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Available online at www.sciencedirect.com Procedia Procedia Engineering Engineering 2 (2010) 00 (2009) 1225 1233 000 000 Procedia Engineering www.elsevier.com/locate/procedia Fatigue 2010 Fatigue life prediction for large threaded components Ali Cetin*, Gunnar Härkegård a Department of Engineering Design and Materials, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway Received 28 February 2010; revised 10 March 2010; accepted 15 March 2010 Abstract A reasonable practice is to apply conventional fatigue life assessment methods to components with large threads when component S-N curves do not exist. Most recommended practices promote the use of the peak stress method. However, this method is bound to give conservative results for threaded components due to the high stress gradient. In this paper a case study of a typical threaded connection found in subsea risers is done. A range of fatigue life assessment methods were applied and their relative predicted fatigue lives were compared. Methods more sophisticated than the peak stress method seems to predict significantly longer lives than the ones obtained by following the recommended practices. c 2010 Published by Elsevier Ltd. Open access under CC BY-NC-ND license. Keywords: Life prediction; large threads; risers 1. Introduction Fatigue life prediction of regular threaded connections is traditionally addressed by means of component S-N curves. In cases where the threads are of relatively large dimensions and maybe in combination with unusual load cases, such that it becomes a significant geometric feature the component, the S-N curve approach may not be feasible. To that end, it may desirable to explore alternative methods. In this paper a case study of typical threaded connections found in subsea risers is done. (A subsea riser is a common tool used in oil drilling and maintenance operations). Since this is a highly unusual threaded connection, there are no component S-N curves available and establishing new ones is economically unreasonable. An apparent solution is to treat the threads as notches and apply regular fatigue life prediction methods. Common recommended practices (such as [1, 2] which are widely used in Norwegian socket) takes a simplistic approach and recommend the use of the so called peak stress method, i.e. the maximum stress is used as the effective fatigue design stress. Evidently, the resulting fatigue life prediction is bound to be conservative due to the high stress gradients occurring at the thread roots. There are several more sophisticated methods which are intended for or are known to work well for fatigue life prediction of notched components. The purpose of present work is to compare the relative fatigue life predictions for a wide range of methods. The following methods were explored; the peak stress method [1, 2], notch sensitivity methods due to Peterson [3] and Neuber [4], notch support factor [5], and the weakest-link method [6-8]. * Corresponding author. Tel.: +47 73597098; fax: +47 73594129. E-mail address: ali.cetin@ntnu.no. 1877-7058 c 2010 Published by Elsevier Ltd. doi:10.1016/j.proeng.2010.03.133 Open access under CC BY-NC-ND license.

1226 A. Cetin, G. Härkegård / Procedia Engineering 2 (2010) 1225 1233 2 A. Cetin et al / Procedia Engineering 00 (2010) 000 000 Nomenclature b C E K f K t N N f r R m s V 0 v n p (x) a σ a Shape factor, Weibull Loading constant, Peterson Young s modulus The effective stress concentration The theoretical stress concentration Fatigue life Fatigue failure life Notch radius, thread root radius The ultimate strength Notch support factor Reference volume The critical distance, Peterson Poisson s ratio The critical distance, Neuber Material constant, Peterson Stress at x Stress amplitude The effective fatigue design stress The relative stress gradient 2. Material and geometry 2.1. Material The properties and design of a typical riser will be supplier dependent and are considered confidential information. A generic riser design with typical material requirements is used in the present work. However, the aim is to capture essential fatigue behavior of a threaded riser connection. Risers essentially consist of series of pipes coupled together and it is only natural that they are designed and dimensioned to satisfy standards intended for pipes. In that regard, ISO 11960-2004 is used as the basis for material selection. The standard defines several grades of pipes; considering a typical riser, C95 grade pipes seem to fit the purpose. The chemical composition and mechanical requirements for C95 are summarized in Table 1. A steel type that fits the requirements mentioned above is DIN Ck45 (UNS G10450 / AISI 1045 / SAE 1045 / S45C). This is indeed a common tool steel widely used in the industry. Fatigue data for DIN Ck45 was obtained from [9]. (The monotonic yield strength of the material in Table 2 was slightly lower than 650 MPa). The data was given as strain-life data which would not fit our purpose. Thus, 12 data points in the approximately linear elastic range was extracted and used. These data points are summarized in Table 2. The stress amplitudes given in Table 2 were calculated from the Ramberg-Osgood relationship given in [9].

A. Cetin, G. Härkegård / Procedia Engineering 2 (2010) 1225 1233 1227 A. Cetin et al / Procedia Engineering 00 (2010) 000 000 3 Table 1. Chemical compostion and mechanical requirements for C95 Chemical requirements Carbon Manganese Phosphorous Sulfur Silicon Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max - 0.45-1.90-0.030-0.030-0.45 Mechanical requirements Yield strength (MPa), R e Ultimate strength (MPa), R m Hardness (BHN) Min Max Min Max 650 750 725 255 The S-N relationship was determined from the data presented in Table 2. It is assumed, at least for now, that the fatigue lives are log-normally distributed. (This assumption will be revisited later). A simple regression analysis reveals the S-N relationship and can be expressed as: -0.07 a = 885N f (1) 2.2. Geometry The threaded riser connection consists of two parts, as seen in Fig. 1. These two parts are screwed into each other with no pre-tension (due to some functional requirement). The threads are assumed to be 10.125-4 Stub Acme and in compliance with ASME/ANSI B1.8-1988. According to ASME/ANSI B1.8-1988 the threads are manufactured with sharp fillets. In fact, the standard defines no radius at the fillets (thread roots), which is practically impossible. The radius of the thread root is dictated by the age of the cutting tool utilized during manufacturing and experience suggests values ranging between 0.10 mm and 0.20 mm. Table 2. Fatigue life data for DIN Ck45. (Data: [9]) Fatigue life data Observed life Strain amplitude Stress amplitude [MPa] 5540 6980 7480 7860 28430 33143 40000 69000 105000 190000 155000 260000 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.24 490.2 490.2 490.2 490.2 428.2 428.2 428.2 401.3 401.3 401.3 394.8 394.8 The outer and the inner diameter of the pipes are approximately 304 mm and 186 mm, respectively. The basic shape and dimensions of the threaded riser connection are given in Fig. 1.

1228 A. Cetin, G. Härkegård / Procedia Engineering 2 (2010) 1225 1233 4 A. Cetin et al / Procedia Engineering 00 (2010) 000 000 Fig. 1. Basic geometry and dimensions of the threaded riser connection. 3. Finite Element Analysis The actual load condition of a threaded riser connection under regular operation is rather complex. In the present work several simplifications are done. Nonetheless, it may be helpful to illustrate the actual load case. As mentioned in the introduction, the threaded connection is not pre-tensioned due to some functional requirements. Moreover, risers are under more or less constant tension. The cyclic loading is added on top of the constant tension in the form of bending due to waves; obviously, the loading is irregular. However, the far-field stresses caused by the loads are very low and only the near-field stresses caused by the severe stress concentration at the thread roots are of significance. 3.1. Modeling The threaded riser connection was evaluated by means of an axisymmetric model. The main emphasis was to determine the stress field near the thread roots. Thus, it is reasonable to assume that the axisymmetric model is accurate enough for our purpose. (The stress field near a severe stress concentration tends to be similar for tension and bending). A linear elastic material was applied to the model with Young s modulus, E = 210 GPa, and Poisson s ratio, v = 0.3. The linear elastic assumption is a simplification of the problem; it is known that the occasional load may cause slight yielding at the notch root. However, this is neglected in the present work, since the results will be of comparative nature. A reference load of 1 MPa was applied at the pipe cross-section. The boundary conditions applied are rather trivial and are summarized in Fig. 3. 8 node elements are used in the analyses.

A. Cetin, G. Härkegård / Procedia Engineering 2 (2010) 1225 1233 1229 A. Cetin et al / Procedia Engineering 00 (2010) 000 000 5 Fig. 2. Basic geometry and dimensions of the threaded riser connection. The size of the model would have required a large number of elements in order to obtain a satisfactory stress resolution at the thread roots. In order to avoid computationally intensive calculations a sub -part of the model which was known to be the most critical part was analyzed. (The most critical part was determined initially by means of a coarse analysis). This was done through a series of sub-models where the final sub-model is given in Fig.3. Fig. 3 Final geometry of the sub-model. As it is seen from Fig. 3 the final sub-model does not include any contact counter-part. Instead, a sinusoidal pressure was introduced at the contact surface which was intended to be an equivalent load. This approach seemed to give slightly higher stresses at the thread root. As mentioned earlier, the thread root radius is determined by the age of the cutting tool used during manufacturing. To investigate the effect of radius, three different values were modeled; 0.10 mm, 0.15 mm and 0.20 mm.

1230 A. Cetin, G. Härkegård / Procedia Engineering 2 (2010) 1225 1233 6 A. Cetin et al / Procedia Engineering 00 (2010) 000 000 3.2. Results The finite element analyses reveal a high stress gradient near the thread root. The typical mesh and stress field near the threads can be seen in Fig. 4. Fig. 4. (a) Maximum principal stresses for r = 0.20mm and (b) stress field near the thread root. Beside determining the general stress field, the stresses along a path starting from the point with the maximum principal stress (at the thread root) and continuing 0.20 mm perpendicular to the free surface was determined (See Fig. 5). The results were fitted to polynomial functions: For r = 0.10 mm (x) =1.54*10 6 x 6-1.20*10 6 x 5 +3.86*10 5 x 4-6.65*10 4 x 3 +6.75*10 3 x 2-429x+22.0 (2) For r = 0.15 mm (x) =3.35*10 5 x 6-3.06*10 5 x 5 +1.17*10 5 x 4-2.46*10 4 x 3 +3.12*10 3 x 2-261x+19.0 (3) For r = 0.20 mm (x) =3.17*10 4 x 6-6.32*10 4 x 5 +3.70*10 4 x 4-1.05*10 4 x 3 +1.71*10 3 x 2-183x+17.1 (4) Fig. 5. Illustration of the stress path.

A. Cetin, G. Härkegård / Procedia Engineering 2 (2010) 1225 1233 1231 A. Cetin et al / Procedia Engineering 00 (2010) 000 000 7 4. Methods The actual stresses near the thread root are actually slightly multi-axial. In that regard, the maximum principal stresses are used in the methods below. The purpose of all of the methods mentioned in the introduction [1-8] is to produce an effective fatigue design stress, σ a, which is then used to predict the resulting fatigue life of the threaded riser connection by introducing it into Eqs. 1: -0.07 σ a = 885N f (5)Peak stress method The so-called peak stress method is the most basic fatigue life assessment method available. The peak stress, peak, appearing anywhere is applied as the effective fatigue design stress. The notch sensitivity method due to Peterson [3] is one of the classical fatigue life assessment approaches dealing with notched components. This method is usually expressed in a compact mathematical form: K f = 1 + (K t 1)/(1 + p /r) (6) However, this formulation requires that the geometry and the boundary conditions are such that a stress concentration factor is definable. This is, however, not possible in our case and thus, Eqs. 6 is not applicable as it is. Eqs. 6 is merely a formal statement of that the effective fatigue design stress, p, is located a critical distance,, beneath the surface. According to [3] the material constant p in Eqs. 6 may be expressed as: p = C (K t / (K t 1)) (7) The constant C is load dependent and is approximately 2.5 in our case and (K t / (K t 1)) may be approximated to 1. Arguably, the critical distance may be expressed as: = p /2.5 (8) The material constant, p, is available in the open literature [10] and may be estimated as: log 10 ( p ) = 2.654 10-7 R 2 m 1.309 10-3 R m +0.01103 (345 R m 2070 MPa) (9) For our material this gives = 0.064 mm. The effective fatigue design stress may be obtained directly by introducing p into Eqs. 2-4: σ a = ( ) (10) The notch sensitivity method due to Neuber [4] is similar in many ways to the last method and is in general expressed as: K f = 1 + (K t 1)/(1 +( n /r) 0.5 ) (11) For exactly same reasons as above this method is not directly applicable to our problem. However, recall that this method is merely an averaging of stresses along a path starting at the component surface and continuing a critical distance, 2 n, into the component. This can be expressed as: σ 1 2ρn a = σ (x)dx 2ρ n 0 (12) The critical distance, 2 n, is assumed to be a material constant and may be estimated as [10]: log 10 ( n ) = 1.079 10-9 R 3 m +2.740 10-6 R 2 m 3.740 10-3 R m +0.6404 (345 R m 1725 MPa) (13) For our material this gives n = 0.1815 mm. The effective fatigue design stress may be obtained by introducing Eqs. 2-4 into Eqs. 12. The notch support factor method [5] utilizes the peak stress and the relative stress gradient at the notch surface,, to define the effective fatigue design stress. The effective fatigue design stress is defined as: σ a = ( peak / s ) (14)

1232 A. Cetin, G. Härkegård / Procedia Engineering 2 (2010) 1225 1233 8 A. Cetin et al / Procedia Engineering 00 (2010) 000 000 where s is the so-called notch support factor and will vary with material and the stress gradient. The relative stress gradient,, may be determined from Eqs. 2-4. According to [11] s is in our case defined as: s = 1 + 0.25 *10 -(0.50+(R /2700)) m (15) The weakest-link method [6, 7] is a statistical method which incorporates the size effect (and thus, the notch effect) observed in fatigue problems. The effective fatigue design stress is defined as: σ 1 b 1 a = σ b dv V 0 (16) The constants V 0 and b are reference values obtained from S-N tests. (V 0 is the volume of the reference specimen, while b is the Weibull distribution shape factor related to the scatter of the S-N data. See Table 2). The volume of the reference specimens is approximated to 1000 mm 3. Recall that the S-N data were assumed to be log-normally distributed, whereas the weakest-link method assumes a Weibull distribution. Considering the small amount of data points it may be reasonable to assume that the scatter in the S-N data is well described both by a log-normal or a Weibull distribution. (These two distributions show severe disagreement only in the tails, which is insignificant due the low number of data points). Thus, if it is assumed that the mean fatigue lives coincide reasonable well for these two distributions, the shape factor, b, may be determined by considering the distribution of the normalized fatigue life, N ij / N mj, where i represents the ith observed life at the jth stress level. Obviously, the N mj is the mean stress at the jth stress level. (The mean lives are obtained by considering the S-N relation expressed in Eqs. 1). The shape factor was found to be approximately b = 46. The integral in Eqs. 16 is obtained by numerical evaluation [8] of the finite element results. 4.1. Comparison The relative performance of each of the methods is to be compared. Thus, it is necessary to define a reference value. In that regard, the local stress method applied to the thread root with r = 0.10 mm is used. The relative performance of each method may be expressed as: N method / N ref = ( method / ref ) -14.3 (18) 5. Results First of all, an increase in the thread root radius gives a pronounced increase in fatigue performance. This is, however, to be expected. The relative fatigue life predictions made by the notch sensitivity methods due to Peterson and Neuber are very high and deviate significantly from rest of the methods. However, it is the author s opinion that these are unreliable results and are merely a result of the theoretical limitations of the methods. For instance, the material parameter p is an empirical parameter which is probably only valid for moderate stress gradients. In the case of Neuber s method, it is expected that it converges to a finite value which is significantly lower than the maximum local stress when the stress gradient is severe. The notch support factor and the weakest-link method seem to show good agreement with each other. These two methods are also the most sophisticated ones. The effective fatigue design stress for the weakest-link method is obtained by means of numerical analysis. The calculations were stopped before a satisfactory convergence was obtained (due to long computation times). However, it was observed that the values were decreasing as the accuracy of the numerical process increased. Thus, it can be stated that the actual performance of the weakest-link method is at least as good as the ones stated in Table 3.

A. Cetin, G. Härkegård / Procedia Engineering 2 (2010) 1225 1233 1233 A. Cetin et al / Procedia Engineering 00 (2010) 000 000 9 Table 3. Comparison of the methods. Methods r = 0.10 mm r = 0.15 mm r = 0.20 mm Local stress method (MPa) 22.0 19.0 17.1 Relative predicted life 1 8.1 36.7 Peterson (MPa) 10.0 10.3 10.3 Relative predicted life 78821 51650 51650 Neuber (MPa) 10.0 10.0 9.9 Relative predicted life 78821 78821 91004 Notch support factor (MPa) 16.2 14.3 13.1 Relative predicted life 79.5 474 1658 Weakest-link method (MPa) <16.2 <14.2 <13.2 Relative predicted life >79.5 >524 >1487 6. Conclusion The thread root radius has a significant effect on the predicted fatigue life. More sophisticated methods predict fatigue lives that are several orders of magnitude larger than the local stress method. Notch sensitivity methods due to Peterson and Neuber do not seem to give reliable results for threaded components. The notch support factor and the weakest-link method agree well. The most optimistic predictions among the reliable methods are made by the weakest-link method. References [1] DNV. Recommended practice DNV-RP-F204. Riser fatigue; 2005. [2] DNV. Recommended practice DNV-RP-C203. Fatigue design of offshore steel structures; 2008. [3] Peterson RE. Notch sensitivity. Metal fatigue. G. Sines and J. L. Waisman, eds. New York: McGraw-Hill; 1959, p. 293-306. [4] Neuber H. Theory of notch stresses: Principles for exact stress calculation. F. A. Raven and J. S. Brock, eds. Michigan, Ann Arbor; J. W: Edwards; 1946. [5] Siebel E, Steiler M. Dissimilar stress distributions and cyclic loading. VDI-Zeitschrift 97; 1955, p. 121-131. [6] Weibull W. A statistical theory of the strength of materials. Ingeniörvetenskapsakademiens handlingar No: 151. Stockholm; Generalstabens Litografiska Anstalts Förlag, 1930. [7] Weibull W. A statistical representation of fatigue failures in solids. Transactions of the royal institute of technology No: 27. Stockholm; 1949. [8] Wormsen A, Sjödin B, Härkegård A, Fjellstad A. Non-local stress approach for fatigue assement based on weakest-link theory and statistics of extremes. Fatigue and Fracture of Engineering Materials and Structures. Vol 30. No 12; 2007, p. 1214-1227. [9] Boller C, Seeger T. Materials data for cyclic loading. Amsterdam; Elsevier Science Pubs., 1987. [10] Dowling N E. Mechanical behavior of materials: Engineering methods for deformation, fracture, and fatigue. 3rd ed. Prentice Hall, 2007. [11] FKM Richtlinie. Rechnerischer festigkeitsnachweis für maschinenbauteile aus stahl, eisenguss- und aliminiumwerkstoffen. 5th ed. E Hainbach, B Hänel, eds. VDMA Verlag, 2003.