IPCC Workshop on Sea Level Rise and Ice Sheet Instabilities

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IPCC Workshop on Sea Level Rise and Ice Sheet Instabilities Hilton Hotel, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia 21-24 June 2010 PROGRAMME Sunday, 20 June 2010 18:00 19:30 Early Registration and Welcome Reception (Sponsored by the IPCC WGI TSU) (Boardwalk Restaurant/Poolside Area) Monday, 21 June 2010 Registration (Lake Garden Foyer) OPENING PLENARY (Ballroom A) 09:00 10:00 Welcome and Opening: Prof. Dr. Thomas Stocker, Co-Chair, IPCC Working Group I Welcome Remarks: Prof. Dr. Fredolin Tangang, IPCC Working Group I Vice-Chair and Head of the Local Organizing Committee Dr. Rajenda Pachauri, Chair, IPCC Prof. Tan Sri Dato Dr. Sharifah Hapsah Syed Hasan Shahabudin, Vice-Chancellor, National University of Malaysia Datuk Aziyah Mohamad, Deputy Secretary General, Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment, Malaysia 10:00 Break (Lake Garden Foyer) INTRODUCTORY PLENARY (Ballroom A) 10:30 Sea Level Change from TAR to AR5 (Thomas Stocker) [15 min presentation] THEME PLENARY I: GREENLAND MASS BALANCE, DYNAMICS, AND CONTRIBUTIONS TO SEA LEVEL RISE [Chair: Thomas Stocker] (Ballroom A) 10:45 11:15 Greenland Mass Balance: Observations, Modelling and Uncertainties (Konrad Steffen) [20 min presentation + 10 min discussion] Dynamics of the Greenland Ice Sheet: Observations and Potential Instabilities (Eric Rignot) [20 min

11:45 Ice Sheet Ocean Interactions and Implications for Melting and Instabilities (David Holland) [20 min 12:15 Lunch THEME PLENARY II: GLACIERS AND ICE CAPS MASS BALANCE, DYNAMICS, AND CONTRIBUTIONS TO SEA LEVEL RISE [Chair: Jean Jouzel] (Ballroom A) 13:30 14:00 Glacier Contributions to Sea Level Rise: Past, Present and Future (Georg Kaser/Tad Pfeffer) [20 min Global Glacier Mass Balance: Modelling and Uncertainties (Roderik van de Wal) [20 min presentation + 10 min discussion] POSTER SESSION I [Chair: Thomas Stocker] (Ballroom A) 14:30 Poster Presentations [2 min presentation with one ppt slide] 15:30 Break (Lake Garden Foyer) POSTER SESSION I (CONTINUED) (Ballroom B) 16:00 Poster Session 18:00 Adjourn IPCC Workshop on Sea Level Rise and Ice Sheet Instabilities - 2

Tuesday, 22 June 2010 THEME PLENARY III: ANTARCTICA MASS BALANCE, DYNAMICS, AND CONTRIBUTIONS TO SEA LEVEL RISE [Chair: Qin Dahe] (Ballroom A) 09:00 09:30 Satellite-Based Observations of Sea Level Rise from Large Ice Sheets (Isabella Velicogna) [20 min Dynamics of the Antarctic Ice Sheet: Observations and Potential Instabilities (Tony Payne) [20 min Factors Limiting Precise Knowledge of the Current and Future Mass Balance of the Antarctic Ice Sheet: Present Status and Steps Forward (Ian Allison) [20 min 10:00 General Discussion Themes I-III: Greenland, Antarctica, Glaciers 10:30 Break (Lake Garden Foyer) POSTER SESSION II [Chair: Pauline Midgley] (Ballroom A and B) 11:00 Poster Presentations (Ballroom A) [2 min presentation with one ppt slide] 11:30 Poster Session (Ballroom B) 13:00 Lunch THEME PLENARY IV: OCEAN: DENSITY AND CIRCULATION CHANGES [Chair: Susan Wijffels] (Ballroom A) 14:30 15:00 Changes in Ocean Properties Influencing Sea Level: Observations, Modelling and Uncertainties (Sarah Gille) [20 min Influence of Ocean Circulation Changes on Sea Level: Observations, Modelling and Uncertainties (Detlef Stammer) [20 min BREAK-OUT GROUP SESSION I [refreshments available 15:30-16:00 in Lake Garden Foyer] BOG 1: Ice Sheets: Greenland [Chair: Waleed Abdalati; Rapporteur: Andreas Vieli] (Sentral Ballroom A) 15:30 BOG 2: Ice Sheets: Antarctica [Chair: Bob Bindschadler; Rapporteur: Andrew Shepherd] (Sentral Ballroom B) BOG 3: Glaciers and Ice Caps [Chair: Georg Kaser; Rapporteur: Jens-Ove Hagen] (Sentral Exchange A) BOG 4: Thermal Expansion and Halosteric Effects [Chair: Susan Wijffels; Rapporteur: Syd Levitus] (Ballroom A) 17:30 Reports from Break-Out Groups 1-4 (BOG Chairs) and Discussion [Chair: Qin Dahe] (Ballroom A) 18:30 Adjourn 19:00 Gala Dinner (Sponsored by the Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia and the Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment of Malaysia) (Sentral Ballroom A and B) IPCC Workshop on Sea Level Rise and Ice Sheet Instabilities - 3

Wednesday, 23 June 2010 THEME PLENARY V: OCEAN: OBSERVED SEA LEVEL CHANGE [Chair: David Wratt] (Ballroom A) 09:00 Records of Past Sea Level Change: Amplitudes and Rates (Edouard Bard) [20 min presentation + 10 min discussion] Sea Level Budget Over the Past Few Decades and Recent Years: A Review (Anny Cazenave) [20 min THEME PLENARY VI: PROJECTIONS OF SEA LEVEL RISE AND UNCERTAINTIES [Chair: David Wratt] (Ballroom A) 09:30 10:00 Projections of Sea-Level Rise: From Global to Regional Scales (Jonathan Gregory/Jason Lowe) [20 min Sea Level Rise Projections From Semi-Empirical Models (Svetlana Jevrejeva) [20 min presentation + 10 min discussion] 10:30 Break (Lake Garden Foyer) POSTER SESSION III [Chair: Gian-Kasper Plattner] (Ballroom A and B) 11:00 Poster Presentations (Ballroom A) [2 min presentation with one ppt slide] 11:30 Poster Session (Ballroom B) 13:00 Lunch BREAK-OUT GROUP SESSION II [refreshments available 15:30-16:00 in Lake Garden Foyer] BOG 5: Accounting for Past Sea Level Change [Chair: Philip Woodworth; Rapporteur: Yusuke Yokoyama] (Sentral Ballroom A) 14:30 BOG 6: Projections of Global and Regional Sea Level Change [Chair: Leonard Nurse; Rapporteur: Malte Meinshausen] (Ballroom A) BOG 7: Ice Sheet Instabilities: Understanding and Projections [Chair: David Vaughan; Rapporteur: Shawn Marshall] (Sentral Ballroom B) 16:30 Reports from Break-Out Groups 5-7 (BOG Chairs) [Chairs: Qin Dahe and Thomas Stocker] (Ballroom A) 17:00 Break-Out Groups 1-7 Discussion 18:30 Adjourn IPCC Workshop on Sea Level Rise and Ice Sheet Instabilities - 4

Thursday, 24 June 2010 SYNTHESIS PLENARY [Chair: Thomas Stocker] (Ballroom A) 09:15 Past and Present Sea Level Changes: Key Conclusions and Way Forward (John Church) [30 min presentation + 15 min discussion] Future Sea Level Changes: Key Conclusions and Way Forward (Jonathan Gregory) [30 min presentation + 15 min discussion] 10:00 Break (Lake Garden Foyer) 10:30 Open/General Discussion 12:30 Closing Remarks (Thomas Stocker) 13:00 End of Workshop/Closing Reception (Lake Garden Foyer) IPCC Workshop on Sea Level Rise and Ice Sheet Instabilities - 5