Colorado Climate Encyclopedia Entry

Similar documents
Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: February 15, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO

National Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook

May 2016 Volume 23 Number 5

The Weather Wire. Contents: Summer 2018 Outlook. Summer 2018 Outlook Drought Monitor May Summary/Statistics June Preview Rainfall Totals

2003 Moisture Outlook

Colorado s 2003 Moisture Outlook

Drought in Southeast Colorado

The Weather Wire. Contents: Wildfires Burning Across Colorado

DEPARTMENT OF EARTH & CLIMATE SCIENCES Name SAN FRANCISCO STATE UNIVERSITY Nov 29, ERTH 360 Test #2 200 pts

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast March 2018 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast November 2017 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast March 2019 Report

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 1, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO

A Review of the 2007 Water Year in Colorado

Highlights of the 2006 Water Year in Colorado

Colorado CoCoRaHS. Colorado CoCoRaHS. Because Every Drop Counts! November 2014 Volume 2, Issue 11

Funding provided by NOAA Sectoral Applications Research Project CLIMATE. Basic Climatology Colorado Climate Center

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 18, 2017 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP,

November 2017 Volume 24 Number 11

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 25, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales

2003 Water Year Wrap-Up and Look Ahead

National Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook

The Weather Wire. Contents: Hail in Colorado. Hail in Colorado Drought Monitor June Summary/Statistics July Preview Rainfall Totals

SEPTEMBER 2013 REVIEW

Weather and Climate of the Rogue Valley By Gregory V. Jones, Ph.D., Southern Oregon University

L.O Students will learn about factors that influences the environment

Climate Update. Wendy Ryan and Nolan Doesken Colorado Climate Center. Atmospheric Science Department Colorado State University

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2017

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast February 2018 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast January 2018 Report

Tracking the Climate Of Northern Colorado Nolan Doesken State Climatologist Colorado Climate Center Colorado State University

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast August 2018 Report

Climate Change in Colorado: Recent Trends, Future Projections and Impacts An Update to the Executive Summary of the 2014 Report

NIDIS Weekly Climate, Water and Drought Assessment Summary. Upper Colorado River Basin July 31, 2012

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast April 2018 Report

Wind: Global Systems Chapter 10

Climate. Annual Temperature (Last 30 Years) January Temperature. July Temperature. Average Precipitation (Last 30 Years)

Arizona Climate Summary February 2012

PRECIPITATION. Last Week Precipitation:

April 2011 Volume 18 Number 4

Bell Work. REVIEW: Our Planet Earth Page 29 Document A & B Questions

The Colorado Drought of 2002 in Perspective

Fort Lewis, Washington (47 05'N, 'W)

3) What is the difference between latitude and longitude and what is their affect on local and world weather and climate?

Presentation Overview. Southwestern Climate: Past, present and future. Global Energy Balance. What is climate?

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System January 15, 2019

A summary of the weather year based on data from the Zumwalt weather station

INVISIBLE WATER COSTS

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast January 2019 Report

The Weather Wire. Current Colorado Snowpack. Contents:

MET Lecture 20 Mountain Snowstorms (CH16)

What Does It Take to Get Out of Drought?

Impacts of the April 2013 Mean trough over central North America

2015: A YEAR IN REVIEW F.S. ANSLOW

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System October 17, 2017

Variability Across Space

Champaign-Urbana 1998 Annual Weather Summary

Energy Systems, Structures and Processes Essential Standard: Analyze patterns of global climate change over time Learning Objective: Differentiate

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System February 6, 2018

Global Wind Patterns

PRECIPITATION. Last Week Precipitation:

LAB J - WORLD CLIMATE ZONES

The Climate of Oregon Climate Zone 4 Northern Cascades

1. Which weather map symbol is associated with extremely low air pressure? A) B) C) D) 2. The diagram below represents a weather instrument.

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: NOVEMBER 16, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales

2002 Drought History in Colorado A Brief Summary

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2016

Regional Climate Variability in the Western U.S.: Observed vs. Anticipated

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information State Summaries 149-FL. Observed and Projected Temperature Change

The hydrologic service area (HSA) for this office covers Central Kentucky and South Central Indiana.

Fig Major air masses of the world

NIDIS Drought and Water Assessment

A Recap of Colorado s Water Year 2018

January 2006 Climate Summary

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast October 2018 Report

The Colorado Drought : 2003: A Growing Concern. Roger Pielke, Sr. Colorado Climate Center.

Extreme Weather. Extreme weather has always been a part of Utah

SEVERE WEATHER AND FRONTS TAKE HOME QUIZ

Colorado CoCoRaHS. Colorado CoCoRaHS. Because Every Drop Counts! October 2014 Volume 2, Issue 10

1 What Is Climate? TAKE A LOOK 2. Explain Why do areas near the equator tend to have high temperatures?

Weather Elements (air masses, fronts & storms)

Arizona Climate Summary January 2017 Summary of conditions for December 2016

J8.4 TRENDS OF U.S. SNOWFALL AND SNOW COVER IN A WARMING WORLD,

The Climate of Payne County

Arizona Climate Summary February 2016 Summary of conditions for January 2016

World geography 3200/3202 Unit 2 review

Climate versus Weather

Long-Term Trend of Summer Rainfall at Selected Stations in the Republic of Korea

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: July 18, 2014 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System April 18, 2017

The Pennsylvania Observer

PRECIPITATION. Last Week Precipitation:

2011 Year in Review TORNADOES

Minnesota s Climatic Conditions, Outlook, and Impacts on Agriculture. Today. 1. The weather and climate of 2017 to date

How strong does wind have to be to topple a garbage can?

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System September 4, 2018

Upper Missouri River Basin February 2018 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast February 6, 2018

Foundations of Earth Science, 6e Lutgens, Tarbuck, & Tasa

Transcription:

Colorado Climate Encyclopedia Entry The combination of high elevation, mid-latitude, and interior continent geography results in a cool, dry but invigorating climate. The average annual temperature for the state is 43.5 degrees, which is 13.7 degrees below the global mean. The average statewide precipitation is 17, which is much lower than the global mean of 38. There are large seasonal swings in temperature and large day to night changes. The climate of local areas is profoundly affected by differences in elevation, and to a lesser degree, by the orientation of mountain ranges and valleys with respect to general air movements. Wide variations occur within short distances. For instance, the difference (35 degrees F) in annual mean temperature between Pikes Peak and Las Animas, 90 miles to the southeast, is about the same as that between southern Florida and Iceland. Figure 1: The map above depicts the average annual precipitation across the state of Colorado. Averages were computed by the PRISM Climate Group at 4-km resolution.

Figure 2: The map above depicts the average annual temperature across the state of Colorado. Averages were computed by the PRISM Climate Group at 4-km resolution.

Photo 1: The photo above shows the instrumentation at the historic Fort Collins Weather Station. Different regions of Colorado have unique characteristics not shared across the entire state. Here these characteristics are broken down for Eastern Colorado, the Colorado Mountains, and Western Colorado. Eastern Colorado: The climate of the plains is comparatively uniform from place to place, with characteristic features of low relative humidity, abundant sunshine, infrequent rains and snow, moderate to high wind movement, and a large daily and seasonal range in temperature. Summer daily maximum temperatures are often 95 F or above. Winter extremes are generally between zero and -15 F. The difference between the hottest and coldest officially recorded temperatures on the eastern plains is greater than 150 F.

Figure 3: The four-panel plot above depicts recorded temperature data for four weather stations across eastern Colorado. Maximum temperatures recorded for each month are reported in red. Minimum temperatures are reported in blue. Average temperatures are reported in purple. Average precipitation in eastern Colorado is between 10 and 20 inches. The wettest areas are on the northeastern plains near the Colorado-Kansas or Colorado-Nebraska border. The low elevation areas both north and south of the Palmer Divide, and directly east of the Rockies are the driest. Most of this precipitation falls either in the form of widespread soaking rains in April through early June, or as intense bursts of precipitation from thunderstorms in June through August. Year-to-year precipitation is highly variable and highly dependent on the number of large rain events in late spring and summer. It may be much higher or lower than average in any given year regardless of the phase of El Niño. Summertime thunderstorms may be severe with the most common associated threat being hail.

Figure 4: The four-panel plot above depicts monthly precipitation accumulations for four weather stations across eastern Colorado. Maximum accumulations recorded for each month are reported in blue. Minimum accumulations are reported in red. Monthly average accumulations are reported in purple. Tornadoes will occur in almost every year somewhere in eastern Colorado between mid-may and early August. They are most often small, registering as an EF0 or EF1. The most frequent zone for tornadogenesis in all of the United States is a narrow, north-south-oriented strip of land situated northeast of the Denver metropolitan area.

Photo 2: The photo above depicts the touchdown of a tornado near Wray, Colorado in June of 2016. This photo is courtesy of the KUSA Denver station. At the western edge of the plains and near the foothills of the mountains, there are a number of significant changes in climate. Average wind movement is less, but areas very near the mountains are subject to periodic, severe turbulent winds from the effects of high westerly winds over the mountain barrier. These winds are sometimes referred to as "chinook winds" when they warm, and "bora winds" when they are associated with a strong cold frontal passage downslope off of the mountains. Colorado Mountains: Colorado is best known for its mountains. They occupy less of the area of the state than many realize, but they profoundly impact the climate of the entire region. The main feature of the mountainous area of central and western Colorado is the dramatic differences in climate over short distances. With elevations ranging from below 7,000 feet in the lower mountain valleys to more than 14,000 feet on the highest peaks, all aspects of the climate are affected: temperature, humidity, precipitation and, of course, wind. In general, temperatures decrease with elevation. This change in temperature with elevation is most profound on summer afternoons when temperatures consistently decrease by 4-5 F/1000 ft. Air heated at elevation quickly becomes unstable, causing it to rise and be whisked away from the land surface. This puts a low upper threshold on high temperatures at elevation. On clear and calm nights, especially with snow cover, the land surface very effectively radiates away the day s heat, and the coldest, densest air settles into the mountain river valleys. As such, the most extreme cold in the state of Colorado actually occurs in the mountain valleys, and not on the mountain

peaks. Under extreme conditions, temperatures have dipped as low as -60 F at Taylor Reservoir and - 61 F along the Yampa valley in northwestern Colorado. Figure 5: The four-panel plot above depicts recorded temperature data for four weather stations in the Colorado Mountains. Maximum temperatures recorded for each month are reported in red. Minimum temperatures are reported in blue. Average temperatures are reported in purple. Wind patterns in the mountains are almost always controlled by topography. Mountain-valley circulations are common with winds often blowing up the valley from lower to higher elevation during the day reversing and blowing down the valleys at night. The mountains form a substantial block to regional air motion causing winds in most valleys west of the Continental Divide to be very light, especially in fall and winter, while winds along and east of the crest of the Continental Divide are much stronger and typically blow from a westerly direction much of the cool half of the year. Precipitation patterns are largely controlled by mountain ranges and elevation, and to a lesser extent the direction of prevailing airflow. When weather systems move in from the west and northwest during the winter and spring months it is the mountain peaks that first intercept the air that receive the most precipitation. These areas are the wettest areas in the state of Colorado. Buffalo Pass at the north

end of the state and Wolf Creek Pass at the south end of the state both receive over 50 of precipitation and 350 of snowfall annually. Some of the high mountain valleys, which lie in the rain shadow of mountains, are the driest areas in the state, and receive an average of less than 10 of precipitation/year. Precipitation increases with elevation both winter and summer but the elevation effect is greatest in mid-winter when winds at mountain top level are typically strongest. High peaks and mountain ranges generally receive the majority of their precipitation during with winter months. Mountain precipitation primarily falls as snow from November through Mid-May. This creates seasonal snowpack about 9000 ft, lower in some areas. Figure 6: The four-panel plot above depicts monthly precipitation accumulations for four weather stations in the Colorado Mountains. Maximum accumulations recorded for each month are reported in blue. Minimum accumulations are reported in red. Monthly average accumulations are reported in purple.

Photo 3: The photo above shows snowpack on top of Mount Princeton, one of Colorado s 14,000ft mountains. The temperature this morning was -18 degrees. Photo credit goes to Colorado Guy. Western Colorado: Farther west in Colorado the topography becomes slightly less extreme with lower elevations and combinations of canyons and plateaus. Elevation and topography remain dominant controls of local climates, but precipitation gets progressively less and temperature progressively warmer approaching the Utah border. Western Colorado winter weather is colder but calmer and less variable than east of the mountains. Temperatures can drop below zero F in all areas of western Colorado, but the valleys of west central and southwest Colorado receive abundant sunshine and the

winter climate is not harsh. Figure 7: The four-panel plot above depicts recorded temperature data for four weather stations in western Colorado. Maximum temperatures recorded for each month are reported in red. Minimum temperatures are reported in blue. Average temperatures are reported in purple. Precipitation west of the Continental Divide is more evenly distributed throughout the year than in the eastern plains. For most of western Colorado, the greatest monthly precipitation occurs in the winter months, while June is the driest month. Near the Utah border, late summer and early autumn can be the wettest time of year. During this time moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and Tropical Eastern Pacific is funneled northward into the state, and often falls as precipitation during afternoon thunderstorms.

Figure 8: The four-panel plot above depicts monthly precipitation accumulations for four weather stations across western Colorado. Maximum accumulations recorded for each month are reported in blue. Minimum accumulations are reported in red. Monthly average accumulations are reported in purple.

Photo 4: The Grand Mesa of western Colorado is shown here on a sunny afternoon. Photo credit: Grand Mesa Repeater Association. Severe Weather: A variety of types of threatening weather events are possible in Colorado. These include extreme cold, extreme heat, blizzard, high wind events, seasonal flooding, flash flooding, drought, forest fires, lightning, hail, and tornadoes. Despite being a semi-arid climate the most historically damaging events both from an economic standpoint are flash floods and droughts. The deadliest severe weather events in the state have historically been flash floods. The most flash-flood prone regions of Colorado are found along the base of the lower foothills east of the mountains. Several extreme floods, such as the Fort Collins Flood of 1997, the Front Range Flood of 2013 and the infamous Big Thompson Canyon flood of July 31, 1976, have occurred in this vulnerable area. The Big Thompson Flood is the deadliest single weather event in Colorado history, and took the lives of 144 people.

Photo 5: The image above shows a helicopter view of road devastation in the Big Thompson Canyon during the Front Range Flood of 2013. Photo credit: Colorado National Guard. A Changing Climate: Measured temperature trends averaged across the state of Colorado are statistically significant for the last 30, 50, and 100 years. The greatest warming has occurred in the southwest corner of the state, the San Luis Valley in south-central Colorado, and along the northern Front Range. The southeastern corner of the state has actually undergone a slight cooling over the last century. Temperatures have risen by 3.4 F in the spring, 2.4 F in the summer, 2.3. F in the winter, and 1.5 F in the fall. Due to lack of reliable historic temperature data at high elevations it is not known whether or not warming is preferentially occurring at high elevations.

Figure 9: Depicted here are the yearly temperature departures from normal measured, and averaged across the state of Colorado (F). Departures are relative to a 1971-2000 reference period. Each bar represents one year. Blue (red) indicates a year of below (above) average temperature. The gray line shows decadal average temperature. The dashed lines show temperature trends for the last 30, 50, and 100 years. There are no detectable widespread trends in precipitation across the state of Colorado. Average snowpack in Colorado is lower than 30 years ago, but there is not a statistically significant decreasing trend in snowpack. Climate modeling studies suggest Colorado seasonal snowpack is vulnerable to projected increases in temperatures, but less so than the Cascades and Sierras of the western United States.

References: Daly, Chris. "PRISM Climate Group, Oregon State U." PRISM Climate Group, Oregon State U. http://prism.oregonstate.edu/normals/. December 2016. Doesken, Nolan J. Pielke Sr., Roger A. Bliss, Odilia A.P. Climatography of the United States No. 60. 2003. Lukas, Jeff, Joseph Barsugli, Nolan Doesken, and Klaus Wolter. Climate Change in Colorado: A Synthesis to Support Water Resources Management and Adaptation. Boulder: U of Colorado, 2014 Pendergrass, Angeline & National Center for Atmospheric Research Staff (Eds). Last modified 02 Jul 2016. "The Climate Data Guide: GPCP (Monthly): Global Precipitation Climatology Project." Retrieved from https://climatedataguide.ucar.edu/climate-data/gpcp-monthly-globalprecipitation-climatology-project. Additional Information: Colorado Climate Center http://climate.colostate.edu National Climate Data Center - https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/ National Weather Service - http://www.weather.gov/