The Diffusion Perturbed Compound Poisson Risk Model with a Dividend Barrier

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "The Diffusion Perturbed Compound Poisson Risk Model with a Dividend Barrier"

Transcription

1 The Diffusion Perturbed Compound Poisson Risk Model with a Dividend Barrier Shuanming Li a and Biao Wu b a Centre for Actuarial Studies, Department of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Australia b School of Mathematics and Statistics Carleton University, Canada Abstract We consider a diffusion perturbed classical compound Poisson risk model in the presence of a constant dividend barrier. Integro-differential equations with certain boundary conditions for the expected discounted penalty (Gerber-Shiu) functions (caused by oscillations or by a claim) are derived and solved. Their solutions can be expressed in terms of the Gerber-Shiu functions in the corresponding perturbed risk model without a barrier. Finally, explicit results are given when the claim sizes are rationally distributed. Keywords: Compound Poisson process; Diffusion process; Gerber-Shiu function; Integro-differential equation; Time of ruin; Surplus before ruin; Deficit at ruin 1 Introduction Consider the following classical continuous time surplus process perturbed by a diffusion N(t) U(t) =u + ct X i + σb(t), t, (1) i=1 where {N(t); t } is a Poisson process with parameter λ, denoting the total number of claims from an insurance portfolio. X 1,X 2,..., independent of 1

2 {N(t); t }, are positive i.i.d. random variables with common distribution function (df) P (x) =1 P (x) =P (X x), density function p(x), moments µ j = x j p(x)dx, for j =, 1, 2,...,and the Laplace transform ˆp(s) = e sx p(x)dx. {B(t); t } is a standard Wiener process that is independent of the aggregate claims process S(t) := N(t) i=1 X i and σ>is the dispersion parameter. In the above model, u = U() is the initial surplus, c = λµ 1 (1 + θ) is the premium rate per unit time, and θ> is the relative security loading factor. The classical risk model perturbed by a diffusion was first introduced by Gerber (197) and has been further studied by many authors during the last few years. In this paper, a barrier strategy is considered by assuming that there is a horizontal barrier of level b u such that when the surplus reaches level b, the overflow will be paid as dividend. Same as in Gerber and Shiu (24), a formal definition can be given in terms of the running maximum M(t) = max s t U(t), t. Then the aggregate dividends paid by time t are D(t) = ( M(t) b ) { =, if M(t) b, + M(t) b, if M(t) >b. Let U b (t) be the modified surplus process with initial surplus U b () = u under the above barrier strategy. Then U b (t) =U(t) D(t) t. (2) Define now T b = inf{t : U b (t) } to be the time of ruin and Ψ b (u) =P (T b < U b () = u), u b, to be the ultimate ruin probability. Further, define Ψ b, d (u) =P (T b <, U b (T b )= U b () = u), u b, to be the probability of ruin caused by the oscillations in U b (t) due to the Wiener process B(t) and Ψ b, s (u) =P (T b <, U b (T b ) < U b () = u), u b, to be the probability of ruin caused by a claim. We have that Ψ b (u) =Ψ b, d (u)+ Ψ b, s (u), with Ψ b, d () = 1 and Ψ b, s () =. 2

3 Next, for δ>, define φ b, d (u) =E[e δt b I(T b <, U b (T b )=) U b () = u], u b, with φ b, d () = 1, to be the Laplace transform of the ruin time T b with respect to δ if the ruin is due to the oscillations. Let w(x, y), for x, y, be the non-negative values of a penalty function and define φ b, s (u) =E [ e δt b w ( U b (T b ), U b(t b ) ) I(T b <, U b (T b ) < ) Ub () = u ], with φ b, s () =, to be the expected discounted penalty (Gerber-Shiu) function if the ruin is caused by a claim. Then φ b (u) =φ b,d (u)+φ b,s (u) is the expected discounted penalty function. The barrier strategy was initially proposed by De Finetti (1957) for a binomial model. More general barrier strategies for a compound Poisson risk process have been studied in a number of papers and books. These references include Bühlmann (197), Segerdahl (197), Gerber (1972, 1979, 1981), Paulsen and Gjessing (1997), Albrecher and Kainhofer (22), Højgaard (22), Dickson and Waters (24), Gerber and Shiu (24), and Albrecher et al. (25). The main focus is on optimal dividend payouts and the time of ruin, under various barrier strategies and other economic conditions. More recently, there are some research papers studying the ruin related quantities such as the surplus before ruin and the deficit at ruin by using the Gerber-Shiu function under a barrier strategy, in the classical risk model or Sparre Andersen risk models, e.g., Lin et al. (23), Li and Garrido (24). For the risk model defined in (2), Li (26) studies the moments and distribution of dividend payments until ruin. The main goal of this paper is to evaluate the Gerber-Shiu function φ b (u) and its decompositions of φ b, s (u) and φ b, d (u) in the above defined diffusion perturbed classical risk model in the presence of a constant dividend barrier b and analyze several of its special cases. 2 Integro-differential Equations and Their Solutions In this section, we will show that φ b, d (u) and φ b, s (u) both satisfy an integrodifferential equation with certain boundary conditions. First, the conditions satisfied by φ b, d (b) and φ b, s (b) are given in the following two theorems. 3

4 Theorem 1 If the initial surplus is b, then we have the following equation 1 2 σ2 φ b,d(b ) cφ b,d(b ) =(λ + δ)φ b,d (b) λ Proof: First, we define for u = b and t Ũ(t) = b + ct+ σb(t), M(t) = max s t b Ũ(s) = max{b + cs+ σb(s)}, s t D(t) = M(t) b + = max{cs+ σb(s)}, s t φ b,d (b x)p(x)dx. (3) Ũ b (t) = Ũ(t) D(t) =b + ct+ σb(t) max{cs+ σb(s)}. s t It follows from Borodin and Salminen (22, page 73) that max{(c/σ)s + B(s)} (c/σ)t B(t) s t is identical in law with a reflecting Brownian motion with drift c/σ, that is to say, max {(c/σ)s + B(s)} (c/σ)t B(t) = B(t) (c/σ)t, s t where B(t) is a standard Brownian motion independent of B(t) and the aggrgate claim process N(t) i=1 X i. Therefore, Ũ b (t) =b σ B(t) ct, t. (4) Now we give an heuristic proof of (3) which is essentially similar to that of Gerber and Landry (1998). Consider an infinitesimal interval from to dt. The discount factor for this interval is 1 δdt, the probability of having no claims is 1 λ dt, and the probability of exactly one claim is λ dt. By conditioning on these and the amount of the first claim (if it occurs), we have for u = b that φ b, d (b) = (1 λdt)(1 δdt)e +λdt(1 δdt)e [ φ b, d (Ũ b (dt)) ] [ φ b, d (Ũb(dt) X 1 ) ]. (5) Substituting (4) into (5) yields [ ( ) φ b, d (b) = (1 λdt)(1 δdt)e φ b, d b σ B(dt) ] cdt (6) [ ] b σ B(dt) cdt +λdt(1 δdt)e φ b,d (b σ B(dt) cdt x)p(x)dx. 4

5 Since E [ ( )] φ b,d b σ B(dt) cdt = φb,d (b)+gφ b,d (b)dt + o(dt), where lim dt o(dt)/dt = and G is the infinitesimal generator of the process { σ B(t) ct ; t }. It is straightforward to show from Borodin and Salminen (22, page 129) that Then Gφ b,d (b) = cφ b,d (b )+1 2 σ2 φ b,d (b ). E [ φ b,d ( b σ B(dt) cdt )] = φb,d (b) cφ b,d(b )dt σ2 φ b,d(b )dt + o(dt). (7) Substituting (7) into (6), subtracting φ b,d (b) from both sides, interpreting dt and o(dt) terms, dividing both sides by dt, and letting dt go to, we have 1 b 2 σ2 φ b,d(b ) cφ b,d(b ) =(λ + δ)φ b,d (b) λ φ b,d (b x)p(x)dx. This completes the proof. Theorem 2 If the initial surplus is b, then we have the following equations: 1 2 σ2 φ b,s(b ) cφ b,s(b ) =(λ + δ)φ b,s (b) λ where ω(b) = w(b, x b)p(x)dx. b b φ b,s (b x)p(x)dx λω(b), (8) Proof: We use the similar arguments as in the proof of Theorem 1. infinitesimal interval (, dt), we have ( φ b, s (b) = (1 λdt)(1 δdt)e [φ b, s b σ B(dt) cdt )] For an [ b σ B(dt) cdt +λdt(1 δdt)e φ b,s (b σ B(dt) cdt x)p(x)dx ] +ω(b σ B(dt) cdt ). (9) Since E [ φ b,s ( b σ B(dt) cdt )] = φb,s (b) cφ b,s(b )dt σ2 φ b,s(b )dt + o(dt), then similar arguments show that (8) holds.. 5

6 Theorem 3 Suppose p(x) is continuously differentiable on (, ), then φ b, d (u) satisfies the following homogenous integro-differential equation for <u<b: σ 2 2 φ b, d (u)+cφ b, d (u) =(λ + δ)φ b, d(u) λ with the boundary conditions φ b, d (u x) p(x)dx, (1) φ b, d () = 1, (11) φ b, d(b ) =. (12) Proof: The proof of the integro-differential equation (1) is exactly the same as that of the integro-differential equation satisfied by φ,d (u), see Gerber and Landry (1998, pp ). The boundary condition (11) is from the definition of φ b, d. To prove the boundary condition (12), letting u goes to b from below in (1) gives 1 2 σ2 φ b,d(b )+cφ b,d(b ) =(λ + δ)φ b,d (b) λ Comparing (3) with (13) gives φ b,d (b ) =. b φ b,d (b x)p(x)dx. (13) This completes the proof. Theorem 4 Suppose p(x) is continuously differentiable on (, ) and ω(u) is twice continuously differentiable on (, ), then φ b, s (u) satisfies the following non-homogenous integro-differential equation for <u<b: σ 2 2 φ b, s (u)+cφ b, s (u) =(λ + δ)φ b, s(u) λ with boundary conditions φ b, s (u x) p(x)dx λω(u), (14) φ b, s () =, (15) φ b, s (b ) =. (16) Proof: The proof of the integro-differential equation (14) is exactly the same as that of the integro-differential equation satisfied by φ,s (u), see Tsai and Willmot (22a, pp ) or Chiu and Yin (23, pp ). The boundary condition 6

7 (15) is from the definition of φ b, s. To prove the boundary condition (16), let u go to b from below in (14), we have 1 2 σ2 φ b,s(b )+cφ b,s(b ) =(λ + δ)φ b,s (b) λ Comparing (8) with (17) gives φ b,s(b ) =. b φ b,s (b x)p(x)dx λω(b). (17) This completes the proof. Remark: When u b, dividends u b are paid immediately so φ b,d (u) =φ b,s (b), φ b,d (u) =φ b,d (b), u b. Thus we have φ b,d(b+) = φ b,s(b+) =. Theorems 3 and 4 show that both φ b,d (u) and φ b,s (u) are continuous at u = b and φ b,d(b) =φ b,s(b) =. The solutions of the above integro-differential equations with boundary conditions heavily depend on the solutions of the following homogenous integrodifferential equation: σ 2 2 v (u)+cv (u) =(λ + δ)v(u) λ v(u x) p(x)dx, u. (18) It follows from the general theory of differential equations (e.g., see Petrovski, 1996, p. 119) that the general solution of equation (18) is of the form v(u) =η 1 v 1 (u)+η 2 v 2 (u), u, (19) where v 1 (u) and v 2 (u) are two linearly independent solutions of (18), which will be discussed in the next section, and η 1,η 2 are any real numbers. Then the solution of the integro-differential equation (1) with boundary conditions (11) and (12) is φ b, d (u) =η 1 (b) v 1 (u)+η 2 (b) v 2 (u), u b, (2) where η 1 (b) and η 2 (b) can be determined by solving the following linear equation system { η 1 (b) v 1 () + η 2 (b) v 2 () = 1, η 1 (b) v 1 (b)+η 2(b) v 2 (b) =. (21) 7

8 Let φ,s (u) be the expected discounted penalty function if the ruin is caused by a claim in the perturbed compound Poisson risk model (1) without a barrier. Tsai and Willmot (22a) show that it satisfies the following integro-differential equation for u : σ 2 2 φ,s (u)+cφ,s (u) =(λ + δ)φ,s(u) λ φ,s (u x) p(x)dx λω(u). We note that this equation is the same as equation (14) except b =. Then φ,s (u) can be viewed as a particular solution of (14). It follows from the general theory of differential equations that the solution of non-homogenuous integrodifferential equation (14) with boundary conditions (15) and (16) can be expressed as φ b, s (u) =φ,s (u)+ϑ 1 (b) v 1 (u)+ϑ 2 (b) v 2 (u), u b, (22) where ϑ 1 (b) and ϑ 2 (b) can be determined by solving the following linear equation system { ϑ 1 (b) v 1 () + ϑ 2 (b) v 2 () =, (23) ϑ 1 (b) v 1(b)+ϑ 2 (b) v 2(b) = φ,s(b). Tsai and Willmot (22a) have shown that φ,s (u) satisfies a defective renewal equation, described as follows. Let ρ = ρ(δ) be the unique non-negative root of the following generalized Lundberg equation: with ρ() =. Let λˆp(s) =λ + δ cs σ 2 s 2 /2, (24) 2 c σ 2 e (ρ+ σ 2 )y, h(y) = 2 c γ(y) = λ e ρ(x y) p(x)dx, c y and γ ω (y) = λ e ρ(x y) ω(x)dx. c y Then φ,s (u) satisfies the following defective renewal equation: φ,s (u) = φ,s (u y) g(y)dy + g ω (u), u, (25) where g(y) =h γ(y) and g ω (u) =h γ ω (u), with denoting the convolution operation. 8

9 Properties of φ,s (u) and its applications have been studied extensively by Tsai (21, 23), Tsai and Willmot (22a, 22b), Chiu and Yin (23), and Li and Garrido (25) for n = 1. Therefore, we may use the properties of φ,s (u) to analyze φ b, s (u). 3 Analysis of the Function v(u) In this section, we use the Laplace transform to solve the homogenous equation (18) and to find the two particular solutions v 1 (u) and v 2 (u) by specifying their initial conditions at u =. Let ˆv(s) = e sx v(x)dx be the Laplace transform of v(u). Taking Laplace transforms on both sides of (18) gives [ ] 1 2 σ2 s 2 + cs (λ + δ)+λ ˆp(s) ˆv(s) = σ2 2 σ2 v() s + cv() + 2 v (). (26) Since σ 2 ρ 2 /2+cρ (λ + δ)+λ ˆp(ρ) =, then (26) can be rewritten as { ( ]} )[ˆp(ρ) ˆp(s) 1 ˆv(s) Inverting it yields = 2 λ/σ 2 s + ρ +2c/σ 2 s ρ v() s + ρ +2c/σ + v()(ρ +2c/σ2 )+v () 2 (s ρ)(s + ρ +2c/σ 2 ). (27) v(u) = v(u y) g(y)dy + σ2 v() h(u) 2 c + σ2 [v()(ρ +2c/σ 2 )+v ()] e ρu h(u), u. (28) 2 c We remark that equation (28) is defective renewal equation, since g(y) is a defective density function with g(y)dy =(cρ+ σ 2 ρ 2 /2 δ)/(cρ+ σ 2 ρ 2 /2) < 1, see Gerber and Landry (1998, eq. (16)). It can be seen from Eq. (28) that v(u) is uniquely determined by initial conditions v() and v (). One can find two linearly independent solutions v 1 (u) and v 2 (u) by specifying the initial conditions v i () and v i () for i =1, 2. For example, setting v 1() = 1 and v 1 () = (ρ +2c/σ2 ) yields v 1 (u) = v 1 (u y) g(y)dy + σ2 h(u), u, (29) 2 c and setting v 2 () = and v 2() = 1 yields v 2 (u) = v 2 (u y) g(y)dy + σ2 2 c eρu h(u), u. (3) 9

10 To prove that v 1 (u) and v 2 (u) are linearly independent, we assume that there are constants c 1 and c 2 such that c 1 v 1 (u)+c 2 v 2 (u), for any u. Then we have c 1 v 1 ()+c 2 v 2 () = and c 1 v 1()+c 2 v 2() =. Solving these two equations gives c 1 = c 2 =. This proves that v 1 (u) and v 2 (u) are linearly independent. Gerber and Landry (1998, eq. (17)) have shown that φ,d (u) with φ,d () = 1 also satisfies the defective renewal equation (29). By the uniqueness of the solution of the defective renewal equation (29), we have v 1 (u) =φ,d (u). By comparing (29) and (3), we can easily prove that v 2 (u) =e ρu v 1 (u) =e ρu φ,d (u) = φ,d (u x)e ρx dx, u. It follows from (28), (29) and (3) that v(u) can be expressed as a linear combination of v 1 (u) and v s (u) as follows: v(u) =v()v 1 (u)+[v () + v()(ρ +2c/σ 2 )]v 2 (u), u. (31) Formula (31) further justifies that the general solution of integro-differential equation (18) is of the form given in (19). 4 Main Results For v 1 (u) =φ,d (u) and v 2 (u) = φ,d(u x)e ρx dx obtained in the previous section, eq. (2) and (21) give for u b : φ b, d (u) = v 1 (u) v 1 (b) v 2(b) v 2(u) φ,d = φ,d (u) (b) ρ b φ,d(b x)e ρx dx + φ,d (b) eρu φ,d (u), (32) and (22) and (23) give for u b : φ b, s (u) = φ,s (u) φ,s(b) v 2(b) v 2(u) φ,s = φ,s (u) (b) ρ b φ,d(b x)e ρx dx + φ,d (b) eρu φ,d (u). (33) In particular, if δ = and w(x, y) =1, then ρ =, and φ b, d (u) and φ b, s (u) simplify to the ruin probabilities Ψ b, d (u) and Ψ b, s (u), respectively. We have the following 1

11 results for u b : Ψ b, d (u) = Ψ,d (u) Ψ,d (b) Ψ,d (b) Ψ b, s (u) = Ψ,s (u) Ψ,s(b) Ψ,d (b) Dufresne and Gerber (1991, Eq. (4.7)) show that Ψ,d (x)dx, Ψ,d (x)dx. Φ (u) = 2(c λµ 1) Ψ σ 2,d (u), where Φ (u) is the non-ruin probability of the risk model (1). Then Ψ b, d (u) and Ψ b, s (u) can be expressed for u b as Ψ b, d (u) = Ψ,d (u) Ψ,d (b) Φ (b) Φ (u), (34) Ψ b, s (u) = Ψ,s (u) Ψ,s (b) Φ (b) Φ (u). (35) Remark: Since Ψ,s (u)+ψ,d (u) =Ψ (u) =1 Φ (u), it follows from (34) and (35) that Ψ b, d (u)+ψ b, s (u) = 1 for u b. This shows that ruin is certain under the constant dividend barrier strategy. Next, we will show that if p is rationally distributed then both v 1 and v 2 have a rational Laplace transform, which can be inverted explicitly by partial fractions as follows. Let us assume that claim size X is rationally distributed, i.e., ˆp(s) = Q m 1(s) Q m (s), R(s) (h X, ), (36) where m N +, h X := inf{s R : E[e sx ] < }, Q m is a polynomial of degree m with leading coefficient 1, Q m 1 is a polynomial of degree m 1 or less, and Q m and Q m 1 do not have any common zeros. Further, since ˆp(s) is finite for all s, with R(s) >, equation Q m (s) = has no roots with positive real parts. This class of distributions is widely used in applied probability applications, which includes, as special cases, Erlangs and phase-type, Coxian distributions, as well as mixture of them. Further discussions on rational distributions can be found in Cox (1955) and Neuts (1981, Chapter 2). Substituting (36) into (26) with v 1 () = 1 and v 1() = (ρ +2c/σ 2 ) and multiplying Q m (s) to both the denominator and numerator yields ˆv 1 (s) = (σ 2 /2)(s ρ)q m (s) [σ 2 s 2 /2+cs (λ + δ)]q m (s)+λq m 1 (s). (37) 11

12 Since [σ 2 s 2 /2+cs (λ + δ)]q m (s)+λq m 1 (s) is a polynomial of degree m +2 with leading coefficient σ 2 /2, it can be factored as m+1 [σ 2 s 2 /2+cs (λ + δ)]q m (s)+λq m 1 (s) =(σ 2 /2)(s ρ) (s + R i ), where ρ>and R 1, R 2,..., R m+1, with R(R i ) >,i =1, 2,...,m +1, are all the roots of the equation [σ 2 s 2 /2+cs (λ + δ)]q m (s) +λq m 1 (s) = on the whole complex plane. We remark ρ is also the unique positive root of the generalized Lundberg equation (24), since [σ 2 s 2 /2+cs (λ + δ)]q m (s) + λq m 1 (s) =[σ 2 s 2 /2+cs (λ+δ)+λˆp(s)]q m (s). If R 1,R 2,...,R m+1 are distinct, then by partial fractions, (37) can be rewritten as ˆv 1 (s) = m+1 Q m (s) m+1 i=1 (s + R i) = α i, (38) s + R i i=1 where α i = Q m ( R i )/ m+1 j=1,j i (R j R i ),i=1, 2,...,m+1. Inverting it gives Then we have for u v 2 (u) = v 1 (u) = v 1 (u x)e ρx dx = 5 An Example m+1 i=1 i=1 α i e R i u, u. (39) m+1 Q m (ρ) α i m+1 i=1 (ρ + R i) eρu (ρ + R i=1 i ) e R i u. (4) In this section, we will illustrate some explicit results when the claim sizes are exponentially distributed, i.e., p(x) =κe κx, x, and the Laplace transform ˆp(s) = κ/(s + κ). The equation [σ 2 s 2 /2+cs (λ + δ)](s + κ)+λκ = (41) has one positive root, say ρ, and two negative roots, say R 1, R 2. Then (39) gives v 1 (u) =φ,d (u) = κ R 1 R 2 R 1 e R 1 u + κ R 2 R 1 R 2 e R 2 u, u, 12

13 and v 2 (u) = = v 1 (u x)e ρx dx ρ + κ R 1 κ (ρ + R 1 )(ρ + R 2 ) eρu + (ρ + R 1 )(R 2 R 1 ) e R 1 u R 2 κ + (ρ + R 2 )(R 1 R 2 ) e R 2 u, u. Then (32) gives φ b, d (u) = κ R ( 1 1+ ξ ) e R 1 u + κ R ( 2 1+ ξ ) e R 2 u R 2 R 1 ρ + R 1 R 1 R 2 ρ + R 2 ξ(κ + ρ) (ρ + R 1 )(ρ + R 2 ) eρu, u b, where ξ = v 1(b)/v 2(b). The evaluation of φ b, s (u) depends on the choice of the penalty function w(x, y), e.g., if w(x, y) =1, then ω(u) = P (u) =e κu, and Tsai and Willmot (22a) show that the Laplace transform of φ,s (u) can be expressed as ˆφ,s (s) = inverting it yields λ(s + κ)[ˆω(ρ) ˆω(s)] [σ 2 s 2 /2+cs (λ + δ)](s + κ)+λκ = 2 λ/[σ2 (ρ + κ)] (s + R 1 )(s + R 2 ), (42) φ,s (u) = 2 λ [ e R 1 u e ] R 2 u, u. (43) σ 2 (ρ + κ)(r 2 R 1 ) Then (33) gives [ 1 2 λ φ b, s (u) = (R 2 R 1 ) σ 2 (ρ + κ) ς (R ] 1 κ) ρ + R [ λ + (R 1 R 2 ) σ 2 (ρ + κ) ς (R 2 κ) ρ + R 2 e R 1 u ] e R 2 u ς (ρ + κ) (ρ + R 1 )(ρ + R 2 ) eρu, where ς = φ,s(b)/v 2(b). Now, let c = 1.1, λ = 1, κ = 1, σ =.5, δ =.5, b = 1. The roots of equation (41) are: ρ =.1812, R 1 =.2264, R 2 = Then φ 1,d (u) =.8 e.2264 u e u +.17 e.1812 u, φ 1,s (u) =.76 e.2264 u.7155 e u e.1812 u, u 1. 13

14 If the discount factor δ is set to be δ =, then ρ =,R 1 =.823, R 2 = In this case, φ 1,d (u) simplifies to the ruin probability due to oscillations Ψ 1,d (u) and φ 1,s (u) simplifies to the ruin probability caused by a claim Ψ 1,s (u), which are given as follows. Ψ 1,d (u) = e u, Ψ 1,s (u) = e u, u 1. The total probability of ruin Ψ 1 (u) =Ψ 1,d (u)+ψ 1,s (u) =1, for all u 1, this is because ruin is certain under the constant barrier strategy. 6 Concluding Remarks We have shown that the two types of expected discounted penalty functions (due to oscillations and caused by a claim), for the diffusion perturbed compound Poisson risk model in presence of a constant dividend barrier, can be expressed in terms of that in the corresponding risk model without a barrier. These results can be used to analyzed some ruin related quantities, e.g., the surplus before ruin, the deficit at ruin, and the time of ruin, as did in Tsai (21, 23) and Tsai and Willmot (22b), for the classical risk model perturbed by diffusion. The results can be extended to the preturbed Sparre Andersen risk models with Erlang interclaim times in presence of of a constant dividend barrier. Acknowledgment We thank an anonymous referee for the valuable comments to improve the paper. References [1] Albrecher, H., Kainhofer, R., 22. Risk theory with a nonlinear dividend barrier. Computing, 68, [2] Albrecher, H., Claramunt, M., Marmol, M., 25. On the distribution of dividend payments in a Sparre Andersen risk model with generalized Erlang(n) interclaim times. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 37, [3] Borodin, A., Salminen, P., 22. Handbook of Brownian Motion -Facts and Formulae, Second Edition, Birkhäuser. 14

15 [4] Bühlmann, H., 197. Mathematical Methods in Risk Theory. Springer-Verlag, New York. [5] Chiu, S.N., Yin, C.C., 23. The time of ruin, the surplus prior to ruin and the deficit at ruin for the classical risk process perturbed by diffusion. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 33(1), [6] Cox, D.R., A Use of Complex Probabilities in the Theory of Stochastic Process. Proc. Camb. Plil. Soc., 51: [7] De Finetti, B., Su un impostazione alternativa dell teoria colletiva del rischio. Transactions of the XV International Congress of Actuaries, 2, [8] Dickson, D.C.M., Waters, H., 24. Some optimal dividends problems. ASTIN Bulletin, 34(1), [9] Dufresne, F., Gerber, H.U., Risk theory for the compound Poisson process that is perturbed by diffusion. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 1, [1] Gerber, H.U., 197. An extension of the renewal equation and its application in the collective theory of risk. Skandinavisk Aktuarietidskrift, [11] Gerber, H.U., Games of economic survival with discrete- and continuous-income processes. Operation Research, 2, [12] Gerber, H.U., An Introduction to Mathematical Risk Theory. Huebner Foundation, Monograph Series 8, Philadelphia. [13] Gerber. H.U., On the probability of ruin in the presence of a linear dividend barrier. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, (2), [14] Gerber, H.U., Landry, B., On the discounted penalty at ruin in a jump diffusion and the perpetual put option. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 22, [15] Gerber, H.U., Shiu, E.S.W., 24. Optimal dividends: analysis with Brownian motion. North American Actuarial Journal, 8(1), 1-2. [16] Højgaard, B., 22. Optimal dynamic premium control in non-life insurance: maximizing dividend payouts. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal,

16 [17] Li, S., 26. The distribution of the dividend payments in the compound Poisson risk model perturbed by diffusion. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, (2), [18] Li, S., Garrido, J., 24. On a class of renewal risk models with a constant dividend barrier. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 35, [19] Li, S., Garrido, J., 25. On the Gerber-Shiu function for a Sparre Andersen risk process perturbed by diffusion. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, (3), [2] Lin, X.S., Willmot, G.E., Drekic, S., 23. The classical risk model with a constant dividend barrier: Analysis of the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 33, [21] Neuts, M.F., Matrix-Geometric Solutions in Stochastic Models. Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore. [22] Paulsen, J., Gjessing, H., Optimal choice of dividend barriers for a risk process with stochastic return on investments. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2, [23] Petrovski, I.G., Ordinary Differential Equations. Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ. [24] Segerdahl, C., 197. On some distributions in time-connected with the collective theory of risk. Scandinavian. Actuarial Journal, [25] Tsai, C.C.L., 21. On the discounted distribution functions of the surplus process perturbed by diffusion. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 28, [26] Tsai, C.C.L., 23. On the expectations of the present values of the time of ruin perturbed by diffusion. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 32, [27] Tsai, C.C.L., Willmot, G.E., 22a. A generalized defective renewal equation for the surplus process perturbed by diffusion. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 3, [28] Tsai, C.C.L., Willmot, G.E., 22b. On the moments of the surplus process perturbed by diffusion. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 31,

On a discrete time risk model with delayed claims and a constant dividend barrier

On a discrete time risk model with delayed claims and a constant dividend barrier On a discrete time risk model with delayed claims and a constant dividend barrier Xueyuan Wu, Shuanming Li Centre for Actuarial Studies, Department of Economics The University of Melbourne, Parkville,

More information

The Compound Poisson Risk Model with a Threshold Dividend Strategy

The Compound Poisson Risk Model with a Threshold Dividend Strategy The Compound Poisson Risk Model with a Threshold Dividend Strategy X. Sheldon Lin Department of Statistics University of Toronto Toronto, ON, M5S 3G3 Canada tel.: (416) 946-5969 fax: (416) 978-5133 e-mail:

More information

A Ruin Model with Compound Poisson Income and Dependence Between Claim Sizes and Claim Intervals

A Ruin Model with Compound Poisson Income and Dependence Between Claim Sizes and Claim Intervals Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica, English Series Vol. 3, No. 2 (25) 445 452 DOI:.7/s255-5-478- http://www.applmath.com.cn & www.springerlink.com Acta Mathema cae Applicatae Sinica, English Series The

More information

On the discounted penalty function in a discrete time renewal risk model with general interclaim times

On the discounted penalty function in a discrete time renewal risk model with general interclaim times On the discounted penalty function in a discrete time renewal risk model with general interclaim times Xueyuan Wu, Shuanming Li Centre for Actuarial Studies, Department of Economics The University of Melbourne,

More information

A Note On The Erlang(λ, n) Risk Process

A Note On The Erlang(λ, n) Risk Process A Note On The Erlangλ, n) Risk Process Michael Bamberger and Mario V. Wüthrich Version from February 4, 2009 Abstract We consider the Erlangλ, n) risk process with i.i.d. exponentially distributed claims

More information

A RISK MODEL WITH MULTI-LAYER DIVIDEND STRATEGY

A RISK MODEL WITH MULTI-LAYER DIVIDEND STRATEGY A RISK MODEL WITH MULTI-LAYER DIVIDEND STRATEGY HANSJÖRG ALBRECHER AND JÜRGEN HARTINGER Abstract In recent years, various dividend payment strategies for the classical collective ris model have been studied

More information

The finite-time Gerber-Shiu penalty function for two classes of risk processes

The finite-time Gerber-Shiu penalty function for two classes of risk processes The finite-time Gerber-Shiu penalty function for two classes of risk processes July 10, 2014 49 th Actuarial Research Conference University of California, Santa Barbara, July 13 July 16, 2014 The finite

More information

On the probability of reaching a barrier in an Erlang(2) risk process

On the probability of reaching a barrier in an Erlang(2) risk process Statistics & Operations Research Transactions SORT 29 (2) July-December 25, 235-248 ISSN: 1696-2281 www.idescat.net/sort Statistics & Operations Research c Institut d Estadística de Transactions Catalunya

More information

Technical Report No. 10/04, Nouvember 2004 ON A CLASSICAL RISK MODEL WITH A CONSTANT DIVIDEND BARRIER Xiaowen Zhou

Technical Report No. 10/04, Nouvember 2004 ON A CLASSICAL RISK MODEL WITH A CONSTANT DIVIDEND BARRIER Xiaowen Zhou Technical Report No. 1/4, Nouvember 24 ON A CLASSICAL RISK MODEL WITH A CONSTANT DIVIDEND BARRIER Xiaowen Zhou On a classical risk model with a constant dividend barrier Xiaowen Zhou Department of Mathematics

More information

Ruin probabilities of the Parisian type for small claims

Ruin probabilities of the Parisian type for small claims Ruin probabilities of the Parisian type for small claims Angelos Dassios, Shanle Wu October 6, 28 Abstract In this paper, we extend the concept of ruin in risk theory to the Parisian type of ruin. For

More information

Discounted probabilities and ruin theory in the compound binomial model

Discounted probabilities and ruin theory in the compound binomial model Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 26 (2000) 239 250 Discounted probabilities and ruin theory in the compound binomial model Shixue Cheng a, Hans U. Gerber b,, Elias S.W. Shiu c,1 a School of Information,

More information

THE DISCOUNTED PENALTY FUNCTION AND THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE TOTAL DIVIDEND PAYMENTS IN A MULTI-THRESHOLD MARKOVIAN RISK MODEL

THE DISCOUNTED PENALTY FUNCTION AND THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE TOTAL DIVIDEND PAYMENTS IN A MULTI-THRESHOLD MARKOVIAN RISK MODEL THE DISCOUNTED PENALTY FUNCTION AND THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE TOTAL DIVIDEND PAYMENTS IN A MULTI-THRESHOLD MARKOVIAN RISK MODEL by Jingyu Chen B.Econ., Renmin University of China, 27 a Thesis submitted in

More information

On Optimal Dividends: From Reflection to Refraction

On Optimal Dividends: From Reflection to Refraction On Optimal Dividends: From Reflection to Refraction Hans U. Gerber Ecole des hautes études commerciales Université de Lausanne CH-1015 Lausanne, Switzerland Phone: 41 1 69 3371 Fax: 41 1 69 3305 E-mail:

More information

OPTIMAL DIVIDEND AND REINSURANCE UNDER THRESHOLD STRATEGY

OPTIMAL DIVIDEND AND REINSURANCE UNDER THRESHOLD STRATEGY Dynamic Systems and Applications 2 2) 93-24 OPTIAL DIVIDEND AND REINSURANCE UNDER THRESHOLD STRATEGY JINGXIAO ZHANG, SHENG LIU, AND D. KANNAN 2 Center for Applied Statistics,School of Statistics, Renmin

More information

Analysis of the ruin probability using Laplace transforms and Karamata Tauberian theorems

Analysis of the ruin probability using Laplace transforms and Karamata Tauberian theorems Analysis of the ruin probability using Laplace transforms and Karamata Tauberian theorems Corina Constantinescu and Enrique Thomann Abstract The classical result of Cramer-Lundberg states that if the rate

More information

Dividend problems in the dual risk model

Dividend problems in the dual risk model Dividend problems in the dual risk model Lourdes B. Afonso, Rui M.R. Cardoso & Alfredo D. gídio dos Reis CMA and FCT, New University of Lisbon & CMAPR and ISG, Technical University of Lisbon, Portugal

More information

University Of Calgary Department of Mathematics and Statistics

University Of Calgary Department of Mathematics and Statistics University Of Calgary Department of Mathematics and Statistics Hawkes Seminar May 23, 2018 1 / 46 Some Problems in Insurance and Reinsurance Mohamed Badaoui Department of Electrical Engineering National

More information

Finite-time Ruin Probability of Renewal Model with Risky Investment and Subexponential Claims

Finite-time Ruin Probability of Renewal Model with Risky Investment and Subexponential Claims Proceedings of the World Congress on Engineering 29 Vol II WCE 29, July 1-3, 29, London, U.K. Finite-time Ruin Probability of Renewal Model with Risky Investment and Subexponential Claims Tao Jiang Abstract

More information

Extremes and ruin of Gaussian processes

Extremes and ruin of Gaussian processes International Conference on Mathematical and Statistical Modeling in Honor of Enrique Castillo. June 28-30, 2006 Extremes and ruin of Gaussian processes Jürg Hüsler Department of Math. Statistics, University

More information

Necessary and sucient condition for the boundedness of the Gerber-Shiu function in dependent Sparre Andersen model

Necessary and sucient condition for the boundedness of the Gerber-Shiu function in dependent Sparre Andersen model Miskolc Mathematical Notes HU e-issn 1787-2413 Vol. 15 (214), No 1, pp. 159-17 OI: 1.18514/MMN.214.757 Necessary and sucient condition for the boundedness of the Gerber-Shiu function in dependent Sparre

More information

Time to Ruin for. Loss Reserves. Mubeen Hussain

Time to Ruin for. Loss Reserves. Mubeen Hussain Time to Ruin for Loss Reserves by Mubeen Hussain A Major Paper Submitted to the Faculty of Graduate Studies through the Department of Mathematics and Statistics in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements

More information

arxiv: v1 [math.pr] 19 Aug 2017

arxiv: v1 [math.pr] 19 Aug 2017 Parisian ruin for the dual risk process in discrete-time Zbigniew Palmowski a,, Lewis Ramsden b, and Apostolos D. Papaioannou b, arxiv:1708.06785v1 [math.pr] 19 Aug 2017 a Department of Applied Mathematics

More information

Threshold dividend strategies for a Markov-additive risk model

Threshold dividend strategies for a Markov-additive risk model European Actuarial Journal manuscript No. will be inserted by the editor Threshold dividend strategies for a Markov-additive risk model Lothar Breuer Received: date / Accepted: date Abstract We consider

More information

Stability of the Defect Renewal Volterra Integral Equations

Stability of the Defect Renewal Volterra Integral Equations 19th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Perth, Australia, 12 16 December 211 http://mssanz.org.au/modsim211 Stability of the Defect Renewal Volterra Integral Equations R. S. Anderssen,

More information

Upper Bounds for the Ruin Probability in a Risk Model With Interest WhosePremiumsDependonthe Backward Recurrence Time Process

Upper Bounds for the Ruin Probability in a Risk Model With Interest WhosePremiumsDependonthe Backward Recurrence Time Process Λ4flΛ4» ν ff ff χ Vol.4, No.4 211 8fl ADVANCES IN MATHEMATICS Aug., 211 Upper Bounds for the Ruin Probability in a Risk Model With Interest WhosePremiumsDependonthe Backward Recurrence Time Process HE

More information

Ruin Probability for Non-standard Poisson Risk Model with Stochastic Returns

Ruin Probability for Non-standard Poisson Risk Model with Stochastic Returns Ruin Probability for Non-standard Poisson Risk Model with Stochastic Returns Tao Jiang Abstract This paper investigates the finite time ruin probability in non-homogeneous Poisson risk model, conditional

More information

Stochastic Areas and Applications in Risk Theory

Stochastic Areas and Applications in Risk Theory Stochastic Areas and Applications in Risk Theory July 16th, 214 Zhenyu Cui Department of Mathematics Brooklyn College, City University of New York Zhenyu Cui 49th Actuarial Research Conference 1 Outline

More information

Geometric Brownian Motion Models for Assets and. Liabilities: From Pension Funding to Optimal Dividends

Geometric Brownian Motion Models for Assets and. Liabilities: From Pension Funding to Optimal Dividends Geometric Brownian Motion Models for Assets and Liabilities: From Pension Funding to Optimal Dividends Hans U. Gerber Ecole des hautes études commerciales Université de Lausanne CH-05 Lausanne, Switzerland

More information

The optimality of a dividend barrier strategy for Lévy insurance risk processes, with a focus on the univariate Erlang mixture

The optimality of a dividend barrier strategy for Lévy insurance risk processes, with a focus on the univariate Erlang mixture The optimality of a dividend barrier strategy for Lévy insurance risk processes, with a focus on the univariate Erlang mixture by Javid Ali A thesis presented to the University of Waterloo in fulfilment

More information

Measuring the effects of reinsurance by the adjustment coefficient in the Sparre Anderson model

Measuring the effects of reinsurance by the adjustment coefficient in the Sparre Anderson model Measuring the effects of reinsurance by the adjustment coefficient in the Sparre Anderson model Centeno, Maria de Lourdes CEMAPRE, ISEG, Technical University of Lisbon and Centre for Actuarial Studies,

More information

The Compound Poisson Surplus Model with Interest and Liquid Reserves: Analysis of the Gerber Shiu Discounted Penalty Function

The Compound Poisson Surplus Model with Interest and Liquid Reserves: Analysis of the Gerber Shiu Discounted Penalty Function Methodol Comput Appl Probab (29) 11:41 423 DOI 1.17/s119-7-95-6 The Compound Poisson Surplus Model with Interest Liquid Reserves: Analysis of the Gerber Shiu Discounted Penalty Function Jun Cai Runhuan

More information

Asymptotics of the Finite-time Ruin Probability for the Sparre Andersen Risk. Model Perturbed by an Inflated Stationary Chi-process

Asymptotics of the Finite-time Ruin Probability for the Sparre Andersen Risk. Model Perturbed by an Inflated Stationary Chi-process Asymptotics of the Finite-time Ruin Probability for the Sparre Andersen Risk Model Perturbed by an Inflated Stationary Chi-process Enkelejd Hashorva and Lanpeng Ji Abstract: In this paper we consider the

More information

Some Approximations on the Probability of Ruin and the Inverse Ruin Function

Some Approximations on the Probability of Ruin and the Inverse Ruin Function MATIMYÁS MATEMATIKA Journal of the Mathematical Society of the Philippines ISSN 115-6926 Vol. 38 Nos. 1-2 (215) pp. 43-5 Some Approximations on the Probability of Ruin and the Inverse Ruin Function Lu

More information

A Dynamic Contagion Process with Applications to Finance & Insurance

A Dynamic Contagion Process with Applications to Finance & Insurance A Dynamic Contagion Process with Applications to Finance & Insurance Angelos Dassios Department of Statistics London School of Economics Angelos Dassios, Hongbiao Zhao (LSE) A Dynamic Contagion Process

More information

IDLE PERIODS FOR THE FINITE G/M/1 QUEUE AND THE DEFICIT AT RUIN FOR A CASH RISK MODEL WITH CONSTANT DIVIDEND BARRIER

IDLE PERIODS FOR THE FINITE G/M/1 QUEUE AND THE DEFICIT AT RUIN FOR A CASH RISK MODEL WITH CONSTANT DIVIDEND BARRIER IDLE PERIODS FOR THE FINITE G/M/1 QUEUE AND THE DEFICIT AT RUIN FOR A CASH RISK MODEL WITH CONSTANT DIVIDEND BARRIER Andreas Löpker & David Perry December 17, 28 Abstract We consider a G/M/1 queue with

More information

Practical approaches to the estimation of the ruin probability in a risk model with additional funds

Practical approaches to the estimation of the ruin probability in a risk model with additional funds Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications (204) 67 80 DOI: 05559/5-VMSTA8 Practical approaches to the estimation of the ruin probability in a risk model with additional funds Yuliya Mishura a Olena Ragulina

More information

Ruin probabilities in multivariate risk models with periodic common shock

Ruin probabilities in multivariate risk models with periodic common shock Ruin probabilities in multivariate risk models with periodic common shock January 31, 2014 3 rd Workshop on Insurance Mathematics Universite Laval, Quebec, January 31, 2014 Ruin probabilities in multivariate

More information

A direct approach to the discounted penalty function

A direct approach to the discounted penalty function A direct approach to the discounted penalty function Hansjörg Albrecher, Hans U. Gerber and Hailiang Yang Abstract This paper provides a new and accessible approach to establishing certain results concerning

More information

Excursions of Risk Processes with Inverse Gaussian Processes and their Applications in Insurance

Excursions of Risk Processes with Inverse Gaussian Processes and their Applications in Insurance Excursions of Risk Processes with Inverse Gaussian Processes and their Applications in Insurance A thesis presented for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy Shiju Liu Department of Statistics The London

More information

arxiv: v2 [math.oc] 26 May 2015

arxiv: v2 [math.oc] 26 May 2015 Optimal dividend payments under a time of ruin constraint: Exponential claims arxiv:11.3793v [math.oc 6 May 15 Camilo Hernández Mauricio Junca July 3, 18 Astract We consider the classical optimal dividends

More information

Ruin Probabilities of a Discrete-time Multi-risk Model

Ruin Probabilities of a Discrete-time Multi-risk Model Ruin Probabilities of a Discrete-time Multi-risk Model Andrius Grigutis, Agneška Korvel, Jonas Šiaulys Faculty of Mathematics and Informatics, Vilnius University, Naugarduko 4, Vilnius LT-035, Lithuania

More information

Simulation methods in ruin models with non-linear dividend barriers

Simulation methods in ruin models with non-linear dividend barriers Simulation methods in ruin models with non-linear dividend barriers Hansjörg Albrecher, Reinhold Kainhofer, Robert F. Tichy Department of Mathematics, Graz University of Technology, Steyrergasse 3, A-8

More information

DISTRIBUTIONAL STUDY OF DE FINETTI S DIVIDEND PROBLEM FOR A GENERAL LÉVY INSURANCE RISK PROCESS

DISTRIBUTIONAL STUDY OF DE FINETTI S DIVIDEND PROBLEM FOR A GENERAL LÉVY INSURANCE RISK PROCESS J. Appl. Prob. 44, 428 443 (27) Printed in England Applied Probability Trust 27 DISTRIBUTIONAL STUDY OF DE FINETTI S DIVIDEND PROBLEM FOR A GENERAL LÉVY INSURANCE RISK PROCESS A. E. KYPRIANOU, The University

More information

A polynomial expansion to approximate ruin probabilities

A polynomial expansion to approximate ruin probabilities A polynomial expansion to approximate ruin probabilities P.O. Goffard 1 X. Guerrault 2 S. Loisel 3 D. Pommerêt 4 1 Axa France - Institut de mathématiques de Luminy Université de Aix-Marseille 2 Axa France

More information

Explicit solutions for survival probabilities in the classical risk model. Jorge M. A. Garcia

Explicit solutions for survival probabilities in the classical risk model. Jorge M. A. Garcia Explicit solutions for survival probabilities in the classical risk model Jorge M. A. Garcia CEMAPRE, ISEG, Technical University of Lisbon RuadoQuelhas,6 12-781 Lisboa, Portugal E-mail: jorgegarcia@iseg.utl.pt

More information

On a compound Markov binomial risk model with time-correlated claims

On a compound Markov binomial risk model with time-correlated claims Mathematica Aeterna, Vol. 5, 2015, no. 3, 431-440 On a compound Markov binomial risk model with time-correlated claims Zhenhua Bao School of Mathematics, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China

More information

Distribution of the first ladder height of a stationary risk process perturbed by α-stable Lévy motion

Distribution of the first ladder height of a stationary risk process perturbed by α-stable Lévy motion Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 28 (21) 13 2 Distribution of the first ladder height of a stationary risk process perturbed by α-stable Lévy motion Hanspeter Schmidli Laboratory of Actuarial Mathematics,

More information

Recursive Calculation of Finite Time Ruin Probabilities Under Interest Force

Recursive Calculation of Finite Time Ruin Probabilities Under Interest Force Recursive Calculation of Finite Time Ruin Probabilities Under Interest Force Rui M R Cardoso and Howard R Waters Abstract In this paper we consider a classical insurance surplus process affected by a constant

More information

Lecture Notes on Risk Theory

Lecture Notes on Risk Theory Lecture Notes on Risk Theory February 2, 21 Contents 1 Introduction and basic definitions 1 2 Accumulated claims in a fixed time interval 3 3 Reinsurance 7 4 Risk processes in discrete time 1 5 The Adjustment

More information

The Decompositions of the Discounted Penalty Functions and Dividends-Penalty Identity in a Markov-modulated Risk Model

The Decompositions of the Discounted Penalty Functions and Dividends-Penalty Identity in a Markov-modulated Risk Model The Deompositions of the Disounted Penalty Funtions and Dividends-Penalty Identity in a Markov-modulated Risk Model Shuanming Li a and Yi Lu b a Centre for Atuarial Studies, Department of Eonomis The University

More information

On Finite-Time Ruin Probabilities in a Risk Model Under Quota Share Reinsurance

On Finite-Time Ruin Probabilities in a Risk Model Under Quota Share Reinsurance Applied Mathematical Sciences, Vol. 11, 217, no. 53, 269-2629 HIKARI Ltd, www.m-hikari.com https://doi.org/1.12988/ams.217.7824 On Finite-Time Ruin Probabilities in a Risk Model Under Quota Share Reinsurance

More information

ESTIMATING THE PROBABILITY OF RUIN FOR VARIABLE PREMIUMS BY SIMULATION. University of Lausanne, Switzerland

ESTIMATING THE PROBABILITY OF RUIN FOR VARIABLE PREMIUMS BY SIMULATION. University of Lausanne, Switzerland ESTIMATING THE PROBABILITY OF RUIN FOR VARIABLE PREMIUMS BY SIMULATION BY FREDERIC MICHAUD University of Lausanne, Switzerland ABSTRACT There is a duality between the surplus process of classical risk

More information

Rare event simulation for the ruin problem with investments via importance sampling and duality

Rare event simulation for the ruin problem with investments via importance sampling and duality Rare event simulation for the ruin problem with investments via importance sampling and duality Jerey Collamore University of Copenhagen Joint work with Anand Vidyashankar (GMU) and Guoqing Diao (GMU).

More information

ABC methods for phase-type distributions with applications in insurance risk problems

ABC methods for phase-type distributions with applications in insurance risk problems ABC methods for phase-type with applications problems Concepcion Ausin, Department of Statistics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid Joint work with: Pedro Galeano, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid Simon

More information

The equivalence of two tax processes

The equivalence of two tax processes The equivalence of two ta processes Dalal Al Ghanim Ronnie Loeffen Ale Watson 6th November 218 arxiv:1811.1664v1 [math.pr] 5 Nov 218 We introduce two models of taation, the latent and natural ta processes,

More information

Reinsurance and ruin problem: asymptotics in the case of heavy-tailed claims

Reinsurance and ruin problem: asymptotics in the case of heavy-tailed claims Reinsurance and ruin problem: asymptotics in the case of heavy-tailed claims Serguei Foss Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh Karlovasi, Samos 3 June, 2010 (Joint work with Tomasz Rolski and Stan Zachary

More information

A review of discrete-time risk models. Shuanming Li, Yi Lu and José Garrido

A review of discrete-time risk models. Shuanming Li, Yi Lu and José Garrido RACSAM Rev. R. Acad. Cien. Serie A. Mat. VOL. 103 (2), 2009, pp. 321 337 Matemática Aplicada / Applied Mathematics Artículo panorámico / Survey A review of discrete-time risk models Shuanming Li, Yi Lu

More information

An optimal dividends problem with a terminal value for spectrally negative Lévy processes with a completely monotone jump density

An optimal dividends problem with a terminal value for spectrally negative Lévy processes with a completely monotone jump density An optimal dividends problem with a terminal value for spectrally negative Lévy processes with a completely monotone jump density R.L. Loeffen Radon Institute for Computational and Applied Mathematics,

More information

A LOGARITHMIC EFFICIENT ESTIMATOR OF THE PROBABILITY OF RUIN WITH RECUPERATION FOR SPECTRALLY NEGATIVE LEVY RISK PROCESSES.

A LOGARITHMIC EFFICIENT ESTIMATOR OF THE PROBABILITY OF RUIN WITH RECUPERATION FOR SPECTRALLY NEGATIVE LEVY RISK PROCESSES. A LOGARITHMIC EFFICIENT ESTIMATOR OF THE PROBABILITY OF RUIN WITH RECUPERATION FOR SPECTRALLY NEGATIVE LEVY RISK PROCESSES Riccardo Gatto Submitted: April 204 Revised: July 204 Abstract This article provides

More information

ON MATRIX EXPONENTIAL APPROXIMATIONS OF RUIN PROBABILITIES FOR THE CLASSIC AND BROWNIAN PERTURBED CRAMÉR-LUNDBERG PROCESSES

ON MATRIX EXPONENTIAL APPROXIMATIONS OF RUIN PROBABILITIES FOR THE CLASSIC AND BROWNIAN PERTURBED CRAMÉR-LUNDBERG PROCESSES ON MATRIX EXPONENTIAL APPROXIMATIONS OF RUIN PROBABILITIES FOR THE CLASSIC AND BROWNIAN PERTURBED CRAMÉR-LUNDBERG PROCESSES F. AVRAM AND M. PISTORIUS Abstract. Padé rational approximations are a very convenient

More information

Ruin probability and optimal dividend policy for models with investment

Ruin probability and optimal dividend policy for models with investment Ruin probability optimal dividend policy for models with investment PhD Thesis Martin Hunting Department of Mathematics University of Bergen i Abstract In most countries the authorities impose capital

More information

Scale functions for spectrally negative Lévy processes and their appearance in economic models

Scale functions for spectrally negative Lévy processes and their appearance in economic models Scale functions for spectrally negative Lévy processes and their appearance in economic models Andreas E. Kyprianou 1 Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Bath 1 This is a review talk and

More information

Bridging Risk Measures and Classical Risk Processes

Bridging Risk Measures and Classical Risk Processes Bridging Risk Measures and Classical Risk Processes Wenjun Jiang A Thesis for The Department of Mathematics and Statistics Presented in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master

More information

Vsevolod K. Malinovskii

Vsevolod K. Malinovskii ZONE-ADAPTIVE CONTROL STRATEGY FOR A MULTIPERIODIC MODEL OF RISK Vsevolod K. Malinovskii http://www.actuaries.fa.ru/eng AGENDA 1. Introduction: deficiency of traditional Risk Theory 2. Managing solvency:

More information

OPTIMAL COMBINED DIVIDEND AND PROPORTIONAL REINSURANCE POLICY

OPTIMAL COMBINED DIVIDEND AND PROPORTIONAL REINSURANCE POLICY Communications on Stochastic Analysis Vol. 8, No. 1 (214) 17-26 Serials Publications www.serialspublications.com OPTIMAL COMBINED DIVIDEND AND POPOTIONAL EINSUANCE POLICY EIYOTI CHIKODZA AND JULIUS N.

More information

THREE METHODS TO CALCULATE THE PROBABILITY OF RUIN. University of Lausanne, Switzerland

THREE METHODS TO CALCULATE THE PROBABILITY OF RUIN. University of Lausanne, Switzerland THREE METHODS TO CALCULATE THE PROBABILITY OF RUIN BY FRANCOIS DUFRESNE AND HANS U. GERBER University of Lausanne, Switzerland ABSTRACT The first method, essentially due to GOOVAERTS and DE VYLDER, uses

More information

Minimization of ruin probabilities by investment under transaction costs

Minimization of ruin probabilities by investment under transaction costs Minimization of ruin probabilities by investment under transaction costs Stefan Thonhauser DSA, HEC, Université de Lausanne 13 th Scientific Day, Bonn, 3.4.214 Outline Introduction Risk models and controls

More information

On the Optimal Dividend Problem for Insurance Risk Models with Surplus-Dependent Premiums

On the Optimal Dividend Problem for Insurance Risk Models with Surplus-Dependent Premiums J Optim Theory Appl (216) 168:723 742 DOI 1.17/s1957-15-755-3 On the Optimal Dividend Problem for Insurance Risk Models with Surplus-Dependent Premiums Ewa Marciniak 1 Zbigniew Palmowski 2 Received: 18

More information

Ruin probabilities in a finite-horizon risk model with investment and reinsurance

Ruin probabilities in a finite-horizon risk model with investment and reinsurance Ruin probabilities in a finite-horizon risk model with investment and reinsurance R. Romera and W. Runggaldier University Carlos III de Madrid and University of Padova July 3, 2012 Abstract A finite horizon

More information

A Study of the Impact of a Bonus-Malus System in Finite and Continuous Time Ruin Probabilities in Motor Insurance

A Study of the Impact of a Bonus-Malus System in Finite and Continuous Time Ruin Probabilities in Motor Insurance A Study of the Impact of a Bonus-Malus System in Finite and Continuous Time Ruin Probabilities in Motor Insurance L.B. Afonso, R.M.R. Cardoso, A.D. Egídio dos Reis, G.R Guerreiro This work was partially

More information

Bayesian quickest detection problems for some diffusion processes

Bayesian quickest detection problems for some diffusion processes Bayesian quickest detection problems for some diffusion processes Pavel V. Gapeev Albert N. Shiryaev We study the Bayesian problems of detecting a change in the drift rate of an observable diffusion process

More information

Type II Bivariate Generalized Power Series Poisson Distribution and its Applications in Risk Analysis

Type II Bivariate Generalized Power Series Poisson Distribution and its Applications in Risk Analysis Type II Bivariate Generalized Power Series Poisson Distribution and its Applications in Ris Analysis KK Jose a, and Shalitha Jacob a,b a Department of Statistics, St Thomas College, Pala, Arunapuram, Kerala-686574,

More information

Modelling the risk process

Modelling the risk process Modelling the risk process Krzysztof Burnecki Hugo Steinhaus Center Wroc law University of Technology www.im.pwr.wroc.pl/ hugo Modelling the risk process 1 Risk process If (Ω, F, P) is a probability space

More information

LECTURE 2: LOCAL TIME FOR BROWNIAN MOTION

LECTURE 2: LOCAL TIME FOR BROWNIAN MOTION LECTURE 2: LOCAL TIME FOR BROWNIAN MOTION We will define local time for one-dimensional Brownian motion, and deduce some of its properties. We will then use the generalized Ray-Knight theorem proved in

More information

Ruin Theory. A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science at George Mason University

Ruin Theory. A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science at George Mason University Ruin Theory A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science at George Mason University by Ashley Fehr Bachelor of Science West Virginia University, Spring

More information

Monotonicity and Aging Properties of Random Sums

Monotonicity and Aging Properties of Random Sums Monotonicity and Aging Properties of Random Sums Jun Cai and Gordon E. Willmot Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science University of Waterloo Waterloo, Ontario Canada N2L 3G1 E-mail: jcai@uwaterloo.ca,

More information

arxiv: v2 [q-fin.gn] 26 Nov 2009

arxiv: v2 [q-fin.gn] 26 Nov 2009 arxiv:96.21v2 [q-fin.gn] 26 Nov 29 De Finetti s dividend problem and impulse control for a two-dimensional insurance risk process Irmina Czarna Zbigniew Palmowski November 27, 29 Abstract. Consider two

More information

f X (x) = λe λx, , x 0, k 0, λ > 0 Γ (k) f X (u)f X (z u)du

f X (x) = λe λx, , x 0, k 0, λ > 0 Γ (k) f X (u)f X (z u)du 11 COLLECTED PROBLEMS Do the following problems for coursework 1. Problems 11.4 and 11.5 constitute one exercise leading you through the basic ruin arguments. 2. Problems 11.1 through to 11.13 but excluding

More information

TRANSACTIONS OF SOCIETY OF ACTUARIES 1992 VOL. 44 A PRACTICAL ALGORITHM FOR APPROXIMATING THE PROBABILITY OF RUIN COLIN M.

TRANSACTIONS OF SOCIETY OF ACTUARIES 1992 VOL. 44 A PRACTICAL ALGORITHM FOR APPROXIMATING THE PROBABILITY OF RUIN COLIN M. TRANSACTIONS OF SOCIETY OF ACTUARIES 1992 VOL. 44 A PRACTICAL ALGORITHM FOR APPROXIMATING THE PROBABILITY OF RUIN COLIN M. RAMSAY ABSTRACT For a compound Poisson process, the sequence of record jumps generated

More information

Ruin problems for a discrete time risk model with non-homogeneous conditions. 1 A non-homogeneous discrete time risk model

Ruin problems for a discrete time risk model with non-homogeneous conditions. 1 A non-homogeneous discrete time risk model Ruin problems for a discrete time risk model with non-homogeneous conditions ANNA CASTAÑER a, M. MERCÈ CLARAMUNT a, MAUDE GATHY b, CLAUDE LEFÈVRE b, 1 and MAITE MÁRMOL a a Universitat de Barcelona, Departament

More information

Applications of claim investigation in insurance surplus and claims models

Applications of claim investigation in insurance surplus and claims models Applications of claim investigation in insurance surplus and claims models by Mirabelle Huynh A thesis presented to the University of Waterloo in fulfillment of the thesis requirement for the degree of

More information

Optimal Dividend Strategies for Two Collaborating Insurance Companies

Optimal Dividend Strategies for Two Collaborating Insurance Companies Optimal Dividend Strategies for Two Collaborating Insurance Companies Hansjörg Albrecher, Pablo Azcue and Nora Muler Abstract We consider a two-dimensional optimal dividend problem in the context of two

More information

Multi-dimensional Stochastic Singular Control Via Dynkin Game and Dirichlet Form

Multi-dimensional Stochastic Singular Control Via Dynkin Game and Dirichlet Form Multi-dimensional Stochastic Singular Control Via Dynkin Game and Dirichlet Form Yipeng Yang * Under the supervision of Dr. Michael Taksar Department of Mathematics University of Missouri-Columbia Oct

More information

HJB equations. Seminar in Stochastic Modelling in Economics and Finance January 10, 2011

HJB equations. Seminar in Stochastic Modelling in Economics and Finance January 10, 2011 Department of Probability and Mathematical Statistics Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, Charles University in Prague petrasek@karlin.mff.cuni.cz Seminar in Stochastic Modelling in Economics and Finance

More information

Chapter 2. Poisson Processes. Prof. Shun-Ren Yang Department of Computer Science, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan

Chapter 2. Poisson Processes. Prof. Shun-Ren Yang Department of Computer Science, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan Chapter 2. Poisson Processes Prof. Shun-Ren Yang Department of Computer Science, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan Outline Introduction to Poisson Processes Definition of arrival process Definition

More information

The multidimensional Ito Integral and the multidimensional Ito Formula. Eric Mu ller June 1, 2015 Seminar on Stochastic Geometry and its applications

The multidimensional Ito Integral and the multidimensional Ito Formula. Eric Mu ller June 1, 2015 Seminar on Stochastic Geometry and its applications The multidimensional Ito Integral and the multidimensional Ito Formula Eric Mu ller June 1, 215 Seminar on Stochastic Geometry and its applications page 2 Seminar on Stochastic Geometry and its applications

More information

Stochastic Volatility and Correction to the Heat Equation

Stochastic Volatility and Correction to the Heat Equation Stochastic Volatility and Correction to the Heat Equation Jean-Pierre Fouque, George Papanicolaou and Ronnie Sircar Abstract. From a probabilist s point of view the Twentieth Century has been a century

More information

Recursive methods for a multi-dimensional risk process with common shocks. Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License

Recursive methods for a multi-dimensional risk process with common shocks. Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License Title Recursive methods for a multi-dimensional risk process with common shocks Author(s) Gong, L; Badescu, AL; Cheung, ECK Citation Insurance: Mathematics And Economics, 212, v. 5 n. 1, p. 19-12 Issued

More information

Multivariate Risk Processes with Interacting Intensities

Multivariate Risk Processes with Interacting Intensities Multivariate Risk Processes with Interacting Intensities Nicole Bäuerle (joint work with Rudolf Grübel) Luminy, April 2010 Outline Multivariate pure birth processes Multivariate Risk Processes Fluid Limits

More information

Tail Conditional Expectations for. Extended Exponential Dispersion Models

Tail Conditional Expectations for. Extended Exponential Dispersion Models Tail Conditional Expectations for Extended Exponential Dispersion Models A Thesis Presented to the Faculty of the Department of Mathematical Sciences Middle Tennessee State University In Partial Fulfillment

More information

Erik J. Baurdoux Some excursion calculations for reflected Lévy processes

Erik J. Baurdoux Some excursion calculations for reflected Lévy processes Erik J. Baurdoux Some excursion calculations for reflected Lévy processes Article (Accepted version) (Refereed) Original citation: Baurdoux, Erik J. (29) Some excursion calculations for reflected Lévy

More information

THE FAST FOURIER TRANSFORM ALGORITHM IN RUIN THEORY FOR THE CLASSICAL RISK MODEL

THE FAST FOURIER TRANSFORM ALGORITHM IN RUIN THEORY FOR THE CLASSICAL RISK MODEL y y THE FST FORIER TRNSFORM LGORITHM IN RIN THEORY FOR THE CLSSICL RISK MODEL Susan M. itts niversity of Cambridge bstract We focus on numerical evaluation of some quantities of interest in ruin theory,

More information

A Change of Variable Formula with Local Time-Space for Bounded Variation Lévy Processes with Application to Solving the American Put Option Problem 1

A Change of Variable Formula with Local Time-Space for Bounded Variation Lévy Processes with Application to Solving the American Put Option Problem 1 Chapter 3 A Change of Variable Formula with Local Time-Space for Bounded Variation Lévy Processes with Application to Solving the American Put Option Problem 1 Abstract We establish a change of variable

More information

Optimal Impulse Control for Cash Management with Two Sources of Short-term Funds

Optimal Impulse Control for Cash Management with Two Sources of Short-term Funds The Eighth International Symposium on Operations Research and Its Applications (ISORA 09) Zhangjiajie, China, September 20 22, 2009 Copyright 2009 ORSC & APORC, pp. 323 331 Optimal Impulse Control for

More information

Shadow prices and well-posedness in the problem of optimal investment and consumption with transaction costs

Shadow prices and well-posedness in the problem of optimal investment and consumption with transaction costs Shadow prices and well-posedness in the problem of optimal investment and consumption with transaction costs Mihai Sîrbu, The University of Texas at Austin based on joint work with Jin Hyuk Choi and Gordan

More information

Polynomial approximation of mutivariate aggregate claim amounts distribution

Polynomial approximation of mutivariate aggregate claim amounts distribution Polynomial approximation of mutivariate aggregate claim amounts distribution Applications to reinsurance P.O. Goffard Axa France - Mathematics Institute of Marseille I2M Aix-Marseille University 19 th

More information

On Finite-Time Ruin Probabilities for Classical Risk Models

On Finite-Time Ruin Probabilities for Classical Risk Models On Finite-Time Ruin Probabilities for Classical Risk Models Claude Lefèvre, Stéphane Loisel To cite this version: Claude Lefèvre, Stéphane Loisel. On Finite-Time Ruin Probabilities for Classical Risk Models.

More information

Nonlife Actuarial Models. Chapter 5 Ruin Theory

Nonlife Actuarial Models. Chapter 5 Ruin Theory Nonlife Actuarial Models Chapter 5 Ruin Theory Learning Objectives 1. Surplus function, premium rate and loss process 2. Probability of ultimate ruin 3. Probability of ruin before a finite time 4. Adjustment

More information

Worst-Case-Optimal Dynamic Reinsurance for Large Claims

Worst-Case-Optimal Dynamic Reinsurance for Large Claims Worst-Case-Optimal Dynamic Reinsurance for Large Claims by Olaf Menkens School of Mathematical Sciences Dublin City University (joint work with Ralf Korn and Mogens Steffensen) LUH-Kolloquium Versicherungs-

More information

Renewal processes and Queues

Renewal processes and Queues Renewal processes and Queues Last updated by Serik Sagitov: May 6, 213 Abstract This Stochastic Processes course is based on the book Probabilities and Random Processes by Geoffrey Grimmett and David Stirzaker.

More information