Ref.: MWR-D Monthly Weather Review Editor Decision. Dear Prof. Monteverdi,

Similar documents
Department of Geosciences San Francisco State University Spring Metr 201 Monteverdi Quiz #5 Key (100 points)

Tornadogenesis in Supercells: The Three Main Ingredients. Ted Funk

Solutions to Comprehensive Final Examination Given on Thursday, 13 December 2001

Department of Earth & Climate Sciences Spring 2016 Meteorology 260

Advanced Spotter Training Lesson 4: The Nature of Thunderstorms

Chapter 3 Convective Dynamics Part VI. Supercell Storms. Supercell Photos

Department of Earth & Climate Sciences Spring 2016 Meteorology 260

Meteorology Lecture 19

We highly appreciate the reviewers insightful and helpful comments on our manuscript. (1) Many sentences of the manuscript have been carefully

Answer to Referee #2. MAJOR COMMENTS: (1) What SORCE are we talking about?

P3.17 THE DEVELOPMENT OF MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONES WITHIN A SUPERCELL. Joshua M. Boustead *1 NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Topeka, KS

Introduction to Uncertainty and Treatment of Data

On Publishing in the AAS Journals (as an author)

Pennsylvania Severe Weather of September 2016

ATS 351, Spring 2010 Lab #11 Severe Weather 54 points

1 of 8 5/23/03 9:43 AM

P6.18 THE IMPACTS OF THUNDERSTORM GEOMETRY AND WSR-88D BEAM CHARACTERISTICS ON DIAGNOSING SUPERCELL TORNADOES

Introduction to the College of DuPage NEXLAB Website

High-Resolution RUC CAPE Values and Their Relationship to Right Turning Supercells

Chapter 14 Thunderstorm Fundamentals

Thunderstorm Dynamics. Helicity and Hodographs and their effect on thunderstorm longevity. Bluestein Vol II. Page

Your_manuscript LP9512 Yoshita

NOAA S National Weather Service

Geology Wilson Computer lab Pitfalls II

WEATHER AND CLIMATE COMPLETING THE WEATHER OBSERVATION PROJECT CAMERON DOUGLAS CRAIG

NOAA S National Weather Service

Interactive comment on Relations of physical and biogenic reworking of sandy sediments in the southeastern North Sea by Knut Krämer et al.

Rising Algebra Students. Stone Middle School

1st Tornado Photograph

Words to avoid in proposals

Meteorology Lecture 18

Test Form: A Key Final Exam: Spring 2011

EEE 480 LAB EXPERIMENTS. K. Tsakalis. November 25, 2002

Examination #3 Wednesday, 28 November 2001

BU Professional Development Seminar. Research Journals and the Publishing Process in the area of Dynamical Systems. March 3, 2014

Mobile, phased-array, X-band Doppler radar observations of tornadogenesis in the central U. S.

Weather Extremes in Canada: Understanding the Sources and Dangers of Weather

Supercells. Base lecture and Graphics created by The COMET Program May University Corporation for Atmospheric Research

MET Lecture 26 Tornadoes I

Tornado Occurrences. Tornadoes. Tornado Life Cycle 4/12/17

Boundary-layer Decoupling Affects on Tornadoes

9 Torque. Experiment objectives: Experiment introduction:

11A.2 Forecasting Short Term Convective Mode And Evolution For Severe Storms Initiated Along Synoptic Boundaries

Simple Harmonic Motion

5.0 WHAT IS THE FUTURE ( ) WEATHER EXPECTED TO BE?

ALGEBRA 2 HONORS SUMMER WORK. June Dear Algebra 2 Students,

The Severe Weather Event of 7 August 2013 By Richard H. Grumm and Bruce Budd National Weather Service State College, PA 1. INTRODUCTION and Overview

Storm-Relative Flow and its Relationship to Low-Level Vorticity in Simulated Storms

P12.7 THE ROLE OF A SURFACE BOUNDARY AND MULTIPLE CELL-MERGERS IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE 21 APRIL 2003 TORNADO IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA

Abstract & Applied Linear Algebra (Chapters 1-2) James A. Bernhard University of Puget Sound

Problem Solving. Kurt Bryan. Here s an amusing little problem I came across one day last summer.

Measurements of a Table

Using the Golden Ratio as a Model for Tornadogenesis. George McGivern Brad Walton Dr. Mikhail Shvartsman

Week 8 Cookbook: Review and Reflection

Tornado Frequency and its Large-Scale Environments Over Ontario, Canada

Storm-Relative Flow and its Relationship to Low-Level Vorticity in Simulated Storms

Discrete Structures Proofwriting Checklist

Word processing tools

ALGEBRA 2 SUMMER WORK. June Dear Algebra 2 Students,

Epsilon Delta proofs

Thunderstorm: a cumulonimbus cloud or collection of cumulonimbus clouds featuring vigorous updrafts, precipitation and lightning

Point-to-point response to reviewers comments

Severe Weather and weather mapping Remediation Assignment. Once the page has been approved, Mrs. Blinka will sign here:

Rapid Environmental Changes observed by Remote Sensing Systems in the local vicinity of an unusual Colorado Tornado

Investigating Factors that Influence Climate

REGIONAL VARIABILITY OF CAPE AND DEEP SHEAR FROM THE NCEP/NCAR REANALYSIS ABSTRACT

Tornadoes. tornado: a violently rotating column of air

Jonathan M. Davies* Private Meteorologist, Wichita, Kansas

Thunderstorm: a cumulonimbus cloud or collection of cumulonimbus clouds featuring vigorous updrafts, precipitation and lightning

GENERAL INSTRUCTIONS

The Earth System - Atmosphere III Convection

A Detailed Analysis of a Long-Tracked Supercell. Jason T. Martinelli and Andrew Elliott. Fred Glass

P10.4 EXAMINATION OF TORNADIC AND NON-TORNADIC SUPERCELLS IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA ON 28 APRIL 2002

Uncertainty and Graphical Analysis

Review of Basic Severe Thunderstorm & Tornado Spotting Concepts. Jim Allsopp National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL

Type of storm viewed by Spotter A Ordinary, multi-cell thunderstorm. Type of storm viewed by Spotter B Supecell thunderstorm

Writing Numbers. in Technical Documents. Celia M. Elliott Department of Physics University of Illinois

Introduction to Forecasting Severe Thunderstorms

You Might Also Like. I look forward helping you focus your instruction while saving tons of time. Kesler Science Station Lab Activities 40%+ Savings!

Advanced Spotter Training Welcome! Lesson 1: Introduction and Why Spotters are Important

Conformational Analysis of n-butane

P1.16 ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES IN TORNADIC ENVIRONMENTS

16.4 SENSITIVITY OF TORNADOGENESIS IN VERY-HIGH RESOLUTION NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS TO VARIATIONS IN MODEL MICROPHYSICAL PARAMETERS

Responses for reviews of The Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO-2): Spectrometer performance evaluation using pre-launch direct sun measurements

P4.8 PERFORMANCE OF A NEW VELOCITY DEALIASING ALGORITHM FOR THE WSR-88D. Arthur Witt* and Rodger A. Brown

MATH 1130 Exam 1 Review Sheet

2 Electric Field Mapping Rev1/05

= 5 2 and = 13 2 and = (1) = 10 2 and = 15 2 and = 25 2

Radar Meteorology AOS 444 October 28, 2002 Laboratory 6: WATADS study of Oakfield tornado from KGRB

Elastic and Inelastic Collisions

Simple Harmonic Motion

Tornadoes forecasting, dynamics and genesis. Mteor 417 Iowa State University Week 12 Bill Gallus

Hudson River Estuary Climate Change Lesson Project. Grades 5-8 Teacher s Packet. Lesson 3. Climate Change in My City

P5.3 THE UTILITY OF THREE-DIMENSIONAL RADAR DISPLAYS IN SEVERE WEATHER WARNING OPERATIONS. Daniel D. Nietfeld NOAA/National Weather Service Valley, NE

Genesis mechanism and structure of a supercell tornado in a fine-resolution numerical simulation

Introduction to Mesoscale Meteorology

Name: Date: Partners: LAB 2: ACCELERATED MOTION

Thunderstorms and Severe Weather. (Chapt 15)

2 One-dimensional motion with constant acceleration

Chapter Seven Notes: Newton s Third Law of Motion Action and Reaction

Transcription:

Ref.: MWR-D-14-00222 Monthly Weather Review Editor Decision Dear Prof. Monteverdi, I have obtained reviews of your manuscript, "AN ANALYSIS OF THE 7 JULY 2004 ROCKWELL PASS, CA TORNADO: HIGHEST ELEVATION TORNADO DOCUMENTED IN THE U.S." This review is provided below, and is also available on the Editorial Manager website (see link at the end of this letter). The reviewer recommends major revisions, and notes that "In some respects, this paper shows substantial improvement." (I note that this reviewer previously recommended rejection.) Based on my reading of the article, I agree with the main points of the reviewer, especially for "Major Item" #2. The discussion in the latter half of the article seems needlessly long, speculative, and sometimes discusses processes that are impossible to assess with the available data. I ask that you follow the reviewer's 4 suggestions to modify this part of the article. The official editorial decision is Return for Minor Revisions. (Note: I do not think that the revisions needed to address the reviewer's concerns would rise to the level of "major" because it seems no new figures and analyses are needed; rather, revisions to existing figures/text should cover things.) However, I may ask this reviewer to take one last look at the revised manuscript to see if his/her concerns have been addressed. Please submit a revised paper by Oct 14, 2014. If you anticipate problems meeting this deadline, please contact me as soon as possible at gbryan@ucar.edu to discuss an extended due date. Along with your revision, please upload a point-by-point response that satisfactorily addresses the concerns and suggestions of each reviewer. Should you disagree with any of the proposed revisions, you will have the opportunity to explain your rationale in your response. No separate cover letter to me is needed unless it contains essential information that does not appear in your reply. Before submitting your revision, please carefully review the AMS Guidelines for Revisions found at http://www.ametsoc.org/pubsrevisions to be sure you have complied with all instructions for quick processing of your revised manuscript. Please note that figure source files formatted for publication must be uploaded for

ALL revisions. Ensure that your figures adhere to the requirements for Journals authors: http://www.ametsoc.org/pubsfigures Please enter the figure number in the description field when uploading your figure files (or on the Attach Files page after upload). This is required even if the figure number is already in the file name. When you are ready to submit your revision, go to http://mwr.edmgr.com/ and log in as an Author. Click on the menu item labeled "Submissions Needing Revision" and follow the directions for submitting the file. Thank you for submitting your manuscript to MWR. I look forward to receiving your revision. With best regards, Dr. George H. Bryan Editor Monthly Weather Review *********************************************************** REVIEWER COMMENTS Reviewer #1: MWR-D-14-00145 Manuscript Title: An Analysis of the 7 July 2004 Rockwell Pass, CA Tornado: Highest Elevation Tornado Documented in the U.S. Authors: J. P. Monteverdi, R. Edwards, and G. J. Stumpf Recommendation: Accept with Major Revisions This paper presents the case that the 7 July 2004 Rockwell Pass, CA tornado is the highest elevation tornado documented in the U.S. The subject matter and rarity of high elevation events like this would certainly be of interest to many potential MWR readers. Most of the paper is devoted to examining the mesoscale environment around the Rockwell Pass region in hopes of gaining insight into the convective organizational mode during/near the time of the tornado. In some respects, this paper shows substantial improvement over its predecessor, as the authors have corrected numerous problems and added a key supporting figure (Fig. 5) that orientates the reader regarding the relative positions of the key observer, tornado and Rockwell Pass. They have improved

their estimated proximity sounding and hodograph and have eliminated more definitive claims about the storm mode that could not be substantiated with the available data. Still, a couple major problems remain. The first major problem has to do with the estimation of the tornado's elevation. The second major problem involves a needlessly long discussion of storm mode around/during the tornado period and speculation of tornado development from non-mesocyclone or mesocyclone processes. The paper comes off seemingly battling with itself with too much speculation. Major Items: 1. The authors have improved their discussion of the background on how the tornado elevation was determined and added a very nice graphic (Fig. 5) to help the reader. Since this paper makes the claim that this is the highest elevation tornado ever documented in the U.S., it is of great importance that the claimed elevation (and elevation range) is supported. Unfortunately, in this case, the tornado location is determined by a single observer with photographs from a single, line-of-sight, observation position. Tornado range estimates are notoriously poor, even from experienced tornado observers, so the 1 km range estimate should be considered very unreliable, especially given that there is a ridge line in between the observer and tornado. The tornado could easily be double or triple the estimated distance from the observer. I would recommend the authors use a realistic potential distance range of the tornado from the observer to figure out the proper range of elevations the tornado could have been at. This potential distance range should be clearly stated in the text (and shown on Fig. 5). 2. Storm organizational mode at time of tornado: The paper comes across like it is in conflict with itself on the question of storm mode, and sometimes wanders into uncertain territory on how tornadoes form in supercells by non-mesocyclone processes. This discussion in sections 3 and 4 is needlessly drawn out for a case where all one can really conclude (based on the available data) is that the storm may have briefly taken on supercell character around/during the time of the tornado. There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that the tornado developed in association with a low-level mesocyclone in a traditional sense, or for that matter, develop from a non-mesocyclone process. In light of this, the authors need to re-examine this discussion and revise the applicable portions to: 1) make this discussion much more concise, 2) remove the more speculative parts, 3) reevaluate assertions that seem to be in conflict with what they just presented, and 3) eliminate arguments related to tornadogenesis/maintenance processes that are beyond the scope of the paper. In terms of trimming/revising, here are a few examples: * Last paragraph of P11 (L234-L241): Highly speculative

* First sentence of P14: What parameters indicated the potential development of low-level rotation? The ones stated in the previous paragraph argued just the opposite. * Last sentence of P14 (L302-305): This sentence is in conflict with itself because on the one hand it is supporting a non-mesocyclone process in tornado development, but on the other, it is addressing the favorable addition of a lowlevel shear source (topographic channeling) that would seemingly be constructive for low-level mesocyclone development, and potentially, associated tornado development. * L383-395: This paragraph seems to be arguing against itself since it presents evidence for supercell structure and potential mesocyclone-associated tornado occurrence, but is quickly followed by evidence for non-mesocyclone associated tornadogenesis. Then on L390, the paper discusses non-mesocyclone tornado development associated with updraft stretching that amplifies the "low-level shear vorticity". What exactly is the "low-level shear vorticity?" Is it pre-existing vertical vorticity or horizontal vorticity that gets tilted and stretched. In most cases of tornadoes occurring outside the mesocyclone proper in a supercell thunderstorm, the tornado occurs as a roll-up of a vertical vortex sheet that undergoes stretching. By addressing tornadogenesis processes, this paper seems to be delving into a subject beyond its scope. I would recommend, eliminating all text after Kern River Canyon on L390 in this particular paragraph. As a side comment, the terminology of non-mesocyclone related tornadogenesis in supercells is really a poor description, because the mesocyclone is organizing the key boundaries for which these tornadoes form along. * Last two paragraphs of section 4: The discussion of the storm's evolution and demise after the tornado time could probably be summarized in just a sentence or two for a "Picture of the Month" type paper. * Last two paragraphs of section 5: Needlessly long concluding discussion of a topic that could be summarized in just a sentence or two. Minor Items: 1. L34: Suggest changing "? no evidence?" to "? insufficient evidence?" 2. Suggest eliminating the last sentence of the abstract. It comes across as placing sole reasoning for exclusion of a mesocyclone tornadogenesis association on the high LCL environment, when in fact, the vertical shear profile

is also poor. Additionally, the authors undermine their own position by stating later in the paper that they do not have confidence in the LCL from their sounding due to the visual cloud base appearance. 3. L173: Eliminate second "location" in this sentence. 4. L198: Could eliminate "above". 5. L272: Suggest deleting "unimpressive and". 6. L339: 2.4º tilt should be 2.5º tilt. 7. L354: "By 2330 UTC, the storm had an overshooting top and had grown to over five times the area of the original development?" Recommend the addition of "the anvil" to this sentence (i.e., "By 2330 UTC, the storm had an overshooting top and the anvil had grown to over five times the area of the original development?". 8. L399-400: "The radar evidence does suggest a possibility that the Rockwell Pass storm was a supercell during the 2300-0000 UTC time period?" Due to the prior discussion that included most environmental parameters not being favorable for supercells, how about "The radar evidence does suggest a possibility that the Rockwell Pass storm had some supercell characteristics during the 2300-0000 UTC time period?" 9. L421-422: "These were used to modify the objectively obtained estimated sounding and hodograph to an estimated proximity sounding and hodograph, as explained in Section 3." Readers may not quite remember the difference between your estimated sounding and your estimated proximity sounding. May want to reword to clarify. 10. L425-427: "The evidence for low level mesocyclogenesis based upon the proximity sounding and hodograph was not robust." The "was not robust" part of this sentence is misleading (someone that did not read the convective environmental parameters section very closely (or not at all) could gather that perhaps the evidence was moderately favorable (but not robust). Suggest changing the wording to accurately convey that the evidence for low-level mesocyclone formation was quite weak....

If reviewer comments have been added in the form of attachments they are found attached to this e-mail. They can also be accessed by logging into the Editorial Manager as an Author, or by clicking the following link: