Vulnerability assessment of Sta.Rosa-Silang subwatershed using SWAT

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Vulnerability assessment of Sta.Rosa-Silang subwatershed using SWAT Damasa B. Magcale-Macandog, Charles Gunay and Milben A. Bragais Institute of Biological Sciences, University of the Philippines Los Baños, College, Laguna, Philippines Paper presented during the 2017 ESRI User Conference, 10-14 July 2017, Convention Center, San Diego, California

INTRODUCTION Sta. Rosa Silang subwatershed: rapid land conversion since 1990 s extreme disturbances weather altered water balance

Flooding from typhoon events flooding related Google search

Major flood disasters and related damages and losses as brought by typhoons in 2006 and 2009 in Laguna region (Source: RDRRMC, 2011)

Source: Presentation made by LLDA Secretary Acosta on Dec 2, 2014 in Santa Rosa, Philippines FLOOD HAZARD in Laguna Lake Greater Watershed

Study site Silang Binan Cabuyao Santa Rosa Silang-Santa Rosa Subwatershed, Philippines Area shaded in red (above), topography (right) Multiple cities in 120 km2 Rapid economic growth Population growth and migration (570,000 people) Massive land use changes in past 2 decades Flooding, environmental degradation, pollution, waste

LAND COVER CHANGES 2009 2014 Source: Magcale-Macandog et al., 2015

INTRODUCTION Soil and Water Assessment Tool A physically-based, river basin-scale, continuous event model developed to quantify the water, sediment, and agricultural nutrient yields of large watersheds. The model bears its simulations on the area s soil types, slope, and land management conditions.

INTRODUCTION Soil and Water Assessment Tool Enables its users to study long-term impacts from the readily available inputs of spatial and climatic data Accurately simulate the surface runoff using SCS Curve Number method and the sediment accumulation using the Modified Universal Soil Loss Equation (MUSLE)

INTRODUCTION In this study, SWAT, inputted with LiDAR- and RS-derived maps and historical weather data, was used to quantify the ff.: potential flood volume potential erosion and sediment accumulation

OBJECTIVES This study generally aimed to assess the landslide and flooding high risk areas along the Santa Rosa-Silang Subwatershed using the SWAT hydrological model. Specifically, it intended to: a) Predict runoff and sediment yield in the site using SWAT model from the spatial and climatic inputs b) Identify high risk areas along the site vulnerable to landslides and flooding

MATERIALS AND METHODS Preparation of SWAT Model Inputs: Geographical data of the Santa Rosa-Silang Subwatershed a) Digital terrain model (DTM) b) 2014 land use map c) Soil map Historical climatic data from 1980 to 2015 a) Daily rainfall b) Daily maximum and minimum temperatures

Reconditioned digital terrain map (DTM) of Santa Rosa- Silang Subwatershed

SWAT Input - SWAT-defined Code Area (hectares) Percent Subwat. Area (%) LAND USES*: Residential (URBN) Orchard (ORCD) Pasture (PAST) Forest, Mixed (FRST) Agricultural, Generic (AGRL) 4353.91 1376.70 2527.95 998.19 898.05 42.88 13.56 24.89 9.83 8.84 2014 land cover map of Santa Rosa-Silang Subwatershed

SWAT Input - SWAT-defined Code SOIL TYPES*: Clay (VERGENNES) Sandy loam (POOTATUCK) Sandy clay loam (RIPPOWAM) Loam (MIDDLEBURY) Clay loam (WALLKILL) Area (hectares) 3133.82 398.36 511.25 4732.05 1379.32 Percent Subwat. Area (%) 30.86 3.92 5.03 46.60 13.58 Soil map of Santa Rosa-Silang Subwatershed

MATERIALS AND METHODS Preparation of SWAT Model Inputs: The 36-year (1980 to 2015) climatic data was converted and compiled to a particular format (.txt) required by the SWAT model.

MATERIALS AND METHODS Development of SWAT Model: The DTM map was entered in the model s platform. Streams and outlets were created based on the changes in elevation along the area.

SWAT Model Output

Table 2. Simulated surface flow and sediment yield volumes of the dominant 49 HRUs. HRU # Flow (cms) Sediment (tons) HRU # Flow (cms) Sediment (tons) 1 0.7158 135827.48 2 0.7917 156458.84 3 1.4540 306038.93 4 2.2454 462669.14 5 1.1697 11936.78 6 1.2591 260517.12 7 0.8869 67671.98 8 28.4869 69203.81 9 3.6181 39202.20 10 2.1672 331528.82 11 0.0015 133.20 12 3.5459 225821.76 13 24.5071 119784.40 14 2.2783 213405.49 15 18.1310 31770.96 16 0.7298 7577.32 17 1.3643 174439.18 18 1.2397 9327.67 19 1.2392 220181.69 20 0.6391 12474.23 21 16.7404 178221.34 22 14.0753 36637.67 23 11.9047 10481.01 24 5.7938 44970.18 25 5.1448 45267.61 26 15.4768 7254.95 27 0.6312 5373.93 28 2.8183 21510.92 29 1.3804 8717.31 30 0.8273 4499.94 31 1.3195 13773.01 32 12.6095 275702.37 33 2.0898 812253.07 34 0.9560 3622.33 35 9.0903 18126.48 36 2.1310 29016.74 37 0.6794 304539.79 38 4.0297 32729.82 39 1.2247 3419.03 40 0.9388 423946.48 41 1.4265 20908.88 42 3.9457 478249.34 43 0.8058 5683.19 44 2.2595 448262.72 45 5.0766 26058.86 46 0.8655 10281.51 47 2.3273 382872.65 48 1.1236 225854.33 49 0.8055 152628.49 Santa Rosa-Silang Subwatershed divided into 49 dominant HRUs

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION HRU #8, #13, #15, #21, #22, and #26 are those vulnerable to flashfloods based on their physical characteristics & exposure to extreme rainfall. Identified areas vulnerable to flooding along the Santa Rosa- Silang Subwatershed

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION The flooded areas are dominated by residential subdivisions and industrial facilities which makes the permeability of the land and soils to be extremely low.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION HRU Nos. 3, 4, and 19 vulnerable to sedimentation HRU Nos. 33, 37, 40, 42, 44, and 47 are vulnerable to erosion.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION Brgy. Tartaria (Upstream) Brgy. Sto Domingo (Mid stream) The portions vulnerable to erosion are mostly in sloping upstream areas in Silang and midstream areas in Santa Rosa.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION Brgy. Aplaya (Shoreline) The downstream areas along the riverine system and lakeshore are most vulnerable to sedimentation

CONCLUSIONS A GIS-based hydrological modeling study was performed at the Santa Rosa-Silang Subwatershed to assess its physical vulnerability towards landslides and flashfloods. SWAT Input - SWAT-defined Code Area (hectares) Percent Subwat. Area (%) The SWAT model was used to simulate the potential surface flow and sediment yield volume based on the spatial and climatic data inputted in its platform. LAND USES*: Residential (URBN) Orchard (ORCD) Pasture (PAST) Forest, Mixed (FRST) Agricultural Land, Generic (AGRL) SOIL TYPES*: Clay (VERGENNES) Sandy loam (POOTATUCK) Sandy clay loam (RIPPOWAM) Loam (MIDDLEBURY) Clay loam (WALLKILL) SLOPE RANGES: 0-10 10-20 4353.91 1376.70 2527.95 998.19 898.05 3133.82 398.36 511.25 4732.05 1379.32 8746.14 1408.66 42.88 13.56 24.89 9.83 8.84 30.86 3.92 5.03 46.60 13.58 86.13 13.87 TOTAL 10154.80 100

CONCLUSIONS Results of the simulation of the model showed: high volumes of surface flow in the downstream and midstream areas of Santa Rosa along the riverine system; erosion occuring in sloping upstream areas sedimentation in the coastal and along the riverine system in the downstream area

Thank you!