Snowcover interaction with climate, topography & vegetation in mountain catchments

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Snowcover interaction with climate, topography & vegetation in mountain catchments DANNY MARKS Northwest Watershed Research Center USDA-Agricultural Agricultural Research Service Boise, Idaho USA

RCEW (239 km 2 ): 32 climate stations 36 precipitation stations 5 EC systems 14 weirs (nested) 6 soil microclimate stations 4 hill-slope hydrology sites 4 instrumented catchments 3 instrumented headwater basins: USC (0.25 km 2, 186m relief) ephemeral, groundwater dominated, annual precipitation 300-500mm RME (0.38 km 2, 116m relief) perennial, surface water dominated, annual precipitation 750-1000mm Johnston Draw (1.8 km 2, 380m relief) ephemeral, rain-snow boundary, annual precipitation 500-600mm

Climate Trends from 45 Years of Monitoring at Reynolds Creek Experimental Watershed DANNYANNY MARKSARKS PhD project, ANURAG (Utah State University) NURAG NAYAKAYAK Northwest Watershed Research Center USDA-Agricultural Agricultural Research Service Boise, Idaho USA

No Significant Trend 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 600 500 400 300 200 100 Annual Precipitation Elevation: 2097 m (176) Elevation: 1652 m (127) 176 127 0 500 400 Elevation: 1207 m (076) 076 300 200 100 0 1963 1965 1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005

Annual Stream Discharge 0.5 0.4 RME (2023 m, Drainage: 39 ha) 0.3 0.2 0.1 No Significant Trend 0.0 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 Streamflow (km 3 ) 2004 Tollgate (1410 m, Drainage: 5,468 ha) Outlet (1099 m, Drainage: 23,828 ha)

% Annual Stream Discharge, by Month March, April, May & June (78-95% of Annual Flow) Headwater Catchment: March +3% April +14% May ------- June -11% 70 60 50 40 30 20 RME (2023 m, Drainage: 39 ha) Summer Flow: Reduced from 9% to 3% 67% Reduction 10 Mid-Elevation Drainage: March +1% April +12% May +1% June -5% 0 70 60 50 40 30 20 MAR APR MAY JUN Tollgate (1410 m, Drainage: 5,468 ha) Summer Flow: Reduced from 21% to 10% 52% Reduction 10 Basin Outlet: March ------- April +4% May +12% June -1% 0 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Outlet (1099 m, Drainage: 23,828 ha) Summer Flow: Reduced from 27% to 12% 56% Reduction 0 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006

+ 2.5: -0.6 to +1.9 + 2.4: +7.9 to +10.3 + 2.7: +2.5 to +5.2 + 0.9: +11.8 to +12.7 + 1.4: +1.7 to +3.1 + 0.9: 15.4 to 16.3

Snow: -16%: 80% to 62% Still Snow Dominated Snow: -17%: 55% to 38% Now Rain Dominated Snow: -22%: 41% to 19% Almost Never Snows

Annual precipitation & discharge are unchanged However, early spring flows are increased Summer flows are significantly reduced Climate is warming All temperatures have increased Minimum temperatures increased the most More precipitation falls as rain Smaller change at high elevation Large change at low elevation Strong elevation effect Effects availability of water in summer More area at lower elevation Increase in winter ROS events

Reynolds Creek Experimental Watershed Tollgate Basin Area: 54.6 km 2 Elev: 1410-2241 m

Scaling up to Tollgate

Snow & Hydrologic Modeling: Simulation of terrain and forest shelter effects on wind fields, patterns of snow redistribution, snowmelt and runoff DANNY MARKS PhD project, ADAM (University of Reading, UK) DAM WINSTRAL Northwest Watershed Research Center USDA-Agricultural Agricultural Research Service Boise, Idaho USA

Snow Redistribution and Drifting

Drifts and Forest Cover, RCEW

Forest Canopy- Snowcover Interaction

Reynolds Mountain East Study Catchment (0.38 km 2, 118 m relief)

The Ridge Site

The Grove Site

The Grove Site

Four Snow Seasons Selected for Simulation 1986, 1987, 1989 for SCA Data 1997 for ROS Event I. Verify Simulated Snow Distributions * Time-series AP II. Evaluate Terrain & Vegetation Shelter Effects on * Simulated Snow Cover Energy Balance * Snow Melt * Runoff

Modeled and Observed SWE (Point Comparison)

1986 Simulated Snow Distribution Aerial Photos Modeled SWE

1986 Simulated Snow Distribution Aerial Photos Modeled SWE: spatially constant wind and precipitation inputs

1986 Simulated Surface Water Inputs Spatially Distributed Wind and Precipitation Inputs Spatially Constant Wind and Precipitation Inputs

1987 Simulated Snow Distribution Aerial Photos Modeled SWE

1987 Simulated Surface Water Inputs

1989 Simulated Snow Distribution Aerial Photos Modeled SWE

1989 Simulated Surface Water Inputs

1997 Simulated Surface Water Inputs and SWE

Mid-winter ROS: Sensible + Latent Heat dominated

Early spring wind event: Sensible Heat dominated

Typical spring melt event: Radiation dominated

Simulated Daily SWE 1986 Snow Season View movie at http://www.usask.ca/ip3/download/presentations/swe_movie.avi

Boise River Basin (2150 km 2 ) 1998 Water Year DANNY MARKS and DAVID GAREN * KS and D * National Water and Climate Center USDA-Natural Resources Conservation Service Portland, Oregon, USA Large Area Climate Data Distribution Canopy Corrections Satellite Derived Snow Covered Area for Verification Streamflow Simulation

1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Boise River Snow Water Equivalent Water Year 1998 Atlanta Town (1649 m) Observed Simulated Snow Water Equivalent (mm) 9-Oct 29-Oct 18-Nov 8-Dec 28-Dec 17-Jan 6-Feb 26-Feb 18-Mar 7-Apr 27-Apr 17-May 6-Jun 26-Jun 9-Oct 29-Oct 18-Nov 8-Dec 28-Dec 17-Jan 6-Feb 26-Feb 18-Mar 7-Apr 27-Apr 17-May 6-Jun 26-Jun 9-Oct 29-Oct 18-Nov 8-Dec 28-Dec 17-Jan 6-Feb 26-Feb 18-Mar 7-Apr 27-Apr 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Mores Creek Summit (1859 m) Atlanta Summit (2310 m) 1000 1000 900 900 800 700 600 Observed 500 Simulated 400 300 200 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Graham Guard Station (1734 m) Observed Simulated Snow Water Equivalent (mm) 9-Oct 29-Oct 18-Nov 8-Dec 28-Dec 17-Jan 6-Feb 26-Feb 18-Mar 7-Apr 27-Apr 17-May 6-Jun 26-Jun 9-Oct 29-Oct 18-Nov 8-Dec 28-Dec 17-Jan 6-Feb 26-Feb 18-Mar 7-Apr 27-Apr 17-May 6-Jun 26-Jun 9-Oct 29-Oct 18-Nov 8-Dec 28-Dec 17-Jan 6-Feb 26-Feb 18-Mar 7-Apr 27-Apr Snow Water Equivalent (mm) 100 0 Jackson Peak (2155 m) 1000 900 800 700 600 Observed 500 Simulated 400 300 200 100 Snow Water Equivalent (mm) 17-May Snow Water Equivalent (mm) 6-Jun 26-Jun Trinity Mountain (2368 m) 1000 900 0 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Observed Simulated Observed Simulated 17-May Snow Water Equivalent (mm) 6-Jun 26-Jun

Simulated and Satellite Snow Covered Area (SCA) Boise River Basin, Water Year 1998 100 90 80 Snow Covered Area (%) 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1-Apr 16-Apr 1-May 16-May 31-May 15-Jun 30-Jun 15-Jul Satellite Simulated

Boise River Simulated Snow Water Equivalent and Satellite Snow Covered Area (SCA) 21 April 1998

Boise River Simulated Snow Water Equivalent and Satellite Snow Covered Area (SCA) 7 May 1998

Boise River Simulated Snow Water Equivalent and Satellite Snow Covered Area (SCA) 21 May 1998

Boise River Simulated Snow Water Equivalent and Satellite Snow Covered Area (SCA) 29 June 1998

Boise River Streamflow Simulation Water Year 1998

Comparing sensible and latent heat fluxes over snow along a North American Cordilleran Transect DANNY MARKS & John Pomeroy Students: Michele Reba (U of I) Warren Helgason (U of S) Dan Bewley (U of Wales) Northwest Watershed Research Center USDA-Agricultural Agricultural Research Service Boise, Idaho USA

GAPP North American Cordilleran Transect WCRB WCRB WCRB: Wolf Creek Research Basin, Yukon Territory, Canada MCRB MCRB MCRB: Marmot Creek Research Basin Alberta, Canada RCEW LSOS RCEW RCEW: Reynolds Creek Experimental Watershed, Idaho, USA LSOS: Local Scale Observation Site Colorado, USA LSOS

RME Study Site Reynolds Mountain East

The Grove The Protected Site

The Ridge The Exposed Site

Exposed Site Protected Site

WY 2005 Monthly EC-Measured H & L v E Over Sage and Below Aspen:

WY 2005 Monthly EC-Measured CO 2 & ET Over Sage and Below Aspen:

Preliminary Conclusions First full-year measurements of evaporation/transpiration ~33% (211 mm) of 2005 deposition (630 mm) lost to ET over sage ~10% (90 mm) of 2005 deposition (879 mm) lost to ET below aspen First measurements of Carbon flux Sage site close to balance, but lost carbon to atmosphere Below aspen site took carbon from the atmosphere Critical to get Above Aspen Data Data only for 2005 water year; add 2004 & 2006 data

Scale effects on snowcover accumulation and melt modelling: Determining the minimum complexity required to capture essential features of snowmelt over large regions with complex terrain DANNYANNY MARKSARKS PhD project, ADAM (University of Reading, UK) DAM WINSTRAL Northwest Watershed Research Center USDA-Agricultural Agricultural Research Service Boise, Idaho USA

Scaling Issues Distributing Forcing Data Over Large Areas Orography (Pacific NW & BC - ROS events) Mixed phase precipitation events: Rain vs Snow Dew point temperature as an indicator of phase Terrain & canopy-induced variability Linkages between forcing & energy state Measurement & Validation

Johnston Draw Study Catchment (1.8 km 2, 380 m relief)

Preliminary Conclusions Dew Point Temperature is a reliable predictor of precipitation phase. Need second year of data, and additional events for validation Need data from additional sites (Klamath River basin, Oregon; BC?) Summer Precipitation (Kananaskis( Kananaskis,, Wolf Creek)

A Scalable Shading Model for Radiation at the Forest Floor, using LiDAR-derived Canopy Parameters RICHARD ESSERY (University of Wales, Aberystwyth) DANNY MARKS (USDA-ARS ARS Northwest Watershed Research Center) See: Essery, Bunting, Hardy, Link, Marks, Melloh,, Pomeroy, Rowlands and Rutter, 2007, in review, Journal of Hydrometeorology; Pomeroy, Rowlands,, Hardy, Link, Marks, Essery, Sicart and Ellis, 2007, in review, Journal of Hydrometeorology

Geometric shading model d c l + + h θ cbh

Solar Radiation to Snow beneath Shrubs and Trees Tall Shrubs, Wolf Creek Marmot Creek level forest 1000 400 SW (W/m 2 ) 800 600 400 200 SW (W/m 2 ) 300 200 100 0 123 124 125 0 74 75 76 Day (2003) Day (2005) See: Pomeroy, et al., in review, 2007, Journal of Hydrometeorology; Bewley et al., 2007, in press, Arctic, Antarctic and Alpine Research; Link, Marks and Hardy, 2004, Hydrological Processes

Inventory map LiDAR + tree map 100 m

Stand Scale Modelling of Solar Radiation Simulated sky view SW (W/m 2 ) 600 500 400 300 200 100 Simulated sky view Simulated sky view Clear Overcast Measured Modelled 0 84 85 86 Day (2003) Essery et al.. (2007). In review for Journal of Hydrometeorology.

Fine Scale Modelling of Sub-alpine Solar Radiation Essery et al.. (2007). In review for Journal of Hydrometeorology.

LiDAR Forest CSM & DEM Characterization Pomeroy, et al., in review, 2007, Journal of Hydrometeorology; Essery et al.. (2007). In review for Journal of Hydrometeorology

Sky view From hemispherical photographs From LiDAR shading model Essery et al.. (2007). In review for Journal of Hydrometeorology

The Longwave Radiation Problem: Hot Canopy and Trunks Increase Forest Longwave Radiation 11.40 14:20 17.00 JD86 Cloudy JD87 Sunny Temperature (TC) C 50 40 30 20 10 0-10 -20 CLPX LSOS Open Canopy IOP1 Canopy North Trunk Snow Surface Canopy South -30 50 50.5 51 51.5 52 52.5 53 53.5 54 Julian Day 2002 Pomeroy, Marks, Ellis, et al., 2007, in prep, Hydrological Processes