COUPLED HYDRO-MECHANICAL MODELLING OF THE GPK3 RESERVOIR STIMULATION AT THE EUROPEAN EGS SITE SOULTZ-SOUS-FORÊTS

Similar documents
HDR PROJECT SOULTZ: HYDRAULIC AND SEISMIC OBSERVATIONS DURING STIMULATION OF THE 3 DEEP WELLS BY MASSIVE WATER INJECTIONS

MEASUREMENT OF HYDRAULICALLY ACTIVATED SUBSURFACE FRACTURE SYSTEM IN GEOTHERMAL RESERVOIR BY USING ACOUSTIC EMISSION MULTIPLET-CLUSTERING ANALYSIS

SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL DISTRBUTION OF LARGER SEISMIC EVENTS AT EUROPEAN AND AUSTRALIAN HDR SITES

FAULTING MECHANISMS AND STRESS TENSOR AT THE EUROPEAN HDR SITE OF SOULTZ-SOUS-FORÊTS

A THREE-DIMENSIONAL STOCHASTIC FRACTURE NETWORK MODEL FOR GEOTHERMAL RESERVOIR STIMULATION

Analysis of Microseismic Events from a Stimulation at Basel, Switzerland

Simulation of Mineral Precipitation and Dissolution in the 5-km Deep Enhanced Geothermal Reservoir at Soultz-sous-Forêts, France

ESTIMATION OF DEEP SUBSURFACE STRUCTURE IN EUROPEAN HOT DRY ROCK TEST SITE, SOULTZ-SOUS-FORÊTS, FRANCE, BY USE OF THE AE REFLECTION METHOD

CHANGES OF COULOMB FAILURE STRESS DUE TO DISLOCATIONS DURING STIMULATION OF GPK2 AT SOULTZ-SOUS-FORÊTS

PREDICTIVE MODELING OF INDUCED SEISMICITY: NUMERICAL APPROACHES, APPLICATIONS, AND CHALLENGES

Microseismic Activity Induced Under Circulation Conditions at the EGS Project of Soultz-Sous-Forêts (France)

Microseismic Activity Induced During Recent Circulation Tests at the Soultz-sous-Forêts EGS Power Plant

Faulting mechanisms and stress regime at the European HDR site of Soultz-sous-Forêts, France

A 5000 M DEEP RESERVOIR DEVELOPMENT AT THE EUROPEAN HDR SITE AT SOULTZ

The geomechanical significance of clay in geothermal reservoirs

MICROSEISMIC MONITORING OF THE WORLD S LARGEST POTENTIAL HDR RESERVOIR

Electricity Production from Hot Rocks

Interpretation of Microseismic Events of Large Magnitudes Collected at Cooper Basin, Australia and at Basel, Switzerland

MULTIPLE-WELL, MULTIPLE-RESERVOIR, LONG TERM THERMAL MODELING AT SOULTZ EGS SITE

Yusuke Mukuhira. Integration of Induced Seismicity and Geomechanics For Better Understanding of Reservoir Physics

Creation and Mapping of 5000 m deep HDR/HFR Reservoir to Produce Electricity

OVERVIEW OF THE CURRENT ACTIVITIES OF THE EUROPEAN EGS SOULTZ PROJECT: FROM EXPLORATION TO ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION

Pure and Applied Geophysics. NICOLAS CUENOT, 1,* Catherine Dorbath, 2 and LOUIS DORBATH Introduction

Discrete Element Modeling of Thermo-Hydro-Mechanical Coupling in Enhanced Geothermal Reservoirs

Migration of Shut-in Pressure and its Effect to Occurrence of the Large Events at Basel Hydraulic Stimulation

Thermo-Hydro-Mechanical modeling of EGS using COMSOL Multiphysics

Induced seismicity in Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS) in Alsace, France. Jean Schmittbuhl 1

Critical Borehole Orientations Rock Mechanics Aspects

THE EUROPEAN HDR PROGRAMME :MAIN TARGETS AND RESULTS OF THE DEEPENING OF THE WELL GPK2 TO 5000 M

From geological interpretation and 3D modelling to the characterization of the deep seated EGS reservoir of Soultz (France).

Permeability creation and damage due to massive fluid injections into granite at 3.5 km at Soultz: 1. Borehole observations

NOTICE CONCERNING COPYRIGHT RESTRICTIONS

Numerical Simulation of Hydraulic Shearing in Fractured Reservoir

Chapter 6. Conclusions. 6.1 Conclusions and perspectives

Gas Shale Hydraulic Fracturing, Enhancement. Ahmad Ghassemi

Seismological monitoring of the GRT1 hydraulic stimulation (Rittershoffen, Alsace, France)

THERMAL THERMAL AND AND RHEOLOGIC SIGNATURES OF

Constraining of Focal Mechanisms of Induced Seismicity Using Borehole Logging Information

CONNECTIVITY ANALYSIS OF THE HABANERO ENHANCED GEOTHERMAL SYSTEM

FUTURE TARGET FOR GEOTHERMAL DEVELOPMENT - FRACTAL FRACTURE MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATION TO CONCEPTUAL HDR RESERVOIR DESIGN -

ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION FROM HOT ROCKS

IMPROVEMENTS OF THERMAL RESPONSE TESTS FOR GEOTHERMAL HEAT PUMPS

Mapping the Preferential Flow Paths within a Fractured Reservoir

Brittle Deformation. Earth Structure (2 nd Edition), 2004 W.W. Norton & Co, New York Slide show by Ben van der Pluijm

J.V. Herwanger* (Ikon Science), A. Bottrill (Ikon Science) & P. Popov (Ikon Science)

Role of lithological layering on spatial variation of natural and induced fractures in hydraulic fracture stimulation

An Enhanced Geothermal System at Coso, California Recent Accomplishments

PUBLICATIONS. Geophysical Research Letters. Postinjection Normal Closure of Fractures as a Mechanism for Induced Seismicity

LabEx G-EAU-THERMIE PROFONDE Appel à projet 2014 / 2015

Tensor character of pore pressure/stress coupling in reservoir depletion and injection

Microseismicity applications in hydraulic fracturing monitoring

Monte-Carlo Simulations of EGS Stimulation Phase with a 3-D Hybrid Model Dimitrios Karvounis and Stefan Wiemer

PART I Hot Dry Rock Geothermal Energy: History and Potential of the Newest and Largest Renewable Energy Resource

Stress-Permeability Relationships in Low Permeability Systems: Application to Shear Fractures

RESULTS OF STIMULATION TREATMENTS AT THE GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH WELLS IN GROß SCHÖNEBECK/GERMANY

Geophysical Journal International

Electricity Production from Hot Rocks

MINERAL PRECIPITATION IN GEOTHERMAL RESERVOIR: THE STUDY CASE OF CALCITE IN THE SOULTZ-SOUS-FORÊTS ENHANCED GEOTHERMAL SYSTEM

Reservoir Geomechanics and Faults

Induced Seismicity AP Note

Hijiori HDR Reservoir Evaluation by Micro-Earthquake Observation

Permeability in deep-seated granitic rocks: lessons learnt from deep geothermal boreholes in the Upper Rhine Graben (URG)

USING FULLY COUPLED HYDRO-GEOMECHANICAL NUMERICAL TEST BED TO STUDY RESERVOIR STIMULATION WITH LOW HYDRAULIC PRESSURE

EVALUATING HEAT FLOW AS A TOOL FOR ASSESSING GEOTHERMAL RESOURCES

doi: /j X x

An Innovative Stimulation Technology for Permeability Enhancement in Enhanced Geothermal System Fully Coupled Thermo-Poroelastic Numerical Approach

Experimental Investigation of Injection-driven Shear Slip and Permeability Evolution in Granite for EGS Stimulation

Gain information on the development of Engineered Geothermal Systems (EGS) and enhance our understanding of long-term reservoir behaviour.

Tectonics. Lecture 12 Earthquake Faulting GNH7/GG09/GEOL4002 EARTHQUAKE SEISMOLOGY AND EARTHQUAKE HAZARD

DETAILED IMAGE OF FRACTURES ACTIVATED BY A FLUID INJECTION IN A PRODUCING INDONESIAN GEOTHERMAL FIELD

Grimsel In-situ Stimulation and Circulation experiment: First results SCCER Annual meeting , Birmensdorf, Switzerland

Analysis of Fracture Propagation under Thermal Stress in Geothermal Reservoirs

An Open Air Museum. Success breeds Success. Depth Imaging; Microseismics; Dip analysis. The King of Giant Fields WESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND:

Hydraulic Characteristics of the Basel 1 Enhanced Geothermal System

6298 Stress induced azimuthally anisotropic reservoir - AVO modeling

3D Finite Element Modeling of fault-slip triggering caused by porepressure

THE EFFECT OF THERMOELASTIC STRESS CHANGE IN THE NEAR WELLBORE REGION ON HYDRAULIC FRACTURE GROWTH

Enabling Technologies

Production-induced stress change in and above a reservoir pierced by two salt domes: A geomechanical model and its applications

3D simulations of an injection test done into an unsaturated porous and fractured limestone

A review of friction laws and their application for simulation of microseismicity prior to hydraulic fracturing

Stress Damage in Borehole and Rock Cores; Developing New Tools to Update the Stress Map of Alberta

IN SITU STRESS, FRACTURE AND FLUID FLOW ANALYSIS EAST FLANK OF THE COSO GEOTHERMAL FIELD

SHale gas. in relations to technological activity at The Geysers geothermal field, California

Injection Induced Seismicity and Geothermal Energy

Addressing the risks of induced seismicity in sub-surface energy operations

Material is perfectly elastic until it undergoes brittle fracture when applied stress reaches σ f

Microseismic monitoring of borehole fluid injections: Data modeling and inversion for hydraulic properties of rocks

Multiplet-clustering Analysis Reveals Structural Details within Seismic Cloud at the Soultz Geothermal Field, France

Modeling Microseismic Activity in the Newberry Enhanced Geothermal System

Understanding hydraulic fracture variability through a penny shaped crack model for pre-rupture faults

From observations of microseismic source parameters to reservoir geomechanics

Modeling seismic wave propagation during fluid injection in a fractured network: Effects of pore fluid pressure on time-lapse seismic signatures

Possibility of reservoir induced seismicity around three gorges dam on Yangtze river

THERMAL ENERGY RECOVERY FROM ENHANCED GEOTHERMAL SYSTEMS EVALUATING THE POTENTIAL FROM DEEP, HIGH-TEMPERATURE RESOURCES

John E. Gale 1 and Eunjeong Seok 2

Activity Submitted by Tim Schroeder, Bennington College,

The Limagne geothermal reservoir (France): from 3D geological model to potential assessment

NOTICE CONCERNING COPYRIGHT RESTRICTIONS

The Frictional Regime

Transcription:

PROCEEDINGS, Thirtieth Workshop on Geothermal Reservoir Engineering Stanford University, Stanford, California, January 31-February 2, 25 SGP-TR-176 COUPLED HYDRO-MECHANICAL MODELLING OF THE GPK3 RESERVOIR STIMULATION AT THE EUROPEAN EGS SITE SOULTZ-SOUS-FORÊTS T. Kohl and T. Mégel GEOWATT AG Dohlenweg 28 CH-85 Zürich; Switzerland e-mail: kohl@geowatt.ch ABSTRACT In 24 the European EGS project got into its decisive state when reaching the targeted reservoir depth. Currently, three boreholes, (GPK2, GPK3 and GPK4) have been drilled to 5 km. Improvement of the reservoir conditions by stimulation and minimizing the seismic risk represents now a primary challenge to enable economic operation and future extension. In this context, the new HEX-S code has been developed to simulate the transient hydromechanical response of the rock matrix to massive hydraulic injections. The present paper describes the modeling results of the GPK3 stimulation starting at May 27, 23. Maximum flow rates of >6 l/s have been used, triggering >3' microseismic events. The transient numerical simulation intends to obtain a match of both, the microseismic and the hydraulic behavior. Different model calculations demonstrate the capabilities of our new approach. It is noteworthy that the modeling became possible only due to the excellent data quality at the Soultz project. The results demonstrate that simulations based on solid physical ground can reveal the complex reservoir behavior during hydraulic stimulation. The use of HEX-S also provides perspectives for future developments such as design calculations that enable optimizing cost-intensive hydraulic stimulations before hand. INTRODUCTION In 24, the final borehole of the current pilot phase at the European EGS site Soultz-sous-Forêts (France) has been drilled. Details of the project are described by e.g. Baria et al. (2). The planned triplet consists of the two boreholes GPK2 and GPK4 as producers and a central borehole, GPK3 as injector. The boreholes are aligned in roughly N-S direction, reflecting the normal/strike-slip stress regime at the Rhine-Graben location. Recently, the 5 km reservoir has been stimulated by three major injections at each borehole during 22 24. Details of the current measurement program is described in Gérard (24) Since the fracture at GPK2 could only be roughly estimated (see later), the present paper is concentrating on the GPK3 injection test from May 27th to June 6 th, 23. Flow rate has been varied at several steps up to > 6 l/s at short term and more than 3' microseismic events have been recorded. Fig.1 illustrates the seismic response to the change in flow rate: clearly, each flow step change is accompanied by a variation of seismicity, with increasing seismicity at increasing hydraulic flow rate. Events/hour 5 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 11 12 13 [h] after 27.5.23, 12:5 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Injection rate [l/s] GEOWATT AG CH-Zürich Fig. 1. Flow rate (right axis) and induced seismicity (left axis) during the 23 stimulation of GPK3. The located seismic events normalized on 1 hr intervals - represent only a fraction of the total number and are illustrated by a darker colour. The connection between hydraulic and brittle elastic processes is obvious and has also been observed at various other circumstances and locations. This evidence led us to the development of the new code HEX-S. It was envisaged to model the hydraulic and

seismic processes in a way that the complex nonlinear processes are characterized on solid physical ground. Especially, the code should reproduce the observed transient 3-D evolution of shear events in the rock matrix in space and time, as well as the downhole pressure observed in the boreholes. STIMULATION OF GPK3 The hydro-mechanical code HEX-S The hydro-mechanical code HEX-S has been developed to calculate the stimulation processes in a fractured reservoir during a massive injection into a borehole. The code takes into account the aperture change of each fracture in the model due to the corresponding overpressure resulting from the injection. The propagation of the overpressure in the reservoir as well as the development of the highly anisotropic reservoir permeability as a result of the fracture apertures is calculated as a time-dependent process. Fig. 2.: Calculated iso-surface of the.1 mm fracture aperture after 5 hours (top) and 2 hours (bottom) of injection into GPK4 for the 5 km deep reservoir domain at Soultz-sous- Forêts Hence the reaction of the reservoir permeability due to an arbitrary injection rate history can be calculated. Fig. 2 illustrates the typical transient development of a.1 mm aperture change in a fractured reservoir due to hydraulic injection.. Generation of the fracture network The permeability distribution in a HEX-S model depends essentially on the location, orientation and aperture of the incorporated fractures. HEX-S allows defining an arbitrary number of both, stochastic and deterministic, fracture sets. Experience from various EGS test sites demonstrates that microseismic events often follow planar structures (i.e. Asanuma 24, Evans et al. 25; Cuenot et al. 25). Since we assume that in most cases an induced microseismic event represents the shear failure of a along an area of a fracture ("slip patch"), the locations of the calculated shearing events can be compared with the microseismic clouds. In contrary, possible mode I events (normal stress variations) remain unidentified. In HEX-S every fracture or fracture zone is represented by a number of circular slip patches with small, predefined radii, generated by subdivision of a planar, and so far circular fracture zone. The aperture of each specific slip patch contributes to the final permeability distribution in the model. Starting from an initial value (see below), the aperture change of a fracture depends on the orientation, the local effective stress field and its defined mechanical parameters. Each fracture zone in HEX-S can be generated from deterministic or stochastic data, with the following detailed properties: 1. Deterministic fracture zones of defined radii, orientations and classes of mechanical behaviour for their slip patches: The corresponding data is generally derived from borehole logs (e.g. FMS, UBI) but may also include post-experimental interpretation of individual, microseismically active planar structures (Fig. 3). 2. Stochastic generation of fracture zones with random location and orientation: The statistical distribution of the orientation of fracture zones seen in borehole logs is used as the input parameter for the stochastic generation. Each random seed number generates a new distribution of fracture zones in the model (Fig. 4). Each stochastically generated model, independent from the random seed number, has the same distribution of orientations of fracture zones. Stochastically generated fracture zones are generally reasonably used at locations with little information (i.e. at greater distance from the boreholes). The herewith-defined model domain is filled-up until a predefined fracture (or slip

patch) density is reached. Generally, sets of >2' slip patches are generated in this way. The initial aperture of each slip patch is proportional to its radius and adjusted with an overall factor in such a way that the whole reservoir model has a predefined average permeability. Richards et al., 1996, Jing et al., 1998, Bächler et al., 21). The aperture of a fracture depends on three sets of parameters: 1. The mechanical properties of the fracture 2. The fluid pressure in the fracture space 3. The normal and the shear stress on the fracture plane The effective normal stress σ n,eff and the effective shear stress τ eff on the plane of a fracture are derived from the three regional principal stress components and the fluid pressure P at the fracture location. Depending on the pore and fracture fluid pressure P, the fracture aperture at a given location is assumed to react: a) By compliance only b) By compliance and shearing c) By jacking and shearing Fig. 3: Example of a model with deterministic fracture zones subdivided into slip patches for the 5 km deep reservoir domain at Soultzsous-Forêts. Also indicated are the boreholes GPK2, GPK and GPK4 a. Compliance only Under the condition of low effective shear stress, τ eff, only a compliant reaction of the fracture walls to fluid pressure will affect the aperture. The conditions for this behaviour are σ n,eff > τ = τ tan( Φ) eff σn,eff < (Mohr-Coulomb criterion) As convention, stress is positive for compression. The friction angle Φ of the fracture walls is implemented as a function of σ n,eff. The aperture increase is treated as reversible and vanishes as soon the pressure declines after the end of injection. b. Compliance and shearing If the effective shear stress τ eff at the fracture walls exceeds the friction resistance, i.e. τ >, and the effective normal stress σ n,eff still is positive, the fracture fails. The additional "shear" aperture change, a s, due to the shear offset, U, is a s = U tan ( Φ ) dil The shear dilation angle of the fracture wall, Φ dil, is also implemented as function of σ n,eff. The shear offset is defined from fracture shear stiffness, K s, as: Fig. 4: Example of stochastically generated fracture zones for the 5 km deep reservoir domain at Soultz-sous-Forêts. Also indicated are the boreholes GPK2, GPK and GPK4 Implemented fracture aperture laws The implemented aperture laws for the fractures or slip patches are basically of analytical kind (Willis- U = τ K s This portion of the aperture increase is considered to be irreversible when injection test has stopped and the pressure field in the reservoir has reached its ambient value.

c. Jacking and shearing In the case the effective normal stress, σ n,eff, becomes negative, the fracture walls separate and the friction forces acting on them disappear. In addition to the shear aperture change, a contribution from jacking conditions, a j, arises. Clearly, a j is considered to be fully reversible. Although the shear induced, mode II, aperture change of a fracture is the only permanent effect after an injection test has ended, the contributions from jacking and compliance are also of major importance for the propagation of the pressure front during the stimulation process. Hydraulic processes The time-dependent pressure calculation in HEX-S is performed with a new finite element (FE) algorithm which is a further development of the FRACTure code (Kohl & Hopkirk, 1995). The main advantages of the FE algorithm are in efficient and flexible formulations: Local mesh refinement at specified locations in the reservoir domain such as boreholes, Utilization of an implicit time-step procedure for the transient calculation Easy extension to further physical processes or constitutive laws Fracture Model Mapping of the deterministic structures to a FE-grid Mapping of stochastic structures to the FE-grid Hydro-mechanical Calculation Adaptation of FE-grid permeability distribution Injection flow foreseen Pressure development in the reservoir Shearing and opening of fractures Fig. 5: Principle flow chart of HEX-S The hydraulic conductivity for each element is derived from the apertures of the intersecting slip patches by a specific mapping procedure. The intersection of the discrete fractures with the continuous FE grid is calculated using a "Rock-to- Fracture volumetric index", RFVI. The mapping results in individual FE volumes of strongly anisotropic properties. Thereby, the hydraulic properties of the FE grid are modified after each time-step. HEX-S calculates the pressure in the model and determines the new apertures of the slip patches. When the hydraulic conductivities of the elements have been updated from the corresponding slip patch apertures, a next time-step is carried out (Fig. 5). Model of GPK2/GPK3 The numerical model used for the simulation of the hydraulically induced shearing events consists of ~45 nodes, covering a surface area of 12x1 km 2 and a total depth range of 3-6 m. As general Soultz convention, the origin of the model (coordinates //) is set to the head of the 3.5 km deep GPK1 borehole. The model is strongly refined towards its center, along the stimulated open-hole sections of GPK2, GPK3 and GPK4 between 45-5m depth. Fig. 6 illustrates this refinement in vertical and horizontal direction. Towards the boreholes, hexahedrons with partly less than 25x25x25m 3 have been applied. The hydraulic behavior along the open-hole sections of the boreholes is simulated using vertical 1D elements. The hydraulic boundary conditions account for the large vertical fault zones in the Rhine Graben area. Hence, Dirichlet boundary conditions ( P=) best describe such drainage systems along the lateral borders. The injected flow is simulated as Neuman boundary condition at the top of the open-hole section (i.e. at the topmost part of the 1-D borehole element). GPK2 was shut-in during the first stimulation phase. The variation of flow rate is controlled in the model by load-time functions that allow specifying the transient change of boundary conditions at arbitrary time intervals. In a preliminarily compilation of R. Maurer (24), a total of 17 deterministic fractures for GPK2 and GPK3 were implemented into the stimulation model. Location of the GPK2 hydraulically active fractures, which permit the fluid circulation between the reservoir and the borehole, had to be determined by the BRGM (French Geological Survey) based on the analysis of flow logs. As UBI (Ultrasonic Borehole Imager) logs were not carried out in the open hole section of the GPK2 well, the orientation of the flowing fractures have been best-estimated by BRGM based on past experience of the deep-seated structures of the Soultz granite and on hydraulic data.

In the GPK3 well, UBI imaging along the entire granite section was performed. Relevant fracture parameters (depth, orientation, apparent aperture) have been also interpreted by BRGM. Along the open-hole sections, only the large and open fractures have been taken into account in the model. A preliminary data set of these fractures, listed in the following table, was established from apparently relevant fracture thickness with clear response on the transit time at UBI images. Z X Y -3-4 z -5-6 -4-2 y 2 4 4 2 x -2-4 -6 Z Y X GPK2 GPK3 GPK4 Fig. 6: FE model for the reservoir domain in Soultz-sous-Forêts with the 5 km boreholes GPK 2/3/4, used for the hydraulic calculations in HEX-S. Consisting of ~4' elements. North direction is aligned along the y- axis. Table 1: Preliminary fracture data from GPK2 and GPK3 Borehole x y z azimuth dip angle GPK2 33.5-438.7-4394.8 25/7 GPK2 11.8-419.5-4458.5 7/7 GPK2-6.4-48.4-4525.1 7/7 GPK2-53.7-376.6-4716.8 25/65 GPK2-79 -355.9-4816.5 25/65 GPK2-18.5-337.8-4936.6 25/7 GPK3 111.5-956.8-4517.4 122/66 GPK3 111.5-956.8-4517.7 124/61 GPK3 111.5-957.1-4542.3 33/54 GPK3 111.5-957.1-4542.6 32/54 GPK3 111.4-957.3-4569.1 37/6 GPK3 111.7-96.4-466. 266/52 GPK3 112.2-962.3-4685.9 65/68 GPK3 112.3-962.7-4691.7 247/67 GPK3 112.3-968.2-4992.8 249/4 GPK3 111.8-966.7-4943. 292/58 GPK3 111.2-966.7-4971.3 356/48 In future calculations, a meanwhile slightly revised selection of the GPK3 fracture dataset has to be accounted for. Apart from the deterministic fractures intersecting the boreholes, deterministic fault zones at larger distance - derived from the location of microseismic events - and a stochastic fracture distribution in the intermediate rock matrix - calculated from the fracture distribution statistics - will be included in the model. MODEL RESULTS Hydraulic stimulation at GPK3 started on May 27 th, 23 at 12:5. This time represents the time "zero" for all our considerations. Although the total injection period extended to June 7 th, the treated time span only covers 53' s (>6 days). Flow rate was varied in numerous steps, starting with 3 l/s at the first day. In a first phase, flow was stepwise reduced to 2 l/s until 17' s, then reestablished at 3 l/s until 28's and finally set to 5 l/s, with a shorttime (~3 hr) high injection rate of 7 l/s. Due to misplaced pressure sensors, the downhole pressure

records had to be corrected using the borehole simulator HEX-B (Mégel 25). Pressure response was less pronounced with a first pressure level at P = 1 MPa that nearly continuously increased until P = 16 MPa at t = 53' s, irrespective of decreasing flow rate at early stage. The complete flow rate and (corrected) pressure record can be recognized on Fig. 7. The hydraulic simulation results do not fully reflect the described smooth P-behavior. However, the base level and short-term pressure variation are generally well reproduced. Especially, if positive flow steps are well represented (note pressure variation at t 6's. 17's; and 29's). However, the effect of decreasing flow at the first stage is overestimated. A possible explanation is that the shearing aperture has been treated as irreversible and that the real transmissivity drops stronger at decreasing flow than anticipated by the model. Another impact might arise from the choice of the boundary condition. Very probably, the boundaries are less permeable than assumed this effect could be strongly responsible for the continuous increase in 2E+7 pressure. However, the strong non-linear behavior is especially well described. The flow regime is clearly non-linear, the increase of flow rate by 7% (29 to 5 l/s) only results in a 3% pressure increase, an effect that is very well explained by the data simulation. Another most important effect is the over-all little increase of reservoir transmissivity (or injectivity). Normalizing the pressure/flow record at an arbitrary 1% level at the end of the first flow step at injection, our model predicts a variation of relative injectivity that finally reaches 125% at t 53's. Although, the data indicated only 11% at the same time, the agreement is amazing, accounting for the strong cubic law between aperture change and permeability. Easily, the simulation could result in completely different orders of magnitude! Noteworthy is the effect of anisotropic flow elucidated by further sensitivity investigations. Flow seems to spread first in radial direction around the borehole, aligns however quickly in the direction of the flow field. This could cause a strong lateral pressure variation in the matrix, an effect that is also well known from the analysis of seismic locations. 1 1.8E+7 1.6E+7 8 1.4E+7 dpdh[pa] 1.2E+7 1E+7 8E+6 6 4 Flowrate [l/s] 6E+6 4E+6 2E+6 Measured (depth corr.) Model Flow 1 2 3 time [s] 4 5 2 Fig. 7: Hydraulic data from stimulation of GPK3 starting 27. May 23, 12:5. Pressure data are provided as differential pressure (compared to ambient situation) by a red line, quantified by the left axis; flow rate (blue line) is given at the right axis. Also provided are the modelled differential pressure data (frequent black dots).

model allows an insight in the complex reservoir behavior under the conditions of massive flow injections that are required for reservoir stimulation. HEX-S supplies a physical reservoir model by jointly interpreting the hydraulic field and the hydraulicinduced shearing events. A further important aspect is that the simulation of the dynamic reservoir behavior is strongly based on a combined data analysis integrating lithological, hydraulic, thermal and stress evaluation, such as evaluated in an excellent way at the Soultz project.. Fig. 8: Simulated shear failure (right). The plane view also illustrates the trajectories of the three boreholes (Red GPK2, blue GPK3 and black GPK4). The seismic cloud is spreading next to the injection at GPK3. The underlying grid has 5 m spacing. Seismicity was strongly evolving starting next to GPK3. Already after the 1 day, the seismic cloud was spreading to distance of >5 m from open-hole (see also Asanuma 24 for details). The general pattern of seismicity is directed in ~N-S direction, in agreement with the direction of the maximum horizontal stress direction, σ max. As contribution to the determination of the stress field, it can be stated that our model clearly favour a pure normal stress field, a transfer into a strike-slip regime would cause unstable fracture system, right from the beginning of the simulation. The induced shearing events as simulated by HEX-S (under pure normal stress regime), also tends to spread in N-S direction. Since HEX-S simulates shear slippages when the shear stiffness is exceeded by the shear stress during a time step at optimum oriented fractures, also minimum slip displacement are simulated that certainly don't have any seismic significance (under the M -1 threshold). For a minimum slippage displacement of.5 cm, the simulated area is well in agreement with the located events. A different slippage threshold would not produce a strongly different pattern. Hence, it can be stated that HEX-S is well able to reproduce spatial constants of shear events that are identical to the extension of microseismic cloud. This, again, is a clear indication that the simulated pressure field in the rock matrix is well understood. CONCLUSION The new hydromechanical reservoir model HEX-S has been successfully tested on data from the European EGS site Soultz-sous-Forêts (France). The This also provides perspectives for future developments such as design calculations that enable optimizing cost-intensive hydraulic stimulations before hand under financial or logistical restrictions. Therewith it is also possible design optimum reservoir creation strategies or to quantify effects like dual-injections as proposed by Baria et al. (24) under the conditions of Soultz-sous-Forêts, together with the seismic impact. Clearly, the prognosis of microseismicity is certainly a key factor for actual projects in Europe that are partly located in strongly populated areas. REFERENCES Asanuma, H., T. Izumi, Y. Kumano, N. Soma, H. Niitsuma, R. Baria, and S. Michelet, 23, Data Acquisition and Analysis of Microseismicity from the Stimulation at Soultz in 23 by Tohoku University and AIST, Japan., Geothermal Resource Council, 24, Palm Spring Sep. 24 Baria, R., Baumgärtner, J., Gérard, A., Garnish, J., 2, The European HDR programme: main targets and results of the deepening of the well GPK2 to 5 m. In: Proc. World Geothermal Congress 2, p. 3643-3652. Baria R., Michelet S., J.Baumgaertner, B.Dyer, A.Gerard, J.Nicholls, T.Hettkamp, D.Teza, N.Soma, H.Asanuma, J. Garnish, T.Megel, 24, Microseismic monitoring of the world s largest potential HDR reservoir, Proc. Twenty-Ninth Workshop on Geothermal Reservoir Engineering Stanford University, Stanford, California, January 26-28, 24 Bächler D., Evans K., Hopkirk R., Kohl T., Mégel T., Rybach L., Data Analysis and controls towards understanding reservoir behaviour and the creation of a conceptual model, Final Report to the Bundesamt für Bildung und Wissenschaft, Projekt 98.8-1 - EU Project No. JOR3-CT98-313, Bern, Switzerland Cuenot N., Dorbath C., Dorbath, L., 25, Analysis of the microseismicity induced by fluid injections at the Hot Dry Rock site of Soultz-sous-Forêts (Alsace,

France): implications for the characterization of the geothermal reservoir properties, Pure and Applied Geophysics, submitted Gérard A., 24, Stimulation hydraulique du puit GPK3 et tests de circulation entre les puits GPK3 et GPK2 - Note de synthèse, Rapport ADEME / GEIE "Exploitation Minière de la Chaleur No. 1.5.3 Kohl, T. and Hopkirk, R.J., 1995. "FRACTure" a simulation code for forced fluid flow and transport in fractured porous rock. Geothermics, 24(3): 345-359. Evans K.F., Moriya H., Niitsuma H., Jones R. H., Phillips W. S., Genter A., Sausse J., Jung R., Baria R., 25, Microseismicity and permeability enhancement of hydrogeologic structures during massive fluid injections into granite at 3 km depth at the Soultz HDR site, Geophys. J. Int., 16: 388 412. Jing, Z., Watanabe, K., Willis-Richards, J. and Hashida, T., 22. A 3-D water/rock chemical interaction model for prediction of HDR/HWR geothermal reservoir performance. Geothermics, 31: 1-28. Maurer R., 24, Erstellung von Kluftmodellen und vergleichende hydraulische Modelle des geothermischen Reservoirs von Soultz-sous-Forêts, Diploma Thesis Univ. Freiburg (D), 95 p Mégel, T., Kohl, T., Gérard, A., Rybach, L., Hopkirk, R., 25, Downhole pressures derived from wellhead measurements during hydraulic experiments, Proceedings World Geothermal Congress 25, Antalya, Turkey Willis-Richards, J., Watanabe, K. and Takahashi, H., 1996. Progress toward a stochastic rock mechanics model of engineered geothermal systems. Journal of Geophysical Research, 11(B8): 17,481-17,496. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The authors are very grateful to the Swiss Federal Office of Education and Science and to the Swiss Federal Office for Energy which support (under the contract number 3.46) this research, under the EU contract (SES6-CT-23-5276). Also the support from EEIG staff in Soultz-sous-Forêts, their subcontractors and especially Dimitra Teza is thankfully acknowledged. The authors want to acknowledge especially R. Maurer's involvement, providing geological data and performing HEX-S sensitivity analyses during his diploma thesis. Especially, the authors express their appreciation to C. Dezayes and A. Genter from the BRGM (French Geological Survey) who deliberately provided their data.