Moore s Law Forever?

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NCN Nanotechnology 101 Series Moore s Law Forever? Mark Lundstrom Purdue University Network for Computational Nanotechnology West Lafayette, IN USA NCN 1) Background 2) Transistors 3) CMOS 4) Beyond CMOS www.nanohub.org 1

1. The scale of things 1 meter (1 billion nm) 1 millimeter (1 million nm) 1 micrometer (1 thousand nm) 1 nanometer people things ants dust cells molecules (e.g. DNA) 2

1. Vacuum tube electronics Vacuum Tube ENIAC (1945, Mauchly and Echkert, U Penn) http://en.wikipedia.org Edison effect (Edison, 1883) cathode rays (Thompson, 1897) diode (Fleming, ~1900) triode (De Forest, 1906) 18,000 vacuum tubes 1000 sq. feet of floor space 30 tons 150 KW ~50 vacuum tubes / day 3

1. Transistors Field-Effect Transistor Lillienfield, 1925 Heil, 1935 Bardeen, Schockley, and Brattain, 1947 The transistor was probably the most important invention of the 20th century, Ira Flatow, Transistorized! www.pbs.org/transistor 4

1. Transistors transistors Sony TR-63 6-transistor shirt pocket radio 1957 http://www.etedeschi.ndirect.co.uk/early.sony.htm 5

1. Integrated circuits integrated circuit Intel 4004 Kilby and Noyce (1958, 1959) Hoff and Faggin (1971) ~2200 transistors 6

1. Moore s Law Gordon E. Moore Co-founder, Intel Corporation 1965 Copyright 2005 Intel Corporation. In 1965, Gordon Moore sketched out his prediction of the pace of silicon technology. Decades later, Moore s Law remains true,driven largely by Intel s unparalleled silicon expertise. Copyright 2005 Intel Corporation. 7

1. Microelectronics Silicon wafer (300 mm) Silicon chip (~ 2 cm x 2 cm) MPU Control logic analog ROM DSP RAM Intel TI cell phone chip 8

1. The ITRS Feature size (microns)--> 10 1 0.1 0.01 http://public.itrs.net/ nanoelectronics 10000 1000 100 10 Feature size (nanometers)--> 70 80 90 00 10 20 Year--> By 2003, the number of transistors manufactured per year (10 18 ), was 100 times greater than the estimated number of ants in the world. 9

1. Nanoelectronics Working at the length scale of 1-100 nm in order to create materials, devices, and systems with fundamentally new properties and functions because of their nanoscale size. paraphrased from www.nano.gov 10

1. Exponential Growth 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 12 90 nm 1B/chip 2B 4B 8B 16B 32B 64B 128B 256B 512B 1T 11

1) Background 2) Transistors www.nanohub.org 3) CMOS 4) Beyond CMOS? NCN 12

2. MOSFETs I D S G D D V DD G G S S D V G > V T : I D ---> V G < V T : I D = 0 on-current off-current 13

2. Transistor Scaling ~ L Each technology generation: L " L 2 A " A 2 Number of transistors per chip doubles (device scaling) (Moore s Law) 14

2. Transistor Physics S G D electron energy vs. position energy = -q x voltage 15

2. Real MOSFETs electron energy vs. position Log 10 I DS --> off-current V GS = 0 V DS = V DD S > 60 mv/decade V T on-current V GS = V DS = V DD V GS --> on-current 1000 µa/µm S G D Log 10 I DS off-current Technology generation ---> 16

2. Device challenges 1) low voltage operation (power = voltage x current) 2) high on-current (speed) 3) low off-current (standby power) 4) series resistance 5) device variability 17

2. Transistors for a tutorial on transistors, see: Transistors 101 under Nanotechnology 101 at www.nanohub.org 18

1) Background 2) Transistors 3) CMOS 4) Beyond CMOS? NCN 19

3. CMOS inverter high voltage (V DD ) V DD V IN P V OUT V OUT --> N noise margin! V DD V IN --> zero voltage (ground) 20

3. Two input NAND gate AND A B C 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 V dd P1 P2 V out C A V in1 VB in2 N1 N2 NAND A B C 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 21

2. Wires Rent s Rule Metal 7 Metal 6 Metal 5 Metal 4 Metal 3 Metal 2 Metal 1 number ---> 0 10 20 30 wire length (mm) ---> transistor " global # r int c int ~ l 2 #100 ps Silicon wafer (90 nm technology node) 22

2. Power P1 1) standby power: N1 I D (off) P off = N G I D (off )V DD P1 V dd I charge 2) dynamic power: V in N1 C L 2 P on! fc TOT V DD I discharge 23

2. The power crises R R Power Density (W/cm2) Power density will increase 10000 1000 100 10 1 Rocket Nozzle Nuclear Reactor 8086 4004 Hot Plate 8008 8085 8080 286 386 486 Pentium P6 proc 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Year 14 24

2. Design challenges 1) power 2) interconnects 3) device variability 4) reliability 5) complexity 25

3. CMOS Technology for a tutorial on CMOS, see: CMOS Nanotechnology 101 under Nanotechnology 101 at www.nanohub.org 26

1) Background 2) Transistors 3) CMOS 4) Beyond CMOS? NCN 27

4. Molecular electronics? C 60 on Si(100) 2x1 STM TEMPO on p + -Si(100) Current (na) 3.0 1.5 0.0-1.5-3.0 Shoulder NDR -5.0-2.5 0.0 2.5 5.0 Voltage (V) (Liang and Ghosh) Hersam, Datta, Purdue 28

4. Molecular transistors? S. Datta, A. Ghosh, P. Damle, T. Rakshit Ghosh, Rakshit, Datta, Nanoletters 4, 565, 2004 29

4. Carbon nanotube transistors? D Al Gate HfO 2 S 10 nm SiO 2 p ++ Si SWNT D G S McEuen et al., IEEE Trans. Nanotech., 1, 78, 2002. Hongjie Dai group, Stanford 30

4. Nanowire transistors? Samuelson Group Lund 31

4. Limits of transistors Limits E S min = ln(2) k B T TI 1997 L min!h 2m E S min! min "h E S min ("p"x = h) ("E "t = h) Zhirnov, et al., Proc. IEEE, Nov. 2004 32

4. Transistors and limits 90 nm node (ITRS 2004 ed.) 18 nm node (ITRS 2004 ed.) E S! 35,000 " E S min E S! 4200 " E S min L " 25 # L min " # 24 $ " min n = 0.2 B/cm 2 L! 5 " L min! " 3 #! min n= 3.5 B/cm 2 33

4. The Future: spintronics, quantum computing, bio-inspired N S Gate D spinfet qubit S + spin quantum computing 34

4. The future of CMOS 1) CMOS devices face serious challenges leakage, variations, interconnects, 2) Power dissipation limits device density not our ability to make devices small 3) CMOS will operate near ultimate limits no transistor can be fundamentally better 4) CMOS will provide more devices than can be used increasingly, design will drive progress 35

4. Beyond CMOS 5) New tools, assembly techniques, and understanding will help push CMOS to its limits 6) Beyond CMOS devices will add functionality to CMOS non-volitile memory, opto-electronics, sensing. 7) Beyond CMOS technology will address new markets macroelectronics, bio-medical devices, 8) Biology may provide inspiration for new technologies bottom-up assembly, human intelligence 36

4. Moore s Law Forever? Moore s Law is really about reducing cost per function. Device scaling will slow down, but cost per function can continue to decrease indefinitely. 37