OSS NEWSLETTER & FORECAST Sunday, July 10, OSS NEWSLETTER & FORECAST.
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1 OSS NEWSLETTER & FORECAST Sunday, July 10, OSS NEWSLETTER & FORECAST Table of Contents Market Comments... 1 Financial Events for the Coming Week... 4 Last Week s OSS INDICATORS Results... 5 Charts... 6 Option Trades... 7 OSS Subscription Services... 7 Other Sources... 8 Market Comments SAME FORECAST Choppy waters till mid July when we should see a strong rally into August. Our indicators scored 100% this week. Before I tell you a bit of good news, let me share some bad news with you. If you have been reading this letter for any length of time, you know the OSS INDICATORS simply do not work during holiday weeks. Well, the cosmos through us for a loop this time. The indicators worked fine this holiday week, but totally failed the week before. Unfortunately, I made a few Put reccommendation the week before last. Three of the four recommendation dropped by 50%, our automatic stop. FST was one of those recommendations, but it sure made up for it this week when the stock dropped from a High on the 6th of $28.07 to a Low on the 8th of $ Our Jul11 27 Puts were down to $0.25 on the 6th, than hit a High on the 8th of $3.30. So, we made a good pick, but the Holiday messed with our timing. Per the Astro Trend graphs below, you can see the SPY chart was showing a sharp drop to its lowest level in quite some time. I would have played some OEX Puts with this type of sharp drop, but it was a holiday week, and I have learned an important lesson over the years concerning the Stock Market and Holidays: Never expected a move down during such weeks. The Astro Trend graph for IAU showed a strong rise between 06/29 and 07/06. The GLD (SPDR Gold Trust) made a very clear candle reversal during the week, and followed through. Another could have / should have, but I was still worried about the Holiday week affect. I am still expecting a move down for the OEX into the middle of July. The poor jobs report last week seems to have kick-started the decline. With only 18,000 new jobs when the expectation was 125,000, and an unemployment increase to 9.2%, I don t think you could ask for a gloomier picture. The OEX is also hitting another Gann line. Notice it reversed when it hit the first Gann line.
2 OSS NEWSLETTER & FORECAST Sunday, July 10, The VIX is in a wedge, and currently resting on support. The QQQ is also showing signs of a reversal. From the astrological view of things, we started a period of surprise than runs from last Wednesday to the middle of this week. Uranus is going direct today. Uranus is associated with surprise. This is also a period when the markets (OEX, SPX, DJIA) then to make strong moves in the days leading up to a Uranus stationary event. See the chart on Page 4 for the past few Uranus stationary periods, and for a list of upcoming stationary periods. Venus will form a square to Saturn on the 13 th. Financial astrologers say that markets forming a bottom at this time are good candidates for a reversal up. Hmm Looks to me like the VIX is forming a bottom. Astro Trend graphs show a negative count for the SPY continuing through this week. While the graph for Gold is also showing weakness, thing do become better as the week progresses. See the Near Term Indicators section of the OSS INDICATORS letter for CIT dates and directional signals. Astro Trend Graphs
3 OSS NEWSLETTER & FORECAST Sunday, July 10, See the Near Term Indicators section of the OSS INDICATORS letter for CIT dates and directional signals. Planet Date & Time (GMT) Sign & Event Neptune Nov 09, :35 Aquarius - S/D Pluto Apr 06, :32 Capricorn - S/R Uranus May 28, :45 Aries - I Uranus Dec 09, :06 Aries - S/D Neptune Feb 03, :40 Pisces - I Neptune May 31, :35 Aquarius - S/R Pluto Apr 09, :15 Capricorn - S/R Uranus Jul 05, :55 Aries - S/R Uranus Aug 14, :27 Pisces - R Pluto Sep 13, :14 Capricorn - S/D Neptune Jun 04, :00 Pisces - S/R Uranus Jul 12, :35 Aries - S/R Pluto Sep 17, :26 Capricorn - S/D Neptune Nov 06, :49 Aquarius - S/D Neptune Nov 10, :19 Pisces - S/D Uranus Dec 05, :56 Pisces - S/D Uranus Mar 12, :21 Aries - I Neptune Apr 04, :34 Pisces - I Pluto Apr 08, :05 Capricorn - S/R Neptune Jun 02, :13 Pisces - S/R Uranus Dec 12, :15 Aries - S/D Pluto Apr 12, :39 Capricorn - S/R Neptune Jun 06, :45 Pisces - S/R Uranus Jul 17, :58 Aries - S/R Pluto Sep 19, :07 Capricorn - S/D Uranus Jul 09, :05 Aries - S/R Neptune Nov 13, :56 Pisces - S/D Neptune Aug 05, :02 Aquarius - R Uranus Dec 17, :31 Aries - S/D Pluto Sep 16, :52 Capricorn - S/D
4 4 Financial Events for the Coming Week Source: MyPivots Monday, 11-July :00 AM 4-Week Bill Announcement 11:30 AM 3-Month Bill Auction 11:30 AM 6-Month Bill Auction Thursday, 14-July :30 AM Producer Price Index 08:30 AM Retail Sales 08:30 AM Jobless Claims 09:45 AM Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index Tuesday, 12-July :30 AM NFIB Small Business Optimism Index 07:45 AM ICSC-Goldman Store Sales 08:30 AM International Trade 08:55 AM Redbook 11:30 AM 4-Week Bill Auction 01:00 PM 3-Yr Note Auction 02:00 PM FOMC Minutes Wednesday, 13-July :00 AM MBA Purchase Applications 08:30 AM Import and Export Prices 09:00 AM Ceridian-UCLA PCI 10:00 AM Ben Bernanke Speaks 10:00 AM Business Inventories 10:30 AM EIA Natural Gas Report 11:00 AM 3-Month Bill Announcement 11:00 AM 6-Month Bill Announcement 11:00 AM 10-Yr TIPS Announcement 01:00 PM 30-Yr Bond Auction 04:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet 04:30 PM Money Supply Friday, 15-July :30 AM Consumer Price Index 08:30 AM Empire State Mfg Survey 09:15 AM Industrial Production 09:55 AM Consumer Sentiment 10:30 AM EIA Petroleum Status Report 01:00 PM 10-Yr Note Auction 02:00 PM Treasury Budget
5 5 Last Week s OSS INDICATORS Results S&P100 Projected Trend for the w eek beginning 07/04/ Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday -2-3 DATE R V T M CLOSE CHG CHG% HIGH HIGH % LOW LOW% 07/04/ /05/ % % % 07/06/ % % % 07/07/11 A % % % 07/08/ st % % % Higher prices this week. Expecting a major reversal starting on the 7 th or 8 th. Right Wrong Comment Higher price with week Last Friday's Close was Thursday's High was "Expecting a major reversal starting on the 7th or 8th." OEX rallied into the 7th, then tanked almost 8 point (-1.32%) on the 8th. The biggest move for the week was Thursday which had a V rating of -2, but surrounded by V ratings of +1. All we could speculate from this was that the end of the week would see the largest move. The A reversal on Thursday definitely showed itself on Friday. Big drops are most likely to occur at the beginning of the 1st and 4 th quarters of the Lunar cycle. Friday was the first day of the cycles 1 st quarter. The Projected Trend graph had one item that stuck out: Big move on Wednesday. The move came on Thursday which is within our -1/+1 day time frame.
6 6 Charts Candle reversals highlighted in red. Spotting candlesticks is a subjective endeavor. I personally like to stick with the ones that leap out are you. Simple Moving Averages: 20-period 50-period
7 7 Option Trades Interactive results may be viewed at: OPTION ENTRY DATE ENTRY PRICE EXIT DATE EXIT PRICE PROFIT HIGHEST HIGHEST% RIMM MAR PUTS 02/15/11 $ /16/11 $ % $ % POT MAR PUTS 02/18/11 $ /18/11 $ % $ % OEX MARWK2 585 PUTS 03/08/11 $ /10/11 $ % $ % OEX MAR PUTS 03/08/11 $ /10/11 $ % $ % WYNN MAR PUTS 03/10/11 $ /11/11 $ % $ % OEX APR PUTS 03/16/11 $ /17/11 $ % OEX APR PUTS 03/21/11 $ /22/11 $ % CF MAY PUTS 04/07/11 $ /12/11 $ % $ % WGO MAY PUTS 04/12/11 $ /12/11 $ % $ % OEX MAY PUTS 04/26/11 $ /27/11 $ % $1.15 0% CAT MAY PUTS 05/03/11 $ /04/11 $ % $ % KKR MAY11 18 PUTS 05/03/11 $ /05/11 $ % $ % BBY MAY11 32 PUTS 05/03/11 $ /07/11 $ % $ % BRCD MAY11 7 PUTS 05/03/11 $ /07/11 $ % $0.90 0% OEX MAYWK2 605 CALLS 05/09/11 $ /10/11 $ % $ % OSS Subscription Services Subscribe here: Subscribers to the Option Signal Service will be notified when to take action. Price: $89.95 per month. The OSS Indicator Service is included free. 30-day risk free trial! Subscribers to the OSS Indicator Service receive all indicators for the next two weeks each Sunday so you know what to expect. Price: $49.95 per month. View Sample: 30-day risk free trial!
8 8 Other Sources Start your day with George Ure's view of things and things to come. Wall Street Forecaster Blog Please contact me with any questions/comments. --Rob The Option Signal Service To unsubscribe, reply to this with the work "Remove" as the body.
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