MODULE TWO, PART TWO: ENDOGENEITY, INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES AND TWO-STAGE LEAST SQUARES IN ECONOMIC EDUCATION RESEARCH USING LIMDEP

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "MODULE TWO, PART TWO: ENDOGENEITY, INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES AND TWO-STAGE LEAST SQUARES IN ECONOMIC EDUCATION RESEARCH USING LIMDEP"

Transcription

1 MODULE TWO, PART TWO: ENDOGENEITY, INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES AND TWO-STAGE LEAST SQUARES IN ECONOMIC EDUCATION RESEARCH USING LIMDEP Part Two of Module Two provdes a cookbook-type demonstraton of the steps requred to use LIMDEP to address problems of endogenety usng a two-stage least squares, nstrumental varable estmator. The Durbn, Hausman and Wu specfcaton test for endogenety s also demonstrated. Users of ths model need to have completed Module One, Parts One and Two, and Module Two, Part One. That s, from Module One, users are assumed to know how to get data nto LIMDEP, recode and create varables wthn LIMDEP, and run and nterpret regresson results. From Module Two, Part One, they are expected to have an understandng of the problem of and source of endogenety and the basc dea behnd an nstrumental varable approach and the two-stage least squares method. The Becker and Johnston (1999) data set s used throughout ths module for demonstraton purposes only. Module Two, Parts Three and Four demonstrate n STATA and SAS what s done here n LIMDEP. THE CASE As descrbed n Module Two, Part One, Becker and Johnston (1999) called attenton to classroom effects that mght nfluence multple-choce and essay type test takng sklls n economcs n dfferent ways. For example, f the student s n a classroom that emphaszes sklls assocated wth multple choce testng (e.g., rsk-takng behavor, queston analyzng sklls, memorzaton, and keen sense of judgng between close alternatves), then the student can be expected to do better on multple-choce questons. By the same token, f placed n a classroom that emphaszes the sklls of essay test queston answerng (e.g., organzaton, good sentence and paragraph constructon, obfuscaton when uncertan, logcal argument, and good penmanshp), then the student can be expected to do better on the essay component. Thus, Becker and Johnston attempted to control for the type of class of whch the student s a member. Ther measure of teachng to the multple-choce questons s the mean score or mark on the multple-choce questons for the school n whch the th student took the 12 th grade economcs course. Smlarly, the mean school mark or score on the essay questons s ther measure of the th student s exposure to essay queston wrtng sklls. In equaton form, the two equatons that summarze the nfluence of the varous covarates on multple-choce and essay test questons are wrtten as the follow structural equatons: _ J j j = 4 M = ρ + ρ W + ρ M + ρ X + U _ J j j = 4 W = ρ + ρ M + ρ W + ρ X + V j j *. *. W. E. Becker Module Two, Part Two: LIMDEP IV Hands On Secton Sept. 15, 2008 p. 1

2 M and W are the th student s respectve scores on the multple-choce test and essay test. M and W are the mean multple-choce and essay test scores at the school where the th student took the 12 th grade economcs course. The varables are the other exogenous varables (such X j as gender, age, Englsh a second language, etc.) used to explan the th student s multple-choce and essay marks, where the ρs are parameters to be estmated. The ncluson of the mean multple-choce and mean essay test scores n ther respectve structural equatons, and ther excluson from the other equaton, enables both of the structural equatons to be dentfed wthn the system. As shown n Module Two, Part One, the least squares estmaton of the ρs nvolves bas * * because the error term U s related to W, n the frst equaton, and V s related to M, n second equaton. Instruments for regressors W and M are needed. Because the reduced form equatons express W and M solely n terms of exogenous varables, they can be used to generate the respectve nstruments: J j j = 4 M = Γ + Γ W + Γ M + Γ X + U J j j = 4 W = Γ + Γ M + Γ W + Γ X + V j j ** **. The reduced form parameters (Γs) are functons of the ρs, and the reduced form error terms U ** and V ** are functons of U * and V *, whch are not related to any of the regressors n the reduced form equatons.. We could estmate the reduced form equatons and get Mˆ andw ˆ. We could then substtute Mˆ andwˆ nto the structural equatons as proxy regressors (nstruments) for M and W. The least squares regresson of M on W, M and the Xs and a least squares regresson of W on M ˆ, ˆ W and the Xs would yeld consstent estmates of the respectve ρs, but the standard errors would be ncorrect. LIMDEP automatcally does all the requred estmatons wth the two-stage, least squares command: 2SLS; LHS= ; RHS= ; INST= $ TWO-STAGE, LEAST SQUARES IN LIMDEP The Becker and Johnston (1999) data are n the fle named Bll.CSV. Before readng these data nto LIMDEP, however, the Project Settngs must be ncreased from cells (222 W. E. Becker Module Two, Part Two: LIMDEP IV Hands On Secton Sept. 15, 2008 p. 2

3 rows and 900 columns) to accommodate the 4,178 observatons. Ths can be done wth a project settng of cells (4444 rows and 900 columns), followng the procedures descrbed n Module One, Part Two. After ncreasng the project settng, fle Bll.CSV can be read nto LIMDEP wth the followng read command (the fle may be located anywhere on your hard drve but here t s located on the e drve): READ; NREC=4178; NVAR=44; FILE=e:\bll.csv; Names= student,school,sze,other,brthday,sex,eslflag,adultst, mc1,mc2,mc3,mc4,mc5,mc6,mc7,mc8,mc9,mc10,mc11,mc12,mc13, mc14,mc15,mc16,mc17,mc18,mc19,mc20,totalmc,avgmc, essay1,essay2,essay3,essay4,totessay,avgessay, totscore,avgscore,ma081,ma082,ec011,ec012,ma083,en093$ Usng these recode and create commands, yelds the followng relevant varable defntons: recode; sze; 0/9=1; 10/19=2; 20/29=3; 30/39=4; 40/49=5; 50/100=6$ create; smallest=sze=1; smaller=sze=2; small=sze=3; large=sze=4; larger=sze=5; largest=sze=6$ TOTALMC: Student s score on 12 th grade economcs multple-choce exam ( M ). AVGMC: Mean multple-choce score for students at school ( M ). TOTESSAY: Student s score on 12 th grade economcs essay exam ( W ). AVGESSAY: Mean essay score for students at school ( W ). ADULTST = 1, f a returnng adult student, and 0 otherwse. SEX = GENDER = 1 f student s female and 0 s male. ESLFLAG = 1 f Englsh s not student s frst language and 0 f t s. EC011 = 1 f student enrolled n frst semester 11 grade economcs course, 0 f not. EN093 = 1 f student was enrolled n ESL Englsh course, 0 f not MA081 = 1 f student enrolled n the frst semester 11 grade math course, 0 f not. MA082 = 1 f student was enrolled n the second semester 11 grade math course, 0 f not. MA083 = 1 f student was enrolled n the frst semester 12 grade math course, 0 f not. SMALLER = 1 f student from a school wth 10 to 19 test takers, 0 f not. SMALL = 1 f student from a school wth 20 to 29 test takers, 0 f not. LARGE = 1 f student from a school wth 30 to 39 test takers, 0 f not. LARGER = 1 f student from a school wth 40 to 49 test takers, 0 f not. In all of the regressons, the effect of beng at a school wth more than 49 test takers s captured n the constant term, aganst whch the other dummy varables are compared. The smallest schools need to be rejected to treat the mean scores as exogenous and unaffected by any ndvdual student s test performance, whch s accomplshed wth the followng command: Reject; smallest = 1$ W. E. Becker Module Two, Part Two: LIMDEP IV Hands On Secton Sept. 15, 2008 p. 3

4 The descrptve statstcs on the relevant varables are then obtaned wth the followng command, yeldng the LIMDEP output table shown: Dstat;RHS=TOTALMC,AVGMC,TOTESSAY,AVGESSAY,ADULTST,SEX,ESLFLAG, EC01,EN093,MA081,MA082,MA083,SMALLER,SMALL,LARGE,LARGER$ Descrptve Statstcs All results based on nonmssng observatons. =============================================================================== Varable Mean Std.Dev. Mnmum Maxmum Cases =============================================================================== All observatons n current sample TOTALMC AVGMC TOTESSAY AVGESSAY ADULTST E E SEX ESLFLAG E EC EN E MA MA MA SMALLER SMALL LARGE LARGER E For comparson wth the two-stage least squares results, we start wth the least squares regressons shown after ths paragraph. The least squares estmatons are typcal of those found n multple-choce and essay score correlaton studes, wth correlaton coeffcents of 0.77 and The essay mark or score, W, s the most sgnfcant varable n the multple-choce score regresson (frst of the two tables) and the multple-choce mark, M, s the most sgnfcant varable n the essay regresson (second of the two tables). Results lke these have led researchers to conclude that the essay and multple-choce marks are good predctors of each other. Notce also that both the mean multple-choce and mean essay marks are sgnfcant n ther respectve equatons, suggestng that somethng n the classroom envronment or group experence nfluences ndvdual test scores. Fnally, beng female has a sgnfcant negatve effect on the multple choce-test score, but a sgnfcant postve effect on the essay score, as expected from the least squares results reported by others. We wll see how these results hold up n the two-stage least squares regressons. Regress;LHS=TOTALMC;RHS=TOTESSAY,ONE,ADULTST,SEX,AVGMC, ESLFLAG,EC011,EN093,MA081,MA082,MA083,SMALLER,SMALL,LARGE,LARGER$ Ordnary least squares regresson Weghtng varable = none Dep. var. = TOTALMC Mean= , S.D.= Model sze: Observatons = 3710, Parameters = 15, Deg.Fr.= 3695 Resduals: Sum of squares= , Std.Dev.= Ft: R-squared= , Adjusted R-squared = Model test: F[ 14, 3695] = , Prob value = Dagnostc: Log-L = , Restrcted(b=0) Log-L = LogAmemyaPrCrt.= 1.868, Akake Info. Crt.= Autocorrel: Durbn-Watson Statstc = , Rho = W. E. Becker Module Two, Part Two: LIMDEP IV Hands On Secton Sept. 15, 2008 p. 4

5 Varable Coeffcent Standard Error b/st.er. P[ Z >z] Mean of X TOTESSAY E Constant ADULTST E-02 SEX E AVGMC E ESLFLAG E-01 EC E E EN E-01 MA MA MA SMALLER E SMALL E LARGE E LARGER E E-01 (Note: E+nn or E-nn means multply by 10 to + or -nn power.) Regress;LHS=TOTESSAY;RHS=TOTALMC,ONE, ADULTST,SEX,AVGESSAY, ESLFLAG,EC011,EN093,MA081,MA082,MA083,SMALLER,SMALL,LARGE,LARGER$ Ordnary least squares regresson Weghtng varable = none Dep. var. = TOTESSAY Mean= , S.D.= Model sze: Observatons = 3710, Parameters = 15, Deg.Fr.= 3695 Resduals: Sum of squares= , Std.Dev.= Ft: R-squared= , Adjusted R-squared = Model test: F[ 14, 3695] = , Prob value = Dagnostc: Log-L = , Restrcted(b=0) Log-L = LogAmemyaPrCrt.= 3.509, Akake Info. Crt.= Autocorrel: Durbn-Watson Statstc = , Rho = Varable Coeffcent Standard Error b/st.er. P[ Z >z] Mean of X TOTALMC E Constant ADULTST E-02 SEX AVGESSAY E ESLFLAG E-01 EC EN E-01 MA MA MA SMALLER SMALL LARGE LARGER E E-01 (Note: E+nn or E-nn means multply by 10 to + or -nn power.) Theoretcal consderatons dscussed n Module Two, Part One, suggest that these least squares estmates nvolve a smultaneous equaton bas that s brought about by an apparent reverse causalty between the two forms of testng. Consstent estmaton of the parameters n ths smultaneous equaton system s possble wth two-stage least squares, where our nstrument ( M ˆ ) for M s obtaned by a least squares regresson of M on SEX, ADULTST, AVGMC, AVGESSAY, ESLFLAG,SMALLER,SMALL, LARGE, LARGER, EC011, EN093, MA081, MA082, and MA083. Our nstrument ( Wˆ ) for W s obtaned by a least squares regresson of W. E. Becker Module Two, Part Two: LIMDEP IV Hands On Secton Sept. 15, 2008 p. 5

6 W on SEX, ADULTST, AVGMC, AVGESSAY, ESLFLAG, SMALLER, SMALL, LARGE, LARGER, EC011, EN093, MA081, MA082, and MA083. LIMDEP wll do these regressons and the subsequent regressons for M and W employng these nstruments va the followng commands, whch yeld the subsequent output: 2SLS; LHS = TOTALMC; RHS = TOTESSAY,ONE, ADULTST,SEX,AVGMC, ESLFLAG,EC011,EN093,MA081,MA082,MA083,SMALLER,SMALL,LARGE, LARGER; INST = ONE,SEX, ADULTST,AVGMC,AVGESSAY,ESLFLAG, SMALLER,SMALL,LARGE,LARGER,EC011,EN093,MA081,MA082,MA083$ Two stage least squares regresson Weghtng varable = none Dep. var. = TOTALMC Mean= , S.D.= Model sze: Observatons = 3710, Parameters = 15, Deg.Fr.= 3695 Resduals: Sum of squares= , Std.Dev.= Ft: R-squared= , Adjusted R-squared = (Note: Not usng OLS. R-squared s not bounded n [0,1] Model test: F[ 14, 3695] = 67.63, Prob value = Dagnostc: Log-L = , Restrcted(b=0) Log-L = LogAmemyaPrCrt.= 2.529, Akake Info. Crt.= Autocorrel: Durbn-Watson Statstc = , Rho = Varable Coeffcent Standard Error b/st.er. P[ Z >z] Mean of X TOTESSAY E E Constant ADULTST E-02 SEX E AVGMC E ESLFLAG E-01 EC EN E-01 MA MA MA SMALLER SMALL E LARGE LARGER E E-01 2SLS; LHS = TOTESSAY; RHS = TOTALMC,ONE, ADULTST,SEX,AVGE SSAY,ESLFLAG,EC011,EN093,MA081,MA082,MA083,SMALLER,SMALL, LARGE,LARGER; INST = ONE,SEX, ADULTST,AVGMC,AVGESSAY,ESLFLAG, SMALLER,SMALL,LARGE,LARGER,EC011,EN093,MA081,MA082,MA083$ Two stage least squares regresson Weghtng varable = none Dep. var. = TOTESSAY Mean= , S.D.= Model sze: Observatons = 3710, Parameters = 15, Deg.Fr.= 3695 Resduals: Sum of squares= , Std.Dev.= Ft: R-squared= , Adjusted R-squared = (Note: Not usng OLS. R-squared s not bounded n [0,1] Model test: F[ 14, 3695] = , Prob value = Dagnostc: Log-L = , Restrcted(b=0) Log-L = LogAmemyaPrCrt.= 4.005, Akake Info. Crt.= Autocorrel: Durbn-Watson Statstc = , Rho = Varable Coeffcent Standard Error b/st.er. P[ Z >z] Mean of X TOTALMC E Constant ADULTST E-02 W. E. Becker Module Two, Part Two: LIMDEP IV Hands On Secton Sept. 15, 2008 p. 6

7 SEX AVGESSAY E ESLFLAG E-01 EC EN E-01 MA MA MA SMALLER SMALL LARGE LARGER E E-01 The 2SLS results dffer from the least squares results n many ways. The essay mark or score, W, s no longer a sgnfcant varable n the multple-choce regresson and the multplechoce mark, M, s lkewse nsgnfcant n the essay regresson. Each score appears to be measurng somethng dfferent when the regressor and error-term-nduced bas s elmnated by our nstrumental varable estmators. Both the mean multple-choce and mean essay scores contnue to be sgnfcant n ther respectve equatons. But now beng female s nsgnfcant n explanng the multple-choce test score. Beng female contnues to have a sgnfcant postve effect on the essay score. DURBIN, HAUSMAN AND WU TEST FOR ENDOGENEITY The theoretcal argument s strong for treatng multple-choce and essay scores as endogenous when employed as regressors n the explanaton of the other. Nevertheless, ths endogenety can be tested wth the Durbn, Hausman and Wu specfcaton test, whch s a two-step procedure n LIMDEP versons pror to Ether a Wald statstc, n a Ch-square ( χ ) test wth K* degrees of freedom, or an F statstc wth K* and n (K + K*) degrees of freedom, s used to test the jont sgnfcance of the contrbuton of the predcted values ( Xˆ *) of a regresson of the K* endogenous regressors, n matrx X*, on the exogenous varables (and column of ones for the constant term) n matrx Z: y=xβ+ X*γ ˆ + ε*, where X* = Zλ +u, X*=Zλ ˆ ˆ, and λˆ s a least squares estmator of λ. H o : γ = 0, the varables n Z are exogenous H : γ 0, at least one of the varables n Z s endogenous A In our case, K* = 1 when the essay score s to be tested as an endogenous regressor n the multple-choce equaton and when the multple-choce regressor s to be tested as endogenous n the essay equaton. ˆX* s an n 1vector of predcted essay scores from a regresson of essay scores on all the exogenous varables (for subsequent use n the multple-choce equaton) or an n 1vector of predcted multple-choce scores from a regresson of multple-choce scores on all the exogenous varables (for subsequent use n the essay equaton). Because K* = 1, the relevant W. E. Becker Module Two, Part Two: LIMDEP IV Hands On Secton Sept. 15, 2008 p. 7

8 test statstc s ether the t, wth n (K + K*) degrees of freedom for small n or the standard normal, for large n. In LIMDEP, the predcted essay score s obtaned by the followng command, where the specfcaton ;keep=essayhat tells LIMDEP to predct the essay scores and keep them as a varable called Essayhat : Regres; lhs= TOTESSAY; RHS= ONE,ADULTST,SEX, AVGESSAY,AVGMC, ESLFLAG,EC011,EN093,MA081,MA082,MA083,SMALLER,SMALL,LARGE,LARGER ;keep=essayhat$ The predcted essay scores are then added as a regressor n the orgnal multple-choce regresson: Regress;LHS=TOTALMC;RHS=TOTESSAY,ONE,ADULTST,SEX,AVGMC, ESLFLAG,EC011,EN093,MA081,MA082,MA083,SMALLER,SMALL,LARGE, LARGER, Essayhat$ T he test statstc for the Essayhat coeffcent s then used n the test of endogenety. In the below LIMDEP output, we see that the calculated standard normal test statstc z value s , whch far exceeds the absolute value of the 0.05 percent Type I error crtcal 1.96 standard normal value. Thus, the null hypothess of an exogenous essay score as an explanatory varable for the multple-choce score s rejected. As theorzed, the essay score s endogenous n an explanaton of the multple-choce score. --> Regres; lhs= TOTESSAY; RHS= ONE,ADULTST,SEX, AVGESSAY,AVGMC, ESLFLAG,EC011,EN093,MA081,MA082,MA083,SMALLER,SMALL,LARGE,LARGER;keep=Esayhat$ Ordnary least squares regresson Weghtng varable = none Dep. var. = TOTESSAY Mean= , S.D.= Model sze: Observatons = 3710, Parameters = 15, Deg.Fr.= 3695 Resduals: Sum of squares= , Std.Dev.= Ft: R-squared= , Adjusted R-squared = Model test: F[ 14, 3695] = , Prob value = Dagnostc: Log-L = , Restrcted(b=0) Log-L = LogAmemyaPrCrt.= 4.025, Akake Info. Crt.= Autocorrel: Durbn-Watson Statstc = , Rho = Varable Coeffcent Standard Error b/st.er. P[ Z >z] Mean of X Constant ADULTST E-02 SEX AVGESSAY E AVGMC E ESLFLAG E-01 EC EN E-01 MA MA MA SMALLER SMALL W. E. Becker Module Two, Part Two: LIMDEP IV Hands On Secton Sept. 15, 2008 p. 8

9 LARGE LARGER E E-01 (Note: E+nn or E-nn means multply by 10 to + or -nn power.) --> Regress;LHS=TOTALMC;RHS=TOTESSAY,ONE, ADULTST,SEX,AVGMC, ESLFLAG,EC011,EN093,MA081,MA082,MA083,SMALLER,SMALL,LARGE,LARGER, Essayhat$ Ordnary least squares regresson Weghtng varable = none Dep. var. = TOTALMC Mean= , S.D.= Model sze: Observatons = 3710, Parameters = 16, Deg.Fr.= 3694 Resduals: Sum of squares= , Std.Dev.= Ft: R-squared= , Adjusted R-squared = Model test: F[ 15, 3694] = , Prob value = Dagnostc: Log-L = , Restrcted(b=0) Log-L = LogAmemyaPrCrt.= 1.825, Akake Info. Crt.= Autocorrel: Durbn-Watson Statstc = , Rho = Varable Coeffcent Standard Error b/st.er. P[ Z >z] Mean of X TOTESSAY E Constant ADULTST E-02 SEX E E AVGMC E ESLFLAG E-01 EC E EN E-01 MA MA MA SMALLER SMALL E LARGE LARGER E E-01 ESSAYHAT E (Note: E+nn or E-nn means multply by 10 to + or -nn power.) The smlar estmaton routne to test for the endogenety of the multple-choce test score n the essay equaton yelds a calculated z test statstc of , whch far exceeds the absolute value of ts 1.96 crtcal value. Thus, the null hypothess of an exogenous multple-choce score as an explanatory varable for the essay score s rejected. As theorzed, the multple-choce score s endogenous n an explanaton of the essay score. --> Regress;LHS=TOTALMC; RHS=ONE, ADULTST,SEX, AVGMC,AVGESSAY, ESLFLAG,EC011,EN093,MA081,MA082,MA083,SMALLER,SMALL,LARGE,LARGER; keep=mchat$ Ordnary least squares regresson Weghtng varable = none Dep. var. = TOTALMC Mean= , S.D.= Model sze: Observatons = 3710, Parameters = 15, Deg.Fr.= 3695 Resduals: Sum of squares= , Std.Dev.= Ft: R-squared= , Adjusted R-squared = Model test: F[ 14, 3695] = , Prob value = Dagnostc: Log-L = , Restrcted(b=0) Log-L = LogAmemyaPrCrt.= 2.376, Akake Info. Crt.= Autocorrel: Durbn-Watson Statstc = , Rho = Varable Coeffcent Standard Error b/st.er. P[ Z >z] Mean of X W. E. Becker Module Two, Part Two: LIMDEP IV Hands On Secton Sept. 15, 2008 p. 9

10 Constant ADULTST E-02 SEX AVGMC E AVGESSAY E E ESLFLAG E-01 EC EN E-01 MA MA MA SMALLER SMALL E LARGE LARGER E E-01 --> Regress;LHS=TOTESSAY;RHS=TOTALMC,ONE, ADULTST, SEX,AVGESSAY, ESLFLAG,EC011,EN093,MA081,MA082,MA083,SMALLER,SMALL,LARGE,LARGER, MChat$ Ordnary least squares regresson Weghtng varable = none Dep. var. = TOTESSAY Mean= , S.D.= Model sze: Observatons = 3710, Parameters = 16, Deg.Fr.= 3694 Resduals: Sum of squares= , Std.Dev.= Ft: R-squared= , Adjusted R-squared = Model test: F[ 15, 3694] = , Prob value = Dagnostc: Log-L = , Restrcted(b=0) Log-L = LogAmemyaPrCrt.= 3.473, Akake Info. Crt.= Autocorrel: Durbn-Watson Statstc = , Rho = Varable Coeffcent Standard Error b/st.er. P[ Z >z] Mean of X TOTALMC E Constant ADULTST E-02 SEX AVGESSAY E ESLFLAG E-01 EC EN E-01 MA MA MA SMALLER SMALL LARGE LARGER E E-01 MCHAT (Note: E+nn or E-nn means multply by 10 to + or -nn power.) CONCLUDING COMMENTS Ths cookbook-type ntroducton to the use of nstrumental varables and two-stage least squares regresson and testng for endogenety has just scratched the surface of ths controversal problem n statstcal estmaton and nference. It was ntended to enable researchers to begn usng nstrumental varables n ther work and to enable readers of that work to have an dea of what s beng done. To learn more about these methods there s no substtute for a graduate level textbook treatment such as that found n Wllam Greene s Econometrc Analyss. W. E. Becker Module Two, Part Two: LIMDEP IV Hands On Secton Sept. 15, 2008 p. 10

11 REFERENCES Becker, Wllam E. and Carol Johnston (1999). The Relatonshp Between Multple Choce and Essay Response Questons n Assessng Economcs Understandng, Economc Record (Economc Socety of Australa), Vol. 75 (December): Greene, Wllam (2003). Econometrc Analyss. 5 th Edton, New Jersey: Prentce Hall. ENDNOTES In the default mode, relatvely large samples are requred for 2SLS n LIMDEP because a routne amed at provdng consstent estmators s employed; thus, for example, no degrees of freedom adjustment s made for varances;.e., 2 th 2 ˆ (1 / ) ( ) σ = n predcton error As Wllam Greene states, ths s consstent wth most publshed sources, but (curously enough) nconsstent wth most other commercally avalable computer programs. The degrees of freedom correcton for small samples s obtanable by addng the followng specfcaton to the 2SLS command: ;DFC In Lmdep verson 9.0.4, the followng command wll automatcally test x3 for endogenety: Regress; lhs=y; rhs=one,x2,x3; nst=one,x2,x4; Wu test$ Because x3 s not an nstrument, LIMDEP knows the test for endogenety s on ths varable. W. E. Becker Module Two, Part Two: LIMDEP IV Hands On Secton Sept. 15, 2008 p. 11

MODULE TWO, PART THREE: ENDOGENEITY, INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES AND TWO-STAGE LEAST SQUARES IN ECONOMIC EDUCATION RESEARCH USING STATA

MODULE TWO, PART THREE: ENDOGENEITY, INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES AND TWO-STAGE LEAST SQUARES IN ECONOMIC EDUCATION RESEARCH USING STATA MODULE TWO, PART THREE: ENDOGENEITY, INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES AND TWO-STAGE LEAST SQUARES IN ECONOMIC EDUCATION RESEARCH USING STATA Part Three of Module Two demonstrates how to address problems of endogenety

More information

[The following data appear in Wooldridge Q2.3.] The table below contains the ACT score and college GPA for eight college students.

[The following data appear in Wooldridge Q2.3.] The table below contains the ACT score and college GPA for eight college students. PPOL 59-3 Problem Set Exercses n Smple Regresson Due n class /8/7 In ths problem set, you are asked to compute varous statstcs by hand to gve you a better sense of the mechancs of the Pearson correlaton

More information

EXAMINATION. N0028N Econometrics. Luleå University of Technology. Date: (A1016) Time: Aid: Calculator and dictionary

EXAMINATION. N0028N Econometrics. Luleå University of Technology. Date: (A1016) Time: Aid: Calculator and dictionary EXAMINATION Luleå Unversty of Technology N008N Econometrcs Date: 011-05-16 (A1016) Tme: 09.00-13.00 Ad: Calculator and dctonary Teacher on duty (complete telephone number) Robert Lundmark (070-1735788)

More information

Econ107 Applied Econometrics Topic 3: Classical Model (Studenmund, Chapter 4)

Econ107 Applied Econometrics Topic 3: Classical Model (Studenmund, Chapter 4) I. Classcal Assumptons Econ7 Appled Econometrcs Topc 3: Classcal Model (Studenmund, Chapter 4) We have defned OLS and studed some algebrac propertes of OLS. In ths topc we wll study statstcal propertes

More information

STATISTICS QUESTIONS. Step by Step Solutions.

STATISTICS QUESTIONS. Step by Step Solutions. STATISTICS QUESTIONS Step by Step Solutons www.mathcracker.com 9//016 Problem 1: A researcher s nterested n the effects of famly sze on delnquency for a group of offenders and examnes famles wth one to

More information

ECONOMETRICS - FINAL EXAM, 3rd YEAR (GECO & GADE)

ECONOMETRICS - FINAL EXAM, 3rd YEAR (GECO & GADE) ECONOMETRICS - FINAL EXAM, 3rd YEAR (GECO & GADE) June 7, 016 15:30 Frst famly name: Name: DNI/ID: Moble: Second famly Name: GECO/GADE: Instructor: E-mal: Queston 1 A B C Blank Queston A B C Blank Queston

More information

Department of Quantitative Methods & Information Systems. Time Series and Their Components QMIS 320. Chapter 6

Department of Quantitative Methods & Information Systems. Time Series and Their Components QMIS 320. Chapter 6 Department of Quanttatve Methods & Informaton Systems Tme Seres and Ther Components QMIS 30 Chapter 6 Fall 00 Dr. Mohammad Zanal These sldes were modfed from ther orgnal source for educatonal purpose only.

More information

Question 1 carries a weight of 25%; question 2 carries 20%; question 3 carries 25%; and question 4 carries 30%.

Question 1 carries a weight of 25%; question 2 carries 20%; question 3 carries 25%; and question 4 carries 30%. UNIVERSITY OF EAST ANGLIA School of Economcs Man Seres PGT Examnaton 017-18 FINANCIAL ECONOMETRICS ECO-7009A Tme allowed: HOURS Answer ALL FOUR questons. Queston 1 carres a weght of 5%; queston carres

More information

DO NOT OPEN THE QUESTION PAPER UNTIL INSTRUCTED TO DO SO BY THE CHIEF INVIGILATOR. Introductory Econometrics 1 hour 30 minutes

DO NOT OPEN THE QUESTION PAPER UNTIL INSTRUCTED TO DO SO BY THE CHIEF INVIGILATOR. Introductory Econometrics 1 hour 30 minutes 25/6 Canddates Only January Examnatons 26 Student Number: Desk Number:...... DO NOT OPEN THE QUESTION PAPER UNTIL INSTRUCTED TO DO SO BY THE CHIEF INVIGILATOR Department Module Code Module Ttle Exam Duraton

More information

Professor Chris Murray. Midterm Exam

Professor Chris Murray. Midterm Exam Econ 7 Econometrcs Sprng 4 Professor Chrs Murray McElhnney D cjmurray@uh.edu Mdterm Exam Wrte your answers on one sde of the blank whte paper that I have gven you.. Do not wrte your answers on ths exam.

More information

Chapter 8 Indicator Variables

Chapter 8 Indicator Variables Chapter 8 Indcator Varables In general, e explanatory varables n any regresson analyss are assumed to be quanttatve n nature. For example, e varables lke temperature, dstance, age etc. are quanttatve n

More information

Statistics for Economics & Business

Statistics for Economics & Business Statstcs for Economcs & Busness Smple Lnear Regresson Learnng Objectves In ths chapter, you learn: How to use regresson analyss to predct the value of a dependent varable based on an ndependent varable

More information

Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel/SPSS Chapter 13 The Simple Linear Regression Model and Correlation

Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel/SPSS Chapter 13 The Simple Linear Regression Model and Correlation Statstcs for Managers Usng Mcrosoft Excel/SPSS Chapter 13 The Smple Lnear Regresson Model and Correlaton 1999 Prentce-Hall, Inc. Chap. 13-1 Chapter Topcs Types of Regresson Models Determnng the Smple Lnear

More information

Statistics for Business and Economics

Statistics for Business and Economics Statstcs for Busness and Economcs Chapter 11 Smple Regresson Copyrght 010 Pearson Educaton, Inc. Publshng as Prentce Hall Ch. 11-1 11.1 Overvew of Lnear Models n An equaton can be ft to show the best lnear

More information

January Examinations 2015

January Examinations 2015 24/5 Canddates Only January Examnatons 25 DO NOT OPEN THE QUESTION PAPER UNTIL INSTRUCTED TO DO SO BY THE CHIEF INVIGILATOR STUDENT CANDIDATE NO.. Department Module Code Module Ttle Exam Duraton (n words)

More information

Chapter 13: Multiple Regression

Chapter 13: Multiple Regression Chapter 13: Multple Regresson 13.1 Developng the multple-regresson Model The general model can be descrbed as: It smplfes for two ndependent varables: The sample ft parameter b 0, b 1, and b are used to

More information

Statistics II Final Exam 26/6/18

Statistics II Final Exam 26/6/18 Statstcs II Fnal Exam 26/6/18 Academc Year 2017/18 Solutons Exam duraton: 2 h 30 mn 1. (3 ponts) A town hall s conductng a study to determne the amount of leftover food produced by the restaurants n the

More information

x i1 =1 for all i (the constant ).

x i1 =1 for all i (the constant ). Chapter 5 The Multple Regresson Model Consder an economc model where the dependent varable s a functon of K explanatory varables. The economc model has the form: y = f ( x,x,..., ) xk Approxmate ths by

More information

Correlation and Regression. Correlation 9.1. Correlation. Chapter 9

Correlation and Regression. Correlation 9.1. Correlation. Chapter 9 Chapter 9 Correlaton and Regresson 9. Correlaton Correlaton A correlaton s a relatonshp between two varables. The data can be represented b the ordered pars (, ) where s the ndependent (or eplanator) varable,

More information

Dr. Shalabh Department of Mathematics and Statistics Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur

Dr. Shalabh Department of Mathematics and Statistics Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur Analyss of Varance and Desgn of Experment-I MODULE VII LECTURE - 3 ANALYSIS OF COVARIANCE Dr Shalabh Department of Mathematcs and Statstcs Indan Insttute of Technology Kanpur Any scentfc experment s performed

More information

ECONOMICS 351*-A Mid-Term Exam -- Fall Term 2000 Page 1 of 13 pages. QUEEN'S UNIVERSITY AT KINGSTON Department of Economics

ECONOMICS 351*-A Mid-Term Exam -- Fall Term 2000 Page 1 of 13 pages. QUEEN'S UNIVERSITY AT KINGSTON Department of Economics ECOOMICS 35*-A Md-Term Exam -- Fall Term 000 Page of 3 pages QUEE'S UIVERSITY AT KIGSTO Department of Economcs ECOOMICS 35* - Secton A Introductory Econometrcs Fall Term 000 MID-TERM EAM ASWERS MG Abbott

More information

Economics 130. Lecture 4 Simple Linear Regression Continued

Economics 130. Lecture 4 Simple Linear Regression Continued Economcs 130 Lecture 4 Contnued Readngs for Week 4 Text, Chapter and 3. We contnue wth addressng our second ssue + add n how we evaluate these relatonshps: Where do we get data to do ths analyss? How do

More information

Chapter 5 Multilevel Models

Chapter 5 Multilevel Models Chapter 5 Multlevel Models 5.1 Cross-sectonal multlevel models 5.1.1 Two-level models 5.1.2 Multple level models 5.1.3 Multple level modelng n other felds 5.2 Longtudnal multlevel models 5.2.1 Two-level

More information

/ n ) are compared. The logic is: if the two

/ n ) are compared. The logic is: if the two STAT C141, Sprng 2005 Lecture 13 Two sample tests One sample tests: examples of goodness of ft tests, where we are testng whether our data supports predctons. Two sample tests: called as tests of ndependence

More information

β0 + β1xi. You are interested in estimating the unknown parameters β

β0 + β1xi. You are interested in estimating the unknown parameters β Ordnary Least Squares (OLS): Smple Lnear Regresson (SLR) Analytcs The SLR Setup Sample Statstcs Ordnary Least Squares (OLS): FOCs and SOCs Back to OLS and Sample Statstcs Predctons (and Resduals) wth OLS

More information

Y = β 0 + β 1 X 1 + β 2 X β k X k + ε

Y = β 0 + β 1 X 1 + β 2 X β k X k + ε Chapter 3 Secton 3.1 Model Assumptons: Multple Regresson Model Predcton Equaton Std. Devaton of Error Correlaton Matrx Smple Lnear Regresson: 1.) Lnearty.) Constant Varance 3.) Independent Errors 4.) Normalty

More information

a. (All your answers should be in the letter!

a. (All your answers should be in the letter! Econ 301 Blkent Unversty Taskn Econometrcs Department of Economcs Md Term Exam I November 8, 015 Name For each hypothess testng n the exam complete the followng steps: Indcate the test statstc, ts crtcal

More information

Chapter 15 - Multiple Regression

Chapter 15 - Multiple Regression Chapter - Multple Regresson Chapter - Multple Regresson Multple Regresson Model The equaton that descrbes how the dependent varable y s related to the ndependent varables x, x,... x p and an error term

More information

Basically, if you have a dummy dependent variable you will be estimating a probability.

Basically, if you have a dummy dependent variable you will be estimating a probability. ECON 497: Lecture Notes 13 Page 1 of 1 Metropoltan State Unversty ECON 497: Research and Forecastng Lecture Notes 13 Dummy Dependent Varable Technques Studenmund Chapter 13 Bascally, f you have a dummy

More information

Resource Allocation and Decision Analysis (ECON 8010) Spring 2014 Foundations of Regression Analysis

Resource Allocation and Decision Analysis (ECON 8010) Spring 2014 Foundations of Regression Analysis Resource Allocaton and Decson Analss (ECON 800) Sprng 04 Foundatons of Regresson Analss Readng: Regresson Analss (ECON 800 Coursepak, Page 3) Defntons and Concepts: Regresson Analss statstcal technques

More information

LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS. MODULE IX Lecture Multicollinearity

LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS. MODULE IX Lecture Multicollinearity LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS MODULE IX Lecture - 30 Multcollnearty Dr. Shalabh Department of Mathematcs and Statstcs Indan Insttute of Technology Kanpur 2 Remedes for multcollnearty Varous technques have

More information

Basic Business Statistics, 10/e

Basic Business Statistics, 10/e Chapter 13 13-1 Basc Busness Statstcs 11 th Edton Chapter 13 Smple Lnear Regresson Basc Busness Statstcs, 11e 009 Prentce-Hall, Inc. Chap 13-1 Learnng Objectves In ths chapter, you learn: How to use regresson

More information

Predictive Analytics : QM901.1x Prof U Dinesh Kumar, IIMB. All Rights Reserved, Indian Institute of Management Bangalore

Predictive Analytics : QM901.1x Prof U Dinesh Kumar, IIMB. All Rights Reserved, Indian Institute of Management Bangalore Sesson Outlne Introducton to classfcaton problems and dscrete choce models. Introducton to Logstcs Regresson. Logstc functon and Logt functon. Maxmum Lkelhood Estmator (MLE) for estmaton of LR parameters.

More information

LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS. MODULE VIII Lecture Indicator Variables

LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS. MODULE VIII Lecture Indicator Variables LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS MODULE VIII Lecture - 7 Indcator Varables Dr. Shalabh Department of Maematcs and Statstcs Indan Insttute of Technology Kanpur Indcator varables versus quanttatve explanatory

More information

Chapter 12 Analysis of Covariance

Chapter 12 Analysis of Covariance Chapter Analyss of Covarance Any scentfc experment s performed to know somethng that s unknown about a group of treatments and to test certan hypothess about the correspondng treatment effect When varablty

More information

BIO Lab 2: TWO-LEVEL NORMAL MODELS with school children popularity data

BIO Lab 2: TWO-LEVEL NORMAL MODELS with school children popularity data Lab : TWO-LEVEL NORMAL MODELS wth school chldren popularty data Purpose: Introduce basc two-level models for normally dstrbuted responses usng STATA. In partcular, we dscuss Random ntercept models wthout

More information

2016 Wiley. Study Session 2: Ethical and Professional Standards Application

2016 Wiley. Study Session 2: Ethical and Professional Standards Application 6 Wley Study Sesson : Ethcal and Professonal Standards Applcaton LESSON : CORRECTION ANALYSIS Readng 9: Correlaton and Regresson LOS 9a: Calculate and nterpret a sample covarance and a sample correlaton

More information

Statistics MINITAB - Lab 2

Statistics MINITAB - Lab 2 Statstcs 20080 MINITAB - Lab 2 1. Smple Lnear Regresson In smple lnear regresson we attempt to model a lnear relatonshp between two varables wth a straght lne and make statstcal nferences concernng that

More information

Scatter Plot x

Scatter Plot x Construct a scatter plot usng excel for the gven data. Determne whether there s a postve lnear correlaton, negatve lnear correlaton, or no lnear correlaton. Complete the table and fnd the correlaton coeffcent

More information

Chapter 15 Student Lecture Notes 15-1

Chapter 15 Student Lecture Notes 15-1 Chapter 15 Student Lecture Notes 15-1 Basc Busness Statstcs (9 th Edton) Chapter 15 Multple Regresson Model Buldng 004 Prentce-Hall, Inc. Chap 15-1 Chapter Topcs The Quadratc Regresson Model Usng Transformatons

More information

Chapter 9: Statistical Inference and the Relationship between Two Variables

Chapter 9: Statistical Inference and the Relationship between Two Variables Chapter 9: Statstcal Inference and the Relatonshp between Two Varables Key Words The Regresson Model The Sample Regresson Equaton The Pearson Correlaton Coeffcent Learnng Outcomes After studyng ths chapter,

More information

Department of Statistics University of Toronto STA305H1S / 1004 HS Design and Analysis of Experiments Term Test - Winter Solution

Department of Statistics University of Toronto STA305H1S / 1004 HS Design and Analysis of Experiments Term Test - Winter Solution Department of Statstcs Unversty of Toronto STA35HS / HS Desgn and Analyss of Experments Term Test - Wnter - Soluton February, Last Name: Frst Name: Student Number: Instructons: Tme: hours. Ads: a non-programmable

More information

ANSWERS. Problem 1. and the moment generating function (mgf) by. defined for any real t. Use this to show that E( U) var( U)

ANSWERS. Problem 1. and the moment generating function (mgf) by. defined for any real t. Use this to show that E( U) var( U) Econ 413 Exam 13 H ANSWERS Settet er nndelt 9 deloppgaver, A,B,C, som alle anbefales å telle lkt for å gøre det ltt lettere å stå. Svar er gtt . Unfortunately, there s a prntng error n the hnt of

More information

Regression Analysis. Regression Analysis

Regression Analysis. Regression Analysis Regresson Analyss Smple Regresson Multvarate Regresson Stepwse Regresson Replcaton and Predcton Error 1 Regresson Analyss In general, we "ft" a model by mnmzng a metrc that represents the error. n mn (y

More information

Econometrics of Panel Data

Econometrics of Panel Data Econometrcs of Panel Data Jakub Mućk Meetng # 8 Jakub Mućk Econometrcs of Panel Data Meetng # 8 1 / 17 Outlne 1 Heterogenety n the slope coeffcents 2 Seemngly Unrelated Regresson (SUR) 3 Swamy s random

More information

Lecture 3 Stat102, Spring 2007

Lecture 3 Stat102, Spring 2007 Lecture 3 Stat0, Sprng 007 Chapter 3. 3.: Introducton to regresson analyss Lnear regresson as a descrptve technque The least-squares equatons Chapter 3.3 Samplng dstrbuton of b 0, b. Contnued n net lecture

More information

The Multiple Classical Linear Regression Model (CLRM): Specification and Assumptions. 1. Introduction

The Multiple Classical Linear Regression Model (CLRM): Specification and Assumptions. 1. Introduction ECONOMICS 5* -- NOTE (Summary) ECON 5* -- NOTE The Multple Classcal Lnear Regresson Model (CLRM): Specfcaton and Assumptons. Introducton CLRM stands for the Classcal Lnear Regresson Model. The CLRM s also

More information

ECON 351* -- Note 23: Tests for Coefficient Differences: Examples Introduction. Sample data: A random sample of 534 paid employees.

ECON 351* -- Note 23: Tests for Coefficient Differences: Examples Introduction. Sample data: A random sample of 534 paid employees. Model and Data ECON 35* -- NOTE 3 Tests for Coeffcent Dfferences: Examples. Introducton Sample data: A random sample of 534 pad employees. Varable defntons: W hourly wage rate of employee ; lnw the natural

More information

Lecture 6: Introduction to Linear Regression

Lecture 6: Introduction to Linear Regression Lecture 6: Introducton to Lnear Regresson An Manchakul amancha@jhsph.edu 24 Aprl 27 Lnear regresson: man dea Lnear regresson can be used to study an outcome as a lnear functon of a predctor Example: 6

More information

x = , so that calculated

x = , so that calculated Stat 4, secton Sngle Factor ANOVA notes by Tm Plachowsk n chapter 8 we conducted hypothess tests n whch we compared a sngle sample s mean or proporton to some hypotheszed value Chapter 9 expanded ths to

More information

Durban Watson for Testing the Lack-of-Fit of Polynomial Regression Models without Replications

Durban Watson for Testing the Lack-of-Fit of Polynomial Regression Models without Replications Durban Watson for Testng the Lack-of-Ft of Polynomal Regresson Models wthout Replcatons Ruba A. Alyaf, Maha A. Omar, Abdullah A. Al-Shha ralyaf@ksu.edu.sa, maomar@ksu.edu.sa, aalshha@ksu.edu.sa Department

More information

Diagnostics in Poisson Regression. Models - Residual Analysis

Diagnostics in Poisson Regression. Models - Residual Analysis Dagnostcs n Posson Regresson Models - Resdual Analyss 1 Outlne Dagnostcs n Posson Regresson Models - Resdual Analyss Example 3: Recall of Stressful Events contnued 2 Resdual Analyss Resduals represent

More information

Here is the rationale: If X and y have a strong positive relationship to one another, then ( x x) will tend to be positive when ( y y)

Here is the rationale: If X and y have a strong positive relationship to one another, then ( x x) will tend to be positive when ( y y) Secton 1.5 Correlaton In the prevous sectons, we looked at regresson and the value r was a measurement of how much of the varaton n y can be attrbuted to the lnear relatonshp between y and x. In ths secton,

More information

Module Contact: Dr Susan Long, ECO Copyright of the University of East Anglia Version 1

Module Contact: Dr Susan Long, ECO Copyright of the University of East Anglia Version 1 UNIVERSITY OF EAST ANGLIA School of Economcs Man Seres PG Examnaton 016-17 ECONOMETRIC METHODS ECO-7000A Tme allowed: hours Answer ALL FOUR Questons. Queston 1 carres a weght of 5%; Queston carres 0%;

More information

Interval Estimation in the Classical Normal Linear Regression Model. 1. Introduction

Interval Estimation in the Classical Normal Linear Regression Model. 1. Introduction ECONOMICS 35* -- NOTE 7 ECON 35* -- NOTE 7 Interval Estmaton n the Classcal Normal Lnear Regresson Model Ths note outlnes the basc elements of nterval estmaton n the Classcal Normal Lnear Regresson Model

More information

STAT 3008 Applied Regression Analysis

STAT 3008 Applied Regression Analysis STAT 3008 Appled Regresson Analyss Tutoral : Smple Lnear Regresson LAI Chun He Department of Statstcs, The Chnese Unversty of Hong Kong 1 Model Assumpton To quantfy the relatonshp between two factors,

More information

Chapter 2 - The Simple Linear Regression Model S =0. e i is a random error. S β2 β. This is a minimization problem. Solution is a calculus exercise.

Chapter 2 - The Simple Linear Regression Model S =0. e i is a random error. S β2 β. This is a minimization problem. Solution is a calculus exercise. Chapter - The Smple Lnear Regresson Model The lnear regresson equaton s: where y + = β + β e for =,..., y and are observable varables e s a random error How can an estmaton rule be constructed for the

More information

Econ107 Applied Econometrics Topic 9: Heteroskedasticity (Studenmund, Chapter 10)

Econ107 Applied Econometrics Topic 9: Heteroskedasticity (Studenmund, Chapter 10) I. Defnton and Problems Econ7 Appled Econometrcs Topc 9: Heteroskedastcty (Studenmund, Chapter ) We now relax another classcal assumpton. Ths s a problem that arses often wth cross sectons of ndvduals,

More information

1. Inference on Regression Parameters a. Finding Mean, s.d and covariance amongst estimates. 2. Confidence Intervals and Working Hotelling Bands

1. Inference on Regression Parameters a. Finding Mean, s.d and covariance amongst estimates. 2. Confidence Intervals and Working Hotelling Bands Content. Inference on Regresson Parameters a. Fndng Mean, s.d and covarance amongst estmates.. Confdence Intervals and Workng Hotellng Bands 3. Cochran s Theorem 4. General Lnear Testng 5. Measures of

More information

Systems of Equations (SUR, GMM, and 3SLS)

Systems of Equations (SUR, GMM, and 3SLS) Lecture otes on Advanced Econometrcs Takash Yamano Fall Semester 4 Lecture 4: Sstems of Equatons (SUR, MM, and 3SLS) Seemngl Unrelated Regresson (SUR) Model Consder a set of lnear equatons: $ + ɛ $ + ɛ

More information

Tests of Exclusion Restrictions on Regression Coefficients: Formulation and Interpretation

Tests of Exclusion Restrictions on Regression Coefficients: Formulation and Interpretation ECONOMICS 5* -- NOTE 6 ECON 5* -- NOTE 6 Tests of Excluson Restrctons on Regresson Coeffcents: Formulaton and Interpretaton The populaton regresson equaton (PRE) for the general multple lnear regresson

More information

Polynomial Regression Models

Polynomial Regression Models LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS MODULE XII Lecture - 6 Polynomal Regresson Models Dr. Shalabh Department of Mathematcs and Statstcs Indan Insttute of Technology Kanpur Test of sgnfcance To test the sgnfcance

More information

β0 + β1xi. You are interested in estimating the unknown parameters β

β0 + β1xi. You are interested in estimating the unknown parameters β Revsed: v3 Ordnar Least Squares (OLS): Smple Lnear Regresson (SLR) Analtcs The SLR Setup Sample Statstcs Ordnar Least Squares (OLS): FOCs and SOCs Back to OLS and Sample Statstcs Predctons (and Resduals)

More information

since [1-( 0+ 1x1i+ 2x2 i)] [ 0+ 1x1i+ assumed to be a reasonable approximation

since [1-( 0+ 1x1i+ 2x2 i)] [ 0+ 1x1i+ assumed to be a reasonable approximation Econ 388 R. Butler 204 revsons Lecture 4 Dummy Dependent Varables I. Lnear Probablty Model: the Regresson model wth a dummy varables as the dependent varable assumpton, mplcaton regular multple regresson

More information

Now we relax this assumption and allow that the error variance depends on the independent variables, i.e., heteroskedasticity

Now we relax this assumption and allow that the error variance depends on the independent variables, i.e., heteroskedasticity ECON 48 / WH Hong Heteroskedastcty. Consequences of Heteroskedastcty for OLS Assumpton MLR. 5: Homoskedastcty var ( u x ) = σ Now we relax ths assumpton and allow that the error varance depends on the

More information

NANYANG TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY SEMESTER I EXAMINATION MTH352/MH3510 Regression Analysis

NANYANG TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY SEMESTER I EXAMINATION MTH352/MH3510 Regression Analysis NANYANG TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY SEMESTER I EXAMINATION 014-015 MTH35/MH3510 Regresson Analyss December 014 TIME ALLOWED: HOURS INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES 1. Ths examnaton paper contans FOUR (4) questons

More information

See Book Chapter 11 2 nd Edition (Chapter 10 1 st Edition)

See Book Chapter 11 2 nd Edition (Chapter 10 1 st Edition) Count Data Models See Book Chapter 11 2 nd Edton (Chapter 10 1 st Edton) Count data consst of non-negatve nteger values Examples: number of drver route changes per week, the number of trp departure changes

More information

Correlation and Regression

Correlation and Regression Correlaton and Regresson otes prepared by Pamela Peterson Drake Index Basc terms and concepts... Smple regresson...5 Multple Regresson...3 Regresson termnology...0 Regresson formulas... Basc terms and

More information

Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel/SPSS Chapter 14 Multiple Regression Models

Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel/SPSS Chapter 14 Multiple Regression Models Statstcs for Managers Usng Mcrosoft Excel/SPSS Chapter 14 Multple Regresson Models 1999 Prentce-Hall, Inc. Chap. 14-1 Chapter Topcs The Multple Regresson Model Contrbuton of Indvdual Independent Varables

More information

REGRESSION ANALYSIS II- MULTICOLLINEARITY

REGRESSION ANALYSIS II- MULTICOLLINEARITY REGRESSION ANALYSIS II- MULTICOLLINEARITY QUESTION 1 Departments of Open Unversty of Cyprus A and B consst of na = 35 and nb = 30 students respectvely. The students of department A acheved an average test

More information

III. Econometric Methodology Regression Analysis

III. Econometric Methodology Regression Analysis Page Econ07 Appled Econometrcs Topc : An Overvew of Regresson Analyss (Studenmund, Chapter ) I. The Nature and Scope of Econometrcs. Lot s of defntons of econometrcs. Nobel Prze Commttee Paul Samuelson,

More information

[ ] λ λ λ. Multicollinearity. multicollinearity Ragnar Frisch (1934) perfect exact. collinearity. multicollinearity. exact

[ ] λ λ λ. Multicollinearity. multicollinearity Ragnar Frisch (1934) perfect exact. collinearity. multicollinearity. exact Multcollnearty multcollnearty Ragnar Frsch (934 perfect exact collnearty multcollnearty K exact λ λ λ K K x+ x+ + x 0 0.. λ, λ, λk 0 0.. x perfect ntercorrelated λ λ λ x+ x+ + KxK + v 0 0.. v 3 y β + β

More information

Introduction to Econometrics (3 rd Updated Edition, Global Edition) Solutions to Odd-Numbered End-of-Chapter Exercises: Chapter 13

Introduction to Econometrics (3 rd Updated Edition, Global Edition) Solutions to Odd-Numbered End-of-Chapter Exercises: Chapter 13 Introducton to Econometrcs (3 rd Updated Edton, Global Edton by James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson Solutons to Odd-Numbered End-of-Chapter Exercses: Chapter 13 (Ths verson August 17, 014 Stock/Watson -

More information

Lecture 9: Linear regression: centering, hypothesis testing, multiple covariates, and confounding

Lecture 9: Linear regression: centering, hypothesis testing, multiple covariates, and confounding Recall: man dea of lnear regresson Lecture 9: Lnear regresson: centerng, hypothess testng, multple covarates, and confoundng Sandy Eckel seckel@jhsph.edu 6 May 8 Lnear regresson can be used to study an

More information

Lecture 9: Linear regression: centering, hypothesis testing, multiple covariates, and confounding

Lecture 9: Linear regression: centering, hypothesis testing, multiple covariates, and confounding Lecture 9: Lnear regresson: centerng, hypothess testng, multple covarates, and confoundng Sandy Eckel seckel@jhsph.edu 6 May 008 Recall: man dea of lnear regresson Lnear regresson can be used to study

More information

Comparison of Regression Lines

Comparison of Regression Lines STATGRAPHICS Rev. 9/13/2013 Comparson of Regresson Lnes Summary... 1 Data Input... 3 Analyss Summary... 4 Plot of Ftted Model... 6 Condtonal Sums of Squares... 6 Analyss Optons... 7 Forecasts... 8 Confdence

More information

Chapter 14 Simple Linear Regression

Chapter 14 Simple Linear Regression Chapter 4 Smple Lnear Regresson Chapter 4 - Smple Lnear Regresson Manageral decsons often are based on the relatonshp between two or more varables. Regresson analss can be used to develop an equaton showng

More information

Negative Binomial Regression

Negative Binomial Regression STATGRAPHICS Rev. 9/16/2013 Negatve Bnomal Regresson Summary... 1 Data Input... 3 Statstcal Model... 3 Analyss Summary... 4 Analyss Optons... 7 Plot of Ftted Model... 8 Observed Versus Predcted... 10 Predctons...

More information

Chapter 11: Simple Linear Regression and Correlation

Chapter 11: Simple Linear Regression and Correlation Chapter 11: Smple Lnear Regresson and Correlaton 11-1 Emprcal Models 11-2 Smple Lnear Regresson 11-3 Propertes of the Least Squares Estmators 11-4 Hypothess Test n Smple Lnear Regresson 11-4.1 Use of t-tests

More information

18. SIMPLE LINEAR REGRESSION III

18. SIMPLE LINEAR REGRESSION III 8. SIMPLE LINEAR REGRESSION III US Domestc Beers: Calores vs. % Alcohol Ftted Values and Resduals To each observed x, there corresponds a y-value on the ftted lne, y ˆ ˆ = α + x. The are called ftted values.

More information

Midterm Examination. Regression and Forecasting Models

Midterm Examination. Regression and Forecasting Models IOMS Department Regresson and Forecastng Models Professor Wllam Greene Phone: 22.998.0876 Offce: KMC 7-90 Home page: people.stern.nyu.edu/wgreene Emal: wgreene@stern.nyu.edu Course web page: people.stern.nyu.edu/wgreene/regresson/outlne.htm

More information

STAT 405 BIOSTATISTICS (Fall 2016) Handout 15 Introduction to Logistic Regression

STAT 405 BIOSTATISTICS (Fall 2016) Handout 15 Introduction to Logistic Regression STAT 45 BIOSTATISTICS (Fall 26) Handout 5 Introducton to Logstc Regresson Ths handout covers materal found n Secton 3.7 of your text. You may also want to revew regresson technques n Chapter. In ths handout,

More information

Psychology 282 Lecture #24 Outline Regression Diagnostics: Outliers

Psychology 282 Lecture #24 Outline Regression Diagnostics: Outliers Psychology 282 Lecture #24 Outlne Regresson Dagnostcs: Outlers In an earler lecture we studed the statstcal assumptons underlyng the regresson model, ncludng the followng ponts: Formal statement of assumptons.

More information

ISQS 6348 Final Open notes, no books. Points out of 100 in parentheses. Y 1 ε 2

ISQS 6348 Final Open notes, no books. Points out of 100 in parentheses. Y 1 ε 2 ISQS 6348 Fnal Open notes, no books. Ponts out of 100 n parentheses. 1. The followng path dagram s gven: ε 1 Y 1 ε F Y 1.A. (10) Wrte down the usual model and assumptons that are mpled by ths dagram. Soluton:

More information

Simulated Power of the Discrete Cramér-von Mises Goodness-of-Fit Tests

Simulated Power of the Discrete Cramér-von Mises Goodness-of-Fit Tests Smulated of the Cramér-von Mses Goodness-of-Ft Tests Steele, M., Chaselng, J. and 3 Hurst, C. School of Mathematcal and Physcal Scences, James Cook Unversty, Australan School of Envronmental Studes, Grffth

More information

Linear Regression Analysis: Terminology and Notation

Linear Regression Analysis: Terminology and Notation ECON 35* -- Secton : Basc Concepts of Regresson Analyss (Page ) Lnear Regresson Analyss: Termnology and Notaton Consder the generc verson of the smple (two-varable) lnear regresson model. It s represented

More information

4 Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) 5 ANOVA. 5.1 Introduction. 5.2 Fixed Effects ANOVA

4 Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) 5 ANOVA. 5.1 Introduction. 5.2 Fixed Effects ANOVA 4 Analyss of Varance (ANOVA) 5 ANOVA 51 Introducton ANOVA ANOVA s a way to estmate and test the means of multple populatons We wll start wth one-way ANOVA If the populatons ncluded n the study are selected

More information

28. SIMPLE LINEAR REGRESSION III

28. SIMPLE LINEAR REGRESSION III 8. SIMPLE LINEAR REGRESSION III Ftted Values and Resduals US Domestc Beers: Calores vs. % Alcohol To each observed x, there corresponds a y-value on the ftted lne, y ˆ = βˆ + βˆ x. The are called ftted

More information

STAT 511 FINAL EXAM NAME Spring 2001

STAT 511 FINAL EXAM NAME Spring 2001 STAT 5 FINAL EXAM NAME Sprng Instructons: Ths s a closed book exam. No notes or books are allowed. ou may use a calculator but you are not allowed to store notes or formulas n the calculator. Please wrte

More information

e i is a random error

e i is a random error Chapter - The Smple Lnear Regresson Model The lnear regresson equaton s: where + β + β e for,..., and are observable varables e s a random error How can an estmaton rule be constructed for the unknown

More information

Factor models with many assets: strong factors, weak factors, and the two-pass procedure

Factor models with many assets: strong factors, weak factors, and the two-pass procedure Factor models wth many assets: strong factors, weak factors, and the two-pass procedure Stanslav Anatolyev 1 Anna Mkusheva 2 1 CERGE-EI and NES 2 MIT December 2017 Stanslav Anatolyev and Anna Mkusheva

More information

Tests of Single Linear Coefficient Restrictions: t-tests and F-tests. 1. Basic Rules. 2. Testing Single Linear Coefficient Restrictions

Tests of Single Linear Coefficient Restrictions: t-tests and F-tests. 1. Basic Rules. 2. Testing Single Linear Coefficient Restrictions ECONOMICS 35* -- NOTE ECON 35* -- NOTE Tests of Sngle Lnear Coeffcent Restrctons: t-tests and -tests Basc Rules Tests of a sngle lnear coeffcent restrcton can be performed usng ether a two-taled t-test

More information

CHAPTER 8. Exercise Solutions

CHAPTER 8. Exercise Solutions CHAPTER 8 Exercse Solutons 77 Chapter 8, Exercse Solutons, Prncples of Econometrcs, 3e 78 EXERCISE 8. When = N N N ( x x) ( x x) ( x x) = = = N = = = N N N ( x ) ( ) ( ) ( x x ) x x x x x = = = = Chapter

More information

Dr. Shalabh Department of Mathematics and Statistics Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur

Dr. Shalabh Department of Mathematics and Statistics Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur Analyss of Varance and Desgn of Experment-I MODULE VIII LECTURE - 34 ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE IN RANDOM-EFFECTS MODEL AND MIXED-EFFECTS EFFECTS MODEL Dr Shalabh Department of Mathematcs and Statstcs Indan

More information

Lecture 16 Statistical Analysis in Biomaterials Research (Part II)

Lecture 16 Statistical Analysis in Biomaterials Research (Part II) 3.051J/0.340J 1 Lecture 16 Statstcal Analyss n Bomaterals Research (Part II) C. F Dstrbuton Allows comparson of varablty of behavor between populatons usng test of hypothess: σ x = σ x amed for Brtsh statstcan

More information

Lecture 6 More on Complete Randomized Block Design (RBD)

Lecture 6 More on Complete Randomized Block Design (RBD) Lecture 6 More on Complete Randomzed Block Desgn (RBD) Multple test Multple test The multple comparsons or multple testng problem occurs when one consders a set of statstcal nferences smultaneously. For

More information

Comparison of the Population Variance Estimators. of 2-Parameter Exponential Distribution Based on. Multiple Criteria Decision Making Method

Comparison of the Population Variance Estimators. of 2-Parameter Exponential Distribution Based on. Multiple Criteria Decision Making Method Appled Mathematcal Scences, Vol. 7, 0, no. 47, 07-0 HIARI Ltd, www.m-hkar.com Comparson of the Populaton Varance Estmators of -Parameter Exponental Dstrbuton Based on Multple Crtera Decson Makng Method

More information

Introduction to Dummy Variable Regressors. 1. An Example of Dummy Variable Regressors

Introduction to Dummy Variable Regressors. 1. An Example of Dummy Variable Regressors ECONOMICS 5* -- Introducton to Dummy Varable Regressors ECON 5* -- Introducton to NOTE Introducton to Dummy Varable Regressors. An Example of Dummy Varable Regressors A model of North Amercan car prces

More information

Primer on High-Order Moment Estimators

Primer on High-Order Moment Estimators Prmer on Hgh-Order Moment Estmators Ton M. Whted July 2007 The Errors-n-Varables Model We wll start wth the classcal EIV for one msmeasured regressor. The general case s n Erckson and Whted Econometrc

More information

This column is a continuation of our previous column

This column is a continuation of our previous column Comparson of Goodness of Ft Statstcs for Lnear Regresson, Part II The authors contnue ther dscusson of the correlaton coeffcent n developng a calbraton for quanttatve analyss. Jerome Workman Jr. and Howard

More information