Necessary and sufficient conditions for the convergence of the consistent maximal displacement of the branching random walk

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Necessary and sufficient conditions for the convergence of the consistent maximal displacement of the branching random walk"

Transcription

1 Necessary and sufficient conditions for the convergence of the consistent maximal displacement of the branching random walk Bastien Mallein January 4, 08 Abstract Consider a supercritical branching random walk on R. he consistent maximal displacement is the smallest of the distances between the traectories of individuals at the nth generation and the boundary of the process. It has been proved see Fang and Zeitouni [], Faraud, Hu and Shi [] that the consistent maximal displacement grows almost surely at rate λ n /3 for an explicit λ. We obtain here ecessary and sufficient condition for this asymptotic behaviour to hold. Introduction A branching random walk on R is a process defined as follows. It starts with one individual located at 0 at time 0. Its children are positioned in R according to a point process of law L, and form the first generation of the process. hen for any n N, each individual in the n-th generation makes children around its current position according to an independent point process with law L. We write for the genealogical tree of the population. For any u we denote by V u the position of the individual u and by u the generation to which u belongs. he random marked tree, V is the branching random walk with reproduction law L. We assume the Galton-Watson tree is supercritical, i.e. E >,. u = and we write S = {# = } for the survival event, which happens with positive probability under assumption.. We also assume the branching random walk, V is in the boundary case in the sense of [8]: E V u e = and E V u V ue = 0.. u = u = LAGA, Université Paris 3 Villetaneuse.

2 Under these assumptions, Biggins [7] proved that n min u =n V u converges to 0 almost surely on S. Any branching random walk with mild integrability assumption can be normalized to be in the boundary case, see e.g. Bérard and Gouéré [6]. We also assume that σ := E V u V u e <..3 u = Let n N. For any u such that u = n and k n we denote by u k the ancestor of u alive at generation k. he consistent maximal displacement of the branching random walk is the quantity defined as L n := min u =n max k n V u k. It corresponds loosely to the maximal distance between the lower boundary of the branching random walk and the traectory of the individual that stayed as close as possible to it. he asymptotic behaviour of L n has been studied by Fang and Zeitouni [] and by Fauraud, Hu and Shi []. Under stronger integrability assumptions, they proved that L n behaves as λ n /3 almost surely for some explicit λ > 0. he main result of this article is ecessary and sufficient condition for this asymptotic behaviour to hold. Roberts [] computed the second order of the asymptotic behaviour of L n for a similar model, the branching Brownian motion. his On /3 asymptotic behaviour for the consistent maximal displacement is non-obvious, as it is different of the asymptotic behaviour of the minimum of the branching random walk, M n := min u =n V u. Indeed, it was proved by Addario-Berry and Reed [] and by Hu and Shi [3] that under some additional assumptions, the minimal displacement satisfies lim M n log n = 3 in probability. hus, the consistent maximal displacement grows much faster than the minimal displacement does. Note that it was proven in [0] that the traectory yielding to the minimal position at time n, when rescaled in time by n and in space by n /, converges toward a Brownian excursion. herefore, the maximal distance from 0 of this traectory is of order n /, much larger than what is expected for the consistent maximal displacement. As a result, one conclude that particles realizing the minimal displacement and particles realizing the consistent maximal displacement form distinct sets. We introduce the integrability assumption lim e V u { } = 0..4 log v = e V v x x E u = Observe that this assumption is weaker than the classical integrability assumptions [, Equation.4] for branching random walks. hese stronger conditions are necessary and sufficient to obtain the regularity of the asymptotic behaviour of many quantities associated to the extremal particles in the branching random walk, such as the minimal displacement M n [], or the derivative martingale [9]. x

3 heorem.. We assume that.,. and.3 hold. hen.4 is a necessary and sufficient condition for lim L n n /3 = 3π σ /3 a.s. on S. In the rest of the article, we denote by N the set of positive integers, Z + the set of non-negative integers, R + the set of non-negative real numbers. For any x R +, we write [x] = [0, x] Z + the set of non-negative integers that are smaller or equal to x. he rest of the article is organised as follows. In Section we introduce the spinal decomposition of the branching random walk and the Mogul skiĭ s small deviations estimate. hese results are used to obtain a law of large numbers for L n in Section 3, which is then used to obtain its almost sure asymptotic behaviour. Preliminary results In this section, we first introduce the spinal decomposition, that links additive moments of the branching random walk with random walk estimates. Using this result, to study the consistent maximal displacement, good estimates of the probability for random walks to stay in a small interval will be needed. We introduce them in a second time, by expanding Mogul skiĭ results [0] on small deviations for random walk traectories.. Spinal decomposition of the branching random walk For n Z +, we write W n = u =n e V u and F n = σ V u, u [n]. Under assumption., W n is on-negative F n -martingale. We introduce the probability P such that for any n Z +, P Fn = W n P Fn. he spinal decomposition consists in an alternative description of P as a branching random walk with a distinguished individual with a different reproduction law. It generalizes a similar construction for Galton-Watson processes, that can be found in [7]. his result has been proved by Lyons in [6]. Let be a tree, a spine of is a sequence w = w n Z+ such that for any n Z + and k [n] we have w n = n and w n k = w k. We write L for the law of the point process V u, u = under the law P. We now define the law P of a branching random walk with spine, V, w. It starts with a unique individual w 0 located at 0 at time 0. Its children are positioned according to a point process of law L. he individual w is then chosen at random among these children u with probability proportional to e V u. Similarly at each generation n, every individual u makes children independently, according to law L if u w n, or L otherwise; then w n+ is chosen at random among the children v of w n with probability proportional to e V v. Proposition. Spinal decomposition, Lyons [6]. Assuming. and.3, for any n Z +, we have P Fn = P Fn, for any u = n, P w n = u F n = e V u /W n, and V w n, n Z + is a centred random walk with variance σ. 3

4 he spinal decomposition is widely used in branching random walk literature. In particular, it implies the so-called many-to-one lemma, introduced for the first time by Kahane and Peyrière [, 5]. For any n N, for any measurable non-negative function f : R n+ R, we have E fv u, n = E fv u, n u =n W n u =n = Ê e u =n V u W n e V u u =n = Ê e V wn fv w, n. fv u, n In other words, to compute the mean of an additive functional of the branching random walk, it is enough to compute the mean of a similar functional for the sole random walk V w n, n 0, up to an exponential tilting. Remark.. Note that.4 can be rewritten, using the spinal decomposition, as lim x P e V v e x = 0.. x v = In other words, this assumption translates into a condition on the tail of the distribution of the progeny of the spine particle.. Small deviations estimate for enriched random walk he spinal decomposition for the branching random walk allows to simplify branching random walk computations by focusing only on the spine particle. For example, to compute the average number of particles satisfying a given property, it is often enough to consider the probability for the spine to satisfy this property, under the size-biased law. In the rest of the article, we often have to deal with the fact that the progeny of the spine particle is usually correlated with its displacement. As a result, we develop in this section tight estimates on the small deviations for enriched random walks, that we use as toy-models for the spine of a branching random walk. An enriched random walk can be constructed as follows. Let X n, ξ n n N be a sequence of i.i.d. vectors in R such that EX n = 0 and EX n = σ 0,,. We denote by S n = S 0 +X + +X n. For any z R, P z is the probability such that P z S 0 = z =. We simply write P for P 0. Setting ξ 0 = 0, an enriched random walk is the process S n, ξ n, n Z +, that takes values in R. Enriched random walks appear under other names in the literature. For example, the process S n + ξ n, n 0 is often called a perturbed random walk. his process has been studied in the perpetuity literature see e.g. [3, 4]. We study in this section the probability for an enriched random walk to stay during n units of time in an interval of width on /, generalizing the Mogul skiĭ small deviations estimate [0]. 4

5 heorem.3. Let R N + such that lim = and = on /. We assume. and that lim x x Pξ > x = ϱ [0, ]. For any continuous functions f < g such that f0 < 0 < g0, for all λ > 0 and t > 0, lim = lim t = 0 a n n log sup S P zan [f/n, g/n], ξ z [f0,g0] n log P S [f/n, g/n], ξ λ, [tn] π σ ϱt ds gs fs λ. a n λ, [tn] he rest of the section is devoted to the proof of heorem.3, using the same techniques as in [9, Lemma.6]. he first step relies on the following observation. Lemma.4. For n N and t R +, we introduce the functions S n t = S nt n / and P n t = nt = {ξ >n / }. We assume., and that there exists an increasing sequence n k N N and ϱ [0, such that lim n kp ξ > n k / = ϱ..3 k hen lim k S nk, P nk = σb, P in law, for the Skorokhod topology on the space of càdlàg functions, where B is a Brownian motion and P an independent Poisson process with parameter ϱ. his lemma shows that the events { S [f/n, g/n], [n]} and {ξ λ, [n]} become asymptotically independent, which is an heuristic explanation for heorem.3. Proof. o lighten the notation, in this proof, every asymptotic behaviour written as n is implicitly considered along the subsequence n k that is given as a hypothesis. We observe that Lemma.4 is straightforward if ϱ = 0. Indeed, P n is an increasing function, and for any t R +, we have PP n t = 0 = P ξ > n / nt as n. herefore, lim P n = 0 in probability. Moreover, lim S n = σb by Donsker s theorem. We conclude by Slutsky s theorem that S n, P n converges toward σb, 0 in law, for the Skorokhod topology. We now assume that ϱ > 0. Let t R +, for any λ, µ R, we compute nt E exp iλs n t + iµp n t = E exp i λ X n / + iµ {ξ>n / } nt = Φλn / + e iµ Pξ > n / Ψ n λ, where Φs = Ee isx and Ψ n s = Eexpis X ξ n / > n /. Note that E X ξ > n / E X {ξ>n = / }. n / npξ > n / 5

6 hus by dominated convergence, we have lim E X ξ > n / = X n / ϱ lim E {ξ>n / } = 0. X herefore, conditioned to {ξ n / > n / } converges to 0 in L, hence in law. his yields lim Ψ n λ = for all λ R. Moreover, by. and.3 respectively, we have Φλn / λ σ n and Pξ > n / ϱ n as n. As a result, we have lim E expiλs n t + iµp n t = exp t λ σ tϱe iµ which proves that lim S n t, P n t = σb t, P t for all t > 0. Using this result and the independent of the increments, we obtain the finitedimensional distributions of S n, P n toward σb, P. By [3, heorem 5.], the finite-dimensional distribution convergence of a random walk in R implies the convergence in law for the Skorokhod topology of the process toward the associated Lévy process, concluding the proof. We use this convergence in law to prove the following result. Lemma.5. Let R N + be a sequence such that lim = and = on /. Under assumption., if there exist an increasing sequence n k N N and ϱ [0, ] such that lim k k Pξ > k = ϱ, then for any continuous functions f < g such that f0 < 0 < g0, for all t > 0, a n lim k k n k log P ξ k [f/n k, g/n k ], k, [tn k ] S = t 0 π σ ds ϱt..4 gs fs Proof. Again, to simplify the notation, every asymptotic behaviour as n is implicitly understood as along the subsequence n k. First note that if ϱ =, then lim a npξ > =. As a result, lim sup n log P S [f/n, g/n], ξ, [tn] a n lim sup a n n log Pξ tn log lim sup Pξ > ta n =, concluding the proof in this case. In the rest of the proof, we assume that ϱ <. We first prove that.4 holds when functions f and g are constant. More precisely, given t > 0, a < 0 < b and c < d such that a c and d b, and writing I = [a, b], we first prove that a n n log P S tn [c, d], S I, ξ, [tn] tπ σ b a tϱ..5 o prove this result, we will divide the time interval [0, n] into On/a n intervals of width Oa n. On each of these time intervals, the random walk traectory, 6

7 properly normalized, converges toward a Brownian motion. We finally use Brownian motion estimates to bound the probability for the random walk to leave the interval I in any of these time intervals. Let 0 < ɛ < d c 8 and N. For any n N, we set r n = a n and denote by K n = tn /r n. For k [K n ], we introduce the times m n,k = kr n and set m n,kn+ = tn. Applying the Markov property at times m n,kn, m n,kn,... m n,, and considering only traectories that are at each time m n,k within distance ɛ from 0, we have P Sn [c, d], S I, ξ, [tn] πn Kn π n,.6 where we have set S π n = inf P rn S h h ɛa ɛ, I, ξ, [r n ] n S n π n = inf P h h ɛa [c, d], S I, ξ, [ n ] n and n = tn K n r n. We now study the asymptotic behaviour of π n as n. We introduce the rescaled traectories, defined for s [0, ] by S s n = a n S a n s and P s n = a s n = {ξ>}. We observe that the probability π n can be rewritten as π n = inf P h P n = 0, S n ɛ, Sn s I, s h ɛ = inf P P n = 0, S n + h ɛ, S s n + h I, s, h ɛ using the fact that the law of S n, P n under P han and S n + h, P n under P 0 are the same. Moreover, note that for all h [0, ɛ], we have P P n = 0, S n [ ɛ h, ɛ h], S s n [a h, b h], s P P n = 0, S n [ ɛ, 0], S n [a, b ɛ], s, as [ ɛ, 0] [ ɛ h, ɛ h] and [a, b ɛ] [a h, b h] for all h [0, ɛ]. Similarly, for all h [0, ɛ], we have P P n = 0, S n [ ɛ h, ɛ h], S s n [a h, b h], s P P n = 0, S n [0, ɛ], S n [a + ɛ, b], s. Rewriting the infimum over the interval [ ɛ, ɛ] as the minimum of the infimum over the intervals [ ɛ, 0] and [0, ɛ], we obtain π n min P P n = 0, S n + δ ɛ, 0, S s n + δ a, b ɛ, s [0, ]. δ { ɛ,0} s s 7

8 By Lemma.4, we know that S n, P n converges toward σb, P, where B is a Brownian motion and P an independent Poisson process with intensity ϱ. herefore, by Portmanteau theorem, we have π n min P σb + δ ɛ, 0, P = 0, σb s a, b ɛ, s [0, ]. δ { ɛ,0} Using similar estimates, we obtain that π n > 0. Note that K n tn as n. herefore,.6 yields a n a n n log P Sn [c, d], S I, ξ, [tn] a n n K n log π n + log π n t log π n. hus, using the above estimates and the independence between P and B, we obtain that for all > 0, n log P Sn [c, d], S I, ξ, [tn] a n ϱt + t log min P σb + δ ɛ, 0, σb s + δ a, b ɛ, s [0, ]. δ { ɛ,0} Using [4, Chapter.7, Problem 8], we know that for all δ ɛ, we have lim log P σb + δ ɛ, 0, σb s + δ a, b ɛ, s [0, ].7 π σ = b a ɛ. herefore, letting in.7, then ɛ 0 yields.5. In a second time, we prove a uniform version of.5. Let a < x < x < b, we choose 0 < ɛ < min{d c,b x } 8 and set N = x x ɛ. We note that inf P S n ha h [x,x n ] [c, d], S I, ξ, [tn] min inf P S n [N] h [x+ɛ,x++ɛ] + h [c, d], S + h I, ξ, [tn] min P S n x+ɛ [N] [c, d ɛ], S [a, b ɛ], ξ, [tn], using the same techniques as the ones used to bound π n. hus, applying.5 to let n, then letting ɛ 0 we obtain a n n inf log P Sn ha h [x,x n ] [c, d], S [a, b], ξ, [tn] tπ σ tϱ..8 b a Finally, using.8, we can tackle general continuous functions. Let f < g be two continuous functions such that f0 < 0 < g0. We introduce a continuous 8

9 function h such that f < h < g and h0 = 0. Let K N, for k [K] we set I k = [ k ] [0, ], as well as K, k+ K f k = sup s I k fs, g k = inf s I k gs and h k = hk/k. We choose some large K N and some small ɛ > 0. Applying the Markov property at times k n/k for k [K], we obtain, for all n N large enough S P [f/n, g/n], ξ, [tn] tk inf P S n/k S s s h k ɛ h k+ ɛ, [f k, g k ], ξ, [ n/k ]. k=0 herefore, using.8, we obtain n log P S [f/n, g/n], ξ, [tn] a n π σ + Kgk f k ϱ tk K. tk Letting K, we obtain the lower bound of.4. he upper bound for this equation is obtained in a very similar way, replacing inf by sup, by and min by max. More precisely, one can prove an analogue of.8, by dividing the time interval [0, n] into On/a n intervals of length Oa n, using the Markov property and replacing inf h ɛan by sup h [aan,b]. hen, approximating functions f and g by staircase functions and using again the Markov property, the analogue of.8 yields the upper bound of.4. Finally, to prove heorem.3, we observe that under its assumptions, for any λ > 0 we have lim a npξ > λ = ϱ λ. Using Lemma.5 with the increasing sequence n, the proof is concluded. 3 ail of the consistent maximal displacement We denote by the ancestor of the branching random walk. For any u, we write πu for the parent of u, Ωu for the set of children of u, ξu = log V u V v e { ξπu if u and ξu = 0 if u =. v Ωu Note that by., we have P ξ > x e x for any x R +. We set k=0 3π λ σ /3 =. 3. In this section, we obtain upper and lower bounds for the left tail of L n, ultimately obtaining the following large deviation estimate for the consistent maximal displacement. 9

10 heorem 3.. Under assumptions.,.,.3 and.4, we have for all λ [0, λ ] lim n log PL /3 n λn /3 = λ λ. 3. In a first time, we prove the upper bound in heorem 3., for which the assumption.4 is not necessary. Lemma 3.. We assume.,. and.3. For any λ 0, λ, we have lim sup n log P L /3 n λn /3 λ λ. Proof. Let λ 0, λ, we set f : t λ λ t /3. For n N, write Y n = {V u<f u /nn /3 } {V u [f/nn /3,λn /3 ], [ u ]}. u n As f0 < 0 and f λ, we have by Markov inequality PL n λn /3 PY n EY n. 3.3 Using [8], we can compute the asymptotic behaviour of EY n. More precisely, in that article, the branching random walks that are considered are such that, V is in the boundary case. herefore, [8, Lemma 3.] yields t lim sup n /3 π σ log EY n sup ft t [0,] 0 λ fs ds sup ft π σ t [0,] λ 3 t /3 sup ft λ t /3 = λ λ, t [0,] as λ = 3π σ λ by definition 3.. As a result, we conclude from 3.3 that lim sup n /3 log EY n λ λ. We now assume that.4 does not hold, and use Lemma.5 instead of the usual Mogul skii estimate to improve the upper bound in the asymptotic left tail of L n along a well-chosen subsequence. In particular, this shows that.4 is necessary for heorem 3. to hold. Lemma 3.3. We assume.,.,.3 and lim sup x x Pξ > x > 0. here exists λ > λ such that n log P L /3 n λn /3 < 0. Proof. Let ϱ 0, ] and x k R N be such that lim x n = and lim k x k Pξ > x k = ϱ. We set R = 3λ and n k = x k /R 3. We note 0

11 that k n k /3 Pξ > Rn k /3 ϱ R. Up to modifying ϱ and extracting a subsequence from n k, we may assume without loss of generality that lim n k /3 Pξ > Rn k /3 = ϱ. 3.4 k Let λ 0, λ and f be a continuous increasing function that satisfies f0 λ, 0 and f = λ. For k [n], we set I n k = [ fk/nn /3, λn /3] and we denote by { } G n = u : u n, V u I n, ξu Rn /3, [ u ]. For k [n] with k > 0, we introduce the quantities X n k = n {πu Gn,V u<fk/nn /3 } and Y k = u =k u =k We observe that P L n λn /3 =P u = n : [n], V u λn /3 n n P X n + Y n E = { u G n, ξu>rn /3 }. = X n + Y n. 3.5 Using the spinal decomposition we have E X n V u e k =Ê e V u W {V u<fk/nn /3 k } {πu G n} u =k =Ê e V wk {V wk <fk/nn /3 } {w k G n} e fk/nn/3 P wk G n. Similarly, as for any u = k, ξu is independent of F k, and by., we have Ee ξu = for all u. herefore E Y n = E P ξu > Rn /3 k u =k {u Gn} e Rn/3 Ê e V wk {wk G n} e λ Rn/3 P wk G n. Consequently, as λ R < λ < ft for any t [0, ], 3.5 becomes P L n λn /3 n e fk/nn/3 P wk G n. k= Let A N, for any a [A], we write m a = na/a. As f is increasing, for any a [A ] and k m a, m a+ ] N, we have e fk/nn/3 P wk G n e fa+/an/3 P wma G n.

12 Moreover, by the spinal decomposition, V w, ξw, Z + is an enriched random walk under law P. By 3.4, we use Lemma.5 to obtain for any a [A ] with a 0, lim k n k log P w /3 ma G nk = a/a 0 π σ λ fs ds ϱa A. his limit also trivially holds for a = 0 with the convention 0. = 0. herefore, letting n along the subsequence n k, 3.5 yields n log P L /3 n λn /3 n A log e fa+/an/3 P wma G n/3 n A a=0 a/a π σ max fa + /A a [A] λ fs ds ϱa. A hen, letting A, we obtain n log P L /3 n λn /3 t π σ sup ft ds ϱt. t [0,] 0 λ fs 3.6 Note that if ϱ =, we can choose f : t λ / + λ t and λ = 3λ /. In that case, 3.6 allows to conclude the proof. hus, in the rest of the proof, we assume that ϱ <. For all λ λ and µ 0, we denote by f λ,µ the solution of t [0,, y t = π σ λ yt + µ, with y = λ Note that f λ,µ is continuous with respect to λ, µ, decreasing in µ, and that t [0, ], f λ,0 t = λ λ t /3 hus for a given ϱ > 0, there exists λ > λ close enough to λ such that f λ,ϱ 0 < 0. Applying 3.6 with this choice of λ and f = f λ,ϱ yields which concludes the proof. n log P L /3 n λn /3 f λ,ϱ 0 < 0, he two previous lemmas allow to bound from below the consistent maximal displacement, showing in particular that with high probability L n λ ɛn /3 for all ɛ > 0 and n large enough. o bound L n from above, we prove that with high probability there exists an individual staying below λn /3 for n units of time, as soon as λ is large enough, using a second moment computation. 0 Lemma 3.4. We assume.,.,.3 and.4. For any λ 0, λ, we have n log P L /3 n λn /3 λ λ.

13 Proof. Let λ 0, λ, δ > 0, and f : t [0, ] λ λ + δ t /3. We denote by I n = [ f/nn /3, λn /3] for all [n]. We set Z n = { } V u I n,ξu δn /3, [n]. u =n We compute the first two moments of Z n to bound from below PZ n > 0. Using the spinal decomposition, we have EZ n = Ê e V wn { } V w I n,ξw δn /3, [n] e fn/3 P V w I n, ξw δn /3, [n]. As lim n/3 Pξw > δn /3 = 0 by.4, heorem.3 yields n log EZ n f π σ /3 0 ds λ fs λ λ + δ / Similarly, to compute the second moment we observe that EZn = Ê V u e Z n e V u { V u I n u =n W n = Ê Z n e V wn { V w I n e λn/3 Ê Z n { V w I n,ξw δn /3, [n],ξw δn /3, [n] Under the law P, Z n can be decomposed as follows Z n = { V w I n,ξw δn /3, [n] where Z n u = v =n,v>u { V u I n n } + k=0,ξu δn /3, [n],ξu δn /3, [n] } }. } u Ωw k,u w k+ Z n u, G = σ w n, Ωw n, V u, u Ωw n, n N. }. We denote by Observe that conditionally on G, for any u Ωw k such that u w k+, the subtree of the descendants of u has the law of a branching random walk starting from V u. herefore, writing P x for the law of, V + x, for any k [n ] and u Ωw k such that u w k+, we have Ê Z n u G E V u { } V v I n k++,ξv δn/3, [n k ] v =n k E V u { }. V v I n k++, [n k ] v =n k 3

14 Applying spinal decomposition, for any x R and p [n], E x v =n p { } = Ê e V wn p { } V v I n p+, [n p] V w +x I n p+, [n p] e x P λn/3 V w + x I n p+, [n p]. Let A N, for any a [A] we set m a = na/a and Ψ n a,a = sup P V w + y I n m, [n m a+ a]. y I n ma Using the previous equation, for any a [A ] and k [n ] such that m a k < m a+, we have Ê Z n u G e λn/3 Ψ n V u e u Ωw k u w k+ a+,a u Ωw k e λn/3 V w k +ξw k+ Ψ n a+,a. As V w k fm a /nn /3 using the fact that f is increasing, we obtain EZn e λn/3 P V w I n, [n] A + e λ+δn/3 nψ n e fma/nn/3 a+,a P a=0 herefore, applying heorem.3 and the fact that Ψ n V w I n, [n]. A,A lim sup n log /3 EZ n λ + δ π σ ds 0 λ fs + max fa/a π σ a [A ] Letting A, we obtain a+/a =, we have ds λ fs. lim sup n log /3 EZ n λ λ + δ /3 + δ + λ δ / By Cauchy-Schwarz inequality, we have P L n λn /3 P Z n > 0 EZ n EZn. hus, using 3.7 and 3.8, we obtain n log P L /3 n λn /3 λ λ + δ /3 δ λ δ /3. Letting δ 0 allows to conclude. 4

15 Proof of heorem 3.. Using Lemmas 3. and 3., we observe that assuming that.4, we have lim which concludes the proof. n /3 log PL n λn /3 = λ λ, Proof of heorem.. We now extend heorem 3. to obtain the almost sure asymptotic behaviour of L n. We first assume that.4 does not hold. By Lemma 3.3, there exists λ > λ and an increasing sequence n k N N such that PL nk n /3 λ <. k= λ a.s. here- herefore, by Borel-Cantelli lemma, we have k fore, we conclude that k lim sup > λ a.s, n/3 L n L nk n /3 k proving that.4 is necessary for the convergence in heorem. to hold. We assume in the rest of the proof that.4 holds. By Lemma 3., for any λ < λ, we have n= PL n n /3 λ <. As a result, we have L n n /3 λ a.s. by taking λ λ. We now bound L n from above. By Lemma 3.4, for any δ > 0, we have n log PL /3 n λ n /3 > δ. We work in the rest of the proof conditionally on the survival event S. We write for the subtree of consisting of individuals having an infinite line of descent. By [5, Chapter, heorem.], is a supercritical Galton-Watson process that never dies out. Applying [8, Lemma.4] to the branching random walk, V, there exists a > 0 and ϱ > such that the event Ap = {# { u = p : p, V u pa} ϱ p } is verified a.s. for p N large enough. Let η > 0, we set p = ηn /3. Applying the Markov property at time p, we have P L n+p λ + aηn /3 Ap P L n λ n /3 ϱ p. Using the Borel-Cantelli lemma, we conclude that lim sup a.s. on S. We let η 0 to conclude the proof. L n n /3 λ + aη Note the integrability hypothesis.4 is weaker than [8, Assumption.3], but is enough to make the proof of [8, Lemma.4] hold. 5

16 References [] L. Addario-Berry and B. Reed. Minima in branching random walks. Ann. Probab., 373: , 009. [] Elie Aïdékon. Convergence in law of the minimum of a branching random walk. Ann. Probab., 43A:36 46, 03. [3] G. Alsmeyer and A Iksanov. A Log-ype Moment Result for Perpetuities and Its Application to Martingales in Supercritical Branching Random Walks. Electron. J. Probab., 0, 89 3, 009. [4] V. F. Araman and P. W. Glynn. ail asymptotics for the maximum of a perturbed random walk. Ann. Applied Probab., 63, 4 43, 006. [5] K. B. Athreya and P. E. Ney. Branching processes. Dover Publications, Inc., Mineola, NY, 004. Reprint of the 97 original [Springer, New York; MR ]. [6] J. Bérard and J.-B. Gouéré. Survival probability of the branching random walk killed below a linear boundary. Electron. J. Probab., 6:no. 4, , 0. [7] J. D. Biggins. he first- and last-birth problems for a multitype agedependent branching process. Advances in Appl. Probability, 83: , 976. [8] J. D. Biggins and A. E. Kyprianou. Fixed points of the smoothing transform: the boundary case. Electron. J. Probab., 0:no. 7, , 005. [9] X. Chen. A necessary and sufficient condition for the non-trivial limit of the derivative martingale in a branching random walk. Adv. in Appl. Probab., 47:no. 3, , 05. [0] X. Chen. Scaling Limit of the Path Leading to the Leftmost Particle in a Branching Random Walk. heory Probab. Appl., 594: , 05. [] M. Fang and O. Zeitouni. Consistent minimal displacement of branching random walks. Electron. Commun. Probab., 5:06 8, 00. [] G. Faraud, Y. Hu, and Z. Shi. Almost sure convergence for stochastically biased random walks on trees. Probab. heory Related Fields, 543-4:6 660, 0. [3] Y. Hu and Z. Shi. Minimal position and critical martingale convergence in branching random walks, and directed polymers on disordered trees. Ann. Probab., 37:74 789, 009. [4] K. Itô and H. P. McKean, Jr. Diffusion processes and their sample paths. Springer-Verlag, Berlin-New York, 974. Second printing, corrected, Die Grundlehren der mathematischen Wissenschaften, Band 5. [5] J.-P. Kahane and J. Peyrière. Sur certaines martingales de Benoit Mandelbrot. Advances in Math., :3 45,

17 [6] R. Lyons. A simple path to Biggins martingale convergence for branching random walk. In Classical and modern branching processes Minneapolis, MN, 994, volume 84 of IMA Vol. Math. Appl., pages 7. Springer, New York, 997. [7] R. Lyons, R. Pemantle, and Y. Peres. Conceptual proofs of L log L criteria for mean behavior of branching processes. Ann. Probab., 33:5 38, 995. [8] B. Mallein. Branching random walk with selection at critical rate. arxiv preprint, 05. arxiv: [9] B. Mallein. N-branching random walk with α-stable spine. arxiv preprint, 05. arxiv: [0] A. A. Mogul skiĭ. Small deviations in the space of traectories. eor. Veroatnost. i Primenen., 9: , 974. [] Jacques Peyrière. urbulence et dimension de Hausdorff. C. R. Acad. Sci. Paris Sér. A, 78: , 974. [] M. I. Roberts. Fine asymptotics for the consistent maximal displacement of branching Brownian motion. Electron. J. Probab., 0:no. 8, 6, 05. [3] A. V. Skorohod. Limit theorems for stochastic processes with independent increments. eor. Veroyatnost. i Primenen., :45 77,

Asymptotic of the maximal displacement in a branching random walk

Asymptotic of the maximal displacement in a branching random walk Graduate J Math 1 2016, 92 104 Asymptotic of the maximal displacement in a branching random walk Bastien Mallein Abstract In this article, we study the maximal displacement in a branching random walk a

More information

Sharpness of second moment criteria for branching and tree-indexed processes

Sharpness of second moment criteria for branching and tree-indexed processes Sharpness of second moment criteria for branching and tree-indexed processes Robin Pemantle 1, 2 ABSTRACT: A class of branching processes in varying environments is exhibited which become extinct almost

More information

The range of tree-indexed random walk

The range of tree-indexed random walk The range of tree-indexed random walk Jean-François Le Gall, Shen Lin Institut universitaire de France et Université Paris-Sud Orsay Erdös Centennial Conference July 2013 Jean-François Le Gall (Université

More information

Branching within branching: a general model for host-parasite co-evolution

Branching within branching: a general model for host-parasite co-evolution Branching within branching: a general model for host-parasite co-evolution Gerold Alsmeyer (joint work with Sören Gröttrup) May 15, 2017 Gerold Alsmeyer Host-parasite co-evolution 1 of 26 1 Model 2 The

More information

THE x log x CONDITION FOR GENERAL BRANCHING PROCESSES

THE x log x CONDITION FOR GENERAL BRANCHING PROCESSES J. Appl. Prob. 35, 537 544 (1998) Printed in Israel Applied Probability Trust 1998 THE x log x CONDITION FOR GENERAL BRANCHING PROCESSES PETER OLOFSSON, Rice University Abstract The x log x condition is

More information

Resistance Growth of Branching Random Networks

Resistance Growth of Branching Random Networks Peking University Oct.25, 2018, Chengdu Joint work with Yueyun Hu (U. Paris 13) and Shen Lin (U. Paris 6), supported by NSFC Grant No. 11528101 (2016-2017) for Research Cooperation with Oversea Investigators

More information

UPPER DEVIATIONS FOR SPLIT TIMES OF BRANCHING PROCESSES

UPPER DEVIATIONS FOR SPLIT TIMES OF BRANCHING PROCESSES Applied Probability Trust 7 May 22 UPPER DEVIATIONS FOR SPLIT TIMES OF BRANCHING PROCESSES HAMED AMINI, AND MARC LELARGE, ENS-INRIA Abstract Upper deviation results are obtained for the split time of a

More information

A Conceptual Proof of the Kesten-Stigum Theorem for Multi-type Branching Processes

A Conceptual Proof of the Kesten-Stigum Theorem for Multi-type Branching Processes Classical and Modern Branching Processes, Springer, New Yor, 997, pp. 8 85. Version of 7 Sep. 2009 A Conceptual Proof of the Kesten-Stigum Theorem for Multi-type Branching Processes by Thomas G. Kurtz,

More information

Almost sure asymptotics for the random binary search tree

Almost sure asymptotics for the random binary search tree AofA 10 DMTCS proc. AM, 2010, 565 576 Almost sure asymptotics for the rom binary search tree Matthew I. Roberts Laboratoire de Probabilités et Modèles Aléatoires, Université Paris VI Case courrier 188,

More information

Erdős-Renyi random graphs basics

Erdős-Renyi random graphs basics Erdős-Renyi random graphs basics Nathanaël Berestycki U.B.C. - class on percolation We take n vertices and a number p = p(n) with < p < 1. Let G(n, p(n)) be the graph such that there is an edge between

More information

A. Bovier () Branching Brownian motion: extremal process and ergodic theorems

A. Bovier () Branching Brownian motion: extremal process and ergodic theorems Branching Brownian motion: extremal process and ergodic theorems Anton Bovier with Louis-Pierre Arguin and Nicola Kistler RCS&SM, Venezia, 06.05.2013 Plan 1 BBM 2 Maximum of BBM 3 The Lalley-Sellke conjecture

More information

Random Bernstein-Markov factors

Random Bernstein-Markov factors Random Bernstein-Markov factors Igor Pritsker and Koushik Ramachandran October 20, 208 Abstract For a polynomial P n of degree n, Bernstein s inequality states that P n n P n for all L p norms on the unit

More information

Mandelbrot s cascade in a Random Environment

Mandelbrot s cascade in a Random Environment Mandelbrot s cascade in a Random Environment A joint work with Chunmao Huang (Ecole Polytechnique) and Xingang Liang (Beijing Business and Technology Univ) Université de Bretagne-Sud (Univ South Brittany)

More information

Ancestor Problem for Branching Trees

Ancestor Problem for Branching Trees Mathematics Newsletter: Special Issue Commemorating ICM in India Vol. 9, Sp. No., August, pp. Ancestor Problem for Branching Trees K. B. Athreya Abstract Let T be a branching tree generated by a probability

More information

Random trees and branching processes

Random trees and branching processes Random trees and branching processes Svante Janson IMS Medallion Lecture 12 th Vilnius Conference and 2018 IMS Annual Meeting Vilnius, 5 July, 2018 Part I. Galton Watson trees Let ξ be a random variable

More information

Convergence at first and second order of some approximations of stochastic integrals

Convergence at first and second order of some approximations of stochastic integrals Convergence at first and second order of some approximations of stochastic integrals Bérard Bergery Blandine, Vallois Pierre IECN, Nancy-Université, CNRS, INRIA, Boulevard des Aiguillettes B.P. 239 F-5456

More information

The Contour Process of Crump-Mode-Jagers Branching Processes

The Contour Process of Crump-Mode-Jagers Branching Processes The Contour Process of Crump-Mode-Jagers Branching Processes Emmanuel Schertzer (LPMA Paris 6), with Florian Simatos (ISAE Toulouse) June 24, 2015 Crump-Mode-Jagers trees Crump Mode Jagers (CMJ) branching

More information

arxiv:math.pr/ v1 17 May 2004

arxiv:math.pr/ v1 17 May 2004 Probabilistic Analysis for Randomized Game Tree Evaluation Tämur Ali Khan and Ralph Neininger arxiv:math.pr/0405322 v1 17 May 2004 ABSTRACT: We give a probabilistic analysis for the randomized game tree

More information

Mouvement brownien branchant avec sélection

Mouvement brownien branchant avec sélection Mouvement brownien branchant avec sélection Soutenance de thèse de Pascal MAILLARD effectuée sous la direction de Zhan SHI Jury Brigitte CHAUVIN, Francis COMETS, Bernard DERRIDA, Yueyun HU, Andreas KYPRIANOU,

More information

Itô s excursion theory and random trees

Itô s excursion theory and random trees Itô s excursion theory and random trees Jean-François Le Gall January 3, 200 Abstract We explain how Itô s excursion theory can be used to understand the asymptotic behavior of large random trees. We provide

More information

Modern Discrete Probability Branching processes

Modern Discrete Probability Branching processes Modern Discrete Probability IV - Branching processes Review Sébastien Roch UW Madison Mathematics November 15, 2014 1 Basic definitions 2 3 4 Galton-Watson branching processes I Definition A Galton-Watson

More information

RECENT RESULTS FOR SUPERCRITICAL CONTROLLED BRANCHING PROCESSES WITH CONTROL RANDOM FUNCTIONS

RECENT RESULTS FOR SUPERCRITICAL CONTROLLED BRANCHING PROCESSES WITH CONTROL RANDOM FUNCTIONS Pliska Stud. Math. Bulgar. 16 (2004), 43-54 STUDIA MATHEMATICA BULGARICA RECENT RESULTS FOR SUPERCRITICAL CONTROLLED BRANCHING PROCESSES WITH CONTROL RANDOM FUNCTIONS Miguel González, Manuel Molina, Inés

More information

1 Informal definition of a C-M-J process

1 Informal definition of a C-M-J process (Very rough) 1 notes on C-M-J processes Andreas E. Kyprianou, Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Bath, Claverton Down, Bath, BA2 7AY. C-M-J processes are short for Crump-Mode-Jagers processes

More information

Positive and null recurrent-branching Process

Positive and null recurrent-branching Process December 15, 2011 In last discussion we studied the transience and recurrence of Markov chains There are 2 other closely related issues about Markov chains that we address Is there an invariant distribution?

More information

arxiv: v2 [math.pr] 25 Feb 2017

arxiv: v2 [math.pr] 25 Feb 2017 ypical behavior of the harmonic measure in critical Galton Watson trees with infinite variance offspring distribution Shen LIN LPMA, Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris, France E-mail: shen.lin.math@gmail.com

More information

Functional Limit theorems for the quadratic variation of a continuous time random walk and for certain stochastic integrals

Functional Limit theorems for the quadratic variation of a continuous time random walk and for certain stochastic integrals Functional Limit theorems for the quadratic variation of a continuous time random walk and for certain stochastic integrals Noèlia Viles Cuadros BCAM- Basque Center of Applied Mathematics with Prof. Enrico

More information

Branching, smoothing and endogeny

Branching, smoothing and endogeny Branching, smoothing and endogeny John D. Biggins, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, S7 3RH, UK September 2011, Paris Joint work with Gerold Alsmeyer and Matthias

More information

Shifting processes with cyclically exchangeable increments at random

Shifting processes with cyclically exchangeable increments at random Shifting processes with cyclically exchangeable increments at random Gerónimo URIBE BRAVO (Collaboration with Loïc CHAUMONT) Instituto de Matemáticas UNAM Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México www.matem.unam.mx/geronimo

More information

Brownian intersection local times

Brownian intersection local times Weierstrass Institute for Applied Analysis and Stochastics Brownian intersection local times Wolfgang König (TU Berlin and WIAS Berlin) [K.&M., Ann. Probab. 2002], [K.&M., Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 2006]

More information

ON THE ZERO-ONE LAW AND THE LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS FOR RANDOM WALK IN MIXING RAN- DOM ENVIRONMENT

ON THE ZERO-ONE LAW AND THE LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS FOR RANDOM WALK IN MIXING RAN- DOM ENVIRONMENT Elect. Comm. in Probab. 10 (2005), 36 44 ELECTRONIC COMMUNICATIONS in PROBABILITY ON THE ZERO-ONE LAW AND THE LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS FOR RANDOM WALK IN MIXING RAN- DOM ENVIRONMENT FIRAS RASSOUL AGHA Department

More information

Branching Processes II: Convergence of critical branching to Feller s CSB

Branching Processes II: Convergence of critical branching to Feller s CSB Chapter 4 Branching Processes II: Convergence of critical branching to Feller s CSB Figure 4.1: Feller 4.1 Birth and Death Processes 4.1.1 Linear birth and death processes Branching processes can be studied

More information

Logarithmic scaling of planar random walk s local times

Logarithmic scaling of planar random walk s local times Logarithmic scaling of planar random walk s local times Péter Nándori * and Zeyu Shen ** * Department of Mathematics, University of Maryland ** Courant Institute, New York University October 9, 2015 Abstract

More information

Lecture 9. d N(0, 1). Now we fix n and think of a SRW on [0,1]. We take the k th step at time k n. and our increments are ± 1

Lecture 9. d N(0, 1). Now we fix n and think of a SRW on [0,1]. We take the k th step at time k n. and our increments are ± 1 Random Walks and Brownian Motion Tel Aviv University Spring 011 Lecture date: May 0, 011 Lecture 9 Instructor: Ron Peled Scribe: Jonathan Hermon In today s lecture we present the Brownian motion (BM).

More information

Brownian motion. Samy Tindel. Purdue University. Probability Theory 2 - MA 539

Brownian motion. Samy Tindel. Purdue University. Probability Theory 2 - MA 539 Brownian motion Samy Tindel Purdue University Probability Theory 2 - MA 539 Mostly taken from Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus by I. Karatzas and S. Shreve Samy T. Brownian motion Probability Theory

More information

Fixed points of the smoothing transform; the boundary case

Fixed points of the smoothing transform; the boundary case Fixed points of the smoothing transform; the boundary case J.D. Biggins Department of Probability and Statistics, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, S3 7RH, U.K. email: J.Biggins@sheffield.ac.uk A.E.

More information

Critical percolation on networks with given degrees. Souvik Dhara

Critical percolation on networks with given degrees. Souvik Dhara Critical percolation on networks with given degrees Souvik Dhara Microsoft Research and MIT Mathematics Montréal Summer Workshop: Challenges in Probability and Mathematical Physics June 9, 2018 1 Remco

More information

arxiv: v2 [math.pr] 4 Sep 2017

arxiv: v2 [math.pr] 4 Sep 2017 arxiv:1708.08576v2 [math.pr] 4 Sep 2017 On the Speed of an Excited Asymmetric Random Walk Mike Cinkoske, Joe Jackson, Claire Plunkett September 5, 2017 Abstract An excited random walk is a non-markovian

More information

for all f satisfying E[ f(x) ] <.

for all f satisfying E[ f(x) ] <. . Let (Ω, F, P ) be a probability space and D be a sub-σ-algebra of F. An (H, H)-valued random variable X is independent of D if and only if P ({X Γ} D) = P {X Γ}P (D) for all Γ H and D D. Prove that if

More information

LogFeller et Ray Knight

LogFeller et Ray Knight LogFeller et Ray Knight Etienne Pardoux joint work with V. Le and A. Wakolbinger Etienne Pardoux (Marseille) MANEGE, 18/1/1 1 / 16 Feller s branching diffusion with logistic growth We consider the diffusion

More information

A simple branching process approach to the phase transition in G n,p

A simple branching process approach to the phase transition in G n,p A simple branching process approach to the phase transition in G n,p Béla Bollobás Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics Wilberforce Road, Cambridge CB3 0WB, UK b.bollobas@dpmms.cam.ac.uk

More information

arxiv: v1 [math.pr] 13 Nov 2018

arxiv: v1 [math.pr] 13 Nov 2018 PHASE TRANSITION FOR THE FROG MODEL ON BIREGULAR TREES ELCIO LEBENSZTAYN AND JAIME UTRIA arxiv:1811.05495v1 [math.pr] 13 Nov 2018 Abstract. We study the frog model with death on the biregular tree T d1,d

More information

Multiple points of the Brownian sheet in critical dimensions

Multiple points of the Brownian sheet in critical dimensions Multiple points of the Brownian sheet in critical dimensions Robert C. Dalang Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne Based on joint work with: Carl Mueller Multiple points of the Brownian sheet in critical

More information

A Branching-selection process related to censored Galton-Walton. processes

A Branching-selection process related to censored Galton-Walton. processes A Branching-selection process related to censored Galton-Walton processes Olivier Couronné, Lucas Gerin Université Paris Ouest Nanterre La Défense. Equipe Modal X. 200 avenue de la République. 92000 Nanterre

More information

A slow transient diusion in a drifted stable potential

A slow transient diusion in a drifted stable potential A slow transient diusion in a drifted stable potential Arvind Singh Université Paris VI Abstract We consider a diusion process X in a random potential V of the form V x = S x δx, where δ is a positive

More information

On the convergence of sequences of random variables: A primer

On the convergence of sequences of random variables: A primer BCAM May 2012 1 On the convergence of sequences of random variables: A primer Armand M. Makowski ECE & ISR/HyNet University of Maryland at College Park armand@isr.umd.edu BCAM May 2012 2 A sequence a :

More information

Spectral asymptotics for stable trees and the critical random graph

Spectral asymptotics for stable trees and the critical random graph Spectral asymptotics for stable trees and the critical random graph EPSRC SYMPOSIUM WORKSHOP DISORDERED MEDIA UNIVERSITY OF WARWICK, 5-9 SEPTEMBER 2011 David Croydon (University of Warwick) Based on joint

More information

Asymptotic behaviour near extinction of continuous state branching processes

Asymptotic behaviour near extinction of continuous state branching processes Asymptotic behaviour near extinction of continuous state branching processes G. Berzunza and J.C. Pardo August 2, 203 Abstract In this note, we study the asymptotic behaviour near extinction of sub- critical

More information

Lecture 21 Representations of Martingales

Lecture 21 Representations of Martingales Lecture 21: Representations of Martingales 1 of 11 Course: Theory of Probability II Term: Spring 215 Instructor: Gordan Zitkovic Lecture 21 Representations of Martingales Right-continuous inverses Let

More information

Brownian Motion. 1 Definition Brownian Motion Wiener measure... 3

Brownian Motion. 1 Definition Brownian Motion Wiener measure... 3 Brownian Motion Contents 1 Definition 2 1.1 Brownian Motion................................. 2 1.2 Wiener measure.................................. 3 2 Construction 4 2.1 Gaussian process.................................

More information

Connection to Branching Random Walk

Connection to Branching Random Walk Lecture 7 Connection to Branching Random Walk The aim of this lecture is to prepare the grounds for the proof of tightness of the maximum of the DGFF. We will begin with a recount of the so called Dekking-Host

More information

9.2 Branching random walk and branching Brownian motions

9.2 Branching random walk and branching Brownian motions 168 CHAPTER 9. SPATIALLY STRUCTURED MODELS 9.2 Branching random walk and branching Brownian motions Branching random walks and branching diffusions have a long history. A general theory of branching Markov

More information

4 Sums of Independent Random Variables

4 Sums of Independent Random Variables 4 Sums of Independent Random Variables Standing Assumptions: Assume throughout this section that (,F,P) is a fixed probability space and that X 1, X 2, X 3,... are independent real-valued random variables

More information

Soo Hak Sung and Andrei I. Volodin

Soo Hak Sung and Andrei I. Volodin Bull Korean Math Soc 38 (200), No 4, pp 763 772 ON CONVERGENCE OF SERIES OF INDEENDENT RANDOM VARIABLES Soo Hak Sung and Andrei I Volodin Abstract The rate of convergence for an almost surely convergent

More information

Continuous-state branching processes, extremal processes and super-individuals

Continuous-state branching processes, extremal processes and super-individuals Continuous-state branching processes, extremal processes and super-individuals Clément Foucart Université Paris 13 with Chunhua Ma Nankai University Workshop Berlin-Paris Berlin 02/11/2016 Introduction

More information

An extension of Hawkes theorem on the Hausdorff dimension of a Galton Watson tree

An extension of Hawkes theorem on the Hausdorff dimension of a Galton Watson tree Probab. Theory Relat. Fields 116, 41 56 (2000) c Springer-Verlag 2000 Steven P. Lalley Thomas Sellke An extension of Hawkes theorem on the Hausdorff dimension of a Galton Watson tree Received: 30 June

More information

arxiv: v1 [math.pr] 6 Jan 2014

arxiv: v1 [math.pr] 6 Jan 2014 Recurrence for vertex-reinforced random walks on Z with weak reinforcements. Arvind Singh arxiv:40.034v [math.pr] 6 Jan 04 Abstract We prove that any vertex-reinforced random walk on the integer lattice

More information

Chapter 2 Galton Watson Trees

Chapter 2 Galton Watson Trees Chapter 2 Galton Watson Trees We recall a few eleentary properties of supercritical Galton Watson trees, and introduce the notion of size-biased trees. As an application, we give in Sect. 2.3 the beautiful

More information

On pathwise stochastic integration

On pathwise stochastic integration On pathwise stochastic integration Rafa l Marcin Lochowski Afican Institute for Mathematical Sciences, Warsaw School of Economics UWC seminar Rafa l Marcin Lochowski (AIMS, WSE) On pathwise stochastic

More information

Susceptible-Infective-Removed Epidemics and Erdős-Rényi random

Susceptible-Infective-Removed Epidemics and Erdős-Rényi random Susceptible-Infective-Removed Epidemics and Erdős-Rényi random graphs MSR-Inria Joint Centre October 13, 2015 SIR epidemics: the Reed-Frost model Individuals i [n] when infected, attempt to infect all

More information

Brownian survival and Lifshitz tail in perturbed lattice disorder

Brownian survival and Lifshitz tail in perturbed lattice disorder Brownian survival and Lifshitz tail in perturbed lattice disorder Ryoki Fukushima Kyoto niversity Random Processes and Systems February 16, 2009 6 B T 1. Model ) ({B t t 0, P x : standard Brownian motion

More information

The genealogy of branching Brownian motion with absorption. by Jason Schweinsberg University of California at San Diego

The genealogy of branching Brownian motion with absorption. by Jason Schweinsberg University of California at San Diego The genealogy of branching Brownian motion with absorption by Jason Schweinsberg University of California at San Diego (joint work with Julien Berestycki and Nathanaël Berestycki) Outline 1. A population

More information

GARCH processes continuous counterparts (Part 2)

GARCH processes continuous counterparts (Part 2) GARCH processes continuous counterparts (Part 2) Alexander Lindner Centre of Mathematical Sciences Technical University of Munich D 85747 Garching Germany lindner@ma.tum.de http://www-m1.ma.tum.de/m4/pers/lindner/

More information

Prime numbers and Gaussian random walks

Prime numbers and Gaussian random walks Prime numbers and Gaussian random walks K. Bruce Erickson Department of Mathematics University of Washington Seattle, WA 9895-4350 March 24, 205 Introduction Consider a symmetric aperiodic random walk

More information

arxiv: v1 [math.pr] 20 May 2018

arxiv: v1 [math.pr] 20 May 2018 arxiv:180507700v1 mathr 20 May 2018 A DOOB-TYE MAXIMAL INEQUALITY AND ITS ALICATIONS TO VARIOUS STOCHASTIC ROCESSES Abstract We show how an improvement on Doob s inequality leads to new inequalities for

More information

n E(X t T n = lim X s Tn = X s

n E(X t T n = lim X s Tn = X s Stochastic Calculus Example sheet - Lent 15 Michael Tehranchi Problem 1. Let X be a local martingale. Prove that X is a uniformly integrable martingale if and only X is of class D. Solution 1. If If direction:

More information

Recent results on branching Brownian motion on the positive real axis. Pascal Maillard (Université Paris-Sud (soon Paris-Saclay))

Recent results on branching Brownian motion on the positive real axis. Pascal Maillard (Université Paris-Sud (soon Paris-Saclay)) Recent results on branching Brownian motion on the positive real axis Pascal Maillard (Université Paris-Sud (soon Paris-Saclay)) CMAP, Ecole Polytechnique, May 18 2017 Pascal Maillard Branching Brownian

More information

A PECULIAR COIN-TOSSING MODEL

A PECULIAR COIN-TOSSING MODEL A PECULIAR COIN-TOSSING MODEL EDWARD J. GREEN 1. Coin tossing according to de Finetti A coin is drawn at random from a finite set of coins. Each coin generates an i.i.d. sequence of outcomes (heads or

More information

The Codimension of the Zeros of a Stable Process in Random Scenery

The Codimension of the Zeros of a Stable Process in Random Scenery The Codimension of the Zeros of a Stable Process in Random Scenery Davar Khoshnevisan The University of Utah, Department of Mathematics Salt Lake City, UT 84105 0090, U.S.A. davar@math.utah.edu http://www.math.utah.edu/~davar

More information

QUEUEING FOR AN INFINITE BUS LINE AND AGING BRANCHING PROCESS

QUEUEING FOR AN INFINITE BUS LINE AND AGING BRANCHING PROCESS QUEUEING FOR AN INFINITE BUS LINE AND AGING BRANCHING PROCESS VINCENT BANSAYE & ALAIN CAMANES Abstract. We study a queueing system with Poisson arrivals on a bus line indexed by integers. The buses move

More information

Random trees and applications

Random trees and applications Probability Surveys Vol. 2 25) 245 311 ISSN: 1549-5787 DOI: 1.1214/15495785114 Random trees and applications Jean-François Le Gall DMA-ENS, 45 rue d Ulm, 755 PARIS, FRANCE e-mail: legall@dma.ens.fr Abstract:

More information

Independence of some multiple Poisson stochastic integrals with variable-sign kernels

Independence of some multiple Poisson stochastic integrals with variable-sign kernels Independence of some multiple Poisson stochastic integrals with variable-sign kernels Nicolas Privault Division of Mathematical Sciences School of Physical and Mathematical Sciences Nanyang Technological

More information

9 Brownian Motion: Construction

9 Brownian Motion: Construction 9 Brownian Motion: Construction 9.1 Definition and Heuristics The central limit theorem states that the standard Gaussian distribution arises as the weak limit of the rescaled partial sums S n / p n of

More information

A Note on the Approximation of Perpetuities

A Note on the Approximation of Perpetuities Discrete Mathematics and Theoretical Computer Science (subm.), by the authors, rev A Note on the Approximation of Perpetuities Margarete Knape and Ralph Neininger Department for Mathematics and Computer

More information

Survival Probabilities for N-ary Subtrees on a Galton-Watson Family Tree

Survival Probabilities for N-ary Subtrees on a Galton-Watson Family Tree Survival Probabilities for N-ary Subtrees on a Galton-Watson Family Tree arxiv:0706.1904v2 [math.pr] 4 Mar 2008 Ljuben R. Mutafchiev American University in Bulgaria 2700 Blagoevgrad, Bulgaria and Institute

More information

DOMINATION BETWEEN TREES AND APPLICATION TO AN EXPLOSION PROBLEM

DOMINATION BETWEEN TREES AND APPLICATION TO AN EXPLOSION PROBLEM DOMINATION BETWEEN TREES AND APPLICATION TO AN EXPLOSION PROBLEM Robin Pemantle 1, 2 and Yuval Peres 3 ABSTRACT: We define a notion of stochastic domination between trees, where one tree dominates another

More information

Lecture 06 01/31/ Proofs for emergence of giant component

Lecture 06 01/31/ Proofs for emergence of giant component M375T/M396C: Topics in Complex Networks Spring 2013 Lecture 06 01/31/13 Lecturer: Ravi Srinivasan Scribe: Tianran Geng 6.1 Proofs for emergence of giant component We now sketch the main ideas underlying

More information

Krzysztof Burdzy University of Washington. = X(Y (t)), t 0}

Krzysztof Burdzy University of Washington. = X(Y (t)), t 0} VARIATION OF ITERATED BROWNIAN MOTION Krzysztof Burdzy University of Washington 1. Introduction and main results. Suppose that X 1, X 2 and Y are independent standard Brownian motions starting from 0 and

More information

Two viewpoints on measure valued processes

Two viewpoints on measure valued processes Two viewpoints on measure valued processes Olivier Hénard Université Paris-Est, Cermics Contents 1 The classical framework : from no particle to one particle 2 The lookdown framework : many particles.

More information

Lecture Notes 3 Convergence (Chapter 5)

Lecture Notes 3 Convergence (Chapter 5) Lecture Notes 3 Convergence (Chapter 5) 1 Convergence of Random Variables Let X 1, X 2,... be a sequence of random variables and let X be another random variable. Let F n denote the cdf of X n and let

More information

Linear-fractional branching processes with countably many types

Linear-fractional branching processes with countably many types Branching processes and and their applications Badajoz, April 11-13, 2012 Serik Sagitov Chalmers University and University of Gothenburg Linear-fractional branching processes with countably many types

More information

LIMIT THEOREMS FOR NON-CRITICAL BRANCHING PROCESSES WITH CONTINUOUS STATE SPACE. S. Kurbanov

LIMIT THEOREMS FOR NON-CRITICAL BRANCHING PROCESSES WITH CONTINUOUS STATE SPACE. S. Kurbanov Serdica Math. J. 34 (2008), 483 488 LIMIT THEOREMS FOR NON-CRITICAL BRANCHING PROCESSES WITH CONTINUOUS STATE SPACE S. Kurbanov Communicated by N. Yanev Abstract. In the paper a modification of the branching

More information

The Moran Process as a Markov Chain on Leaf-labeled Trees

The Moran Process as a Markov Chain on Leaf-labeled Trees The Moran Process as a Markov Chain on Leaf-labeled Trees David J. Aldous University of California Department of Statistics 367 Evans Hall # 3860 Berkeley CA 94720-3860 aldous@stat.berkeley.edu http://www.stat.berkeley.edu/users/aldous

More information

Branching processes. Chapter Background Basic definitions

Branching processes. Chapter Background Basic definitions Chapter 5 Branching processes Branching processes arise naturally in the study of stochastic processes on trees and locally tree-like graphs. After a review of the basic extinction theory of branching

More information

Weighted Sums of Orthogonal Polynomials Related to Birth-Death Processes with Killing

Weighted Sums of Orthogonal Polynomials Related to Birth-Death Processes with Killing Advances in Dynamical Systems and Applications ISSN 0973-5321, Volume 8, Number 2, pp. 401 412 (2013) http://campus.mst.edu/adsa Weighted Sums of Orthogonal Polynomials Related to Birth-Death Processes

More information

BRANCHING PROCESSES 1. GALTON-WATSON PROCESSES

BRANCHING PROCESSES 1. GALTON-WATSON PROCESSES BRANCHING PROCESSES 1. GALTON-WATSON PROCESSES Galton-Watson processes were introduced by Francis Galton in 1889 as a simple mathematical model for the propagation of family names. They were reinvented

More information

On Some Mean Value Results for the Zeta-Function and a Divisor Problem

On Some Mean Value Results for the Zeta-Function and a Divisor Problem Filomat 3:8 (26), 235 2327 DOI.2298/FIL6835I Published by Faculty of Sciences and Mathematics, University of Niš, Serbia Available at: http://www.pmf.ni.ac.rs/filomat On Some Mean Value Results for the

More information

STOCHASTIC GEOMETRY BIOIMAGING

STOCHASTIC GEOMETRY BIOIMAGING CENTRE FOR STOCHASTIC GEOMETRY AND ADVANCED BIOIMAGING 2018 www.csgb.dk RESEARCH REPORT Anders Rønn-Nielsen and Eva B. Vedel Jensen Central limit theorem for mean and variogram estimators in Lévy based

More information

I forgot to mention last time: in the Ito formula for two standard processes, putting

I forgot to mention last time: in the Ito formula for two standard processes, putting I forgot to mention last time: in the Ito formula for two standard processes, putting dx t = a t dt + b t db t dy t = α t dt + β t db t, and taking f(x, y = xy, one has f x = y, f y = x, and f xx = f yy

More information

1. Stochastic Processes and filtrations

1. Stochastic Processes and filtrations 1. Stochastic Processes and 1. Stoch. pr., A stochastic process (X t ) t T is a collection of random variables on (Ω, F) with values in a measurable space (S, S), i.e., for all t, In our case X t : Ω S

More information

PREPRINT 2007:25. Multitype Galton-Watson processes escaping extinction SERIK SAGITOV MARIA CONCEIÇÃO SERRA

PREPRINT 2007:25. Multitype Galton-Watson processes escaping extinction SERIK SAGITOV MARIA CONCEIÇÃO SERRA PREPRINT 2007:25 Multitype Galton-Watson processes escaping extinction SERIK SAGITOV MARIA CONCEIÇÃO SERRA Department of Mathematical Sciences Division of Mathematical Statistics CHALMERS UNIVERSITY OF

More information

Normal approximation of Poisson functionals in Kolmogorov distance

Normal approximation of Poisson functionals in Kolmogorov distance Normal approximation of Poisson functionals in Kolmogorov distance Matthias Schulte Abstract Peccati, Solè, Taqqu, and Utzet recently combined Stein s method and Malliavin calculus to obtain a bound for

More information

Optimal stopping of a risk process when claims are covered immediately

Optimal stopping of a risk process when claims are covered immediately Optimal stopping of a risk process when claims are covered immediately Bogdan Muciek Krzysztof Szajowski Abstract The optimal stopping problem for the risk process with interests rates and when claims

More information

ON COMPOUND POISSON POPULATION MODELS

ON COMPOUND POISSON POPULATION MODELS ON COMPOUND POISSON POPULATION MODELS Martin Möhle, University of Tübingen (joint work with Thierry Huillet, Université de Cergy-Pontoise) Workshop on Probability, Population Genetics and Evolution Centre

More information

Random Process Lecture 1. Fundamentals of Probability

Random Process Lecture 1. Fundamentals of Probability Random Process Lecture 1. Fundamentals of Probability Husheng Li Min Kao Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science University of Tennessee, Knoxville Spring, 2016 1/43 Outline 2/43 1 Syllabus

More information

Almost giant clusters for percolation on large trees

Almost giant clusters for percolation on large trees for percolation on large trees Institut für Mathematik Universität Zürich Erdős-Rényi random graph model in supercritical regime G n = complete graph with n vertices Bond percolation with parameter p(n)

More information

1 Brownian Local Time

1 Brownian Local Time 1 Brownian Local Time We first begin by defining the space and variables for Brownian local time. Let W t be a standard 1-D Wiener process. We know that for the set, {t : W t = } P (µ{t : W t = } = ) =

More information

University Of Calgary Department of Mathematics and Statistics

University Of Calgary Department of Mathematics and Statistics University Of Calgary Department of Mathematics and Statistics Hawkes Seminar May 23, 2018 1 / 46 Some Problems in Insurance and Reinsurance Mohamed Badaoui Department of Electrical Engineering National

More information

4.5 The critical BGW tree

4.5 The critical BGW tree 4.5. THE CRITICAL BGW TREE 61 4.5 The critical BGW tree 4.5.1 The rooted BGW tree as a metric space We begin by recalling that a BGW tree T T with root is a graph in which the vertices are a subset of

More information

Lecture 22 Girsanov s Theorem

Lecture 22 Girsanov s Theorem Lecture 22: Girsanov s Theorem of 8 Course: Theory of Probability II Term: Spring 25 Instructor: Gordan Zitkovic Lecture 22 Girsanov s Theorem An example Consider a finite Gaussian random walk X n = n

More information

Dynamics of the evolving Bolthausen-Sznitman coalescent. by Jason Schweinsberg University of California at San Diego.

Dynamics of the evolving Bolthausen-Sznitman coalescent. by Jason Schweinsberg University of California at San Diego. Dynamics of the evolving Bolthausen-Sznitman coalescent by Jason Schweinsberg University of California at San Diego Outline of Talk 1. The Moran model and Kingman s coalescent 2. The evolving Kingman s

More information