonstationary magnitude-frequency distributions in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis
Monte Carlo simulations for analysis and prediction of nonstationary magnitude-frequency distributions in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis Mauricio Reyes Canales and Mirko van der Baan Dept. of Physics,
Geo-Marine Letters Volume 36, 2016, electronic supplementary material
1 Geo-Marine Letters Volume 36, 016, electronic supplementary material Submarine landslides offshore Vancouver Island along the northern Cascadia margin, British Columbia: why preconditioning is likely
Ground Motion Studies for Critical Sites in North-West Bangladesh
Science & Technology Conference 2011 Vienna, June 8-10, 2011 Ground Motion Studies for Critical Sites in North-West Bangladesh Dr. Tahmeed M. Al Hussaini Professor of Civil Engineering, Bangladesh University
IMPACT OF INDUCED SEISMICITY ON THE EVALUATION OF SEISMIC HAZARD
IMPACT OF INDUCED SEISMICITY ON THE EVALUATION OF SEISMIC HAZARD Gail ATKINSON Professor of Earth Sciences, Western University, Canada gmatkinson@aol.com Hadi GHOFRANI Post-doctoral fellow, Western University,
Representative ground-motion ensembles for several major earthquake scenarios in New Zealand
Representative ground-motion ensembles for several major earthquake scenarios in New Zealand K. Tarbali & B.A. Bradley Department of Civil and Natural Resources Engineering, University of Canterbury, Christchurch.
Second Annual Meeting
SHale gas Exploration l and Exploitation induced Risks Seismic hazard assessment considering fluid-induced seismicity: Inter-event time distribution of seismicity induced by hydraulic fracturing operations
Seismic hazard modeling for Bulgaria D. Solakov, S. Simeonova
Seismic hazard modeling for Bulgaria D. Solakov, S. Simeonova Bulgarian seismic network and foreign stations used in epicenter location Sismicity in Bulgaria and surroundings (M 4.) Epicentral map for
Simulation-based Seismic Hazard Analysis Using CyberShake
Simulation-based Seismic Hazard Analysis Using CyberShake SCEC CyberShake Collaboration: Robert Graves, Scott Callaghan, Feng Wang, Thomas H. Jordan, Philip Maechling, Kim Olsen, Kevin Milner, En-Jui Lee,
Ground Motion and Seismicity Aspects of the 4 September 2010 Darfield and 22 February 2011 Christchurch Earthquakes
SEI.BRA.2.1 Ground Motion and Seismicity Aspects of the 4 September 21 Darfield and 22 February 211 Christchurch Earthquakes Technical Report Prepared for the Canterbury Earthquakes Royal Commission Brendon
Seismic Hazard Epistemic Uncertainty in the San Francisco Bay Area and its Role in Performance-Based Assessment
Seismic Hazard Epistemic Uncertainty in the San Francisco Bay Area and its Role in Performance-Based Assessment Brendon A Bradley a) This paper investigates epistemic uncertainty in the results of seismic
The effect of bounds on magnitude, source-to-site distance and site condition in PSHA-based ground motion selection
The effect of bounds on magnitude, source-to-site distance and site condition in PSHA-based ground motion selection K. Tarbali & B.A. Bradley Department of Civil and Natural Resources Engineering, University
L. Danciu, D. Giardini, J. Wößner Swiss Seismological Service ETH-Zurich Switzerland
BUILDING CAPACITIES FOR ELABORATION OF NDPs AND NAs OF THE EUROCODES IN THE BALKAN REGION Experience on the field of seismic hazard zonation SHARE Project L. Danciu, D. Giardini, J. Wößner Swiss Seismological
Modifications to Risk-Targeted Seismic Design Maps for Subduction and Near-Fault Hazards
Modifications to Risk-Targeted Seismic Design Maps for Subduction and Near-Fault Hazards Abbie B. Liel Assistant Prof., Dept. of Civil, Environ. and Arch. Eng., University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA
Actual practices of seismic strong motion estimation at NPP sites
ANSN Regional Workshop on Site Selection and Evaluation for Nuclear Power Plants June 2010, Hanoi Vietnam IAEA/ISSC Actual practices of seismic strong motion estimation at NPP sites Yoshi. FUKUSHIMA (JNES)
Unique Site Conditions and Response Analysis Challenges in the Central and Eastern U.S.
Unique Site Conditions and Response Analysis Challenges in the Central and Eastern U.S. James R. Martin, C. Guney Olgun, & Morgan Eddy Civil and Environmental Engineering World Institute for Disaster Risk
Development of Ground Motion Time Histories for Seismic Design
Proceedings of the Ninth Pacific Conference on Earthquake Engineering Building an Earthquake-Resilient Society 14-16 April, 2011, Auckland, New Zealand Development of Ground Motion Time Histories for Seismic
THE RESPONSE SPECTRUM
(NBCC 25) Gail M. The Canadian Society for Civil Engineering, Vancouver Section THE RESPONSE SPECTRUM Seismic Hazard Analysis to obtain Uniform Hazard Response Spectrum (NBCC 25) Gail M. Department of
ACCOUNTING FOR SITE EFFECTS IN PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS: OVERVIEW OF THE SCEC PHASE III REPORT
ACCOUNTING FOR SITE EFFECTS IN PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS: OVERVIEW OF THE SCEC PHASE III REPORT Edward H FIELD 1 And SCEC PHASE III WORKING GROUP 2 SUMMARY Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis
5. Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) proposed by C.A. Cornell (1968) used to determine the design earthquake for all locations in USA. PSHA gives a relative quantification i of the design earthquake,
Spatial Cross-correlation Models for Vector Intensity Measures (PGA, Ia, PGV and Sa s) Considering Regional Site Conditions
Spatial Cross-correlation Models for Vector Intensity Measures (PGA, Ia, PGV and Sa s) Considering Regional Site Conditions Gang Wang and Wenqi Du Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Hong
Discussing SHARE PSHA results for France
International Symposium Qualification of dynamic analyses of dams and their equipments and of probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in Europe 31th August 2nd September 2016 Saint-Malo AFPS Working Group
New Madrid Earthquakes
Seismic Hazard Maps A presentation by Dr. Chris Cramer, U.S. Geological Survey, Memphis, TN at University of Memphis, TN November 22, 2004 1811-12 New Madrid Earthquakes 1 1886 Charleston Earthquake 2
Site-specific hazard analysis for geotechnical design in New Zealand
Site-specific hazard analysis for geotechnical design in New Zealand B. A. Bradley 1 1 Department of Civil and Natural Resources Engineering, University of Canterbury, Private Bag 4800, Ilam, Christchurch,
SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS. Instructional Material Complementing FEMA 451, Design Examples Seismic Hazard Analysis 5a - 1
SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS Instructional Material Complementing FEMA 451, Design Examples Seismic Hazard Analysis 5a - 1 Seismic Hazard Analysis Deterministic procedures Probabilistic procedures USGS hazard
DCPP Seismic FAQ s Geosciences Department 08/04/2011 GM1) What magnitude earthquake is DCPP designed for?
GM1) What magnitude earthquake is DCPP designed for? The new design ground motions for DCPP were developed after the discovery of the Hosgri fault. In 1977, the largest magnitude of the Hosgri fault was
Improved Liquefaction Hazard Evaluation through PLHA. Steven L. Kramer University of Washington
Improved Liquefaction Hazard Evaluation through PLHA Steven L. Kramer University of Washington il Liquefaction hree primary questions to answer: Is the soil susceptible to liquefaction? If so, is the anticipated
Hazard Feedback using the. current GMPEs for DCPP. Nick Gregor. PG&E DCPP SSHAC Study. SWUS GMC Workshop 2 October 22, 2013
1 Hazard Feedback using the current GMPEs for DCPP Nick Gregor PG&E DCPP SSHAC Study SWUS GMC Workshop 2 October 22, 2013 PGA Hazard By Source 0.5 Hz 2 Deaggregation AEP = 10-4 PGA 0.5 Hz 3 4 Base Case
Ground Motion Prediction Equations: Past, Present, and Future
Ground Motion Prediction Equations: Past, Present, and Future The 2014 William B. Joyner Lecture David M. Boore As presented at the SMIP15 meeting, Davis, California, 22 October 2015 The William B. Joyner
Assessment of Seismic Design Motions in Areas of Low Seismicity: Comparing Australia and New Zealand
6 th International Conference on Earthquake Geotechnical Engineering 1-4 November 2015 Christchurch, New Zealand Assessment of Seismic Design Motions in Areas of Low Seismicity: Comparing Australia and
Geomechanical Analysis of Hydraulic Fracturing Induced Seismicity at Duvernay Field in Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin
Geomechanical Analysis of Hydraulic Fracturing Induced Seismicity at Duvernay Field in Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin Suvrat P Lele 1, Timothy Tyrrell 2, Ganeswara R Dasari 1, William A Symington 1
Treatment of Epistemic Uncertainty in PSHA Results
Treatment of Epistemic Uncertainty in PSHA Results Norm Abrahamson University of California, Berkeley Pacific Gas & Electric PSHA Workshop, Lenzburg, Switzerland, Sep 7, 2017 Haz(GM > z)= Nscenarios i=1
Ground Motion Prediction Equation Hazard Sensitivity Results for Palo Verde Nuclear Generating Station Site (PVNGS)
Ground Motion Prediction Equation Hazard Sensitivity Results for Palo Verde Nuclear Generating Station Site (PVNGS) M.Walling SWUS GMC Workshop 3 March 11, 2013 Hazard ground motion prediction equation
Conditional Spectrum Computation Incorporating Multiple Causal Earthquakes and Ground-Motion Prediction Models
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 13, No. 2A, pp. 113 1116, April 213, doi: 1.1785/1211293 Conditional Spectrum Computation Incorporating Multiple Causal Earthquakes and Ground-Motion
Fracking and Earthquakes What s the Risk? Alastair Muir, President Muir&Associates Consulting
Fracking and Earthquakes What s the Risk? Alastair Muir, President Muir&Associates Consulting Who am I? Big data since 1979 Hydraulic Fracturing Induced Earthquakes Earthquake Prediction Since my first
AN OVERVIEW AND GUIDELINES FOR PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD MAPPING
CO 2 TRACCS INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP Bucharest, 2 September, 2012 AN OVERVIEW AND GUIDELINES FOR PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD MAPPING M. Semih YÜCEMEN Department of Civil Engineering and Earthquake Studies
NGA-Subduction: Development of the Largest Ground Motion Database for Subduction Events
NGA-Subduction: Development of the Largest Ground Motion Database for Subduction Events Tadahiro Kishida. Ph.D., and Yousef Bozorgnia, Ph.D., P.E. University of California, Berkeley 1 Probabilistic Seismic
(Seismological Research Letters, July/August 2005, Vol.76 (4): )
(Seismological Research Letters, July/August 2005, Vol.76 (4):466-471) Comment on How Can Seismic Hazard around the New Madrid Seismic Zone Be Similar to that in California? by Arthur Frankel Zhenming
Engineering Characteristics of Ground Motion Records of the Val-des-Bois, Quebec, Earthquake of June 23, 2010
CSCE 2011 General Conference - Congrès générale 2011 de la SCGC Ottawa, Ontario June 14-17, 2011 / 14 au 17 juin 2011 Engineering Characteristics of Ground Motion Records of the Val-des-Bois, Quebec, Earthquake
log 4 0.7m log m Seismic Analysis of Structures by TK Dutta, Civil Department, IIT Delhi, New Delhi. Module 1 Seismology Exercise Problems :
Seismic Analysis of Structures by TK Dutta, Civil Department, IIT Delhi, New Delhi. Module Seismology Exercise Problems :.4. Estimate the probabilities of surface rupture length, rupture area and maximum
Probabilistic Earthquake Risk Assessment of Newcastle and Lake Macquarie Part 1 Seismic Hazard.
Probabilistic Earthquake Risk Assessment of Newcastle and Lake Macquarie Part 1 Seismic Hazard. T. Dhu, D. Robinson, C. Sinadinovski, T. Jones, A. Jones & J. Schneider Geoscience Australia, Canberra, Australia.
Earthquake catalogues and preparation of input data for PSHA science or art?
Earthquake catalogues and preparation of input data for PSHA science or art? Marijan Herak Department of Geophysics, Faculty of Science University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia e-mail: herak@irb.hr EARTHQUAKE
Epistemic Uncertainty in Seismic Hazard Analysis for Australia
Australian Earthquake Engineering Society 2011 Conference, 18-20 November, Barossa Valley, South Australia Epistemic Uncertainty in Seismic Hazard Analysis for Australia Paul Somerville 1,2 and Hong Kie
Amplification of Seismic Motion at Deep Soil Sites
20th International Conference on Structural Mechanics in Reactor Technology (SMiRT 20) Espoo, Finland, August 9-14, 2009 SMiRT 20-Division 5, Paper 1740 Amplification of Seismic Motion at Deep Soil Sites
NEODETERMINISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT. Seismic hazard in Asia Trieste 4-8 December 2006
H4.SMR/1882-2 Seismic Hazard in Asia 4-8 December 2006 Neodeterministic Hazard Assessment G.F. Panza 1, 2 1 Department of Earth Sciences University of Trieste 2 ICTP SAND Group, Trieste NEODETERMINISTIC
Conditional Spectrum Computation Incorporating Multiple Causal Earthquakes and Ground Motion Prediction Models
Conditional Spectrum Computation Incorporating Multiple Causal Earthquakes and Ground Motion Prediction Models Ting Lin, Stephen C. Harmsen, Jack W. Baker, and Nicolas Luco To appear in Bull. Seismol.
Are Ground-Motion Models Derived from Natural Events Applicable to the Estimation of Expected Motions for Induced Earthquakes?
Are Ground-Motion Models Derived from Natural Events Applicable to the Estimation of Expected Motions for Induced Earthquakes? by Gail M. Atkinson and Karen Assatourians ABSTRACT Natural earthquakes in
A note on ground motion recorded during Mw 6.1 Mae Lao (Northern Thailand) earthquake on 5 May 2014
Proceedings of the Tenth Pacific Conference on Earthquake Engineering Building an Earthquake-Resilient Pacific 6-8 November 2015, Sydney, Australia A note on ground motion recorded during Mw 6.1 Mae Lao
RISK ANALYSIS AND RISK MANAGEMENT TOOLS FOR INDUCED SEISMICITY
Eleventh U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering Integrating Science, Engineering & Policy June 25-29, 2018 Los Angeles, California RISK ANALYSIS AND RISK MANAGEMENT TOOLS FOR INDUCED SEISMICITY
Recolouring GSHAP: Challenging the status quo of Australian earthquake hazard
Recolouring GSHAP: Challenging the status quo of Australian earthquake hazard Trevor Allen, Jonathan Griffin, Dan Clark, Hadi Ghasemi, Mark Leonard & Theodora Volti Australia in the Global Context SCRs
Seismology, Seismic Data Analysis, Hazard Assessment and Risk Mitigation
List of institutions and lecturers contributing to the International Training Course on "Seismology, Hazard Assessment and Risk Mitigation", September 26 to October 21, 2016 in Nay Pyi Taw, Myanmar International
Hybrid Empirical Ground-Motion Prediction Equations for Eastern North America Using NGA Models and Updated Seismological Parameters
Hybrid Empirical Ground-Motion Prediction Equations for Eastern North America Using NGA Models and Updated Seismological Parameters by Shahram Pezeshk, 1 Arash Zandieh, 1 and Behrooz Tavakoli 2 1 Department
ShakeAlert Phase 1: West Coast Earthquake Early Warning. Doug Given, USGS EEW Coordinator Education Symposium, Dec. 4, 2018
ShakeAlert Phase 1: West Coast Earthquake Early Warning Doug Given, USGS EEW Coordinator Education Symposium, Dec. 4, 2018 Population WA 7M OR 4M Annualized Earthquake Losses, $6.1B 61% in California,
UPDATED PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD MAPS FOR TURKEY
UPDATED PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD MAPS FOR TURKEY S. Akkar, T. Azak, T. Çan, U. Çeken, M.B. Demircioğlu, T.Y. Duman, M. Erdik, S. Ergintav, F.T. Kadirioğlu, D. Kalafat, Ö. Kale, R.F. Kartal, K. Kekovalı,
2C09 Design for seismic and climate changes
2C09 Design for seismic and climate changes Lecture 10: Characterisation of seismic motion Aurel Stratan, Politehnica University of Timisoara 07/04/2017 European Erasmus Mundus Master Course Sustainable
Ground motion selection for performance-based engineering, and the Conditional Mean Spectrum as a selection tool
Proceedings of the Tenth Pacific Conference on Earthquake Engineering Building an Earthquake-Resilient Pacific 6-8 November 2015, Sydney, Australia Ground motion selection for performance-based engineering,
Earthquake Hazard at Newcastle
Earthquake Hazard at Newcastle Gary Gibson1 and Vicki-Ann Dimas2 1. Corresponding author. Senior seismologist, Environmental Systems & Services, Melbourne, Vic 3121. Adjunct Research Fellow, Monash University.
Research in Induced Seismicity
Research in Induced Seismicity Grant Bromhal, NETL GWPC Annual UIC Meeting January 22-24. 2013 1 NAS Study on Induced Seismicity Three major findings emerged from the study: hydraulic fracturing does not
ON THE CORRELATION OF GROUND MOTION INDICES TO DAMAGE OF STRUCTURE MODELS
3 th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering Vancouver, B.C., Canada August -6, 24 Paper No. 74 ON THE CORRELATION OF GROUND MOTION INDICES TO DAMAGE OF STRUCTURE MODELS Gilbert MOLAS, Mohsen RAHNAMA
Introduction to Strong Motion Seismology. Norm Abrahamson Pacific Gas & Electric Company SSA/EERI Tutorial 4/21/06
Introduction to Strong Motion Seismology Norm Abrahamson Pacific Gas & Electric Company SSA/EERI Tutorial 4/21/06 Probabilistic Methods Deterministic Approach Select a small number of individual earthquake
Uniform Hazard Spectrum(UHS) for performance based seismic design
Uniform Hazard Spectrum(UHS) for performance based seismic design *Jun-Kyoung Kim 1), Soung-Hoon Wee 2) and Seong-Hwa Yoo 2) 1) Department of Fire Protection and Disaster Prevention, Semyoung University,
GEM-PEER Global GMPEs Project Guidance for Including Near-Fault Effects in Ground Motion Prediction Models
GEM-PEER Global GMPEs Project Guidance for Including Near-Fault Effects in Ground Motion Prediction Models J.W. Baker Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA Y. Bozorgnia & C. Di Alessandro PEER Center,
Hybrid Empirical Ground-Motion Prediction Equations for Eastern North America Using NGA Models and Updated Seismological Parameters
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 101, No. 4, pp. 1859 1870, August 2011, doi: 10.1785/0120100144 Hybrid Empirical Ground-Motion Prediction Equations for Eastern North America Using
Selection of Ground Motion Records for Two Dam Sites in Oregon
Missouri University of Science and Technology Scholars' Mine International Conferences on Recent Advances in Geotechnical Earthquake Engineering and Soil Dynamics 2010 - Fifth International Conference
CHARACTERIZING SPATIAL CROSS-CORRELATION BETWEEN GROUND- MOTION SPECTRAL ACCELERATIONS AT MULTIPLE PERIODS. Nirmal Jayaram 1 and Jack W.
Proceedings of the 9th U.S. National and 10th Canadian Conference on Earthquake Engineering Compte Rendu de la 9ième Conférence Nationale Américaine et 10ième Conférence Canadienne de Génie Parasismique
Seismic Displacement Demands for Performance-Based Design and Rehabilitation of Structures in North America
Seismic Displacement Demands for Performance-Based Design and Rehabilitation of Structures in North America P. Daneshvar& N. Bouaanani Department of Civil, Geological and Mining Engineering École Polytechnique
High Definition Earthquake Modeling - How Technology is Changing our Understanding of Earthquake Risk
High Definition Earthquake Modeling - How Technology is Changing our Understanding of Earthquake Risk Morgan Moschetti U.S. Geological Survey Geologic Hazards Science Center, Golden, GO Representative
I N T R O D U C T I O N T O P R O B A B I L I S T I C S E I S M I C H A Z A R D A N A LY S I S
I N T R O D U C T I O N T O P R O B A B I L I S T I C S E I S M I C H A Z A R D A N A LY S I S J A C K W. B A K E R Copyright 2013 Jack W. Baker Preferred citation for this document: Baker, Jack W. (2013)
Ground Motion Prediction Equations for Application to the 2015 Canadian National Seismic Hazard Maps
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 Ground Motion Prediction Equations for Application to the 2015 Canadian National Seismic Hazard Maps Can. J. Civ. Eng.
Topographic p Effects
Soil Amplification and Topographic p Effects Prof. Ellen M. Rathje, Ph.D., P.E. Department of Civil, Architectural, and Environmental Engineering University of Texas at Austin 18 November 2010 Seismic
Comparisons of ground motions from the M 9 Tohoku earthquake with ground-motion prediction equations for subduction interface earthquakes
Comparisons of ground motions from the M 9 Tohoku earthquake with ground-motion prediction equations for subduction interface earthquakes David M. Boore 8 March 20 Revised: 3 March 20 I used data from
Seismic Hazard Assessment for Çetin Dam
Seismic Hazard Assessment for Çetin Dam E. Yıldız & R. Güner Temelsu International Engineering Services Inc., Ankara, Turkey SUMMARY: The seismic hazard study performed for Çetin Dam, Turkey is presented.
Time-varying and long-term mean aftershock hazard in Wellington
Time-varying and long-term mean aftershock hazard in Wellington A. Christophersen, D.A. Rhoades, R.J. Van Dissen, C. Müller, M.W. Stirling, G.H. McVerry & M.C. Gerstenberger GNS Science, Lower Hutt, New
BC-OGRIS Report for Year 5 of the. Induced Seismicity Monitoring Project (ISMP)
BC-OGRIS 2016-2017 Report for Year 5 of the Induced Seismicity Monitoring Project (ISMP) Alireza Babaie Mahani, Project Seismologist October 2017 1 Contents Executive Summary..3 Update on the Performance
Incorporating simulated Hikurangi subduction interface spectra into probabilistic hazard calculations for Wellington
Incorporating simulated Hikurangi subduction interface spectra into probabilistic hazard calculations for Wellington G.H. McVerry & C. Holden GNS Science, Lower Hutt, New Zealand. 2014 NZSEE Conference
I N T R O D U C T I O N T O P R O B A B I L I S T I C S E I S M I C H A Z A R D A N A LY S I S
I N T R O D U C T I O N T O P R O B A B I L I S T I C S E I S M I C H A Z A R D A N A LY S I S J A C K W. B A K E R Copyright 2015 Jack W. Baker Preferred citation for this document: Baker, Jack W. (2015)