Realtime Geopressure and Wellbore Stability Monitoring while Drilling. Eamonn Doyle VP Real-time Operations

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Realtime Geopressure and Wellbore Stability Monitoring while Drilling Eamonn Doyle VP Real-time Operations 1

2 Main points 1. Why bother with PPwD? Isn t the prognosis good enough? 2. Can it be justified? 3. PPwD as part of the Drilling process 4. Make the most of your valuable data and knowledge 5. Some case histories 6. Summary / Conclusions

3 Why bother with PPwD? Any Pore Pressure Prognosis inherently involves uncertainty Offset Well Data Uncertainty Distance / Geologic complexity Offset MW don t necessarily reflect PP May be no relevant offset data available Seismic Data Uncertainty Low resolution, 500-2000 Not always suitable for PP Prediction Geological Uncertainty Formation properties Formation depth / thickness

* Offshore Magazine Dodson Jan 2004 4 Why bother with PPwD? In 2004* geopressure and wellbore stability related problems were estimated to be costing the industry $8billion/year Stuck Pipe Kicks Lost Circulation Sloughing Shale Flows Wellbore Instability = 41% of total NPT

5 Why bother with PPwD? In 2009 an update of this study * showed similar statistics and an average of $2.5m Non-Productive Time cost per well * Eliminating Non-Productive Time Associated with Drilling Trouble Zones, OTC 20220

6 PPwD can = $$$ saved Well operation 100 days @ $1m/day $ Saving PPwD

7 Savings at all levels Financial savings can be made at all levels in the well process. Not just the big-ticket items: Kick / Blowout Lost circulation Stuck pipe / Twist off / Sidetrack Correct casing shoe depth But also the smaller stuff: Avoid Circulating time Avoid trip in HPHT conditions for LWD failure Reduce need for 10-10-10 tests Help diagnose ballooning/breathing = avoid MW increases

8 Any PP Prognosis involves uncertainty.. A picture says a 1000 words

9 PPwD as part of Drilling Process Pore pressure work at the planning and drilling stages is critical to the well s success. Prognosis Seismic Regional Studies Offset Wells Drilling Mitigate Predrill Uncertainties Safe & Efficient Drilling Optimise MW & Casing Plans Proper use of offset well data Document lessons learned Good quality borehole Post-well QC d final data set

Independence 10 The PPwD process

Depth-based & Time-based The PPwD process 11 Mud Logging DXC, TEMP, RPM, ROP, TORQ, MFI, MWI, MWO, GAS, MTI, MTO, Gas Peaks, Cavings, Drag, Fill, Swab, Surge, Shale Dens, Shale Factor, Reports LWD DIR, GR, RES, DT, POR, DENS, ANNP, ESD, DWOB, DTORQ, TEMP Wireline CALI, GR, SP, RES, DT, POR, RHOB, RFT, TEMP, POISS Purpose-built TERRA Software

12 WITSML Reader Geopressure Application Depth-based data view Several WITSML streams incoming simultaneously, at user-defined intervals Well 1 Drilling Data Depth-based Well 2 LWD Data Depth-based Well 2 Drilling Data Depth-based Well 1 Drilling Data Time-based Time-based data view

13 Make the most of your data Display and analyse ALL data in relation to each other Start with the calibrated regional parameters as guides for monitoring while drilling Note: depths/titles changed/removed to protect anonymity 13

14 Make the most of your data Time-based data can be imported via WITSML High resolution for detailed events analysis Note: depths/titles changed/removed to protect anonymity 14

15 Some Case Histories 1. Norske Shell, 1998 Deepwater well, Norwegian North Sea Shell estimated savings of $7,000,000 due to pore pressure work on well AAPG, Birmingham, England 1999 Optimising Well Casing Design In A Frontier Deepwater Basin Using Real Time Pore Pressure Prediction Whilst Drilling James, Horbeek, Taklo and Doyle 2. Shell Brunei, 1999 - Deepwater well, S. China Sea Prevented at least one kick and reduced drilling time Internal Shell Magazine article, then published in OFFSHORE Magazine Real-time pore pressure calculations from MWD: Successful application in the South China Sea Doyle, Kuyken and de Lange 3. BP Norge, 2002 - Deepwater well, Norway Saved a contingency casing string; helped define well TD SPE Paper 79848, Amsterdam 2003 Plan for Surprises: Pore Pressure Challenges during the drilling of a Deepwater Exploration Well in mid-winter in Norway - Doyle, Berry and McCormack 4. Norsk Hydro, 1996 HPHT well, Viking Graben, Norway First use in N. Sea of Seismic While Drilling, combined with Basin PP Modelling Saved contingency 16 liner and set 13 3/8 casing 500m deeper than planned PP Workshop, Pau 1998 Case study - Comprehensive approach to formation pressure prediction and evaluation on a Norwegian HPHT well - Doyle

16 Summary From drillingcontractor.org Real-time data offers critical tool to redefine well control, safety by Pritchard All well control events are predictable and avoidable The more complex the geological environment, the more uncertain the PP and FG Effective monitoring helps ensure the successful navigation of the drilling margin Monitoring must evolve to be proactive. Multiple specialists should be involved

17 Summary, contd Real-time data can not only improve process safety but can also improve decision quality around management of change and risk management Data systems must use intelligent agents to ensure process safety before the event occurs Industry leaders are challenged in their ability to effectively monitor key drilling parameters.for those who may be old enough to remember what Well Listening means, they are challenged not only with drilling the well but also mentoring a younger generation unfamiliar with the art and science of rotary drilling.

18 Conclusion Real-time Pore Pressure Surveillance while Drilling reduces: Uncertainty Risk Cost

Thank you Any Questions? Eamonn Doyle edoyle@ikonscience.com Tel: +47 55 60 40 99 www.ikonscience.com 19

20 Norway, North Sea 1995-1998 Viking Graben Real-Time drilling support of Geopressure prediction ahead of the bit /Norsk Hydro ASA/ days: 11 13 17 27 30 39 Actual Fm tops and PP estimate at bit are fed into Basin Model to update ahead of bit prognosis and reduce uncertainty