POLL ON SCOTTISH INDEPENDENCE

Transcription

1 POLL ON SCOTTISH INDEPENDENCE Published 0 th October 0 As the leadig supplier of opiio polls withi Scotlad for over 0 years, TNS BMRB will be publishig regular pollig i the ruup to the Scottish Idepedece referedum o th September 0, usig the exact wordig which will feature o the ballot paper for the referedum vote. This is the secod poll i this mothly series, which was published o 0 th October 0. TNS BMRB is a member of the British Pollig Coucil (BPC) ad abides by its rules. We also operate withi the Code of Coduct of the Market Research Society (MRS). I accordace with these rules the followig iformatio is provided: Sample size 00 Samplig poits Scottish parliamet costituecies Fieldwork dates th September d October 0 Iterview method Populatio sampled Samplig method Data weightig Questios Further equiries Facetoface, ihome CAPI All adults aged + i Scotlad The poll was coducted through our Omibus, Scottish Opiio Survey. For this survey, samplig poits are selected to be represetative of Scotlad demographically ad geographically. Withi each samplig poit, a quota samplig method is used for respodet selectio. Data is weighted to the profile of all adults aged + i Scotlad, based o populatio profile estimates from the BARB (Broadcasters Audiece Research Board) Establishmet Report 0, Mid year populatio estimates 0 ad the 00 Cesus. Weightig is carried out i relatio to workig status withi geder, age, social grade ad electoral regio. Data is also weighted by recalled vote to match turout ad share of costituecy vote from the 0 Holyrood electio, as recorded i SPICe Briefig 0 Scottish Parliamet Electio Results. Uweighted ad weighted bases are show at the top of each data table. The data tables show the questio wordig i full Alastair.graham@tsbmrb.co.uk

2 Q. There will be a referedum o Scottish Idepedece o the th of September 0. How do you ited to vote i respose to the questio: Should Scotlad be a idepedet coutry? BASE: All adults aged + i Scotlad SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY INDEPENDENCE : SEPTEMBER 0 : JN Page Table SEX Male Female 0 AGE AB C C 0 0 DE 00 ABC CDE Yes No Do't kow 0 0 0% 0% 0% % 0 0 Fieldwork : th September d October 0

3 Q. There will be a referedum o Scottish Idepedece o the th of September 0. How do you ited to vote i respose to the questio: Should Scotlad be a idepedet coutry? BASE: All adults aged + i Scotlad SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY INDEPENDENCE : SEPTEMBER 0 : JN Page Table East/ H&I 0 0 East Mid & Fife 0 Lothias Cetral 0 Glasgow REFERENDUM VOTING INTENTION Do't Yes No kow 0 Yes No Do't kow % 0 0% 0% 0 0% 00% 00% 0 00% Fieldwork : th September d October 0

4 Q. There will be a referedum o Scottish Idepedece o the th of September 0. How do you ited to vote i respose to the questio: Should Scotlad be a idepedet coutry? BASE: All adults aged + i Scotlad SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY INDEPENDENCE : SEPTEMBER 0 : JN Page Table /very LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING ot Very Quite very to vote / very Coser vative VOTE IN 0 Lib Dem SNP Other Ca't rememb er Did ot vote Yes No Do't kow 0 0 0% 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 0% Fieldwork : th September d October 0

5 SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY INDEPENDENCE : SEPTEMBER 0 : JN Q. Usig a scale of to 0, where is I do t feel I have ay iformatio at all ad 0 is 'I have all the iformatio I eed', please ca you tell me how much iformatio you curretly have to help you make a decisio about how to vote i the referedum? BASE: All adults aged + i Scotlad Page Table SEX Male Female 0 AGE AB C C 0 0 DE 00 ABC CDE I do't feel I have ay iformatio at all () () () () () () () () () I have all the iformatio I eed (0) 0 Mea Std. Dev. Std. Error Error Variace % % % 0 0% % % % Fieldwork : th September d October 0

6 SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY INDEPENDENCE : SEPTEMBER 0 : JN Q. Usig a scale of to 0, where is I do t feel I have ay iformatio at all ad 0 is 'I have all the iformatio I eed', please ca you tell me how much iformatio you curretly have to help you make a decisio about how to vote i the referedum? BASE: All adults aged + i Scotlad Page Table East/ H&I 0 0 East Mid & Fife 0 Lothias Cetral 0 Glasgow REFERENDUM VOTING INTENTION Do't Yes No kow 0 I do't feel I have ay iformatio at all () () () () () () () () () I have all the iformatio I eed (0) 0 Mea Std. Dev. Std. Error Error Variace % % % % % % % Fieldwork : th September d October 0

7 SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY INDEPENDENCE : SEPTEMBER 0 : JN Q. Usig a scale of to 0, where is I do t feel I have ay iformatio at all ad 0 is 'I have all the iformatio I eed', please ca you tell me how much iformatio you curretly have to help you make a decisio about how to vote i the referedum? BASE: All adults aged + i Scotlad Page Table /very LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING ot Very Quite very to vote / very Coser vative VOTE IN 0 Lib Dem SNP Other Ca't rememb er Did ot vote I do't feel I have ay iformatio at all () () () () () () () () () I have all the iformatio I eed (0) 0 Mea Std. Dev. Std. Error Error Variace % % % % 0 0% % Fieldwork : th September d October 0

8 SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY INDEPENDENCE : SEPTEMBER 0 : JN Q. How do you thik you are to vote i the referedum o Scottish Idepedece o the th of September 0? BASE: All adults aged + i Scotlad Page Table SEX Male Female 0 AGE AB C C 0 0 DE 00 ABC CDE Ay / very to vote Very to vote Quite to vote very to vote ot to vote % 0 0% Fieldwork : th September d October 0

9 SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY INDEPENDENCE : SEPTEMBER 0 : JN Q. How do you thik you are to vote i the referedum o Scottish Idepedece o the th of September 0? BASE: All adults aged + i Scotlad Page Table East/ H&I 0 0 East Mid & Fife 0 Lothias Cetral 0 Glasgow REFERENDUM VOTING INTENTION Do't Yes No kow 0 Ay / very to vote Very to vote Quite to vote very to vote ot to vote % % Fieldwork : th September d October 0

10 SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY INDEPENDENCE : SEPTEMBER 0 : JN Q. How do you thik you are to vote i the referedum o Scottish Idepedece o the th of September 0? BASE: All adults aged + i Scotlad Page Table /very LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING ot Very Quite very to vote / very Coser vative VOTE IN 0 Lib Dem SNP Other Ca't rememb er Did ot vote Ay / very to vote Very to vote Quite to vote very to vote ot to vote 00% 00% 00% 00% 00% 00% 00% 00% 0% Fieldwork : th September d October 0

11 SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY INDEPENDENCE : SEPTEMBER 0 : JN Q. The last Scottish Parliamet electio was held i May 0. For which party did you vote for your costituecy MSP i that electio? BASE: All adults aged + i Scotlad Page 0 Table SEX Male Female 0 AGE AB C C 0 0 DE 00 ABC CDE Did ot vote Coservative Liberal Democrat S.N.P. Other cadidate or party Ca't remember % % 0% % 0 0 Fieldwork : th September d October 0

12 SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY INDEPENDENCE : SEPTEMBER 0 : JN Q. The last Scottish Parliamet electio was held i May 0. For which party did you vote for your costituecy MSP i that electio? BASE: All adults aged + i Scotlad Page Table East/ H&I 0 0 East Mid & Fife 0 Lothias Cetral 0 Glasgow REFERENDUM VOTING INTENTION Do't Yes No kow 0 Did ot vote Coservative Liberal Democrat S.N.P. Other cadidate or party Ca't remember % % 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 Fieldwork : th September d October 0

13 SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY INDEPENDENCE : SEPTEMBER 0 : JN Q. The last Scottish Parliamet electio was held i May 0. For which party did you vote for your costituecy MSP i that electio? BASE: All adults aged + i Scotlad Page Table /very LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING ot Very Quite very to vote / very Coser vative VOTE IN 0 Lib Dem SNP Other Ca't rememb er Did ot vote Did ot vote Coservative Liberal Democrat S.N.P. Other cadidate or party Ca't remember % % 0 00% 0 00% 0 00% 00% 00% 00% Fieldwork : th September d October 0