Wind Effects on the Choctawhatchee River Plume at Destin Inlet, Florida

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Wind Effects on the Choctawhatchee River Plume at Destin Inlet, Florida Rosemary Cyriac 1, Casey Dietrich 1, Arash Fathi 2, Clint Dawson 2, Kendra Dresback 3, Cheryl Ann Blain 4, Matthew Bilskie 5, Scott Hagen 5, Hans Graber 6 1 North Carolina State University, 2 University of Texas at Austin, 3 University of Oklahoma, 4 Naval Research Laboratory, 5 Louisiana State University, 6 University of Miami

ADCIRC 301

Study Area

Surfzone Coastal Oil Pathways Experiment (SCOPE) To understand the processes that are important for surface transport, both for oil spills and other pollutants, as well as for natural materials. Performed by CARTHE scientists between December 3-17, 2013 With the help of: Surface drifters Dye Releases Drones Jetskis Small boats Helicopters ADCPs CTD casts Source: CARTHE Facebook page

Brackish Plume at Destin Inlet Source: COSMO-SkyMed Product ASI 2013 processed under license from ASI Agenzia Spaziale Italiana. All rights reserved. Distributed by e-geos. Downlinked and processed by CSTARS. Freshwater river discharge that enters an estuary can flow out into the coastal ocean as brackish, buoyant plumes Surface material slows down and converges along the plume edges due to the density differences across the plume front SCOPE datasets recorded the presence of a distinct ebb-phase plume at Destin Inlet

Research Hypothesis Ebb-phase plume signature at Destin Inlet exhibits variability as wind forcing changes during the passage of cold fronts Observed during SCOPE experiments in December 2013 Variability in plume signature has implications for the transport of surface material such as chemical and oil pollutants and biological material Research Objectives 1. Develop and validate a three dimensional baroclinic model to represent the tide, wind and plume driven circulation in the Choctawhatchee Bay and adjacent shelf waters 2. Quantify plume response during the passage of winter cold fronts over the study area

ADCIRC 3D Baroclinic GWCE (ζ) 3D Shallow Water Equations (u,v,w) σ = 1 Equation of State (Density) Advection-Diffusion Equation (Salinity and Temperature) Terrain following sigma co-ordinates in the vertical σ = -1 HYCOM Recent Improvements to ADCIRC 3D by Dr. Arash Fathi Sea surface velocities in the Gulf of Mexico ADCIRC

Mesh Development Mobile Bay Perdido Bay Choctawhatchee Bay Pensacola Apalachicola Bay Source : S. Hagen, A. Daranpob, P. Bacopoulos, S. Medeiros, M. Bilskie, D. Coggin, M. Salisbury, J. Atkinson and H. Roberts. Storm Surge Modeling for FEMA Flood Map Modernization for the Northwest Florida and Alabama Coast, Digital Elevation Model and Finite Element Mesh Development. Prepared for the Northwest Florida Water Management District and the FEMA, 2011.

Mesh Development Mobile Bay Choctawhatchee Bay Apalachicola Bay Resolving Choctawhatchee River Bathymetry Smoothing above 15m Increasing offshore resolution Inlet Refinement Shelf-scale mesh Ocean boundary at 200m contour

Model Set-up Simulation Period Diagnostic phase : November 1-5 Prognostic phase : November 5 December 15 Initial and Boundary Conditions Tides Vertical Salinities and Temperatures Inside Bay Measurements taken by Choctawhatchee Basin Alliance group Offshore Interpolated from publicly archived HYCOM data (HYCOM + NCODA Southeast United States 1/25 Degree Analysis/GOMl0.04/expt_31.0/2013) Upstream River Boundary is forced with a discharge of 200 m 3 /s Surface Heat Flux over model domain Others 11 uniform vertical layers Time step = 0.5 s Total simulation time is roughly 5 days on 3840 cores at the Texas Advanced Computing Center's Stampede 2 systems

Results: Surface Salinities

Model Validation: CTD Profiles

Model Validation: CTD Profiles

Model Validation: CTD Profiles

Model Validation: Satellite Imagery 12 03 2013 11:40:21 GMT 33 psu Source: COSMO-SkyMed Product ASI 2013 processed under license from ASI Agenzia Spaziale Italiana. All rights reserved. Distributed by e-geos. Downlinked and processed by CSTARS.

Model Validation: Satellite Imagery 12 04 2013 11:34:20 GMT 33 psu Source: COSMO-SkyMed Product ASI 2013 processed under license from ASI Agenzia Spaziale Italiana. All rights reserved. Distributed by e-geos. Downlinked and processed by CSTARS.

Model Validation: Satellite Imagery 12 05 2013 11:34:19 GMT 33 psu Source: COSMO-SkyMed Product ASI 2013 processed under license from ASI Agenzia Spaziale Italiana. All rights reserved. Distributed by e-geos. Downlinked and processed by CSTARS.

Factors affecting Plume Variability: Winds Winter cold fronts over the Florida Panhandle cause multiple 360 degree reversals in wind directions during Dec 1-15 Pensacola

Factors affecting Plume Variability: Winds December 13 December 14 December 15

Summary Research Hypotheses and Objectives The ebb-phase plume at Destin exhibits variability with changes in wind conditions Aim of the present research is to quantify these changes during winter cold fronts Modeling Density driven flows in Choctawhatchee Bay using 3D baroclinic ADCIRC Model salinities show good agreement with observed vertical salinities Plume signature predicted by the model matches the plume edges and offshore extents observed in satellite imagery Quantifying variability in plume signature Changes in wind direction caused by passing cold fronts causes changes in the plume signature Winds with an easterly component push the plume to the west of the inlet Northerly winds push the plume offshore Model salinities are in agreement with plume behavior observed during SCOPE Future work will explore plume variability in the absence of winds