The MRCC and Monitoring Drought in the Midwest

Similar documents
Midwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 20 October 2016

Doug Kluck Regional Climate Services Director Kansas City, MO

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System April 18, 2017

Midwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 17 July 2014

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System May 23, 2017

Central Region Climate Outlook March20, 2014

NIDIS Drought and Water Assessment

Central Region Climate Outlook May 15, 2014

UNITED STATES AND SOUTH AMERICA OUTLOOK (FULL REPORT) Thursday, December 28, 2017

North Central U.S. Climate Summary and Outlook Webinar December 15, 2016

Great Plains and Midwest Drought Impacts and Outlook May 16, 2013

CropCast Corn and Soybean Report Kenny Miller Friday, March 17, 2017

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System October 17, 2017

MDA WEATHER SERVICES AG WEATHER OUTLOOK. Kyle Tapley-Senior Agricultural Meteorologist May 22, 2014 Chicago, IL

NATIONAL HYDROPOWER ASSOCIATION MEETING. December 3, 2008 Birmingham Alabama. Roger McNeil Service Hydrologist NWS Birmingham Alabama

The Recent Long Island Drought

CropCast Corn and Soybean Report Kenny Miller Monday, March 13, 2017

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System September 4, 2018

Midwest and Great Plains Climate and Drought Update

Precipitation. Standardized Precipitation Index. NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System September 5, 2017

North Central U.S. Climate Summary and Outlook Webinar July 21, 2016

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System July 18, 2017

CropCast Corn and Soybean Report Kenny Miller Tuesday, March 14, 2017

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System November 14, 2017

The National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) Moving the Nation from Reactive to Proactive Drought Risk Management

Precipitation. Standardized Precipitation Index. NIDIS Intermountain West Regional Drought Early Warning System January 3, 2017

United States Multi-Hazard Early Warning System

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System February 6, 2018

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System November 13, 2018

Climate Change Impact on Air Temperature, Daily Temperature Range, Growing Degree Days, and Spring and Fall Frost Dates In Nebraska

NIDIS Intermountain West Regional Drought Early Warning System February 7, 2017

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System February 12, 2019

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System October 30, 2018

CropCast Corn and Soybean Report Kyle Tapley Monday, March 20, 2017

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System November 21, 2017

Midwest/Great Plains Climate-Drought Outlook September 20, 2018

High Resolution Indicators for Local Drought Monitoring

Midwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 21 August 2014

Multiple-Year Droughts In Nebraska

Illinois Drought Update, December 1, 2005 DROUGHT RESPONSE TASK FORCE Illinois State Water Survey, Department of Natural Resources

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System December 30, 2018

Midwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 16 April 2015

Indices and Indicators for Drought Early Warning

NWS SERFC Hydrologic Vulnerability Assessment. Monday, March 9 th, 2015 NOAA, National Weather Service Southeast River Forecast Center

Midwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 19 November 2015

The 1986 Southeast Drought in Historical Perspective

The United States Drought Monitor How is it Made?

Weather and Climate Risks and Effects on Agriculture

January 25, Summary

NOAA and Partners Midwest and Great Plains Drought Update Webinar

Midwest and Great Plains Climate & Drought Outlook 16 November 2017

Midwest and Great Plains Drought and Climate Summary 20 February 2014

UNITED STATES AND SOUTH AMERICA WEATHER ROUNDUP Sunday, December 17, 2017

Presentation Overview. Southwestern Climate: Past, present and future. Global Energy Balance. What is climate?

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System August 8, 2017

Weather Report 30 November 2017

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System March 26, 2019

New Assessment Tools in Monitoring Drought

Midwest/Great Plains Climate-Drought Outlook August 17, 2017

Midwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 17 April 2014

UNITED STATES AND SOUTH AMERICA OUTLOOK (FULL REPORT) Wednesday, April 18, 2018

LESSON 9: HOT, HOTTER, HOTTEST Extreme Weather s Impact on Our Resources

Dust Storms of the Canadian Prairies: A Dustier and Muddier Outlook

NIDIS Drought and Water Assessment

Water Availability in Alaska: Using and Understanding NOAA s Drought Monitor and Drought Outlook

The U.S. Drought Monitor: Parameters, People, Process, Policy

Missouri River Basin Climate Outlook 1 May Dr. Dennis Todey State Climatologist South Dakota State Univ.

Midwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 20 April 2017

4) At the end of this presentation we have an operator that will organize the Q & A s.

Upper Missouri River Basin December 2017 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast December 5, 2017

4) At the end of this presentation we have an operator that will organize the Q & A s.

By: J Malherbe, R Kuschke

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System December 11, 2018

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System February 19, 2019

Improving Drought Forecasts: The Next Generation of Seasonal Outlooks

PRECIPITATION. Last Week Precipitation:

The U.S. Drought Monitor: A Composite Indicator Approach

Creating a WeatherSMART nation: SAWS drought related research, services and products

Doug Kluck NOAA Kansas City, MO National Center for Environmental Information (NCEI) National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS)

UNITED STATES AND SOUTH AMERICA SNAPSHOT REPORT Wednesday, December 20, 2017

Implications of Climate Change on Long Lead Forecasting and Global Agriculture. Ray Motha

The U.S. Drought Monitor and tools from the National Drought Mitigation Center

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP,

The Kentucky Mesonet: Entering a New Phase

The Impact of Weather Extreme Events on US Agriculture

UNITED STATES AND SOUTH AMERICA SNAPSHOT REPORT Thursday, December 21, 2017

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter

Operational MRCC Tools Useful and Usable by the National Weather Service

Highlight: Support for a dry climate increasing.

Local Precipitation Variability

NOAA s National Weather Service. National Weather Service

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 25, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales

-Assessment of current water conditions. - Precipitation Forecast. - Recommendations for Drought Monitor

Overview of a Changing Climate in Rhode Island

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System January 22, 2019

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: NOVEMBER 16, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales

PRECIPITATION. Last Week Precipitation:

Rainfall-River Forecasting: Overview of NOAA s Role, Responsibilities, and Services

An ENSO-Neutral Winter

Great Plains and Midwest Climate Outlook 18 December 2014

Transcription:

The and Monitoring Drought in the Midwest Steve Hilberg Director, Illinois State Water Survey Prairie Research Institute, University of Illinois

The A partner of a national climate service program that includes the National Climatic Data Center Regional s State Climate Offices National Weather Service

Goals and Objectives Increase value and usage of currently available climatic information Coordinate data from regional and state data networks Develop special and regional climate databases Serve as a clearinghouse for climate information Operate near real-time climate information systems Plan, organize, and conduct applied climate research Perform educational, extension-type programs

History of the RCCs Program developed in response to mandate in National Climate Program Act of 1978 Three demonstration projects operated 1981-1986 Congress appropriated funds beginning in 1986 to fund regional climate centers

History of the RCCs Western RCC - 1987 Desert Research Institute Midwestern RCC - 1988 Illinois State Water Survey High Plains RCC - 1988 University of Nebraska Northeast RCC 1989 Cornell University Southeast RCC 1990 South Carolina Water Resources Commission Southern RCC 1990 Louisiana State University

Regional s

M R C C Illinois State Water Survey Champaign, IL Serves the nine-state Midwest region with climate data, information, and applied research on climate-sensitive issues such as: Agriculture Climate change Energy Environment Human health Risk management Transportation Water resources

Major Activities of the Climate services Providing access to climate data and climate products Monitoring of climate conditions (particularly extremes) On-going Midwest Climate Watch Assessment of Impacts Drought Flooding Specific weather events

Major Activities of the Applied research and development Extreme events - trend and historical perspective Understanding the relationship of climate to societal impacts Climate change Data enhancement Data assessment Data completeness and quality

The Midwest Climate Watch offers a onestop shop for current climate conditions in the Midwest. Products are automatically updated each day

Drought Monitoring National Regional State/Local

Midwest Drought Information Page The Drought Monitor - Midwest Region The Drought Monitor offers a quick graphical overview of conditions in the Midwest. This is automatically updated every Thursday morning.

Midwest Drought Information Page Precipitation Maps Precipitation maps are available for the last 30, 90, and 180 days. Daily, month-to-date and 7-day maps are available on the main Climate Watch page.

Midwest Drought Information Page County Level Modeled Soil Moisture The soil moisture amounts for the three levels are calculated using a multi-level soil model responding to daily temperature and precipitation in the counties of the region. Daily estimates of precipitation are obtained from The National Weather Service Multi-sensor Precipitation Estimate product. Daily temperatures are derived from the NOAA cooperative observer network. County-level soil characteristics were derived from the State Soil Geographic (STATSGO) climate division database.

Midwest Drought Information Page Palmer Drought indices The Palmer Crop Moisture Index is a short-term index that indicates whether soils have enough moisture to meet the short-term needs of crops.

Midwest Drought Information Page Palmer Drought indices

Midwest Drought Information Page Palmer Drought indices The Palmer Z-Index represents the change in soil moisture conditions over the last month due to the imbalance between precipitation and water lost to the air and plants and to runoff. It is a short term measure of the direction of moisture change, with positive numbers indicating wetter conditions, and negative numbers indicating drier conditions.

Midwest Drought Information Page Palmer Drought indices The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is a measure of precipitation that is comparable across time and space. The index is based on the statistical distribution of rainfall amounts for a given location and period of time. An index of zero is the median value, positive numbers indicate wet conditions, and negative numbers represent dry conditions. Because the probabilities are standardized by location, one can compare places with different climates using the same scale.

Midwest Drought Information Page USGS Streamflow This map is a snapshot of streamflow data reported to the USGS system in real time.

Midwest Drought Information Page Outlooks The Drought Outlook, and 30- and 90-day precipitation outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center A link to the U.S. Drought Portal (NIDIS)

Midwest Drought Information Page Fills the continuum between a national perspective and local perspective on drought Links to the local, and back to the national http://mrcc.isws.illinois.edu/index.jsp