Del Mar Sediment Management Study

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Transcription:

Del Mar Sediment Management Study Shoreline Preservation Working Group, June 7, 2018 Lindsey Sheehan

Current work in Del Mar 2016 Sea-Level Rise Vulnerability Assessment 2018 Adaptation Plan 2018 Sediment Management Plan 2018 Lagoon Habitat Evolution Assessment LCP Amendment

Sediment Management Plan Why develop this plan? Vulnerability Assessment identified risks with sea-level rise Beach erosion coastal flooding Channel deposition increased river flooding What is the purpose of the plan? Understand sediment dynamics to inform dredging and nourishment to reduce risks Companion document to Adaptation Plan and LCP Amendment How was the plan developed? Collected data to develop long-term sediment budget Develop existing conditions budget Consider how each process will change with sea-level rise Developed Channel Dredging Plan Developed Beach Nourishment Plan Developed Planning-level cost estimate

Sediment Management Plan Why develop this plan? Vulnerability Assessment identified risks with sea-level rise Beach erosion coastal flooding Channel deposition increased river flooding What is the purpose of the plan? Understand sediment dynamics to inform dredging and nourishment to reduce risks Companion document to Adaptation Plan and LCP Amendment How was the plan developed? Collected data to develop long-term sediment budget Develop existing conditions budget Consider how each process will change with sea-level rise Developed Channel Dredging Plan Developed Beach Nourishment Plan Developed Planning-level cost estimate

Sediment Management Plan Why develop this plan? Vulnerability Assessment identified risks with sea-level rise Beach erosion coastal flooding Channel deposition increased river flooding What is the purpose of the plan? Understand sediment dynamics to inform dredging and nourishment to reduce risks Companion document to Adaptation Plan and LCP Amendment How was the plan developed? Gathered data to develop long-term sediment budget Developed existing conditions budget Considered how each process will change with sea-level rise Developed Channel Dredging Plan Developed Beach Nourishment Plan Developed planning-level cost estimates with assumptions

How Has the Beach Changed Over Time? SANDAG Beach Transects Fall and spring surveys 1997 to present 7 transects between San Elijo & San Dieguito 4 transects between San Dieguito & Los Peñasquitos Scripps transects

SANDAG Beach Transects In 1997, US Navy Homeporting project added 170,000 cy of sand Feet Above Average Daily Lowest Tide Water Level (e.g., ft MLLW) Distance in feet from Seawall

SANDAG Beach Transects RBSP I (2001) eroded away in the following years Feet Above Average Daily Lowest Tide Water Level (e.g., ft MLLW) Distance in feet from Seawall

SANDAG Beach Transects RBSP II (2012) transported to 25 th St by 2015 Feet Above Average Daily Lowest Tide Water Level (e.g., ft MLLW) Distance in feet from Seawall

SANDAG Beach Transects Before and after 2015-2016 El Niño Feet Above Average Daily Lowest Tide Water Level (e.g., ft MLLW) Distance in feet from Seawall

Volume (cy/lf) Solana Beach and Tennis Club Volume (cy/lf) Volume (cy/lf) 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 San Dieguito Lagoon Inlet 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 25 th Street 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 Placed Volume (cy/lf) Placed Volume (cy/lf)

Existing Conditions Beach Dynamics - Findings During 2002-2012 time period Del Mar Beach eroded, even with bypassing from San Dieguito Lagoon Losing 7,900 cy/yr from beach Already nourishing with 9,500 cy/yr from San Dieguito dredging/ bypassing Beach needed 17,400 cy/yr to remain stable

Beach Nourishment In the future With future sea-level rise, additional nourishment need: 1 ft of SLR 2 ft of SLR 5.5 ft of SLR Current need 17,400 cy/yr 17,400 cy/yr 17,400 cy/yr Additional need with SLR Total nourishment 34,000 35,600 cy/yr 50,900 53,200 cy/yr 76,400 80,200 cy/yr 51,400 53,000 cy/yr 68,300 70,600 cy/yr 93,800 97,600 cy/yr

Sediment Budget Findings, compared to RBSP RBSP I RBSP II Average 2001 2012 ~Every 11 years Del Mar 183,000 - n/a Solana Beach 146,000 142,000 144,000 Cardiff Beach 101,000 89,000 95,000 Oceanside Littoral Cell 1,833,000 1,082,000 1,457,500 Total for SANDAG RSBP 2,104,000 1,532,000 1,818,000 Nourishment needed every 11 years Current 1 ft of SLR 2 ft of SLR 5.5 ft of SLR 191,400 cy 374,000 391,000 cy 559,000 585,000 cy 840,000 882,000 cy

Data Gap Need more monitoring upstream of mouth Dredging during restoration likely acting as sediment sink since

Conclusions & Recommendations Current San Dieguito Lagoon mouth dredging program not expected to maintain walkable beach with sea-level rise To keep up with sea-level rise, would need to place ~1M cy of sand every ~10 yrs (at 5 ft of sea-level rise) Cost $21M - $22M per nourishment event Feasibility uncertain at higher sea-level rise amounts (e.g., > 2-3ft) Estimates assume neighboring cities nourish at a similar scale, otherwise sand would be lost to neighbors Sand retention structures would be needed if neighbors don t nourish at same level to make nourishment effective At this scale, might not be feasible due to availability of and competition for sand sources Would still require higher sea walls

Conclusions & Recommendations Coordinated regional sediment management with beach targets is recommended Sand placed directly on beach has better potential to maintain walkable beach than relying on up-coast nourishment Consider participating in future SANDAG program with some optimization for Del Mar beaches There are approaches for strategic placements (timing, grain size, etc.) that could improve effectiveness Sand placement may have some negative impacts Beach ecology, sand mining impacts, increase lagoon mouth deposition and maintenance Sand retention structures could increase effectiveness Artificial reefs are recommend for consideration as a potential multibenefit approach and potential effectiveness in trapping sand due to high rates of both north and south transport Continued monitoring will help improve beach nourishment efforts

Questions?