Transform Techniques - CF
|
|
- Jordan Jenkins
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Transform Techniques - CF [eview] Moment Generating Function For a real t, the MGF of the random variable is t t M () t E[ e ] e Characteristic Function (CF) k t k For a real ω, the characteristic function of is e p ( ) discrete t Φ ( ω) Ee [ ] e k e f ( ) d continuous k e k p ( ) discrete j k ω e f ( ) d continuous Note. Compare the CF with the common definition of the Fourier trasnform: Φ ( ω) t j t e dt. f ( ) ω is the Fourier transform of the pdf with ω in place of ω. So we can make use of the properties of the Fourier transform. For clarity, we will use the following notation, Positive Fourier Trasnform: F ( ω) f j f ( ) Φ ( ω) ( ω) Φ Probability Generating Function (often called as z-transform) For a discrete non-negative integer random variable, the PGF is n [ ] n G ( z) Ez z z P n z: comple variable When is an integer rv, PGF is more convenient than MGF or CF. We can make use of the properties of the z-transform.
2 Properties of Characteristic Functions Find the moment ecall from the MGF: t t t e + t + + +!! t t t t M () t E[ e ] e + t + + +!! m ( m) d m M () M ( t) m dt t With the characteristic function, e !! m ( m) d m m () ( ω) j m dω ω Φ ( ω) Ee [ ] e !! Φ Φ Can show two random variables have the same probability distribution Φ ( ω) ΦY( ω) f( u) fy( u) If two random variables and Y have the same characteristic function, and Y have the same probability distribution. Sum of Independent Vs Consider Z + Y. If and Y are independent random variables with Φ ( ω) and Φ ( ω) respectively, then Φ ( ω) Φ ( ω) Φ ( ω) Z Y Y
3 CF of Eponential pdf ( λ) Let ~ Ep. () λt f () t λe u t λ M () t t < λ λ t λ Φ ( ω) defined for all ω λ Compare with original FT ( c ) e λt () u t F λ > λ+ e λt () u t λ CF of Gaussian pdf ( σ ) Let ~ N m,. M () t e Φ ( ω) e σ mt+ t σ jmω ω T of cdf From the properties of the original Fourier transform, F f F f d j F ( τ) τ ( ω) + π δ( ω) where δ ω is the unit impulse function. Therefore the Positive Fourier transform will result in F f d j ( τ) τ ( ω) + π δ( ω) Φ + Φ ( ω) π δ( ω)
4 4 However Φ f ( ) d always equals in our application. Thus we have f CF ( ) Φ ( ω) F f d c CF ( τ) τ Φ ( ω) + πδ( ω) Eample. Fourier Transform of Eponential cdf ( λ) Let ~ Ep. λ f ( ) λe λ ( ) We can wrtite eq.c as where u F e c λ ( 4) F u e u c is the unit step function. the Positive Fourier transform of the cdf can be found from { } { F ( ) } { } λ { } From the Fourier tranform table,, taking the opposite sign of ω, Thus we have F u e u { u( ) } + πδ ( ω ) λ { e u( ) } λ λ λ + πδ ω. ( c5) { F ( ) } Alternatively we can find from eq.c and c, λ λ { F ( ) } + πδ ( ω) which is indentical to eq.c5
5 5 esidual Life Inter-arrival Time with F ( ) Age esidual Life andom Observation Instance time Eample. Eponential inter-arrival time. ( λ ) is the inter-arrival time. Suppose Ep. What is? Two different, intuitive answers are possible. First, since and the random entry time can be anywhere within the interval we enter, λ. λ Secondly, since the Poisson arrival process is memoryless, the net arrival occurs after an eponential rv and thus. λ Which answer is right? Eample. Bernoulli inter-arrival time. is the inter-arrival time. Suppose with prob with prob Let be the length of the interval we enter randomly. What is P? [ ] Eample. In general, Compare and. is the inter-arrival time. Suppose with prob p with prob p Let be the length of the interval we enter randomly. p with prob p + p p with prob p + p
6 6 We can see that, in general for any distribution of, [ ] P[ ] [ ] f P P i i i for discrete for continuous Theorem. esidual Life n+ Let be the inter-arrival time with cdf F. F r f r for r n ( n+ ) Proof In particular, ( + C ) Let denote the random variable that measures the length of the interval we enter randomly. Write [ ] f ( ) Δ P f ( ) Δ o f ( ) k f ( ) for some constant k. o k is found from the requirement that f ( ) d should be k f ( ) d k k o f ( ) f o r Now consider the joint pdf f ( r, )., f (, r ) f () f ( r ), f noting f ( r ) provided r ( ) f ( ) r
7 7 f () r f (, r ) d r, ( ) d F ( r) r eq. r is the pdf of the residual life. r f ( r ) Taking T (Positive Fourier Transform) of eq. r and using eq. c, Φ ( ω) Differentiating eq. r, { u( r) } F ( r) ( ω) { } + πδ ( ω ) ( ω ) πδ ( ω ) Φ + Φ j ω ( r) () Φ ( ω) j () ( ω) ω ( ω) Φ Φ ω () ωφ ω +Φ ω j ω ( r) ( m) m m ecall Φ () j for any. From eq.. r, () () ωφ () lim ω +Φ ω Φ j ω ω using L'Hospital's rule () ( ) ( ω) () Φ ω ωφ ω +Φ ω lim j ω ω Φ lim j 4 ω ( r )
8 8 Eq.4 r says j j or j ( r5) A more popular form of eq.r5 is + + σ ( C ) ( r6) which is the mean of the residual life. For a deterministic, periodic arrival process, C and thus. For an eponential, C and thus. Homework. Derive the nd moment of Show. Note. + ( C ) + C We note and if and only if C. For an eponential, C and thus. Now we understand why we wait at a bus stop longer during a busy hour than non-busy.
9 9 Eample. Bernoulli inter-arrival time. Suppose the inter-arrival time is either or with equal probabilities. Find the mean value and the pdf of the residual life. Solution. Find the coefficient of variation of. σ C σ C Find the average residual life ( + C ) Find the distribution of the residual life F () r f r u( r) f ( ) ( ) + δ( ) δ F ( ) u( ) + u( ) F ( r) U(,) + U(,) f () r U(,) + U(,) b f ( r) r
10 A simple intuitive approach is as follows: When we enter the arrival process at a random time, the interval we enter is with prob and is with prob. Therefore the residual life is U (,) with prob and is U (,) with prob. f () (,) r U + U(,) which is same as eq. b. U (,) U (,) + r r Eample. Bernoulli inter-arrival time. Consider the following two cases. In the first case, is either or with equal probabilities. In the second case, alternates between and. Compare the resulting residual lives. Same or different? Homework. Two periodic arrivals: Arrival Process : periodic with period Arrival Process : periodic with period The starting times of the two arrival processes are chosen randomly. source arrivals θ θ t source arrivals Find the mean value and the pdf of the residual life.
Transform Techniques - CF
Transform Techniques - CF [eview] Moment Generating Function For a real t, the MGF of the random variable is t t M () t E[ e ] e Characteristic Function (CF) k t k For a real ω, the characteristic function
More informationTransform Techniques - CF
Transform Techniques - CF [eview] Moment Generating Function For a real t, the MGF of the random variable is t e k p ( k) discrete t t k M () t E[ e ] e t e f d continuous Characteristic Function (CF)
More informationRandom variable X is a mapping that maps each outcome s in the sample space to a unique real number x, x. X s. Real Line
Random Variable Random variable is a mapping that maps each outcome s in the sample space to a unique real number,. s s : outcome Sample Space Real Line Eamples Toss a coin. Define the random variable
More informationRandom variable X is a mapping that maps each outcome s in the sample space to a unique real number x, < x <. ( ) X s. Real Line
Random Variable Random variable is a mapping that maps each outcome s in the sample space to a unique real number, <
More informationMath 180A. Lecture 16 Friday May 7 th. Expectation. Recall the three main probability density functions so far (1) Uniform (2) Exponential.
Math 8A Lecture 6 Friday May 7 th Epectation Recall the three main probability density functions so far () Uniform () Eponential (3) Power Law e, ( ), Math 8A Lecture 6 Friday May 7 th Epectation Eample
More informationRandom variables. DS GA 1002 Probability and Statistics for Data Science.
Random variables DS GA 1002 Probability and Statistics for Data Science http://www.cims.nyu.edu/~cfgranda/pages/dsga1002_fall17 Carlos Fernandez-Granda Motivation Random variables model numerical quantities
More informationEE/CpE 345. Modeling and Simulation. Fall Class 5 September 30, 2002
EE/CpE 345 Modeling and Simulation Class 5 September 30, 2002 Statistical Models in Simulation Real World phenomena of interest Sample phenomena select distribution Probabilistic, not deterministic Model
More informationExponential Distribution and Poisson Process
Exponential Distribution and Poisson Process Stochastic Processes - Lecture Notes Fatih Cavdur to accompany Introduction to Probability Models by Sheldon M. Ross Fall 215 Outline Introduction Exponential
More informationSystem Simulation Part II: Mathematical and Statistical Models Chapter 5: Statistical Models
System Simulation Part II: Mathematical and Statistical Models Chapter 5: Statistical Models Fatih Cavdur fatihcavdur@uludag.edu.tr March 29, 2014 Introduction Introduction The world of the model-builder
More informationChapter 2. Random Variable. Define single random variables in terms of their PDF and CDF, and calculate moments such as the mean and variance.
Chapter 2 Random Variable CLO2 Define single random variables in terms of their PDF and CDF, and calculate moments such as the mean and variance. 1 1. Introduction In Chapter 1, we introduced the concept
More informationThe exponential distribution and the Poisson process
The exponential distribution and the Poisson process 1-1 Exponential Distribution: Basic Facts PDF f(t) = { λe λt, t 0 0, t < 0 CDF Pr{T t) = 0 t λe λu du = 1 e λt (t 0) Mean E[T] = 1 λ Variance Var[T]
More information[Chapter 6. Functions of Random Variables]
[Chapter 6. Functions of Random Variables] 6.1 Introduction 6.2 Finding the probability distribution of a function of random variables 6.3 The method of distribution functions 6.5 The method of Moment-generating
More informationThings to remember when learning probability distributions:
SPECIAL DISTRIBUTIONS Some distributions are special because they are useful They include: Poisson, exponential, Normal (Gaussian), Gamma, geometric, negative binomial, Binomial and hypergeometric distributions
More informationContinuous-time Markov Chains
Continuous-time Markov Chains Gonzalo Mateos Dept. of ECE and Goergen Institute for Data Science University of Rochester gmateosb@ece.rochester.edu http://www.ece.rochester.edu/~gmateosb/ October 23, 2017
More informationChapter 3, 4 Random Variables ENCS Probability and Stochastic Processes. Concordia University
Chapter 3, 4 Random Variables ENCS6161 - Probability and Stochastic Processes Concordia University ENCS6161 p.1/47 The Notion of a Random Variable A random variable X is a function that assigns a real
More informationIntroduction to Probability Theory for Graduate Economics Fall 2008
Introduction to Probability Theory for Graduate Economics Fall 008 Yiğit Sağlam October 10, 008 CHAPTER - RANDOM VARIABLES AND EXPECTATION 1 1 Random Variables A random variable (RV) is a real-valued function
More informationn px p x (1 p) n x. p x n(n 1)... (n x + 1) x!
Lectures 3-4 jacques@ucsd.edu 7. Classical discrete distributions D. The Poisson Distribution. If a coin with heads probability p is flipped independently n times, then the number of heads is Bin(n, p)
More informationChapter 5. Chapter 5 sections
1 / 43 sections Discrete univariate distributions: 5.2 Bernoulli and Binomial distributions Just skim 5.3 Hypergeometric distributions 5.4 Poisson distributions Just skim 5.5 Negative Binomial distributions
More informationLecture Notes 2 Random Variables. Discrete Random Variables: Probability mass function (pmf)
Lecture Notes 2 Random Variables Definition Discrete Random Variables: Probability mass function (pmf) Continuous Random Variables: Probability density function (pdf) Mean and Variance Cumulative Distribution
More informationLecture Notes 2 Random Variables. Random Variable
Lecture Notes 2 Random Variables Definition Discrete Random Variables: Probability mass function (pmf) Continuous Random Variables: Probability density function (pdf) Mean and Variance Cumulative Distribution
More informationRecap. Probability, stochastic processes, Markov chains. ELEC-C7210 Modeling and analysis of communication networks
Recap Probability, stochastic processes, Markov chains ELEC-C7210 Modeling and analysis of communication networks 1 Recap: Probability theory important distributions Discrete distributions Geometric distribution
More informationChapter 2. Discrete Distributions
Chapter. Discrete Distributions Objectives ˆ Basic Concepts & Epectations ˆ Binomial, Poisson, Geometric, Negative Binomial, and Hypergeometric Distributions ˆ Introduction to the Maimum Likelihood Estimation
More informationChapter 5. Statistical Models in Simulations 5.1. Prof. Dr. Mesut Güneş Ch. 5 Statistical Models in Simulations
Chapter 5 Statistical Models in Simulations 5.1 Contents Basic Probability Theory Concepts Discrete Distributions Continuous Distributions Poisson Process Empirical Distributions Useful Statistical Models
More informationComputer Science, Informatik 4 Communication and Distributed Systems. Simulation. Discrete-Event System Simulation. Dr.
Simulation Discrete-Event System Simulation Chapter 4 Statistical Models in Simulation Purpose & Overview The world the model-builder sees is probabilistic rather than deterministic. Some statistical model
More informationIntro to Queueing Theory
1 Intro to Queueing Theory Little s Law M/G/1 queue Conservation Law 1/31/017 M/G/1 queue (Simon S. Lam) 1 Little s Law No assumptions applicable to any system whose arrivals and departures are observable
More informationM/G/1 and M/G/1/K systems
M/G/1 and M/G/1/K systems Dmitri A. Moltchanov dmitri.moltchanov@tut.fi http://www.cs.tut.fi/kurssit/elt-53606/ OUTLINE: Description of M/G/1 system; Methods of analysis; Residual life approach; Imbedded
More informationChapter 3 Common Families of Distributions
Lecture 9 on BST 631: Statistical Theory I Kui Zhang, 9/3/8 and 9/5/8 Review for the previous lecture Definition: Several commonly used discrete distributions, including discrete uniform, hypergeometric,
More informationECS /1 Part IV.2 Dr.Prapun
Sirindhorn International Institute of Technology Thammasat University School of Information, Computer and Communication Technology ECS35 4/ Part IV. Dr.Prapun.4 Families of Continuous Random Variables
More informationACM 116 Problem Set 4 Solutions
ACM 6 Problem Set 4 Solutions Lei Zhang Problem Answer (a) is correct. Suppose I arrive at time t, and the first arrival after t is bus N i + and occurs at time T Ni+. Let W t = T Ni+ t, which is the waiting
More informationProbability Distributions Columns (a) through (d)
Discrete Probability Distributions Columns (a) through (d) Probability Mass Distribution Description Notes Notation or Density Function --------------------(PMF or PDF)-------------------- (a) (b) (c)
More informationLecture 4a: Continuous-Time Markov Chain Models
Lecture 4a: Continuous-Time Markov Chain Models Continuous-time Markov chains are stochastic processes whose time is continuous, t [0, ), but the random variables are discrete. Prominent examples of continuous-time
More informationECON 5350 Class Notes Review of Probability and Distribution Theory
ECON 535 Class Notes Review of Probability and Distribution Theory 1 Random Variables Definition. Let c represent an element of the sample space C of a random eperiment, c C. A random variable is a one-to-one
More informationContinuous Distributions
Chapter 3 Continuous Distributions 3.1 Continuous-Type Data In Chapter 2, we discuss random variables whose space S contains a countable number of outcomes (i.e. of discrete type). In Chapter 3, we study
More informationSignals and Spectra - Review
Signals and Spectra - Review SIGNALS DETERMINISTIC No uncertainty w.r.t. the value of a signal at any time Modeled by mathematical epressions RANDOM some degree of uncertainty before the signal occurs
More informationContinuous Distributions
A normal distribution and other density functions involving exponential forms play the most important role in probability and statistics. They are related in a certain way, as summarized in a diagram later
More informationSTAT/MATH 395 A - PROBABILITY II UW Winter Quarter Moment functions. x r p X (x) (1) E[X r ] = x r f X (x) dx (2) (x E[X]) r p X (x) (3)
STAT/MATH 395 A - PROBABILITY II UW Winter Quarter 07 Néhémy Lim Moment functions Moments of a random variable Definition.. Let X be a rrv on probability space (Ω, A, P). For a given r N, E[X r ], if it
More informationSDS 321: Introduction to Probability and Statistics
SDS 321: Introduction to Probability and Statistics Lecture 14: Continuous random variables Purnamrita Sarkar Department of Statistics and Data Science The University of Texas at Austin www.cs.cmu.edu/
More informationSimulating events: the Poisson process
Simulating events: te Poisson process p. 1/15 Simulating events: te Poisson process Micel Bierlaire micel.bierlaire@epfl.c Transport and Mobility Laboratory Simulating events: te Poisson process p. 2/15
More informationChapter 2. Poisson Processes. Prof. Shun-Ren Yang Department of Computer Science, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan
Chapter 2. Poisson Processes Prof. Shun-Ren Yang Department of Computer Science, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan Outline Introduction to Poisson Processes Definition of arrival process Definition
More informationEE126: Probability and Random Processes
EE126: Probability and Random Processes Lecture 19: Poisson Process Abhay Parekh UC Berkeley March 31, 2011 1 1 Logistics 2 Review 3 Poisson Processes 2 Logistics 3 Poisson Process A continuous version
More informationStat 515 Midterm Examination II April 4, 2016 (7:00 p.m. - 9:00 p.m.)
Name: Section: Stat 515 Midterm Examination II April 4, 2016 (7:00 p.m. - 9:00 p.m.) The total score is 120 points. Instructions: There are 10 questions. Please circle 8 problems below that you want to
More informationELEG 3143 Probability & Stochastic Process Ch. 6 Stochastic Process
Department of Electrical Engineering University of Arkansas ELEG 3143 Probability & Stochastic Process Ch. 6 Stochastic Process Dr. Jingxian Wu wuj@uark.edu OUTLINE 2 Definition of stochastic process (random
More informationBasics of Stochastic Modeling: Part II
Basics of Stochastic Modeling: Part II Continuous Random Variables 1 Sandip Chakraborty Department of Computer Science and Engineering, INDIAN INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY KHARAGPUR August 10, 2016 1 Reference
More informationChapter 3 Single Random Variables and Probability Distributions (Part 1)
Chapter 3 Single Random Variables and Probability Distributions (Part 1) Contents What is a Random Variable? Probability Distribution Functions Cumulative Distribution Function Probability Density Function
More informationContinuous random variables
Continuous random variables Continuous r.v. s take an uncountably infinite number of possible values. Examples: Heights of people Weights of apples Diameters of bolts Life lengths of light-bulbs We cannot
More informationExpected value of r.v. s
10 Epected value of r.v. s CDF or PDF are complete (probabilistic) descriptions of the behavior of a random variable. Sometimes we are interested in less information; in a partial characterization. 8 i
More informationHW7 Solutions. f(x) = 0 otherwise. 0 otherwise. The density function looks like this: = 20 if x [10, 90) if x [90, 100]
HW7 Solutions. 5 pts.) James Bond James Bond, my favorite hero, has again jumped off a plane. The plane is traveling from from base A to base B, distance km apart. Now suppose the plane takes off from
More informationExpectation Maximization Deconvolution Algorithm
Epectation Maimization Deconvolution Algorithm Miaomiao ZHANG March 30, 2011 Abstract In this paper, we use a general mathematical and eperimental methodology to analyze image deconvolution. The main procedure
More informationReview of Fourier Transform
Review of Fourier Transform Fourier series works for periodic signals only. What s about aperiodic signals? This is very large & important class of signals Aperiodic signal can be considered as periodic
More informationReview for the previous lecture
Lecture 1 and 13 on BST 631: Statistical Theory I Kui Zhang, 09/8/006 Review for the previous lecture Definition: Several discrete distributions, including discrete uniform, hypergeometric, Bernoulli,
More informationChapter 1 Statistical Reasoning Why statistics? Section 1.1 Basics of Probability Theory
Chapter 1 Statistical Reasoning Why statistics? Uncertainty of nature (weather, earth movement, etc. ) Uncertainty in observation/sampling/measurement Variability of human operation/error imperfection
More informationEE126: Probability and Random Processes
EE126: Probability and Random Processes Lecture 18: Poisson Process Abhay Parekh UC Berkeley March 17, 2011 1 1 Review 2 Poisson Process 2 Bernoulli Process An arrival process comprised of a sequence of
More informationu( x)= Pr X() t hits C before 0 X( 0)= x ( ) 2 AMS 216 Stochastic Differential Equations Lecture #2
AMS 6 Stochastic Differential Equations Lecture # Gambler s Ruin (continued) Question #: How long can you play? Question #: What is the chance that you break the bank? Note that unlike in the case of deterministic
More informationELEMENTS OF PROBABILITY THEORY
ELEMENTS OF PROBABILITY THEORY Elements of Probability Theory A collection of subsets of a set Ω is called a σ algebra if it contains Ω and is closed under the operations of taking complements and countable
More informationBMIR Lecture Series on Probability and Statistics Fall, 2015 Uniform Distribution
Lecture #5 BMIR Lecture Series on Probability and Statistics Fall, 2015 Department of Biomedical Engineering and Environmental Sciences National Tsing Hua University s 5.1 Definition ( ) A continuous random
More informationMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science
MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science 6.262 Discrete Stochastic Processes Midterm Quiz April 6, 2010 There are 5 questions, each with several parts.
More informationBirth-Death Processes
Birth-Death Processes Birth-Death Processes: Transient Solution Poisson Process: State Distribution Poisson Process: Inter-arrival Times Dr Conor McArdle EE414 - Birth-Death Processes 1/17 Birth-Death
More informationNotes on Continuous Random Variables
Notes on Continuous Random Variables Continuous random variables are random quantities that are measured on a continuous scale. They can usually take on any value over some interval, which distinguishes
More informationSystem Simulation Part II: Mathematical and Statistical Models Chapter 5: Statistical Models
System Simulation Part II: Mathematical and Statistical Models Chapter 5: Statistical Models Fatih Cavdur fatihcavdur@uludag.edu.tr March 20, 2012 Introduction Introduction The world of the model-builder
More informationIEOR 6711: Stochastic Models I SOLUTIONS to the First Midterm Exam, October 7, 2008
IEOR 6711: Stochastic Models I SOLUTIONS to the First Midterm Exam, October 7, 2008 Justify your answers; show your work. 1. A sequence of Events. (10 points) Let {B n : n 1} be a sequence of events in
More informationMoments. Raw moment: February 25, 2014 Normalized / Standardized moment:
Moments Lecture 10: Central Limit Theorem and CDFs Sta230 / Mth 230 Colin Rundel Raw moment: Central moment: µ n = EX n ) µ n = E[X µ) 2 ] February 25, 2014 Normalized / Standardized moment: µ n σ n Sta230
More informationOptimization and Simulation
Optimization and Simulation Simulating events: the Michel Bierlaire Transport and Mobility Laboratory School of Architecture, Civil and Environmental Engineering Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne
More informationContinuous Probability Spaces
Continuous Probability Spaces Ω is not countable. Outcomes can be any real number or part of an interval of R, e.g. heights, weights and lifetimes. Can not assign probabilities to each outcome and add
More informationProblems on Discrete & Continuous R.Vs
013 SUBJECT NAME SUBJECT CODE MATERIAL NAME MATERIAL CODE : Probability & Random Process : MA 61 : University Questions : SKMA1004 Name of the Student: Branch: Unit I (Random Variables) Problems on Discrete
More informationPROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS
Review of PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS Hideaki Shimazaki, Ph.D. http://goo.gl/visng Poisson process 1 Probability distribution Probability that a (continuous) random variable X is in (x,x+dx). ( ) P x < X
More informationRandom Processes. DS GA 1002 Probability and Statistics for Data Science.
Random Processes DS GA 1002 Probability and Statistics for Data Science http://www.cims.nyu.edu/~cfgranda/pages/dsga1002_fall17 Carlos Fernandez-Granda Aim Modeling quantities that evolve in time (or space)
More information2905 Queueing Theory and Simulation PART IV: SIMULATION
2905 Queueing Theory and Simulation PART IV: SIMULATION 22 Random Numbers A fundamental step in a simulation study is the generation of random numbers, where a random number represents the value of a random
More information4 Branching Processes
4 Branching Processes Organise by generations: Discrete time. If P(no offspring) 0 there is a probability that the process will die out. Let X = number of offspring of an individual p(x) = P(X = x) = offspring
More information6.1 Moment Generating and Characteristic Functions
Chapter 6 Limit Theorems The power statistics can mostly be seen when there is a large collection of data points and we are interested in understanding the macro state of the system, e.g., the average,
More informationSolutions For Stochastic Process Final Exam
Solutions For Stochastic Process Final Exam (a) λ BMW = 20 0% = 2 X BMW Poisson(2) Let N t be the number of BMWs which have passes during [0, t] Then the probability in question is P (N ) = P (N = 0) =
More informationSTA 256: Statistics and Probability I
Al Nosedal. University of Toronto. Fall 2017 My momma always said: Life was like a box of chocolates. You never know what you re gonna get. Forrest Gump. Exercise 4.1 Let X be a random variable with p(x)
More informationChapter 4 Multiple Random Variables
Chapter 4 Multiple Random Variables Chapter 41 Joint and Marginal Distributions Definition 411: An n -dimensional random vector is a function from a sample space S into Euclidean space n R, n -dimensional
More information1 Random Variable: Topics
Note: Handouts DO NOT replace the book. In most cases, they only provide a guideline on topics and an intuitive feel. 1 Random Variable: Topics Chap 2, 2.1-2.4 and Chap 3, 3.1-3.3 What is a random variable?
More informationChing-Han Hsu, BMES, National Tsing Hua University c 2015 by Ching-Han Hsu, Ph.D., BMIR Lab. = a + b 2. b a. x a b a = 12
Lecture 5 Continuous Random Variables BMIR Lecture Series in Probability and Statistics Ching-Han Hsu, BMES, National Tsing Hua University c 215 by Ching-Han Hsu, Ph.D., BMIR Lab 5.1 1 Uniform Distribution
More informationContinuous Variables Chris Piech CS109, Stanford University
Continuous Variables Chris Piech CS109, Stanford University 1906 Earthquak Magnitude 7.8 Learning Goals 1. Comfort using new discrete random variables 2. Integrate a density function (PDF) to get a probability
More informationContinuous Random Variables
Contents IV Continuous Random Variables 1 13 Introduction 1 13.1 Probability Mass Function Does Not Exist........................... 1 13.2 Probability Distribution.....................................
More informationNorthwestern University Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science
Northwestern University Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science EECS 454: Modeling and Analysis of Communication Networks Spring 2008 Probability Review As discussed in Lecture 1, probability
More informationSTAT 3610: Review of Probability Distributions
STAT 3610: Review of Probability Distributions Mark Carpenter Professor of Statistics Department of Mathematics and Statistics August 25, 2015 Support of a Random Variable Definition The support of a random
More informationIEOR 6711, HMWK 5, Professor Sigman
IEOR 6711, HMWK 5, Professor Sigman 1. Semi-Markov processes: Consider an irreducible positive recurrent discrete-time Markov chain {X n } with transition matrix P (P i,j ), i, j S, and finite state space.
More informationContinuous distributions
CHAPTER 7 Continuous distributions 7.. Introduction A r.v. X is said to have a continuous distribution if there exists a nonnegative function f such that P(a X b) = ˆ b a f(x)dx for every a and b. distribution.)
More informationDiscrete Distributions Chapter 6
Discrete Distributions Chapter 6 Negative Binomial Distribution section 6.3 Consider k r, r +,... independent Bernoulli trials with probability of success in one trial being p. Let the random variable
More informationECE353: Probability and Random Processes. Lecture 18 - Stochastic Processes
ECE353: Probability and Random Processes Lecture 18 - Stochastic Processes Xiao Fu School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Oregon State University E-mail: xiao.fu@oregonstate.edu From RV
More informationStat410 Probability and Statistics II (F16)
Stat4 Probability and Statistics II (F6 Exponential, Poisson and Gamma Suppose on average every /λ hours, a Stochastic train arrives at the Random station. Further we assume the waiting time between two
More informationEE 302 Division 1. Homework 6 Solutions.
EE 3 Division. Homework 6 Solutions. Problem. A random variable X has probability density { C f X () e λ,,, otherwise, where λ is a positive real number. Find (a) The constant C. Solution. Because of the
More informationMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.436J/15.085J Fall 2008 Lecture 8 10/1/2008 CONTINUOUS RANDOM VARIABLES
MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.436J/15.085J Fall 2008 Lecture 8 10/1/2008 CONTINUOUS RANDOM VARIABLES Contents 1. Continuous random variables 2. Examples 3. Expected values 4. Joint distributions
More informationStochastic process. X, a series of random variables indexed by t
Stochastic process X, a series of random variables indexed by t X={X(t), t 0} is a continuous time stochastic process X={X(t), t=0,1, } is a discrete time stochastic process X(t) is the state at time t,
More informationThe Central Limit Theorem
The Central Limit Theorem (A rounding-corners overiew of the proof for a.s. convergence assuming i.i.d.r.v. with 2 moments in L 1, provided swaps of lim-ops are legitimate) If {X k } n k=1 are i.i.d.,
More informationM/G/1 queues and Busy Cycle Analysis
queues and Busy Cycle Analysis John C.S. Lui Department of Computer Science & Engineering The Chinese University of Hong Kong www.cse.cuhk.edu.hk/ cslui John C.S. Lui (CUHK) Computer Systems Performance
More informationLet X be a continuous random variable, < X < f(x) is the so called probability density function (pdf) if
University of California, Los Angeles Department of Statistics Statistics 1A Instructor: Nicolas Christou Continuous probability distributions Let X be a continuous random variable, < X < f(x) is the so
More informationPart I Stochastic variables and Markov chains
Part I Stochastic variables and Markov chains Random variables describe the behaviour of a phenomenon independent of any specific sample space Distribution function (cdf, cumulative distribution function)
More informationBasic concepts of probability theory
Basic concepts of probability theory Random variable discrete/continuous random variable Transform Z transform, Laplace transform Distribution Geometric, mixed-geometric, Binomial, Poisson, exponential,
More informationECE 313 Probability with Engineering Applications Fall 2000
Exponential random variables Exponential random variables arise in studies of waiting times, service times, etc X is called an exponential random variable with parameter λ if its pdf is given by f(u) =
More information2 Statistical Estimation: Basic Concepts
Technion Israel Institute of Technology, Department of Electrical Engineering Estimation and Identification in Dynamical Systems (048825) Lecture Notes, Fall 2009, Prof. N. Shimkin 2 Statistical Estimation:
More informationWill Landau. Feb 21, 2013
Iowa State University Feb 21, 2013 Iowa State University Feb 21, 2013 1 / 31 Outline Iowa State University Feb 21, 2013 2 / 31 random variables Two types of random variables: Discrete random variable:
More informationi=1 k i=1 g i (Y )] = k f(t)dt and f(y) = F (y) except at possibly countably many points, E[g(Y )] = f(y)dy = 1, F(y) = y
Math 480 Exam 2 is Wed. Oct. 31. You are allowed 7 sheets of notes and a calculator. The exam emphasizes HW5-8, and Q5-8. From the 1st exam: The conditional probability of A given B is P(A B) = P(A B)
More informationGeneral Random Variables
1/65 Chia-Ping Chen Professor Department of Computer Science and Engineering National Sun Yat-sen University Probability A general random variable is discrete, continuous, or mixed. A discrete random variable
More informationMATH 56A: STOCHASTIC PROCESSES CHAPTER 6
MATH 56A: STOCHASTIC PROCESSES CHAPTER 6 6. Renewal Mathematically, renewal refers to a continuous time stochastic process with states,, 2,. N t {,, 2, 3, } so that you only have jumps from x to x + and
More informationStat 512 Homework key 2
Stat 51 Homework key October 4, 015 REGULAR PROBLEMS 1 Suppose continuous random variable X belongs to the family of all distributions having a linear probability density function (pdf) over the interval
More informationGuidelines for Solving Probability Problems
Guidelines for Solving Probability Problems CS 1538: Introduction to Simulation 1 Steps for Problem Solving Suggested steps for approaching a problem: 1. Identify the distribution What distribution does
More informationLet (Ω, F) be a measureable space. A filtration in discrete time is a sequence of. F s F t
2.2 Filtrations Let (Ω, F) be a measureable space. A filtration in discrete time is a sequence of σ algebras {F t } such that F t F and F t F t+1 for all t = 0, 1,.... In continuous time, the second condition
More information