The Big Bang: Fact or Fiction?

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Redshifts and the expanding universe Paradigm shift or slow dawning? The Big Bang: Fact or Fiction? Cormac O Raifeartaigh FRAS 223 rd AAS meeting, Washington D.C. 5/01/14 University College Cork, 24/02/14

A drama in three acts? A brief history of observation (1912-1931) The redshifts of the spiral nebulae (Slipher) The distances to the nebulae (Hubble) The Hubble graph of 1929 A brief history of theory (1915-1931) The static universes of Einstein and de Sitter The dynamic universes of Friedman and Lemaître An expanding universe? (1930) Explorations of a dynamic universe (1930-35) Paradigm shift or slow dawning? New findings Einstein s steady-state model (1931)

The starry nebulae Observed by Marius (1614), Halley, Messier Cloudy structures; not planets or stars Island universes? Kant, Laplace (1755-96) Galaxies of stars at immense distance? Are stars born in the nebulae? Wilhem Herschel 36-inch reflecting telescope Catalogue of a thousand (1786) Earl of Rosse 72-inch reflecting telescope (1845) Some nebulae have spiral structure, stars Problem of resolution, distance

The spectra of the nebulae Photography and spectroscopy (19 th cent) Emission and absorption lines of celestial objects Composition of the stars William Huggins Motion of the stars: Doppler effect William Campbell Δλ/λ= v/c Spectroscopy of spiral nebulae? Composition of nebulae? Motion of nebulae? Difficult to resolve

Slipher and the nebulae Analyse light of the spiral nebulae? (1909) Lowell Observatory; evolving solar system? Slipher reluctant 24-inch refractor: larger telescopes failed V.M. Slipher Experiments with spectrograph camera Good results with fast camera lens Clear spectrum for Andromeda nebula (1912) Significantly blue-shifted; approaching at 300 km/s? Many spiral nebulae red-shifted (1915) Standing ovation (AAS, 1914) Attended by Hubble

Redshifts of the nebulae Spectra of 25 spirals (1917) Large outward velocities Some receding at 1000 km/s Much faster than stars Gravitationally bound by MW? Δλ/λ= v/c Island universe debate Island universe hypothesis gains favour Faintest spectra most redshifted Evidence of expansion? (retrospective) 41 redshifts by 1922 Published by Eddington, Strömberg What did they mean?

Act II: General relativity (1915) Albert Einstein

Relativity and the cosmos Einstein model (1917) Homogenous fluid of uniform density Equations predict dynamic universe No evidence for such a universe Add cosmic constant static Closed curvature, finite radius G μν + λg μν = De Sitter (1917) Empty universe Apparently static (co-ordinate system) T μν Cosmic constant determined by curvature of space Redshifts due to time dilation/matter Disliked by Einstein: Mach s principle

Redshifts and the de Sitter universe Karl Wirtz (1922,24) Redshifts of nebulae increasing with distance Dispersal effect? v = 2200 1200 log (Dm) Ludwik Silberstein (1924) Relation between redshifts, distance, curvature Δλ/λ = +/- r/r (global clusters) Knut Lundmark (1924,25) Velocity against distance; clusters, nebulae Gustav Strömberg (1925) Vel/dist relation for globular clusters, nebulae?

Friedmann models Allow time-varying solutions to the field equations Expanding, contracting universes Allow cosmic constant Geometry, evolution depends on matter Positive curvature (1922) Hyperbolic curvature (1924) Alexander Friedmann 1888-1925 Hypothetical models (Zf. Ph.) To be decided by astronomy Disliked by Einstein Correction and retraction Ignored by community

The distances of the nebulae (1925) Hooker telescope (Mt Wilson) 100-inch reflector (1917) Edwin Hubble (1921) Ambitious and dedicated astronomer Resolved Cepheid stars in nebulae (1925) Leavitt s period-luminosity relation Standard candle Edwin Hubble (1889-1953) Spirals beyond Milky Way Beginning of end of Great Debate Nebulae = galaxies

A redshift/distance relation (1929) Is there a redshift/distance relation for galaxies? Motivation: establishing distance to the galaxies Combine 24 nebular distances with redshifts Redshifts from Slipher : not acknowleged Approx linear relation (Hubble, 1929) Some errors (Peacock) Most important point not shown What do the redshifts mean? Reference to de Sitter universe H = 585 kms -1 Mpc -1

Act III An expanding universe? (1930-) RAS meeting (1930) Eddington, de Sitter Redshift/distance relation of the nebulae Static models don t fit New model required Letter from Lemaître Reminds Eddington of his 1927 model Eddington, de Sitter impressed Expansion of space? Considered by many theoreticians If redshifts are velocities (Zwicky) If effect is non-local Not accepted by astronomers (Hubble) Expansion of space?

Lemaître s universe (1927,31) Redshifts of galaxies = cosmic expansion? Rate of expansion from ave. distance and redshift H = 585 km/s/mpc Matter-filled U of expanding radius de Sitter model not static (1925) New evolving solution: Einstein de Sitter Fr Georges Lemaître Not an empirical law Edited in 1931 translation No beginning: indefinite age Starts from Einstein universe at t = - Rejected by Einstein An idea whose time had not yet come

Eddington (1930, 31) Dynamic cosmic models (1930-32) On the instability of the Einstein universe The Eddington-Lemaître model Expansion caused by condensation? de Sitter (1930, 31) Further remarks on the expanding universe Expanding universes of every flavour Tolman (1930, 31) On the behaviour of non-static models Expansion caused by annihilation of matter? Einstein (1931, 32) Friedmann-Einstein model λ = 0, k = 1 Einstein-deSitter model λ = 0, k =0 If redshifts represent velocities If effect is non-local.

Tolman s annihilation model Non-static line element (1930) Einstein, de Sitter models ruled out ds 2 = e 2kt 1 + 4r2 R 2 Cause of cosmic expansion? General evolutionary process Transformation of matter into radiation Rate of transformation 2 dx 1 2 + dx 2 2 2 + dx 3 + c 2 dt 2 From Hubble s law and from stellar physics δλ λ = kδl 1 dm M dt = 3k May have influenced Einstein Steady-state model k = 5x10 10 yr -1

Einstein s 1931 model (F-E) Instability of static universe Eddington s paper Hubble s observations Expanding cosmos Remove cosmic constant? Friedmann-Einstein universe Transl. O Raifearaigh et al Adopt Friedmann 1922 analysis Time-varying universe, k =1, λ = 0 Age and singularity problems Attributes to limitations of theory

Einstein s 1931 model (F-E) Numerical estimates of radius and density Use Hubble parameter P ~ 10 8 light-years, ρ ~ 10-26 g/cm 3 Oxford lecture (May 1931) Calculations problematic H 0 ~500 kms -1 Mpc -1 : D 2 ~10-55 cm -2 Age estimate problematic Age from Friedmann (10 10 yr) Not a periodic solution Model fails at P = 0

Einstein-deSitter model (1932) Remove curvature (Occam s razor) All curvatures possible (Heckmann) Adopt Friedmann analysis Time-varying universe with k =0, λ = 0 Critical universe Calculate critical density 10-28 g/cm 3 : agrees with astrophysics Well-known model Despite age problem

An origin for the universe? (1931) Rewind Hubble graph U smaller in the past Extremely dense, extremely hot Primeval atom Expanding and cooling since The big bang Singularity problem density, temp at t = 0? Quantum theory Age problem U younger than stars?

Lemaître s hesitating universe (1931-34) Primeval atom Explosive expansion from radioactive decay Expansion slows down Positive cosmic constant Energy of vacuum; stagnation Indefinite timespan No age problem Formation of structure? Accelerated expansion de Sitter universe at large t Cosmic rays = radiation from early universe?

Formation of galaxies? Growth in static universe Natural fluctuations in density Exponential growth by gravitational collapse λ j =c s /(Gρ 0 /π) 1/2 Growth in expanding universe Lemaître 1934, Tolman 1935 Linear growth of density perturbations δρ/ρ R James Jeans Structure not from density fluctuations? New mechanism needed Eddington-Lemaître model?

Observational parameters needed Spatial curvature k = -1,0,1? Cosmic constant λ = 0? Deacceleration q 0 = - R /R 2 Density of matter ρ < ρ crit? Hubble constant R R = 500 kms -1 Mpc -1? Timespan τ = 10 9 yr? What do redshifts represent? Is expansion a local effect? Hubble and Tolman 1935

Paradigm shift or slow dawning? Hubble/Slipher Empirical law for nebulae Friedmann Time-varying solutions Lemaître Models Theory and observation de Sitter, Eddington, Einstein, Tolman, Robertson Slow emergence of theory and evidence

Bonus: Einstein s steady-state model Non-static line element (1931) ds 2 = e 2kt dx 2 1 + dx 2 2 2 + dx 3 + c 2 dt 2 Age problem Conflict with stellar ages Non-evolving universe Continuous formation of matter Associated with λ: energy of space Anticipates Hoyle et al. Fundamental flaw Not published

Einstein s exploration of a steady-state model Why does model fail? De Sitter model (9/4-3/4) ρ = 0 How is matter formed? No creation term Einstein s crossroads Realised S-S model requires term Declined to add term to GFE Evolving models Less contrived Set λ = 0

Coda: Slow acceptance (1935-65) Hot big bang (1940s) Nucleosynthesis in the hot infant universe? Background radiation from early universe? Little interest from community No search for the cosmic radiation General relativity difficult, abstruse Gamow, Alpher and Hermann Steady-state universe (1948) Hoyle, Bondi and Gold Continuous creation of matter from vacuum No age or singularity problems Later ruled out by experiment (1960s) Radio-galaxy counts, CMB

Paradigm shift or slow dawning? Revolutionary v normal science Normal science interspersed by revolutions The paradigm shift Change of worldview occurs Social factors important Thomas Kuhn Incommensurability New worldview incommensurate with old Exp U: Slow exploration of theory and observation Slow acceptance of new paradigm (1935-65)

The big bang model - questions Nature of dark energy? Role in BB? Nature of dark matter? Particle experiments? Which model of inflation? No-boundary universe The multiverse? The singularity problem What banged? What does time zero mean? The case is never closed

Act V Cosmic background radiation Search for radio signals Large, sensitive receiver Universal signal (1965) From every direction Low frequency (microwave) Low temperature (3K) Penzias and Wilson Echo of big bang Radiation from early universe BB model goes mainstream

Cosmology today Satellite measurements of CMB No interference from atmosphere Expected temperature Expected frequency COBE satellite (1992) Full spectrum Perfect blackbody spectrum Perturbations Variation of 1 in 10 5

Planck Satellite (ESA): Results

New results: Planck Satellite (ESA, 2013) 1. Improved sensitivity 1x10 6 T T 2. Full spectrum of T anisotropy New acoustic peaks :scale invariance? Accurate values for Ω Λ, Ω M 3. Gravitational lensing Remove degeneracies 4. Polarization measurements E-modes: fluctuations B-modes: gravity waves?

Planck results (2013) 1. New Hubble constant 67.3 +- 1.2 km/s/mpc Age = 13.8 billion yr No age conflict with astrophysics 2. Curvature: flat Ω k = -0.0005 +-.07 3. Positive cosmic constant Ω Λ = 68% 4. New mass/energy parameters Ω DM = 27%, Ω OM = 4.9 %

Planck Results 1. Power spectrum Not scale invariant n s = 0.96 2. Compatible with inflation Simple slow-roll models Higgs-type field? 3. Complex inflation out Double field out Hybrid models out Cyclic models out