The U.S. National Spatial Reference System in 2022

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Presented at the, May 29 - June 2, 2017 in The U.S. National Spatial Reference System in 2022 Daniel R. Roman, (Chief Geodesist) NOAA s National Geodetic Survey 1

Why change? Outline Naming conventions of NSRS 2022 Geometric component Regional Terrestrial Reference Frames Intra Frame Velocity Models Geopotential component Static Time-varying Future Plans and Summary 2

NGS Vision Everyone accurately knows where they are and where other things are anytime, anyplace. NGS 10 Year and Strategic Plans provide a more detailed description of NGS and the vision for the future looking ten years out. 3

Replace NAD 83 Simplified concept of NAD 83 vs. 2022 Earth s Surface h NAD83 h 2022 f NAD83 f 2022 l NAD83 l 2022 h NAD83 h 2022 2022 origin all vary smoothly by latitude and longitude NAD 83 origin 4

Vertical Shifts Ellipsoidal Orthometric 5

Why change? Outline Naming conventions of NSRS 2022 Geometric component Regional Terrestrial Reference Frames Intra Frame Velocity Models Geopotential component Static Time-varying Future Plans and Summary 6

NSRS Modernization The Old: NAD 83(2011) NAD 83(PA11) NAD 83(MA11) The New: The North American Terrestrial Reference Frame of 2022 (NATRF2022) The Caribbean Terrestrial Reference Frame of 2022 (CATRF2022) The Pacific Terrestrial Reference Frame of 2022 (PATRF2022) The Mariana Terrestrial Reference Frame of 2022 (MATRF2022) 7

NSRS Modernization Orthometric Heights Normal Orthometric Heights Dynamic Heights Gravity Geoid Undulations The Old: NAVD 88 PRVD 02 VIVD09 ASVD02 NMVD03 GUVD04 IGLD 85 IGSN71 GEOID12B DEFLEC12B Deflections of the Vertical The New: The North American-Pacific Geopotential Datum of 2022 (NAPGD2022) - Will include GEOID2022 8

NSRS Modernization The Old: Bluebooking (PAGES, ADJUST, B files, G files, FORTRAN) The New: OPUS-Projects for Everything GPS/GNSS Leveling Traverse Gravity RTK/RTN More? 9

Why change? Outline Naming conventions of NSRS 2022 Geometric component Regional Terrestrial Reference Frames Intra Frame Velocity Models Geopotential component Static Time-varying Future Plans and Summary 10

Replacing the NAD 83 s Three plate-(pseudo)fixed frames will be replaced with four plate-fixed reference frames North America, Pacific, Mariana, Caribbean Remove long-standing non-geocentricity of NAD 83 frames All four : identical to IGSxx at a TBD epoch 2020.00? All four : differ from IGSxx by plate rotation only Updated Euler Pole determination for rigid plate only 11

Plate-(pseudo)fixed frames NAD 83(2011) minus NAD 83(NSRS2007) NAD 83(NSRS2007) Epoch 2002.0 NAD 83(2011) Epoch 2010.0 If NAD 83 were truly plate fixed then an 8 year epoch change would not yield the systematic plate rotation seen here. (*)=NA, CA, MA or PA (*)TRF2022 will determine a new Euler Pole rotation for each of 4 plates. 12

Four Frames/Plates in 2022 Previous NGS frames (Snay 2003) North America Pacific Mariana Caribbean will be treated as 4 th frame 13

Each frame will get 3 parameters - Euler Pole Latitude - Euler Pole Longitude - Rotation rate (radians / year) This will be used to compute time-dependent TRF2022 coordinates from time-dependent IGS coordinates. 14

Fixed-Epoch Transformation NAD 83 to 2022 15

NATRF2022 frame is rigid and fixed to rigid part of the N.A. plate Non-rigid part of the N.A. plate (deformation) area 16

Why change? Outline Naming conventions of NSRS 2022 Geometric component Regional Terrestrial Reference Frames Intra Frame Velocity Models Geopotential component Static Time-varying Future Plans and Summary 17

So if not HTDP, then what? NATRF2022 would account for most horizontal velocity over time Remaining signal typically modeled by HTDP (now) In future, a TBD velocity model would be applied to account for that and vertical The simplest solution is gridded CORS velocities 18

Horizontal velocities after Repro1 Note scale difference between West (10 mm/yr) and east (2 mm/yr) 19

CORS Implied Vertical Velocities - Control Courtesy Galen Scott 20

CORS Implied Vertical Velocities Heat Map Courtesy Galen Scott 21

What if this isn t enough? Will investigate sufficiency of gridded CORS Concern is dynamic areas: horizontal & vertical Will look at other models to evaluate GIA models INSAR Cost versus benefit What we can easily do in-house and support increased complexity from outside models Alternatively, users can model their own 22

How to use this information? Assuming CORS spacing is sufficient grid Yields horizontal plus vertical signal (IFVM & GIA) Vertical important for orthometric heights: H t = (h t0 + (t-t 0 )*dh/dt) - (N t0 + (t-t 0 )*dn/dt) Where H t is orthometric height at desired time h t0 is ellipsoidal height at epoch (maybe 2020.0) N t0 is geoid height at epoch dh/dt is change in ellipsoid height over time dn/dt is change in geoid height over time 23

Why change? Outline Naming conventions of NSRS 2022 Geometric component Regional Terrestrial Reference Frames Intra Frame Velocity Models Geopotential component Static Time-varying Future Plans and Summary 24

NAPGD2022 Begins with a 3-D global geopotential model Then, derivative products are built GEOID2022 DEFLEC2022* NGRAV2022* * Names not yet finalized 25

NAPGD2022 GEOID2022 (et al) over American Samoa: -16 to -10, 186-193 GEOID2022 (et al) over Guam/CNMI: 11-22, 143-148 GEOID2022 (et al.) over the North America/Pacific/Caribbean/Central America/Greenland region will range from 0 to 90 latitude and from 170 to 350 longitude. 26

Why change? Outline Naming conventions of NSRS 2022 Geometric component Regional Terrestrial Reference Frames Intra Frame Velocity Models Geopotential component Static Time-varying Future Plans and Summary 27

NAPGD2022: Pre-decisional items Three types of geoid change will be tracked Size, Shape, Change to W0 Time/Space span evaluated for cost/benefit ratio Examples: Issue Type of Change Temporal Period Temporal Duration of Geoid Change Spatial Impact Magnitude of geoid change Decision Accretion of Space Dust Size Secular Permanent Global 4x10-7 mm / y Ignore Earthquakes Shape Episodic Permanent-ish Local Can be as large as a few cm Study further GMSL rise W0 value Secular Permanent Global 1.7 mm / y Provide as optional correction 28

Time-Varying Geoid GRACE/GFO Figure 3 from Tregoning et al. (2009) Non-Stationary GRACE Signals GeMS Geoid Monitoring Service Part of GRAV-D Theresa Damiani, Ph.D. lead SG and other meters to monitor select gravity BM s Supplements and validates satellite-derived models GIA signals over Hudson Bay, Greenland, and Alaska 29

Why change? Outline Naming conventions of NSRS 2022 Geometric component Regional Terrestrial Reference Frames Intra Frame Velocity Models Geopotential component Static Time-varying Future Plans and Summary 30

Future Plans and Summary IGS Stations => Foundation CORS (FCORS) Sites collocated with other techniques (IERS) Adopt some/build others/cover all plates Foundation CORS => Regional CORS/Repro s Constrain Euler solutions/cors positions to FCORS Standing up IAG NA WG on Euler Pole Forms four separate Frames 31

Future Plans and Summary Models of Intraplate velocities (hor. & ver.) Could be simply modeled from existing CORS Density and quality of CORS impacts GIA signal must be taken into account (hor. & ver. vel.) Could be as complicated as Trans4D or equivalent How to maintain? Earthquakes? Re-surveys? Orthometric heights in 2022: H(t) = h(t) N(t) h(t) = survey epoch N(t) = N(t 0 ) +N (t t 0 ) 32

To Learn More Visit the New Datums web page geodesy.noaa.gov/datums/newdatums/index.shtml 33

To Learn More Attend the Geospatial Summit Silver Spring, MD April 24-25, 2017 FREE geodesy.noaa.gov/geospatial-summit/index.shtml 34

Questions? 35