ASCAT-B Level 2 Soil Moisture Validation Report

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EUMETSAT EUMETSAT Allee 1, D-64295 Darmstadt, Doc.No. : EUM/OPS/DOC/12/3849 Germany Tel: +49 6151 807-7 Issue : v2 Fax: +49 6151 807 555 Date : 20 December 2012 http://www.eumetsat.int Page 1 of 25

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Document Change Record Issue / Revision Date DCN. No Changed Pages / Paragraphs V1 11 November 2012 First issue for trial dissemination V2 11 December 2012 Update for pre-operational dissemination Page 3 of 25

Table of Contents 1 Introduction... 5 1.1 Purpose and Scope... 5 1.2 Description of Validation Environment...5 1.3 Applicable and Reference Documents...6 1.3.1 Applicable Documents...6 1.3.2 Reference Documents...6 1.4 List of acronyms and abbreviations...6 2 Prototype Results... 6 3 Internal EUMETSAT Validation... 6 3.1 ASCAT-A and B backscatter cross-calibration...7 3.2 ASCAT-B Soil Moisture daily reports...8 4 External Partner Validation... 19 4.1 H-SAF... 19 4.2 ECMWF... 20 4.3 CNR-IRPI... 24 5 Conclusions... 24 5.1 Product Validation Summary...24 5.2 Product Validation Issues...24 5.3 Actions for Product Rollout...24 5.3.1 Time Schedule...25 5.3.2 User Notification...25 5.3.3 Verification...25 5.3.4 Document Update...25 5.3.5 Web Update...25 6 Recommendation... 25 Page 4 of 25

1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 Purpose and Scope This Product Validation Report provides the results of the calibration and validation testing of the following Advanced SCATterometer (ASCAT) products in the context of the EUMETSAT Polar System (EPS) Metop-B satellite commissioning: ASCA_SMO_02 ASCA_SMR_02 The Metop-B satellite has been launched from Baikonur on September 17 th, 2012. The satellite commissioning including Cal/Val testing aims at verifying the capability of the satellite and ground segment to provide operational services with the required levels of availability, timeliness and quality. In particular, the main objective of Cal/Val is to ensure that the quality of the products satisfies the operational requirements. This report is submitted to the Product Validation Review Board in order to decide on the validation status of the products. It is intended for the members of the Science and Products Validation Team (SPVT), as well as to the Metop-B commissioning management. This issue is intended to assess the readiness to start the pre-operational dissemination to Cal/Val partners. This follows the current trial dissemination phase to Cal/Val partners and includes their feedback. These are in particular: Satellite Applications Facility on support to Operational Hydrology and Water Management (H-SAF), represented by the Vienna University of Technology, Institute of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing (TU-Wien IPF) European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Instituto di Ricerca per la Protezione Idrogeologica (CNR-IRPI) Météo-France NOAA NESDIS 1.2 Description of Validation Environment The product validation has been performed with the following elements: - EPS validation ground segment (GS2) running ASCAT Level 2 Soil Moisture Product Processing Facility (PPF) 3.1, configured with the parameter database based on ASCAT-A data from 2007-2008 (2.0) and backscatter bias corrections (3.1) as for ASCAT-A. - TCE ASCAT Soil Moisture Monitoring daily reports and off-line validation tools - http://tcweb/ascat_monitoring/somo/outputa/html/ and http://tcweb/ascat_monitoring/somo/outputb/html/ - TCE ASCAT Level 1 Monitoring Data Processing System (DPS), daily reports and offline validation tools - http://tcweb.eumetsat.int/~anderson/dpsdb/mon.htm Page 5 of 25

- EPS Product Quality Monitoring validation environment (EPQM VAL) 1.3 Applicable and Reference Documents 1.3.1 Applicable Documents AD1 EPS Programme Calibration EUM.EPS.SYS.PLN.02.004 and Validation Overall Plan, 1.3.2 Reference Documents RD1 RD2 ASCAT Cal/Val schedule - DOCSLIB#220251 ASCAT-B Calibration and Validation report EUM/OPS/DOC/12/436 1.4 List of acronyms and abbreviations ASCAT-A Advanced SCATterometer on METOP-A (Flight Model 2) ASCAT-B Advanced SCATterometer on METOP-A (Flight Model 1) ASCAT SAG ASCAT Science Advisory Group CAL Calibration Cal/Val Calibration and Validation CNR-IRPI Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Instituto di Ricerca per la Protezione Idrogeologica DPS Data Processing System (for product quality monitoring) ECMWF European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting EPQM OPE/VAL EPS Product Quality Monitoring OPErational and VALidation environments EPS European Polar System EUMETSAT European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites GS1 Operational Ground Segment GS2 Validation Ground Segment GS3 Integration Ground Segment H-SAF Satellite Applications Facility on support to Hydrology and Water Management IFS Integrated Forecasting System METOP METeorological Operational Platform PDF Probability Density Function PDU Processing Data Unit PPF Product Processing Facility SIOV System In Orbit Verification SPVT Science and Products Validation Team SWET Software Engineering Task TCE Technical Computing Environment TU-Wien IPF Vienna University of Technology, Institute of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing 2 PROTOTYPE RESULTS There is no prototype at EUMETSAT that has been used at this stage of the validation. 3 INTERNAL EUMETSAT VALIDATION After discussions with the H-SAF, it was agreed that no specific quantitative validation was needed on the soil moisture products to allow trial dissemination, as long as Page 6 of 25

- the cross-calibration of the ASCAT-A and B backscatter remained within +/- 0.1 db - the ASCAT-B soil moisture daily reports provided values comparable to ASCAT-A Both aspects are covered in the next two sections. 3.1 ASCAT-A and B backscatter cross-calibration As part of the ASCAT-B early Cal/Val process, a preliminary calibration was introduced to the Level 1B processor, in order to ensure a backscatter cross-calibration with ASCAT-A. The method and early results are provided in [RD2]. As more data has been made available, it has been confirmed that the ASCAT-A and B cross-calibration calibration are clearly within +/- 0.1 db for the right swath, while for the left swath, some incidence angles show a larger discrepancy, as can be seen in figure 1. Part of that discrepancy is however due to the normal variability of the rain forest month to month, as the lower panels of figure 1 show for ASCAT-A. On average though, it is clear that the cross-calibration is within +/- 0.1 db (figure 2). Figure 1: Gamma0 differences over the rainforest, w.r.t, a gamm0 model based on one month of ASCAT-A data, corresponding to October 2012.The panels above correspond to ASCAT-B and those below to ASCAT-A (TCE DPS). Page 7 of 25

Figure 2: Time series of average (for the full incidence angle range) gamma0 differences over the rainforest, w.r.t, a gamm0 model based on one month of ASCAT-A data, corresponding to October 2012.The panels above correspond to ASCAT-B and those below to ASCAT-, where a longer time series has been used (TCE DPS). 3.2 ASCAT-B Soil Moisture daily reports ASCAT-A and ASCAT-B monitoring reports run on the TCE from the TCE off-line environment rolling archive (/tcc1/fbf/tcdras/store/gs2/). The ingestion of the data in the EPQM soil moisture parameter database was moreover also confirmed. Although no reports have been yet generated from the EPQM database, it is intended to provide a longer term analysis from it, prior to the start of operational dissemination. The TCE reports offer daily maps of all parameters contained in the product, namely soil moisture index, sigma0_40, sigma0_40 slope, dry and wet backscatter references and their estimated errors, as well as all processing and advisory flags. They provide also a time series of daily statistics. Examining the reports for ASCAT-A and ASCAT-B, there are no distinguishable differences in the maps, nor in the time series, beyond those expected due to the slightly different coverage due to the 50 min orbit phasing. This allows us to conclude that the soil moisture products are good enough for the cal/val partners to start their evaluation. This is shown in figures 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. Figure 9 shows a map of merged ASCAT-A and ASCAT-B soil Page 8 of 25

moisture, which confirms that it is really hard to tell which is which. It is in fact based on Figure 9 that the H-SAF recommended the start of trial dissemination for Cal/Val partners. Page 9 of 25

Figure 3a: Soil moisture map corresponding to 05.11 for ASCAT-A (soil moisture daily monitoring reports). Page 10 of 25

Figure 3b: Soil moisture map corresponding to 05.11 for ASCAT-B (soil moisture daily monitoring reports). Page 11 of 25

Figure 4a: Soil moisture error map corresponding to 05.11 for ASCAT-A (soil moisture daily monitoring reports). Page 12 of 25

Figure 4b: Soil moisture error map corresponding to 05.11 for ASCAT-B (soil moisture daily monitoring reports). Page 13 of 25

Figure 5: November 2012 time series of daily total number of measurements, as well as non-valid values of soil moisture, soil moisture error, sigma0_40, sigma0_40 error, sigma0_40 slope, sigma0_40 slope error, dry and wet backscatter references and long term mean surface soil moisture. ASCAT-A above and ASCAT-B below. Page 14 of 25

Figure 6: November 2012 time series of daily total number of measurements, non-valid values of soil moisture, and % occurrence of all processing flags. ASCAT-A above and ASCAT-B below. Page 15 of 25

Figure 7: November 2012 time series of daily total number of measurements and % occurrence of all correction flags. ASCAT-A above and ASCAT-B below. Page 16 of 25

Figure 8: November 2012 time series of daily total number of measurements and % occurrence of all advisory flags. ASCAT-A above and ASCAT-B below. Page 17 of 25

Figure 9: Soil moisture map corresponding to 26.10 for ASCAT-B and ASCAT-B. Page 18 of 25

4 EXTERNAL PARTNER VALIDATION Feedback has been received by the H-SAF, ECMWF and CNR-IRPI, confirming the good quality of the ASCAT-B soil moisture products. 4.1 H-SAF The H-SAF has sent feedback both on backscatter and soil moisture. The feedback on backscatter has been included in the ASCAT-B Calibration and Validation Report [RD2]. They have further looked into the soil moisture global statistics. Figure 10 provides an example for a day of global coverage for ASCAT-A and -B soil moisture, showing a good comparison. Figure 11 shows global distribution of soil moisture values from both instruments, showing again a very good comparison. Equivalent figures for other days look very similar (not shown). Figure 10: Soil moisture map corresponding to 22.10 for ASCAT-A (above) and ASCAT-B (below). Courtesy of H-SAF TU-Wien. Page 19 of 25

Figure 11: Soil moisture normalised Probability Density Function corresponding to 22.10 for ASCAT-A (blue) and ASCAT-B (green). Courtesy of H-SAF TU-Wien. 4.2 ECMWF ECMWF started archiving ASCAT-B soil moisture data for analysis on 23.11. The Probability Density Function (PDF) from 23-24.11 shows consistent distributions between ASCAT-A and -B and derives global statistics almost identical, as shown in Table 1 Nb Mean (%) Std (%) ASCAT-A 471592 31.6 27.3 ASCAT-B 468076 31.5 27.4 Table 1:Global statistics of soil moisture index from ASCAT-A and -B corresponding to 23-24.11. Courtesy of ECMWF. Furthermore, departures of soil moisture index from model first guess show equivalent geographical distribution (Figure 12, 13) and statistics (Table 2). Page 20 of 25

Figure 12:Global distribution of soil moisture index departures from model first guess (m 3 * m -3 ) for ASCAT-A (above) and -B (below) corresponding to 23-24.11. Courtesy of ECMWF. Page 21 of 25

Figure 12: Histograms of soil moisture index departures from model first guess (m 3 * m -3 ) for ASCAT-A (above) and -B (below) corresponding to 23-24.11. Courtesy of ECMWF. Nb Mean (m 3 * m -3 ) Std (m 3 * m -3 ) ASCAT-A 64893 0.0152 0.0645 ASCAT-B 65527 0.0149 0.0663 Table 2:Global statistics of soil moisture index departure from model first guess (m 3 * m -3 ) for ASCAT-A and -B corresponding to 23-24.11. Courtesy of ECMWF. Page 22 of 25

Additionally, ASCAT-B Soil moisture index was included into the passive monitoring through an operational change on the Integrated Forecast System (IFS) cycle 38r1 on 06.12. Since then, monitoring is offered by ECMWF under the links below for both ASCAT-A and ASCAT-B and examples of some of the monitoring plots are shown in Figure 13, confirming the very good agreement between the data from the two instruments. http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/monitoring/satellite/slmoist/metopb/ http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/monitoring/satellite/slmoist/metopa/ Figure 13: Hovmoeller zonal mean fields for ASCAT-A (above) and ASCAT-B (below) soil moisture observations (m 3 * m -3 ). Courtesy of ECMWF. Page 23 of 25

4.3 CNR-IRPI Our colleagues at CNR-IRPI have further provided comparisons with in-situ soil moisture stations, confirming the good agreement between instruments and also with respect to the insitu data (Figure 14). Figure 14: ASCAT-A and -B soil moisture vs. in-situ observations for the Italian station Cerbara, collocated as well with rainfall measurements. Courtesy of Luca Brocca at CNR-IRPI. 5 CONCLUSIONS 5.1 Product Validation Summary During this first phase of Cal/Val, we have verified that the ASCAT-B backscatter calibration is within +/- 0.1 db with respect to that of ASCAT-A. The ASCAT-B soil moisture reports running in the TCE also show that the ASCAT-A and B soil moisture products are very comparable, not only with respect to the soil moisture values, but also with respect to the error estimations and other processing and advisory flags. Feedback from Cal/Val partners show that the global statistics and geographical characteristics of soil moisture products are almost identical and in good agreement with ground observations. 5.2 Product Validation Issues None 5.3 Actions for Product Rollout None Page 24 of 25

5.3.1 Time Schedule Start of pre-operational dissemination, including GTS: 13.11 5.3.2 User Notification Already sent. 5.3.3 Verification None. 5.3.4 Document Update None necessary for the trial dissemination. Product guide updates will be prepared for the start of operational dissemination. 5.3.5 Web Update None. 6 RECOMMENDATION We recommend that the pre-operational dissemination to all users is started for ASCAT-B Level 2 soil moisture products. Note that with the start of open dissemination to all users of both the soil moisture and the wind products, the multi-parameter product generated at the OSI SAF is complete and ready for use. It is proposed to encourage the OSI SAF to start with pre-operational dissemination of the multi-parameter product on EUMETCast and the GTS as soon as the wind products are ready for that phase. Page 25 of 25