Neutrino Astronomy fast-forward

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Neutrino Astronomy fast-forward Marek Kowalski (DESY & Humboldt University Berlin) TeVPA 2017, Columbus, Ohio Credit: M. Wolf/NSF

The promised land The Universe is opaque to EM radiation for ¼ of the spectrum, i.e. above 10-100 TeV where IceCube sees cosmic neutrinos. 2

The promised land The Universe is opaque to EM radiation for ¼ of the spectrum, i.e. above 10-100 TeV where IceCube sees cosmic neutrinos. 2

High-energy neutrinos on the sky observed by IceCube Through-going tracks (>200 TeV) Cascades Starting tracks PRELIMINARY No evidence of clustering in high-energy neutrino directions mostly isotropic neutrinos of extragalactic origin IceCube, 2017 3

High-energy neutrinos on the sky observed by IceCube Through-going tracks (>200 TeV) Cascades Starting tracks PRELIMINARY Event numbers: brightest point source vs all No evidence of clustering in high-energy neutrino directions mostly isotropic neutrinos of extragalactic origin Nps ~ 10-2 (n/10-7 Mpc -3 ) -1/3 x Ndiff IceCube, 2017 3

High-energy neutrinos on the sky: Constraints on source candidates Blazars account for < 6% of the observed neutrino flux, but up to 85% of the Fermi flux 10 8 Prompt emission from GRBs account for <1% of the observed neutrino flux. E 2 (GeV cm 2 sr 1 s 1 ) 10 9 10 10 10 11 10 12 10 13 10 14 10 3 10 4 10 5 10 6 10 7 10 8 10 9 Energy (GeV) arxiv:1702.06868 Internal Shock Fireball Prediction Photospheric Fireball Prediction ICMART Prediction benchmark sensitivity from Weizmann 2017: Φ =10-13 E -2 TeV cm -2 s -1 allows to probe all source classes 4

Understanding the spectrum for newer data see IC talks by Nancy, Hans, Lu Lu 5

Understanding the spectrum step spectrum at low-e? EνFν(E)dEν> EγFγ(E)dEγ ν s from γ-dark sources for newer data see IC talks by Nancy, Hans, Lu Lu 5

Understanding the spectrum hard spectrum at high-e? neutrinos could point to sources of UHE cosmic rays step spectrum at low-e? EνFν(E)dEν> EγFγ(E)dEγ ν s from γ-dark sources for newer data see IC talks by Nancy, Hans, Lu Lu 5

Understanding the spectrum and composition IceCube 2017 IceCube 2017 is flavor ratio consistent with νe:νμ:ντ=1:1:1? for newer data see IC talks by Nancy, Hans, Lu Lu 6

Understanding the spectrum and composition IceCube Preliminary IceCube 2017 HESE with ternary PID IceCube APJ 2015 0.6 Fraction of 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 0.8 e : µ : at source 0.6 Fraction of µ 0.4 0:1:0 1:2:0 1:0:0 1.0 0.8 68 % 95 % 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 is flavor ratio consistent with νe:νμ:ντ=1:1:1? IceCube 2017 Fraction of e Zero tau neutrinos observed so far, consistent with fluctuation (p=9%) for newer data see IC talks by Nancy, Hans, Lu Lu 6

7 Emerging tasks for high-energy neutrino astrophysics Resolve the sources of IceCube's high energy astrophysical neutrinos Identify the sources of the highest energy cosmic rays Decipher the production mechanisms of high energy cosmic particles Obtain a unique multi-messenger view into the explosion of stars and the evolution of stellar remnants Explore active galaxies and the very high-energy Universe when it was most active Study of galactic and extra galactic propagation of CR with neutrinos as tracers Test nuclear, neutrino and BSM physics

Future project overview credit: M. Ackermann 8

KM3NeT Opposite hemisphere to IC, similar energy range, but better angular resolution KM3NeT 2.0 under construction Two sub-arrays: ARCA: 2 sparse building blocks in Italy for cosmic neutrinos ORCA: 1 dense building block in France for oscillation https://arxiv.org/abs/1601.07459 9

10 Giant Volume neutrino Detector (GVD) Located at Lake Baikal 2 out of 8 clusters installed and operational

The IceCube-Gen2 facility A wide band neutrino observatory (MeV EeV) using several detection technologies optical, radio, and surface veto to maximize the science Multi-component observatory: IceCube-Gen2 High-Energy Array Surface air shower detector Sub-surface radio detector PINGU IceCube-Gen2 Surface Veto IceCube-Gen2 High-Energy Array ~10x IceCube volume see also Tienlu Yuan s presentation IceCube DeepCore PINGU low energy 11

Identifying the sources of IceCube s neutrinos 15 years IceCube + 15 years IceCube-Gen2 PRELIMINARY assumes IceCube technology benchmark sensitivity from Weizmann 2017: Φ =10-13 E -2 TeV cm -2 s -1 12

Identifying the sources of IceCube s neutrinos *Sensitivity for source catalog search IC-Gen2 will have sufficient sensitivity to detect all reasonable source scenarios 13

Connecting HE neutrinos to UHE cosmic rays E 2 [GeV s 1 sr 1 cm 2 ] 10 5 10 6 10 7 10 8 10 9 10 10 Diffuse (Fermi LAT) Cosmic rays (Auger) Cosmic rays (TA) 23.8 169.7 225.3 208.8 32.3 todo list: Connect to extra-gal. CR Identifying the sources of neutrinos and thereby also of CR IceCube (ApJ 2015) IceCube-Gen2 (15 years) (15 year projection) 173.4 49.0 37.6 10.8 4.6 2.4 1.5 E -2 E -2.5 PRELIMINARY 10 0 10 1 10 2 10 3 10 4 10 5 10 6 10 7 10 8 10 9 10 10 10 11 E [GeV] 14

Flavor triangle and BSM physics Gen2 (15 yrs) Rasmussen et al. (1707.07684) 15

The energy front with the radio technique credit: J. Alvarez-Muniz 16

Sensitivity of future radio detectors Credit: J. Alvarez-Muniz 10-9 GeV cm -2 s -1 sr -1 @10 9 GeV benchmark point from Weizmann workshop 2017 17

18 Neutrino astronomy project timeline & Milestones first Northern km 3- detector IC upgrade (Gen2 Phase I) 20 years of IC; completion of IC-Gen2 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2031 IC-Gen2 Gen2 Phase 1 (7 string) R&D / Design deployment Production Deployment (8km 3 ) KM3NeT Prod. & Deployment Prod. & Deploy ORCA ARCA (2 blocks, 1.2km 3 ) GVD Prod. & Deploy (8 clusters, 0.4km 2 )

Conclusions High-energy extra-galactic neutrinos observed, opening a unique view on the high-energy Universe Sources not yet resolved, new multi-messenger methods being developed As old questions are answered, new ones emerge, i.e. the spectrum appears to be complex Construction and Planning of new projects underway to cover full sky and large energy range, optimized for neutrino astronomy in the next decades 19