Pulsar Sources for SEXTANT

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Pulsar Sources for SEXTANT Paul Ray Space Science Division Naval Research Laboratory SEXTANT is supported by the NASA Space Technology Mission Directorate

Energy Sources in X-ray Pulsars Rotational Kinetic Energy Rotating fields can accelerate and heat particles Energy comes from spindown of star Gravitational potential energy Accretion of matter into a deep potential well provides the energy Nuclear Burning Requires a surface and high temperature Can be steady or explosive burning Magnetic Field Energy Decaying fields in magnetars (B~1014 G) can provide energy Thermal NS/WD are very hot when formed and can have long cooling times

Rotation-Powered Pulsars (Normal) Born with periods of ~10 ms, then spin down to ~10 seconds Mostly isolated Strong magnetic fields 12 (~10 G) Timing noise correlated with period derivative

Recycled (Millisecond) Pulsars Fast (1.5 16 ms), low B field (10 8 9 G) Very low period derivatives imply lifetimes of Gyr Often (>75%) in binary systems About a dozen have pulsed X-ray emission detected Two spectral classes I: Faint, soft, broad pulses but best intrinsic clocks II: Bright, hard, narrow pulses but exhibit some timing noise and small glitches

Timekeeping MSPs vs. Atomic Clocks Pulsars can provide stable frequency standards Variance of millisecond pulsars (most precise astronomical clocks) is comparable to that of atomic clocks

SEXTANT Requirements Navigation accuracy requirement is 10 km (33 µs), worst direction Stretch goal is 1 km (3 µs), worst direction Integration time limited by ISS orbit period and fidelity of onboard orbit propagator, so planning for 1800 s typical integration time per pulsar Ephemeris uploads about once per week Timing models must be good on this timescale, and longer provides more autonomy Select pulsars that can achieve 300 µs accuracy in reasonable observing time, which essentially means MSPs

Modeling Photon Event Arrival Times Variable rate (nonhomogeneous) Poisson process (t) = ( (t)) = + h( (t)) h(ɸ) is the pulsar lightcurve, periodic on [0,1) and normalized to integrate to 1 α is the mean pulsed flux β is the total background rate (from all components)

Pulse Phase Arrival Model The phase model at the detector is To compute error in phase model: φ0 is the phase evolution at a reference observatory (e.g. SSB or Geocenter) φ0 provided by the standard pulsar timing software Tempo2 Extremely high fidelity models Provides convenient piecewise polynomial approximations to the full timing model φ0 τ(t) the prop time of the pulse wavefront moving from the detector to the RefObs at speed c If the RefObs is close to the detector (Geocenter) If the RefObs is not so close to the detector (e.g., SSB), the the full delay terms are need (parallax and Solar Shapiro delay terms) SEXTANT s algorithms are based on a Geocentric RefObs but can support SSB RefObs where For SEXTANT, we assume (q and f are constants) Alternate models are possible but this linear model works well in simulations (with short observation intervals)

Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Errors Phase and frequency offsets (q,f) fed into GEONS for use in updating the navigation solution

Phase Estimate Accuracy The Cramér Rao lower bound (CRLB) gives limit of achievable accuracy of any estimator with fully specified statistical model. We can compute CRLB for NHPP model assuming α, β known For XNAV the CRLB is smallest for short period, for highly peaked pulsars with high SNR ML estimators asymptotically (many photons) achieve CRLB CRLB useful for performance estimation determining target observation times Does not include systematic error effects

SEXTANT Sources Name Period (ms) Crab Pulsar 33.0000 Instrument Background Count Rate (cnts/s) Diffuse X-Ray Count Rate (cnts/s) Total Source DC Source Pulsed Background Count Rate Count Rate Rate (cnts/s) (cnts/s) (cnts/s) 0.05 0.15 13,860.00 13860.20 Pulse FWHM Sigma (µs) 660.000 0.0500 1.5 B1937+21 1.5580 0.05 0.15 0.04 0.24 0.029 0.0186 1.6 B1821-24 3.0540 0.05 0.15 0.02 0.22 0.093 0.0259 1.7 J0218+4232 2.3230 0.05 0.15 0.00 0.20 0.082 0.1120 12.8 J0030+0451 4.8650 0.05 0.15-0.20 0.193 0.1500 20.8 J1012+5307 5.2560 0.05 0.15-0.20 0.046 0.1000 40.4 J0437-4715 5.7570 0.05 0.15 0.42 0.62 0.283 0.2800 65.0 J2124-3358 4.9310 0.05 0.15-0.20 0.074 0.4000 200.4 J0751+1807 3.4790 0.05 0.15-0.20 0.025 0.3100 259.2 J1024-0719 5.1620 0.05 0.15-0.20 0.015 0.3000 606.1 J2214+3000 3.1192 0.05 0.15 0.06 0.26 0.029 0.3000 216.8

Source Properties Drive Optimal Design Source spectra drive energy range Source fluxes drive effective area and background rejection MSPs are quite faint

Source Spectra 0.2 kev BB with no absorption Detectors should be optimized for 0.2 8 kev Lower limit set by absorption. Upper end set by the hard sources.

Backgrounds and Mitigation 90 Particles and Radiation Concentrating optics to allow for small detector size Shielding Diffuse X-ray background Minimize FOV Other sources in FOV Minimize FOV, improve stray light performance Unpulsed flux from target Optimize energy cuts 10 NORTH MAG POLE 60 8 30 6 0 4 30 2 60 SOUTH MAG POLE 0 90 180 120 60 0 60 120 180 Chandra HRC image of PSR J0437 4715 with NICER 50% response circle

NICER is well optimized for MSP observations Concentrating optics provide 6 arcmin FWHM FOV and small detector size Large effective area over 0.2 8 kev Background rejection from shielding, pulse heights, radial cuts

Pulse Profile Templates Templates required to compute phase offsets using MLE Poisson fluctuations removed by using analytic fit to measured template (e.g. multi-gaussian, truncated Fourier series) The hard sources have narrow profiles (Crab, B1821, B1937) Thermal sources are smoother and more sinusoidal

Sky Distribution of SEXTANT Sources MSPs are a nearly isotropic population, which results in a good geometry for navigation Source visibility constraints limit when each source can be observed Sun and Moon exclusion angles Earth occultation ISS structures

Source Visibility β = +90º PSR J1012+5307 PSR B1937+21 PSR J0218+4232 PSR J2214+3000 21-Dec 21-Sep 21-Jun 21-Mar +45º 180º λ = 0º 360º PSR J0030+0451 PSR J2124 3358 45º PSR B0531+21 (Crab) PSR J0751+1807 PSR J0437 4715 PSR J1024 0719 PSR B1821 24 Galactic Center No Sun Constraint 90º 45º Sun Avoidance NE2083d Visibility analysis shows 10/20/2016 to 11/03/2016, 02/09/2017 to 02/23/2017, and 08/03/2017 to 08/17/2017 as viable periods for primary SEXTANT experiments. B1937+21, J0437-4715, J0218+4232 (Periodic Lunar occultation of B1821-24 and J0534+2200) all visible

Extrapolating Timing Models X. P. Deng et al. MNRAS 2012;424:244-251 Care must be taken when extrapolating timing models with significant red (timing) noise. High order polynomials and even harmonic sums do not extrapolate well. Optimal filter can be constructed from the covariance matrices of the measurement error and the red noise, and is implemented in a Tempo2 plugin.

Crab Is a Special Case Pulsed flux is higher than 4 MSPs by 10 so integration times can be much shorter But, highly unstable rotator so ephemeris updates are required every ~3 days to meet SEXTANT requirements

Plan for Ephemeris Updates Ground-based radio timing Jodrell Bank observes Crab daily NANOGrav times 4 SEXTANT MSPs PPTA times J0437 4715 Nançay has a long-term program on B1821-24 Using ground-based data requires multifrequency observing to monitor dispersion measure, for extrapolation to infinite frequency NICER itself will time them as well. Initial observations will establish definitive template profile and radio-to-x-ray offset

Systematic Errors Errors in the timing model predictions translate to location errors that are not reduced by increasing integration time (but can be mitigated by increasing number of sources) Astrometric errors Parameters measured by radio timing at 1 AU, so error grows with distance from SSB Red noise

DM Variations DM offset of 0.005 produces error of 10 µs in extrapolation from 1400 MHz to X-ray band X. P. You et al. MNRAS 2007;378:493-506

Looking to Expand the Catalog Pace of MSP discovery has been very high over past few years Fermi All SEXTANT MSPs are LAT sources, except J1012+5307 One LAT source has X-ray pulsations () and J1214 is promising Big surveys: HTRU, GBNCC, AO-drift, PALFA NICER will search for X-ray pulsations from several promising candidates and expand the catalog and characterize new candidates for inclusion

Example: PSR J1231-1411 -13 1.2x10 Fx = (0.5-3 kev) 2 erg/cm /s 0.21 cts/s in NICER, brightest MSP after J0437-4715 nd 2 Need to detect pulsations and characterize pulse profile

References Mitchell, J. W. et al., SEXTANT - Station Explorer for X-ray Timing and Navigation Technology AIAA Guidance, Navigation & Control Conference (2015) Winternitz, L. M. B. et al., X-ray Pulsar Navigation Algorithms and Testbed for SEXTANT IEEE Aerospace Conference (2015) Ray P.S., Sheikh S.I., Graven P.H., Wolff M.T., Wood K.S., Gendreau K.C., Deep Space Navigation Using Celestial X-ray Sources, Proceedings of the 2008 Institute of Navigation National Technical Meeting, Session A1, Paper #4, (2008) Sheikh S. I., Pines D. J., Wood K. S., Ray P. S., Lovellette, M. N., Navigational system and method utilizing sources of pulsed celestial radiation, U.S. Patent 7,197,381, March 27, 2007 Ray P. S., Wood K. S., Phlips B. F. Spacecraft Navigation Using X-ray Pulsars, NRL Review 2006 Feature Article, pp. 95 103. Available at http:// www.nrl.navy.mil/content_images/06fa5.pdf Sheikh S. I., Pines D. J., Ray P. S., Wood K. S., Lovellette M. N., Wolff M. T. Spacecraft Navigation Using X-ray Pulsars, Journal of Guidance Control and Dynamics, Volume 29(1), pp. 49 63 (2006)