The footprints of climate change within the geologic record show clearly that

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Transcription:

The footprints of climate change within the geologic record show clearly that Climate change throughout Earth history warms suddenly and cools slowly in erratic sequences that are not cyclic

The footprints of climate change within the geologic record show clearly that Climate change throughout Earth history warms suddenly and cools slowly in erratic sequences that are not cyclic A valid theory of climate change must explain these erratic sequences

Greenland Ice Sheet Program Drill Hole 2 (GISP2) 1988 to 1993 Mayewski et al., 1995

Zielinski et al., 1996

Duration or eruptions is most important Zielinski et al., 1996

Evidence of sub-glacial volcanism in Iceland Herðubreið, a tuya in north-east Iceland

Evidence of sub-glacial volcanism in Iceland Herðubreið, a tuya in north-east Iceland Licciardi et al., 2007

Arctic-Images/Corbis Bárðarbunga, central Iceland, 2014

Oozed basaltic lava over an area of 85 km 2 (20% of London) in just 6 months Arctic-Images/Corbis Bárðarbunga, central Iceland, 2014

Oozed basaltic lava over an area of 85 km 2 (20% of London) in just 6 months Takes >17 years to erupt the same volume in Hawaii Arctic-Images/Corbis Bárðarbunga, central Iceland, 2014

Oozed basaltic lava over an area of 85 km 2 (20% of London) in just 6 months Takes >17 years to erupt the same volume in Hawaii The highest rate of basalt extrusion since the 1783 eruption of Laki (233 years) Arctic-Images/Corbis Bárðarbunga, central Iceland, 2014

Oozed basaltic lava over an area of 85 km 2 (20% of London) in just 6 months Takes >17 years to erupt the same volume in Hawaii The highest rate of basalt extrusion since the 1783 eruption of Laki (233 years) Arctic-Images/Corbis Appears to have caused very rapid warming, making 2016 the hottest year on record Bárðarbunga, central Iceland, 2014

Other historic major effusive volcanic eruptions

Other historic major effusive volcanic eruptions 565 km 2 in 8 months Laki 1783

Other historic major effusive volcanic eruptions 565 km 2 in 8 months 800 km 2 in 3-8 years Laki 1783 Eldgjá 935 volcano.oregonstate.edu

Other historic major effusive volcanic eruptions 565 km 2 in 8 months 800 km 2 in 3-8 years Onset of the Medieval Warm Period Laki 1783 Eldgjá 935 volcano.oregonstate.edu

Siberian Basalts Siberian Basalts 7,000,000 km 2

Siberian Basalts 96% marine 70% terrestrial vertebrates Siberian Basalts 7,000,000 km 2

Siberian Basalts 96% marine 70% terrestrial vertebrates Central Atlantic Magmatic Province Siberian Basalts 7,000,000 km 2 11,000,000 km 2

Siberian Basalts 96% marine 70% terrestrial vertebrates Central Atlantic Magmatic Province Deccan Basalts Siberian Basalts Deccan Basalts 7,000,000 km 2 11,000,000 km 2 500,000 km 2

Major effusive volcanic eruptions Extrude basaltic lava over large areas

Major effusive volcanic eruptions Extrude basaltic lava over large areas Do not explode much debris into the stratosphere

Major effusive volcanic eruptions Extrude basaltic lava over large areas Do not explode much debris into the stratosphere Last for months to hundreds of thousands of years

Major effusive volcanic eruptions Extrude basaltic lava over large areas Do not explode much debris into the stratosphere Last for months to hundreds of thousands of years Deplete ozone causing global warming

Major effusive volcanic eruptions Extrude basaltic lava over large areas Do not explode much debris into the stratosphere Last for months to hundreds of thousands of years Deplete ozone causing global warming Acidify the oceans and cause major mass extinctions

Major effusive volcanic eruptions Extrude basaltic lava over large areas Do not explode much debris into the stratosphere Last for months to hundreds of thousands of years Deplete ozone causing global warming Acidify the oceans and cause major mass extinctions Cause minor to extreme climate change

Major explosive volcanic eruptions

Major explosive volcanic eruptions Typically erupt only for days but may recur within 500 to 1000 years

Major explosive volcanic eruptions Typically erupt only for days but may recur within 500 to 1000 years Form aerosols that last for 2 to 4 years that reflect and scatter solar energy, causing net global cooling

Major explosive volcanic eruptions Typically erupt only for days but may recur within 500 to 1000 years Form aerosols that last for 2 to 4 years that reflect and scatter solar energy, causing net global cooling Krakatau cooled ocean for more than 100 years Gleckler et al., 2006

Major explosive volcanic eruptions Typically erupt only for days but may recur within 500 to 1000 years Form aerosols that last for 2 to 4 years that reflect and scatter solar energy, causing net global cooling Krakatau cooled ocean for more than 100 years Multiple eruptions increment world into ice age Gleckler et al., 2006 Gregory et al., 2006

Annual average total column ozone at Arosa Switzerland

Annual average total column ozone at Arosa Switzerland Robock, 2002 As much as 3.5 o C Dec 1991 to Feb 1992

12,000 to 9,000

Erratic cycles of rapid warming followed by slower cooling Eemian Interglacial End of Ice Age

Sudden major warming within a few years followed by cumulative cooling over centuries to millennia where the warming and cooling occurs on average every 5000 years, but the timing and amount of warming are erratic, not in cycles Erratic cycles of rapid warming followed by slower cooling Eemian Interglacial End of Ice Age

Sudden major warming within a few years followed by cumulative cooling over centuries to millennia where the warming and cooling occurs on average every 5000 years, but the timing and amount of warming are erratic, not in cycles Erratic cycles of rapid warming followed by slower cooling Eemian Interglacial End of Ice Age Explained most clearly by a balance between effusive and explosive volcanic eruptions

We have to be very careful about cycles Known major volcanic eruptions

We have to be very careful about cycles Known major volcanic eruptions

We have to be very careful about cycles Known major volcanic eruptions

We have to be very careful about cycles Known major volcanic eruptions

We have to be very careful about cycles Known major volcanic eruptions

We have to be very careful about cycles Known major volcanic eruptions Global warming happens suddenly and irregularly

The closest thing to truth in science is good data

The closest thing to truth in science is good data

The closest thing to truth in science is good data Erratic sequences of rapid warming followed by slower cooling

The closest thing to truth in science is good data Erratic sequences of rapid warming followed by slower cooling The New Dawn of Truth is recognizing that a valid theory of climate change must explain these erratic sequences

Al Gore said in An Inconvenient Truth

Al Gore said in An Inconvenient Truth Scientists have an independent obligation to respect and present the truth as they see it.

Al Gore said in An Inconvenient Truth Scientists have an independent obligation to respect and present the truth as they see it. The truth, as I see it, is that climate change throughout Earth history warms suddenly and cools slowly in erratic sequences that are not cyclic

Al Gore said in An Inconvenient Truth Scientists have an independent obligation to respect and present the truth as they see it. The truth, as I see it, is that climate change throughout Earth history warms suddenly and cools slowly in erratic sequences that are not cyclic A valid theory of climate change must explain these erratic sequences

Book Peer-reviewed paper Email peward@wyoming.com Website WhyClimateChanges.com Plea to scientists ClimatePlea.com Includes: Extensive webpages Scientific papers Talks Videos Press releases Etc.