FOCAL MECHANISMS OF SUBDUCTION ZONE EARTHQUAKES ALONG THE JAVA TRENCH: PRELIMINARY STUDY FOR THE PSHA FOR YOGYAKARTA REGION, INDONESIA

Similar documents
ESTIMATION OF MAXIMUM EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE OF EARTHQUAKE POTENTIALS FOR YOGYAKARTA DEPRESSION AREA, INDONESIA

Seismic Activity near the Sunda and Andaman Trenches in the Sumatra Subduction Zone

THE EFFECT OF THE LATEST SUMATRA EARTHQUAKE TO MALAYSIAN PENINSULAR

Modelling Subduction Zone Seismogenic Hazards in Southeast Asia for Seismic Hazard Assessments

Lessons from the 2004 Sumatra earthquake and the Asian tsunami

The Subsurface Soil Effects Study Using the Short and Long Predominant Periods From H/V Spectrum In Yogyakarta City

The Earthquake of Padang, Sumatra of 30 September 2009 scientific information and update

Determination of the seismicity and peak ground acceleration for Lombok Island: An evaluation on tectonic setting

Magnitude 7.1 PERU. There are early reports of homes and roads collapsed leaving one dead and several dozen injured.

PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT FOR YANGON REGION, MYANMAR

Magnitude 7.5 PALU, INDONESIA

Hazard and Vulnerability of Moderate Seismicity Regions

PADANG EARTHQUAKE, WEST SUMATRA ON MARCH 6, 2007

Magnitude 7.0 PAPUA, INDONESIA

RELOCATION OF LARGE EARTHQUAKES ALONG THE SUMATRAN FAULT AND THEIR FAULT PLANES

EARTHQUAKE SOURCE PARAMETERS FOR SUBDUCTION ZONE EVENTS CAUSING TSUNAMIS IN AND AROUND THE PHILIPPINES

STUDY ON TSUNAMIGENIC EARTHQUAKE CRITERIA FOR THE INDONESIAN TSUNAMI EARLY WARNING SYSTEM

Earthquakes Physical Geology 2017 Part 1: Exploring Earthquake distributions. Home butto California Earthquakes: 1) 2) 3) above

Sendai Earthquake NE Japan March 11, Some explanatory slides Bob Stern, Dave Scholl, others updated March

Inquiry: Sumatran earthquakes with GPS Earth Science Education

TSUNAMI AND EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITY IN INDONESIA *

Magnitude 7.0 PERU. This region of the Andes is a sparsely populated area, there were no immediate reports of injuries or damage.

Characteristics of seismic activity before Chile M W 8.8 earthquake in 2010

GNH7/GG09/GEOL4002 EARTHQUAKE SEISMOLOGY AND EARTHQUAKE HAZARD

Magnitude 7.1 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS

REGIONAL CHARACTERISTICS OF STRESS FIELD AND ITS DYNAMICS IN AND AROUND THE NANKAI TROUGH, JAPAN

Chapter 2. Earthquake and Damage

Magnitude 7.1 PHILIPPINES

Widespread Ground Motion Distribution Caused by Rupture Directivity during the 2015 Gorkha, Nepal Earthquake

Malaysian Journal of Civil Engineering 22(1) : (2010) Malaysia

Section Forces Within Earth. 8 th Grade Earth & Space Science - Class Notes

GEOLOGY MEDIA SUITE Chapter 13

Magnitude 7.1 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

Magnitude 7.9 SE of KODIAK, ALASKA

Report on Banda Aceh mega-thrust earthquake, December 26, 2004

7.1 FIJI 1, :57:22 UTC

TSUNAMI CHARACTERISTICS OF OUTER-RISE EARTHQUAKES ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF NICARAGUA - A CASE STUDY FOR THE 2016 NICARAGUA EVENT-

Magnitude 7.0 NEW CALEDONIA

Mw 7.8, Southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia Wed, 2 March 2016 at 12:49:48 UTC M /03/03

Magnitude 7.5 NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA

LETTER Earth Planets Space, 56, , 2004

AVERAGE AND VARIATION OF FOCAL MECHANISM AROUND TOHOKU SUBDUCTION ZONE

Magnitude 7.2 OAXACA, MEXICO

An Approach for Seismic Design in Malaysia following the Principles of Eurocode 8

Report on Banda Aceh mega-thrust earthquake, December 26, 2004

Magnitude 7.0 VANUATU

PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD MAPS AT GROUND SURFACE IN JAPAN BASED ON SITE EFFECTS ESTIMATED FROM OBSERVED STRONG-MOTION RECORDS

A GLOBAL SURGE OF GREAT EARTHQUAKES FROM AND IMPLICATIONS FOR CASCADIA. Thorne Lay, University of California Santa Cruz

ATTENUATION FUNCTION RELATIONSHIP OF SUBDUCTION MECHANISM AND FAR FIELD EARTHQUAKE

News Release December 30, 2004 The Science behind the Aceh Earthquake

Once you have opened the website with the link provided choose a force: Earthquakes

Earthquake. earthquake, epicenters in the U.S. Kobe, Japan deaths

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 31, L19604, doi: /2004gl020366, 2004

STRONG GROUND MOTION ATTENUATION IN THE SEA OF JAPAN (OKHOTSK-AMUR PLATES BOUNDARY) REGION

DOUBLE-PLANED STRUCTURE OF INTERMEDIATE- DEPTH SEISMIC ZONE AND THERMAL STRESS IN THE DESCENDING PLATE. (Received December 20, 1983)

Crustal deformation by the Southeast-off Kii Peninsula Earthquake

SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS AND SEISMIC INPUT TO TSUNAMI MODELING FOR MICROZONATION OF MEURAXA DISTRICT CITY OF BANDA ACEH

Magnitude 7.3 IRAQ. Early reports indicate that 140 have been killed with over 800 injuries reported. Sunday, November 12, 2017 at 18:18:17 UTC

A PROTOTYPE OF WEB-APPLICATION FOR TSUNAMI DATABASE ALONG SOUTHERN JAVA ISLAND COASTLINE

Seismic Hazard characterization study using an earthquake source with Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) method in the Northern of Sumatra

ERSC 1P92 Assignment 2. Locating plate boundaries on Trafalmador.

Disclaimer. This report was compiled by an ADRC visiting researcher (VR) from ADRC member countries.

DETERMINATION OF SLIP DISTRIBUTION OF THE 28 MARCH 2005 NIAS EARTHQUAKE USING JOINT INVERSION OF TSUNAMI WAVEFORM AND GPS DATA

San Andreas Movie Can It Happen?

22.5 Earthquakes. The tsunami triggered by the 2004 Sumatra earthquake caused extensive damage to coastal areas in Southeast Asia.

revised October 30, 2001 Carlos Mendoza

Magnitude 6.5 OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

A magnitude 7.8 earthquake has occurred km (63.3 mi) ESE of Suva, Fiji at a depth of km (378 miles).

Effect of an outer-rise earthquake on seismic cycle of large interplate earthquakes estimated from an instability model based on friction mechanics

Magnitude 8.2 FIJI. A magnitude 8.2 earthquake occurred km (226.7 mi) E of Suva, Fiji at a depth of km (350 miles).

9th Workshop on Three-Dimensional Modelling of Seismic Waves Generation, Propagation and their Inversion

Section 19.1: Forces Within Earth Section 19.2: Seismic Waves and Earth s Interior Section 19.3: Measuring and Locating.

ORIGINAL ARTICLE. SEISMISITY AND ENERGY EARTHQUAKE IN AMBON ISLAND (3,5 O LS - 3,8 O LS and 127,9 BT 128,4 BT)

Earthquakes. Earthquake Magnitudes 10/1/2013. Environmental Geology Chapter 8 Earthquakes and Related Phenomena

Seismic Characteristics and Energy Release of Aftershock Sequences of Two Giant Sumatran Earthquakes of 2004 and 2005

Convergent plate boundaries. Objective to be able to explain the formation and key features of these zones.

Earthquake Source. Kazuki Koketsu. Special Session: Great East Japan (Tohoku) Earthquake. Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo

3. PLATE TECTONICS LAST NAME (ALL IN CAPS): FIRST NAME: PLATES

What is an Earthquake?

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

DOWNLOAD OR READ : SHALLOW SUBDUCTION ZONES SEISMICITY MECHANICS AND SEISMIC POTENTIAL PDF EBOOK EPUB MOBI

The potential tsunami threats from the South China Sea and hazard mitigation

GLOBAL CHANGES OF THE SEISMICITY OF THE EARTH

General Oceanography Geology 105 Expedition 10 - Whole Lotta Shakin' Goin' On

Predicting of Tsunami Inundation Area based on Propagation and Runup Numerical Model in Pacitan City

Magnitude 7.6 & 7.4 SOLOMON ISLANDS

Magnitude 7.3 OFFSHORE EL SALVADOR

Building up Seismsic Models for Ground Motion Prediction of Taiwan: Problems and Challenges

Three Fs of earthquakes: forces, faults, and friction. Slow accumulation and rapid release of elastic energy.

S. Toda, S. Okada, D. Ishimura, and Y. Niwa International Research Institute of Disaster Science, Tohoku University, Japan

Tsunami and earthquake in Chile Part 2

COULOMB STRESS CHANGES DUE TO RECENT ACEH EARTHQUAKES

Seismic Hazard Assessment Study for the Eastern Caribbean Islands

Geology 101 Study Guide #4

Strong Ground Motion Based on Microtremor and Empirical Stochastic Green s Function Computing at Palu City, Central Sulawesi Province, Indonesia

Centroid moment-tensor analysis of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake. and its larger foreshocks and aftershocks

Magnitude 7.6 HONDURAS

New Prediction Formula of Fourier Spectra Based on Separation Method of Source, Path, and Site Effects Applied to the Observed Data in Japan

overlie the seismogenic zone offshore Costa Rica, making the margin particularly well suited for combined land and ocean geophysical studies (Figure

RELOCATION OF LARGE EARTHQUAKES ALONG THE PHILIPPINE FAULT ZONE AND THEIR FAULT PLANES

Transcription:

FOCAL MECHANISMS OF SUBDUCTION ZONE EARTHQUAKES ALONG THE JAVA TRENCH: PRELIMINARY STUDY FOR THE PSHA FOR YOGYAKARTA REGION, INDONESIA Myo Thant 1, Hiroshi Kawase 2, Subagyo Pramumijoyo 3, Heru Hendrayana 3, Agus Darmawan Adi 4 1 Geology Department, Yangon University, Yangon, Myanmar 2 Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Japan 3 Geological Engineering Department, Gadjah Mada University, Yogyakarta, Indonesia 4 Department of Civil Engineering, Gadjah Mada University, Yogyakarta, Indonesia ABSTRACT: It is quite important for seismic hazard management to perform the Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis. To do so first we need the prescription of the seismic source map. The focal mechanisms from the Harvard CMT catalog (1977-2006) of 263 events were utilized to evaluate the configuration of the subduction zone along the Java trench by dividing as shallow, intermediate and deep earthquake classes, and the fault plane solutions of the individual events were exploited. The cross-sectional vertical profiles of nine rectangular areas from Eastern to Western Java were developed to figure out the plate boundaries. The Java trench line was also located from the seismicity of the Java region, the bathymetric and satellite images of the present region. a- and b- values are determined by the seismicity of the Yogyakarta area assessed from the past seismicity occurred during 1970-2007/07, utilizing the earthquake catalogs of ANSS and NEIC (USGS), and BMG records. The focal mechanisms of shallow events mostly display thrust faulting mechanisms representing the interplate earthquakes and those of intermediate earthquakes represent thrust faulting and those with large strike-slip component, representing the intraplate ones. However, the focal mechanisms of deep earthquakes also give the appearance of thrust event in the shallower depth at around 100km, and at around from 300 to 650km, the focal mechanisms seem to be normal fault mechanisms, some with strike-slip ones. From this analysis the possible depth of the future subduction zone earthquake potentials was generally estimated for this region. KEYWORDS: focal mechanisms, interplate earthquakes, seismicity, earthquake potentials. INTRODUCTION Although the Java region can be regarded as low seismicity region compared with the Sumatra subduction zone, historical and instrumental records show the occurrence of some fairly large earthquakes as 1943 (M 8.1) earthquake along the Java trench. The most resent two earthquakes happened in 2006 are May 27 Yogyakarta crustal earthquake and July 17 (S. of Java) that created tsunami. These two earthquakes alarmed to conduct the seismic hazard analysis for the regions located along the Java trench. Therefore, although the seismicity along the Java trench is relatively low, it can also be regarded as the considerable seismicity region. and the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) is necessary to perform. The present study concerns investigation on the seismicity along the Java trench and estimating the focal depth of the earthquake potentials from the off-shore region which will be delineated from the focal mechanisms of the interplate and intraplate earthquakes along the subduction zone and evaluation of the tectonic configuration of the Java trench in order to perform PSHA for Yogyakarta area, since the focal depth of each seismic sources is one of the important parameters for PSHA. DATA For configuring the tectonic profile for the Java trench, the focal mechanisms of about 263 events were utilized,

and the earthquake catalogs of ANSS (1970-2007/07) and the NEIC, USGS (1973-2007/07) were used for the study on seismicity of the Java trench with the supplement of BMG, Yogyakarta record (2000-2004). The Harvard CMT catalog (1977-2006) was utilized for the analysis of the regional stress condition of the subduction zone earthquakes including both the interplate and intraplate earthquakes of shallow (0-40km), intermediate (>40-80km) and deep (>80km) foci and for delineation of the tectonic configuration of the region. The events happened along the Java trench, whose focal mechanisms are used for delineation of regional stress field and configuration of the regional tectonics, are considered by dividing nine rectangular zones and the vertical profiles of these zones are also applied for our purposes. SEISMICITY OF THE AREA As mentioned before the Java trench region shows low seismicity compared with the Sumatra subduction zone region but the destructive earthquakes occurred in the past. The earthquake of the M 8.1, 23 July 1943 happened at the epicenter of 8.6 S and 109.9E. It caused about 213 casualties, more than 3,500 injuries, and around 12,600 houses collapsed (Van Bemmelen, 1949). Among those numbers, Bantul had the largest damages with 31 people killed, 564 injuries, 2,682 houses collapsed and 8,316 houses damaged. There were several other highly deadly and destructive earthquakes which occurred in this region. The most two recent earthquakes happened in 2006. The 6.3 (Mw) earthquake struck in Yogyakarta region, central Java at the epicenter of 7.96S and 110.45E on 27 May 2006 (USGS). This earthquake caused more than 6,000 people killed, more than 35,000 persons injured and about 135,000 houses destroyed. The 17 July 2006 earthquake (Mw 7.7) occurred off the south coast of western Java, with the epicenter of 9.25S and 107.41E (USGS) and it generated tsunami which destroyed houses on the south coast of Java, killing about 668 people and leaving at least 65 people missing although there was no ground motion damage to structures. -100-200 Latitude -12.5-10.5-8.5-6.5-4.5-2.5-0.5 0 Depth(km) -300-400 -500-600 -700 (b) (a) Figure 1. (a) Epicenters distribution of the earthquakes with the magnitude of equal to or greater than 4.0Mb (Source USGS,1973-2007/07), (b) the vertical profile of earthquake foci across Java, looking from east. Figure 1 displays the seismicity of Java representing the location of the epicenters of the earthquakes occurred in 1970 - June, 2007 with the magnitude 4 Mb. According to the historical and instrumental records the seismicity of Yogyakarta depression area in the period of 1970-2007 was mostly confined to the offshore region

of the Java trench. Therefore three areal sources were defined for the offshore region of Central Java, south of Yogyakarta area and then the seismicity rate of this area i.e. the a- and b- values are estimated by using the classical Gutenberg and Richter relation, and the maximum likelihood method of Aki (1965). However the sufficient data cannot be available for the present region and the a- and b- values are estimated as 4.321 and 0.809 for the offshore region after comparing the consequent values of those for each areal source. Although the earthquakes also caused in the crustal region of Yogyakarta depression area it is difficult to correlate the events and the existing fault. Therefore the a- and b-values for the individual fault cannot be determined because of lack of the sufficient data. Those for crustal faults are estimated as 1.8782 and 0.699 by utilizing the Gutenberg-Richter law from the seismicity of inland earthquakes of the depth 30 km (Figure 2). Fig 2. Gutenberg - Richter recurrence model for (a) offshore region and (b) inland region. FOCAL MECHANISMS AND MECHANICAL BEHAVIOR OF EARTHQUAKES Although fairly deep earthquakes happened along the Java trench, just two distinctive earthquakes were recorded in the Yogyakarta area; the M 8.1, 23 July 1943 with the depth of 90km and the M 6.5, 9 June 1992 earthquake with the depth of 106km. Moreover, the historical records show that most of the earthquakes that caused the considerable damages and casualties were shallow focus earthquakes not more than 40km depth. For present work, the data of focal mechanisms of the earthquakes happened during the period 1977-2006 (Harvard CMT catalog) are analyzed by dividing the earthquakes as three classes: shallow earthquakes with depth < 40 km, the intermediate earthquakes with the depth >40-80km and the deep earthquakes with the depth > 80km. The focal mechanisms of the shallow earthquakes are represented in Figure 3-a and these mechanisms show most of the shallow earthquakes correspond to the thrust mechanisms (reverse fault mechanisms) but some of them have strong strike-slip component and normal faulting mechanisms especially those close to the trench line. The focal mechanisms of the intermediate earthquakes show the existence of thrust faulting along the offshore region of Java trench and some with the considerable strike-slip components (Figure 3-b). The focal mechanisms of moderately deep earthquakes (80-150km) occurred mostly in the offshore region show thrust events and some with the considerable strike-slip component, the so called down-dip compression type while those of the very deep events (>550km) happened in the back-arc region predominantly represent the normal fault and some with the strike-slip component, the down-dip tension type (Figure 3-c). SEISMOTECTONICS The focal mechanisms of the earthquakes studied in this work are shown in Figure 3 and 4. The main geological feature is the Java trench with the length of about 1,100km, a segment of the Sumatra-Java subduction zone which extends over 5,600km, resulting from the convergence of the Indo-Australian plate and Eurasia plate. The

direction of the convergence is normal to the arc near Java (Newcomb and McCann, 2001, Megawati et al., 2005). The rate of convergence is 6-7cm/yr (Wagner et al., 2007) and the age of the subducted oceanic slab is 96-140 Ma below Java ( Widyantoro and Hilst, 2001). The depth of the Wadati- Benioff Zone is 650 km beneath Java (Fitch, 1970 and Lasitha et al., 2006). Based on the epicentral deistribution, the Java trench can be generally regarded as passing through the coordinates around 105 E/ 8.63 S in the western Java and around 114.57 E/11.62S in the Eastern Java. According to the focal mechanisms of the shallow earthquakes three types of faulting can be found as thrust faulting, those with the large strike-slip component, and the normal faulting mechanisms. Most trends of the faults strike in parallel or nearly parallel to that of the Java trench with slip direction in NNE and NE quadrant and their P-axis is also normal or nearly normal to the trend of the subduction zone. Therefore most of these events are agreement with the interplate earthquake mechanisms which follow the main geological structures of the region, although there are some earthquakes with normal and strike slip mechanisms whose trends are in considerable oblique to the subduction zone. Figure 3. Fault plane solutions of (a) the shallow earthquakes ( 40km), (b) the intermediate depth earthquakes (> 40km - 80km) and (c) the deep earthquakes (>80km) occurred during the period 1977-2006 (Source- Harvard CMT catalog), Circles increases in size with increasing the magnitude. For the intermediate depth earthquakes, their focal mechanisms represent the thrust faulting and some with large strike-slip component. These faulting also strike parallel or nearly parallel to the subduction zone trend although some thrust faulting with strike-slip component seems to run in the considerable oblique to the trend of the Java trench. While the strike of most faults generally runs in NW-SE direction, their dips are generally in NE orientation. These parameters of the focal mechanisms correspond to the tectonic characteristics of the region.

When the direction of the movement in strike-slip components are chosen it is difficult to do, but the right lateral motion with the northern block moving east, seems more plausible. The focal mechanisms of most intermediate depth earthquakes also coincide with the interplate events of the subduction zone. Figure 4. Focal mechanisms of (a) the interplate earthquakes and (b) the intraplate earthquakes occurred during 1977-2006 (Source- Harvard CMT catalog), Circles increases in size with increasing the magnitude. The focal mechanisms of the events of the focal depth in the range of >80km~150km show the thrust mechanisms and those with the large strike-slip component, while those of the events occurred in the depth of greater than 500 km represent the normal faulting and the one with the large strike-slip component. Although the trend of most events occurred in the eastern part of the offshore region are parallel or nearly parallel to the trend of the Java trench, those of the events in the western region run making the acute oblique angle, some in nearly orthogonal, to the trend of the subduction zone. But the trend of the normal faulting by which the earthquakes occurred at the depth range in greater than 500 km is mostly parallel to that of Java trench. These events can be assumed as the intraplate, down-dip extenstion earthquakes. Although the deep earthquakes occurred until around the depth above 650km, the region during the depth of around 350km~500km shows very low seismicity and it can be regarded as the low seismicity or aseismic zone. Figure 5 demonstrates the cross-sectional profiles of each rectangular zones presented in Figure 1 with these events. The occurrences of the interplate earthquakes representing thrust faults which dip in NNE to NE direction with varying amount 3 to 52 can be observed at the depth range in 15km~100 km and these events are also overlapped by the intraplate ones. They occurred as down-dip compression earthquakes while the down-dip tension events occupied at the depth greater than 500 km. When the nature of subducting Indian-Australian Plate under Eurasia Plate along the Java trench is figured out, the normal focal mechanisms of the oceanic intraplate events correspond to the bending of the Indian-Australian Plate before it subducts and can be regarded as the outer rise events. The thrust mechanisms of the earthquake events happened in shallow and intermediate depth can be regarded as the interplate subduction events. Moreover, several fore-arc events are also present and most of these events display the strike-slip fault mechanisms. The Wadati-Benioff zone events in the Java region takes place until the depth of 650km, most of which representing the normal fault mechanisms and some with strike-slip component. The distribution of the o epicenters of the past events displays that the dip of the subducted slab varies from around 10 (nearly horizontal in eastern Java region), gradually increasing and in the north of Java (Back-arc region) its dip o becomes as steep as nearly 70 when the depth reaches 500km or deeper. Therefore the earthquake potentials for the present area can be expected as thrust events from the depth in the range in 15km~100km with the maximum magnitude of M8.1 from the offshore region as the subduction zone events.

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 0-100 -200-300 -400-500 -600-700 A B C I D E F G H I Figure 5. Vertical cross section of the hypocenters of the earthquakes, focal mechanisms of which are used in this study, through the rectangles A to I shown in Figure 1. CONCLUSION For the present study the focal mechanisms are collected from Harvard CMT catalog (http://neic.gov.). According to the fault plane solutions, most of the trends of the faults are parallel or nearly parallel to that of the subduction zone, Java trench. The direction of the P - axis is also nearly normal to the trend of the subduction zone; however the T-axes orientations run oblique to the trend of P-axes making the acute angles to each other. The data analysis was conducted for three classes of earthquakes as shallow, intermediate and deep earthquakes. Most of the fault plane solutions show the thrust mechanisms or reverse fault slip (sometimes with strike slip components) for the shallow earthquakes. But these thrust focal mechanisms still correspond to the intermediate earthquakes. So the shallow earthquakes, the intermediate ones and several moderately deep earthquakes occurred at depth around up to 150km can be regarded as interplate earthquakes. For the deep earthquakes, the focal mechanisms give evidences of the reverse oblique fault mechanisms with the normal slip component representing the transition zone of tensional zone. But there are very little seismic events at the portion between the location of 350 km depth and that of 500 km depth along the subduction zone and this portion can be concluded as the aseismic slip zone. The focal mechanisms of the very deep earthquakes (>500km) happened mostly in Java sea, showing the normal fault mechanisms. The dipping angle of the interface of the subduction gradually increase from about 10 in fore-arc region to nearly 70 in the north of

Java, back-arc region, Java sea. The earthquake potentials can be generally expected to happen in the shallow depth environment of the subduction zone, off-shore region at around 30km in depth. But fairly intermediate deep earthquakes can also cause in the fore-arc basin, close to the onshore region. From Figure 5 we can see around 100km depth of subducting slab below the onshore region of Java Island. According to the seismicity of the Java region the focal depth of the subduction zone earthquake potentials can be regarded as around 45km with the expectation of thrust events of the magnitude M8.1 on the average. The a- and b-value are estimated as 4.231 and 0.809 for off-shore region, and 1.8782 and 0.699 for crustal faults (inland earthquakes) by utilizing the seismicity of the region and Gutenberg-Richter recurrence relation. The present study leads to conduct the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for Yogyakarta region for constructing the hazard maps representing the peak ground acceleration in the return periods of 50, 100, 200 and 500 years respectively. ACKNOWLEDGEMENT The authors thank to Badan Meteorologi and Geofisika (BMG), Yogyakarta for providing the earthquake data. This study is partially supported by the ASEAN University Network / South East Asia Engineering Education Development Network Japan International Cooperation Agency (AUN/SEED Net- JICA). REFERENCES Fitch, T. (1970): Earthquake Mechanisms and Island Arc Tectonics in the Indonesian-Philippine Region, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol.60, No.2, pp. 565-591. Lasitha, S., Radhakrishna, M. and Sanu, T. D. (2006): Seismically Active Deformation in the Sumatra-Java Trench-Arc Region: Geodynamic Implications, Current Science, Vol. 90, No. 5, 690-696. Megawati, K., Pan, T. C., and Koketsu, K. (2005) : Response Spectral Attenuation Relationships for Sumatran-Subduction Earthquakes and the Seismic Hazard Implications to Singapore and Kuala Lumpur, Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering 25 (2005) 11-25. Newcomb K. R. and McCann, W. R. (1987): Seismic History and Seismotectonics of the Sunda Arc, Journal of Geophysical Research, American Geophysical Union, Vol. 92, No. B1, pp 421-439. Van Bemmelen, R.W. (1949): The Geology of Indonesia, Vol. 1A, General Geology of Indonesia and Adjacent Archipelagoes. Martinus Nijhoff, The Haque: The Netherlands Government Printings Office, 732p. Wagner, D., Koulakov, I., Rabbel, W., Luehr, B.-G., Wittwer, A., Kopp, H., Bohm, M., Asch, G., and the MERAMEX Scientists (2007): Joint Inversion of Active and Passive Seismic Data in Central Java, Geophys. J. Int. 170, 923-932. Widyantoro, S. and Hilst, R. (2001): Structure and Evolution of Lithospheric Slab beneath the Sunda Arc, Indonesia, Spec. Edi. Of Journal Geofisika, ISSN: 0854-4352, 173-180.