Recent activity. Current episode 12 years Transition between styles 4 periods of dome growth Since 2003, Vulcanian explosions (4 25 per day)

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Recent activity Current episode 12 years Transition between styles 4 periods of dome growth Since 2003, Vulcanian explosions (4 25 per day) 02 December 09 Explosions originating from dome e.g. 10 Jan 2010 usually little ash

Current dome 22 May 2010 Variable effusion rate & volatile-content 1998-9 fast effusion; 2.5 months 2001-3 slow; 22 months 2004 fast; 2.5 months 2007-9 slow; 35 months +

A, B dome growth in 2001 C Pulse in effusion rate, Nov. 2002 D Explosive activity 2003 6 E 2004 dome growth F Current dome growth

320 x 240 model

Dome growth (16 Oct. 2004) Much lower SO 2 flux compared to 1998-9 although similar effusion rate magma arrived with lower volatile contents volume degassed during explosive events during 2003-4 Infrared 3 effusion centres, E fracture

Thermal radiance used to calculate effusion rate Comparison with satellite data (AVHRR & MODIS) Also calculated using photos and GIS

Current eruption started Jan. 2007 Superimposed thermal and visual images of dome on 9 Feb. 2007 Precursors 6 months before effusion started: Increase in B in spring waters Seismicity increase in LP events Increase in fumarole temperature Thermal image with white areas having temperatures > 200 C.

Increase in fumarole temps. Decrease occurred when dome made it to the surface

Dome evolution from thermography Hot spots N Pixel dimension = 0.45 m 05 June 2007 Hot spots within small explosion craters Evidence of circular structure in IR image

N Growth directed in certain directions small lobes Exogenic 11 Nov. 2007 Pixel temps. > 500 C 07 June 2008 N Larger dome sides no longer show high temperature Hot central core Extrusion on upper surface & sides Cooled lower slopes Talus accumulation Thermal insulation

5 April 2008 View from N View from E Hotspot 321 C Extrusion with rockfall or explosive vent

07 June 2008

Explosion source N 20 July 09 Persistent hotspots Hot outside upper surface Fractures gas flow 25 Nov. 2009

26 Dec. 2010

W E 500 C 22 May 2010 W lobe 25 February 2010 29 March 2010

Rockfall 20 February 01 June 2010

Current lobe W side

Before A B A"er 26.05.2010 Rockfall 17:42 17:48 A = 250 m³ B = 558 m³ Comparison with seismic signal A B Quantify volumes lost

05 June 2005

Temperature max: 199 C Temperature max: 138 C Temperature max: 186 C Explosion 05 June 2005 Temperature max: 199 C

VarioCAM infrared camera 8 13.5 µm 3 fumarole zones monitored A C B Fumarole temperatures monitored - Looking for long-term trends - Short-term relationship with explosions Stevenson, J.A., and N. Varley, Fumarole monitoring with a handheld infrared camera: Volcán de Colima, Mexico, 2006-2007, Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 177 (4), 911-924, 2008.

SW Fumaroles 01 June 05: 58.9 y 75.2 C temperatures last measured in-situ in 2002, rim fumaroles up to 250 C. Hot pyroclastic flow deposit from 30 May explosion.

Decreasing tendency during 2005-2007; 2008 onwards fairly constant Negative anomaly prior to 5 June event Temperature increases and decreases related to explosions Relatively large pixel size and large distance for atmospheric effects but sufficiently sensitive to detect small variations

19-20 Nov. 2005 Increase in T prior to explosion

Large event of 27 July large heating prior to event, then cooling Large event of 23 Sept. prior heating & subsequent cooling over several days

Comparison of object temperature and radiative heat flux. Dotted curve represents temperature/radiative heat flux conversion function. Agrees with the Plancks-law over the range of interest ( 10 200 C) Transmissivity of a 5800 m path at 4000 m elevation using the Tropical Atmosphere Model. The contours are interpolated from values calculated using the MODTRAN code

Models of apparent fumarole temperatures Stevenson & Varley 2008 JVGR a) Distance versus apparent temperature for theoretical fumaroles. The radiating areas and temperatures of the fumaroles are: 102 m 2 at 50 C; 36.1 m 2 at 100 C; 19.2 m 2 at 150 C; 12.1 m 2 at 200 C. Areas correspond to an apparent temperature of ~35 C at typical atmospheric conditions of 5 C and 64% relative humidity. 2 regimes. (i) apparent temperatures are controlled by the atmospheric transmissivity; (ii) control is dominated by the pixel size. b) Effect of atmospheric conditions on apparent temperature. Contour lines of apparent temperature show how it changes with weather conditions. Error bars represent mean variation within a 24 hour period.

Data processing filter for clouds and explosions

Explosion 11/08/07 2 nd pulse produces acoustic emission but no seismicity detected 2 sources shown in thermal images one rich in ash, the other poor

Infrared images Calculation of heat flux Thermal expansion, air entrainment process Influence of ash particle fraction 10 March 2006 15:54

Permanent real-time monitoring system Possible to calculate Ascent velocity Gas flux Characterize event Combined with seismic/ infrasound data Depth of the explosion 3 stations to be installed with telemetry

Clear sky Clouds Real time monitoring system - comparison with seismic data

24 hours Clear sky Explosions Clouds Relationship between seismicity and explosion column temperature is not straightforward Influenced by Variation in ash-contents difficult to quantify Cooling from air entrainment Source depth Energy release characteristics impulsive or emergent, pulses, multiple vents

Comparing thermal emission of explosion column with seismicity Playon Flanco sur 17/09/07 00:35 Flanco sur Playon 03/08/07 12:03 Cold gas releases occur but also hot puffs with no seismicity

Questions? 26 June 2004 Thanks to the many CIIV students