Earth Issue: November 2017

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Transcription:

Earth Issue: November 2017

Earthquake Risk In Indonesia Damage in Banda Aceh During 2004 tsunami Source: US Military The Indonesian archipelago is located at the boundary of three major tectonic plates, the Indo- Australian, Pacific, and Eurasian plates, stretching from Sumatra in the west to Papua in the east. Figure 1: Tectonic and plate boundaries, Large arrow indicate direction of plate motion Source: R. Putra Indonesia experiences more earthquakes than any other country in the world. Its borders encompass one of the most active tectonic regions of Earth including over 18, 000 kilometers of major tectonic plate boundary. Overall, approximately 20 % of the world s damaging earthquakes occur in Indonesia. The 2004 Earthquake and tsunami highlight the potential of events that could occur in Indonesia. Figure 2 below showcases more than 48, 000 earthquakes with magnitude 4 or more in occurred in Indonesia. Most of them are shallow focus earthquakes that cause more damage. Figure 2: Historic earthquakes with magnitude 4 or more occurred between 1779-2010 Source: R. Putra Based on historic hazards and damage experiences, Earthquake Risk Zone Map of Indonesia is prepared. Please note that risk increases from zone 1 to zone 5.

Figure 3: Earthquake Risk Zone Map of Indonesia 2010 Source: MAIPARK Seismic Design Code For Indonesia SNI 1726: 2012 is the Engineering Design Code for Indonesia. This code provides engineers with up-to-date advice to design and construction of buildings in Indonesia to resist the effects of earthquakes. Insurance Market in Indonesia Total non-life premium in Indonesian non-life market was US$ 4.7 billion in 2016 with inflation-adjusted growth of 5.8 %. Property and Motor were two largest segments with total share of 30.8 % and 26.5 % of total non-life premiums. Insurance penetration ratio of non-life premium and GDP of country in 2016 was 0.51 %. It implies that Insured Losses for an event will just be a fraction of Economic Losses. Earthquake Index Insurance (EQII) EQII is an earthquake insurance to protect financial institutions that provide loans to its customers. This policy provides cash benefits to protect the liquidity of financial institutions after the earthquake occurred. EQII will provide benefits in cash as compensation for the non-performing loan (NPL) after a large earthquake magnitude and intensity (MMI) is in a range that is insured. Damage Caused by Earthquakes Earthquakes impact Indonesia badly. Loss of lives and properties has a negative impact on progress of country. Economic loss caused by the 2004 earthquake US$ 10 billion was 1.5 % of Indonesia s then GDP. Likewise, the September 2009 Sumatra earthquake caused US$ 2.2 billion that was 0.23 % of GDP. Damage from the Sep 30, 2009 Padang earthquake Source: AusAID

Table 1 below shows Insured and Economic Losses for some past events occurred in Indonesia. Date of Event Magnitude Area(s) of Impact Economic Loss (million US$) Insured Loss (million US$) 04/11/2015 Mw 6.3 Indonesia, Dili, Timor 4 NA 02/07/2013 Mw 6.2 Aceh(Sumatra) 113 NA 25/10/2010 Mw 7.8 Indonesia Thousands of homes, roads, and bridges destroyed NA 09/11/2009 Mw 6.6 Sumbawa, Raba 2 NA 30/09/2009 Mw 7.6 Padang, Sumatra 2,300 50 02/09/2009 Mw 7.0 West Java, Bandung, Jakarta 160 NA 12/02/2009 Mw 7.2 Indonesia 9 NA 04/01/2009 Mw 7.6 West Papua, Indonesia 10 NA 25/11/2007 Mw 6.5 Sumbawa Island, Raba, Bima NA Na 12/09/2007 Mw 8.4 Sumatra, Bengkulu, Padang 500 NA 06/03/2007 Mw 6.3 Sumatra, Padang 200 5 27/05/2006 Mw 6.4 Bantul 3,100 48 28/03/2005 Mw 8.7 Sumatra, Nias etc. 7,000 buildings destroyed, damage to port & airport infrastructure 26/12/2004 Mw 9.0 Indonesia, Thailand et al. 10000 (Earthquake), 4,450 (Tsunami) NA 2,068 Damaged building during Dec 7, 2016 EQ in Aceh, Indonesia Source: The Independent

Appendix 1 show number of Earthquakes with magnitude more than 6.0 since 1900 Date of Occurrence Region of Occurrence Magnitude 31/10/2017 Maluku 6.3 Mw 07/12/2016 Sumatra 6.5 Mw 02/03/2016 Mentawai 7.8 Mw 04/11/2015 Indonesia, Dilli, Timor 6.3 M w 28/07/2015 Papua 7.0 Mw 02/07/2013 Northern Sumatra 6.1 Mw 11/04/2012 Wharton Basin 8.6 Mw 05/09/2011 Northern Sumatra 6.7 Mw 25/10/2010 Sumatra 7.7 Mw 16/06/2010 Papua 7.0 Mw 09/05/2010 Sumatra 7.2 Mw 06/04/2010 Sumatra 7.8 Mw 09/11/2009 Sumatra, Raba 6.6 Mw 01/10/2009 Sumatra 6.6 Mw 30/09/2009 Sumatra 7.6 Mw 02/09/2009 Java 7.0 Mw 16/08/2009 Siberut, Mentawai 6.7 Mw 12/02/2009 Talaud 7.2 Mw 04/01/2009 West Papua 7.4 Mw 04/01/2009 West Papua 7.7 Mw 16/11/2008 Sulawesi 7.3 Mw 25/02/2008 Kepulauan Mentawai 6.7 Mw 20/02/2008 Simeulue 7.4 Mw 12/09/2007 Sumatra 8.4 Mw 06/03/2007 Sumatra 6.3 Mw 06/03/2007 Sumatra 6.4 Mw 21/01/2007 Molucca Sea 7.5 Mw 17/07/2006 Java 7.7 Mw 26/05/2006 Java 6.4 Mw 14/03/2006 Seram 6.7 Mw 05/07/2005 Nias 6.7 Mw 28/03/2005 Northern Sumatra 8.6 Mw

Date of Occurrence Region of Occurrence Magnitude 26/12/2004 Sumatra Andaman 9.0 Mw 26/11/2004 Papua 7.1 Mw 11/11/2004 Kepulauan Alor 7.5 Mw 07/02/2004 Western New Guinea 7.3 Mw 05/02/2004 Western New Guinea 7.0 Mw 26/05/2003 Halmahera 7.0 Mw 02/11/2002 Northern Sumatra 7.3 Mw 10/10/2002 Western New Guinea 7.6 Mw 04/06/2000 Southern Sumatra 7.9 Mw 04/05/2000 Central Sulawesi 7.6 Mw 17/02/1996 Biak 8.1 Mw 01/01/1996 Sulawesi 7.9 Mw 06/10/1995 Sumatra 6.8 Mw 03/06/1994 Java 7.8 Mw 15/02/1994 Sumatra 7.0 Mw 11/12/1992 Flores 7.8 Mw 01/08/1989 West Papua 6.0 Mw 17/11/1984 Northern Sumatra 7.2 Mw 19/01/1981 Papua 6.8 ML 18/12/1979 Bali 6.3 Ms 19/08/1977 Sumba 8.3 Mw 15/07/1976 Bali 6.5 Ms 25/06/1976 Papua 7.1 Mw 19/10/1968 Sulawesi 7.4 ML 24/01/1965 Sanana Island 8.2 Mw 23/07/1943 Java 8.1 Ms 08/06/1943 Sumatra 7.2 Mw 01/02/1938 Banda Sea 8.4 Mw 28/12/1935 Sumatra 7.7 Mw 20/01/1917 Bali 6.6 Ms Source: Govt. of Indonesia, General Insurance Association of Indonesia, USGS, Swiss Re, and MAIPARK For more details email us at: earth@jbbodagroup.com Address: J. B. Boda Reinsurance Brokers Pvt. Ltd. Maker Bhavan No. 1, Sir Vithaldas Thackersey Marg, Mumbai 400 020, India Phone :+91-22-6631 4949 www.jbboda.net company/jb-boda https://www.facebook.com/jbboda