Monthly Volcanic Activity Report (February 2016)

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Monthly Volcanic Activity Report (February 2016) Japan Meteorological Agency Azumayama (Alert Level: 2) Fumarolic activity at the Oana crater has remained at relatively high levels. Aerial observation conducted on 16 February 2016 in collaboration with the Japan Ground Self-Defense Force (JGSDF) revealed no remarkable changes in fume emissions at the Oana crater and no expansion of the geothermal field around the Oana crater. Weak fumes newly observed along a mountain trail on the western side of Issaikyouzan during an October 2015 field survey were no longer seen, and no geothermal field was observed in the area The height of fumes from the crater (at Issaikyouzan-Minamisanpuku Station) has remained at 100 m or less based on visual observation. No volcanic earthquakes and tremors have been recorded. According to data from a tiltmeter at Joudodaira station, ground deformation with a rising trend had been seen on the west-southwestern side (toward the crater) since July 2014 but it stopped around July 2015. Since late September 2015, a declining trend on the western side has been seen. Continuous GNSS * observation data had shown a slow change since around September 2014 indicating the inflation around Issaikyouzan, but it stopped around July 2015. Data from wide-area ground deformation observation conducted by the Geospatial Information Authority of Japan (GSI) revealed a trend indicating that the volcano had inflated along some parts of the baseline from around December 2014, but the trend stopped around July 2015 and turned to a contracting trend around October 2015. The potential for small eruptions around the Oana crater remains. * GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) is a generic name for satellite positioning systems such as GPS.

Kusatsu-Shiranesan (Alert Level: 2) Thermal activity remains ongoing on the northeastern side and the northern wall of the Yugama crater and on the north-to-northeastern slope of the Mizugama crater. According to the Tokyo Institute of Technology, composition of gas in a fumarolic area to the north and chemical composition of water in the Yugama crater have shown the changes indicating increased volcanic activity as before. Fumes rising to heights of around 100 m were seen in visual observation on 22 February 2016 in the fumarolic area north of Yugama (a crater lake). No fumes from Yugama itself were observed. Changes in data from continuous and repeated geomagnetic total intensity observation (considered indicative of a temperature rise beneath Yugama) were seen from May 2014 but stopped around July 2014. Volcanic seismicity beneath Yugama and its southern area began to increase in early March 2014 but has remained relatively low since late August of the same year. Data from ground deformation observation had shown a trend of inflation around Yugama since around April 2014, but this has declined since around April 2015. Data from a Tokyo Institute of Technology tiltmeter in the area around Yugama indicated a trend of inflation in shallow parts of the area from around March 2014, but the situation has remained relatively static since around November 2015. Asamayama (Alert Level: 2) No eruption has been recorded since the eruption on 19 June 2015. White plumes rose as high as 300 m or less above the crater rim. Volcanic glows were not observed. Field surveys conducted on 3 and 18 February 2016 revealed that amounts of volcanic gas (SO 2 ) emissions have remained at relatively low levels at 200 400 tons a day (900 tons on 22 January 2016). The number of imperceptible volcanic earthquakes in very shallow parts immediately under the summit crater showed an increasing trend that started in late April 2015 and has remained high since June 2015. The number has decreased gradually since around December 2015 but remains relatively high. Many of the earthquakes were low-frequency BL types. The number of volcanic tremors has remained low since September 2015. Data from electro-optical distance measurement showed a trend of contraction between the summit and Oiwake from around June 2015, but the trend stopped around October. Data from tiltmeter observation show a gradual change from around early June 2015. This trend has weakened but remains ongoing. Data from continuous GNSS observation show that the slight extension observed along some parts of the baseline since around May 2015 stopped around October. The potential for small eruptions affecting areas around the crater remains. Ontakesan (Alert Level: 2) White plume emissions have remained ongoing generally at 600 m or less above the crater rim according to visual observation data. Volcanic seismicity has remained at low levels, but has not yet returned to the levels observed before August 2014. No low-frequency earthquakes and volcanic tremors have been recorded. Data from tiltmeter observation and continuous GNSS measurement revealed no changes indicating an increase of volcanic activity. No eruptions have occurred since October 2014, and volcanic activity has shown a gradual decline. However, the potential for small eruptions remains as plume activity from a line of craters and seismic activity have been ongoing. Hakoneyama (Alert Level: 1) Violent emissions of steam were observed as before at the 15-1 crater, fumaroles and the nearby Owakudani hot spring supply facilities in visual observations. Fume heights have remained up to 600 m in the area around Owakudani. In a field survey conducted on 18 February 2016, violent emissions of fumes were observed as before at the 15-1 crater, the 15-2, 15-3 and 15-4 fumaroles and the nearby Owakudani hot spring supply facilities. The high-temperature area to the east of the 15-1 crater was seen in thermal infrared observation as before. No remarkable changes have been seen in ground surface temperature distribution. Volcanic seismicity has remained at low levels. No volcanic tremors have been recorded. No remarkable changes have been seen in data from continuous GNSS measurement, JMA/Hot Springs

Research Institute of Kanagawa Prefecture tiltmeter data or JMA volumetric strainmeter observation at Yugawara-Kajiya. Nishinoshima (Near-crater Warning) No indication of an eruption was observed at the 7th crater during aerial observation conducted on 3 and 16 February by the Japan Coast Guard (JCG). Aerial observation conducted on 3 February revealed areas of light-brownish water discoloration along the northern coast of the island and blue-white discoloration along the other parts of the coast with a width of around 200 500 m offshore. The newly formed land covered around 1,940 m east-west and 1,940 m north-south. The total area was around 2.63 km 2, which was almost the same as that measured during the previous observation conducted on 19 January 2016. Eruptions emitting lapilli pieces and lava began in November 2013, but neither has been seen since late November 2015. Ground surface temperatures have shown a decline since December 2015. JMA updated a Near-crater Warning and reduced the area in which caution was required to 1.5 km from the crater. Aerial observation on 18 February revealed light brownish discolored water along the coast of the island with a width of around 100 300 m. Ioto (Near-crater Warning) Volcanic seismicity has remained at relatively low levels. A total of 11 volcanic tremors occurred. No anomalies were observed in other data during the period in which volcanic tremors were recorded. Continuous GNSS measurement showed repeated rising trend and static state. The rising trend is larger in northern area of the island since 2014. Kujusan (Alert Level: 1) Volcanic seismicity temporary increased on 21 February 2016 with 22 seismic events recorded but it has remained at low levels for other periods. No volcanic tremors have been recorded since October 2006. Visual observation has revealed no remarkable change in fumarolic activity. According to a field survey conducted on 22 February 2016, no remarkable changes were seen in fume emissions and distribution of thermal anomalies. Continuous GNSS observation data has shown an extension along the baselines between Bougatsuru Makinoto-touge, Hosshousankitasanpuku Bougatsuru and Hosshousankitasanpuku NaoiriA since around 2012. No signs of eruptions affecting the area around the crater have been seen, although continuous GNSS observation data indicate extension along some baselines. Asosan (Alert Level: 2) Eruptions occurred at the Nakadake No.1 crater at 03:30 on 17 and 16:57 on 18 February 2016. White plumes rose as high as 400 m above the crater rim for other periods. A field survey and an inquiry survey conducted on 17 February revealed ash fall in Takamori Town to the southeast of the crater. A field survey conducted on 18 February revealed scattering of lapilli pieces presumed to have resulted from an eruption on 17 February along the southwestern crater wall. It was the first time to observe an eruption since 25 December 2015. Milk-white plumes rose as high as 1,600 m above the crater rim at the eruption on 18 February. Visual observation revealed scattering of lapilli pieces up to 400 m northwest of the crater. A field survey on 18 February revealed ash fall in Aso City to the northeast of the crater. A field survey conducted by JMA revealed a lake in the Nakadake No. 1 crater, and amounts of volcanic gas (SO 2 ) emissions have generally remained high at 300 1,500 tons a day (400 1,800 tons a day in January 2016). Amplitudes of volcanic tremors fluctuated and remained generally large. As small eruptions occasionally occur at the Nakadake No.1 crater, the potential for eruptions affecting the area around the crater remains. Kirishimayama (Shinmoedake) (Alert Level: 2)

Volcanic seismicity has slightly increased since 14 February 2016 and 155 events were recorded on 23 February. The number of such quakes in February was 459, which was larger than that in January 2016 when 52 seismic events were recorded. Volcanic seismicity has been at low levels since 26 February. A field survey conducted on 24 February by the JMA Mobile Observation Team (JMA-MOT) and aerial observation performed in collaboration with Kagoshima Prefecture revealed no remarkable changes in fumarolic emissions or in the form or volume of lava accumulated in the crater. Thermal infrared data revealed no changes in the distribution of thermal anomalies in the crater and around the fissure on the western slope. According to GNSS observation data, ground deformation indicating deeper magma chamber inflation at several kilometers northwest of Shinmoedake stopped around January 2015. A slight extension had been observed along some baselines around Shinmoedake but it stopped in around October 2015. Small eruptions may occur at the Shinmoedake crater affecting the area around the crater. Kirishimayama (around Ebino highland) (Warnings around the crater) Upgrade from Forecast to Near-crater Warning on 28 February Four small-amplitude volcanic tremors that lasted around 1 to 5 minutes occurred around Ioyama from 7 to 10 February 2016. In conjunction with observed tremors, ground deformation with a temporal rising trend was seen on the northwestern side of Ioyama. A return to the previous state was observed after 40 to 80 minutes. Field surveys conducted on 8, 9 and 10 February 2016 revealed fumes on the southwestern side of a crater on Ioyama coming from the entire thermal anomaly area. Thermal infrared observation revealed that the anomaly area on the southern slope of the crater extended farther south as compared to the observation of the previous survey conducted on 22 January. This trend was also seen in a field survey conducted on 24 February and in another conducted by JMA-MOT on 28 February for the same thermal anomaly area. Distinct H2S odors were recorded as before around Ioyama. Volcanic seismicity occurring in shallower parts of the area around Ioyama increased on 28 February with 53 seismic events recorded on the day. Volcanic activity has increased, as evidenced by 1) the occurrence of occasional small-amplitude volcanic tremors around Ioyama since July 2015, 2) observation of new fumes since 14 December 2015, and 3) a trend of expansion in the thermal anomaly area. As fumes and volcanic gas are being emitted and the potential for small eruptions remains, JMA issued a Near-crater Warning (Caution advised around the crater) for Ioyama at 11:00 on 28 February. Sakurajima (Alert Level: 3) Alert level upgrade from 2 to 3 on 5 February An explosive eruption occurred at the Showa crater at 18:56 on 5 February 2016. Plumes rose as high as 2,200 m above the crater rim and ballistic projectiles were sent as far as the third station (1,300 to 1,800 m from the Showa crater). JMA issued a Near-crater Warning at 19:13 on the same day and raised the Volcanic Alert Level from 2 (Do not approach the crater) to 3 (Do not approach the volcano). Volcanic activity is expected to continue, as occasional eruptions have occurred on an ongoing basis and an extension of the baseline across the Aira Caldera (in the inner part of Kagoshima Bay) continues to be seen in data from continuous GNSS observation. Aerial thermal infrared observation conducted by JMA-MOT on 6 February 2016 in collaboration with Kagoshima Prefecture revealed thermal anomaly areas around the Showa crater and on the southeastern side of Minamidake as before, and no remarkable changes have been seen. Volcanic activity has remained high, with 55 eruptions (22 explosive) recorded (none in January 2016). Very small eruptions occurred at the Minamidake summit crater on 8 and 20 February 2016 with plumes rising as high as 800 m above the crater rim. Field surveys conducted on 3, 6, 19 and 25 February 2016 revealed that amounts of volcanic gas (SO 2 ) emissions have remained generally at low levels at 100 500 tons a day (100 tons a day in January 2016). Data from tiltmeter and strainmeter observation conducted on the island show no remarkable ground deformation indicating the expansion of the volcano since the rapid change in August 2015. However, strainmeter data from the island showed a slight expansion before the explosive eruption on 5 February and a slight contraction immediately thereafter. Data from continuous GNSS observation show that extension of the baseline across the Aira Caldera has continued. The contracting trend of the volcano observed after the rapid expansion of the volcano in August 2015 stopped in around January 2016.

Kuchinoerabujima (Alert Level: 5) No eruption has been observed at the Shindake crater after the eruption on 19 June 2015. White plume emissions have remained at 300 m or less above the crater rim in visual observation. A field survey revealed no remarkable changes in geographical features around the crater or fume emissions. Thermal infrared observation showed that the temperature around a fissure to the west of the Shindake crater remained low, having previously risen from around March until 29 May 2015 before the eruption. Field surveys conducted by JMA on 4, 11 and 19 February 2015 showed that amounts of volcanic gas (SO 2 ) emissions have remained at generally low levels at 50 100 tons a day (100 tons a day in January 2016). Volcanic seismicity remained at low levels. No volcanic tremor has been recorded. No remarkable changes have been seen in ground deformation observations after the eruption on 29 May 2015. The potential for eruptions on the scale of the one that occurred on 29 May 2015 is low but there remains a potential for eruptions. An eruption may affect areas within 1.4 nautical miles from the Shindake crater. Suwanosejima (Alert Level: 2) Very small eruptions occasionally occurred at the Otake crater. Volcanic glows were observed at the crater occasionally at night with a high-sensitivity camera. According to the Suwanosejima branch of the Toshima Village administration, ash fall was observed in the village (located around 4 km SSW of Otake) on 22 January. The potential for eruptions affecting areas around the crater remains.