Exponential Growth and Decay
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1 Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May 2012 Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
2 On Monday we discussed population growth, and saw that it behaved like compound interest in how it grows. In particular, we saw that population growing at a constant rate r satisfies the equation P = P 0 e rt for the population t years after some initial time, where P 0 is the population at that time. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
3 On Monday we discussed population growth, and saw that it behaved like compound interest in how it grows. In particular, we saw that population growing at a constant rate r satisfies the equation P = P 0 e rt for the population t years after some initial time, where P 0 is the population at that time. The number e is called the base of the natural logarithm. Its value is approximately e = 2.7. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
4 Today we ll discuss another example, radioactive decay. The mathematics is similar, but with one difference. While money in your savings account grows, and population (generally) grows over time, the amount of a radioactive substance decreases over time. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
5 Today we ll discuss another example, radioactive decay. The mathematics is similar, but with one difference. While money in your savings account grows, and population (generally) grows over time, the amount of a radioactive substance decreases over time. We ll also see how exponential growth and decay applies to Google maps. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
6 Radioactive Decay Suppose you have a radioactive substance, such as Plutonium or Uranium. It decays into other substances. The amount that decays in a given time is proportional to the amount of the substance. The amount is then governed by the equation P 0 e rt where P 0 is the amount at a given time, r is the decay rate, and t is the amount of time past the initial time. Because the amount is decreasing rather than increasing, the minus sign shows up in the formula. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
7 Half Life The value of the decay rate tends to be a very small number, and not so convenient to remember. Instead, the amount of decay for a substance is usually determined by its half life. This is the length of time it takes for the substance to decay to half of its original amount. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
8 Half Life The value of the decay rate tends to be a very small number, and not so convenient to remember. Instead, the amount of decay for a substance is usually determined by its half life. This is the length of time it takes for the substance to decay to half of its original amount. Just like money gathering compound interest doubles in a fixed amount of time, regardless of how much is deposited, the amount of time it takes for a given substance to decay to half is the same regardless of how much of the substance you have. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
9 Clicker Question If a substance has a half life of 5,000 years, and you have an amount of it, after 10,000 years, how much of the original amount is remaining? A All B Half C A quarter D None E I don t know Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
10 Answer After 5,000 years the amount reduces to half. After another 5,000 years the amount reduces to half of that, or half of a half. So, there is a quarter remaining. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
11 Answer After 5,000 years the amount reduces to half. After another 5,000 years the amount reduces to half of that, or half of a half. So, there is a quarter remaining. For example, if we started with 1 lb. of the substance, after 5,000 years we d have 0.5 lbs. After another 5,000 years we d have half of that, or = 0.25 lbs., or a quarter of what we started with. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
12 The radioactive substance Uranium-238 has a half life of about 4.5 billion years. The corresponding decay rate r is r = which indicates why it is not so convenient to work with r. An unstable form of Carbon, Carbon-14, has a half life of about 5720 years. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
13 The radioactive substance Uranium-238 has a half life of about 4.5 billion years. The corresponding decay rate r is r = which indicates why it is not so convenient to work with r. An unstable form of Carbon, Carbon-14, has a half life of about 5720 years. Because of the long half life of many dangerous substances produced in nuclear reactors, storing radioactive material is a difficult problem. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
14 If T is the half life of a substance, then the decay rate is related to T by P 0 e rt = 1 2 P 0 Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
15 If T is the half life of a substance, then the decay rate is related to T by P 0 e rt = 1 2 P 0 or e rt = 1 2 Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
16 If T is the half life of a substance, then the decay rate is related to T by P 0 e rt = 1 2 P 0 or e rt = 1 2 Taking logarithms gives the equation rt = ln(1/2) So, we can find r by dividing by the half life T, getting r = ln(1/2) T = ln(2) T A property of logarithms allows us to simplify as we did in the last step. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
17 Half Life Formula To summarize, the decay rate r is related to the half life time by the formula r = ln(2) half life Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
18 Carbon Dating In living things the ratio of ordinary Carbon (Carbon-12) to Carbon-14 is fixed. Upon death the Carbon-14 decays while ordinary Carbon does not. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
19 Carbon Dating In living things the ratio of ordinary Carbon (Carbon-12) to Carbon-14 is fixed. Upon death the Carbon-14 decays while ordinary Carbon does not. By measuring the amount of Carbon-12 to Carbon-14, the age of the object can be approximated. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
20 Determining the Age of the Dead Sea Scrolls In 1990 a tiny piece of paper taken from the Dead Sea scrolls, believed to date back to the first century, A.D., was found to have 79% of the original Carbon-14 content remaining. We can use this information to approximate the age of the scrolls. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
21 Determining the Age of the Dead Sea Scrolls In 1990 a tiny piece of paper taken from the Dead Sea scrolls, believed to date back to the first century, A.D., was found to have 79% of the original Carbon-14 content remaining. We can use this information to approximate the age of the scrolls. The scrolls were written on parchment and on papyrus. Parchment was made from animal skin and papyrus from the papyrus plant. In both cases it was made from a living substance. Carbon dating then dates how long the living thing has been dead. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
22 Determining the Age of the Dead Sea Scrolls In 1990 a tiny piece of paper taken from the Dead Sea scrolls, believed to date back to the first century, A.D., was found to have 79% of the original Carbon-14 content remaining. We can use this information to approximate the age of the scrolls. The scrolls were written on parchment and on papyrus. Parchment was made from animal skin and papyrus from the papyrus plant. In both cases it was made from a living substance. Carbon dating then dates how long the living thing has been dead. Since it is unlikely the animal skin was around for hundreds of years before being turned into parchment, or the papyrus harvested long before used, the length of time since death is a good approximation for when the scrolls were written. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
23 If r is the decay rate for Carbon-14, then to date the Dead Sea Scrolls we d like to solve for the time t satisfying P 0 e rt =.79 P 0 since t is the amount of time that allows a substance to have 79% of its Carbon-14 remaining, the case for the scrolls. If we divide by the (unknown) initial amount P 0 of Carbon-14, we get Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
24 If r is the decay rate for Carbon-14, then to date the Dead Sea Scrolls we d like to solve for the time t satisfying P 0 e rt =.79 P 0 since t is the amount of time that allows a substance to have 79% of its Carbon-14 remaining, the case for the scrolls. If we divide by the (unknown) initial amount P 0 of Carbon-14, we get Taking logarithms, we get e rt =.79 t = ln(.79) r = 1945 This calculation indicates the scrolls were written around the 1st century, A.D. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
25 Another Example By measuring the Uranium-238 content of some moon rocks, it was found that there was 70% of the original amount of Uranium-238 remains today. We can use this to approximate the age of the rocks. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
26 Another Example By measuring the Uranium-238 content of some moon rocks, it was found that there was 70% of the original amount of Uranium-238 remains today. We can use this to approximate the age of the rocks. The only difference between this calculation and the previous one is in the value of the decay rate r and the percentage remaining. Here we have r = ln(2) 4.5 billion Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
27 Another Example By measuring the Uranium-238 content of some moon rocks, it was found that there was 70% of the original amount of Uranium-238 remains today. We can use this to approximate the age of the rocks. The only difference between this calculation and the previous one is in the value of the decay rate r and the percentage remaining. Here we have r = ln(2) 4.5 billion The age t of the rocks we can approximate by the formula t = ln(0.70) r = ln(0.70) 4.5 billion ln(2) = 2.3 billion years Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
28 Newton s Law of Cooling If you remove a loaf of bread from an oven, the temperature of the loaf will drop in a similar way to the way a radioactive substance decays. Newton s law of cooling (discovered by Isaac Newton), says that if T 0 is the initial temperature of the bread upon removing from the oven, and if T room is the room temperature, then after t hours, the temperature T is given by the formula Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
29 Newton s Law of Cooling If you remove a loaf of bread from an oven, the temperature of the loaf will drop in a similar way to the way a radioactive substance decays. Newton s law of cooling (discovered by Isaac Newton), says that if T 0 is the initial temperature of the bread upon removing from the oven, and if T room is the room temperature, then after t hours, the temperature T is given by the formula T = T room + (T 0 T room ) e rt where r represents the cooling rate of the loaf of bread. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
30 Newton s Law of Cooling If you remove a loaf of bread from an oven, the temperature of the loaf will drop in a similar way to the way a radioactive substance decays. Newton s law of cooling (discovered by Isaac Newton), says that if T 0 is the initial temperature of the bread upon removing from the oven, and if T room is the room temperature, then after t hours, the temperature T is given by the formula T = T room + (T 0 T room ) e rt where r represents the cooling rate of the loaf of bread. The rate depends on factors such as density and composition of the loaf of bread. In order to be able to calculate with this formula, we need to know the room temperature, and the temperature of the bread at two different times. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
31 Time of Death Determination A primary application of Newton s law of cooling is determining time of death. By measuring the temperature of the body at two different times, then the time of death can be approximated. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
32 Time of Death Determination A primary application of Newton s law of cooling is determining time of death. By measuring the temperature of the body at two different times, then the time of death can be approximated. For example, suppose the temperature of a dead body is measured at 8:00 a.m. and at 9:00 a.m. The temperatures are 97.1 and 96.8, respectively. If the room where the body lies is around 65, approximately how long ago did the person die? Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
33 We can set our initial time to be 8:00 a.m., so our initial temperature is Our room temperature is 65. Our equation simplifies a little to T = 65 + ( ) e rt = e rt Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
34 When t = 1, we are at 9:00 a.m., and T = So, or 96.8 = e r 31.8 = 32.1 e r This allows us to calculate r, getting ( ) 31.8 r = ln = Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
35 A typical assumption is that, when a person dies, their body temperature is We then want to find the time where T = In other words, we want to find t where 98.6 = e rt Going through the algebra will give t = 4.9. The negative value means the time of death is before our initial time, which makes sense. In other words, the person died about 5 hours before 8:00 a.m., or around 3:00 a.m. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
36 Google Zooming Why can you start with a Google map of the earth, or a county, and zoom in on a city or neighborhood so quickly? Let s investigate this. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
37 Google Zooming Why can you start with a Google map of the earth, or a county, and zoom in on a city or neighborhood so quickly? Let s investigate this. We ll look at the scale indicator on a google map. Going to maps.google.com will give a map of the U.S. The scale is approximately 1 inch equals 500 miles (at least on my computer). Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
38 Google Zooming Why can you start with a Google map of the earth, or a county, and zoom in on a city or neighborhood so quickly? Let s investigate this. We ll look at the scale indicator on a google map. Going to maps.google.com will give a map of the U.S. The scale is approximately 1 inch equals 500 miles (at least on my computer). We can zoom in or out by using the zoom bar, or clicking on the + or signs at the top and bottom, respectively, of the zoom bar. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
39 Google Zooming Why can you start with a Google map of the earth, or a county, and zoom in on a city or neighborhood so quickly? Let s investigate this. We ll look at the scale indicator on a google map. Going to maps.google.com will give a map of the U.S. The scale is approximately 1 inch equals 500 miles (at least on my computer). We can zoom in or out by using the zoom bar, or clicking on the + or signs at the top and bottom, respectively, of the zoom bar. Each click on the Google + sign for zooming approximately halves the scale. That is, if one inch represents 500 miles, clicking on the plus sign once changes the scale to 1 inch represents 250 miles. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
40 A Question If you have a map of the U.S., how many clicks do you need for NMSU to take up most of the screen? Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
41 A Question If you have a map of the U.S., how many clicks do you need for NMSU to take up most of the screen? The U.S. is about 3,000 miles wide. The distance across NMSU, from El Paso to I25 along Stewart Avenue is about 1.5 miles. The distance across the U.S. is then about the distance across NMSU = 2000 times Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
42 The number of clicks on + or on the Google map amounts to the number of times we double or half the map scale. To change the scale by a factor of 2000, we effectively are asking for which n is 2 n = By using logarithms, we ll get which is about 11. n = ln(2000) ln(2) Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
43 The number of clicks on + or on the Google map amounts to the number of times we double or half the map scale. To change the scale by a factor of 2000, we effectively are asking for which n is 2 n = By using logarithms, we ll get which is about 11. n = ln(2000) ln(2) So, it takes 11 clicks of the Google + to magnify to have NMSU show up as big as the U.S. looked originally. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
44 Scale Here is a two-minute YouTube video showing the effect of exponential growth by relating it to sizes of astronomical objects. Video of sizes of planets, stars, and galaxies. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
45 Scale Here is a two-minute YouTube video showing the effect of exponential growth by relating it to sizes of astronomical objects. Video of sizes of planets, stars, and galaxies. Here is a website that shows both very large and very small objects, reflecting how quickly sizes can change which grow exponentially. htwins.net/scale2 Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
46 Next Time We ll end the semester by identifying some mathematical and scientific ideas that show up in an episode of the Simpsons. During the episode Treehouse of Horror VI, one of the segment involves Homer getting trapped in the third dimension. We ll discuss briefly the ideas and then watch the relevant segment to see how the writers brought in those ideas. Exponential Growth and Decay 2 May /24
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