STATE ESTIMATION IN DISTRIBUTION SYSTEMS

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SAE ESIMAION IN DISRIBUION SYSEMS 2015 CIGRE Grid of the Future Symposium Chicago (IL), October 13, 2015 L. Garcia-Garcia, D. Apostolopoulou Laura.GarciaGarcia@ComEd.com Dimitra.Apostolopoulou@ComEd.com

What has been done We developed and tested a State Estimation approach for Distribution Systems, as well as a sensitivity analysis to test the robustness of the method has multiple applications DMS (Distribution Management System) Load control Smart energy storage Real time monitoring and control Outage management Electric Vehicle management Voltage and VAR optimization Network restoration Energy loss minimization

Outline Smart Distribution Systems Challenges in Distribution Systems State Estimation Overview Use of WLS for State Estimation WLS State Estimation in Distribution Systems Case Study IEEE 34-Bus est System Numerical results Sensitivity analysis Sensitivity analysis results Conclusions

Smart Distribution Systems Renewable energy resources Distributed Generation Smart Meters (PMUs, AMI) Smart Grid Quality of service Reliability State Estimation (SE): Provides State of the Grid in realtime for monitoring and control: Online contingency analysis Bad data detection Power Flow Optimization

Challenges in Distribution Systems ransmission System vs Distribution System IEEE 34 Bus est System IEEE 24 Bus est System Meshed topology Uni-directional power flows Balanced lines and loads Radial topology Bi-directional power flows Unbalanced lines and loads

State Estimation Overview INPU Measurements (P, Q, I, V) State Estimator OUPU State Variables (V, ϑ) Weighted Least Squares (WLS) Advantages - Overdetermined System - Performs well in presence of noise Disadvantages - Fails to reject bad data - Sensitive to initial point Observability pseudo-measurements

Use of WLS for State Estimation (1/2) Weighted Least Squares: z = h x + e z :measurement vector e :measurement errors (Gaussian distribution) x :state variables vector h x :measurement function r = z h x r :residual error W :penalty factor of measurements Optimization problem: min x J x =[z h x ] W z h x H x W z h x = 0 H x = h(x) x

Use of WLS for State Estimation (2/2) Iterative Process: x k+1 = x k + x k given that the increment x k is given by G x k x k = H x k W z h x k where G x = H x WH x

WLS State Estimation in Distribution Systems Measurements and State Variables vectors z = P f, Q f, I l, V m, P, Q, P L, Q L x = V m, θ Jacobian Matrix of the State Equations H x = P V P θ Q V Q θ I l V I l θ V m V V m θ P V P θ Q V Q θ P L V P L θ Q L V Q L θ Penalty factors matrix W ii = { 1 For the forecasted load 10 For the actual measurements P f Forecasted real injection Q f : Forecasted reactive injection I l : Line current measurements V m : Voltage magnitudes θ m : Voltage angles P L : Real bus withdrawals at load nodes Q L : Reactive bus withdrawals at load nodes P: Real bus injections at generator nodes Q: Reactive bus injections at generator nodes

Case Study IEEE 34-Bus est System 848 822 846 800 802 806 808 812 814 850 810 820 818 824 826 816 864 858 832 852 844 842 834 860 888 890 836 862 838 840 24.9 kv Radial feeder Some single-phase laterals but mostly 3-phase 828 830 854 856 Scenario 1 set of measurements: Forecasted load with 10% of perturbation Power injection measurement at substation Power flow of lines 802-806, 824-828, 834-860, 836-862 Line current of lines 800-802, 816-824, 860-836 Scenario 2 set of measurements: Forecasted load with 10% of perturbation Power injection measurement at substation Power flow measurements of lines 802-806, 834-860 Line current measurements of line 816-824 We test the performance of the State Estimator in two different scenarios, including different quantity of measurements each time.

Case Study Numerical results 848 848 822 846 822 846 820 844 820 844 818 864 842 818 864 842 802 806 808 812 814 850 816 824 826 858 834 860 836 840 802 806 808 812 814 850 816 824 826 858 834 860 836 840 800 810 832 852 888 890 862 838 800 810 832 852 888 890 862 838 828 830 854 856 828 830 854 856 Scenario 1 - Algorithm converged in 69 iterations - Residual for the last iteration: r = z h x = 2. 7494 - Maximum difference between estimated and actual voltage magnitude value is 0.09 pu Scenario 2 - Algorithm converged in 67 iterations - Residual for the last iteration: r = z h x = 2. 5293 - Maximum difference between estimated and actual voltage magnitude value is 0.095 pu Results are very similar in both cases. he method results in a feasible solution for the estimate of the state variables

Case Study Sensitivity analysis Motivation: est the robustness of the algorithm and sensitivity to bad quality input data. Relative error of voltage magnitudes at each bus Error = V estimate V actual V actual 100% Simulation of bad quality data recreated in 4 different cases: Case 1: Increased the line power flow measurements by 2.5% Case 2: Increased the line power flow measurements by 10% Case 3: Increased the power flow and line current measurements by 2.5% Case 4: Increased the power flow and line current measurements by 10%

Case Study Sensitivity analysis results (1/4) Case 1: Increased the line power flow measurements by 2.5% Voltage magnitude error for Scenario 1 Voltage magnitude error for Scenario 2 Max. Error = -0.71% Max. Error = -0.56%

Case Study Sensitivity analysis results (2/4) Case 2: Increased the line power flow measurements by 10% Voltage magnitude error for Scenario 1 Voltage magnitude error for Scenario 2 Max. Error = -2.85% Max. Error = -2.26%

Case Study Sensitivity analysis results (3/4) Case 3: Increased the line power flow and line current measurements by 2.5% Voltage magnitude error for Scenario 1 Voltage magnitude error for Scenario 2 Max. Error = -1.09% Max. Error = -1.03%

Case Study Sensitivity analysis results (4/4) Case 4: Increased the line power flow and line current measurements by 10% Voltage magnitude error for Scenario 1 Voltage magnitude error for Scenario 2 Max. Error = -4.46% Max. Error = -4.17%

Summary of Sensitivity analysis results Absolute error in the results: Error Introduced Scenario +2.5% +10% Power Flow Measurements Power Flow and Current Measurements 1 0.71% 2.85% 2 0.56% 2.26% 1 1.09% 4.46% 2 1.03% 4.17%

Conclusions SE is a powerful tool that has been traditionally used in ransmission Systems. Its application for Distribution Systems is feasible today and would enhance grid operation and planning. he traditional approach to this method, the WLS algorithm, can be implemented to Distribution Systems taking into account the specific characteristics of these systems. he tool created based on WLS algorithm showed encouraging results when applied to different Scenarios of the IEEE 34 Bus est System. his algorithm is robust and still present good results under the bad quality data simulation. Application to a real feeder is currently under study, as well as other possible approaches to the State Estimation problem.

hank you!