Evaluation of two numerical methods to measure the Hausdorff dimension of the fractional Brownian motion

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Evaluation of two numerical methods to measure the Hausdorff dimension of the fractional Brownian motion"

Transcription

1 Evaluation of two numerical methods to measure the Hausdorff dimension of the fractional Brownian motion Sergei M. Prigarin Institute of Computational Mathematics and Mathematical Geophysics, Siberian Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences Klaus Hahn, and Gerhard Winkler Institute of Biomathematics and Biometry GSF-National Research Centre for Environment and Health Abstract The aim of the paper is to study by Monte Carlo simulation statistical properties of two numerical methods (the extended counting method and the variance counting method) developed to estimate the Hausdorff dimension of a time series and applied to the fractional Brownian motion. Key words: fractal set, Hausdorff dimension, extended counting method, variance counting method, generalized Wiener process, fractional Brownian motion. Mathematical Subject Classification: 28A80, 62M10, 65C05. 1 Introduction Fractals and multifractals are used as mathematical models of different physical objects and social phenomena in various fields of knowledge: biology, Supported by Russian Presidential Program Leading scientific schools (HIII ) sergeim.prigarin@gmail.com pr. Lavrentieva 6, Novosibirsk, , Russia hahn@gsf.de, gwinkler@gsf.de Ingolstädter Landstraße 1, Neuherberg/München, Germany 1

2 geophysics, financial mathematics, computer science, and others. Let us specify only a few of many research directions were the theory of fractals occupies a significant part: plasma physics, turbulence, porous media, biological systems, fractal antennas, image compression, computer graphics, data traffic, financial markets, functional magnetic resonance imaging, etc. Theoretical concepts such as deterministic and random fractals, multifractal singular measures, fractal dimension and fractional analysis play an important role in the present-day development of mathematics and physics (see, for example, [2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 8, 9, 15]). A significant research problem is the numerical analysis of fractal and multifractal structures, and, in particular, the estimation of the fractal dimension of time series. In spite of the variety of developed numerical methods the problem of their validity remains topical. In our paper we study by the Monte Carlo method properties of two numerical methods designed to measure the Hausdorff dimension of a time series. The first method is a modification of the extended counting method originally destined for arbitrary sets in multidimensional spaces and adapted here for arbitrary time series (see Section 2). The second method is the variance counting method which is appropriate for random processes with stationary increments (see Section 3). As testing time series we used realizations of the fractional Brownian motion with Hausdorff dimension in the interval [1, 2). Numerical modeling of the fractional Brownian motion is a non-trivial problem that we shall not discuss here. An essential point is that in Monte Carlo simulation we used a numerical method that is exact in a probabilistic sense (see Section 4). The results of the Monte Carlo simulation and the analysis of the results are presented in Section 5. 2 The extended counting method The extended counting method [13, 14] was proposed as an alternative to the box counting method to compute the Hausdorff dimension of a compact set in a finite dimensional space. According to the extended counting method the fractal dimension of a set A R 2 is estimated in the following way. 1. Let us fix a point (x 0, y 0 ) R 2 and represent the space R 2 as a sum of disjoint atomic squares S (1) ij of a small size d 1 : R 2 = + i,j= S (1) ij, S(1) ij = [x 0 + id 1, x 0 + (i + 1)d 1 ) [y 0 + jd 1, y 0 + (j + 1)d 1 ). We mark the atomic squares which contain points of the set A. 2

3 2. Let us fix a natural number M and consider a set of (not necessarily disjoint) exploratory squares S (2) kn = [x 0 + kd 1, x 0 + kd 1 + d 2 ) [y 0 + nd 1, y 0 + nd 1 + d 2 ), where d 2 = Md 1, and k, n are integers. Every such an exploratory square S (2) kn consists of M 2 atomic squares S (1) ij of which some may contain points of the set A. For a fixed exploratory square S (2) kn we denote by N kn the number of atomic squares S (1) ij S (2) kn which contain points from A. 3. We find N max = max kn N kn and compute the value xdim[d 1, d 2 ](A) = log N max log d 2 log d 1 = log N max log M. (1) For the proper parameters d 1, d 2 this number xdim[d 1, d 2 ](A) will be interpreted as an estimator of the fractal dimension of the set A (for details see [13]). To apply the extended counting method it is necessary to fix the parameters: the origin of the fine grid (x 0, y 0 ), the size of the atomic squares d 1, and the coefficient M that defines the size of the exploratory squares, d 2 = Md 1. Further, we shall call parameter M an exploratory factor. The main point of the extended counting method can be formulated in the following way. The box counting method is applied for many subsets of the fractal set and the maximum of the subsets dimensions is taken as the fractal dimension of the set. On the other hand, the box counting method, that is used for the subsets, is extremely simplified (the box counting regression line is built only on the basis of 2 points). 2.1 Realization of the extended counting method for a time series To apply the extended counting method to a (finite) time series x(ih), i = 1,..., N, defined on a grid with step h it is necessary (i) to define the parameters of the method and (ii) to mark the atomic squares which are assumed to be intersected by the graph of the time series. The solution of neither the second problem nor the first one is evident. There is no unique procedure to reproduce a graph of a function having only values on a fixed grid. In our algorithms we simply used the piecewise linear interpolation (another possible approach, for example, is to use self-similar constructions). Moreover, to mark atomic squares intersected by the graph of the time series, it is reasonable to perform a preliminary scaling. This means that the extended 3

4 counting method should be applied not to the time series x(ih) directly but to a time series y(i) = Cx(ih). Therefore, we have to introduce additional parameter C depending on N and the range of values x(ih), i = 1,..., N. To choose C we used the following rule: C[max i x(ih) min j x(jh)] = C y. N 1 In that case the graph of the piecewise linear function with nodes (i, y(i)) belongs to a rectangle of size (N 1) C y (N 1). The constant C y will be called scaling factor. In numerical experiments we used two variants of the extended counting method (1) applied to the scaled time series y(i), i = 1,..., N: the first variant (we shall denote it by method X1) with parameters d 1 = 1, x 0 = 0.5, y 0 = y(1) 0.5, and the second variant (method X2) with parameters d 1 = 2, x 0 = 0.5, y 0 = y(1) 0.5. For the second variant the atomic squares are twice larger (the corresponding advise can be found at the beginning of Section 5 in [13]; see, in addition, Section 5.3 in [15]). 3 Local variance-dimension of a random process and the variance counting method In addition to the extended counting method we consider another algorithm designed to estimate the Hausdorff dimension of a random process. The algorithm is based on the simple idea to exploit the formula for variance of increments, see for example [3], Section 9.4. The variance counting method is based on the fact that (see [1] and [6, 11]) the Hausdorff dimension of a random process x 0 (t) with zero mean, stationary increments, and a continuous covariance function is equal to 2 α/2 if E x 0 (t + h) x 0 (t) 2 h α, α (0, 2] (2) for h 0 (to be more precise, we should say that the realizations of the process x 0 (t) have the Hausdorff dimension 2 α/2 with probability one). This fact inspires us to introduce the concept of local variance-dimension of a random process x(t) at point t: vdim x(t) = lim log V[x(t + γh) x(t)] γ h 0 V[x(t + h) x(t)]. (3) 4

5 Here V denotes the variance and it is assumed that the limit in formula (3) exists and does not depend on γ > 0. It is obvious, that at least for random processes with stationary increments and property (2) the limit in (3) exists, it does not depend on t and γ, and the value of vdim x(t) is equal to the Hausdorff dimension of the process x(t). Actually, the expectation of a process x(t) with stationary increments is a linear function, Ex(t) = a + bt, the Hausdorff dimensions of the processes x(t) and x 0 (t) = x(t) Ex(t) are equal, and lim log V[x(t + γh) x(t)] γ h 0 V[x(t + h) x(t)] = log γ lim h 0 E[x 0 (t + γh) x 0 (t)] 2 E[x 0 (t + h) x 0 (t)] 2 = = log γ γh α h α = log γ γ α = α. To get a numerical algorithm to compute the (local) variance-dimension of a time series x(i) one can simply substitute estimates for the variances in formula (3). For the processes with stationary increments the local variancedimension does not depend on point t and the standard estimates for the variances can be exploited. In our numerical experiments we used the following formula corresponding to (3) with γ = 2: vdim log 2 V 2 V 1, (4) where V 1, V 2 are estimates of variances. To calculate the variances we applied the unbiased estimates for the increments with unknown average: ( 1 1 V 1 = 1 1 N 1 N 1 ( 1 1 V 2 = 1 1 N 2 N 2 E 1 = 1 N 1 E 2 = 1 N 2 N [x(i) x(i 1)] 2 E1 2 i=2 i=3,4,...,n [x(i) x(i 2)] 2 E 2 2 N [x(i) x(i 1)], i=2 i=3,4,...,n and for the increments with zero mean: V 1 = 1 N 1 [x(i) x(i 2)], ), (5) ), (6) N [x(i) x(i 1)] 2, (7) i=2 5

6 V 2 = 1 N 2 i=3,4,...,n [x(i) x(i 2)] 2. (8) Thus, we studied two versions of the variance counting method developed for random processes with stationary increments with unknown and zero average according to formulas (4, 5, 6) and (4, 7, 8). 4 Fractional Brownian motion: properties and simulation The generalized Wiener process (also called the fractional Brownian motion) of order α is a Gaussian process w α (t), t > 0, with mean zero and correlation function of the following type (see, for example, [4]) K α (t, s) = Ew α (t)w α (s) = σ 2 ( t α + s α t s α )/2, α (0, 2]. Here σ is an additional parameter that determines the variance of the generalized Wiener process: Vw α (t) = K α (t, t) = σ 2 t α. If α = 1, then it is an ordinary Wiener process with correlation function K 1 (t, s) = σ 2 min(t, s). For α = 2 we have K 2 (t, s) = σ 2 ts and the realizations of the generalized Wiener process are the straight lines: w α (t) = σξt, where ξ is a standard normal variable. The generalized Wiener process has stationary increments (see, for example, [12]): the random process δ(t) = w α (t + h) w α (t) is Gaussian, stationary, with mean zero, correlation function and spectral density Eδ(t + τ)δ(t) = τ + h α + τ h α 2 τ α, A 2 π 1 (1 cos λh), λ α+1 λ (, + ). 6

7 For α = 1 the constant A is equal to 1, and in general case it is defined from the equalities A 2 = { 2 } 1 { 1 (1 cos λ)dλ = π λα+1 0 } 2 1 απ Γ( α) cos. π 2 The fractional Brownian motion is the process with independent increments only for α = 1 (i.e., only in the case of the ordinary Brownian motion). The spectral representations for the correlation function and the process of the fractional Brownian motion have the forms [12] K α (t, s) = ( t α + s α t s α) /2 = A2 2π = A2 π + 0 { = A + π λ α+1 (eiλt 1) (e iλs 1) dλ 1 λ α+1 [ cos ( λ(t s) ) cos(λt) cos(λs) + 1 ] dλ, w α (t) = 1 λ α+1 2 A + 2π 1 λ α+1 2 (cos λt 1) dξ(λ) (e iλt 1) dz(λ) λ α+1 2 sin λt dη(λ) Here z(λ) is the complex standard Wiener process, and ξ(λ), η(λ) are independent real-valued standard Wiener processes: Ez(λ) = Eξ(λ) = Eη(λ) = 0, E dz(λ) 2 = E[dξ(λ)] 2 = E[dη(λ)] 2 = dλ, z(λ) = 1 2 ξ(λ) + i 1 2 η(λ). } z( λ) = z(λ), Formally the generalized Wiener process of order α can be considered as a derivative of fractional order (1 α)/2 of the ordinary Brownian motion or as the white noise integrated with order (1 + α)/2 (see, for example, [12] and references there). In particular, for α 1 the fractional Brownian motion formally tends to the white noise. The Hausdorff dimension of the generalized Wiener process is equal to 2 α/2, α (0, 2] (see, for instance, [4, 5]). 7.

8 To simulate a random vector x of values x(i) = w α (ih), i = 0,..., N, for the generalized Wiener process w α we used a standard method (see, for example, [10, 12]) based on a factorization of covariance matrix R: R(i, j) = K α (ih, jh), i, j = 0,..., N, R = AA T, x = Aε, where A is a triangular or symmetric square matrix, and ε is a vector of independent standard normal random variables. The corresponding software can be found in Internet, see or smp. 5 Results of Monte Carlo simulation Numerical experiments were performed for a set of time series x(i), i = 0,..., N, simulated as realizations of the fractional Brownian motion, x(i) = w α (i/n), i = 0,..., N, (9) for different values of parameter α and the Hausdorff dimension d = 2 α/2. To estimate the Hausdorff dimension of the time series we applied two versions of the variance counting method (according to formulas (4, 5, 6), (4, 7, 8)) and two versions of the extended counting method described in Section 2: method X1 and method X2 with parameters M and C y which are called exploratory and scaling factors, respectively. The estimates of the Hausdorff dimension obtained by the extended counting method we shall call x-dimension and the estimates obtained by the variance counting method we shall call v-dimension. 5.1 Dependence of x-dimension on the exploratory factor On Figures 1-3 we present realizations of the fractional Brownian motion for α = 1.8, 1, 0.2 with Hausdorff dimension equal to 1.1, 1.5, 1.9, respectively, and the dependence of x-dimension of the realizations on the exploratory factor M. Parameters N = 1000, C y = 1 were used for this numerical experiment. Results for similar numerical experiments but on a more rare (N = 200) and a more fine (N = 5000) grid are presented on Figures 4-6 and Figures 7-9, respectively. 8

9 5.2 Dependence of x-dimension on the scaling factor Figures illustrate the dependence of x-dimension on the scaling factor C y for methods X1 and X2 for the three realizations of the fractional Brownian motion presented on Figs. 1-3 (N = 1000). Method X1 was applied with exploratory factor M = 200 and method X2 was applied with exploratory factor M = 100. Figures illustrate the dependence of x-dimension on the scaling factor C y for methods X1 and X2 for the three realizations of the fractional Brownian motion presented on Figs. 4-6 (N = 200). Method X1 was applied with exploratory factor M = 40 and method X2 was applied with exploratory factor M = 20. Figures illustrate the dependence of x-dimension on the scaling factor C y for methods X1 and X2 for the three realizations of the fractional Brownian motion presented on Figs. 7-9 (N = 5000). Method X1 was applied with exploratory factor M = 1000 and method X2 was applied with exploratory factor M = Statistical properties of the estimates of the dimension To study statistical properties of x-dimension and v-dimension we used Monte Carlo method simulating many independent identically distributed realizations of the fractional Brownian motion on the interval [0, 1] according to the description presented at the end of Section 4. The computations were performed for different Hausdorff dimension of the fractional Brownian motion with the amplitude parameter σ = 1 and the grid parameter N equal to 100, 200 and Tables 1-3 show the results of Monte Carlo simulation for v-dimension: the bias (v-dimension minus real dimension), mean square deviation (root of the variance), and mean square deviation of the error (root of the second moment of the difference between v-dimension and real dimension). Similarly, Table 4 shows the results of Monte Carlo simulation for x-dimension. 9

10 Table 1. Statistical properties of v-dimension of the generalized Wiener process, N = 100 (Monte Carlo sample size is equal to one million). estimate dimension bias MSD error MSD (4, 5, 6) (4, 7, 8) (4, 5, 6) (4, 7, 8) (4, 5, 6) (4, 7, 8) Table 2. Statistical properties of v-dimension of the generalized Wiener process, N = 200 (Monte Carlo sample size is equal to one million). estimate dimension bias MSD error MSD (4, 5, 6) (4, 7, 8) (4, 5, 6) (4, 7, 8) (4, 5, 6) (4, 7, 8) Table 3. Statistical properties of v-dimension of the generalized Wiener process, N = 1000 (Monte Carlo sample size is equal to ). estimate dimension bias MSD error MSD (4, 5, 6) (4, 7, 8) (4, 5, 6) (4, 7, 8) (4, 5, 6) (4, 7, 8)

11 Table 4. Statistical properties of x-dimension of the generalized Wiener process, N = 200 (Monte Carlo sample size is equal to ). estimate dimension bias MSD error MSD X1, C y = 1, M = X2, C y = 1, M = X1, C y = 1, M = X2, C y = 1, M = X1, C y = 1, M = X2, C y = 1, M = X1, C y = 1, M = X2, C y = 1, M = X1, C y = 1, M = X2, C y = 1, M = Figures 19 and 20 display box-whisker plots with 0.05 and 0.95 boxquantiles for distributions of v-dimension and x-dimension obtained for time series (9) with N = 200, 500 and different values of the Hausdorff dimension. 5.4 Conclusions and remarks 1. In the computational experiments the variance counting method turned out to be significantly more effective than the extended counting method. It is considerably faster, more precise, and has no uncertain parameters that influence the results (like in case of the extended counting method). But the reader should keep in mind that such direct comparison of the methods is biased. The extended counting method originally is destined to estimate the Hausdorff dimension of an arbitrary inhomogeneous fractal (i.e. consisting of parts with different dimensions) in a multidimensional space. The considered versions of the variance counting method (4-8) are appropriate for a restricted class of objects and a generalization for inhomogeneous fractals in spaces of larger dimensions will result in more complicated algorithms. 2. Formulas (4-8) theoretically can give values less than 1 and larger than 2 and it is reasonable to substitute values 1 and 2 for such improper dimension. 3. For curves with a low Hausdorff dimension the extended counting method tends to overestimate the value of the dimension. One can easily understand that x-dimension can be equal to 1 only in a very specific case (for horizontal or vertical straight lines, for example). V-dimension of a straight line is always equal to According to Figures 1-18 the values of x-dimension are larger for larger scaling factors and decrease for increasing exploratory factor. Table 4 11

12 and Figure 19 show that the bias of x-dimension can be considerably large and it essentially depends on the real dimension of the time series and the parameters of the algorithm. Therefore, it is difficult to propose any exact rule for tuning the algorithm s parameters. The quality of the estimates becomes better for a longer time series (see the results for N=5000), but even for comparatively long time series a good estimation of the Hausdorff dimension by the studied versions of the extended counting method may be questionable, particularly for high values. As a very rough approximation we would recommend to choose exploratory factor M according to the rule N/(d 1 M) 5 and to use scaling factor C y in range [1,3]. 5. Method X2 has an advantage compared to X1: for higher dimensions method X2 has considerably smaller bias and mean squared error (see Table 4 and Figure 20). On the other hand, method X2 usually has the larger variance. 6. According to the results presented in Tables 1-3 the bias of v-dimension is comparatively small and it slightly increases when the Hausdorff dimension becomes smaller. With respect to the Hausdorff dimension the variance of v- dimension is stable for the longer time series (N = 1000), while it appreciably increases for a shorter time series (N = 100, N = 200). One can notice the inverse property of x-dimension, which variance decreases when the Hausdorff dimension grows (see Table 4 and Figures 19, 20). The variance counting method provides reasonable results even for short time series of the fractional Brownian motion. 7. The variance counting method (4, 5, 6) that does not know the real value of mathematical expectation for the increments has practically the same good characteristics as method (4, 7, 8) if the time series is not too short. 8. Finally, we would like to point out the following important problem concerning numerical estimation of the Hausdorff dimension or other characteristics of fractal or multifractal structures. Any numerical method includes quantization (or discrete approximation) of the object to be studied. This quantization immediately kills all fractal properties which are revealed only in limit. That antinomy can be solved by developing a specific theory for numerical fractal analysis based on methods of fractal interpolation and approximation (see, for example, [2, 4]). Acknowledgments We would like to thank Prof. Konrad Sandau, Dr. Peter Massopust, Dr. Angela Kempe, and Martin Kazmierczak for helpful discussions. 12

13 References [1] R. J. Adler, The Geometry of Random Fields, Wiley, New York, 1981 [2] M. Barnsley, Fractals Everywhere, Academic Press, London, 1988 [3] R.M. Crownover, Introduction to Fractals and Chaos. Johns and Bartlett Publishers, Inc., Boston, London, 1995 [4] K. Falconer, Fractal Geometry. Wiley, New York, 2003 [5] J. Feder, Fractals. Plenum Press, New York, 1988 [6] T. Gneting and M. Schlather, Stochastic models that separate fractal dimension and the Hurst effect. SIAM Review, V.46, No.2, 2004, P [7] B.B. Mandelbrot, The Fractal Geometry of Nature. W. H. Freeman and Co., New York, [8] B.B. Mandelbrot, Fractals and Scaling in Finance: Discontinuity, Concentration, Risk. Springer, New York, 2005 [9] P. Massopust, Fractal Functions, Fractal Surfaces, and Wavelets. Academic Press, 1995 [10] V.A. Ogorodnikov and S.M. Prigarin, Numerical Modelling of Random Processes and Fields: Algorithms and Applications. VSP, Utrecht, 1996 [11] S. Orey, Gaussian sample functions and the Hausdorff dimension of the level crossings. Z. Warhscheinlichkeitstheorie und Verw. Gebeite, 15 (1970), P [12] S. M. Prigarin, Spectral Models of Random Fields in Monte Carlo Methods. VSP, Utrecht, 2001 [13] K. Sandau, A note on fractal sets and the measurement of fractal dimension. Physica A, V.233, 1996, P.1 18 (reprinted from Sankhya: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Series A, Vol.25, Part 4, 1963) [14] K. Sandau and H.Kurz, Measuring fractal dimension and complexity - an alternative approach with an application. Journal of Microscopy, V.186, Pt.2, 1997, P [15] D. Stoyan and H. Stoyan, Fractals, Random Shapes and Point Fields. Wiley, Chichester,

14 Figure 1: Dependence of x-dimension of a realization of the Brownian motion (presented on top), N = 1000, with Hausdorff dimension 1.5 (dash lines) on the exploratory factor for methods X1 (in the middle) and X2 (at the bottom). V-dimension of the time series is equal to

15 Figure 2: Dependence of x-dimension of a realization of the fractional Brownian motion (presented on top), N = 1000, with Hausdorff dimension 1.1 (dash lines) on the exploratory factor for methods X1 (in the middle) and X2 (at the bottom). The values of v-dimension for this time series is equal to 1.14 for (4, 5, 6) and 1.11 for (4, 7, 8). 15

16 Figure 3: Dependence of x-dimension of a realization of the fractional Brownian motion (presented on top), N = 1000, with Hausdorff dimension 1.9 (dash lines) on the exploratory factor for methods X1 (in the middle) and X2 (at the bottom). V-dimension of the time series is equal to

17 Figure 4: Dependence of x-dimension of a realization of the Brownian motion (presented on top), N = 200, with Hausdorff dimension 1.5 (dash lines) on the exploratory factor for methods X1 (in the middle) and X2 (at the bottom). V-dimension of the time series is equal to

18 Figure 5: Dependence of x-dimension of a realization of the fractional Brownian motion (presented on top), N = 200, with Hausdorff dimension 1.1 (dash lines) on the exploratory factor for methods X1 (in the middle) and X2 (at the bottom). V-dimension of the time series is equal to

19 Figure 6: Dependence of x-dimension of a realization of the fractional Brownian motion (presented on top), N = 200, with Hausdorff dimension 1.9 (dash lines) on the exploratory factor for methods X1 (in the middle) and X2 (at the bottom). V-dimension of the time series is equal to

20 Figure 7: Dependence of x-dimension of a realization of the Brownian motion (presented on top), N = 5000, with Hausdorff dimension 1.5 (dash lines) on the exploratory factor for methods X1 (in the middle) and X2 (at the bottom). V-dimension of the time series is equal to

21 Figure 8: Dependence of x-dimension of a realization of the fractional Brownian motion (presented on top), N = 5000, with Hausdorff dimension 1.1 (dash lines) on the exploratory factor for methods X1 (in the middle) and X2 (at the bottom). V-dimension of the time series is equal to

22 Figure 9: Dependence of x-dimension of a realization of the fractional Brownian motion (presented on top), N = 5000, with Hausdorff dimension 1.9 (dash lines) on the exploratory factor for methods X1 (in the middle) and X2 (at the bottom). V-dimension of the time series is equal to

23 Figure 10: Dependence of x-dimension on the scaling factor for method X1 with exploratory factor M = 200 (solid line) and for method X2 with exploratory factor M = 100 (dot line) for the realization of the fractional Brownian motion presented on Fig.1 with the Hausdorff dimension 1.5 (dash line), N = Figure 11: Dependence of x-dimension on the scaling factor for method X1 with exploratory factor M = 200 (solid line) and for method X2 with exploratory factor M = 100 (dot line) for the realization of the fractional Brownian motion presented on Fig.2 with the Hausdorff dimension 1.1 (dash line), N =

24 Figure 12: Dependence of x-dimension on the scaling factor for method X1 with exploratory factor M = 200 (solid line) and for method X2 with exploratory factor M = 100 (dot line) for the realization of the fractional Brownian motion presented on Fig.3 with the Hausdorff dimension 1.9 (dash line), N = Figure 13: Dependence of x-dimension on the scaling factor for method X1 with exploratory factor M = 40 (solid line) and for method X2 with exploratory factor M = 20 (dot line) for the realization of the fractional Brownian motion presented on Fig.4 with the Hausdorff dimension 1.5 (dash line), N =

25 Figure 14: Dependence of x-dimension on the scaling factor for method X1 with exploratory factor M = 200 (solid line) and for method X2 with exploratory factor M = 100 (dot line) for the realization of the fractional Brownian motion presented on Fig.5 with the Hausdorff dimension 1.1 (dash line), N = 200. Figure 15: Dependence of x-dimension on the scaling factor for method X1 with exploratory factor M = 40 (solid line) and for method X2 with exploratory factor M = 20 (dot line) for the realization of the fractional Brownian motion presented on Fig.6 with the Hausdorff dimension 1.9 (dash line), N =

26 Figure 16: Dependence of x-dimension on the scaling factor for method X1 with exploratory factor M = 1000 (solid line) and for method X2 with exploratory factor M = 500 (dot line) for the realization of the fractional Brownian motion presented on Fig.7 with the Hausdorff dimension 1.5 (dash line), N = Figure 17: Dependence of x-dimension on the scaling factor for method X1 with exploratory factor M = 1000 (solid line) and for method X2 with exploratory factor M = 500 (dot line) for the realization of the fractional Brownian motion presented on Fig.8 with the Hausdorff dimension 1.1 (dash line), N =

27 Figure 18: Dependence of x-dimension on the scaling factor for method X1 with exploratory factor M = 1000 (solid line) and for method X2 with exploratory factor M = 500 (dot line) for the realization of the fractional Brownian motion presented on Fig.9 with the Hausdorff dimension 1.9 (dash line), N = Figure 19: Box-whisker plots with 0.05 and 0.95 box-quantiles for distributions of v-dimension (4, 5, 6) and x-dimension (method X1, C y = 1, M = 40) obtained for time series (9) with N = 200 and the values of the Hausdorff dimension (shown by black points) 1.1, 1.3, 1.5, 1.7, 1.9. Sample size for one box-whisker plot is

28 Figure 20: Box-whisker plots with 0.05 and 0.95 box-quantiles for distributions of v-dimension (4, 5, 6) and x-dimension (methods X1 and X2) obtained for time series (9) with N = 500 and the values of the Hausdorff dimension (shown by black points) 1.1, 1.3, 1.5, 1.7, 1.9. Sample size for one box-whisker plot is The following parameters were used for x-dimension: C y = 1, M = 100 for method X1, and C y = 1, M = 50 for method X2. 28

Lecture 1: Brief Review on Stochastic Processes

Lecture 1: Brief Review on Stochastic Processes Lecture 1: Brief Review on Stochastic Processes A stochastic process is a collection of random variables {X t (s) : t T, s S}, where T is some index set and S is the common sample space of the random variables.

More information

ELEMENTS OF PROBABILITY THEORY

ELEMENTS OF PROBABILITY THEORY ELEMENTS OF PROBABILITY THEORY Elements of Probability Theory A collection of subsets of a set Ω is called a σ algebra if it contains Ω and is closed under the operations of taking complements and countable

More information

Martin, Andreas; Prigarin, Sergej M.; Winkler, Gerhard. Working Paper Exact and fast numerical algorithms for the stochastic wave equation

Martin, Andreas; Prigarin, Sergej M.; Winkler, Gerhard. Working Paper Exact and fast numerical algorithms for the stochastic wave equation econstor www.econstor.eu Der Open-Access-Publiationsserver der ZBW Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft The Open Access Publication Server of the ZBW Leibniz Information Centre for Economics Martin,

More information

Reliability Theory of Dynamically Loaded Structures (cont.)

Reliability Theory of Dynamically Loaded Structures (cont.) Outline of Reliability Theory of Dynamically Loaded Structures (cont.) Probability Density Function of Local Maxima in a Stationary Gaussian Process. Distribution of Extreme Values. Monte Carlo Simulation

More information

From Fractional Brownian Motion to Multifractional Brownian Motion

From Fractional Brownian Motion to Multifractional Brownian Motion From Fractional Brownian Motion to Multifractional Brownian Motion Antoine Ayache USTL (Lille) Antoine.Ayache@math.univ-lille1.fr Cassino December 2010 A.Ayache (USTL) From FBM to MBM Cassino December

More information

Module 9: Stationary Processes

Module 9: Stationary Processes Module 9: Stationary Processes Lecture 1 Stationary Processes 1 Introduction A stationary process is a stochastic process whose joint probability distribution does not change when shifted in time or space.

More information

Brownian Motion and Poisson Process

Brownian Motion and Poisson Process and Poisson Process She: What is white noise? He: It is the best model of a totally unpredictable process. She: Are you implying, I am white noise? He: No, it does not exist. Dialogue of an unknown couple.

More information

GAUSSIAN PROCESSES; KOLMOGOROV-CHENTSOV THEOREM

GAUSSIAN PROCESSES; KOLMOGOROV-CHENTSOV THEOREM GAUSSIAN PROCESSES; KOLMOGOROV-CHENTSOV THEOREM STEVEN P. LALLEY 1. GAUSSIAN PROCESSES: DEFINITIONS AND EXAMPLES Definition 1.1. A standard (one-dimensional) Wiener process (also called Brownian motion)

More information

Numerical Probabilistic Analysis under Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainty

Numerical Probabilistic Analysis under Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainty Numerical Probabilistic Analysis under Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainty Boris S. Dobronets Institute of Space and Information Technologies, Siberian Federal University, Krasnoyarsk, Russia BDobronets@sfu-kras.ru

More information

HIDDEN VARIABLE BIVARIATE FRACTAL INTERPOLATION SURFACES

HIDDEN VARIABLE BIVARIATE FRACTAL INTERPOLATION SURFACES Fractals, Vol. 11, No. 3 (2003 277 288 c World Scientific Publishing Company HIDDEN VARIABLE BIVARIATE FRACTAL INTERPOLATION SURFACES A. K. B. CHAND and G. P. KAPOOR Department of Mathematics, Indian Institute

More information

Lecture 1: Pragmatic Introduction to Stochastic Differential Equations

Lecture 1: Pragmatic Introduction to Stochastic Differential Equations Lecture 1: Pragmatic Introduction to Stochastic Differential Equations Simo Särkkä Aalto University, Finland (visiting at Oxford University, UK) November 13, 2013 Simo Särkkä (Aalto) Lecture 1: Pragmatic

More information

Gaussian Processes. Le Song. Machine Learning II: Advanced Topics CSE 8803ML, Spring 2012

Gaussian Processes. Le Song. Machine Learning II: Advanced Topics CSE 8803ML, Spring 2012 Gaussian Processes Le Song Machine Learning II: Advanced Topics CSE 8803ML, Spring 01 Pictorial view of embedding distribution Transform the entire distribution to expected features Feature space Feature

More information

Sequential Monte Carlo methods for filtering of unobservable components of multidimensional diffusion Markov processes

Sequential Monte Carlo methods for filtering of unobservable components of multidimensional diffusion Markov processes Sequential Monte Carlo methods for filtering of unobservable components of multidimensional diffusion Markov processes Ellida M. Khazen * 13395 Coppermine Rd. Apartment 410 Herndon VA 20171 USA Abstract

More information

A Polynomial Chaos Approach to Robust Multiobjective Optimization

A Polynomial Chaos Approach to Robust Multiobjective Optimization A Polynomial Chaos Approach to Robust Multiobjective Optimization Silvia Poles 1, Alberto Lovison 2 1 EnginSoft S.p.A., Optimization Consulting Via Giambellino, 7 35129 Padova, Italy s.poles@enginsoft.it

More information

1. Fundamental concepts

1. Fundamental concepts . Fundamental concepts A time series is a sequence of data points, measured typically at successive times spaced at uniform intervals. Time series are used in such fields as statistics, signal processing

More information

Probability Theory, Random Processes and Mathematical Statistics

Probability Theory, Random Processes and Mathematical Statistics Probability Theory, Random Processes and Mathematical Statistics Mathematics and Its Applications Managing Editor: M.HAZEWINKEL Centre for Mathematics and Computer Science, Amsterdam, The Netherlands Volume

More information

Performance Evaluation of Generalized Polynomial Chaos

Performance Evaluation of Generalized Polynomial Chaos Performance Evaluation of Generalized Polynomial Chaos Dongbin Xiu, Didier Lucor, C.-H. Su, and George Em Karniadakis 1 Division of Applied Mathematics, Brown University, Providence, RI 02912, USA, gk@dam.brown.edu

More information

Gamma process model for time-dependent structural reliability analysis

Gamma process model for time-dependent structural reliability analysis Gamma process model for time-dependent structural reliability analysis M.D. Pandey Department of Civil Engineering, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada J.M. van Noortwijk HKV Consultants,

More information

Estimating functional uncertainty using polynomial chaos and adjoint equations

Estimating functional uncertainty using polynomial chaos and adjoint equations 0. Estimating functional uncertainty using polynomial chaos and adjoint equations February 24, 2011 1 Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida, Usa 2 Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology, Moscow,

More information

Intermittency, Fractals, and β-model

Intermittency, Fractals, and β-model Intermittency, Fractals, and β-model Lecture by Prof. P. H. Diamond, note by Rongjie Hong I. INTRODUCTION An essential assumption of Kolmogorov 1941 theory is that eddies of any generation are space filling

More information

Mobile Robot Localization

Mobile Robot Localization Mobile Robot Localization 1 The Problem of Robot Localization Given a map of the environment, how can a robot determine its pose (planar coordinates + orientation)? Two sources of uncertainty: - observations

More information

3.4 Linear Least-Squares Filter

3.4 Linear Least-Squares Filter X(n) = [x(1), x(2),..., x(n)] T 1 3.4 Linear Least-Squares Filter Two characteristics of linear least-squares filter: 1. The filter is built around a single linear neuron. 2. The cost function is the sum

More information

Advanced analysis and modelling tools for spatial environmental data. Case study: indoor radon data in Switzerland

Advanced analysis and modelling tools for spatial environmental data. Case study: indoor radon data in Switzerland EnviroInfo 2004 (Geneva) Sh@ring EnviroInfo 2004 Advanced analysis and modelling tools for spatial environmental data. Case study: indoor radon data in Switzerland Mikhail Kanevski 1, Michel Maignan 1

More information

PROBABILITY: LIMIT THEOREMS II, SPRING HOMEWORK PROBLEMS

PROBABILITY: LIMIT THEOREMS II, SPRING HOMEWORK PROBLEMS PROBABILITY: LIMIT THEOREMS II, SPRING 218. HOMEWORK PROBLEMS PROF. YURI BAKHTIN Instructions. You are allowed to work on solutions in groups, but you are required to write up solutions on your own. Please

More information

Anomaly Density Estimation from Strip Transect Data: Pueblo of Isleta Example

Anomaly Density Estimation from Strip Transect Data: Pueblo of Isleta Example Anomaly Density Estimation from Strip Transect Data: Pueblo of Isleta Example Sean A. McKenna, Sandia National Laboratories Brent Pulsipher, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory May 5 Distribution Statement

More information

Adventures in Stochastic Processes

Adventures in Stochastic Processes Sidney Resnick Adventures in Stochastic Processes with Illustrations Birkhäuser Boston Basel Berlin Table of Contents Preface ix CHAPTER 1. PRELIMINARIES: DISCRETE INDEX SETS AND/OR DISCRETE STATE SPACES

More information

27 : Distributed Monte Carlo Markov Chain. 1 Recap of MCMC and Naive Parallel Gibbs Sampling

27 : Distributed Monte Carlo Markov Chain. 1 Recap of MCMC and Naive Parallel Gibbs Sampling 10-708: Probabilistic Graphical Models 10-708, Spring 2014 27 : Distributed Monte Carlo Markov Chain Lecturer: Eric P. Xing Scribes: Pengtao Xie, Khoa Luu In this scribe, we are going to review the Parallel

More information

Gaussian, Markov and stationary processes

Gaussian, Markov and stationary processes Gaussian, Markov and stationary processes Gonzalo Mateos Dept. of ECE and Goergen Institute for Data Science University of Rochester gmateosb@ece.rochester.edu http://www.ece.rochester.edu/~gmateosb/ November

More information

(b) What is the variance of the time until the second customer arrives, starting empty, assuming that we measure time in minutes?

(b) What is the variance of the time until the second customer arrives, starting empty, assuming that we measure time in minutes? IEOR 3106: Introduction to Operations Research: Stochastic Models Fall 2006, Professor Whitt SOLUTIONS to Final Exam Chapters 4-7 and 10 in Ross, Tuesday, December 19, 4:10pm-7:00pm Open Book: but only

More information

Time series models in the Frequency domain. The power spectrum, Spectral analysis

Time series models in the Frequency domain. The power spectrum, Spectral analysis ime series models in the Frequency domain he power spectrum, Spectral analysis Relationship between the periodogram and the autocorrelations = + = ( ) ( ˆ α ˆ ) β I Yt cos t + Yt sin t t= t= ( ( ) ) cosλ

More information

PACKING-DIMENSION PROFILES AND FRACTIONAL BROWNIAN MOTION

PACKING-DIMENSION PROFILES AND FRACTIONAL BROWNIAN MOTION PACKING-DIMENSION PROFILES AND FRACTIONAL BROWNIAN MOTION DAVAR KHOSHNEVISAN AND YIMIN XIAO Abstract. In order to compute the packing dimension of orthogonal projections Falconer and Howroyd 997) introduced

More information

Lecture 4: Stochastic Processes (I)

Lecture 4: Stochastic Processes (I) Miranda Holmes-Cerfon Applied Stochastic Analysis, Spring 215 Lecture 4: Stochastic Processes (I) Readings Recommended: Pavliotis [214], sections 1.1, 1.2 Grimmett and Stirzaker [21], section 9.4 (spectral

More information

FRACTAL GEOMETRY, DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS AND CHAOS

FRACTAL GEOMETRY, DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS AND CHAOS FRACTAL GEOMETRY, DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS AND CHAOS MIDTERM SOLUTIONS. Let f : R R be the map on the line generated by the function f(x) = x 3. Find all the fixed points of f and determine the type of their

More information

INTRODUCTION TO FRACTAL GEOMETRY

INTRODUCTION TO FRACTAL GEOMETRY Every mathematical theory, however abstract, is inspired by some idea coming in our mind from the observation of nature, and has some application to our world, even if very unexpected ones and lying centuries

More information

JRC = D D - 1

JRC = D D - 1 http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0370-44672017710099 David Alvarenga Drumond http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5383-8566 Pesquisador Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul - UFRGS Escola de Engenharia Departamento

More information

Modelling internet round-trip time data

Modelling internet round-trip time data Modelling internet round-trip time data Keith Briggs Keith.Briggs@bt.com http://research.btexact.com/teralab/keithbriggs.html University of York 2003 July 18 typeset 2003 July 15 13:55 in LATEX2e on a

More information

Introduction to the Numerical Solution of SDEs Selected topics

Introduction to the Numerical Solution of SDEs Selected topics 0 / 23 Introduction to the Numerical Solution of SDEs Selected topics Andreas Rößler Summer School on Numerical Methods for Stochastic Differential Equations at Vienna University of Technology, Austria

More information

Stochastic differential equation models in biology Susanne Ditlevsen

Stochastic differential equation models in biology Susanne Ditlevsen Stochastic differential equation models in biology Susanne Ditlevsen Introduction This chapter is concerned with continuous time processes, which are often modeled as a system of ordinary differential

More information

Scaling Limits of Waves in Convex Scalar Conservation Laws Under Random Initial Perturbations

Scaling Limits of Waves in Convex Scalar Conservation Laws Under Random Initial Perturbations Journal of Statistical Physics, Vol. 122, No. 2, January 2006 ( C 2006 ) DOI: 10.1007/s10955-005-8006-x Scaling Limits of Waves in Convex Scalar Conservation Laws Under Random Initial Perturbations Jan

More information

Functional Limit theorems for the quadratic variation of a continuous time random walk and for certain stochastic integrals

Functional Limit theorems for the quadratic variation of a continuous time random walk and for certain stochastic integrals Functional Limit theorems for the quadratic variation of a continuous time random walk and for certain stochastic integrals Noèlia Viles Cuadros BCAM- Basque Center of Applied Mathematics with Prof. Enrico

More information

Small ball probabilities and metric entropy

Small ball probabilities and metric entropy Small ball probabilities and metric entropy Frank Aurzada, TU Berlin Sydney, February 2012 MCQMC Outline 1 Small ball probabilities vs. metric entropy 2 Connection to other questions 3 Recent results for

More information

Polynomial Chaos and Karhunen-Loeve Expansion

Polynomial Chaos and Karhunen-Loeve Expansion Polynomial Chaos and Karhunen-Loeve Expansion 1) Random Variables Consider a system that is modeled by R = M(x, t, X) where X is a random variable. We are interested in determining the probability of the

More information

Packing-Dimension Profiles and Fractional Brownian Motion

Packing-Dimension Profiles and Fractional Brownian Motion Under consideration for publication in Math. Proc. Camb. Phil. Soc. 1 Packing-Dimension Profiles and Fractional Brownian Motion By DAVAR KHOSHNEVISAN Department of Mathematics, 155 S. 1400 E., JWB 233,

More information

Table of Contents. Multivariate methods. Introduction II. Introduction I

Table of Contents. Multivariate methods. Introduction II. Introduction I Table of Contents Introduction Antti Penttilä Department of Physics University of Helsinki Exactum summer school, 04 Construction of multinormal distribution Test of multinormality with 3 Interpretation

More information

Lecture 9. d N(0, 1). Now we fix n and think of a SRW on [0,1]. We take the k th step at time k n. and our increments are ± 1

Lecture 9. d N(0, 1). Now we fix n and think of a SRW on [0,1]. We take the k th step at time k n. and our increments are ± 1 Random Walks and Brownian Motion Tel Aviv University Spring 011 Lecture date: May 0, 011 Lecture 9 Instructor: Ron Peled Scribe: Jonathan Hermon In today s lecture we present the Brownian motion (BM).

More information

Example 4.1 Let X be a random variable and f(t) a given function of time. Then. Y (t) = f(t)x. Y (t) = X sin(ωt + δ)

Example 4.1 Let X be a random variable and f(t) a given function of time. Then. Y (t) = f(t)x. Y (t) = X sin(ωt + δ) Chapter 4 Stochastic Processes 4. Definition In the previous chapter we studied random variables as functions on a sample space X(ω), ω Ω, without regard to how these might depend on parameters. We now

More information

In terms of measures: Exercise 1. Existence of a Gaussian process: Theorem 2. Remark 3.

In terms of measures: Exercise 1. Existence of a Gaussian process: Theorem 2. Remark 3. 1. GAUSSIAN PROCESSES A Gaussian process on a set T is a collection of random variables X =(X t ) t T on a common probability space such that for any n 1 and any t 1,...,t n T, the vector (X(t 1 ),...,X(t

More information

Gaussian processes. Chuong B. Do (updated by Honglak Lee) November 22, 2008

Gaussian processes. Chuong B. Do (updated by Honglak Lee) November 22, 2008 Gaussian processes Chuong B Do (updated by Honglak Lee) November 22, 2008 Many of the classical machine learning algorithms that we talked about during the first half of this course fit the following pattern:

More information

Made available courtesy of Elsevier:

Made available courtesy of Elsevier: A note on processes with random stationary increments By: Haimeng Zhang, Chunfeng Huang Zhang, H. and Huang, C. (2014). A Note on Processes with Random Stationary Increments. Statistics and Probability

More information

Simultaneous Accumulation Points to Sets of d-tuples

Simultaneous Accumulation Points to Sets of d-tuples ISSN 1749-3889 print, 1749-3897 online International Journal of Nonlinear Science Vol.92010 No.2,pp.224-228 Simultaneous Accumulation Points to Sets of d-tuples Zhaoxin Yin, Meifeng Dai Nonlinear Scientific

More information

Financial Econometrics

Financial Econometrics Financial Econometrics Nonlinear time series analysis Gerald P. Dwyer Trinity College, Dublin January 2016 Outline 1 Nonlinearity Does nonlinearity matter? Nonlinear models Tests for nonlinearity Forecasting

More information

A Tapestry of Complex Dimensions

A Tapestry of Complex Dimensions A Tapestry of Complex Dimensions John A. Rock May 7th, 2009 1 f (α) dim M(supp( β)) (a) (b) α Figure 1: (a) Construction of the binomial measure β. spectrum f(α) of the measure β. (b) The multifractal

More information

Mobile Robot Localization

Mobile Robot Localization Mobile Robot Localization 1 The Problem of Robot Localization Given a map of the environment, how can a robot determine its pose (planar coordinates + orientation)? Two sources of uncertainty: - observations

More information

Introduction to Computational Stochastic Differential Equations

Introduction to Computational Stochastic Differential Equations Introduction to Computational Stochastic Differential Equations Gabriel J. Lord Catherine E. Powell Tony Shardlow Preface Techniques for solving many of the differential equations traditionally used by

More information

Construction of Smooth Fractal Surfaces Using Hermite Fractal Interpolation Functions. P. Bouboulis, L. Dalla and M. Kostaki-Kosta

Construction of Smooth Fractal Surfaces Using Hermite Fractal Interpolation Functions. P. Bouboulis, L. Dalla and M. Kostaki-Kosta BULLETIN OF THE GREEK MATHEMATICAL SOCIETY Volume 54 27 (79 95) Construction of Smooth Fractal Surfaces Using Hermite Fractal Interpolation Functions P. Bouboulis L. Dalla and M. Kostaki-Kosta Received

More information

Wiener Measure and Brownian Motion

Wiener Measure and Brownian Motion Chapter 16 Wiener Measure and Brownian Motion Diffusion of particles is a product of their apparently random motion. The density u(t, x) of diffusing particles satisfies the diffusion equation (16.1) u

More information

Key words and phrases. Hausdorff measure, self-similar set, Sierpinski triangle The research of Móra was supported by OTKA Foundation #TS49835

Key words and phrases. Hausdorff measure, self-similar set, Sierpinski triangle The research of Móra was supported by OTKA Foundation #TS49835 Key words and phrases. Hausdorff measure, self-similar set, Sierpinski triangle The research of Móra was supported by OTKA Foundation #TS49835 Department of Stochastics, Institute of Mathematics, Budapest

More information

Stochastic Processes. M. Sami Fadali Professor of Electrical Engineering University of Nevada, Reno

Stochastic Processes. M. Sami Fadali Professor of Electrical Engineering University of Nevada, Reno Stochastic Processes M. Sami Fadali Professor of Electrical Engineering University of Nevada, Reno 1 Outline Stochastic (random) processes. Autocorrelation. Crosscorrelation. Spectral density function.

More information

Monte Carlo Method for Finding the Solution of Dirichlet Partial Differential Equations

Monte Carlo Method for Finding the Solution of Dirichlet Partial Differential Equations Applied Mathematical Sciences, Vol. 1, 2007, no. 10, 453-462 Monte Carlo Method for Finding the Solution of Dirichlet Partial Differential Equations Behrouz Fathi Vajargah Department of Mathematics Guilan

More information

Applied Probability and Stochastic Processes

Applied Probability and Stochastic Processes Applied Probability and Stochastic Processes In Engineering and Physical Sciences MICHEL K. OCHI University of Florida A Wiley-Interscience Publication JOHN WILEY & SONS New York - Chichester Brisbane

More information

Complex Systems. Shlomo Havlin. Content:

Complex Systems. Shlomo Havlin. Content: Complex Systems Content: Shlomo Havlin 1. Fractals: Fractals in Nature, mathematical fractals, selfsimilarity, scaling laws, relation to chaos, multifractals. 2. Percolation: phase transition, critical

More information

Solution of Stochastic Nonlinear PDEs Using Wiener-Hermite Expansion of High Orders

Solution of Stochastic Nonlinear PDEs Using Wiener-Hermite Expansion of High Orders Solution of Stochastic Nonlinear PDEs Using Wiener-Hermite Expansion of High Orders Dr. Mohamed El-Beltagy 1,2 Joint Wor with Late Prof. Magdy El-Tawil 2 1 Effat University, Engineering College, Electrical

More information

Brownian Motion. 1 Definition Brownian Motion Wiener measure... 3

Brownian Motion. 1 Definition Brownian Motion Wiener measure... 3 Brownian Motion Contents 1 Definition 2 1.1 Brownian Motion................................. 2 1.2 Wiener measure.................................. 3 2 Construction 4 2.1 Gaussian process.................................

More information

The influence of noise on two- and three-frequency quasi-periodicity in a simple model system

The influence of noise on two- and three-frequency quasi-periodicity in a simple model system arxiv:1712.06011v1 [nlin.cd] 16 Dec 2017 The influence of noise on two- and three-frequency quasi-periodicity in a simple model system A.P. Kuznetsov, S.P. Kuznetsov and Yu.V. Sedova December 19, 2017

More information

If we want to analyze experimental or simulated data we might encounter the following tasks:

If we want to analyze experimental or simulated data we might encounter the following tasks: Chapter 1 Introduction If we want to analyze experimental or simulated data we might encounter the following tasks: Characterization of the source of the signal and diagnosis Studying dependencies Prediction

More information

Chapter Introduction

Chapter Introduction Chapter 4 4.1. Introduction Time series analysis approach for analyzing and understanding real world problems such as climatic and financial data is quite popular in the scientific world (Addison (2002),

More information

Brownian Motion and Conditional Probability

Brownian Motion and Conditional Probability Math 561: Theory of Probability (Spring 2018) Week 10 Brownian Motion and Conditional Probability 10.1 Standard Brownian Motion (SBM) Brownian motion is a stochastic process with both practical and theoretical

More information

IV. Covariance Analysis

IV. Covariance Analysis IV. Covariance Analysis Autocovariance Remember that when a stochastic process has time values that are interdependent, then we can characterize that interdependency by computing the autocovariance function.

More information

System Modeling and Identification CHBE 702 Korea University Prof. Dae Ryook Yang

System Modeling and Identification CHBE 702 Korea University Prof. Dae Ryook Yang System Modeling and Identification CHBE 702 Korea University Prof. Dae Ryook Yang 1-1 Course Description Emphases Delivering concepts and Practice Programming Identification Methods using Matlab Class

More information

Scaling Limits of Waves in Convex Scalar Conservation Laws under Random Initial Perturbations

Scaling Limits of Waves in Convex Scalar Conservation Laws under Random Initial Perturbations Scaling Limits of Waves in Convex Scalar Conservation Laws under Random Initial Perturbations Jan Wehr and Jack Xin Abstract We study waves in convex scalar conservation laws under noisy initial perturbations.

More information

On the Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Some Continuous Time Processes

On the Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Some Continuous Time Processes On the Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Some Continuous Time Processes Sergueï Dachian and Yury A. Kutoyants Laboratoire de Mathématiques, Université Blaise Pascal Laboratoire de Statistique et Processus, Université

More information

EFFICIENT SHAPE OPTIMIZATION USING POLYNOMIAL CHAOS EXPANSION AND LOCAL SENSITIVITIES

EFFICIENT SHAPE OPTIMIZATION USING POLYNOMIAL CHAOS EXPANSION AND LOCAL SENSITIVITIES 9 th ASCE Specialty Conference on Probabilistic Mechanics and Structural Reliability EFFICIENT SHAPE OPTIMIZATION USING POLYNOMIAL CHAOS EXPANSION AND LOCAL SENSITIVITIES Nam H. Kim and Haoyu Wang University

More information

PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS Vol. I - Random Variables and Their Distributions - Wiebe R. Pestman RANDOM VARIABLES AND THEIR DISTRIBUTIONS

PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS Vol. I - Random Variables and Their Distributions - Wiebe R. Pestman RANDOM VARIABLES AND THEIR DISTRIBUTIONS RANDOM VARIABLES AND THEIR DISTRIBUTIONS Wiebe R. Pestman Centre for Biostatistics, University of Utrecht, Holland Keywords: Random variable, Probability distribution, Distribution function, Independence,

More information

Self-intersection local time for Gaussian processes

Self-intersection local time for Gaussian processes Self-intersection local Olga Izyumtseva, olaizyumtseva@yahoo.com (in collaboration with Andrey Dorogovtsev, adoro@imath.kiev.ua) Department of theory of random processes Institute of mathematics Ukrainian

More information

Random sets. Distributions, capacities and their applications. Ilya Molchanov. University of Bern, Switzerland

Random sets. Distributions, capacities and their applications. Ilya Molchanov. University of Bern, Switzerland Random sets Distributions, capacities and their applications Ilya Molchanov University of Bern, Switzerland Molchanov Random sets - Lecture 1. Winter School Sandbjerg, Jan 2007 1 E = R d ) Definitions

More information

Stochastic Processes

Stochastic Processes Stochastic Processes Stochastic Process Non Formal Definition: Non formal: A stochastic process (random process) is the opposite of a deterministic process such as one defined by a differential equation.

More information

Using all observations when forecasting under structural breaks

Using all observations when forecasting under structural breaks Using all observations when forecasting under structural breaks Stanislav Anatolyev New Economic School Victor Kitov Moscow State University December 2007 Abstract We extend the idea of the trade-off window

More information

Subsampling Cumulative Covariance Estimator

Subsampling Cumulative Covariance Estimator Subsampling Cumulative Covariance Estimator Taro Kanatani Faculty of Economics, Shiga University 1-1-1 Bamba, Hikone, Shiga 5228522, Japan February 2009 Abstract In this paper subsampling Cumulative Covariance

More information

A multifractal random walk

A multifractal random walk A multifractal random walk E. Bacry Centre de Mathématiques Appliquées, Ecole Polytechnique, 91128 Palaiseau Cedex, France J. Delour and J.F. Muzy Centre de Recherche Paul Pascal, Avenue Schweitzer 33600

More information

arxiv:cond-mat/ v1 24 May 2000

arxiv:cond-mat/ v1 24 May 2000 A multifractal random walk E. Bacry Centre de Mathématiques Appliquées, Ecole Polytechnique, 91128 Palaiseau Cedex, France J. Delour and J.F. Muzy Centre de Recherche Paul Pascal, Avenue Schweitzer 336

More information

PROBABILITY: LIMIT THEOREMS II, SPRING HOMEWORK PROBLEMS

PROBABILITY: LIMIT THEOREMS II, SPRING HOMEWORK PROBLEMS PROBABILITY: LIMIT THEOREMS II, SPRING 15. HOMEWORK PROBLEMS PROF. YURI BAKHTIN Instructions. You are allowed to work on solutions in groups, but you are required to write up solutions on your own. Please

More information

Fractals. Mandelbrot defines a fractal set as one in which the fractal dimension is strictly greater than the topological dimension.

Fractals. Mandelbrot defines a fractal set as one in which the fractal dimension is strictly greater than the topological dimension. Fractals Fractals are unusual, imperfectly defined, mathematical objects that observe self-similarity, that the parts are somehow self-similar to the whole. This self-similarity process implies that fractals

More information

STAT 331. Martingale Central Limit Theorem and Related Results

STAT 331. Martingale Central Limit Theorem and Related Results STAT 331 Martingale Central Limit Theorem and Related Results In this unit we discuss a version of the martingale central limit theorem, which states that under certain conditions, a sum of orthogonal

More information

OPTIMAL FUSION OF SENSOR DATA FOR DISCRETE KALMAN FILTERING Z. G. FENG, K. L. TEO, N. U. AHMED, Y. ZHAO, AND W. Y. YAN

OPTIMAL FUSION OF SENSOR DATA FOR DISCRETE KALMAN FILTERING Z. G. FENG, K. L. TEO, N. U. AHMED, Y. ZHAO, AND W. Y. YAN Dynamic Systems and Applications 16 (2007) 393-406 OPTIMAL FUSION OF SENSOR DATA FOR DISCRETE KALMAN FILTERING Z. G. FENG, K. L. TEO, N. U. AHMED, Y. ZHAO, AND W. Y. YAN College of Mathematics and Computer

More information

Utility of Correlation Functions

Utility of Correlation Functions Utility of Correlation Functions 1. As a means for estimating power spectra (e.g. a correlator + WK theorem). 2. For establishing characteristic time scales in time series (width of the ACF or ACV). 3.

More information

A NEW PROOF OF THE WIENER HOPF FACTORIZATION VIA BASU S THEOREM

A NEW PROOF OF THE WIENER HOPF FACTORIZATION VIA BASU S THEOREM J. Appl. Prob. 49, 876 882 (2012 Printed in England Applied Probability Trust 2012 A NEW PROOF OF THE WIENER HOPF FACTORIZATION VIA BASU S THEOREM BRIAN FRALIX and COLIN GALLAGHER, Clemson University Abstract

More information

Topics in fractional Brownian motion

Topics in fractional Brownian motion Topics in fractional Brownian motion Esko Valkeila Spring School, Jena 25.3. 2011 We plan to discuss the following items during these lectures: Fractional Brownian motion and its properties. Topics in

More information

Nondeterministic Kinetics Based Feature Clustering for Fractal Pattern Coding

Nondeterministic Kinetics Based Feature Clustering for Fractal Pattern Coding Nondeterministic Kinetics Based Feature Clustering for Fractal Pattern Coding Kohji Kamejima Faculty of Engineering, Osaka Institute of Technology 5-16-1 Omiya, Asahi, Osaka 535-8585 JAPAN Tel: +81 6 6954-4330;

More information

arxiv:cond-mat/ v1 [cond-mat.stat-mech] 15 Feb 1999

arxiv:cond-mat/ v1 [cond-mat.stat-mech] 15 Feb 1999 Fractional Brownian Motion Approximation arxiv:cond-mat/9902209v1 [cond-mat.stat-mech] 15 Feb 1999 Based on Fractional Integration of a White Noise A. V. Chechkin and V. Yu. Gonchar Institute for Theoretical

More information

Highly Robust Variogram Estimation 1. Marc G. Genton 2

Highly Robust Variogram Estimation 1. Marc G. Genton 2 Mathematical Geology, Vol. 30, No. 2, 1998 Highly Robust Variogram Estimation 1 Marc G. Genton 2 The classical variogram estimator proposed by Matheron is not robust against outliers in the data, nor is

More information

21 Gaussian spaces and processes

21 Gaussian spaces and processes Tel Aviv University, 2010 Gaussian measures : infinite dimension 1 21 Gaussian spaces and processes 21a Gaussian spaces: finite dimension......... 1 21b Toward Gaussian random processes....... 2 21c Random

More information

Variational iteration method for solving multispecies Lotka Volterra equations

Variational iteration method for solving multispecies Lotka Volterra equations Computers and Mathematics with Applications 54 27 93 99 www.elsevier.com/locate/camwa Variational iteration method for solving multispecies Lotka Volterra equations B. Batiha, M.S.M. Noorani, I. Hashim

More information

On the periodic logistic equation

On the periodic logistic equation On the periodic logistic equation Ziyad AlSharawi a,1 and James Angelos a, a Central Michigan University, Mount Pleasant, MI 48858 Abstract We show that the p-periodic logistic equation x n+1 = µ n mod

More information

Fractal functional filtering ad regularization

Fractal functional filtering ad regularization Fractal functional filtering ad regularization R. Fernández-Pascual 1 and M.D. Ruiz-Medina 2 1 Department of Statistics and Operation Research, University of Jaén Campus Las Lagunillas 23071 Jaén, Spain

More information

Filtrations, Markov Processes and Martingales. Lectures on Lévy Processes and Stochastic Calculus, Braunschweig, Lecture 3: The Lévy-Itô Decomposition

Filtrations, Markov Processes and Martingales. Lectures on Lévy Processes and Stochastic Calculus, Braunschweig, Lecture 3: The Lévy-Itô Decomposition Filtrations, Markov Processes and Martingales Lectures on Lévy Processes and Stochastic Calculus, Braunschweig, Lecture 3: The Lévy-Itô Decomposition David pplebaum Probability and Statistics Department,

More information

Fundamentals of Applied Probability and Random Processes

Fundamentals of Applied Probability and Random Processes Fundamentals of Applied Probability and Random Processes,nd 2 na Edition Oliver C. Ibe University of Massachusetts, LoweLL, Massachusetts ip^ W >!^ AMSTERDAM BOSTON HEIDELBERG LONDON NEW YORK OXFORD PARIS

More information

Stochastic Processes

Stochastic Processes Elements of Lecture II Hamid R. Rabiee with thanks to Ali Jalali Overview Reading Assignment Chapter 9 of textbook Further Resources MIT Open Course Ware S. Karlin and H. M. Taylor, A First Course in Stochastic

More information

Statistical Modeling and Cliodynamics

Statistical Modeling and Cliodynamics Statistical Modeling and Cliodynamics Dave Darmon and Lucia Simonelli M3C Tutorial 3 October 17, 2013 Overview 1 Why probability and statistics? 2 Intro to Probability and Statistics 3 Cliodynamics; or,

More information

Geostatistics for Seismic Data Integration in Earth Models

Geostatistics for Seismic Data Integration in Earth Models 2003 Distinguished Instructor Short Course Distinguished Instructor Series, No. 6 sponsored by the Society of Exploration Geophysicists European Association of Geoscientists & Engineers SUB Gottingen 7

More information

ITERATED FUNCTION SYSTEMS WITH CONTINUOUS PLACE DEPENDENT PROBABILITIES

ITERATED FUNCTION SYSTEMS WITH CONTINUOUS PLACE DEPENDENT PROBABILITIES UNIVERSITATIS IAGELLONICAE ACTA MATHEMATICA, FASCICULUS XL 2002 ITERATED FUNCTION SYSTEMS WITH CONTINUOUS PLACE DEPENDENT PROBABILITIES by Joanna Jaroszewska Abstract. We study the asymptotic behaviour

More information