Spatial Autocorrelation (2) Spatial Weights

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Spatial Autocorrelation (2) Spatial Weights Luc Anselin Spatial Analysis Laboratory Dept. Agricultural and Consumer Economics University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign http://sal.agecon.uiuc.edu

Outline Concepts Contiguity Weights Other Spatial Weights Spatial Lag Operator

Concepts

Why Spatial Weights? Spatial Correlation Cov[y i.y h ] 0, for i h Structure of Correlation which i, h interact? N observations to estimate N(N-1)/2 interactions impose structure in terms of what are the neighbors for each location

Example: N=6 contiguity = common boundary

contiguity as a graph link between nodes = contiguity

Spatial Weights Matrix Definition N by N positive matrix W, with elements w ij Simplest Form: Binary Contiguity w ij = 1 for i and j neighbors (e.g. d ij < critical distance) w ij = 0 otherwise, w ii = 0 by convention Row Standardization averaging of neighboring values w s ij = w ij / Σ j w ij such that Σ j ws ij = 1 spatial parameters comparable

How to Construct Weights Contiguity common boundary Distance distance band k-nearest neighbors General social distance complex distance decay functions

Contiguity Weights

Contiguity Regular Grid Regular Grid rook 2, 4, 6, 8 bishop 1, 3, 7, 9 queen both 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Regular Grid Polygons

Contiguity and GIS Precision The regular grid in the top picture is actually misaligned at the corners The grid on the bottom picture has the proper contiguity

Contiguity Irregular Units Irregular Units common border rook common vertex 039 and 067 queen

Contiguity Weights in GeoDa

Higher Order Contiguity Recursive Definition j contiguous to i of order p: j first order contiguous to k k contiguous to i of order p-1 i and j not already contiguous of lower order Spatial Weights Matrix representation of network or graph

contiguity as a graph link between nodes = contiguity

Circularity and Redundancy in Higher Order Weights Powering of the Weights Matrix standard approach invalid for contiguity Removing Circularity and Redundancy sparse network representation of weights modified Dijkstra algorithm to identify number of steps between nearest neighbors (Anselin and Smirnov) number of steps = order of contiguity

Other Spatial Weights

Distance-Based Weights Distance Band w ij = 1 for d ij < distance cut-off K-Nearest Neighbor Weights k neighbors, irrespective of actual distance warps space

Distance Based Weights

General Spatial Weights Cliff-Ord Weights w ij to reflect potential spatial interaction between i and j w ij = [d ij ] -a.[b ij ] b with d ij as distance between i and j b ij as share of common boundary between i and j in perimeter of i

General Spatial Weights (continued) Weights May Contain Parameters inverse distance weights w ij = 1 / d ij α estimated from data or chosen a priori in practice: second power (gravity model) identification problems in nonlinear weights interaction is multiplicative: ρ. w ij = ρ (1 / d ijα ) parameters ρ and α not separately identified

General Spatial Weights (continued) Economic Weights (Case) block structure, state effect w ij = 1 for all i, j in block economic distance r i - r j economic weight = 1/ r i - r j e.g., r = total employment

Characteristics of Spatial Weights Measures of Overall Connectedness percent nonzero weights (sparseness) average weight average number of links principal eigenvalue Location-Specific Measures most/least connected observations unconnected observations = islands

NC Counties with 4 Neighbors

Spatial Lag Operator

Spatial Shift No Direct Counterpart to Time Series Shift Operator time series: L k = y t-k spatial series: which h are shifted by k from location i? on regular lattice: east, west, north, south (i - 1, j) (i + 1, j) (i, j - 1) (i, j + 1) arbitrary for irregular lattice different number of neighbors by observation

Spatial Lag Operator Distributed Lag row-standardized weights Σ j w ij = 1 spatial lag is weighted average of neighboring values Σ j w ij.y j, for each i vector Wy spatial lag does not contain y i spatial lag is a smoother not a window average

value y i = $42,300 4 neighbors values for neighbors: $50,200, $64,600, $45,000, $34,200 spatial lag = (1/4)$50,200 + (1/4)$64,600 + (1/4)$45,000 + (1/4)$34,200 = $48,500

Spatial Lags in GeoDa Table