Earth Observation and Renewable Energy

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ESMAP Knowledge Exchange Forum 2013 November 21 The Hague, Netherlands Earth Observation and Renewable Energy Zoltan Bartalis Earth Observation Exploitation Engineer Science, Applications and Future Technologies Department Directorate of Earth Observation Programmes European Space Agency, ESA-ESRIN Frascati (Rome), Italy 1

2 The European Space Agency

European Space Agency (ESA) ESA is one of the few space agencies in the world to combine responsibility in nearly all areas of space activity: Space Science Human Spaceflight Exploration Earth Observation Launchers Navigation Telecommunications Technology Operations 3

ESA Facts and Figures Houston Moscow Santa Maria Washington Maspalomas Kourou Salmijärvi ESA sites/facilities ESA offices ESA ground stations Malargüe New Norcia Perth Over 40 years of experience 20 European member states Cooperation agreement with 8 European states (Bulgaria pending) + Canada 5 establishments in Europe, ~2200 staff Over 70 satellites designed, tested and operated in flight 17 scientific satellites in operation 6 types of launchers developed Harwell Noordwijk (ESTEC) Brussels Cologne (EAC) Redu Darmstadt (ESOC) Paris (HQ) Oberpfaffenhofen Toulouse Cebreros Frascati (ESRIN) Villafranca (ESAC) 4

Contributions to the 2013 ESA Budget Other, 133.4 ESA Programmes (M ) NL, 79.5 CH, 108.3 IE, 17.3 FI, 19.5 DK, 25.7 PL, 28.9 AT, 50.1 NO, 56.3 SE, 75 PT, 16.1 RO, 16 CA, 15.5 GR, 15.1 LU, 15 CZ, 13.7 Total: 3449.2 Programmes implemented for other institutional partners EU, 704.8 Total: 832.8 DE, 772.7 Other, 67.8 60.2 ES, 149.6 BE, 187.7 FR, 747.5 EU, 206.3 UK, 300 IT, 400 Total 2013 ESA Budget: 4282 M 5

ESA 2013 Budget Allocation by Domain (M ) Robotic Exploration and Prodex 138.6, 3.2% General 201.3, 4.7% Technology Support 94.6, 2.2% Space Situational Awareness 10.1, 0.11% Basic Activities 232.1, 5.4% Telecom and Integrated Applications* 314.3, 7.3% Earth Observation* 982.5, 22.9% Human Spaceflight 398.6, 9.3% Navigation 708.8, 16.7% Scientific Programme 507.9, 11.9% Launchers 688.8, 16.1% *includes third-party activities 6

7 Earth Observation at ESA

The Importance of Having a Perspective Earth Observation using satellites (the "perspective from space") helps us understand the global impact of human activity on our planet and its evolution in time quantify processes in an objective and consistent manner, over extensive areas (even globally) and very frequently, using a wealth of environmental parameters beyond simple imagery "Earthrise" Apollo 8, 1968 December 8

ESA Earth Observation Activities Developing new satellite missions Application development and exploitation activities Generation of global datasets Development of new instruments, products, algorithms Operating current satellites Development of new services and markets 9

The ESA Earth Observation Satellite Fleet Meteorological Missions Copernicus: "Sentinel" Missions "Earth Explorer" Missions 10

EO Service Portfolio In Preparation of Copernicus Services with formal specifications, standards, validation Developed in collaboration and agreement with over 400 national user organisations Marine & Coastal Polar & Sea Ice Soil, Water & Urban Forest Monitoring Atmosphere Flood & Fire Risk Qualified service suppliers Food Security Land Motion Humanitarian Aid 2003 2012 (130 M ) 11 Maritime Security

ESA Climate Change Initiative (CCI) The importance of long term datasets highlighted by IPCC ESA's response: the Climate Change Initiative (CCI) Aerosol Properties Cloud Properties Fire Greenhouse Gases (CO2, CH4) Glaciers Land Cover Ocean Colour Ozone Sea Level Sea Surface Temperature Soil Moisture Ice Sheets Sea Ice 12

13 The Connection to Renewable Energy

EO Supporting Energy Decision-Making Siting of plants and facilities Energy potential (yield estimation based on historical data) Environmental issues Sociological issues Optimised design of plants and facilities Extending/harmonising in-situ datasets Energy yield forecast based on nearreal time data and modelling hindcast nowcast forecast archives real time data modelling 14

EO Products for Renewable Energy Information products of relevance (nowcast/historical statistics): Wave/current data Offshore wind data Snow cover extent Land cover type and change Digital Elevation Models Soil moisture, precipitation Infrastructure stability indicators (displacement rates, etc.) River and lake parameters Solar irradiance Land surface temperature MARINE WIND MARINE WIND HYDRO SOLAR SOLAR Atmospheric composition (aerosols) BIOMASS HYDRO SOLAR WIND HYDRO SOLAR BIOMASS HYDRO HYDRO BIOMASS SOLAR SOLAR NRT parameters as input to mesoscale modelling HYDRO WIND HYDRO SOLAR BIOMASS MARINE Data sources: ESA missions (20 years) National missions in Europe/Canada Meteorological satellites (1981 onwards) 15

Offshore Wind: Coarse-Resolution Global Winds 16

Offshore Wind: High-Resolution Regional Winds 17

Wind Renewables: Estimating Resources High-Resolution Regional Winds from synthetic aperture radars 20 years archived history is crucial Wind Rose Industry software for resources estimation Coarse-Resolution Global Winds from scatterometers 18

Solar Energy "Sunshine maps" exploiting geostationary satellites for frequent measurements (every 15 min), polar orbit satellites for atmospheric correction EO services for site identification, plant and grid management, power output forecast, consulting (architects, urban planning) METEOTEST; based on www.meteonorm.com Ground irradiation 1986 2005 19

Hydropower: Snow Mapping Snow cover mapping (fusion of radar and optical imagery) Snow cover extent accurate Limited capability to estimate Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) Snow Water Equivalent 20 1982 2011

Hydropower: Runoff Forecasting Digital Elevation Model from synthetic aperture radars Snow Cover from optical/radar instruments Weather Conditions from geostationary satellites etc. Hydrological Model 21 Runoff Forecast

Marine Renewables: Wave Retrieval Swell retrieval around the Channel Islands (California) using ENVISAT ASAR 22

Marine Renewables: Swell Retrieval 23

Marine Renewables: Surface Currents Ocean surface currents around Cape Hatteras, measured by Envisat ASAR using Doppler centroid anomalies 24

25 The Connection to Development Activities

International Development How could EO be used? In support directly to programs and projects concept definition, planning, implementation, monitoring and evaluation as part of capacity-building in developing countries In support of harmonising best practice tools Feasibility Environmental Impact Assessments Audits In support of policy and strategic planning sectorial analyses country development planning financial approaches to valuation of natural capital 26

ESA World Bank Collaboration 2008 2012: Pilot studies to demonstrate the use of EO to support 15 World Bank projects: Land: urban infrastructure, land cover, forest, crops, soil erosion, inland water Marine: oil spill, coral reef, coastal change, sea level height, ocean currents Risk: land motion history 2013: Second phase of collaboration: broadens and expands the initial scope greater emphasis on mainstreaming EO into World Bank operational activities www.worldbank.org/earthobservation 27

28 In Summary

Conclusions Europe has world-leading capabilities in Earth Observation both ESA and national EO missions and a highly skilled and experienced EO information services industry Earth Observation can deliver key information that brings benefit to the definition, planning, implementation, monitoring and assessment of investments being financed by multilateral development banks Satellite-derived information already used in the renewable energy sector There is scope for further expansion and many datasets not fully exploited New satellite missions are becoming available providing step improvement in performance (coverage, resolution, observation frequency) ESA and the World Bank have a cooperation agreement and there is scope for additional demonstration exercises with respect to EO and renewables 29

Earth Observation: A Necessity Contact: Zoltan.Bartalis@esa.int 30