Diffuse Extragalactic Background Radiation and Gamma-Ray Attenuation

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Diffuse Extragalactic Background Radiation and Gamma-Ray Attenuation Joel Primack, Rudy Gilmore, Piero Madau & Rachel Somerville UCSC & STScI

The EBL is very difficult to observe directly because of foregrounds, especially the zodiacal light. Reliable lower limits are obtained by integrating the light from observed galaxies. The best upper limits come from (non-) attenuation of gamma rays from distant blazars, but these are uncertain because of the unknown emitted spectrum of these blazars. This talk concerns both the optical-ir EBL and also the UV EBL relevant to absorption of gamma-rays from very distant sources observed by GLAST and low-threshold ground-based ACTs. This talk will describe three approaches to calculate the EBL, and compare the results with each other and with observational constraints.

Three approaches to calculate the EBL (as described by Kneiske, Mannheim, & Hartmann 2002): Evolution Inferred from Observations -- e.g., Kneiske et al. 2002, Franceschini et al. 2008. Backward Evolution, which starts with the existing galaxy population and evolves it backward in time -- e.g., Stecker, Malkan, & Scully 2006. Forward Evolution, which begins with cosmological initial conditions and models gas cooling, formation of galaxies including stars and AGN, feedback from these phenomena, and light absorption and re-emission by dust -- e.g., Primack et al. 2005, this talk, and Gilmore et al. Poster 18 and in preparation. All methods currently require modeling galactic SEDs.

Evolution Inferred from Observations 2002 Optical Galaxies Total Luminous IR Galaxies Assumed Star Formation Rate (solid curve)

Evolution Inferred from Observations 2004 Model EBLs Wavelength (µm) Assumed Star Formation Rate

Evolution Inferred from Observations 2008 If local IR emissivity of galaxies observed by IRAS does not evolve with cosmic time

Backward Evolution Fast Evolution Baseline Model

Forward Evolution When we first tried doing this (Primack & MacMinn 1996), both the stellar initial mass function (IMF) and the values of the cosmological parameters were quite uncertain. After 1997, the cosmological model was known to be ΛCDM although it was still necessary to consider various cosmological parameters in models (Primack et al. 1999, 2000). Now all the cosmological parameters are known rather precisely, and my report here will be based on a semi-analytic model (SAM) that is an improved version of the one I described at the 2004 Heidelberg ϒ-Ray meeting. With improved simulations and better galaxy data, we can now normalize SAMs better and determine the key astrophysical processes to include in them. There is still uncertainty whether the IMF evolves, possibly becoming top-heavy at higher redshifts (Fardal et al. 2007, Dave 2008), and concerning the nature of sub-mm galaxies.

Forward Evolution Preliminary 08SAM-Fiducial Franceschini et al. 08 08SAM-Low Primack et al. 05

Bernstein 07 Franceschini+08 Bernstein+02 08SAM-Fiducial 08SAM-Low Primack+05

GAMMA-RAY UPPER LIMITS ASSUMING Γ max > 1.5 Mazin & Raue 07 Franceschini+08 Aharonian+06 MAGIC 3C279 08SAM-Fiducial 08SAM-Low Primack+05

Forward Evolution Present status of ΛCDM Double Dark DE + DM cosmology: cosmological parameters are now well constrained by observations, except possibly for σ 8

Present status of ΛCDM Double Dark DE + DM cosmology: cosmological parameters are now well constrained by observations, except possibly for σ 8

Big Bang Data Agrees with Double Dark Theory! POWER Double Dark theory Data COBE 1992 2003 WMAP

Latest Big Bang Data Strengthens the Agreement! POWER WMAP 5-YEAR DATA Released March 5, 2008 Angular Scale 0.5º 0.2º 0.1º Double Dark theory Ground-based data

Distribution of Matter Also Agrees with Double Dark Theory! P(k) Max Tegmark

Forward Evolution Present status of ΛCDM Double Dark DE + DM cosmology: cosmological parameters are now well constrained by observations, except possibly for σ 8 WMAP1 σ 8 =0.90 WMAP3 σ 8 =0.75 WMAP5 σ 8 =0.82

z=5.7 (t=1.0 Gyr) Forward Evolution z=1.4 (t=4.7 Gyr) z=0 (t=13.6 Gyr) time Present status of ΛCDM Double Dark theory: cosmological parameters are now well constrained by observations, except possibly for σ 8 structure formation in dominant dark matter component accurately quantified mass accretion history of dark matter halos is represented by merger trees ~10 12 Springel et al. 2006 Wechsler et al. 2002

z=5.7 (t=1.0 Gyr) Forward Evolution z=1.4 (t=4.7 Gyr) z=0 (t=13.6 Gyr) Astrophysical processes modeled: shock heating & radiative cooling photoionization squelching merging star formation (quiescent & burst) SN heating & SN-driven winds AGN accretion and feedback chemical evolution stellar populations & dust Springel et al. 2006 Wechsler et al. 2002

Galaxy Formation in CDM gas is collisionally heated when perturbations turn around and collapse to form gravitationally bound structures gas in halos cools via atomic line transitions (depends on density, temperature, and metallicity) cooled gas collapses to form a rotationally supported disk cold gas forms stars, with efficiency a function of gas density (e.g. Schmidt- Kennicutt Law) massive stars and SNae reheat (and expel?) cold gas and some metals galaxy mergers trigger bursts of star formation; major mergers transform disks into spheroids White & Frenk 1991; Kauffmann et al. 1993; Cole et al. 1994; Somerville & Primack 1999; Cole et al. 2000; Somerville, Primack, & Faber 2001; Somerville et al. 2008

Mapping Dark Matter to Baryons stars DM halos in order to reconcile CDM (sub)halo mass function with galaxy LF or stellar MF, cooling/star formation must be inefficient overall baryon/dm ratio must be a strongly non-linear (& nonmonotonic) function of halo mass Somerville & Primack 1999; Benson et al. 2003 Empirical mapping of dark matter halos to galaxies in the spirit of Kravtsov et al. 2004, Tasitsiomi et al. 2004, Conroy et al. 2006

Forward Evolution Earlier CDM-based galaxy formation models suffered from a set of interlinked problems overcooling/cooling flow problems in galaxies and clusters failure to produce observed color bimodality Bright Mode AGN feedback may regulate BH formation & temporarily quench star formation, but is not a viable maintenance mechanism Low-accretion rate Radio Mode feedback is a promising mechanism for counteracting cooling flows over long time scales New self-consistent hybrid models based on physical scaling from numerical simulations and calibrated against empirical constraints now enable us to predict/interpret the relationship between galaxies, BH, and AGN across cosmic history

The Galaxy Color-Magnitude Diagram old red/dead massive galaxies red star forming galaxies Local Universe: galaxies are bimodal in color & morphology color young stars blue bright luminosity faint SDSS Baldry et al. 2003

BH Formation and AGN Feedback: the Missing Link? Need mechanism to quench star formation in massive galaxies stop cooling in clusters SN feedback inadequate: not enough energy, little star formation in red galaxies BH mass closely connected with host galaxy s spheroid mass bigger BH more energy Magorrian et al. 1998; Gebhardt et al. 2000, Ferrarese & Merritt 2000

Challenges of simulating BH growth and AGN feedback in a cosmological context Huge dynamic range: Gpc (luminous QSOs) few 100 Mpc (LSS) 10 s of kpc (ICM, jets) sub-kpc (star formation, stellar feedback) few 100 pc (nuclear gas inflows, starbursts, AGN feeding, winds) pc & sub-pc (accretion disk, BH mergers, etc.) Poorly understood physics: B-fields, conduction, cosmic ray pressure, turbulence, feeding problem,...

AGN feedback 1: Bright Mode Optical/X-ray luminous AGN/QSO, produced during periods of efficient feeding (mergers?) High accretion rates (0.1-1 L Edd ), fueled by cold gas via thin accretion disk BH grows rapidly Rare duty cycle short Thermal coupling of AGN energy with ISM is probably fairly weak (<5%) Di Matteo, Springel & Hernquist 2005

FR I AGN Feedback 2: Radio Mode Many massive galaxies are radio loud Radio activity believed to be associated with BH s in low accretion state (low Eddington ratio, <10-3 ) -- (spherical, Bondi accretion or ADAF?) Jets often associated with cavities visible in X-ray images Coupling of jet energy with hot gas very efficient Radio 3C84 FR II X-ray

NEW Self-Consistent Model for the Co- Evolution of Galaxies, Black Holes, and AGN Top-level halos start with a ~100 M sun seed BH Mergers trigger bursts of star formation and accretion onto BH; efficiency and timescale parameterized based on hydrodynamical merger simulations (µ, B/T, V c, f g, z; Cox et al., Robertson et al.) BH accrete at Eddington rate until they reach critical mass, then. enter blowout (powerlaw decline) phase dm acc /dt = m Edd /[1+(t/t Q ) β ] Energy released by accretion drives a wind BH merge when their galaxies merge; mass is conserved Somerville, Hopkins, Cox, et al. 2008 MN in press

Bright vs. Radio Mode Accretion Bright Mode Radio Mode BH growth over early cosmic history is dominated by bright mode, in agreement with Soltan arguments Radio mode becomes more important at late times (z<1) Somerville et al. 2008

Predicted M BH -M bulge Relationship In our model, arises from bright mode feedback Matches slope & scatter of observed relation Large symbols: Haering & Rix data green: H&R fit + scatter intrinsic scatter: 0.3 dex Cyan: predicted median, 10th, & 90th percentile predicted scatter: ~0.15 dex Somerville et al. 2008

AGN Heating Leads to Galaxy Mass Functions at z~0 in Agreement with Observations Star Formation Efficiency Stellar Mass Function SN FB M star AGN FB F b M halo Somerville et al. 2008

z~0 Luminosity Functions Somerville et al. 2008

Stellar Mass Function Evolution data from Borch et al. (COMBO-17); Drory et al. (MUNICS, GOODS, FDF) Somerville et al. in prep

We Still Produce Enough Massive Galaxies at High Redshift stellar mass density (M sun /Mpc 3 ) observations: Borch et al. (COMBO-17) Drory et al. (GOODS) Glazebrook et al. (GDDS) Fontana et al. (K20) Papovich et al. (GOODS DRGs) redshift Somerville et al. 2008; also Bower et al. 2006; Kitzblicher & White 2006

History of Star Formation and Stellar Mass Build-up Star Formation History Stellar Mass Build-up Fit to Data star Fiducial formation Model Low Model QSO SFR in bursts Fiducial Model: WMAP1 (σ 8 =0.9) Low model: WMAP3 (σ 8 =0.75) or WMAP1 and no cooling if M h <10 11 M sun Somerville et al. 2008

Fiducial Model Low Model

Fiducial Model Low Model

Luminosity Density at z~0 Fiducial Model Low Model

08SAM Fails to Predict Observed 850 µm Number Counts But these galaxies emit little light in near & mid IR, so we don t expect this failure to affect the accuracy of 08SAM predictions of Υ-ray attenuation.

BH Accretion History Fiducial model Low model Red: Fiducial model but assume BH ejected after every Merger, and regrown Green dots: observational estimates of bolometric QSO luminosity density. Explanation: many late (z<1.5) mergers already contain a big spheroid (M * >M crit ), so their BHs are quenched almost immediately too few bright AGN.

New Improved Semi-Analytic Model Works! Earlier CDM-based galaxy formation models suffered from a set of interlinked problems overcooling/cooling flow problems in galaxies and clusters failure to produce observed color bimodality Bright mode AGN feedback may regulate BH formation & temporarily quench star formation, but is not a viable maintenance mechanism Low-accretion rate radio mode feedback is a promising mechanism for counteracting cooling flows over long time scales New self-consistent hybrid models based on physical scaling from numerical simulations and calibrated against empirical constraints now enable us to predict/interpret the relationship between galaxies, BH, and AGN across cosmic history

Forward Evolution EBL Preliminary 08SAM-Fiducial Franceschini et al. 08 08SAM-Low Primack et al. 05

Forward Evolution Build-up of the EBL EBL in place at higher redshifts evolved to present

Gamma Ray Attenuation Due to Fiducial and Low Models

Gamma Ray Attenuation Due to Fiducial and Low Models Mrk 501 Low Model MAGIC 3C279 Science 27 June 2008 1ES 0229+200 1ES1101-232 Fiducial Model Looks OK! 3C279

UV EBL and GLAST Gamma-Ray Attenuation Little is known from direct measurements about the EBL at energies above the Lyman limit. Most ionizing photons from starforming galaxies are absorbed by local cold gas and dust, with an uncertain fraction f esc escaping to the intergalactic medium. Predicting optical depths to lower energy photons is further complicated by the fact that the attenuation edge for an optical depth of unity increases to redshifts of several, meaning that the evolution of ionizing sources must be understood to high redshift. Uncertainty in star-formation rates and efficiency, evolution of the quasar luminosity function and spectrum, and possibility of changing escape fraction or initial mass function make predicting optical depths for gamma rays at high redshift much more difficult than studies of local absorption at TeV energies. Here we consider three models, compare the ionization that they predict for hydrogen and helium with relevant observations, and show the predictions for gamma ray attenuation. See also poster18 by Rudy Gilmore, Piero Madau, Rachel Somerville, and me.

Cumulative Output from Star-forming Galaxies from 08SAM-Fiducial, scaled to 1 M sun /yr Including reprocessing by IGM using CUBA (Haardt & Madau 96, 01, and in prep.08) HeII E ionization HI

Neutral Hydrogen Fractional Abundance 912 Å 228 Å Quasar Emissivity Model A (Red): Uses the 'A' quasar evolution model of Schirber and Bullock (2003) (S&B), with an evolving escape fraction for photons from star-forming galaxies that increases linearly from 0.05 at z=0 to 0.3 at z=5 (Siana+07), and is flat thereafter. Highest star/quasar ratio. Model B (Blue): Uses the 'B' model of S&B, with a low escape fraction 0.05, and assumes that the star formation rate remains constant above z = 5, more γ-ray attenuation for z>5. Model C (Green): Uses S&B 'C' quasar model, together with a minimal stellar contribution to the ionizing background, with escape fraction 0.02 at all z. Most quasar-dominated.

HeII/HI Softness HeII Opacity Model A (Red): Uses the 'A' quasar evolution model of Schirber and Bullock (2003) (S&B), with an evolving escape fraction for photons from star-forming galaxies that increases linearly from 0.05 at z=0 to 0.3 at z=5 (Siana+07), and is flat thereafter. Highest star/quasar ratio. Model B (Blue): Uses the 'B' model of S&B, with a low escape fraction 0.05, and assumes that the star formation rate remains constant above z = 5, more γ-ray attenuation for z>5. Model C (Green): Uses S&B 'C' quasar model, together with a minimal stellar contribution to the ionizing background, with escape fraction 0.02 at all z. Most quasar-dominated.

UV EBL at z=0

Z = 0 1.63.2 5.8 EBL Evolved to Present

Gamma-Ray Attenuation Edge

Conclusions New self-consistent semi-analytic galaxy formation models based on physical scaling from numerical simulations and calibrated against empirical constraints now enable us to predict/interpret the relationship between galaxies, BH, and AGN across cosmic history. Such models accurately predict number counts and luminosity functions in all spectral bands and all redshifts except for sub-mm galaxies. They should therefore allow us to predict the EBL rather reliably. The predicted range of EBLs is consistent with the best estimates of EBL evolution inferred from observations. The UV EBL is more uncertain because we do not yet know the relative importance of ionizing radiation from AGN vs. stars and the redshift evolution of both, but we hope our three models will be helpful.