Riverine Modeling Proof of Concept

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Transcription:

Technical Team Meeting Riverine Modeling Proof of Concept Version 2 HEC-RAS Open-water Flow Routing Model April 15-17, 2014 Prepared by R2 Resource Consultants, Brailey Hydrologic, Geovera, Tetra Tech, and HDR 1

Open-water HEC-RAS Flow Routing Model V2 2

Improvements Coverage New Cross-sections Middle and Lower River Extended Domain - Dam Site (PRM 187.2) to Susitna Station (PRM 29.9) Floodplain coverage XS extended with LiDAR Devils Canyon» LiDAR + Estimated Channel 3

4

Improvements Coverage New Cross-sections Middle and Lower River Extended Domain - Dam Site (PRM187.2) to Susitna Station (PRM 29.9) Floodplain coverage XS extended with LiDAR Devils Canyon Refined Calibration New XS rating curves and additional points for 2012 XS 5

Refined Calibration Middle River Lower River 6

Improvements Coverage New Cross-sections Middle and Lower River Extended Domain - Dam Site (PRM187.2) to Susitna Station (PRM 29.9) Floodplain coverage XS extended with LiDAR Devils Canyon Refined Calibration Synthesized Tributary Flows Hourly Accretion 61 year record 7

Hourly Flow (cfs) 30,000 28,000 Susitna River at Gold Creek Gage (PRM 140.0) 26,000 24,000 22,000 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 Simulated USGS Measured 12,000 10,000 8

Hourly Flow (cfs) 75,000 70,000 Susitna River at Sunshine Gage (PRM 88.0) 65,000 60,000 55,000 50,000 45,000 Simulated USGS Measured 40,000 9

Hourly Flow (cfs) 135,000 130,000 Susitna River at Susitna Station Gage (PRM 29.9) 125,000 120,000 115,000 110,000 105,000 100,000 Simulated USGS Measured 95,000 90,000 10

Outputs Hourly flow hydrographs of the Susitna River at any location (including Focus Areas) between the proposed dam site (PRM 187.2) and just downstream from the Yentna River confluence (PRM 29.9). Hourly stage hydrographs of the Susitna River at surveyed river cross-sections (total = 212). 11

60000 Existing Conditions Scenario OS-1b Hourly Flow (cfs) 40000 20000 Susitna River at Dam Site PRM 187.2 Dry Year - 1976 0 Jul 1, 1975 Oct 1, 1975 Jan 1, 1976 Apr 1, 1976 Jul 1, 1976 Oct 1, 1976 12

60000 Existing Conditions Scenario OS-1b Hourly Flow (cfs) 40000 20000 Susitna River at FA-128 PRM 129.7 Dry Year - 1976 0 Jul 1, 1975 Oct 1, 1975 Jan 1, 1976 Apr 1, 1976 Jul 1, 1976 Oct 1, 1976 13

60000 Existing Conditions Scenario OS-1b Hourly Flow (cfs) 40000 20000 Susitna River at Dam Site PRM 187.2 Wet Year - 1981 0 Jul 1, 1980 Oct 1, 1980 Jan 1, 1981 Apr 1, 1981 Jul 1, 1981 Oct 1, 1981 14

60000 Existing Conditions Scenario OS-1b Hourly Flow (cfs) 40000 20000 Susitna River at FA-128 PRM 129.7 Wet Year 1981 0 Jul 1, 1980 Oct 1, 1980 Jan 1, 1981 Apr 1, 1981 Jul 1, 1981 Oct 1, 1981 15

Limitations Not applicable during ice covered conditions (October 28 through May 22) One-dimensional Devils Canyon bathymetry estimated No water surface elevations at locations in between surveyed cross-sections. The 2D hydraulic model in the Focus Areas will rely on input from the HEC-RAS Open-water Flow Routing Model to determine water surface elevations in Focus Areas. Output from the HEC-RAS Open-water Flow Routing Model, combined with LiDAR data, may be used to estimate areas of inundation in riparian floodplain zones. 16