MORNING WEATHER SUMMARY Weather Headlines Hot weather will prevail across the West into next week while another shot of cooler air moves into the eastern US. The 6-10 day period was trended slightly warmer across the central US today and the 11-15 is slightly warmer across portions of the central and western US. 6-10 Day Forecast Change 11-15 Day Forecast Change 2-5 Day Forecast (Fri 7/7 to Mon 7/10) Summary PWA: 0.9 Prev*: 0.8 Prev: 1.0 Chng: 0.1 LY: 0.9 5YR: 1.2 YoY: 0.0 Yo5Y: -0.3 *Same Calendar Days Previous Fcst Anomaly Last Year 5 Yr Avg Anomaly Today's Temp Anomalies Today's Precip Forecast Forecast Discussion Hot weather will continue across much of the western US today as well as across the north-central US. Widespread 100s across interior California will be spreading closer to the coast the next few days with Burbank warming to the middle 90s today and then the 100s tomorrow and Saturday. Downtown Los Angeles should reach the middle 90s tomorrow and Saturday though LAX may only reach the middle 80s. Widespread 100s will continue across the interior West in places like Salt Lake City, while the Southwest exceeds 115 in places. Phoenix is forecast to top out around 116F tomorrow before temperatures ease this weekend and early next week back to the 107-110F range as humidity and rain chances increase. Another round of cooler weather is still expected to move into the central US tomorrow and this weekend, bringing a return to near and below normal temperatures. The southern US is not expected to cool much, with below normal temperatures likely to be focused across the Midwest and Northeast Saturday and Sunday. The main upper level ridge center will likely shift eastward some next week, from the Rockies into the Plains region. That in turn will warm most of the central US to above normal levels next week, and should warm the eastern US to at least slightly above normal levels for a time. The West should still remain above to much above normal next week, though showers and thunderstorms may keep portions of the Southwest and Rockies a little cooler than indicated on some days. The upper level ridge is expected to continue meandering between the Rockies and Plains during the 11-15, and so central and western areas of the country will be most likely to average above normal. The eastern US is more uncertain and will likely be more variable. The overnight GFS run brought a strong shot of cooler air into the eastern US during the 11-15 though other guidance maintains more warmth. Our current forecast sides with the warmer solutions during the period, but confidence east of the Mississippi is not high. 6-10 Day Forecast (Tue 7/11 to Sat 7/15) Previous Fcst Summary PWA: 1.6 Prev*: 1.1 Prev: 1.2 Chng: 0.5 LY: 1.6 5YR: 0.7 YoY: 0.0 Yo5Y: 0.9 *Same Calendar Days 5 Yr Avg Anomaly 11-15 Day Forecast (Sun 7/16 to Thu 7/20) Previous Fcst Anomaly Last Year Anomaly Last Year Summary PWA: 1.3 Prev*: 0.6 Prev: 0.6 Chng: 0.7 LY: 1.5 5YR: 1.1 YoY: -0.2 Yo5Y: 0.2 *Same Calendar Days 5 Yr Avg Anomaly
Detailed 1-5 Day Outlook Day -1: Wed 7/5 Yesterday's Temp Anoms Yesterday's Precipitation Day 3: Sat 7/8 Day 4: Sun 7/9 Day 1: Thu 7/6 Day 2: Fri 7/7 Day 5: Mon 7/10
Detailed 6-10 Day Outlook Day 6: Tue 7/11 Day 7: Wed 7/12 Day 9: Fri 7/14 Day 8: Thu 7/13 Day 10: Sat 7/15 Today's 6-10 Day Tomorrow's 6-10 Day Sat's 6-10 Day Sun's 6-10 Day 6-10 Day Trends
Detailed 11-15 Day Outlook 11-15 Day Trends Day 15: Thu 7/20 Day 14: Wed 7/19 Day 13: Tue 7/18 Day 12: Mon 7/17 Day 11: Sun 7/16 Today's 11-15 Day Tomorrow's 11-15 Day Sat's 11-15 Day Sun's 11-15 Day
2-5 Day Period 6-10 Day Period 11-15 Day Period Forecast Model Comparison Forecast Model Comparison Updated Model Graphs Yet Midday 12Z Model Runs ECMWF GFS Ens GFS Morning 6Z Runs GFS Ens GFS Overnight 00Z Model Runs ECMWF Ens ECMWF Canad. Ens GFS Ens GFS
Recent Weather and Climate Recent Weather and Climate Conditions Temperature Anomalies for the Last 7 Days Precipitation Totals for the Last 7 Days Current Palmer Drought Index Precip Needed to End Drought Current SST Anomalies ( C) Arctic Oscillation Index North Atlantic Oscillation Index U.S. Daily Population Weighted Temperatures and Anomalies for the Last Year 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 8/1/16 9/1/16 10/1/16 11/1/16 12/1/16 1/1/17 2/1/17 3/1/17 4/1/17 5/1/17 6/1/17 7/1/17 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 7/7/2017 Frost/Freeze Outlook Freeze/Snowfall Forecast 7/8/2017 Frost/Freeze Outlook 7/9/2017 Frost/Freeze Outlook Latest GFS 7 Day Snow Forecast NA NA NA Contours are: Frost, Freeze, Hard Freeze, Killing Freeze
Precipitation Summary Past 90 and 30 Day U.S. Precipitation Trends Past 90 Day Precip Anomalies Past 90 Day Year on Year Change Past 30 Day Precip Anomalies Past 30 Day Year on Year Change Above precip maps do not include observed precipitation during the day yesterday. U.S. Forecast Precipitation Summary 2-5 Day Precip Totals 2-5 Day Precip Anomalies 6-10 Day Precip Totals 6-10 Day Precip Anomalies Major corn areas outlined. Yest Wed 7/5/2017 Major soybean areas outlined. Major wheat areas outlined. Thu 7/6/2017 Fri 7/7/2017 Sat 7/8/2017 Major cotton areas outlined. Sun 7/9/2017 Mon 7/10/2017 Tue 7/11/2017 Wed 7/12/2017 Thu 7/13/2017 Fri 7/14/2017 Next 7 Day Temperature & Precipitation Forecast Data Region Avg Hi/Lo* Hi/Lo Anom Highest** Lowest** Fcst Precip Norm Precip Precip Anom Western Corn Belt 89 F/66 F +2/+1F 100 F 58 F 0.34" 0.87" -0.53" Eastern Corn Belt 85 F/65 F 0/0F 93 F 55 F 1.09" 0.87" +0.22" Western Soybeans 89 F/66 F +3/+2F 98 F 56 F 0.19" 0.85" -0.66" Eastern Soybeans 86 F/66 F 0/0F 93 F 57 F 0.97" 0.87" +0.1" Northern Wheat Belt 92 F/61 F +5/+3F 100 F 47 F 0.18" 0.6" -0.42" Southern Wheat Belt 95 F/69 F +2/+1F 99 F 64 F 0.24" 0.69" -0.45" Western SE Cotton 91 F/73 F -1/0F 93 F 70 F 0.9" 1.02" -0.12" Eastern SE Cotton 93 F/74 F +2/+2F 98 F 68 F 0.97" 1.11" -0.14" Florida Citrus 94 F/75 F +2/+3F 96 F 74 F 0.61" 1.89" -1.28" *Avg Hi/Lo are the average forecast high and low temperatures for the next 7 days averaged over all cities in a region. **Highest and lowest forecast temperature is the absolute highest and lowest forecast temperature out of all cities in a given ag region
International Outlook Europe Weather Summary 2-5 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 6-10 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 11-15 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies Past 30 and 90 Day Precipitation Trends 30 Day Precip Anomalies 30 Day Year on Year Change Forecast Precipitation Trends 2-5 Day Forecast Totals 2-5 Day Forecast Anomaly 90 Day Precip Anomalies 90 Day Year on Year Change 6-10 Day Forecast Totals 6-10 Day Forecast Anomaly South America Weather Summary 2-5 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 6-10 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 11-15 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies Past 30 and 90 Day Precipitation Trends Forecast Precipitation Trends 30 Day Precip Anomalies 30 Day Year on Year Change 2-5 Day Forecast Totals 2-5 Day Forecast Anomaly 90 Day Precip Anomalies 90 Day Year on Year Change 6-10 Day Forecast Totals 6-10 Day Forecast Anomaly Major corn areas outlined. Major soybean areas outlined. Major wheat & coffee areas. Major cotton areas.
International Outlook Eastern Asia Weather Summary 2-5 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 6-10 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 11-15 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies Past 30 and 90 Day Precipitation Trends 30 Day Precip Anomalies 30 Day Year on Year Change Forecast Precipitation Trends 2-5 Day Forecast Totals 2-5 Day Forecast Anomaly 90 Day Precip Anomalies 90 Day Year on Year Change 6-10 Day Forecast Totals 6-10 Day Forecast Anomaly Major corn areas outlined Major soybean areas outlined Major rice areas outlined Major wheat areas outlined Australia Weather Summary 2-5 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 6-10 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 11-15 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies Past 30 and 90 Day Precipitation Trends 30 Day Precip Anomalies 30 Day Year on Year Change Forecast Precipitation Trends 2-5 Day Forecast Totals 2-5 Day Forecast Anomaly 90 Day Precip Anomalies 90 Day Year on Year Change 6-10 Day Forecast Totals 6-10 Day Forecast Anomaly Major cotton areas outlined Major wheat areas outlined
Regional Average Temperatures New England Southwest South-Central C-N Plains Midwest C-S Florida Southeast Mid-Atlantic Northwest C-N Rockies Regional Daily Temperature and Precipitation Averages Consult Individual City Forecast Product for City Specific Temperature Forecasts Last 5 Days Next 10 Days Date 7/1 7/2 7/3 7/4 7/5 7/6 7/7 7/8 7/9 7/10 7/11 7/12 7/13 7/14 7/15 Avg High 82 88 85 82 83 81 77 82 81 81 83 80 80 81 81 Avg Low 67 68 65 60 57 62 64 64 61 62 64 61 61 61 63 Anomaly 4 7 4 0-1 0-1 2-1 -1 2-1 -2-1 0 Avg Prcp 0.07 0.01 0 0 0.05 0 0.72 0.27 0.02 0.06 0.32 0 0.01 0.17 0.09 Weekday Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Avg High 85 87 87 85 86 82 85 83 82 85 86 86 85 85 85 Avg Low 71 69 67 67 66 69 68 67 62 64 68 67 66 67 67 Anomaly 4 4 2 1 1 0 1 0-3 -1 2 1 0 0 1 Avg Prcp 0.36 0.01 0.01 0 0 0.33 0.25 0.02 0.01 0.05 0.17 0.05 0.14 0.12 0.09 Date 7/1 7/2 7/3 7/4 7/5 7/6 7/7 7/8 7/9 7/10 7/11 7/12 7/13 7/14 7/15 Avg High 91 91 91 92 91 92 91 91 90 91 91 92 92 91 91 Avg Low 73 72 72 73 73 73 74 74 71 71 73 73 74 74 73 Anomaly 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1-1 0 1 1 1 1 1 Avg Prcp 0.16 0 0.09 0 0 0.12 0.11 0.18 0.16 0.2 0.15 0.11 0.15 0.17 0.23 Weekday Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Avg High 91 93 94 94 94 94 93 92 92 91 92 92 93 93 93 Avg Low 76 75 77 76 75 77 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 77 77 Anomaly 1 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 Avg Prcp 0.08 0 0.46 0 0 0.05 0.05 0.25 0.21 0.19 0.1 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.23 Date 7/1 7/2 7/3 7/4 7/5 7/6 7/7 7/8 7/9 7/10 7/11 7/12 7/13 7/14 7/15 Avg High 84 87 87 84 87 88 86 83 85 87 87 88 89 88 87 Avg Low 65 65 67 68 68 69 67 64 63 67 68 68 70 70 68 Anomaly -1 0 1 0 1 3 1-3 -2 1 1 2 3 3 1 Avg Prcp 0.01 0 0 0.01 0.14 0.19 0.12 0 0.09 0.18 0.12 0.08 0.14 0.02 0.01 Weekday Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Avg High 87 89 90 92 96 94 89 91 93 93 93 93 93 93 93 Avg Low 53 58 61 62 62 64 62 62 63 65 65 67 67 67 66 Anomaly -2 1 3 4 6 6 2 3 4 5 5 6 6 5 5 Avg Prcp 0 0 0 0.01 0.13 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.02 Date 7/1 7/2 7/3 7/4 7/5 7/6 7/7 7/8 7/9 7/10 7/11 7/12 7/13 7/14 7/15 Avg High 90 92 92 91 91 93 94 93 93 95 95 95 96 97 96 Avg Low 71 71 73 72 73 72 73 73 72 73 74 74 74 75 75 Anomaly -2-1 0-1 -1-1 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 Avg Prcp 0.28 0 0 0 0 0.07 0.04 0.06 0.11 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.06 Weekday Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Avg High 98 98 98 100 100 103 105 103 101 100 99 98 99 101 101 Avg Low 69 71 72 73 74 74 75 77 75 75 74 74 74 75 76 Anomaly 1 2 2 4 4 6 7 6 4 4 3 2 3 4 5 Avg Prcp 0 0.3 0.31 0.7 0.31 0 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 Date 7/1 7/2 7/3 7/4 7/5 7/6 7/7 7/8 7/9 7/10 7/11 7/12 7/13 7/14 7/15 Avg High 80 86 84 86 87 88 86 87 86 85 85 86 87 88 89 Avg Low 58 56 58 57 58 57 59 58 58 59 59 59 59 60 61 Anomaly 1 3 2 3 3 4 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 Avg Prcp 0 0.2 0.43 0.4 0.15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Weekday Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Avg High 93 94 94 97 100 100 100 99 98 95 94 95 96 98 99 Avg Low 58 61 63 62 64 67 66 66 66 65 64 64 65 66 65 Anomaly 4 6 7 8 9 11 11 9 8 6 5 5 6 7 7 Avg Prcp 0 0.04 0.09 0.28 0.12 0 0 0 0 0 0.01 0.01 0 0 0.01
es PWA=Population Weighted Average Temp Anomaly YOY=PWA for this year minus PWA for same period last year YO5Y=PWA for this year minus five year average PWA for same period. Regional Temperature and Precipitation Forecast Boundaries 2017 WDT, Inc. All rights reserved. Any unauthorized reproduction, distribution or disclosure is prohibited and may result in account termination and/or prosecution. Information contained in this report is intended solely for use by the recipient and may not be further distributed without written approval from WDT, Inc. Users of this report agree to the following: THE REPORT is provided by WDT, INC AS IS, and AS AVAILABLE WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND TO USER OR ANY THIRD PARTY, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ANY EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OF THE REPORT; ACCURACY OF INFORMATIONAL CONTENT; NON-INFRINGEMENT; QUIET ENJOYMENT; AND TITLE. WDT, INC. SHALL NOT BE LIABLE FOR ANY LOSS, INJURY, CLAIM, LIABILITY OR DAMAGE OF ANY KIND RESULTING IN ANY WAY FROM THE USE OF THIS INFORMATION. THE USER FURTHER AGREES THAT WDT, INC. SHALL NOT BE LIABLE TOUSER OR ANY THIRD PARTY FOR ANY LOSS OF PROFITS, LOSS OF USE, INTERRUPTION OF BUSINESS, OR ANY DIRECT, INDIRECT, SPECIAL, EXEMPLARY, INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES OF ANY KIND WHETHER UNDER THIS AGREEMENT OR OTHERWISE, EVEN IF WDT, INC. WAS ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES OR WAS GROSSLY NEGLIGENT. In any event, WDT, INC. shall never be liable for any amount in excess of the fees paid by the USER to WDT, INC. hereby. Additionally, WDT, INC. makes no warranty that the information provided in this report will be free from errors or omissions, or defects, human or mechanical. Contact Info: Phone: 918-252-7791 Email: sstrum@wdtinc.com