Castaldo R. (1) De Novellis V. (1) Lollino P. (2) Manunta M. (1) Tizzani P. (1) 1: IREA-CNR, Napoli, Italy. 2: IRPI-CNR, Bari, Italy.

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Advanced Numerical Modelling for Slow Landslide Analyses through the Effective Integration of SBAS-DInSAR and in situ Observations: the Case Study of Ivancich Landslide (Assisi, Italy) Castaldo R. (1) De Novellis V. (1) Lollino P. (2) Manunta M. (1) Tizzani P. (1) 1: IREA-CNR, Napoli, Italy. 2: IRPI-CNR, Bari, Italy.

The case study: Ivancich landslide The landslide site has been extensively investigated through in-situ surveys. In particular, deep boreholes and inclinometer measurements are available, providing information on the geological setup and geotechnical properties of the landslide body. Recent Landslide Ancient Landslide

C- and X-Band SAR Datasets 91 Descending ERS-1/2 and 39 ENVISAT (130 scenes) 1992-2010 39 Descending CSK December 2009 February 2012

1992-2010 ERS-ENVISAT Results 113 Δ LOS SAR LOS Inclinometer 117 σ = 0.5 cm

C- and X-Band Result Comparison >1 Mean velocity [cm/yr] Ivancich <-1

C- and X-Band Result Comparison >1 Mean velocity [cm/yr] Ivancich <-1

FEM Modelling Inversion: Flow Chart FIELD DATA INPUT Deformation Time Series (DInSAR & Inclinometric Data) NUMERICAL MODEL INPUT - Slope geometry - Geological setting - Boundary conditions - Physical and elastic parameters (Density, Young s Modulus, Poisson ratio) CONSTITUTIVE MODEL Forward Numerical Model OPTIMIZATION PROCEDURE Genetic Algorithm BEST-FIT SOLUTION AND PARAMETERS

Landslide Kinematical Evolution: 2D FEM Modeling SS : Longitudinal Section of the Landslide 4 Inclinometers (103, 113, 117, 202) recorded in the 1998-2009 time period Detailed Geological and Geotechnical Information

Inclinometric Data Time Interval: 1999 2008 Shear Band 0 m 100 m Limestone Arenaceous Marl Calcareous Marl Landslide debris 103 113 117 202 Depth [m] Depth [m] Depth [m] Depth [m] Thickness: 2 m Thickness: 1 m Thickness: 1,5 m Thickness: 1 m Incremental Displacement [mm] Incremental Displacement [mm] Incremental Displacement [mm] Incremental Displacement [mm]

Boundary conditions Legend Fixed Parameters Limestone Arenaceous Marl Shear band Fixed Parameters Fixed Parameters α n unknow parameters Newtonian Viscosity Creep Rate Landslide debris Fixed Parameters Roller constrain y Roller constrain x Fixed constrain

2D time-dependent Finite Element Model Stages of modeling Step 1: assignment of the slope initial stress state - gravity loading procedure, ground water level consistent with piezometer data Step 2: time-dependent analysis - Physical model analysis 2D FEM mesh with refinement along the shear band layer Triangular Elements Number of nodes: 21800 Maximum dimension of mesh elements : 400 m Minimum dimension of mesh elements : 5 m

Best-Fit Solution: Model vs ERS/ENVISAT data SAR data Newtonian model Creep model

Best-Fit Solution: Model vs Inclinometric data Inclinometric data Newtonian model Creep model 202 113 117 103

Further FEM Exploitation: 2D Temporal Behavior Amplitude Deformation Velocity 15 Height [m] Displacement [cm] 0 Distance [m]

Cosmo Sky-Med Data Time Interval: 2010 2012 SBAS DInSAR measurements superimposed on geomorphological map Debris Colluvial Substratum Active Quiescent

3D time-dependent FEM Elements mesh size: 500 [m] 5 [m]

Model vs Cosmo Sky-Med data: Spatial comparison

3D FEM Modeling Results A B B A A A B B

3D FEM Modeling Results Displacement [cm] Inclinometer 117

Conclusion The effective exploitation of the multi-sensor and multi-scale SBAS-DInSAR algorithm properly combined with in-situ measurements and geological information, to investigate the temporal behaviour of mass-movement has been presented. FEM modelling approach ensures to discriminate the causative driving forces responsible of the observed slow kinematic process that governed the landslide evolution. More specifically, by using the numerical approach has been possible to select the more suitable physical scenarios considering the geological and geotechnical available for the considered case study.