Prospects for Measuring the Reactor Neutrino Flux and Spectrum

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Prospects for Measuring the Reactor Neutrino Flux and Spectrum Karsten Heeger Yale University as a member of the Daya Bay and PROSPECT collaborations INT, Seattle, November 8, 2013

ν e /MeV/fisson Reactor Neutrino Oscillation Experiments Measure (non)-1/r 2 behavior of νe interaction rate νe νe,x νe,x far Δm 2 P ee 1 sin 2 2θ 13 sin 2 31 L Δm cos 4 θ 13 sin 2 2θ 12 sin 2 21 4E ν 4E ν 2 L L/E Δm 2 amplitude of oscillation θ Energy (MeV) Neutrino Energy 2

Daya Bay - A State of the Art θ13 Experiment RPCs outer and inner water shields (IWS and OWS) automated calibration units (ACU) AD Gd-LS target Daya Bay sums data from multiple reactors concrete antineutrino detectors (AD) 6 reactor cores 3 experimental halls 6 (8) detectors 3

Daya Bay - A State of the Art θ13 Experiment Hall 3: began 3 AD operation on Dec. 24, 2011 Hall 2: began 1 AD operation on Nov. 5, 2011 Daya Bay has multiple detectors Hall 1: began 2 AD operation on Sep. 23, 2011 4

Daya Bay Detectors 6 functionally identical detectors Gd-LS defines target volume, no position cut Dual tagging systems: 2.5 meter water shield and RPCs mineral oil Gd-doped liquid scintillator ν e + p e + + n liquid scintillator γ-catcher 5 m target mass: 20 ton per AD photosensors: 192 8 -PMTs energy resolution: (7.5 / E + 0.9)% Two-zone ultrapure water Cherenkov detector multiple detectors allow comparison and cross-checks 5

Antineutrino Detector (AD) Design 3 volumes eliminate edge effects, common to all θ13 experiments 6

Automated Calibration System 3 Automatic calibration robots (ACUs) on each detector R=1.7725 m R=0 R=1.35m Top view Three axes: center, edge of target, middle of gamma catcher 3 sources in each robot, including: 10 Hz 68 Ge (0 KE e + = 2 0.511 MeV γ s) 0.75 Hz 241 Am- 13 C neutron source (3.5 MeV n without γ) + 100 Hz 60 Co gamma source (1.173+1.332 MeV γ) LED diffuser ball (500 Hz) for time calibration Temporary special calibration sources: γ: 137 Cs (62 MeV), 54 Mn (0.835 MeV), 40 K (1.461 MeV) n: 241 Am- 9 Be, 239 Pu- 13 C 7

Daya Bay Fall 2012 Installation of Final Antineutrino Detectors Full Volume Calibration Regular, automated and special, fullvolume calibration to understand detector response 8

Antineutrino Candidates (Inverse Beta Decay) Prompt + Delayed Selection IBD candidates ν e + p e + + n Uncertainty in relative E d efficiency (0.12%) between detectors is largest systematic. Prompt Energy Signal Delayed Energy Signal Events/0.25 MeV 2000 1500 1000 500 Data, DYB-AD1 MC Events/0.05 MeV 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 Data, DYB-AD1 MC 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Prompt energy (MeV) 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Delayed energy (MeV) 9

Side-by-Side Comparison in Near Hall Feb 2012 ratio of neutrino events in AD1 and AD2 expected: 0.981 measured: 0.987± 0.008 (stat) ± 0.003 ratio is not 1 because of baseline difference Daya Bay, arxiv:1202:6181 (2012) Highest statistics in near-site spectra in EH1 10

Measuring Antineutrino Rate vs Time IBD Rate (/day/ad) 900 800 700 600 500 400 800 700 600 500 400 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 Daya Bay Near Hall Ling Ao Near Hall Far Hall Data No Oscillation Best Fit Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 Run Time Detected rate strongly correlated with reactor flux expectations Predicted Rate assumes no oscillation Absolute normalization determined by fit to data Normalization within a few percent of expectations 11

Measuring θ13 with Reactor Experiments Near-Far Concept νe νe,x νe,x 1.1 near distance L ~ 1.5 km far Absolute Reactor Flux Largest uncertainty in previous measurements N osc /N no_osc 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 θ 13 Δm 2 13 Δm 2 23 Daya Bay makes relative oscillation measurement Relative Measurement Removes absolute uncertainties! First proposed by L. A. Mikaelyan and V.V. Sinev, Phys. Atomic Nucl. 63 1002 (2000) 0.5 detector 1 detector 2 0.3 0.1 1 10 100 Baseline (km) far/near ν e ratio target mass distances efficiency oscillation deficit 12

Reactor Experiments - Current Results From Discovery to Precision Measurements 2012 Daya Bay 5.2σ measurement of non-zero θ 13 2013 PRL 108:171803 (2012) Daya Bay 7.7σ Improved measurement CPC37:011001 (2013) consistent results from Double Chooz and RENO Daya Bay Most precise sin 2 2θ 13 measurement (10%) First Δm 2 ee measurement (`atmospheric Δm2 from ν e agrees with ν µ from MINOS, consistent with 3-ν model) 13

Rate+Spectra Oscillation Analysis Relative oscillation analysis between near and far detectors Strong confirmation of oscillation-interpretation of observed ν e deficit A. Radovic, DPF2013 14

Daya Bay - Sensitivity Projections Precision Measurements sin 2 2θ 13 Δm 2 ee Combination of n-gd and n-h with anticipated systematics improvements (sin 2 2θ 13 =0.09, Δm 2 ee =2.41e-3 ev2 ) Reactor experiments will provide most precise measurement of sin 2 2θ 13 for the foreseeable future. 15

Towards Absolute Spectrum and Flux Multiple Reactor Cores Oscillation of different reactors mixed together in one detector. From measurement, we don t know which IBD event is from which reactor C. Lewis now have full set of 8 detectors operations Daya Bay can compare spectra between detectors and experimental halls 16

Towards Absolute Spectrum and Flux Multiple Reactor Cores Oscillation of different reactors mixed together in one detector. From measurement, we don t know which IBD event is from which reactor Daya Bay Summed spectrum is an averaged, effective spectrum 17

Towards Absolute Spectrum Fuel Evolution of Multiple Reactor Cores Antineutrino detectors in EH1 get ~ 80% of IBDs from D1 and D2 D1 and D2 have 18 month fuel cycles Twice per fuel cycle one of these cores will be off for ~month. avg fuel cycle progress C. Lewis 18

Towards Absolute Spectrum Fuel Evolution of Reactor Core C. Lewis Summing data from different times adds different spectral changes from multi-reactor experiment. 19

Energy Response and Scale Understanding energy scale is important for both oscillation analysis and spectral measurement D. Dwyer Requires detailed translation between true and detected antineutrino energy. 20

Energy Response Measurement of the absolute spectrum requires understanding the energy response -> Model maps true energy E true to reconstructed kinetic energy E rec Minimal impact on relative oscillation measurement, crucial for measurement of absolute reactor spectra 21

Detector Response: Acrylic Vessels Energy loss in acrylic causes small distortion of energy spectrum If antineutrino interacts in or near acrylic vessel, a portion of the kinetic energy of inverse beta positrons will not be detected True versus visible MC e + energy e + traversed acrylic Annihilation gammas with longer range can also deposit energy in the vessels e + stopped in acrylic Simulation IBD in target IBD in acrylic (~1.3%) Generated 2D distortion matrix from MC to correct predicted positron energy spectrum Uncertainties from varying acrylic vessel thicknesses and MC statistics incorporated into analysis. 22

Electronics Non-Linearity Model PMT readout electronics introduces additional biases Electronics does not fully capture late secondary hits Slow scintillation component missed at high energies Charge collection efficiency decreases with visible light Secondary Hit Charge Collection Eff. 1 0.8 0.2 Single Channel MC Simulation 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 Time Since First Hit [ns] Effective model as a function of total visible energy 2 empirical parameterizations: exponential and quadratic Total effective non-linearity f from both scintillation and electronics effects: 23

Energy Response Model Constraints Use calibration gamma sources and continuous 12 B spectrum to constrain energy model parameters Reconstructed / True Energy Positron Energy Response 1.05 Positron Energy Response Model 1 0.95 Nominal Model + 68% CL 0.9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 True Positron Energy [MeV] multiple models are constructed with different data and parameter constraints conservatively combine 5 minimal correlated energy models Detector response to gamma and e- used to predict response to e+ 24

Gamma + Beta Spectra Additional spectra from 212 Bi, 214 Bi and 208 Tl decays Sizable theoretical uncertainties from 1st forbidden non-unique beta decays 212Bi, 214 Bi and 208 Tl spectra only utilized to cross-check results Events / 0.25 MeV Data/Pred. Events / 0.05 MeV 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 208 Thallium 214 Bismuth Data Prediction 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 12 Reconstructed Energy [MeV] Boron Data Prediction Events / 0.04 MeV Data/Pred. Events / 0.05 MeV 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 Data Prediction 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 212 Reconstructed Energy [MeV] Bismuth Data Prediction Data/Pred. 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Reconstructed Energy [MeV] Data/Pred. 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 Reconstructed Energy [MeV] 25

Absolute Spectral Shape Measurement of absolute antineutrino spectrum strongly dependent on detector energy model >1 million interactions in existing 6 (+ 8) detector data 26

Uncertainty Summary - Relative For near/far oscillation, only uncorrelated uncertainties are used. Daya Bay still statistics limited. Largest systematics are smaller than far site statistics (~0.5%) Influence of uncorrelated reactor systematics reduced by far vs. near measurement. 27

Uncertainty Summary - Absolute Absolute flux measurement depends on the absolute detector efficiencies and uncertainties/ Dominated by spill-in/spill-out of neutrons. Influence of uncorrelated reactor systematics reduced by far vs. near measurement. 28

Neutron Spill-in/Spill-Out 29

Daya Bay - Projected Uncertainties Absolute Uncertainties Daya Bay 30

Short-Baseline Reactor Experiments Baselines 10 m 100 m 1 km ~100 km new flux prediction 3+1 neutrino oscillation adapted from Schwetz, Neutrino2012 Reactor Anomaly apparent deficit in observed reactor flux Reactor Spectra RENO One of several anomalies LSND (νe appearance) MiniBoone (νe appearance) Ga anomaly Neff in cosmology Reactor anomaly (νe disappearance) Do we understand reactor flux predictions and spectrum? 31

Experiments at Very Short Baseline A point source Minimum baseline spread νe Oscillation Δm 2 ~2 ev 2 distance, R ~O(10)m Measure un-oscillated spectrum if you don t see oscillations 32

Short-Baseline Reactor Experiment PROSPECT - A US-Based Short Baseline Experiment A Precision Reactor Neutrino Oscillation and Spectrum Experiment 2 Detectors Scientific Reach detector 1! ~4m! reactor core! ] 2 [ev 2 14 Δm 1 near+far near Oscillated/Unoscillated Oscillated/Unoscillated /Unoscillated Osc./Unosc. Osc./Unosc. detector 2! ~15m! reactors under consideration:! NIST, ATR, HFIR! 1.02 1.00 0.98 0.96 near+far detector 0.94 near 0.92 2 0.90 Mass Splitting: 0.20 ev detector only 0.88 1 Detector, 1 year 0.86 2 Detectors, 1 year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1.02 Baseline/Energy (m/mev) Karsten 0.96 Heeger, Yale University Seattle, November 8, 2013 nosc. Map out L/E Oscillations 1.00 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.92 2 0.90 Mass Splitting: 1.00 ev 0.88 1 Detector, 1 year arxiv:1307.2859 0.86 2 Detectors, 1 year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1.02 Baseline/Energy (m/mev) 1.00 0.98 0.94-1 10-2 -2 10 10 1 Detector, 1 Year Livetime, 3σ CL 2 Detectors, 1 Year Livetime, 3σ CL Goal LBL Flux Measurement, 3σ CL Reactor Anomaly, 95% CL Disappearance Exps, 95% CL All ν e -1 10 1 sin 2 2θ ee Phased Approach phase 1- near detector phase 2 - near + far detectors 3σ in 1 year 5σ in 3 years arxiv:1307.2859 33

Oscillated/Unoscillated Oscillated/Unoscillated 2 Oscillated/Unoscillated Osc./Unosc. Osc./Unosc. Osc./Unosc. ] 2 [ev 14 Δm -1 10-2 10-2 10 Short-Baseline near+far detector Reactor Experiment - Objectives 1.02 1.00 0.98 0.96 0.94 near 0.92 0.90 Mass Splitting: 0.20 ev detector only 0.88 1 Detector, 1 year 2 0.86 2 Detectors, 1 year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1.02 1.00 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.92 2 0.90 0.88 0.86 2 Detectors, 1 year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1.02 Baseline/Energy (m/mev) 1.00 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.92 2 0.90 0.88 1 0.86 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 Detector, 1 Year Livetime, 3σ CL 2 Detectors, 1 Year Livetime, 3σ CL Goal LBL Flux Measurement, 3σ CL Reactor Anomaly, 95% CL All ν e Disappearance Exps, 95% CL -1 10 2 1 sin 2θ ee Baseline/Energy (m/mev) Primary Physics Objectives Mass Splitting: 1.00 ev Definitive 1 Detector, 1 yearshort-baseline oscillation search with high sensitivity Test of the oscillation region suggested by reactor anomaly Mass Splitting: 2.50 ev 1 Detector, 1 year 2 Detectors, 1 year and νe disappearance channel (3 years of run time can Baseline/Energy (m/mev) exclude virtually all the implied oscillation region at 5σ) Precision measurement of reactor νe spectrum for physics and safeguards Secondary Physics and Applied Goals 6 Li doped scintillator development Segmented antineutrino detectors for near-surface operation; develop antineutrino-based reactor monitoring technology for safeguards Possible first measurement of antineutrinos from spent fuel 34

US Research Reactors US Operates High-Powered Research Reactors fuel element fuel 74 cm 18 cm 52.8 cm NBSR, NIST HFIR, ORNL ATR 0.8 (a) from the reactor cores. In this section we characteristics of each of these facilities and baseline reactor oscillation experiment can 0.2 d. Each site has NIST the potential to provide 0.0 ATR sitivity to the oscillation physics of interest. -0.2 - tigation will be required to determine which Karsten Heeger, Yale University Seattle, November 8, 2013 - vide the optimum combination of accessibil 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0-0.2-0.2 - - -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.5 0.0-0.2-0.2 - - - -0.2 0.0 0.2-0.0 0.2 - - -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 x (m) 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.0 0.8 0.7-0.2-0.5-0.2 0.0-0.2 - -0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8-0.0 (b) 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 - - 1.0 (c) 0.0 HFIR - --0.2-0.2 0.0 0.00.2 0.2 x (m) x (m) y (m) (b) 0.3 - - - 0.8 y (m) 0.2 Relative Power (arb.) 0.9 Relative Power (arb.) 1.0 y (m) (a) z (m) z (m) (f) Relative Power (arb.) 0.8 Relative Power (arb.) 1.0 (e) y (m) Relative Power (arb.) Near Detector Far Detector Baseline (m) Avg. Flux Baseline (m) Avg. Flux NIST 20 68% 3.9 1.0 15.5 1.0 85 41% 6.7 0.96 18 1.93 HFIR 120 68% 9.5 1.31 18.5 4.30 ATR commercial core : Reactor parameters and potential detector baselines for high power research reactors in the United States. Reactor Cores Relative Power (arb.) Site Power (MWth ) Duty Cycle 1. 0.2 0. 0.0-0.2 0. - - 0.0 - - - (d) 0. - 0. 35 0.

US Research Reactors US Operates High-Powered Research Reactors fuel element 74 cm fuel 18 cm NBSR, NIST 52.8 cm ATR HFIR, ORNL HEU Reactor Fuel Sensitivity similar scientific reach at all reactor sites HEU, no time variation Reactor off periods for background studies Ability to reconfigure/run for extended periods Opportunities for R&D, backup options for detector deployment 36

Absolute Spectral Shape and Flux Reactor θ13 Experiments highest statistics requires removal oscillation effect from measured spectrum or simultaneous fit to oscillation remove fuel evolution of multiple reactor cores to extract effective generic reactor spectrum will add data point to absolute flux measurement at baseline of O(1km) Short-Baseline Experiments potential measurement without oscillation effect measures HEU spectrum likely better simulation of reactor cores during fuel cycle oscillation search based on relative measurement in segmented detector, absolute flux measurement very difficult Common Challenges calibration is important (edge effects, relative calibration between detector segments in short-baseline experiment) requires excellent understanding of energy response model requires translation from detected antineutrino energy to true energy 37

Summary Reactor neutrinos are a tool for discovery. Reactors are flavor pure sources of νe Current reactor experiments (L~1-2km) provide precision data on θ13 and oscillations measurements. Unprecedented statistics on reactor spectra. Will provide next benchmark in measurement of absolute spectral shape and flux. Short-baseline (L~10m) measurements offer opportunities for definitive shortbaseline oscillation search and studies of the reactor spectrum at a research reactor. Different reactor antineutrino source, environment, and systematics. Segmented detector needed for background rejection, poses new challenges for spectral measurement. Improved calculations and assessment of spectral uncertainties important for comparison of data and predictions. Thanks to Daya Bay and PROSPECT collaborations and many colleagues for their input and discussions. 38

End Karsten Heeger, Univ. of Wisconsin NUSS, July 13, 2009 39