The collapse of atmospheric turbulence

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1 The collapse of atmospheric turbulence Bas van de Wiel, Arnold Moene, Harm Jonker, Peter Baas, Bosveld, Jielun Sun,Sukanta Basu, Bert Holtslag, Judith Donda, Herman Clercx

2

3 Terre Incognita? GABLS I: GABLS II: GABLS III: Ugeo = 8 m/s Ugeo = 9.5 m/s Ugeo = m/s (Source: Svensson & Holtslag) But what when 0< Geo < 6 m/s?

4 Cessation of evening turbulence & temperature extremes

5 Ugeo: Cabauw (200m), The Netherlands (KNMI, Bosveld, Baas) AVG Stress After sunset? Ugeo

6 Cabauw 397 clear nights 4-hour evening averages stress and wind speed Cabauw (200m), The Netherlands (KNMI, Bosveld, Baas)

7 Hockey-stick Goal: find mechanism & predict threshold..a minimum wind speed needed for sustaining turbulence

8 Today 1: naïve model based on MO under assumption fixed bulk shear 2: fixed shear assumption must be wrong on long term! 3:.but on short-term it appears to be realistic! 4: application model formerly known as naïve

9 (1) MO-answer Simplified surface energy balance: Qn-G H Collapse possible when: Qn-G > H.. surface inversion intensifies, H to decreases further! (pos. feedback) Mechanism likely during clear skies, weak winds

10 (1) MO-answer e.g. from Businger-dyer: H c p c D UT ( 1Rb ) 2 parabolic graph known since Taylor (1971), Later e.g. : Malhi, Mahrt, Delage, Derbyshire, Van de Wiel, Basu, Here: consequences explicitly interpreted in term of surface energy balance: The maximum sustainable heat flux

11 Turbulent stress [N m -2 ] Our naïve model For each fixed value of U_40, diagnose if solution is possible in: Q n T c p c D UT f ( R ) b 0 T Is found, and stress diagnosed via: c U f ( 2 D R b ) Qn=25,l=6 Qn=25,l=4 Qn=25,l=8 Qn=15,l=6 Qn=35,l=6 Obs Finally: Stress Wind speed at level 40 m [m s -1 ]..is it that simple? U_40

12 (2) Unfortunately, Atmospheric bulk shear (or wind) is not fixed! Pressure driven flows recover after collapse: shear increases. naïve MO-approach appears good for wrong reason. Step 3: deeper analysis needed on shear evolution: theoretical channel flow

13 Stratified channel flow Pressure force free slip h No heat flux at z=h no slip H_0 Extraction heat normalized as: h L EXT gh T c ref p u H 0 3 * EXT u EXT (1/ )( P / x) h *

14 Multilayer model z x P t U 1 1 z H c t T p 1 z U K m z T K c H H p Ri f z U l K n m H ) ( 2, Ri/Rc f(ri/rc) local scaling (N84) (log-linear similarity functions) 100 vertical levels

15 Surface stress [-] Collapse of turbulence h/l=0.31 h/l=0.61 h/l=1.01 h/l=1.14 h/l=1.15 h/l =surface heat extraction Maximum sustainable flux 1.00 Inevitable recovery! Time [-] (scaled) Our challenge in transient part!

16 Wind profile development More shear than in neutral conditions Solution, next slide:

17 Long-term analytical solution L h q q q L h q q q u q U EXT * 1 2atanh atanh 1 2 ) ( z x P t U 1 1 z H c t T p 1 U 0 z 0 z h z 0 H 0 H H 0 In steady-state : ) ( 0 z t z U ) ( 0 z H t z T flux height,), (, z T z U f H Solution: with q=z/h Assymptotically converges to MO close to surface

18 Wind profile development Can we make quantitative prediction on transient shape?

19 z/h [-] Pseudo-steady state concept uw Pseudo Eq. wt Pseudo Eq resembling long-term steady state gamma instead of h! 0.4 g Flux [-] 0.0 Long-term steady state: Here: surface stress/h = pressure gradient surface stress (and hence gamma) is unknown! Alternative momentum constraint needed

20 Profile development 1) Momentum tends to be conserved over depth gamma: g q0 U ˆ (ˆ t ) Uˆ (0) dq 0 PS 2) A velocity crossing point appears Due to rapid redistribution of momentum in lower domain

21 Hint One conclusion can already be made: Existence point of fixed velocity suggest Rehabilitation naïve collapse mechanism! Next, assume explicitly: g q0 U ˆ (ˆ t ) Uˆ (0) dq 0 PS Now Initial momentum & surface cooling determine the pseudo-steady solution

22 Validation (I) z/h Initial profile Short-term Theory: pseudo steady Long-term Theory: steady state Depth pseudosteady layer Velocity crossing point model predicts level crossing point, all cases! U/u *

23 Validation (II) Solution curve for given initial momentum and surface heat extraction x=u * /u *N h/l EXT Theoretical maximum sustainable heat flux: Numerical simulations indicate: h/l_max=1.29 h/l_max=1.14

24 pseudo-steady state real thing? With pseudo-steady initial condition system should be happy for a while: system indeed locked in this initial condition

25 Back to Atmosperic BL Wind speed composite from cases with 5<Ugeo<10 200m U 40 m 10m Appears constant around 40m Time after sunset [hr] i.e. rehabilitation fixed wind assumption!

26 The naïve model valid again: For each fixed value of U_40 one can diagnose if a solution is possible in: Q n T c p c D UT f ( R ) b 0 T Is found, and stress diagnosed via: c U f ( 2 D R b ) Finally: Stress U_40

27 Turbulent stress [N m -2 ] Prediction critical speed Qn=25,l=6 Qn=25,l=4 Qn=25,l=8 Qn=15,l=6 Qn=35,l=6 Obs Hockey-stick robust feature Wind speed at level 40 m [m s -1 ]

28 Level of fixed speed: z_ref Why 40m? What if fixed wind occurs at other level? Sun et al, JAS (2011) Theory predicts: U 2 z (ln( z z 1/ 3 min ref ref 0)) i.e. approximately logarithmic increase of Umin with z_ref

29 Conclusion Collapse understood from maximum sustainable heat flux mechanism Fixed shear approach useful (~few hours after sunset) (to be submitted Quarterly J. Roy. Met. Soc.

30 Poster Judith Donda... Back to classical continuous turbulent SBL (Ugeo > 5m/s), exciting scaling with external forcings

31 GABLS IV GABLS I: GABLS II: GABLS III: Ugeo = 8 m/s Ugeo = 9.5 m/s Ugeo = m/s GABLS IV: low forcing: 0< Geo < 6 m/s?

32 Thank you for your attention

33 z/h [-] z/h [-] Extra Normalized cooling h/l_ext = t= 0+ t* t= 10 t* t= 20 t* t= 25 t* t= 0+ t* t= 10 t* t= 20 t* t= 25 t* U/u* [-] U/u* [-] DNS 1-D Eddy diffusivity Model

34 Surface stress [-] EXTRA h/l=0.31 h/l=0.61 h/l=1.01 h/l=1.14 h/l= Time [-] t_ps t_ps/2 Rapid evolution to pseudo-steady state

35 TKE_scaled [-] EXTRA 4 3 h/l=0.4 h/l= t/t* [-]

36 Kinematic stress m 2 s -2 ] Application to atmosphere Atmospheric velocity crossing point typically at 30-60m. Here say ~ 40m. limiting case Wind speed at level 40 m [m s -1 ] minimum velocity for surviving turbulence ~5 m/s

37 Positive feedback Radiative cooling (demand) > turbulent heat flux (supply): More Surface cooling Increase density stratification Demand ~fixed Decrease turbulent heat supply Decrease turbulent mixing until all turbulent activity ceases...

38 Transformation H 1 (1 R b ) u* ( U ) h ln z0 Ri or DT 0.8 u* N U h ln z x=u * /u *N Later this result extended to nonconstant flux layer picture explains hockey-stick..unfortunately Van de 0.2 Wiel et al, h/l Flow, Turbulence and N Combustion

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