Deviation inequalities for martingales with applications

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Deviation inequalities for martingales with applications"

Transcription

1 Deviation inequalities for martingales with applications Xiequan Fan,a,b, Ion Grama c, Quansheng Liu,c a Center for Applied Mathematics, Tianjin University, Tianjin , China b Regularity Team, Inria, France c Université de Bretagne-Sud, LMBA, UMR CNRS 6205, Campus de Tohannic, 5607 Vannes, France Abstract Using changes of probability measure developed by Grama and Haeusler Stochastic Process. Appl., 2000, we extend the deviation inequalities of Lanzinger and Stadtmüller Stochastic Process. Appl., 2000 and Fuk and Nagaev Theory Probab. Appl., 97 to the case of martingales. Our inequalities recover the best possible decaying rate in the independent case. In particular, these inequalities improve the results of Lesigne and Volný Stochastic Process. Appl., 200 under a stronger condition that the martingale differences have bounded conditional moments. Applications to linear regressions with martingale difference innovations, weak invariance principles for martingales and self-normalized deviations are provided. In particular, we establish a type of self-normalized deviation bounds for parameter estimation of linear regressions. Such type bounds have the advantage that they do not depend on the distribution of the regression random variables. Keywords: Large deviations; Martingales; Deviation inequalities; Linear regressions; Weak invariance principles; Self-normalized deviations 2000 MSC: Primary 60G42, 60E5, 60F0; Secondary 62J05, 60F7.. Introduction Assume that ξ i i is a sequence of centered random variables. Denote by S n = n i= ξ i the partial sums of ξ i i. If ξ i i are independent and identically distributed i.i.d. and satisfy the following subexponential condition: for a constant α 0,, K α := E[ξ 2 expξ + α <,. where x + = maxx,0, Lanzinger and Stadtmüller [26 have obtained the following subexponential inequality: for any x,y > 0, P S n x exp x y α nk α + n E[expξ + 2xy α e yα α..2 Corresponding authors. fanxiequan@hotmail.com X. Fan, quansheng.liu@univ-ubs.fr Q. Liu. ion.grama@univ-ubs.fr I. Grama, Preprint submitted to Elsevier November 5, 206

2 In particular, by taking y = x, inequality.2 implies that for any x > 0, lim sup n n α logp S n nx x α.3 and P S n n = O exp cn α, n,.4 wherec > 0doesnotdependonnandcanbeanyvaluesmallerthanc 0 = supt > 0 : E[exptξ + α < see [26, Remark 3. The last two results.3 and.4 are the best possible under the present condition, since a large deviation principle LDP with good rate function x α can be obtained in situations where some more information on the tail behavior of ξ is available; see Theorem 2.3. Under the subexponential condition., more precise estimations on tail probabilities, or large deviation expansions, can be found in Nagaev [32, 33, Saulis and Statulevičius [36 and Borovkov [3, 4. Recently, the generalizations of.4 have attracted certain interest. Doukhan and Neumann [0 have established a generalization of.4 under a new concept of weak dependence which extends usual mixing assumptions. This concept is particularly well suited for deriving estimates for the cumulants of sums of random variables. For a LDP for weighted sum of i.i.d. random variables satisfying conditions similar to. we refer to Kiesel and Stadtmüller [25 and Gantert, Ramanan and Rembart [7. Ourfirstaimistogiveageneralization of.4 formartingales. Letξ i,f i i beasequenceofmartingaledifferenceswithrespecttothefiltrationf i i. UndertheCramérconditionsup i E[exp ξ i <, Lesigne andvolný [27firstproved that.4 holdswithα = /3, and that thepower /3 is optimal even for the class of stationary and ergodic sequences of martingale differences. Later, Fan, Grama and Liu [2 generalized the result of Lesigne and Volný by proving that.4 holds under the more general exponential moment condition sup i E[exp ξ i 2α α <, α 0,, and that the power α in.4 is optimal for the class of stationary sequences of martingale differences. It is obvious that the condition sup i E[exp ξ i 2α α < is much stronger than condition.. Thus, the result in [2 does not imply.4 in the i.i.d. case. To fill this gap, we consider the case of the martingale differences having bounded conditional subexponential moments. Under this assumption, we can recover the inequalities.2,.3 and.4; see Theorem 2.. Denote by ξ the essential supremum of a random variable ξ. Our first result implies that if u n := max E[ξi 2 expξ i + α F i, <, then, for any x > 0, i= P max S k x k n 2exp x 2 2u n +x 2 α..5 To illustrate the bound.5, consider the simple case where ξ i i is a sequence of i.i.d. random variables: in this case u n = On as n. It is interesting to see that when 0 x = on /2 p, our bound.5 is sub-gaussian. When x = ny with y > 0 fixed, the bound.5 is subexponential exp c y n α, where c y > 0 does not depend on n, thus recovering.4. 2

3 For martingale differences ξ i,f i i satisfying u n = on 2 α, we find an improved version of the inequality.3; see Corollary 2.2. To show the best value of the constant in.3, for i.i.d. random variables we establish large deviation principles for Sn n = n n i= ξ i and n max k ns k in Theorem 2.3. For the methods, an approach for obtaining subexponential bound is to combine the method of the tower property of conditional expectation and uniform norm. This approach has been applied in Fuk [6, Chung and Lu [5, Liu and Watbled [30 and Dedecker and Fan [6. With this approach, one can obtain inequality.2 with nk α = E[ξi 2 expξ i + α F i..6 i= However, this result is not the best possible in some cases. It turns out that with the method based on the change of probability measure for martingales from Grama and Haeusler [8 one can obtain better bounds. Using this method, we show that the inequality.2 holds with nk α = E[ξi 2 expξ+ i α F i..7 i= Such a refinement has been first proved by Freedman [4 for improving Fuk s inequality [6 for martingales, and similar analogs were established by Haeusler [9, van de Geer [38, de la Peña [8 and [. Since the latter nk α is less than the former one, i.e., E[ξi 2 expξ+ i α F i i= E[ξi 2 expξ+ i α F i, our method has certain advantage. To illustrate it, consider the following example. Assume that ε i i is a sequence of independent and unbounded random variables, and that ε i i is independent of ξ i,f i i. Assume that E[ξi F 2 i and E[ξi 2 exp ξ i α F i D i= / for a constant D and all i. Denote by ξ i = ξ n iε i k= ε2 k and F i = σε j, j i,f i, ε k, k n. Then ξ i,f i i is also a sequence of martingale differences. It is easy to see that E[ξ i 2 expξ i + α F i ε 2 i n k= ke[ξ 2 ε2 i exp ξ i α F i D, i= i= and that, by the fact that ε i i are unbounded, E[ξ i 2 expξ i + α F i ε 2 i n i F k= ke[ξ 2 i ε2 i= i= 3 i= ε 2 i n k= ε2 k = n.

4 Hence and sup n sup n E[ξ i 2 expξ i + α F i D, i= E[ξ i 2 expξ i + α F i =. i= Thus our extension.7 in the right hand-side of.2 is nontrivial, while with.6 it is infinite. Using the same method, we also generalize the following Fuk inequality for martingales cf. Corollary 3 of Fuk [6; see also Nagaev [33 for independent case: assume that E[ ξ i p F i < for some p 2 and all i [,n, then for any x > 0, P max S k x k n exp x2 + C p 2Ṽ 2 x p,.8 where Ṽ 2 := 4 p+22 e p E[ξi F 2 i and Cp := i= + 2 p p E[ ξ i p F i. i= In Corollary 2.5, we prove that.8 holds true when Ṽ 2 and C p are replaced by the following two smaller values V 2 and C p respectively, where V 2 := 4 p+22 e p E[ξi F 2 i and C p := i= + 2 p p E[ ξ i p F i. To illustrate this improvement on Fuk s inequality.8, consider thefollowing comparison between C p and C p in the case of self-normalized deviations. Assume that ε i i=,...,n is a sequence of independent, unbounded and symmetric random variables. Denote by ξ i = ε i / n k= ε k p /p, and F i = σε j,j i, ε k, k n. Then ξ i,f i i=,...,n is a sequence of martingale differences. It is easy to see that E[ ξ i p F i = i= i= i= ε i p n k= ε k p =, and that, by the fact that ε i i=,...,n are unbounded, E[ ξ i p F i = ε i p n k= ε k p = n. i= i= Hence C p is of order O while C p is of order On, which implies a significant improvement on Fuk s inequality.8. Under the condition that ξ i,f i i satisfy sup i E[ ξ i p < for a p 2, Lesigne and Volný [27 proved that P S n n = O n p/2, n..9 4

5 Under a stronger condition on the conditional moments, we obtain an improvement on the inequality of Lesigne and Volný.9. Assume either or sup i E[ ξ i p+δ < and sup E[ξi F i < i sup E[ ξ i p F i < i for two positive constants δ and p 2 do not depend on n. Then we have for any α 2,, P max S k n α = O k n n αp, n..0 Since p p/2 for p 2, it follows that.0 is an improvement of.9. We refer to our Theorem 2.6 and Corollary 2.5 where we give more precise bounds. From Theorem 4. of Hao and Liu [22 it follows that.0 is close to the optimal. For necessary and sufficient conditions to have.0 we refer to [22. The paper is organized as follows. We present our main results in Section 2, and discuss the applications to linear regressions with martingale difference innovations, weak invariance principles for martingales and self-normalized deviations in Section 3. The proofs of theorems are given in Sections Main results Assume that we are given a sequence of real-valued martingale differences ξ i,f i i=0,...,n defined on some probability space Ω,F,P, where ξ 0 = 0 and,ω = F 0... F n F are increasing σ-fields. So, by definition, E[ξ i F i = 0, i =,...,n. Define the martingale S := S k,f k k=0,...,n by setting S 0 = 0 and S k = ξ i, k =,...,n. 2. i= Denote by S the quadratic characteristic of the martingale S : S 0 = 0 and S k = E[ξi F 2 i, k =,...,n. 2.2 i= For any α 0,, set ΥS k = E[ξi 2 expξ+ i α F i, k [,n. 2.3 i= Our first result is a subexponential inequality on tail probabilities for martingales. A similar inequality for separately Lipschitz functionals has been obtained recently by Dedecker and Fan [6. 5

6 Theorem 2.. Assume exp C n := for some α 0,. Then for all x,u > 0, P S k x and ΥS k u for some k [,n x2 x 2/ α +C n exp 2u u exp It is obvious that E[ξi 2 expξ i + α < 2.4 i= x α u 2x 2 α u α/ α x +C n x x 2 exp α C n = E[ΥS n ΥS n. if 0 x < u /2 α if x u /2 α. Hence, when u max ΥS n,, from 2.5 we get the following rough bounds 2exp x2 if 0 x < u /2 α P max S 2u k x k n 2exp xα if x u /2 α x 2 2exp 2u+x 2 α. 2.7 Thus for moderate x 0,u /2 α, the bound 2.5 is sub-gaussian. For x u /2 α, the bound 2.5 is subexponential of the order exp 2 xα x. Moreover, when, by 2.5, this order u /2 α can be improved to exp εx α, for any given small ε > 0. For any α 0, and k [,n, set ΥS k = E[ξi 2 exp ξ i α F i. i= Since ΥS k ΥS k, it is obvious that 2.5 is also an upper bound on the tail probabilities P ±S k x and ΥS k u for some k [,n. Moreover, if ΥS n u, then 2.5 is an upper bound on tail probabilities of the maxima and minima of the partial sums Pmax k n S k x and P min k n S k x. When ξ i i are i.i.d. random variables, we have C n = ΥS n = c 0 n with c 0 = E[ξ 2expξ+ α. In this case, inequality 2.6 implies the following large deviation bound: for any x > 0 and n sufficiently large, P max S k nx k n 2.5 2exp c x n α 2.8 6

7 with c x = xα 2. In fact, the constant c x in 2.8 is close to x α, as shown by the following large deviation bound for martingales, which is a consequence of Theorem 2.. Corollary 2.2. Assume condition 2.4, for some α 0,. If ΥS n = on 2 α, n, 2.9 then for any x 0, lim sup n n α logp n max S k x k n x α. 2.0 The bound 2.0 cannot be improved under condition 2.9. This is shown by the following large deviation principles on Sn n = n n i= ξ i and n max k ns k which hold true for i.i.d. random variables ξ i i with subexponential tails. Theorem 2.3. Consider an i.i.d. sequence ξ i i with E[ξ = 0. i If E[ξ 2 < and for some constants α 0, and c > 0, then for all x > 0, lim n n α logp lim x n max S k x k n ii If for some constant α 0, and c > 0, then for all x > 0, lim n n α logp lim x n max S k x k n x α logp ξ x = c, 2. = lim n n α logp Sn n x = cx α. 2.2 x α logp ξ x = c, 2.3 = lim n n α logp Sn n x = cx α 2.4 and lim n n α logp n min S k x k n = lim n n α logp Sn n x = cx α. 2.5 In the special case where ξ has a density px satisfying px exp x α as x, the asymptotic 2.2 for P S nn x follows from Theorem 3 in Nagaev [32 we also refer to Gantert, Ramanan and Rembart [7 for related results. Notice that condition 2.3 is weaker than that used in [32. Since the rate function x cx α is continuous and strictly increasing on R + = [0,, by Lemma 4.4 in Huang and Liu [23 we can reformulate the results of the previous theorem as large deviation 7

8 principles the proof therein was given for two sided tails but it can be easily adapted to one sided tails. We give the details below. From part i of the previous theorem it follows that, if E[ξ 2 < and 2. holds, then Sn n and n max k ns k verify a LDP with norming factor /n α and rate function x x α on R + : for any Borel set B R +, we have inf = liminf x B 0cxα n n α logp Sn n B limsup n n α logp Sn n B = inf cx α, 2.6 x B where B 0 and B denote the interior and the closure of B respectively; moreover the result 2.6 remains true when S n is replaced by max k n S k. From part ii it follows that, if 2.3 holds, then Sn n and n max k ns k verify a LDP with norming factor /n α and rate function x x α on R =,, that is 2.6 holds for any Borel set B R. Now we consider the case when the martingale differences ξ i,f i i=0,...,n have absolute moments of order p 2. For any p > 2 denote ΞS k = E[ξ i + p F i, i= k [,n. We prove the following inequality, which is similar to the results of Haeusler [9 and [. Theorem 2.4. Let p 2. Assume E[ ξ i p < for all i [,n. Then for all x,y,v,w > 0, P S k x, S k v and ΞS k w for some k [,n exp α2 x 2 2e p +exp βx v y log + βxyp +P max w ξ i > y, 2.7 i n where α = 2 p+2 and β = α. 2.8 Setting y = βx, we obtain the following generalization of the Fuk-Nagaev inequality.8. Corollary 2.5. Let p 2. Assume E[ ξ i p F i < for all i [,n. Then for all x > 0, P max S k x exp x2 k n 2V 2 + C p x p, 2.9 where V 2 = 4 p+22 e p S n and C p = + 2 p E[ ξ i p F i p i= 8

9 It is worth noting that if sup i E[ ξ i p F i C for a constant C, then, by Jensen s inequality, it holds sup i E[ξi 2 F i C 2/p. Therefore, inequality 2.9 implies the following sub-gaussian bound: for any x = O nlogn β, n, with β satisfying β > 0 if p = 2 and β 0,/2 if p > 2, P max S k x k n = O exp C x2 n, 2.2 where C > 0 does not depend on x and n. Inequality 2.9 also implies that for any α 2, and any x > 0, P max S k > n α x k n cx = O n αp, n, 2.22 where c x > 0 does not depend on n. The asymptotic 2.22 was first obtained by Fuk [6 and it is the best possible under the stated condition even for the sums of independent random variables cf. Fuk and Nagaev [5. When the martingale differences ξ i,f i i satisfy sup i E[ ξ i p <, Lesigne and Volný [27 proved that for any x > 0, P S n > nx cx = O n p/2, n, 2.23 where c x > 0 does not depend on n, and that the order n p/2 is optimal for the class of stationary and ergodic sequences of martingale differences. When α =, equality 2.22 implies the following large deviation convergence rate: for any x > 0, P max S k > nx k n cx = O n p, n, 2.24 where c x > 0 does not depend on n. When p 2, it holds p p/2. Thus 2.24 refines the bound 2.23 under the stronger assumption that the p-th conditional moments are uniformly bounded sup i E[ ξ i p F i <. Moreover, the following proposition of Lesigne and Volný [27 shows that the estimate of 2.24 cannot be essentially improved even in the i.i.d. case. Proposition A. Let p and c n n be a real positive sequence approaching zero. There exists a sequence of i.i.d. random variables ξ i i such that E[ ξ i p <, E[ξ i = 0 and lim sup n n p c n P S n n =. When E[ ξ i 2 F i and E[ ξ i p, i =,...,n, are uniformly bounded for some p > 2, but for the same p the condition E[ ξ i p F i C may be violated for some i [,n, we have the following result. Theorem 2.6. Let p 2. Assume E[ ξ i p+δ < for a small δ > 0 and all i [,n. Then for all x,v > 0, P S k x and S k v 2 for some k [,n exp x 2 2 v x2p+δ/p+δ + [ x p E ξ i p+δ ξi >x p/p+δ i= 9

10 In particular, as a consequence of 2.25, if sup i E[ ξ i p+δ < and sup i E[ξi 2 F i <, we obtain that for any α 2, and any x > 0, P max S k n α x exp c x min np+δ,n αδ 2α + C/xp k n n αp cx = O n αp, n, 2.26 where c x > 0 does not depend on n. Note that 2.22 and2.26 have the same convergence rate. To highlight the difference between the conditionsunderwhichweobtain2.22and2.26, noticethattheassumptionsup i E[ ξ i p F i < has been replaced by the two assumptions sup i E[ ξ i p+δ < and sup i E[ξ 2 i F i <. It is obvious that the two assumptions sup i E[ ξ i p F i < and sup i E[ ξ i p+δ < do not imply each other. Therefore Corollary 2.5 and Theorem 2.6 do not imply each other. Actually, Hao and Liu [22, Theorem 4. gave necessary and sufficient conditions for 2.26 to hold, in particular from their result it follows that 2.26 holds under the weaker conditions sup i E[ ξ i p < and sup i E[ξ 2 i F i < and the exponent in 2.26 is optimal. The following corollary of Theorem 2.6 is obvious. Corollary 2.7. Assume the condition of Theorem 2.6. Then for all x,v > 0, P max S x 2 k x exp k n 2nv x2p+δ/p+δ + [ x p E ξ i p+δ ξi >x p/p+δ + [ S n v p+δe p+δ/ n Moreover, i= [ S n E p+δ/2 n n E[ ξ i p+δ Inequality 2.28 implies that if sup i E[ ξ i p < for a p 2, then E[ S n /n p/2 are uniformly bounded for all n. Compared to Theorem 2.6, Corollary 2.7 is simpler, since it only requires the moment of S n instead of bounding S n uniformly in n. Assume sup i E[ ξ i p+δ < for same p 2 without any condition on S n. Applying 2.28 to 2.27 with nv 2 = 2 3 x2p+δ/p+δ, we obtain for all x,v > 0, P max S k x k n exp The last inequality shows that for any x > 0, P max S k n k n i= 2 xδ/p+δ + nc 3n x p + 2 p+δ 2 C xp+δ/ = O n p/2, n Since δ > 0 is arbitrary small, the asymptotic 2.30 is close to the best possible large deviation convergence rate n p+δ/2 given by Lesigne and Volný [27 cf

11 3. Applications The exponential concentration inequalities for martingales have many applications. McDiarmid [3, Rio [35 and Dedecker and Fan [6 applied such type inequalities to estimate the concentration of separately Lipschhitz functions. Liu and Watbled [30 adopted these inequalities to deduce asymptotic properties of the free energy of directed polymers in a random environment. We refer to Bercu and Touati[ and[3 for more interesting applications of the concentration inequalities for martingales. In the sequel, we provide some applications of our results to linear regressions with martingale difference innovations, weak invariance principles for martingales and self-normalized deviations. a. Linear regressions Linear regressions can be used to investigate the impact of one variable on the other, or to predict the value of one variable based on the other. For instance, if one wants to see impact of footprint size on height, or predict height according to a certain given value of footprint size. The stochastic linear regression model is given by, for all k [,n, X k = θφ k +ε k, 3. where X k k=,...,n,φ k k=,...,n and ε k k=,...,n are the observations, the regression random variables and the driven noises, respectively. We assume that φ k k=,...,n is a sequence of independent random variables, and that ε k k=,...,n is a sequence of martingale differences with respect to the natural filtration. Moreover, we suppose that φ k k=,...,n and ε k k=,...,n are independent. Our interest is to estimate the unknown parameter θ. The well-known least-squares estimator θ n is given below θ n = n k= φ kx k n. 3.2 k= φ2 k Recently, Bercu and Touati [ have obtained some very precise exponential bounds on the tail probabilities P θ n θ x. However, their precise bounds depend on the distribution of the regression random variables φ k k=,...,n, which restricts the applications of these bounds when the distributions of the regression variables are unknown. When ε k k=,...,n are independent normal random variables with a common variation σ 2 > 0, Liptser and Spokoiny [29 have established the following estimation: for all x, P ±θ n θ Σ nk= φ2k x 2 π σ x exp x2 2σ When ε k k=,...,n are conditionally sub-gaussian, similar estimation is allowed to be obtained in Liptser and Spokoiny [29. An interesting feature of bound 3.3 is a type of self-normalized deviations and the bound does not depend on the distribution of the regression random variables. Thus the selfnormalized approximation θ n θ Σ n k= φ2 k has certain advantage on the usual approximation of θ n θ. Next, we would like to consider the case that ε k k=,...,n are martingale differences. When the regression random variables are constants, such case has been considered in Section 5 of Dedecker and Merlevède [7, where the authors gave rate of convergence for the normal approximation of θ n θ in

12 terms of minimal distance. In the following theorems, we will assume that the regression variables are random. More importantly, we will consider the self-normalized approximation θ n θ Σ n k= φ2 k instead of the usual approximation of θ n θ considered in Bercu and Touati [ and Dedecker and Merlevède [7. Theorem 3.. Assume for two constants α 0, and D, [ E ε 2 ie ε i α σεj,j i D for all i [,n. Then for any u maxd, and all x > 0, 2exp P ±θ n θ Σ x2 if 0 x < u /2 α nk= φ2k x 2u 2exp xα if x u /2 α x 2 2exp 2u+x 2 α. 3.5 In particular, it holds for any x > 0, P ±θ n θ Σ n k= φ2 k nx = O exp c x n α/2, n, 3.6 where c x > 0 does not depend on n. If ε k k=,...,n have the Weibull distributions and the conditional variances are uniformly bounded, then we have the following inequality which has the same exponentially decaying rate of 3.6. Theorem 3.2. Assume for three constants α 0,, E and F, [ E σε j,j i E and E [exp ε i α α F ε 2 i for all i [,n. Then for all x > 0, P ±θ n θ Σ nk= φ2k x exp x 2 2E + +nf exp x α x2 α In particular, equality 3.6 holds. If ε k k=,...,n have finite conditional moments, by Corollary 2.5, then we have the following result. Theorem 3.3. Let p 2. Assume for a constant A, [ E ε i p σεj,j i A 2

13 for all i [,n. Then for all x > 0, P ±θ n θ Σ nk= φ2k x exp x2 2V 2 + C p x p, 3.8 where V 2 = 4 p+22 e p A 2/p and C p = + 2 p pa. 3.9 In particular, it holds for any x > 0, P ±θ n θ Σ n k= φ2 k nx cx = O n p/2, n, 3.0 where c x > 0 does not depend on n. A similar inequality can be obtained by applying the Fuk inequality.8 to the martingale difference sequence cf. 7. for the definition of ξ i,f i i=,...,n. The Fuk inequality implies that for all x > 0, P ±θ n θ Σ nk= φ2k x exp x2 2nV 2 + nc p x p, 3. where V 2 and C p are defined by 3.9. In particular, it implies that for any x > 0, P ±θ n θ Σ n k= φ2 k nx cx = O n p/2, n, 3.2 where c x > 0 does not depend on n. The order of 3.0 is much better than that of 3.2. Thus the refinement of 3.8 on 3. is significant. If ε k k=,...,n have finite moments and uniformly bounded conditional variances, by Theorem 2.6, we obtain the following result which has the same polynomially decaying rate of Theorem 3.3. Theorem 3.4. Let p 2. Assume for two constants A and B, [ [ E σε j,j i A and E ε i p+δ B ε 2 i for a small δ > 0 and all i [,n. Then for all x > 0, P ±θ n θ Σ nk= φ2k x exp x 2 2 A+ 3 x2p+δ/p+δ + B xp. 3.3 In particular, equality 3.0 holds. In the following theorem, we assume that ε i i=,...,n have only a moment of order p [,2. 3

14 Theorem 3.5. Let p [,2. Assume for a constant A, E[ ε i p A for all i [,n. Then for all x > 0, P ±θ n θ Σ nk= φ2k x 2A x p. 3.4 In particular, equality 3.0 holds. Theorems 3. and 3.5 focus on obtaining the large deviation inequalities. These inequalities do not depend on the distribution of input random variables φ k k=,...,n. Similar bounds are also expected to be obtained via the decoupling techniques of de la Peña [8 and de la Peña and Giné [9. In particular, if ε k k=,...,n are independent random variables instead of martingale differences, with the method of conditionally independent in de la Peña and Giné [9, more precise bounds, but depending on the distribution of input random variables, may be established. HaeuslerandJoos[20provedthatifthemartingaledifferencessatisfyE[ ξ i 2+δ < foraconstant δ > 0 and all i [,n, then there exists a constant C δ, depending only on δ, such that for all x R, PS [ n x Φx C δ E ξ i 2+δ +E [ S n +δ/2 /3+δ + x 2+δ, 3.5 i= where Φx = 2π x exp t2 /2dt is the standard normal distribution; see also Hall and Heyde [2 with the larger factor + x 4+δ/22 /3+δ replacing + x 2+δ. Using 3.5, we obtain the following nonuniform Berry-Esseen bound, which depends on the distribution of input random variables. Theorem 3.6. Let p > 2. Assume that ε i i=,...,n satisfy E[ε 2 i σε j,j i = σ 2 a.s. for a positive constant σ and all i [,n. Assume E[ ε i p A for a constant A and all i [,n. Then for all x R, θ P n θ Σ nk= φ2k xσ Φx C p E[ where C p is a constant depending only on A,σ and p. Notice that E[ i= φ i Σ n k= φ2 k p i= E[ i= φ i φ i Σ n k= φ2 k Σ n k= φ2 k p /+p + x p, =. Thus 3.6 implies that the tail probability P θ n θ Σ nk= φ2k x has the decaying rate x p as x, which is coincident with the inequalities 3.8 and

15 b. Weak invariance principles In this subsection, let ξ i,f i i be a sequence of martingale differences. The following rate of convergence in the central limit theorem CLT for martingale difference sequences is due to Ouchti cf. Corollary of [34. Assumethat there exists a constant M > 0 such that E[ ξ i 3 F i ME[ξi 2 F i a.s. for all i N. If the series i= E[ξ2 i F i diverges a.s. then there is a constant C M > 0, depending on M, such that sup S P vn x n Φx C M, 3.7 n/4 where x R vn = inf Define the process H n t,0 t by k N, S k n. H n t = n S vk for 0 t, for t k = k/n and k = 0,...,n and by interpolation on the interval t k,t k for k =,...,n. Then the following invariance principle holds. Theorem 3.7. Assume that there exists a constant M > 0 such that E[ ξ i 3 F i ME[ξi 2 F i a.s. for all i N. If the series i= E[ξ2 i F i diverges a.s., then the sequence of processes H n t,0 t converges in distribution to the standard Wiener process in the space D [0, endowed with the Srorokhod metric. The result can be obtained from Theorem 2 of Chapter 7 see also Theorem 2 of Chapter 5 of Liptser and Shiryaev [28. As an illustration of our Theorem 2.4, we will give a short proof of the tightness of the processes H n t,0 t which is much simpler than the proof in [28. c. Self-normalized deviation inequalities Consider the self-normalized deviations for independent random variables. Assume that ξ i i=,...,n is a sequence of independent and symmetric random variables. Denote by V n β = ξ i β /β for a constant β, 2. We have the following self-normalized deviation inequality. i= Theorem 3.8. Assume that ξ i i=,...,n is a sequence of independent and symmetric random variables. Let t 0 be a positive number such that e x t 0 x β +e x t 0 x β for a constant β,2 and all x R. Then for all x > 0, S k P max k n V n β x exp 5 Cβ,t 0 x β β, 3.9

16 where Cβ,t 0 = t 0 Remark 3.9. Let us comment on Theorem 3.8. β β β β β.. Ideally we want to make bound 3.9 as small as possible. Since Cβ,t 0 is decreasing in t 0, it is enough to choose t 0 satisfying 3.8 as small as possible for a given β, i.e., t 0 β = inf t > 0, e x t x β +e x t x β for all x R. 2 It is obvious that t 0 β = for β > 2 since for β > 2, e x t 0 x β +e x t 0 x β = 2+x 2 +ox 2, x 0. Moreover, t 0 β as β is decreasing to, t 0 β /2 as β is increasing to 2, and t 0 β for all x R and β,2. For practical purposes one can use the following table: β t For certain special cases, Jing, Liang and Zhou [24 have obtained the following self-normalized moderate deviation principle MDP result see also Shao [37 for self-normalized LDP result. Assume that Pξ i x = Pξ i x c x αh ix, x, where α 0,2, c > 0 and h i x s are slowly varying at. Under certain regularity conditions on the tail probabilities of ξ i cf. Theorem 2.3 of [24 for details, the following limit holds for x n and x n = on β /β and β > max,α, β lim n x β n logps n /V n β x n = β C α β, 3.20 where C α β is a positive constant depending on α and β. For self-normalized sums of symmetric random variables, the constant C α β is the solution of 0 2 expβx x β /C β exp βx x β /C β x +α dx = According to the MDP result of Jing, Liang and Zhou [24, the power in the right hand sides of 3.9 is the best possible for moderate x s. 3. For β,2, inequality 3.9 implies the following upper bounds of LDP lim sup n n logp S k max k n V n β xnβ β Cβ,t 0 xβ, β x 0, According to the LDP result of Shao [37, the power the best possible for large x s. β β β β in the right hand side of 3.9 is also 6

17 4. Proof of Theorem 2. To prove Theorem 2., we need the following technical lemma based on a truncation argument. Lemma 4.. Assume E[ξ 2 i exp ξ i α < for a constant α 0,. Set η i = ξ i ξi y for y > 0. Then for all λ > 0, E[e λη i F i + λ2 2 E[η2 i expλy α η + i α F i. The proof of Lemma 4. can be found in the proof of Proposition 3.5 in Dedecker and Fan [6. However, instead of using the tower property of conditional expectation as in Dedecker and Fan [6, we use changes of probability measure in the proof of this theorem. Set η i = ξ i ξi y for some y > 0. The exact value of y is given later. Then η i,f i i=,...,n is a sequence of supermartingale differences, and it holds E[expλη i < for all λ 0, and all i. Define the exponential multiplicative martingale Zλ = Z k λ,f k k=0,...,n, where Z k λ = k i= expλη i E[expλη i F i, Z 0λ =. If T is a stopping time, then Z T k λ is also a martingale, where Z T k λ = T k i= expλη i E[expλη i F i, Z 0λ =. Thus, the random variable Z T k λ is a probability density on Ω,F,P, i.e. Z T k λdp = E[Z T k λ =. Define the conjugate probability measure dp λ = Z T n λdp, 4. and denote by E λ the expectation with respect to P λ. Since ξ i = η i +ξ i ξi >y, it follows that for any x,y,u > 0, P S k x and ΥS k u for some k [,n P η i x and ΥS k u for some k [,n i= + P ξ i ξi >y > 0 for some k [,n i= =: P +P max ξ i > y. 4.2 i n 7

18 For any x,u > 0, define the stopping time Tx,u = min k [,n : with the convention that min = 0. Then, i= η i x and ΥS k u, Sk x and ΥS k u for some k [,n = Tx,u=k. By the change of measure 9.2, we deduce that for any x,λ,u > 0, where k= P = E λ [Z T n λ Sk x and ΥS k u for some k [,n = k= E λ [exp λ Ψ k λ = i= η i +Ψ k λ Tx,u=k, 4.3 loge[expλη i F i. 4.4 i= Set λ = y α. By Lemma 4. and the inequality log+t t for all t 0, it is easy to see that for any x > 0, Ψ k λ i= i= log + λ2 2 E[η2 i expλy α η i + α F i λ 2 2 E[η2 i expλy α η + i α F i 2 y2α 2 ΥS k. Using the fact that k i= η i x and Ψ k λ 2 y2α 2 u on the set Tx,u = k, we find that for any x,u > 0, P exp λx+ [ 2 y2α 2 u E λ Tx,u=k exp y α x+ 2 y2α 2 u. From 4.2, it follows that P S k x and ΥS k u for some k [,n exp y α x+ 2 y2α 2 u +P max ξ i > y. 4.5 i n 8 k=

19 By the exponential Markov inequality, we have the following estimation: for any y > 0, P max ξ i > y i n Pξ i > y i= y 2 exp yα E[ξi 2 expξ+ i α i= C n y 2 exp yα. 4.6 Taking u / α if 0 x < u /2 α y = x x if x u /2 α, from 4.5 and 4.6, we obtain the desired inequality. This completes the proof of Theorem 2.. Proof of Corollary 2.2. Set u n = ΥS n. Then u n = on 2 α,n, by the assumptions of Theorem 2.2. For any x > 0, by Theorem 2., we have P max S k nx exp nx α u n k n 2nx 2 α + C n nx 2 exp nx α nx α. + C n nx 2 exp Since u n C n, we have C n = on 2 α,n. Hence it holds lim sup n n α logp max S k nx x α. k n u n 2nx 2 α This completes the proof of Corollary 2.2. Proof of Theorem 2.3. i We suppose that c = by considering c /α ξ i instead of ξ i. Let ε 0, be fixed and consider ξ i = ξ i ε β with β > /α. By the assumption of the theorem Pξ x e εxα for x > 0 large enough, so that Pξ x e ε βα x α for x > 0 large enough, and E[ξ + 2 expξ + α = 0 Pξ x 2x+αx +α e xα dx <. Together with E[ξ 2 < this implies that c 0 := E[ξ 2 expξ + α <. Thus ΥS n := n i= E[ξ 2 expξ + α = nc 0 = on 2 α as n. Hence, from Corollary 2.2 applied to ξ i i we have for any x > 0, lim sup n n α logp ε β max S k nx k n x α, 9

20 which implies that for any x > 0, lim sup n n α logp max S k nx k n ε βα x α. Letting ε 0 we obtain for any x > 0, lim sup n n α logp max S k nx k n x α. 4.7 We now consider the lower bound. By the independence of ξ i s, it is easy to see that for any x,ε > 0, we have P max k nx k n P S n nx P i=2 i=2 ξ i nε,ξ nx+ε = P ξ i nε P ξ nx+ε. The first probability on the right-hand side converges to as n due to the law of large numbers. By 2., the second term on the right-hand side has the following lower bound α+ε P ξ nx+ε exp nx+ε for all n large enough. Hence lim inf n n α logp Sn n x x+ε α +ε. Letting ε 0, we obtain lim inf n n α logp Sn n x x α. 4.8 Combining the lower bound 4.8 with the upper bound 4.7, we get 2.2. This ends the proof of part i. ii The proof of 2.4 is similar to that of part i. The assertion 2.5 follows from 2.4 applied to ξ i i. 5. Proof of Theorem 2.4 To prove Theorem 2.4, we need the following technical lemma. 20

21 Lemma 5.. Let p 2. Assume E[ ξ i p < for all i [,n. Set η i = ξ i ξi y for y > 0. Then for all λ > 0, where the function E[e λη i F i + 2 ep λ 2 E[ξ 2 i F i +fye[ξ + i p F i, fu = eλu λu u p, u > Proof. We argue as in Fuk and Nagaev [5 see also Fuk [6. Using a two term Taylor s expansion, we have for some θ [0,, e λη i +λη i + λ2 2 η2 i ληi pe λθη i +fη i η + i p ληi >p. Remark that the function f is positive and increasing for λu p. Since E[η i F i E[ξ i F i = 0 and η i y, it follows that E[e λη i F i + 2 ep λ 2 E[η 2 i F i +fye[η + i p F i + 2 ep λ 2 E[ξ 2 i F i +fye[ξ + i p F i, which gives the desired inequality. We make use of Lemma 5. to prove Theorem 2.4. Set η i = ξ i ξi y for y > 0. Define the conjugate probability measure dp λ by 9.2 and denote by E λ the expectation with respect to P λ. Since ξ i = η i +ξ i ξi >y, it follows that for any x,y,u,w > 0, PS k > x, S k v and ΞS k w for some k [,n P η i x, S k v and ΞS k w for some k [,n i= + P ξ i ξi >y > 0 for some k [,n i= =: P 2 +P max ξ i > y. 5.2 i n For any x,v,w > 0, define the stopping time T : Tx,v,w = min k [,n : S k x, S k v and ΞS k w, with the convention that min = 0. Then Sk >x, S k v and ΞS k w for some k [,n = T=k. 2 k=

22 By the change of measure 9.2, we deduce that for any x,y,λ,u,w > 0, P 2 = E λ [Z T n λ Sk >x, S k v and ΞS k w for some k [,n = k= E λ [exp λ i= η i +Ψ k λ T=k, where Ψ k λ is defined by 4.4. By Lemma 5. and the inequality log+t t for t 0, it is easy to see that for any x,y,λ,u,w > 0, Ψ k λ i= i= log + 2 ep λ 2 E[ξi 2 F i +fye[ξ i + p F i 2 ep λ 2 E[ξi 2 F i +fye[ξ i + p F i, where fy is defined by 5.. By the fact that k i= η i x and Ψ k λ 2 ep λ 2 v +fyw on the set T = k. we find that for any x,y,λ,u,w > 0, P 2 exp λx+ [ 2 ep λ 2 v +fyw E λ T=k exp λx+ 2 ep λ 2 v +fyw. Next we carry out an argument as in Fuk and Nagaev [5. Then P 2 exp α2 x 2 2e p +exp βx v y log k= + βxyp w, 5.3 where α and β are defined by 2.8. Combining the inequalities 5.2 and 5.3 together, we obtain the desired inequality. This completes the proof of Theorem 2.4 Proof of Corollary 2.5. When y = βx, from 2.7, it is easy to see that for all x > 0, P max ξ i > y i n i= P ξ i > βx β p x p i= E[ ξ i p C p x p and exp βx y log + βxyp w w βxy p +w w β p x p C p x p, where C p is defined by Thus 2.7 implies

23 6. Proofs of Theorem 2.6 and Corollary 2.7 To prove Theorem 2.6, we need the following inequality whose proof can be found in Fan, Grama and Liu [ cf. Corollary 2.3 and Remark 2. therein. Lemma 6.. Assume E[ξi 2 < for all i [,n. Then for all x,y,v > 0, P S k x and S k v 2 for some k [,n x 2 exp 2v xy +P max ξ i > y. i n Proof of Theorem 2.6. By Lemma 6. and the Markov inequality, it follows that for all x,y,v > 0, P S k x and S k v 2 for some k [,n x 2 exp 2v xy + P ξ i > y i= x 2 exp 2v xy + [ y p+δ E ξ i p+δ ξi >y. Taking y = x p/p+δ in the last inequality, we obtain the desired inequality. This completes the proof of Theorem 2.6. Proof of Corollary 2.7. Notice that p+δ > 2. It is easy to see that for any x,v > 0, P max S k x P max S k x and S n nv 2 +P S n > nv 2 k n k n P S k x and S k nv 2 for some k [,n +P S n > nv 2 P S k x and S k nv 2 for some k [,n + E[ S n p+δ/2 n p+δ/2 v p+δ, which gives the first desired inequality. By the Hölder inequality, it follows that Hence Then we have a i n 2/p+δ 2/p+δ, a p+δ/2 i ai 0, i =,...,n. i= i= p+δ/2 a i n p 2+δ/2 i= i= E[ S n p+δ/2 n p 2+δ/2 23 i= a p+δ/2 i, a i 0, i =,...,n. i= E [E[ξi F 2 i p+δ/2

24 [ n p 2+δ/2 E E[ ξ i p+δ F i i= = n p 2+δ/2 E[ ξ i p+δ. i= This completes the proof of corollary. 7. Proofs of Theorems From 3. and 3.2, it is easy to see that θ n θ = φ k ε k Σ n k= k= φ2 k. For any i =,...,n, set φ i ε i ξ i = Σ n k= φ2 k and F i = σ φ k,ε k, k i, φ 2 k, k n. 7. Then ξ i,f i i=,...,n is a sequence of martingale differences, and satisfies S n = i= ξ i = θ n θ Σ n k= φ2 k. Proof of Theorem 3.. Notice that ΥS n φ 2 i Σ n i= k= φ2 k E[ε 2 i exp ε i α F i φ 2 i D Σ n i= k= φ2 k = D. Applying Theorem 2. to ξ i,f i i=,...,n, we find that 2.6, with u maxd,, is an upper bound on the tail probabilities P θ n θ Σ nk= φ2k x. Similarly, applying Theorem 2. to ξ i,f i i=,...,n, we find that 2.6, with u maxd,, is also an upper bound on the tail probabilities P θ n θ Σ nk= φ2k x. This completes the proof of Theorem 3.. Proof of Theorem 3.2. By the fact E[ε 2 i F i = E[ε 2 i σε k, k i E, it follows that S n i= φ 2 i Σ n k= φ2 k E[ε2 i F i E. 24

25 Similarly, by the fact E[exp ε i α α F, it is easy to see that E[exp ξ i α α E[exp εi α α F. Applying Theorem 2.2 of Fan, Grama and Liu [2 to ±ξ i,f i i=,...,n, we obtain the desired inequality. Proof of Theorem 3.3. By the fact E[ ε i p F i = E[ ε i p σε k, k i A, it follows that and S n i= φ 2 i Σ n k= φ2 k E[ε2 i F i E[ ξ i p F i i= i= i= φ 2 2/p i Σ n k= φ2 k E[ ε i p F i = A 2/p φ 2 i Σ n k= φ2 k E[ ε i p F i A. Applying Corollary 2.5 to ±ξ i,f i i=,...,n, we obtain the desired inequality. Proof of Theorem 3.4. By the fact E[ε 2 i F i = E[ε 2 i σε k, k i A, it follows that S n i= Similarly, by the fact E[ ε i p+δ B, it follows that E[ ξ i p+δ = i= φ E[ 2 i i= Σ n k= φ2 k φ 2 i Σ n k= φ2 k E[ε2 i F i A. p+δ 2 E[ ε i p+δ E [ φ 2 i Σ n i= k= φ2 k Applying Theorem 2.6 to ±ξ i,f i i=,...,n, we obtain the desired inequality. B = B. Proof of Theorem 3.5. Let p [,2. By the inequality we have E[ ξ i p = i= α a i a α i, a i 0 and α 0,, i= i= [ E i= φ 2 i p/2 Σ n k= φ2 k p/2 E[ ε i p E [ n i= φ2 i p/2 Σ n k= φ2 k p/2 By the inequality of von Bahr and Esseen cf. Theorem 2 of [39, we get E[ S n p 2 E[ ξ i p 2A. i= 25 A = A.

26 Then for all x > 0, P ±θ n θ Σ nk= φ2k x = P ±S n x E[ S n p x p 2A x p. This completes the proof of theorem. Proof of Theorem 3.6. It is obvious that θ n θ σ Σ nk= φ2k = η i, where η i = ξ i /σ. Notice that E[ε 2 i F i = E[ε 2 i σε j,j i = σ 2 a.s.. Then we have i= i= E[η 2 i F i = S n σ 2 = i= φ 2 i Σ n k= φ2 k E[ε 2 i F i σ 2 = φ 2 i Σ n i= k= φ2 k = and E[ η i p F i i= i= [ φ i E Σ n k= φ2 k p E[ ε i p F i σ p A σ p i= [ φ i E Σ n k= φ2 k p. Applying inequality 3.5 to the martingale difference sequence η i,f i i=,...,n with δ = p 2, we obtain the desired inequality. 8. Proof of tightness in Theorem 3.7 By Theorem 8.4, Chapter 3, Section 8 of Billingsley [2 see also Chapter 3, Section 6 for the convergence in the space, we only need to show that for any ε > 0, there exist a λ > and an integer n 0 such that for every n n 0, P max S i S k λ n k i k+n ε λ2. 8. Since we deduce that E[ ξ i 3 F i ME[ξ 2 i F i, This, in turn, implies that E[ξ 2 i F i 3/2 E[ ξ i 3 F i ME[ξ 2 i F i. 8.2 E[ξ 2 i F i M 2, S k+n S k nm 2 and k+n E[ ξ i 3 F i nm 3. i=k 26

27 Applying 2.7 with p = 3,x = 2y = λ n, we obtain, by 8.2, P max S i S k λ n k i k+n 2exp 2λ2 25e 3 M 2 +2exp 65 log + 3λ3 n 20M 3 + P max ξ i > k i k+n 2 λ n +P max ξ i > k i k+n 2 λ n 2exp 4λ2 3λ 3 6/5 n 50e 3 M M k+n λ 3 n 3/2 E [ ξ i 3 ε λ 2, i=k provided that λ is sufficiently large, which proves Proof of Theorem 3.8 For any i =,...,n, set η i = ξ i V n β, F 0 = σ ξ j, j n and F i = σ ξ k, k i, ξ j, j n. 9. Since ξ i i=,...,n are independent and symmetric, then E[ξ i > y F i = E[ξ i > y ξ i = E[ ξ i > y ξ i = E[ ξ i > y F i. Thus η i,f i i=,...,n is a sequence of conditionally symmetric martingale differences, i.e. E[η i > y F i = E[ η i > y F i. It is easy to see that S n V n β = η i i= is a sum of martingale differences, and that η i,f i i=,...,n satisfies E[ η i β F i = i= For any x > 0, define the stopping time T: η i β = i= i= ξ i β V n β β =. Tx = min k [,n : 27 i= η i x,

28 with the convention that min = 0. Then it follows that max k n S k /V nβ x = Tx=k. For any nonnegative number λ, define the martingale Mλ = M k λ,f k k=0,...,n, where M k λ = k i= k= expλη i E[expλη i F i, M 0λ =. SinceT is a stoppingtime, then M T k λ, λ > 0, is also a martingale. Define theconjugate probability measure P λ on Ω,F: Denote E λ the expectation with respect to P λ. Denote by Ψ k λ = i= dp λ = M T n λdp. 9.2 [ loge expλη i F i, k [,n. Using the change of probability measure 9.2, we have for all x > 0, S k P max k n V n β x [ = E λ M T n λ max k n S k /V nβ x = k= k= E λ [exp λ i= η i +Ψ k λ Tx=k E λ [exp λx+ψ k λ Tx=k, 9.3 where the last line follows by the fact that k i= η i x on the set Tx = k. Since η i,f i i=,...,n is conditionally symmetric, one has [ [ E expλη i F i = E exp λη i F i, and thus it holds [ [ E expλη i F i = E coshλη i F i. Notice that η 2 i is F i measurable, and that Thus coshx = Ψ k λ = i= k=0 2k! x2k. log coshλη i. 28

29 Let t 0 be a number such that e x t 0 x β +e x t 0 x β 2 for all x R. 9.4 Then we have and This completes the proof. Ψ k λ P max k n log e t 0 λη i β = t 0 λ β η i β t 0 λ β. i= S k V n β x inf = exp i= λx+t exp 0 λ β λ>0 Cβ,t 0 x β β. 9.5 Acknowledgements The authors would like to thank the anonymous referee for valuable comments and remarks. The work has been partially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China Grants no , no. 5046, no and no [ Bercu, B., Touati, A., Exponential inequalities for self-normalized martingales with applications. Ann. Appl. Probab. 85: [2 Billingsley, P. Convergence of Probability Measures. John Wiley: New York, 968. [3 Borovkov, A. A., Estimates for the distribution of sums and maxima of sums of random variables when the Cramer condition is not satisfied. Siberian Math. J. 45: [4 Borovkov, A. A., Probabilities of large deviations for random walks with semi-exponential distributions. Siberian Math. J. 46: [5 Chung, F., Lu, L., Concentration inequalities and martingale inequalities: a survey. Internet Math. 3: [6 Dedecker, J., Fan, X., 205. Deviation inequalities for separately Lipschitz functionals of iterated random functions, Stochastic Process. Appl. 25: [7 Dedecker, J., Merlevède, F., 20. Rates of convergence in the central limit theorem for linear statistics of martingale differences. Stochastic Process. Appl. 25: [8 de la Peña, V. H., 999. A general class of exponential inequalities for martingales and ratios. Ann. Probab. 27 : [9 de la Peña, V. H., Giné, E., 999. Decoupling: from dependence to independence. Springer. [0 Doukhan, P., Neumann, M. H., Probability and moment inequalities for sums of weakly dependent random variables, with applications. Stochastic Process. Appl. 77:

30 [ Fan, X., Grama, I., Liu, Q., 202. Hoeffding s inequality for supermartingales. Stochastic Process. Appl. 220: [2 Fan, X., Grama, I., Liu, Q., 202. Large deviation exponential inequalities for supermartingales. Electron. Commun. Probab. 759: 8. [3 Fan, X., Grama, I. and Liu, Q., 205. Exponential inequalities for martingales with applications. Electron. J. Probab. 20: 22. [4 Freedman, D.A., 975. On tail probabilities for martingales. Ann. Probab. 3, No., [5 Fuk, D. Kh., Nagaev, S. V., 97. Probabilistic inequalities for partial sums of independent variables. Theory Probab. Appl. 64: [6 Fuk, D. Kh., 973. Some probabilistic inequalities for martingales. Siberian. Math. J. 4: [7 Gantert, N., Ramanan, K., Rembart, F., 204. Large deviations for weighted sums of stretched exponential random variables. Electron. Commun. Probab. 94: 4. [8 Grama, I., Haeusler, E., Large deviations for martingales via Cramér s method. Stochastic Process. Appl. 852: [9 Haeusler, E., 984. An exact rate of convergence in the functional central limit theorem for special martingale difference arrays. Probab. Theory Relat. Fields 654: [20 Haeusler, E., Joos, K., 988. A nonuniform bound on the rate of convergence in the martingale central limit theorem. Ann. Probab. 64: [2 Hall, P., Heyde, C. C., 980. Martingale Limit Theory and Its Application. Academic Press. [22 Hao, S., Liu, Q., 204. Convergence rates in the lax of large numbers for arrays of martingale differences. J. Math. Anal. Appl. 472: [23 Huang, C., Liu, Q., 202. Moments, moderate and large deviations for a branching process in a random environment. Stoch. Proc. Appl. 22: [24 Jing, B. Y., Liang, H. Y., Zhou, W., 202. Self-normalized moderate deviations for independent random variables. Sci. China Math. 55: [25 Kiesel, R., Stadtmüller, U., A large deviation principle for weighted sums of independent and identically distributed random variables. J. Math. Anal. Appl. 252: [26 Lanzinger, H., Stadtmüller, U., Maxima of increments of partial sums for certain subexponential distributions. Stochastic Process. Appl. 862: [27 Lesigne, E., Volný, D., 200. Large deviations for martingales. Stochastic Process. Appl. 96: [28 Liptser, R., Shiryaev, A., 989. Theory of Martingales. Kluwer Academic Publishers. 30

31 [29 Liptser, R., Spokoiny, V., Deviation probability bound for martingales with applications to statistical estimation. Statist. Probab. Lett. 464: [30 Liu, Q., Watbled, F., Exponential inequalities for martingales and asymptotic properties of the free energy of directed polymers in a random environment. Stochastic Process. Appl. 90: [3 McDiarmid, C., 989. On the method of bounded differences. Surveys in combi. [32 Nagaev, A. V., 969. Integral limit theorems taking into account large deviations when Cramér s condition does not hold. I. Theory Probab. Appl. 4: [33 Nagaev, S. V., 979. Large deviations of sums of independent random variables. Ann. Probab. 7: [34 Ouchti, L., On the rate of convergence in the central limit theorem for martingale difference sequences. Ann. Inst. Henri Poincaré Probab. Stat. 4: [35 Rio, E., 203. On McDiarmid s concentration inequality. Electron. Commun. Probab. 844:. [36 Saulis, L., Statulevičius, V. A., 978. Limit theorems for large deviations. Kluwer Academic Publishers. [37 Shao, Q. M., 997. Self-normalized large deviations. Ann. Probab. 25: [38 van de Geer, S., 995. Exponential inequalities for martingales, with application to maximum likelihood estimation for counting process. Ann. Statist. 23, [39 von Bahr, B., Esseen, C. G., 965. Inequalities for the rth absolute moment of a sum of random variables, r 2. Ann. Math. Statist. 36:

A generalization of Cramér large deviations for martingales

A generalization of Cramér large deviations for martingales A generalization of Cramér large deviations for martingales Xiequan Fan, Ion Grama, Quansheng Liu To cite this version: Xiequan Fan, Ion Grama, Quansheng Liu. A generalization of Cramér large deviations

More information

Cramér large deviation expansions for martingales under Bernstein s condition

Cramér large deviation expansions for martingales under Bernstein s condition Cramér large deviation expansions for martingales under Bernstein s condition Xiequan Fan, Ion Grama, Quansheng Liu To cite this version: Xiequan Fan, Ion Grama, Quansheng Liu. Cramér large deviation expansions

More information

Hoeffding s inequality for supermartingales

Hoeffding s inequality for supermartingales Hoeffding s inequality for supermartingales Xiequan Fan, Ion Grama, Quansheng Liu To cite this version: Xiequan Fan, Ion Grama, Quansheng Liu. Hoeffding s inequality for supermartingales. Stochastic Processes

More information

arxiv: v1 [math.pr] 12 Jun 2012

arxiv: v1 [math.pr] 12 Jun 2012 arxiv: math.pr/ The missing factor in Bennett s inequality arxiv:6.59v [math.pr] Jun Xiequan Fan Ion Grama and Quansheng Liu Université de Bretagne-Sud, LMBA, UMR CNRS 65, Campus de Tohannic, 567 Vannes,

More information

Sharp large deviation results for sums of independent random variables

Sharp large deviation results for sums of independent random variables Sharp large deviation results for sums of independent random variables Xiequan Fan, Ion Grama, Quansheng Liu To cite this version: Xiequan Fan, Ion Grama, Quansheng Liu. Sharp large deviation results for

More information

Self-normalized Cramér-Type Large Deviations for Independent Random Variables

Self-normalized Cramér-Type Large Deviations for Independent Random Variables Self-normalized Cramér-Type Large Deviations for Independent Random Variables Qi-Man Shao National University of Singapore and University of Oregon qmshao@darkwing.uoregon.edu 1. Introduction Let X, X

More information

Introduction to Self-normalized Limit Theory

Introduction to Self-normalized Limit Theory Introduction to Self-normalized Limit Theory Qi-Man Shao The Chinese University of Hong Kong E-mail: qmshao@cuhk.edu.hk Outline What is the self-normalization? Why? Classical limit theorems Self-normalized

More information

A CLT FOR MULTI-DIMENSIONAL MARTINGALE DIFFERENCES IN A LEXICOGRAPHIC ORDER GUY COHEN. Dedicated to the memory of Mikhail Gordin

A CLT FOR MULTI-DIMENSIONAL MARTINGALE DIFFERENCES IN A LEXICOGRAPHIC ORDER GUY COHEN. Dedicated to the memory of Mikhail Gordin A CLT FOR MULTI-DIMENSIONAL MARTINGALE DIFFERENCES IN A LEXICOGRAPHIC ORDER GUY COHEN Dedicated to the memory of Mikhail Gordin Abstract. We prove a central limit theorem for a square-integrable ergodic

More information

On large deviations for combinatorial sums

On large deviations for combinatorial sums arxiv:1901.0444v1 [math.pr] 14 Jan 019 On large deviations for combinatorial sums Andrei N. Frolov Dept. of Mathematics and Mechanics St. Petersburg State University St. Petersburg, Russia E-mail address:

More information

MOMENT CONVERGENCE RATES OF LIL FOR NEGATIVELY ASSOCIATED SEQUENCES

MOMENT CONVERGENCE RATES OF LIL FOR NEGATIVELY ASSOCIATED SEQUENCES J. Korean Math. Soc. 47 1, No., pp. 63 75 DOI 1.4134/JKMS.1.47..63 MOMENT CONVERGENCE RATES OF LIL FOR NEGATIVELY ASSOCIATED SEQUENCES Ke-Ang Fu Li-Hua Hu Abstract. Let X n ; n 1 be a strictly stationary

More information

Additive functionals of infinite-variance moving averages. Wei Biao Wu The University of Chicago TECHNICAL REPORT NO. 535

Additive functionals of infinite-variance moving averages. Wei Biao Wu The University of Chicago TECHNICAL REPORT NO. 535 Additive functionals of infinite-variance moving averages Wei Biao Wu The University of Chicago TECHNICAL REPORT NO. 535 Departments of Statistics The University of Chicago Chicago, Illinois 60637 June

More information

1. Stochastic Processes and filtrations

1. Stochastic Processes and filtrations 1. Stochastic Processes and 1. Stoch. pr., A stochastic process (X t ) t T is a collection of random variables on (Ω, F) with values in a measurable space (S, S), i.e., for all t, In our case X t : Ω S

More information

4 Sums of Independent Random Variables

4 Sums of Independent Random Variables 4 Sums of Independent Random Variables Standing Assumptions: Assume throughout this section that (,F,P) is a fixed probability space and that X 1, X 2, X 3,... are independent real-valued random variables

More information

arxiv: v3 [math.pr] 14 Sep 2014

arxiv: v3 [math.pr] 14 Sep 2014 Cramér large deviation expansions for martingales under Bernstein s condition arxiv:2.298v3 [math.pr] 4 Sep 24 Abstract Xiequan Fan, Ion Grama and Quansheng Liu Université de Bretagne-Sud, LMBA, UMR CNRS

More information

Mi-Hwa Ko. t=1 Z t is true. j=0

Mi-Hwa Ko. t=1 Z t is true. j=0 Commun. Korean Math. Soc. 21 (2006), No. 4, pp. 779 786 FUNCTIONAL CENTRAL LIMIT THEOREMS FOR MULTIVARIATE LINEAR PROCESSES GENERATED BY DEPENDENT RANDOM VECTORS Mi-Hwa Ko Abstract. Let X t be an m-dimensional

More information

Nonparametric regression with martingale increment errors

Nonparametric regression with martingale increment errors S. Gaïffas (LSTA - Paris 6) joint work with S. Delattre (LPMA - Paris 7) work in progress Motivations Some facts: Theoretical study of statistical algorithms requires stationary and ergodicity. Concentration

More information

4 Expectation & the Lebesgue Theorems

4 Expectation & the Lebesgue Theorems STA 205: Probability & Measure Theory Robert L. Wolpert 4 Expectation & the Lebesgue Theorems Let X and {X n : n N} be random variables on a probability space (Ω,F,P). If X n (ω) X(ω) for each ω Ω, does

More information

STAT 200C: High-dimensional Statistics

STAT 200C: High-dimensional Statistics STAT 200C: High-dimensional Statistics Arash A. Amini May 30, 2018 1 / 59 Classical case: n d. Asymptotic assumption: d is fixed and n. Basic tools: LLN and CLT. High-dimensional setting: n d, e.g. n/d

More information

Han-Ying Liang, Dong-Xia Zhang, and Jong-Il Baek

Han-Ying Liang, Dong-Xia Zhang, and Jong-Il Baek J. Korean Math. Soc. 41 (2004), No. 5, pp. 883 894 CONVERGENCE OF WEIGHTED SUMS FOR DEPENDENT RANDOM VARIABLES Han-Ying Liang, Dong-Xia Zhang, and Jong-Il Baek Abstract. We discuss in this paper the strong

More information

Some functional (Hölderian) limit theorems and their applications (II)

Some functional (Hölderian) limit theorems and their applications (II) Some functional (Hölderian) limit theorems and their applications (II) Alfredas Račkauskas Vilnius University Outils Statistiques et Probabilistes pour la Finance Université de Rouen June 1 5, Rouen (Rouen

More information

Self-normalized deviation inequalities with application to t-statistic

Self-normalized deviation inequalities with application to t-statistic Self-ormalized deviatio iequalities with applicatio to t-statistic Xiequa Fa Ceter for Applied Mathematics, Tiaji Uiversity, 30007 Tiaji, Chia Abstract Let ξ i i 1 be a sequece of idepedet ad symmetric

More information

A log-scale limit theorem for one-dimensional random walks in random environments

A log-scale limit theorem for one-dimensional random walks in random environments A log-scale limit theorem for one-dimensional random walks in random environments Alexander Roitershtein August 3, 2004; Revised April 1, 2005 Abstract We consider a transient one-dimensional random walk

More information

Lecture 2. We now introduce some fundamental tools in martingale theory, which are useful in controlling the fluctuation of martingales.

Lecture 2. We now introduce some fundamental tools in martingale theory, which are useful in controlling the fluctuation of martingales. Lecture 2 1 Martingales We now introduce some fundamental tools in martingale theory, which are useful in controlling the fluctuation of martingales. 1.1 Doob s inequality We have the following maximal

More information

Large deviations for random walks under subexponentiality: the big-jump domain

Large deviations for random walks under subexponentiality: the big-jump domain Large deviations under subexponentiality p. Large deviations for random walks under subexponentiality: the big-jump domain Ton Dieker, IBM Watson Research Center joint work with D. Denisov (Heriot-Watt,

More information

Functional Limit theorems for the quadratic variation of a continuous time random walk and for certain stochastic integrals

Functional Limit theorems for the quadratic variation of a continuous time random walk and for certain stochastic integrals Functional Limit theorems for the quadratic variation of a continuous time random walk and for certain stochastic integrals Noèlia Viles Cuadros BCAM- Basque Center of Applied Mathematics with Prof. Enrico

More information

Entropy and Ergodic Theory Lecture 15: A first look at concentration

Entropy and Ergodic Theory Lecture 15: A first look at concentration Entropy and Ergodic Theory Lecture 15: A first look at concentration 1 Introduction to concentration Let X 1, X 2,... be i.i.d. R-valued RVs with common distribution µ, and suppose for simplicity that

More information

The Convergence Rate for the Normal Approximation of Extreme Sums

The Convergence Rate for the Normal Approximation of Extreme Sums The Convergence Rate for the Normal Approximation of Extreme Sums Yongcheng Qi University of Minnesota Duluth WCNA 2008, Orlando, July 2-9, 2008 This talk is based on a joint work with Professor Shihong

More information

Probability and Measure

Probability and Measure Part II Year 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2018 84 Paper 4, Section II 26J Let (X, A) be a measurable space. Let T : X X be a measurable map, and µ a probability

More information

Brownian Motion. 1 Definition Brownian Motion Wiener measure... 3

Brownian Motion. 1 Definition Brownian Motion Wiener measure... 3 Brownian Motion Contents 1 Definition 2 1.1 Brownian Motion................................. 2 1.2 Wiener measure.................................. 3 2 Construction 4 2.1 Gaussian process.................................

More information

3. Probability inequalities

3. Probability inequalities 3. Probability inequalities 3.. Introduction. Probability inequalities are an important instrument which is commonly used practically in all divisions of the theory of probability inequality is the Chebysjev

More information

Lecture 22 Girsanov s Theorem

Lecture 22 Girsanov s Theorem Lecture 22: Girsanov s Theorem of 8 Course: Theory of Probability II Term: Spring 25 Instructor: Gordan Zitkovic Lecture 22 Girsanov s Theorem An example Consider a finite Gaussian random walk X n = n

More information

OPTIMAL SOLUTIONS TO STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL INCLUSIONS

OPTIMAL SOLUTIONS TO STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL INCLUSIONS APPLICATIONES MATHEMATICAE 29,4 (22), pp. 387 398 Mariusz Michta (Zielona Góra) OPTIMAL SOLUTIONS TO STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL INCLUSIONS Abstract. A martingale problem approach is used first to analyze

More information

A Type of Shannon-McMillan Approximation Theorems for Second-Order Nonhomogeneous Markov Chains Indexed by a Double Rooted Tree

A Type of Shannon-McMillan Approximation Theorems for Second-Order Nonhomogeneous Markov Chains Indexed by a Double Rooted Tree Caspian Journal of Applied Mathematics, Ecology and Economics V. 2, No, 204, July ISSN 560-4055 A Type of Shannon-McMillan Approximation Theorems for Second-Order Nonhomogeneous Markov Chains Indexed by

More information

Bahadur representations for bootstrap quantiles 1

Bahadur representations for bootstrap quantiles 1 Bahadur representations for bootstrap quantiles 1 Yijun Zuo Department of Statistics and Probability, Michigan State University East Lansing, MI 48824, USA zuo@msu.edu 1 Research partially supported by

More information

Total Expected Discounted Reward MDPs: Existence of Optimal Policies

Total Expected Discounted Reward MDPs: Existence of Optimal Policies Total Expected Discounted Reward MDPs: Existence of Optimal Policies Eugene A. Feinberg Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics State University of New York at Stony Brook Stony Brook, NY 11794-3600

More information

Conditional independence, conditional mixing and conditional association

Conditional independence, conditional mixing and conditional association Ann Inst Stat Math (2009) 61:441 460 DOI 10.1007/s10463-007-0152-2 Conditional independence, conditional mixing and conditional association B. L. S. Prakasa Rao Received: 25 July 2006 / Revised: 14 May

More information

SUPPLEMENT TO PAPER CONVERGENCE OF ADAPTIVE AND INTERACTING MARKOV CHAIN MONTE CARLO ALGORITHMS

SUPPLEMENT TO PAPER CONVERGENCE OF ADAPTIVE AND INTERACTING MARKOV CHAIN MONTE CARLO ALGORITHMS Submitted to the Annals of Statistics SUPPLEMENT TO PAPER CONERGENCE OF ADAPTIE AND INTERACTING MARKO CHAIN MONTE CARLO ALGORITHMS By G Fort,, E Moulines and P Priouret LTCI, CNRS - TELECOM ParisTech,

More information

Estimation of the functional Weibull-tail coefficient

Estimation of the functional Weibull-tail coefficient 1/ 29 Estimation of the functional Weibull-tail coefficient Stéphane Girard Inria Grenoble Rhône-Alpes & LJK, France http://mistis.inrialpes.fr/people/girard/ June 2016 joint work with Laurent Gardes,

More information

LARGE DEVIATIONS OF TYPICAL LINEAR FUNCTIONALS ON A CONVEX BODY WITH UNCONDITIONAL BASIS. S. G. Bobkov and F. L. Nazarov. September 25, 2011

LARGE DEVIATIONS OF TYPICAL LINEAR FUNCTIONALS ON A CONVEX BODY WITH UNCONDITIONAL BASIS. S. G. Bobkov and F. L. Nazarov. September 25, 2011 LARGE DEVIATIONS OF TYPICAL LINEAR FUNCTIONALS ON A CONVEX BODY WITH UNCONDITIONAL BASIS S. G. Bobkov and F. L. Nazarov September 25, 20 Abstract We study large deviations of linear functionals on an isotropic

More information

Spectral Gap and Concentration for Some Spherically Symmetric Probability Measures

Spectral Gap and Concentration for Some Spherically Symmetric Probability Measures Spectral Gap and Concentration for Some Spherically Symmetric Probability Measures S.G. Bobkov School of Mathematics, University of Minnesota, 127 Vincent Hall, 26 Church St. S.E., Minneapolis, MN 55455,

More information

On lower and upper bounds for probabilities of unions and the Borel Cantelli lemma

On lower and upper bounds for probabilities of unions and the Borel Cantelli lemma arxiv:4083755v [mathpr] 6 Aug 204 On lower and upper bounds for probabilities of unions and the Borel Cantelli lemma Andrei N Frolov Dept of Mathematics and Mechanics St Petersburg State University St

More information

Limiting behaviour of moving average processes under ρ-mixing assumption

Limiting behaviour of moving average processes under ρ-mixing assumption Note di Matematica ISSN 1123-2536, e-issn 1590-0932 Note Mat. 30 (2010) no. 1, 17 23. doi:10.1285/i15900932v30n1p17 Limiting behaviour of moving average processes under ρ-mixing assumption Pingyan Chen

More information

Wasserstein-2 bounds in normal approximation under local dependence

Wasserstein-2 bounds in normal approximation under local dependence Wasserstein- bounds in normal approximation under local dependence arxiv:1807.05741v1 [math.pr] 16 Jul 018 Xiao Fang The Chinese University of Hong Kong Abstract: We obtain a general bound for the Wasserstein-

More information

Practical approaches to the estimation of the ruin probability in a risk model with additional funds

Practical approaches to the estimation of the ruin probability in a risk model with additional funds Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications (204) 67 80 DOI: 05559/5-VMSTA8 Practical approaches to the estimation of the ruin probability in a risk model with additional funds Yuliya Mishura a Olena Ragulina

More information

Asymptotic Tail Probabilities of Sums of Dependent Subexponential Random Variables

Asymptotic Tail Probabilities of Sums of Dependent Subexponential Random Variables Asymptotic Tail Probabilities of Sums of Dependent Subexponential Random Variables Jaap Geluk 1 and Qihe Tang 2 1 Department of Mathematics The Petroleum Institute P.O. Box 2533, Abu Dhabi, United Arab

More information

Convergence rates in weighted L 1 spaces of kernel density estimators for linear processes

Convergence rates in weighted L 1 spaces of kernel density estimators for linear processes Alea 4, 117 129 (2008) Convergence rates in weighted L 1 spaces of kernel density estimators for linear processes Anton Schick and Wolfgang Wefelmeyer Anton Schick, Department of Mathematical Sciences,

More information

Complete q-moment Convergence of Moving Average Processes under ϕ-mixing Assumption

Complete q-moment Convergence of Moving Average Processes under ϕ-mixing Assumption Journal of Mathematical Research & Exposition Jul., 211, Vol.31, No.4, pp. 687 697 DOI:1.377/j.issn:1-341X.211.4.14 Http://jmre.dlut.edu.cn Complete q-moment Convergence of Moving Average Processes under

More information

The exact asymptotics for hitting probability of a remote orthant by a multivariate Lévy process: the Cramér case

The exact asymptotics for hitting probability of a remote orthant by a multivariate Lévy process: the Cramér case The exact asymptotics for hitting probability of a remote orthant by a multivariate Lévy process: the Cramér case Konstantin Borovkov and Zbigniew Palmowski Abstract For a multivariate Lévy process satisfying

More information

P (A G) dp G P (A G)

P (A G) dp G P (A G) First homework assignment. Due at 12:15 on 22 September 2016. Homework 1. We roll two dices. X is the result of one of them and Z the sum of the results. Find E [X Z. Homework 2. Let X be a r.v.. Assume

More information

MODERATE DEVIATIONS FOR STATIONARY PROCESSES

MODERATE DEVIATIONS FOR STATIONARY PROCESSES Statistica Sinica 18(2008), 769-782 MODERATE DEVIATIONS FOR STATIONARY PROCESSES Wei Biao Wu and Zhibiao Zhao University of Chicago and Pennsylvania State University Abstract: We obtain asymptotic expansions

More information

Complete Moment Convergence for Sung s Type Weighted Sums of ρ -Mixing Random Variables

Complete Moment Convergence for Sung s Type Weighted Sums of ρ -Mixing Random Variables Filomat 32:4 (208), 447 453 https://doi.org/0.2298/fil804447l Published by Faculty of Sciences and Mathematics, Uversity of Niš, Serbia Available at: http://www.pmf..ac.rs/filomat Complete Moment Convergence

More information

Random convolution of O-exponential distributions

Random convolution of O-exponential distributions Nonlinear Analysis: Modelling and Control, Vol. 20, No. 3, 447 454 ISSN 1392-5113 http://dx.doi.org/10.15388/na.2015.3.9 Random convolution of O-exponential distributions Svetlana Danilenko a, Jonas Šiaulys

More information

Selected Exercises on Expectations and Some Probability Inequalities

Selected Exercises on Expectations and Some Probability Inequalities Selected Exercises on Expectations and Some Probability Inequalities # If E(X 2 ) = and E X a > 0, then P( X λa) ( λ) 2 a 2 for 0 < λ

More information

Exponential martingales: uniform integrability results and applications to point processes

Exponential martingales: uniform integrability results and applications to point processes Exponential martingales: uniform integrability results and applications to point processes Alexander Sokol Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Copenhagen 26 September, 2012 1 / 39 Agenda

More information

The Codimension of the Zeros of a Stable Process in Random Scenery

The Codimension of the Zeros of a Stable Process in Random Scenery The Codimension of the Zeros of a Stable Process in Random Scenery Davar Khoshnevisan The University of Utah, Department of Mathematics Salt Lake City, UT 84105 0090, U.S.A. davar@math.utah.edu http://www.math.utah.edu/~davar

More information

3 Integration and Expectation

3 Integration and Expectation 3 Integration and Expectation 3.1 Construction of the Lebesgue Integral Let (, F, µ) be a measure space (not necessarily a probability space). Our objective will be to define the Lebesgue integral R fdµ

More information

SUMMARY OF RESULTS ON PATH SPACES AND CONVERGENCE IN DISTRIBUTION FOR STOCHASTIC PROCESSES

SUMMARY OF RESULTS ON PATH SPACES AND CONVERGENCE IN DISTRIBUTION FOR STOCHASTIC PROCESSES SUMMARY OF RESULTS ON PATH SPACES AND CONVERGENCE IN DISTRIBUTION FOR STOCHASTIC PROCESSES RUTH J. WILLIAMS October 2, 2017 Department of Mathematics, University of California, San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive,

More information

EXPONENTIAL INEQUALITIES FOR SELF-NORMALIZED MARTINGALES WITH APPLICATIONS

EXPONENTIAL INEQUALITIES FOR SELF-NORMALIZED MARTINGALES WITH APPLICATIONS The Annals of Applied Probability 28, Vol 18, No 5, 1848 1869 DOI: 11214/7-AAP56 Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 28 EXPONENTIAL INEQUALITIES FOR SELF-NORMALIZED MARTINGALES WITH APPLICATIONS BY BERNARD

More information

A Martingale Central Limit Theorem

A Martingale Central Limit Theorem A Martingale Central Limit Theorem Sunder Sethuraman We present a proof of a martingale central limit theorem (Theorem 2) due to McLeish (974). Then, an application to Markov chains is given. Lemma. For

More information

ITERATED FUNCTION SYSTEMS WITH CONTINUOUS PLACE DEPENDENT PROBABILITIES

ITERATED FUNCTION SYSTEMS WITH CONTINUOUS PLACE DEPENDENT PROBABILITIES UNIVERSITATIS IAGELLONICAE ACTA MATHEMATICA, FASCICULUS XL 2002 ITERATED FUNCTION SYSTEMS WITH CONTINUOUS PLACE DEPENDENT PROBABILITIES by Joanna Jaroszewska Abstract. We study the asymptotic behaviour

More information

March 1, Florida State University. Concentration Inequalities: Martingale. Approach and Entropy Method. Lizhe Sun and Boning Yang.

March 1, Florida State University. Concentration Inequalities: Martingale. Approach and Entropy Method. Lizhe Sun and Boning Yang. Florida State University March 1, 2018 Framework 1. (Lizhe) Basic inequalities Chernoff bounding Review for STA 6448 2. (Lizhe) Discrete-time martingales inequalities via martingale approach 3. (Boning)

More information

Zeros of lacunary random polynomials

Zeros of lacunary random polynomials Zeros of lacunary random polynomials Igor E. Pritsker Dedicated to Norm Levenberg on his 60th birthday Abstract We study the asymptotic distribution of zeros for the lacunary random polynomials. It is

More information

On an Effective Solution of the Optimal Stopping Problem for Random Walks

On an Effective Solution of the Optimal Stopping Problem for Random Walks QUANTITATIVE FINANCE RESEARCH CENTRE QUANTITATIVE FINANCE RESEARCH CENTRE Research Paper 131 September 2004 On an Effective Solution of the Optimal Stopping Problem for Random Walks Alexander Novikov and

More information

STA205 Probability: Week 8 R. Wolpert

STA205 Probability: Week 8 R. Wolpert INFINITE COIN-TOSS AND THE LAWS OF LARGE NUMBERS The traditional interpretation of the probability of an event E is its asymptotic frequency: the limit as n of the fraction of n repeated, similar, and

More information

Consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator for general hidden Markov models

Consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator for general hidden Markov models Consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator for general hidden Markov models Jimmy Olsson Centre for Mathematical Sciences Lund University Nordstat 2012 Umeå, Sweden Collaborators Hidden Markov models

More information

A note on the growth rate in the Fazekas Klesov general law of large numbers and on the weak law of large numbers for tail series

A note on the growth rate in the Fazekas Klesov general law of large numbers and on the weak law of large numbers for tail series Publ. Math. Debrecen 73/1-2 2008), 1 10 A note on the growth rate in the Fazekas Klesov general law of large numbers and on the weak law of large numbers for tail series By SOO HAK SUNG Taejon), TIEN-CHUNG

More information

Properties of an infinite dimensional EDS system : the Muller s ratchet

Properties of an infinite dimensional EDS system : the Muller s ratchet Properties of an infinite dimensional EDS system : the Muller s ratchet LATP June 5, 2011 A ratchet source : wikipedia Plan 1 Introduction : The model of Haigh 2 3 Hypothesis (Biological) : The population

More information

On the Bennett-Hoeffding inequality

On the Bennett-Hoeffding inequality On the Bennett-Hoeffding inequality of Iosif 1,2,3 1 Department of Mathematical Sciences Michigan Technological University 2 Supported by NSF grant DMS-0805946 3 Paper available at http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4058

More information

Lecture 17 Brownian motion as a Markov process

Lecture 17 Brownian motion as a Markov process Lecture 17: Brownian motion as a Markov process 1 of 14 Course: Theory of Probability II Term: Spring 2015 Instructor: Gordan Zitkovic Lecture 17 Brownian motion as a Markov process Brownian motion is

More information

Krzysztof Burdzy University of Washington. = X(Y (t)), t 0}

Krzysztof Burdzy University of Washington. = X(Y (t)), t 0} VARIATION OF ITERATED BROWNIAN MOTION Krzysztof Burdzy University of Washington 1. Introduction and main results. Suppose that X 1, X 2 and Y are independent standard Brownian motions starting from 0 and

More information

On Asymptotic Proximity of Distributions

On Asymptotic Proximity of Distributions On Asymptotic Proximity of Distributions Youri DAVYDOV 1 and Vladimir ROTAR 2 1 Laboratoire Paul Painlevé - UMR 8524 Université de Lille I - Bat. M2 59655 Villeneuve d Ascq, France Email: youri.davydov@univ-lille1.fr

More information

LARGE DEVIATION PROBABILITIES FOR SUMS OF HEAVY-TAILED DEPENDENT RANDOM VECTORS*

LARGE DEVIATION PROBABILITIES FOR SUMS OF HEAVY-TAILED DEPENDENT RANDOM VECTORS* LARGE EVIATION PROBABILITIES FOR SUMS OF HEAVY-TAILE EPENENT RANOM VECTORS* Adam Jakubowski Alexander V. Nagaev Alexander Zaigraev Nicholas Copernicus University Faculty of Mathematics and Computer Science

More information

Exercises in Extreme value theory

Exercises in Extreme value theory Exercises in Extreme value theory 2016 spring semester 1. Show that L(t) = logt is a slowly varying function but t ǫ is not if ǫ 0. 2. If the random variable X has distribution F with finite variance,

More information

The largest eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix. in the heavy-tail case

The largest eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix. in the heavy-tail case The largest eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix 1 in the heavy-tail case Thomas Mikosch University of Copenhagen Joint work with Richard A. Davis (Columbia NY), Johannes Heiny (Aarhus University)

More information

(2m)-TH MEAN BEHAVIOR OF SOLUTIONS OF STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS UNDER PARAMETRIC PERTURBATIONS

(2m)-TH MEAN BEHAVIOR OF SOLUTIONS OF STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS UNDER PARAMETRIC PERTURBATIONS (2m)-TH MEAN BEHAVIOR OF SOLUTIONS OF STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS UNDER PARAMETRIC PERTURBATIONS Svetlana Janković and Miljana Jovanović Faculty of Science, Department of Mathematics, University

More information

Mandelbrot s cascade in a Random Environment

Mandelbrot s cascade in a Random Environment Mandelbrot s cascade in a Random Environment A joint work with Chunmao Huang (Ecole Polytechnique) and Xingang Liang (Beijing Business and Technology Univ) Université de Bretagne-Sud (Univ South Brittany)

More information

An almost sure invariance principle for additive functionals of Markov chains

An almost sure invariance principle for additive functionals of Markov chains Statistics and Probability Letters 78 2008 854 860 www.elsevier.com/locate/stapro An almost sure invariance principle for additive functionals of Markov chains F. Rassoul-Agha a, T. Seppäläinen b, a Department

More information

LAN property for ergodic jump-diffusion processes with discrete observations

LAN property for ergodic jump-diffusion processes with discrete observations LAN property for ergodic jump-diffusion processes with discrete observations Eulalia Nualart (Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona) joint work with Arturo Kohatsu-Higa (Ritsumeikan University, Japan) &

More information

On the asymptotic normality of frequency polygons for strongly mixing spatial processes. Mohamed EL MACHKOURI

On the asymptotic normality of frequency polygons for strongly mixing spatial processes. Mohamed EL MACHKOURI On the asymptotic normality of frequency polygons for strongly mixing spatial processes Mohamed EL MACHKOURI Laboratoire de Mathématiques Raphaël Salem UMR CNRS 6085, Université de Rouen France mohamed.elmachkouri@univ-rouen.fr

More information

Rare Events in Random Walks and Queueing Networks in the Presence of Heavy-Tailed Distributions

Rare Events in Random Walks and Queueing Networks in the Presence of Heavy-Tailed Distributions Rare Events in Random Walks and Queueing Networks in the Presence of Heavy-Tailed Distributions Sergey Foss Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh and Institute of Mathematics, Novosibirsk The University of

More information

Research Article Exponential Inequalities for Positively Associated Random Variables and Applications

Research Article Exponential Inequalities for Positively Associated Random Variables and Applications Hindawi Publishing Corporation Journal of Inequalities and Applications Volume 008, Article ID 38536, 11 pages doi:10.1155/008/38536 Research Article Exponential Inequalities for Positively Associated

More information

The Subexponential Product Convolution of Two Weibull-type Distributions

The Subexponential Product Convolution of Two Weibull-type Distributions The Subexponential Product Convolution of Two Weibull-type Distributions Yan Liu School of Mathematics and Statistics Wuhan University Wuhan, Hubei 4372, P.R. China E-mail: yanliu@whu.edu.cn Qihe Tang

More information

Mean convergence theorems and weak laws of large numbers for weighted sums of random variables under a condition of weighted integrability

Mean convergence theorems and weak laws of large numbers for weighted sums of random variables under a condition of weighted integrability J. Math. Anal. Appl. 305 2005) 644 658 www.elsevier.com/locate/jmaa Mean convergence theorems and weak laws of large numbers for weighted sums of random variables under a condition of weighted integrability

More information

arxiv: v1 [math.pr] 9 May 2014

arxiv: v1 [math.pr] 9 May 2014 On asymptotic scales of independently stopped random sums Jaakko Lehtomaa arxiv:1405.2239v1 [math.pr] 9 May 2014 May 12, 2014 Abstract We study randomly stopped sums via their asymptotic scales. First,

More information

ARTICLE IN PRESS. J. Math. Anal. Appl. ( ) Note. On pairwise sensitivity. Benoît Cadre, Pierre Jacob

ARTICLE IN PRESS. J. Math. Anal. Appl. ( ) Note. On pairwise sensitivity. Benoît Cadre, Pierre Jacob S0022-27X0500087-9/SCO AID:9973 Vol. [DTD5] P.1 1-8 YJMAA:m1 v 1.35 Prn:15/02/2005; 16:33 yjmaa9973 by:jk p. 1 J. Math. Anal. Appl. www.elsevier.com/locate/jmaa Note On pairwise sensitivity Benoît Cadre,

More information

Your first day at work MATH 806 (Fall 2015)

Your first day at work MATH 806 (Fall 2015) Your first day at work MATH 806 (Fall 2015) 1. Let X be a set (with no particular algebraic structure). A function d : X X R is called a metric on X (and then X is called a metric space) when d satisfies

More information

Brownian motion. Samy Tindel. Purdue University. Probability Theory 2 - MA 539

Brownian motion. Samy Tindel. Purdue University. Probability Theory 2 - MA 539 Brownian motion Samy Tindel Purdue University Probability Theory 2 - MA 539 Mostly taken from Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus by I. Karatzas and S. Shreve Samy T. Brownian motion Probability Theory

More information

Asymptotic behavior for sums of non-identically distributed random variables

Asymptotic behavior for sums of non-identically distributed random variables Appl. Math. J. Chinese Univ. 2019, 34(1: 45-54 Asymptotic behavior for sums of non-identically distributed random variables YU Chang-jun 1 CHENG Dong-ya 2,3 Abstract. For any given positive integer m,

More information

On Optimal Stopping Problems with Power Function of Lévy Processes

On Optimal Stopping Problems with Power Function of Lévy Processes On Optimal Stopping Problems with Power Function of Lévy Processes Budhi Arta Surya Department of Mathematics University of Utrecht 31 August 2006 This talk is based on the joint paper with A.E. Kyprianou:

More information

SPECTRAL GAP FOR ZERO-RANGE DYNAMICS. By C. Landim, S. Sethuraman and S. Varadhan 1 IMPA and CNRS, Courant Institute and Courant Institute

SPECTRAL GAP FOR ZERO-RANGE DYNAMICS. By C. Landim, S. Sethuraman and S. Varadhan 1 IMPA and CNRS, Courant Institute and Courant Institute The Annals of Probability 996, Vol. 24, No. 4, 87 902 SPECTRAL GAP FOR ZERO-RANGE DYNAMICS By C. Landim, S. Sethuraman and S. Varadhan IMPA and CNRS, Courant Institute and Courant Institute We give a lower

More information

Refining the Central Limit Theorem Approximation via Extreme Value Theory

Refining the Central Limit Theorem Approximation via Extreme Value Theory Refining the Central Limit Theorem Approximation via Extreme Value Theory Ulrich K. Müller Economics Department Princeton University February 2018 Abstract We suggest approximating the distribution of

More information

Tail bound inequalities and empirical likelihood for the mean

Tail bound inequalities and empirical likelihood for the mean Tail bound inequalities and empirical likelihood for the mean Sandra Vucane 1 1 University of Latvia, Riga 29 th of September, 2011 Sandra Vucane (LU) Tail bound inequalities and EL for the mean 29.09.2011

More information

IEOR 6711: Stochastic Models I Fall 2013, Professor Whitt Lecture Notes, Thursday, September 5 Modes of Convergence

IEOR 6711: Stochastic Models I Fall 2013, Professor Whitt Lecture Notes, Thursday, September 5 Modes of Convergence IEOR 6711: Stochastic Models I Fall 2013, Professor Whitt Lecture Notes, Thursday, September 5 Modes of Convergence 1 Overview We started by stating the two principal laws of large numbers: the strong

More information

Lecture 4 Lebesgue spaces and inequalities

Lecture 4 Lebesgue spaces and inequalities Lecture 4: Lebesgue spaces and inequalities 1 of 10 Course: Theory of Probability I Term: Fall 2013 Instructor: Gordan Zitkovic Lecture 4 Lebesgue spaces and inequalities Lebesgue spaces We have seen how

More information

On large deviations of sums of independent random variables

On large deviations of sums of independent random variables On large deviations of sums of independent random variables Zhishui Hu 12, Valentin V. Petrov 23 and John Robinson 2 1 Department of Statistics and Finance, University of Science and Technology of China,

More information

(A n + B n + 1) A n + B n

(A n + B n + 1) A n + B n 344 Problem Hints and Solutions Solution for Problem 2.10. To calculate E(M n+1 F n ), first note that M n+1 is equal to (A n +1)/(A n +B n +1) with probability M n = A n /(A n +B n ) and M n+1 equals

More information

A CHARACTERIZATION OF STRICT LOCAL MINIMIZERS OF ORDER ONE FOR STATIC MINMAX PROBLEMS IN THE PARAMETRIC CONSTRAINT CASE

A CHARACTERIZATION OF STRICT LOCAL MINIMIZERS OF ORDER ONE FOR STATIC MINMAX PROBLEMS IN THE PARAMETRIC CONSTRAINT CASE Journal of Applied Analysis Vol. 6, No. 1 (2000), pp. 139 148 A CHARACTERIZATION OF STRICT LOCAL MINIMIZERS OF ORDER ONE FOR STATIC MINMAX PROBLEMS IN THE PARAMETRIC CONSTRAINT CASE A. W. A. TAHA Received

More information

Complete moment convergence for moving average process generated by ρ -mixing random variables

Complete moment convergence for moving average process generated by ρ -mixing random variables Zhang Journal of Inequalities and Applications (2015) 2015:245 DOI 10.1186/s13660-015-0766-5 RESEARCH Open Access Complete moment convergence for moving average process generated by ρ -mixing random variables

More information

Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Time Series Models: A Score-Marked Empirical Process Approach

Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Time Series Models: A Score-Marked Empirical Process Approach Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Time Series Models: A Score-Marked Empirical Process Approach By Shiqing Ling Department of Mathematics Hong Kong University of Science and Technology Let {y t : t = 0, ±1, ±2,

More information

Probability and Measure

Probability and Measure Chapter 4 Probability and Measure 4.1 Introduction In this chapter we will examine probability theory from the measure theoretic perspective. The realisation that measure theory is the foundation of probability

More information