New strategies for evaluating ENSO processes in climate models

Transcription

1 CLIVAR Workshop,, France, November 2010 New strategies for evaluating ENSO processes in climate models Agenda (5/11/2010) Wednesday 17 November 8:30-9:00 Registration 9:00 Hervé Le Treut Welcome from the IPSL Director 9:05 Eric Guilyardi Goals of the workshop Session 1: Overview presentations: ENSO observation, theory, change 9:15 David Battisti ENSO theory 9:40 Mike McPhaden ENSO observations 10:05 Arun Kumar WGSIP perspective 10:30 Scott Power Decadal and longer-term variability in ENSO and the Walker circulation in observations and climate models 10:55 Coffee break 11:25 Pascale Braconnot Reconstruction and modelling of past ENSOs 11:50 Mat Collins A review of ENSO and Climate Change 12:15 David Battisti A New Tool for Evaluating the Physics of Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Variability in Nature and in General Circulation Models 12:40-1:45pm Lunch Session 2: ENSO in CGCMs 1:45 Eric Guilyardi ENSO in GCMs: overview, progress and challenges 2:10 Alexey Fedorov Ocean energetics in coupled models: how much energy is transfered from the winds to the thermocline on ENSO timescales? 2:35 De-Zheng Sun The effect of ENSO on the tropical Pacific mean state: a new way to assess ENSO in GCMs 3:00 Fei-Fei Jin ENSO processes using the BJ index in CMIP3 3:25 Coffee break 3:55 Boris Dewitte ENSO sensitivity to change in stratification in CMIP3 4:20 Antonietta Capotondi Temporal structure of Tropical Pacific interannual variability in 20th century coupled simulations 4:45 Andrew Wittenberg Model fidelity and ENSO change: signal versus noise 5:10 Masahiro Wanatabe ENSO simulation in MIROC: Perspectives towards CMIP5 5:35 Sarah Ineson ENSO modelling at Hadley Centre/NCAS 6:30 Welcome cocktail 1

2 Thursday 18 November Session 3: Evaluating ENSO processes in CGCMs 9:00 Ben Kirtman The impact of Atmospheric and Oceanic Resolution on ENSO Simulation 9:25 Jong-Seong Kug ENSO Sensitivity to convective trigger in a coupled GCM 9:50 Rich Neale ENSO modelling at NCAR 10:15 Posters presentation (1 min. per poster) 10:40 Coffee break 11:10 Poster session 12:30-1:30pm Lunch (5 th floor) 1:30 Sang Wook Yeh The Flavors of El Niño in a Changing Climate 1:55 Sulagna Ray ENSO Variability Using SODA : :20 Jin-Yi Yu Understanding and Modeling Central-Pacific ENSO 2:45 Pedro di Nezio Sensitivity of the thermocline feedback to global warming in coupled GCMs: Implications for changes in ENSO amplitude 3:10 Julien Boucharel ENSO nonlinearity in a warming climate 3:35 Ken Sperber MJO Simulation/Forecasting Diagnostics and Metrics 4:00 Coffee break 4:30 6:00 Discussion session 7:30pm Workshop dinner Friday 19 November Session 4: New approaches, wider perspectives and ENSO teleconnections 9:00 Noel Keenlyside Quantifying different sources of error in ENSO seasonal predictions and relating them to model systematic errors 9:25 Benoit Vannière Using seasonal hindcasts to understand ENSO model errors 9:50 Yukiko Imada Improvement to ENSO in AOGCM by introducing a new parameterization of Tropical Instability Waves 10:15 Pascal Terray Mid and high latitudes influence on ENSO: a review 10:40 Coffee break 11:10 Wenju Cai Impact of the Indonesian Throughflow on ENSO properties in a CGCM 11:35 Chunzai Wang Influence of Equatorial Atlantic Variability on Pacific ENSO 12:00 Jérôme Vialard ENSO and the Indian ocean 12:25-1:30pm Lunch 1:30 3:00 Workshop outcome & recommendations draft 3:00 Wrap up and workshop close 2

3 List of posters 1. Yoo-Geun Ham: The North Atlantic Teleconnection patterns associated with ENSO : Offset of off-equatorial Atlantic SST 2. Seon Tae Kim: ENSO stability analysis in CMIP3 models 3. Julie Leloup: Insights on ENSO characteristics in IPCC/CMIP3 models and their relation to mean state biases using a linear intermediate model 4. James Lloyd: The Role of Atmosphere Feedbacks During ENSO in the CMIP3 Models 5. Sébastien Masson: High frequency coupling of the SST in the SINTEX-F coupled model: impact on ENSO and on ENSO-Mousson interactions 6. J-P Michael: ENSO Fidelity in Two Coupled Models 7. Melanie Parker: Ocean response to wind perturbations in the low-frequency limit 8. Peter van Rensch: Asymmetry in ENSO teleconnection with regional rainfall, its multi-decadal variability, and impact 9. Tom Russon: Quantifying variability in ENSO on adaptation relevant time-scales: a novel paleodata/model comparison approach 10. Ken Sperber: ENSO in CAM4/POP using 0.25 degree atmosphere/0.1 degree ocean 11. Sam Stevenson: Quantitative Statistical Estimates of ENSO Response to Climate Change in the CCSM 12. Andy Turner: Analysis of the Asian monsoon response to ENSO in the Met Office GLOSEA4 seasonal hindcasts 13. Williams Roberts: Understanding Mid-Holocene ENSO: Using a Linearised Cane/Zebiak Model to Analyse ENSO in the NCAR CSM and HadCM3 14. Steve Woolnough: Simulation of the MJO in high resolution models of the IndoPacific Warm Pool Poster information: The poster session is held Thursday 18 th (11:00 am-12:30). A one slide presentation of each poster will be given at 10:15 the same day. The posters can be installed (Tower 56, 5 th floor) from the 17 th 6pm (before/during the welcome cocktail) and left throughout the workshop. 3

4 Workshop venue at Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Jussieu campus Conference room: T46/56, 2 nd floor Coffee and lunch breaks: T56, 2 nd & 5 th Floors Poster session: T56, 5 th Floor Welcome cocktail (17 th ): T56, 5 th Floor Workshop dinner (18 th ): See specific instructions LOCEAN/IPSL admin: T45, 4 th floor Workshop sponsors:

5 CLIVAR ENSO Workshop,, France, November 2010 List of participants David Battisti University of USA Washington Hugo Bellenger LOCEAN/IPSL France Julien Boucharel LEGOS, Toulouse France Pascale Braconnot LSCE/IPSL, Gif sur France Yvette Jaci Brown CSIRO, Hobart Australia Wenju Cai CSIRO, Melbourne Australia Antonietta Capotondi NOAA/ESRL, Boulder USA Mat Collins University of Exeter UK Sophie Cravatte IRD, LEGOS, France Toulouse Boris Dewitte LEGOS, Toulouse France Pedro DiNezio RSMAS, University USA of Miami Alexey Fedorov Yale University USA Claude Frankignoul LOCEAN/IPSL, France Eric Guilyardi LOCEAN/IPSL, France Yoo-Geun Ham NASA/GFSC, Greenbelt USA Yukiko Imada AORI, University of Japan Tokyo Sarah Ineson Met Office Hadley UK Centre, Exeter Fei-Fei Jin University of USA Hawaii Billy Kessler NOAA/PMEL, USA Seattle Myriam Khodri LOCEAN/IPSL France Seon Tae Kim University of USA California, Irvine Ben Kirtman RSMAS, University USA of Miami Jong- Kug KORDI, Ansan South Seong Korea Arun Kumar NOAA/NWS/CPC USA Julie Leloup CCR, University of USA Wisconsin James Lloyd University of UK Reading and LOCEAN/IPSL Sébastien Masson LOCEAN/IPSL France 5

6 ipsl.upmc.fr Mike McPhaden NOAA/PMEL, USA Seattle J-P Michael FSU COAPS, USA Thalahassee Rich Neale NCAR, Boulder USA Melanie Parker Yale University USA Scott Power Bureau of Australia Meteorology, Melbourne Sulagna Ray Texas A&M USA University Peter van Rensch CSIRO, Melbourne Australia William Roberts University of UK Bristol Tom Russon University of UK Edinburgh Ken Sperber PCMDI, Livermore USA Samantha Stevenson University of USA Colorado, Boulder De-Zheng Sun NOAA/ESRL, USA Boulder Pascal Terray LOCEAN/IPSL, France Andy Turner NCAS-Climate, UK University of Reading Benoit Vanniere LOCEAN/IPSL, France Jérome Vialard IRD France (LOCEAN/IPSL), Aurore Voldoire Météo France/ France CNRM, Toulouse Chunzai Wang NOAA/AOML, USA Miami Masahiro Watanabe AORI, The Japan University of Tokyo Andrew Wittenberg GFDL, Princeton USA Steve Woolnough University of UK Reading Sang- Yeh Hanyang University South Wook Korea Jin-Yi Yu University of California, Irvine USA 6