The Zonal Wavelength of the Quasi-Stationary Rossby Waves. Trapped in the Westerly Jet. By Toru Terao

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "The Zonal Wavelength of the Quasi-Stationary Rossby Waves. Trapped in the Westerly Jet. By Toru Terao"

Transcription

1 Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, Vol. 77, No. 3, pp , The Zonal Wavelength of the Quasi-Stationary Rossby Waves Trapped in the Westerly Jet By Toru Terao Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Uji, Japan (Manuscript received 3 October 1997, in revised form 26 February 1999) Abstract Properties of the quasi-stationary Rossby waves along the westerly jets are investigated with the spacetime spectral analysis of 200hPa meridional wind velocity for four regions in the Northern Hemisphere summer using ECMWF data for 1980 to The observed zonal wavenumber of eastward (westward) propagating disturbances increases (decreases) as the frequency increases. The eastward propagating disturbances are stronger than the westward propagating ones. The quasi-stationary Rossby waves are seen not only in 10-to 30-day time scales but also in 30-to 90-day time scales. These observed zonal wavenumber-frequency relationships are reproduced by a B-channel model with step-like basic states. Calculated zonal wavenumber of eastward (westward) propagating solution of this model increases (decreases) as the frequency increases. The eastward propagating solutions are more strongly trapped in the westerly jet than the westward propagating ones. For these four waveguides mentioned, the results of the spectral analysis agree with the properties of the solutions deduced from the B-channel model with basic states derived from the climatological basic flow near these waveguides. 1. Introduction It has been shown that quasi-stationary disturbances with a 10-to 30-day time scale are strongly trapped, mainly in the westerly jets in the extratropics. The comprehensive statistical data analyses using the global long-term datasets elucidated the basic properties of these disturbances (Blackmon et al. (1984), Hsu and Lin (1992) and Kiladis and Weickmann (1992) for the Northern Hemisphere winter, Berbery et al. (1992) for the Southern Hemisphere, and Ambrizzi et al. (1995) and Terao (1995) for the Northern Hemisphere summer). A zonally oriented wave train-like pattern with zonal wavelength at about 4,000 to 6,000km, which corresponds to the zonal wavenumber 5-7 in the midlatitudes, is commonly observed. An eastward group velocity at a speed comparable to the zonal velocity of the basic flow is fairly evident in most cases. The barotropic vertical structure is dominant in the midlatitudes with a maximum amplitude at about 200 to 300hPa. These findings were also confirmed by statistical studies using the regional datasets (Shapiro and Goldenberg, 1993; Terao, 1998). Corresponding author: Toru Terao, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Gokasho, Uji, Kyoto , Japan. teraoadpac.dpri.kyotou.ac.jp (c) 1999, Meteorological Society of Japan Some evidence that shows the dependency of the wave properties on the direction of the phase propagation and frequency change has been obtained. In most cases, these waves exhibit eastward phase propagations (for examples, see Figs. ha and lib of Berbery et al. (1992) and Figs. 5, 6 of Hsu and Lin (1992)) or standing patterns (Fig. 7 of Hsu and Lin (1992)). The westward phase propagations are rarely seen. The numerical calculation by Yang and Hoskins (1996) showed that the wavenumber of an eastward phase propagating trapped wave was larger than that of a westward phase propagating one. This relationship becomes more significant for larger frequencies. For the investigation of such property changes of the trapped waves according to the frequency change to be possible, the space-time spectral analysis (Hayashi, 1971) along the waveguides should be effective. In Section 2, the properties of these disturbances are investigated with this method for regions along the westerly jets. It was applied by Terao (1998) to the trapped quasi-stationary disturbances, in which, however, the analysis was limited to the region along the subtropical westerly jet over the Eurasian continent. On the other hand, some diagnostic studies with the ray-path analysis on the Rossby wave in the barotropic atmosphere (Hoskins and Karoly, 1981) showed that the propagation paths of observed

2 688 Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Vol. 77, No. 3 or numerically calculated quasi-stationary disturbances trapped in the westerly jets agreed with theoretically predicted ray-paths (Hoskins and Ambrizzi, 1993; Yang and Hoskins, 1996; Terao, 1998). The diagnostic studies identified waveguides and the possible zonal waenumber ranges of the quasi-stationary Rossby waves trapped there. It should be noted here, however, that the WKB approximation on which the ray-path analysis is based is not applicable near the westerly jets, since the basic flow varies steeply in the meridional direction. Therefore, studies in which no meridional WKB assumption is employed should be carried out and compared with the results obtained from the ray-path analyses. One of the major purposes of the present study is to get new insights into the properties of quasistationary Rossby waves by a method without assuming the meridional WKB approximation. In Section 3, we will explicitly derive the meridional structures of the trapped waves using the tonally symmetric B-channel models for the jet-like basic flows. In Section 4, it is shown that the standing wave pattern frequently observed is reproduced by the composition of eastward and westward propagating solutions of the B-channel model. Concluding remarks are presented in Section 5. The basic equations and parameter definitions are given in Appendix A. The validity of the step-like basic state used in the present study is tested in Appendix B. The nine years of ECMWF/WMO initialized analysis ( ) and the five years of ECMWF/TOGA non-initialized analysis ( ) are used in the present study. 2. Space-time spectral analysis Space-time spectral densities (Hayashi, 1971) are calculated for the following four regions along the climatological westerly jets in both hemispheres in the boreal summer: Asian waveguide (WG-1): The subtropical westerly jet along 37.5oN over the Eurasian Continent and the western North Pacific from 0oE to 180oE. Atlantic waveguide (WG-2): The subtropical west erly jet along 45oN over the eastern North Pacific, the North American Continent and the Atlantic Ocean from 180oW to 0oW. Australian waveguide (WG-3): The subtropical westerly jet in the Southern Hemisphere along 25oS over the Indian Ocean, the Australian Continent and the South Pacific Ocean from 60oE to 120oW. Southern Hemispheric polar waveguide (WG-4): The polar jet along 52.5oS from 60oE to 120oW. Judging from the global distribution of the stationary total wavenumber KS defined by Eq. (3) (Fig. ib), these regions are waveguides for stationary Rossby waves. The KS distribution is calculated from the climatological ( ) zonal wind U at 300 hpa (Fig. la) for northern summer (June to September) average. See Appendix A.2 for the detailed method in which we find waveguides from a Ks distribution map. The regions of the waveguides are also indicated in Fig. la. They nearly correspond to the waveguides pointed out by Ambrizzi et al. (1995). The space-time spectral densities are calculated with a fast Fourier transform (FFT) method. The spectra of 14 summers, from 1980 to 1993, are averaged. The seasonal march components, which are assumed to be expressed by second-order trends, are removed from time series of each grid point. The 10% cosine tapers (see Subsection 6.4 of Percival and Walden, 1993) are used for the temporal and zonal directions to reduce the Gibbs phenomena. Spectra are calculated for all waveguides for 200 hpa meridional wind velocities, while only for WG-1 and WG-3 for 200 hpa streamfunctions (Fig. 2). 1 The spectral peaks for meridional wind velocities can be seen for periods up to 90 days. This implies that the quasi-stationary Rossby waves are systematically seen not only in 10- to 30-day time scales but also in up to 90-day time scales. In the streamfunction data, however, the spectral peaks are not so evident for the periods longer than 45 days. Most of the past statistical studies on these disturbances have mainly used geopotential height data (Blackmon et al., 1984) or streamfunction data (Hsu and Lin, 1992). This could be the reason why the quasi-stationary disturbances have been mostly observed within 10- to 30-day time scales. These peaks are seen at different zonal wavenumbers k; at k=5-7 for Fig. 2b, at k=4-6 for Figs. 2c and 2e, and at k=3-5 for Fig. 2f. Furthermore, a significant relationship is seen between the frequency and wavenumber of the spectral peaks. As the frequency increases, the wavenumber of peaks increases (decreases) for eastward (westward) prop- 1 The 200 hpa data are used for the spectral analysis, while in Fig. 1 the 300 hpa climatological flow was used. This is because the author presumed that the quasi-stationary Rossby waves have nearly barotropic vertical structures, as has been reported by many authors. We considered that the horizontal structure of the waves can be most prominently seen at the level where their amplitude is maximum; in this case it was 200 hpa. That is why the author used the 200 hpa data for the spectral analysis. On the other hand, Grose and Hoskins (1979) have shown that the motions of the real atmosphere are well modeled by a barotropic atmosphere at 300 hpa. This indicates that the 300 hpa climatological flow is more appropriate to diagnose the behavior of the nearly barotropic disturbances than the 200 hpa flow. Therefore, the author used the 300 hpa climatological flow in Fig. 1.

3 June 1999 T. Terao 689 Fig. 1. (a) Climatological ( ) summer (from June to September) mean of the 300 hpa tonal wind. Contour interval is 5ms-l. Rectangles with thick solid lines show four regions listed in the text (WG-1 to 4), being likely to correspond to waveguides for quasi-stationary Rossby waves. (b) Global distribution of KS calculated from (a) using Eq. (3) in Appendix A. Dashed and dotted contours indicate the wavenumber 3 and 6, respectively. Areas where Ks2<0 are hatched. agating disturbances, although for westward propagating disturbances in WG-4 it is not so obvious. In WG-1 (Fig. 2b), for example, spectral peaks in higher frequency ranges (about 10- to 20-day periods) are seen at about k = 7 for eastward propagating disturbances. For westward propagating ones, they are at about k=5. Particularly for shorter periods, the eastward propagating disturbances have higher peak intensities than the westward propagating ones. For example, in Fig. 2b, the eastward propagating disturbances are stronger than the westward propagating ones for periods shorter than 30 days. In Fig. 2c, the peak values of eastward propagating disturbances at 20- and 30-day periods are about 1,400 and 1,600, respectively, while corresponding values of westward propagating ones are about 1,200 and 1,000, respectively. As can be seen in Figs. 2b, 2c, 2e and 2f, the westward propagating disturbances are suppressed for the periods shorter than 30 days. 3. Disturbances in a B-channel model In the previous section, dependencies of the characteristics of the quasi-stationary disturbances in the westerly jet on the direction of the phase propagation and the frequency change were addressed by use of the space-time spectral analysis. We will now compare these results with a tonal dispersion relationship calculated from normal mode solutions of zonally symmetric basic flows in a /3-channel model. In former studies, properties of such disturbances have been discussed mainly in the context of the raypath analysis of the Rossby wave, which is based on the meridional WKB approximation. However, as is noted in Section 1, this approximation is not applicable in the region along the westerly jet where the basic flow changes steeply in the meridional direction. In this section, an alternative approach that does not require the meridional WKB approximation is examined.

4 690 Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Vol. 77, No. 3 Fig. 2. Space-time spectral densities for 200 hpa streamfunctions (a) along WG-1 and (d) along WG-3, and those for 200 hpa meridional wind velocities along (b) WG-1, (c) WG-2, (e) WG-3 and (f) WG-4. Contour intervals are 2.0X1014 m4s-2.deg.day and 2.0X102 m2s-2.deg.day for the streamfunction and the meridional wind velocity, respectively. Dot-dashed lines indicate c=+3ms-1 and c=+5ms Solutions under step-like zonally symmetric flows Zonally sinusoidal solutions in simplified step-like basic states in the B-channel model are calculated here. The validity of the simplification of the basic state is discussed in Appendix B. Details of the model and the method to derive solutions are given in Appendix A. In Table 1, the cases used in the present study are listed. Here, the meridional profile of U and KS named case-1 is examined. Its basic state (Fig. 3a) is derived from a sinusoidal basic state (see Fig. 11 and

5 June 1999 T. Terao 691 (a) basic state (b) solutions(case-1) Fig. 3. (a) Basic state of case-1. Meridional profiles of the zonal velocity U(y) and stationary total wavenumber K3 (y) are shown by solid and dashed lines, respectively. The vertical axis shows latitudinal distance from the center of the channel, while the horizontal axis shows the zonal wavenumber. Horizontal long dashed lines indicate the latitude at y=+2b=+1110km and y=+b=+550km. Thick horizontal lines at y=+7b=+3870km show locations of rigid boundaries. (b) Dependencies of c on k of solutions for case-1 are represented by small circles (o). Horizontal long dot-dashed lines indicate c=+3ms-1 and +5ms-1. Alphabet symbols S, E and W indicate the stationary, eastward propagating (c=+3ms-1) and westward propagating (c=-3ms1) solutions, respectively. The 2nd mode solution at k=3 is labeled by A in this figure. Solutions with relatively slow zonal phase velocities (lcl)<5ms-1) are linked by a thick line. Eq. (9)) through Eq. (7), as is mentioned in Appendix B. The number of grids (N) and the distance of boundaries from the center of the westerly jet (Y) are set to 71 and 35, respectively, since the main results do not change significantly for larger values of Y and N. Dependencies of the zonal phase speed c on k for all modes in case-i are indicated by small circles in Fig. 3b. To distinguish trapped solutions from other solutions, the values ice and ki (see Eq. (8)) are plotted in Fig. 3b by thick and thin dotted lines, respectively. Figure 3b shows that solutions satisfying the trapping condition (8) are found only on the 1st mode solution curve indicated by the thick solid line. The 1st mode solution curve shows that the zonal wavenumber of the trapped quasi-stationary Rossby wave increases not only on this k-c plane (thick line in Fig. 3b) but also on the k-w plane (thick line in Fig. 4) with increasing wavenumber. If the frequency w (or the zonal phase speed c) is given, the wavenumber k of the corresponding trapped quasi-stationary Rossby wave is determined uniquely. Thus, for the quasi-stationary Rossby wave, the wavenumber of eastward (westward) propagating solution increases (decreases) as the frequency increases. In Figs. 5 and 6, the amplitude functions and the horizontal structures of the solutions of case-1 are shown, respectively. The stationary, eastward propagating (c=+3ms-1) and westward propagating (c=-3ms-1) 1st mode solutions are noted S, E and w, respectively. The solutions E and W can be regarded as representatives of eastward and westward propagating 1st mode solutions, respectively. The 2nd mode solution at k=3(a) has a meridionally anti-symmetric structure, unlike the symmetric 1st mode solutions (Fig. 5b). The energy concentration ratio E (defined by Eq. (6)) of solutions A and S are 0.24 and 0.42, respectively. This indicates that the solution S is more strongly trapped in the westerly jet than the solution A. The patterns protrude well out of the westerly jet, although the 1st mode solutions are relatively confined into the waveguide. The horizontal wave patterns (Figs. 6a to 6c) are similar to some of quasi-stationary disturbances observed in some data analyses and model calculations of the previous work. Examples of such disturbances obtained from the data analyses are seen in Fig. 7 of Hsu and Lin (1992), while those obtained from the model calculations are in Fig. 12 of Ambrizzi et al. (1995). In Fig. 7, energy concentration ratios are plotted for the 1st mode solutions of case-1 with a thick solid line. Generally speaking, energy concentration ratios of the eastward propagating solutions are greater than those of westward propagating ones, indicating that the eastward propagating solutions are more strongly confined in the waveguide than are the westward propagating ones.

6 692 Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Vol. 77, No. 3 Fig. 4. Dependencies of w on the zonal wavenumber k for the 1st-mode solutions of case-1 (small open circles). Solutions with relatively slow zonal phase velocities (lcl<5ms-1) are linked by a thick line. The symbols S, E and W indicate the same solutions as those shown in Fig. 3. Dot-dashed lines indicate c=+3ms-1 and +5ms Comparison between model and observation The results obtained with the B-channel model are qualitatively consistent with the results shown in Section 2 with the space-time spectral analysis. In Fig. 8, the k-w relationships of the 1st mode solutions of cases-2 to 5 (Table 1) deduced from the basic flows near the waveguides WG-1 to WG-4 are shown by the lines with boxes (D). These basic states are calculated using Eq. (7) where the observed meridional profiles are used as U(y) and Ks(y). Central latitudes (Q), widths of waveguides (b), and basic states (Ue, Ui, Ke and Ki) are as given in Table 1. The 1st mode solutions are compared with the results of the spacetime spectral analysis for the corresponding waveguides (see the contour in the figure). As a whole, the peaks in the space-time spectral densities are seen near the 1st mode solution curves of the B- channel model. It indicates that the B-channel model explains the observed characteristics of the zonal wavenumber of the quasi-stationary Rossby wave, such as the dependency of the wavenumber on the phase speed, although some exceptions can be pointed out (eastward-propagating disturbances in WG-4 with periods shorter than 20 days (Fig. 8d), for example). 4. Reproducing a standing wave pattern The quasi-stationary disturbances observed along the westerly jet often exhibit standing wave patterns. As a representative, the wave observed over the Eurasian Continent in 1983 investigated by Terao (1998) is shown in Fig. 9. This figure shows the longitude-time cross section of the 25-to 60-day band-passed meridional wind velocity at 200 hpa. The Lanczos filter (Duchon, 1979) is used. A clear standing wave pattern is seen from late June to early September. However, this pattern is not perfectly standing but somewhat oblique. That is, the wavepackets are moving rapidly eastward as is indicated by thick solid arrows. Such oblique standing wave pattern can be reproduced by adding the eastward and westward propagating 1st mode solutions at a certain period. In Fig. 10, the spatial and temporal evolution of the standing wave is shown for the meridional wind velocity of case-1 at 16-day period. Here, the amplitudes of the eastward and westward propagating solutions to be added are adjusted so that they have the same kinetic energy integrated over the whole area in the channel. On day-0, the wavepacket is at the center of the figure. It moves eastward and disappears on day-4. On day-5, another wavepacket comes from the west and it reaches the center of the figure on day-8. At that time, the sign of the meridional wind velocity pattern is opposite to that on day-0. The similarity between the reproduced and observed (Fig. 9) patterns is obvious. The velocity of the eastward packet propagation can be explained by the k-w relation of the 1st mode solution as follows. This relationship results in a small but finite difference of the wavenumber between the eastward and westward propagating solutions, which is noted by 6k here, at certain w. They, ok and w, would determine the eastward group velocity of the wave as cg=2w/6k. Since the frequency w of the 1st mode solution is a monotonically increasing function of the tonal wavenumber k

7 June 1999 T. Terao 693 Fig. 5. Meridional structures of the solutions for case-i. (a) Amplitude functions of the streamfunction (W(y)) and (b) the meridional wind velocity (V(y)). The stationary (S), the eastward propagating (c=+3ms-l, E) and the westward propagating (c=-3ms-1, W) 1st mode solutions are plotted with thick solid, thick dashed and thick dotted lines, respectively. The 2nd mode solution at k=3 (A) is shown by a thin solid line. The magnitudes of these amplitude functions are adjusted so that they have the same kinetic energies integrated over the whole channel. (a) S(1st mode) (b) W(1st mode) (c) E(1st mode) (d) A(2nd mode) Fig. 6. Horizontal structures of the meridional velocity of the solutions for case-1. Solutions 5, W, E and A are plotted in (a), (b), (c) and (d), respectively. Contour interval is 1ms-1. Zero contours are not shown. (see Fig. 4), bk is, and therefore cg also is, positive. 5. Conclusion Properties of quasi-stationary disturbances along the westerly jets are investigated with the spacetime spectral analysis for the 200 hpa meridional wind velocity. Spectral densities are calculated for four regions along the climatological westerly jets in the Northern Hemisphere summer. The zonal wavenumber and intensity of disturbances have systematic dependencies on the frequency change and the direction of phase propagation as follows. First, the tonal wavenumber of eastward (westward) phase propagating disturbances increases (decreases) as the frequency increases. Second, the eastward propagating disturbances tend to be stronger than the westward propagating ones. These results are in good agreement with the results obtained by many

8 694 Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Vol. 77, No. 3 Fig. 7. Dependencies of E on the zonal wavenumber k for the 1st mode solutions of case-1 (small open circles). Solutions with relatively slow zonal phase velocities (lcl<5ms-1) are linked by a thick line. The symbols S, E and W indicate the solutions same as those shown in Fig. 3. Fig. 8. Panels showing the k-w relationships of the trapped quasi-stationary Rossby wave solutions calculated for the basic states generated from the observed basic states near four waveguides WG-1 to WG-4 defined in Section 2. Superimposed on them, the space-time spectral densities for 200 hpa meridional wind velocities for corresponding waveguides are plotted (same as Figs. 2b, 2c, 2e and 2f). The solid lines with boxes (O) show the calculated solution curves. The thick parts of these lines show the solutions whose zonal phase speeds are less than 5ms-1. The sizes of these boxes are proportional to the corresponding value of e (see Eq. (6) in Appendix A). Dot-dashed lines indicate c=+3ms-1 and +5ms-1. Contour interval is 2.0X102m2s-2 deg day.

9 June 1999 T. Terao to 60-day v (1983, 200hPa, 40-45oN) Fig. 9. Longitude-time cross section of the 25- to 60-day band-passed 200 hpa meridional wind velocity at 40-45oN in 1983 summer. Only the Eastern Hemispheric data are shown. Contour interval is 4ms-1. Negative areas are hatched. Arrows indicate the propagation of wavepackets. other statistical studies (Hsu and Lin, 1992; Berbery et al., 1992; Ambrizzi et al., 1995) and model calculations (Yang and Hoskins, 1996). Additionally, the space-time spectral analysis for the 200 hpa meridional wind velocity shows that the quasi-stationary disturbances are seen not only in 10- to 30-day time scales as are already reported by many authors, but also in 30- to 90-day time scales. Furthermore, these observed dispersion relationships of the quasi-stationary disturbances trapped in the westerly jets can be reproduced by the B- channel models with step-like basic states. This basic state represents essential characteristics of basic states around the westerly jets; both the tonal wind velocity U and stationary total wavenumber Ks defined in Eq. (3) are larger inside the jet than outside. The solutions of this model with the smallest zonal phase velocities correspond to the quasi-stationary disturbances. Their properties agree with those observed in the space-time spectral analysis. The zonal wavenumber of eastward (westward) propagating solutions increases (decreases) as the frequency increases. The eastward propagating solutions are more strongly trapped in the westerly jet than the westward propagating ones. The solutions of the step-like basic states deduced from the observed climatological flows are obtained for four regions along the westerly jets and compared with the results of the space-time spectral analyses. They show that the observed tonal wavenumberfrequency relationships coincide with those calculated with the simple models not only qualitatively but also quantitatively. A standing wave pattern with an eastward rapid group velocity frequently observed is easily reproduced by adding the eastward and westward propagating solutions at a specified frequency. Acknowledgments The author would like to thank Professor Hisafumi Muramatsu at Meijo University for constant encouragement and fruitful discussions on this research. He is also grateful to the anonymous reviewers for their valuable suggestions. The GFD- DENNOU Library was used for drawing the figures and the numerical calculations. The data were provided by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). In order to solve the eigenvalues and eigenvector of matrix, the LAPACK (Linear Algebra Package) subroutines were used. Appendix Deriving A solutions A.1 The basic equations The barotropic perturbation vorticity equation linearized about the tonally symmetric basic flow U(y) in the B-plane is written in the following form, where W' is the perturbation streamfunction and B* (=B-d2U/dy2) is the gradient of the absolute vorticity of the basic flow. Assuming that the perturbation with the zonal wavenumber k(>0) and the zonal phase speed c is in the form W'=W(y)eik(x-ct), the vorticity equation (Eq. (1)) reduces to the following second order ordinary differential equation; where Ks is the stationary total wavenumber defined by This is the same as Ks defined in Hoskins and Ambrizzi (1993). The frequency of the disturbance w can be written as w=ck. If c=u, another parameter k, which is equivalent to K defined in Yang and Hoskins (1996), can be defined by

10 696 Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Vol. 77, No. 3 (a) day-0 (e) day-4 (b) day-1 (f) day-5 (c) day-2 (g) day-6 (d) day-3 (h) day-7 (i) day-8 Fig. 10. Time evolution of the standing wave pattern shown by the meridional wind velocity. Contour interval is 1ms-1. See the text for more details. A.2 The ray-path analysis The ray-path analysis to diagnose the behavior of the quasi-stationary Rossby wave is based on Hoskins and Ambrizzi (1993) and Yang and Hoskins (1996). The coefficient c defined by Eq. (4) is used to diagnose the behavior of the quasi-stationary Rossby wave on the basic flow U. Now, the propagation route of its energy is diagnosed by the spatial distribution of k as follows.. When the quasi-stationary Rossby wavepacket with zonal wavenumber k propagating in the region where k>k reaches the turning latitude where k=k, it turns to the ic-increasing direction. On the other hand, as the wavepacket approaches the critical latitude where U=c, it refracts toward the critical latitude and its meridional wavelength and meridional group velocity of the wavepacket tend to zero. The linear wave theory is invalid near such a latitude.. When the wave is trapped in the region with turning latitudes both northward and southward, it cannot escape from this region, i.e., it is guided. Such a region is called waveguide. A.3 Solving the model Solving the disturbances in the B-channel model begins with Eq. (2). First, this differential equation is discretized about latitude y, where y is the

11 June 1999 T. Terao 697 meridional distance from the assumed central latitude of the B-channel. If the meridional profiles of U(y) and Ks(y) and the boundary conditions are provided, the possible structures of the disturbances and corresponding tonal phase velocities can be obtained for arbitrarily given k's. If the area between two boundaries is discretized into N+2 grids at regular intervals including the boundaries, N pairs of the amplitude function Wj(y) and the zonal phase speed cj(j=1,..., N and c1<c2<...<cn) are obtained. Here, the j-th solution is noted as j-th mode solution. The boundary conditions are set at two latitudes y=+y, where W=0. This method is the same as those of Haltiner and Song (1962) and Yanai and Nitta (1968). It should be noted that Eq. (2) has singularities at critical latitudes where U=c. Since only the solutions corresponding to the quasi-stationary Rossby waves (lcl=0ms-1) are examined in the present study, only those with slow zonal phase velocities need to be considered. All solutions discussed in the present study can be assumed not to suffer the influence of the critical latitudes, since the minimums of tonal flow of all the basic states used are sufficiently large (see Table 1). As a measure that shows how strongly the solution is trapped in the westerly jet, the kinetic energy concentration ratio (e) is introduced as follows; where b is the half-width of the westerly jet. The perturbation zonal and meridional wind velocities u' and v' are calculated from the perturbation streamfunction W' of each solution. Therefore, e is evaluated for each mode. In the present study, only results with boundaries put at +35o(Y=35o) are shown, since it was confirmed that the results relevant to the conclusions are not significantly changed for larger Y. A.4 The step-like basic states For simplicity, the step-like basic states, U'(y) and Ks'(y), described following are mainly used in the present study. Two averaging operators, (.)) and (.)), are defined as the averaging over the domains lyl<b(the internal domain) and b<lyl<2b (the external domain), respectively. From an original basic state, U(y) and Ks (y), which satisfies Eq. (3), the step-like basic state is generated by the following equations; The basic flow with U0=18.0ms-1 and Ud= 12.0ms-1 (Fig. 11) is considered here in detail. In this case, the minimum zonal wind velocity becomes As with the original basic state, any possible basic states such as the sinusoidal basic states or the basic states derived from the observational dataset can be used. Hereafter, U' and Ks' are noted simply by U and Ks, if there is no confusion. For step-like basic states, there is another distinct measure other than E to distinguish the solutions trapped in the westerly jet. This measure is related to k inside and outside the westerly jet noted by ki and ice, respectively. Equation (5) indicates that the meridional structure of the solution at a certain latitude becomes locally sinusoidal (exponential) if k2-k2<0(>0). In order for the solution whose zonal phase speed is c to be trapped in the westerly jet, its tonal wavenumber k must satisfy since the wave must be sinusoidal inside the westerly jet and must decay exponentially outside. Consequently, utilizing values of ki and,ke, we can determine whether the solution with zonal wavenumber k and tonal phase speed c is trapped in the westerly jet or not. Appendix B Validation of the step-like basic state It should be noted that the definition of the steplike basic state given in appendix A.4 is somewhat tricky. Some supplementary explanations must follow. Equation (3) indicates that the profile of Ks depends upon the meridional profile of U. However, U' and Ks' determined by Eq. (7) no longer satisfy Eq. (3), because Ks'2=(B-d2U/dy2)/U= (B-d2U/dy2)/U=B/U'=B/U', where over bar denotes the averaging over any range of y. Besides, the profiles of Ks' and U' are determined only by the original Ks and U profiles near the westerly jet (lyl<2b). The original profiles far from the westerly jet (lyl>2b) are ignored. Therefore, in the following, the solutions corresponding to the quasistationary Rossby wave obtained by the step-like basic states are compared with results obtained from sinusoidal basic states. The sinusoidal basic flow is defined as

12 698 Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japa n Vol. 77, No. 3 Fig. 11. Meridional profile of the sinusoidal basic state defined by Eq. (9). Profiles of U(y) and Ks(y) are plotted with thick solid and dashed lines, respectively. The step-like basic state of case-1 is plotted with thin solid and dashed lines, respectively, which are the same as those in Fig. 3a. They are deduced from the sinusoidal basic state through Eq. (7). U0-2/3Ud=10.0ms-1 and the tonal wind velocity at the center of the jet becomes U0+1/3Ud=22.0ms-1. For this basic state, the corresponding profile of K S is obtained by Eq. (3). From this sinusoidal basic state, the step-like basic state used in case-1 (Fig. 3a) is derived through Eq. (7). In Figs. 12a and 12b are shown the k-w and k- E relationships of the 1st mode solutions for sinusoidal and step-like basic states. The filled and open circles show the solutions of sinusoidal and steplike basic states, respectively. It is shown that the quasi-stationary trapped solutions of these two basic states agree with each other. The qualitative relationship that the eastward propagating solutions are more strongly trapped than the westward propagating solutions is also found for the sinusoidal basic state. Thus, the solutions corresponding to the quasistationary Rossby wave obtained from the step-like basic state are comparable to those from the sinusoidal basic flow. Although figures are not shown, the errors between the wavenumbers (k) of the stationary (c=0) solutions obtained from the sinusoidal basic states and corresponding step-like basic Fig. 12. Dependencies of (a) w and (b) E on k for 1st mode solutions of the sinusoidal and step-like basic states. The filled and open circles show the solutions of the sinusoidal and step-like basic states, respectively. Dot-dashed lines indicate c=+3ms-1 and +5ms-1. states are less than 5% for various realistic Uo and Ud values. These results show that the simplification of the basic flow by Eq. (7) does not spoil the important properties of quasi-stationary solutions obtained from more realistic basic flows. References Ambrizzi, T., B.J. Hoskins and H.-H. Hsu, 1995: Rossby wave propagation and teleconnection patterns in the austral winter. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, Berbery, E.H., J. Nogues-Paegle and J.D. Horel, 1992: Wavelike southern hemisphere extratropical teleconnections. J. Atmos. Sci., 49, Blackmon, M.L., Y.-H. Lee and J.M. Wallace, 1984: Horizontal structure of 500mb height fluctuations with long, intermediate and short time scales. J. Atmos. Sci., 41, Duchon, C.E., 1979: Lanczos filtering in one and two dimensions. J. Appl. Meteor., 18, Grose, W.L. and B.J. Hoskins, 1979: On the influence of orography on large-scale atmospheric flow. J. Atmos. Sci., 36, Haltiner, G.J. and R.T. Song, 1962: Dynamic instability in barotropic flow. Tellus, 14,

13 June 1999 T. Terao 699 Hayashi, Y., 1971: A generalized method of resolving disturbances into progressive and retrogressive waves by space Fourier and time cross-spectral analyses. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 49, Hoskins, B.J. and D. Karoly, 1981: The steady linear response of a spherical atmosphere to thermal and orographic forcing. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, Hoskins, B.J. and T. Ambrizzi, 1993: Rossby wave propagation on a realistic longitudinally varying flow. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, Hsu, H.-H. and S.-H. Lin, 1992: Global teleconnections in the 250-mb streamfunction field during the northern hemisphere winter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, Kiladis, G.N. and KM. Weickmann, 1992: Circulation anomalies associated with tropical convection during northern winter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, Percival, D.B. and AT. Walden, 1993: Spectral analysis for physical applications. Cambridge Univ. Press, New York, 583pp. Shapiro, L.J. and S.B. Goldenberg, 1993: Intraseasonal oscillations over the Atlantic. J. Climate, 6, Terao, T., 1995: Extratropical day variations during the northern hemisphere summer. Annuals of the Disaster Prevention Research Institute Kyoto University, 38B-2, (in Japanese). Terao, T., 1998: Barotropic disturbances on intraseasonal time scales observed in the midlatitude over the Eurasian Continent during the northern summer. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 76, Yanai, M. and T. Nitta, 1968: Finite difference approximations for the barotropic instability problem. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 46, Yang, G.-Y. and B.J. Hoskins, 1996: Propagation of Rossby waves of nonzero frequency. J. Atmos. Sci., 53,

The Influence of Intraseasonal Variations on Medium- to Extended-Range Weather Forecasts over South America

The Influence of Intraseasonal Variations on Medium- to Extended-Range Weather Forecasts over South America 486 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW The Influence of Intraseasonal Variations on Medium- to Extended-Range Weather Forecasts over South America CHARLES JONES Institute for Computational Earth System Science (ICESS),

More information

Observational Zonal Mean Flow Anomalies: Vacillation or Poleward

Observational Zonal Mean Flow Anomalies: Vacillation or Poleward ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2013, VOL. 6, NO. 1, 1 7 Observational Zonal Mean Flow Anomalies: Vacillation or Poleward Propagation? SONG Jie The State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for

More information

Dynamics of the Extratropical Response to Tropical Heating

Dynamics of the Extratropical Response to Tropical Heating Regional and Local Climate Modeling and Analysis Research Group R e L o C l i m Dynamics of the Extratropical Response to Tropical Heating (1) Wegener Center for Climate and Global Change (WegCenter) and

More information

3. Midlatitude Storm Tracks and the North Atlantic Oscillation

3. Midlatitude Storm Tracks and the North Atlantic Oscillation 3. Midlatitude Storm Tracks and the North Atlantic Oscillation Copyright 2006 Emily Shuckburgh, University of Cambridge. Not to be quoted or reproduced without permission. EFS 3/1 Review of key results

More information

Introduction of products for Climate System Monitoring

Introduction of products for Climate System Monitoring Introduction of products for Climate System Monitoring 1 Typical flow of making one month forecast Textbook P.66 Observed data Atmospheric and Oceanic conditions Analysis Numerical model Ensemble forecast

More information

A Note on the Barotropic Instability of the Tropical Easterly Current

A Note on the Barotropic Instability of the Tropical Easterly Current April 1969 Tsuyoshi Nitta and M. Yanai 127 A Note on the Barotropic Instability of the Tropical Easterly Current By Tsuyoshi Nitta and M. Yanai Geophysical Institute, Tokyo University, Tokyo (Manuscript

More information

East-west SST contrast over the tropical oceans and the post El Niño western North Pacific summer monsoon

East-west SST contrast over the tropical oceans and the post El Niño western North Pacific summer monsoon GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 32, L15706, doi:10.1029/2005gl023010, 2005 East-west SST contrast over the tropical oceans and the post El Niño western North Pacific summer monsoon Toru Terao Faculty

More information

Changes in Southern Hemisphere rainfall, circulation and weather systems

Changes in Southern Hemisphere rainfall, circulation and weather systems 19th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Perth, Australia, 12 16 December 2011 http://mssanz.org.au/modsim2011 Changes in Southern Hemisphere rainfall, circulation and weather systems Frederiksen,

More information

Introduction of climate monitoring and analysis products for one-month forecast

Introduction of climate monitoring and analysis products for one-month forecast Introduction of climate monitoring and analysis products for one-month forecast TCC Training Seminar on One-month Forecast on 13 November 2018 10:30 11:00 1 Typical flow of making one-month forecast Observed

More information

ROSSBY WAVE PROPAGATION

ROSSBY WAVE PROPAGATION ROSSBY WAVE PROPAGATION (PHH lecture 4) The presence of a gradient of PV (or q.-g. p.v.) allows slow wave motions generally called Rossby waves These waves arise through the Rossby restoration mechanism,

More information

HEIGHT-LATITUDE STRUCTURE OF PLANETARY WAVES IN THE STRATOSPHERE AND TROPOSPHERE. V. Guryanov, A. Fahrutdinova, S. Yurtaeva

HEIGHT-LATITUDE STRUCTURE OF PLANETARY WAVES IN THE STRATOSPHERE AND TROPOSPHERE. V. Guryanov, A. Fahrutdinova, S. Yurtaeva HEIGHT-LATITUDE STRUCTURE OF PLANETARY WAVES IN THE STRATOSPHERE AND TROPOSPHERE INTRODUCTION V. Guryanov, A. Fahrutdinova, S. Yurtaeva Kazan State University, Kazan, Russia When constructing empirical

More information

1/27/2010. With this method, all filed variables are separated into. from the basic state: Assumptions 1: : the basic state variables must

1/27/2010. With this method, all filed variables are separated into. from the basic state: Assumptions 1: : the basic state variables must Lecture 5: Waves in Atmosphere Perturbation Method With this method, all filed variables are separated into two parts: (a) a basic state part and (b) a deviation from the basic state: Perturbation Method

More information

The feature of atmospheric circulation in the extremely warm winter 2006/2007

The feature of atmospheric circulation in the extremely warm winter 2006/2007 The feature of atmospheric circulation in the extremely warm winter 2006/2007 Hiroshi Hasegawa 1, Yayoi Harada 1, Hiroshi Nakamigawa 1, Atsushi Goto 1 1 Climate Prediction Division, Japan Meteorological

More information

Characteristics of Storm Tracks in JMA s Seasonal Forecast Model

Characteristics of Storm Tracks in JMA s Seasonal Forecast Model Characteristics of Storm Tracks in JMA s Seasonal Forecast Model Akihiko Shimpo 1 1 Climate Prediction Division, Japan Meteorological Agency, Japan Correspondence: ashimpo@naps.kishou.go.jp INTRODUCTION

More information

Origin of the Summertime Synoptic-Scale Wave Train in the Western North Pacific*

Origin of the Summertime Synoptic-Scale Wave Train in the Western North Pacific* MARCH 2006 L I 1093 Origin of the Summertime Synoptic-Scale Wave Train in the Western North Pacific* TIM LI International Pacific Research Center and Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii at

More information

Lindzen et al. (2001, hereafter LCH) present

Lindzen et al. (2001, hereafter LCH) present NO EVIDENCE FOR IRIS BY DENNIS L. HARTMANN AND MARC L. MICHELSEN Careful analysis of data reveals no shrinkage of tropical cloud anvil area with increasing SST AFFILIATION: HARTMANN AND MICHELSEN Department

More information

2. Baroclinic Instability and Midlatitude Dynamics

2. Baroclinic Instability and Midlatitude Dynamics 2. Baroclinic Instability and Midlatitude Dynamics Midlatitude Jet Stream Climatology (Atlantic and Pacific) Copyright 26 Emily Shuckburgh, University of Cambridge. Not to be quoted or reproduced without

More information

Mountain Torques Caused by Normal-Mode Global Rossby Waves, and the Impact on Atmospheric Angular Momentum

Mountain Torques Caused by Normal-Mode Global Rossby Waves, and the Impact on Atmospheric Angular Momentum 1045 Mountain Torques Caused by Normal-Mode Global Rossby Waves, and the Impact on Atmospheric Angular Momentum HARALD LEJENÄS Department of Meteorology, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden ROLAND

More information

Tropical drivers of the Antarctic atmosphere

Tropical drivers of the Antarctic atmosphere Tropical drivers of the Antarctic atmosphere Bradford S. Barrett Gina R. Henderson Oceanography Department U. S. Naval Academy Acknowledge support of: NSF awards ARC-1203843 and AGS-1240143 ONR award N1416WX01752

More information

The 6 9 day wave and rainfall modulation in northern Africa during summer 1981

The 6 9 day wave and rainfall modulation in northern Africa during summer 1981 JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 108, NO. D17, 4535, doi:10.1029/2002jd003215, 2003 The 6 9 day wave and rainfall modulation in northern Africa during summer 1981 David Monkam Département de Physique,

More information

Change in Occurrence Frequency of Stratospheric Sudden Warmings. with ENSO-like SST Forcing as Simulated WACCM

Change in Occurrence Frequency of Stratospheric Sudden Warmings. with ENSO-like SST Forcing as Simulated WACCM Change in Occurrence Frequency of Stratospheric Sudden Warmings with ENSO-like SST Forcing as Simulated WACCM Masakazu Taguchi* and Dennis L. Hartmann Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of

More information

NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE A Quasi-Stationary Appearance of 30 to 40 Day Period in the Cloudiness Fluctuations during the Summer Monsoon over India

NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE A Quasi-Stationary Appearance of 30 to 40 Day Period in the Cloudiness Fluctuations during the Summer Monsoon over India June 1980 T. Yasunari 225 NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE A Quasi-Stationary Appearance of 30 to 40 Day Period in the Cloudiness Fluctuations during the Summer Monsoon over India By Tetsuzo Yasunari The Center

More information

A Sub-Seasonal Teleconnection Analysis: PNA Development and Its. Relationship to the NAO

A Sub-Seasonal Teleconnection Analysis: PNA Development and Its. Relationship to the NAO A Sub-Seasonal Teleconnection Analysis: PNA Development and Its Relationship to the NAO Stephen Baxter Advisor: Professor Sumant Nigam University of Maryland, College Park A Scholarly Paper in partial

More information

Dynamics of the Atmosphere. Large-scale flow with rotation and stratification

Dynamics of the Atmosphere. Large-scale flow with rotation and stratification 12.810 Dynamics of the Atmosphere Large-scale flow with rotation and stratification Visualization of meandering jet stream Upper level winds from June 10th to July 8th 1988 from MERRA Red shows faster

More information

A Simple Diagnostic Model for the Day Oscillation in the Tropics. By Toshio Yamagata* and Yoshikazu Hayashi

A Simple Diagnostic Model for the Day Oscillation in the Tropics. By Toshio Yamagata* and Yoshikazu Hayashi October 1984 T. Yamagata and Y. Hayashi 709 A Simple Diagnostic Model for the 30-50 Day Oscillation in the Tropics By Toshio Yamagata* and Yoshikazu Hayashi Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Program, Princeton

More information

Department of Meteorology, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii

Department of Meteorology, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii 478 J O U R N A L O F C L I M A T E VOLUME 0 Horizontal and Vertical Structures of the Northward-Propagating Intraseasonal Oscillation in the South Asian Monsoon Region Simulated by an Intermediate Model*

More information

Can a Simple Two-Layer Model Capture the Structure of Easterly Waves?

Can a Simple Two-Layer Model Capture the Structure of Easterly Waves? Can a Simple Two-Layer Model Capture the Structure of Easterly Waves? Cheryl L. Lacotta 1 Introduction Most tropical storms in the Atlantic, and even many in the eastern Pacific, are due to disturbances

More information

The Large-Scale Modulation of Subtropical Cyclogenesis in the Central and Eastern Pacific Ocean

The Large-Scale Modulation of Subtropical Cyclogenesis in the Central and Eastern Pacific Ocean JULY 2004 OTKIN AND MARTIN 1813 The Large-Scale Modulation of Subtropical Cyclogenesis in the Central and Eastern Pacific Ocean JASON A. OTKIN AND JONATHAN E. MARTIN Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic

More information

A Subseasonal Teleconnection Analysis: PNA Development and Its Relationship to the NAO

A Subseasonal Teleconnection Analysis: PNA Development and Its Relationship to the NAO VOLUME 26 J O U R N A L O F C L I M A T E 15 SEPTEMBER 2013 A Subseasonal Teleconnection Analysis: PNA Development and Its Relationship to the NAO STEPHEN BAXTER AND SUMANT NIGAM University of Maryland,

More information

Is the Atmospheric Zonal Index Driven by an Eddy Feedback?

Is the Atmospheric Zonal Index Driven by an Eddy Feedback? 1OCTOBER 1998 FELDSTEIN AND LEE 3077 Is the Atmospheric Zonal Index Driven by an Eddy Feedback? STEVEN FELDSTEIN Earth System Science Center, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania

More information

AFRICAN EASTERLY WAVES IN CURRENT AND FUTURE CLIMATES

AFRICAN EASTERLY WAVES IN CURRENT AND FUTURE CLIMATES AFRICAN EASTERLY WAVES IN CURRENT AND FUTURE CLIMATES Victoria Dollar RTG Seminar Research - Spring 2018 April 16, 2018 Victoria Dollar ASU April 16, 2018 1 / 26 Overview Introduction Rossby waves and

More information

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION Intensification of Northern Hemisphere Subtropical Highs in a Warming Climate Wenhong Li, Laifang Li, Mingfang Ting, and Yimin Liu 1. Data and Methods The data used in this study consists of the atmospheric

More information

2. Outline of the MRI-EPS

2. Outline of the MRI-EPS 2. Outline of the MRI-EPS The MRI-EPS includes BGM cycle system running on the MRI supercomputer system, which is developed by using the operational one-month forecasting system by the Climate Prediction

More information

The Madden Julian Oscillation in the ECMWF monthly forecasting system

The Madden Julian Oscillation in the ECMWF monthly forecasting system The Madden Julian Oscillation in the ECMWF monthly forecasting system Frédéric Vitart ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2 9AX, United Kingdom F.Vitart@ecmwf.int ABSTRACT A monthly forecasting system has

More information

The Morphology of Northern Hemisphere Blocking

The Morphology of Northern Hemisphere Blocking MAY 2008 T Y R L I S A N D H O S K I N S 1653 The Morphology of Northern Hemisphere Blocking E. TYRLIS AND B. J. HOSKINS Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom (Manuscript

More information

What is the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)?

What is the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)? What is the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)? Planetary scale, 30 90 day oscillation in zonal wind, precipitation, surface pressure, humidity, etc., that propagates slowly eastward Wavelength = 12,000 20,000

More information

NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE. A Possible Link of the QBOs Between the Stratosphere, Troposphere and Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropics

NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE. A Possible Link of the QBOs Between the Stratosphere, Troposphere and Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropics June 1989 T. Yasunari 483 NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE A Possible Link of the QBOs Between the Stratosphere, Troposphere and Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropics By Tetsuzo Yasunari Institute of Geoscience,

More information

NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE. On the Seasonality of the Hadley Cell

NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE. On the Seasonality of the Hadley Cell 1522 JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES VOLUME 60 NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE On the Seasonality of the Hadley Cell IOANA M. DIMA AND JOHN M. WALLACE Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington,

More information

Response of Baroclinic Life Cycles to Barotropic Shear

Response of Baroclinic Life Cycles to Barotropic Shear VOL. 55, NO. 3 JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES 1FEBRUARY 1998 Response of Baroclinic Life Cycles to Barotropic Shear DENNIS L. HARTMANN AND PETER ZUERCHER Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University

More information

What kind of stratospheric sudden warming propagates to the troposphere?

What kind of stratospheric sudden warming propagates to the troposphere? What kind of stratospheric sudden warming propagates to the troposphere? Ken I. Nakagawa 1, and Koji Yamazaki 2 1 Sapporo District Meteorological Observatory, Japan Meteorological Agency Kita-2, Nishi-18,

More information

Tropical Cyclone Formation/Structure/Motion Studies

Tropical Cyclone Formation/Structure/Motion Studies Tropical Cyclone Formation/Structure/Motion Studies Patrick A. Harr Department of Meteorology Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, CA 93943-5114 phone: (831) 656-3787 fax: (831) 656-3061 email: paharr@nps.edu

More information

Lecture #2 Planetary Wave Models. Charles McLandress (Banff Summer School 7-13 May 2005)

Lecture #2 Planetary Wave Models. Charles McLandress (Banff Summer School 7-13 May 2005) Lecture #2 Planetary Wave Models Charles McLandress (Banff Summer School 7-13 May 2005) 1 Outline of Lecture 1. Observational motivation 2. Forced planetary waves in the stratosphere 3. Traveling planetary

More information

Traveling planetary-scale Rossby waves in the winter stratosphere: The role of tropospheric baroclinic instability

Traveling planetary-scale Rossby waves in the winter stratosphere: The role of tropospheric baroclinic instability GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL.???, XXXX, DOI:.29/, 1 2 Traveling planetary-scale Rossby waves in the winter stratosphere: The role of tropospheric baroclinic instability Daniela I.V. Domeisen, 1 R.

More information

The ENSO s Effect on Eastern China Rainfall in the Following Early Summer

The ENSO s Effect on Eastern China Rainfall in the Following Early Summer ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, VOL. 26, NO. 2, 2009, 333 342 The ENSO s Effect on Eastern China Rainfall in the Following Early Summer LIN Zhongda ( ) andluriyu( F ) Center for Monsoon System Research,

More information

CHAPTER 2 DATA AND METHODS. Errors using inadequate data are much less than those using no data at all. Charles Babbage, circa 1850

CHAPTER 2 DATA AND METHODS. Errors using inadequate data are much less than those using no data at all. Charles Babbage, circa 1850 CHAPTER 2 DATA AND METHODS Errors using inadequate data are much less than those using no data at all. Charles Babbage, circa 185 2.1 Datasets 2.1.1 OLR The primary data used in this study are the outgoing

More information

Delayed Response of the Extratropical Northern Atmosphere to ENSO: A Revisit *

Delayed Response of the Extratropical Northern Atmosphere to ENSO: A Revisit * Delayed Response of the Extratropical Northern Atmosphere to ENSO: A Revisit * Ruping Mo Pacific Storm Prediction Centre, Environment Canada, Vancouver, BC, Canada Corresponding author s address: Ruping

More information

Spectral Analysis of Planetary Waves in the Summer Stratosphere and Mesosphere*

Spectral Analysis of Planetary Waves in the Summer Stratosphere and Mesosphere* February 1975 Isamu Hirota 33 Spectral Analysis of Planetary Waves in the Summer Stratosphere and Mesosphere* By Isamu Hirota** Meteorological Research Institute, Tokyo (Manuscript received 5 October 1974,

More information

Charles Jones ICESS University of California, Santa Barbara CA Outline

Charles Jones ICESS University of California, Santa Barbara CA Outline The Influence of Tropical Variations on Wintertime Precipitation in California: Pineapple express, Extreme rainfall Events and Long-range Statistical Forecasts Charles Jones ICESS University of California,

More information

Quasi-Biennial Oscillation Modes Appearing in the Tropical Sea Water Temperature and 700mb Zonal Wind* By Ryuichi Kawamura

Quasi-Biennial Oscillation Modes Appearing in the Tropical Sea Water Temperature and 700mb Zonal Wind* By Ryuichi Kawamura December 1988 R. Kawamura 955 Quasi-Biennial Oscillation Modes Appearing in the Tropical Sea Water Temperature and 700mb Zonal Wind* By Ryuichi Kawamura Environmental Research Center University of Tsukuba

More information

High initial time sensitivity of medium range forecasting observed for a stratospheric sudden warming

High initial time sensitivity of medium range forecasting observed for a stratospheric sudden warming GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 37,, doi:10.1029/2010gl044119, 2010 High initial time sensitivity of medium range forecasting observed for a stratospheric sudden warming Yuhji Kuroda 1 Received 27 May

More information

The Equatorial Response to Higher-Latitude Forcing

The Equatorial Response to Higher-Latitude Forcing VOL. 57, NO. 9 JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES 1MAY 2000 The Equatorial Response to Higher-Latitude Forcing BRIAN J. HOSKINS AND GUI-YING YANG Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading,

More information

Theoretical and Modeling Issues Related to ISO/MJO

Theoretical and Modeling Issues Related to ISO/MJO Theoretical and Modeling Issues Related to ISO/MJO Tim Li Department of Meteorology and IPRC University of Hawaii DYNAMO workshop, April 13-14, Boulder, Colorado 1. MJO Initiation issue: Role of air- sea

More information

[1]{Izaña Atmospheric Research Centre (AEMET), Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain}

[1]{Izaña Atmospheric Research Centre (AEMET), Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain} Supplement of Pivotal role of the North African Dipole Intensity (NAFDI) on alternate Saharan dust export over the North Atlantic and the Mediterranean, and relationship with the Saharan Heat Low and mid-latitude

More information

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION Figure S1. Summary of the climatic responses to the Gulf Stream. On the offshore flank of the SST front (black dashed curve) of the Gulf Stream (green long arrow), surface wind convergence associated with

More information

Dynamics and Kinematics

Dynamics and Kinematics Geophysics Fluid Dynamics () Syllabus Course Time Lectures: Tu, Th 09:30-10:50 Discussion: 3315 Croul Hall Text Book J. R. Holton, "An introduction to Dynamic Meteorology", Academic Press (Ch. 1, 2, 3,

More information

June 1993 T. Nitta and J. Yoshimura 367. Trends and Interannual and Interdecadal Variations of. Global Land Surface Air Temperature

June 1993 T. Nitta and J. Yoshimura 367. Trends and Interannual and Interdecadal Variations of. Global Land Surface Air Temperature June 1993 T. Nitta and J. Yoshimura 367 Trends and Interannual and Interdecadal Variations of Global Land Surface Air Temperature By Tsuyoshi Nitta Center for Climate System Research, University of Tokyo,

More information

Geophysics Fluid Dynamics (ESS228)

Geophysics Fluid Dynamics (ESS228) Geophysics Fluid Dynamics (ESS228) Course Time Lectures: Tu, Th 09:30-10:50 Discussion: 3315 Croul Hall Text Book J. R. Holton, "An introduction to Dynamic Meteorology", Academic Press (Ch. 1, 2, 3, 4,

More information

ESCI 343 Atmospheric Dynamics II Lesson 11 - Rossby Waves

ESCI 343 Atmospheric Dynamics II Lesson 11 - Rossby Waves ESCI 343 Atmospheric Dynamics II Lesson 11 - Rossby Waves Reference: An Introduction to Dynamic Meteorology (4 rd edition), J.R. Holton Atmosphere-Ocean Dynamics, A.E. Gill Fundamentals of Atmospheric

More information

the 2 past three decades

the 2 past three decades SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2840 Atlantic-induced 1 pan-tropical climate change over the 2 past three decades 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 POP simulation forced by the Atlantic-induced atmospheric

More information

General Circulation. Nili Harnik DEES, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory

General Circulation. Nili Harnik DEES, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory General Circulation Nili Harnik DEES, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory nili@ldeo.columbia.edu Latitudinal Radiation Imbalance The annual mean, averaged around latitude circles, of the balance between the

More information

Traveling planetary-scale Rossby waves in the winter stratosphere: The role of tropospheric baroclinic instability

Traveling planetary-scale Rossby waves in the winter stratosphere: The role of tropospheric baroclinic instability GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 39,, doi:10.1029/2012gl053684, 2012 Traveling planetary-scale Rossby waves in the winter stratosphere: The role of tropospheric baroclinic instability Daniela I. V. Domeisen

More information

The dynamics of the North Atlantic Oscillation during the summer season

The dynamics of the North Atlantic Oscillation during the summer season QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. (7) Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com) DOI:./qj.7 The dynamics of the North Atlantic Oscillation

More information

Comparison between Wavenumber Truncation and Horizontal Diffusion Methods in Spectral Models

Comparison between Wavenumber Truncation and Horizontal Diffusion Methods in Spectral Models 152 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW Comparison between Wavenumber Truncation and Horizontal Diffusion Methods in Spectral Models PETER C. CHU, XIONG-SHAN CHEN, AND CHENWU FAN Department of Oceanography, Naval Postgraduate

More information

ASIA-PACIFIC JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 45, 4, 2009, p

ASIA-PACIFIC JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 45, 4, 2009, p ASIA-PACIFIC JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 45, 4, 2009, p. 483-498 The intraseasonal time dependency of eddy-mean flow interaction is examined during boreal summer using the interannual variability

More information

Interannual Variability of the Wintertime Polar Vortex in the Northern Hemisphere Middle Stratosphere1

Interannual Variability of the Wintertime Polar Vortex in the Northern Hemisphere Middle Stratosphere1 February 1982 j. M. Wallace and Fong-Chiau Chang 149 Interannual Variability of the Wintertime Polar Vortex in the Northern Hemisphere Middle Stratosphere1 By John M. Wallace and Fong-Chiau Chang Department

More information

Maintenance of Circulation Anomalies during the 1988 Drought and 1993 Floods over the United States

Maintenance of Circulation Anomalies during the 1988 Drought and 1993 Floods over the United States Department of Physical Sciences - Daytona Beach College of Arts & Sciences 9-1-1998 Maintenance of Circulation Anomalies during the 1988 Drought and 1993 Floods over the United States Alan Z. Liu Embry

More information

Conference on Teleconnections in the Atmosphere and Oceans November 2008

Conference on Teleconnections in the Atmosphere and Oceans November 2008 1968-38 Conference on Teleconnections in the Atmosphere and Oceans 17-20 November 2008 Mid-latitude - MJO teleconnection over East Asia in the Northern winter KIM Baekmin Yonsei University Dept. of Atmospheric

More information

On Sampling Errors in Empirical Orthogonal Functions

On Sampling Errors in Empirical Orthogonal Functions 3704 J O U R N A L O F C L I M A T E VOLUME 18 On Sampling Errors in Empirical Orthogonal Functions ROBERTA QUADRELLI, CHRISTOPHER S. BRETHERTON, AND JOHN M. WALLACE University of Washington, Seattle,

More information

5D.6 EASTERLY WAVE STRUCTURAL EVOLUTION OVER WEST AFRICA AND THE EAST ATLANTIC 1. INTRODUCTION 2. COMPOSITE GENERATION

5D.6 EASTERLY WAVE STRUCTURAL EVOLUTION OVER WEST AFRICA AND THE EAST ATLANTIC 1. INTRODUCTION 2. COMPOSITE GENERATION 5D.6 EASTERLY WAVE STRUCTURAL EVOLUTION OVER WEST AFRICA AND THE EAST ATLANTIC Matthew A. Janiga* University at Albany, Albany, NY 1. INTRODUCTION African easterly waves (AEWs) are synoptic-scale disturbances

More information

Lecture 8: Natural Climate Variability

Lecture 8: Natural Climate Variability Lecture 8: Natural Climate Variability Extratropics: PNA, NAO, AM (aka. AO), SAM Tropics: MJO Coupled A-O Variability: ENSO Decadal Variability: PDO, AMO Unforced vs. Forced Variability We often distinguish

More information

Definition of Antarctic Oscillation Index

Definition of Antarctic Oscillation Index 1 Definition of Antarctic Oscillation Index Daoyi Gong and Shaowu Wang Department of Geophysics, Peking University, P.R. China Abstract. Following Walker s work about his famous three oscillations published

More information

Where does precipitation water come from?

Where does precipitation water come from? Chapter II Climate and Meteorology Where does precipitation water come from? Introduction The source of water vapor existing over Mongolia has been considered to consist of evapotranspiration at several

More information

The Formation of Precipitation Anomaly Patterns during the Developing and Decaying Phases of ENSO

The Formation of Precipitation Anomaly Patterns during the Developing and Decaying Phases of ENSO ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2010, VOL. 3, NO. 1, 25 30 The Formation of Precipitation Anomaly Patterns during the Developing and Decaying Phases of ENSO HU Kai-Ming and HUANG Gang State Key

More information

MODEL TYPE (Adapted from COMET online NWP modules) 1. Introduction

MODEL TYPE (Adapted from COMET online NWP modules) 1. Introduction MODEL TYPE (Adapted from COMET online NWP modules) 1. Introduction Grid point and spectral models are based on the same set of primitive equations. However, each type formulates and solves the equations

More information

June 1989 T. Nitta and S. Yamada 375. Recent Warming of Tropical Sea Surface Temperature and Its. Relationship to the Northern Hemisphere Circulation

June 1989 T. Nitta and S. Yamada 375. Recent Warming of Tropical Sea Surface Temperature and Its. Relationship to the Northern Hemisphere Circulation June 1989 T. Nitta and S. Yamada 375 Recent Warming of Tropical Sea Surface Temperature and Its Relationship to the Northern Hemisphere Circulation By Tsuyoshi Nitta and Shingo Yamada Long-Range Forecast

More information

The Effect of a Hadley Circulation on the Propagation and Reflection of Planetary Waves in a Simple One-Layer Model

The Effect of a Hadley Circulation on the Propagation and Reflection of Planetary Waves in a Simple One-Layer Model 1536 JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES The Effect of a Hadley Circulation on the Propagation and Reflection of Planetary Waves in a Simple One-Layer Model J. GAVIN ESLER Program in Atmospheres, Oceans

More information

Planetary-Scale Baroclinic Instability and the MJO

Planetary-Scale Baroclinic Instability and the MJO NOVEMBER 000 STRAUS AND LINDZEN 3609 Planetary-Scale Baroclinic Instability and the MJO DAVID M. STRAUS Center for Ocean Land Atmosphere Studies, Calverton, Maryland RICHARD S. LINDZEN Department of Earth,

More information

Hadley Circulation as a Modulator of the Extratropical Climate

Hadley Circulation as a Modulator of the Extratropical Climate 2437 Hadley Circulation as a Modulator of the Extratropical Climate ARTHUR Y. HOU Data Assimilation Office, Laboratory for Atmospheres, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland (Manuscript

More information

The Atmospheric Dynamics of Intraseasonal Length-of-Day Fluctuations during the Austral Winter

The Atmospheric Dynamics of Intraseasonal Length-of-Day Fluctuations during the Austral Winter 1SEPTEMBER 1999 FELDSTEIN 3043 The Atmospheric Dynamics of Intraseasonal Length-of-Day Fluctuations during the Austral Winter STEVEN B. FELDSTEIN Earth System Science Center, The Pennsylvania State University,

More information

The Planetary Circulation System

The Planetary Circulation System 12 The Planetary Circulation System Learning Goals After studying this chapter, students should be able to: 1. describe and account for the global patterns of pressure, wind patterns and ocean currents

More information

Rossby wave dynamics of the North Pacific extra-tropical response to El Niño: importance of the basic state in coupled GCMs

Rossby wave dynamics of the North Pacific extra-tropical response to El Niño: importance of the basic state in coupled GCMs Clim Dyn (2011) 37:391 405 DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0854-7 Rossby wave dynamics of the North Pacific extra-tropical response to El Niño: importance of the basic state in coupled GCMs Andrew Dawson Adrian

More information

Interannual Teleconnection between Ural-Siberian Blocking and the East Asian Winter Monsoon

Interannual Teleconnection between Ural-Siberian Blocking and the East Asian Winter Monsoon Interannual Teleconnection between Ural-Siberian Blocking and the East Asian Winter Monsoon Hoffman H. N. Cheung 1,2, Wen Zhou 1,2 (hoffmancheung@gmail.com) 1 City University of Hong Kong Shenzhen Institute

More information

The Interdecadal Variation of the Western Pacific Subtropical High as Measured by 500 hpa Eddy Geopotential Height

The Interdecadal Variation of the Western Pacific Subtropical High as Measured by 500 hpa Eddy Geopotential Height ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2015, VOL. 8, NO. 6, 371 375 The Interdecadal Variation of the Western Pacific Subtropical High as Measured by 500 hpa Eddy Geopotential Height HUANG Yan-Yan and

More information

Anticorrelated intensity change of the quasi-biweekly and day oscillations over the South China Sea

Anticorrelated intensity change of the quasi-biweekly and day oscillations over the South China Sea Click Here for Full Article GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 35, L16702, doi:10.1029/2008gl034449, 2008 Anticorrelated intensity change of the quasi-biweekly and 30 50-day oscillations over the South

More information

Evaluating a Genesis Potential Index with Community Climate System Model Version 3 (CCSM3) By: Kieran Bhatia

Evaluating a Genesis Potential Index with Community Climate System Model Version 3 (CCSM3) By: Kieran Bhatia Evaluating a Genesis Potential Index with Community Climate System Model Version 3 (CCSM3) By: Kieran Bhatia I. Introduction To assess the impact of large-scale environmental conditions on tropical cyclone

More information

Analysis of the 500 mb height fields and waves: testing Rossby wave theory

Analysis of the 500 mb height fields and waves: testing Rossby wave theory Analysis of the 500 mb height fields and waves: testing Rossby wave theory Jeffrey D. Duda, Suzanne Morris, Michelle Werness, and Benjamin H. McNeill Department of Geologic and Atmospheric Sciences, Iowa

More information

Baroclinic anomalies associated with the Southern Hemisphere Annular Mode: Roles of synoptic and low-frequency eddies

Baroclinic anomalies associated with the Southern Hemisphere Annular Mode: Roles of synoptic and low-frequency eddies GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 4, 361 366, doi:1.1/grl.5396, 13 Baroclinic anomalies associated with the Southern Hemisphere Annular Mode: Roles of synoptic and low-frequency eddies Yu Nie, 1 Yang

More information

Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter

Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter Shingo Yamada Tokyo Climate Center Japan Meteorological Agency 2006/11/02 7 th Joint Meeting on EAWM Contents 1. Verification of the Seasonal

More information

Climate Dynamics Springer-Verlag 1997

Climate Dynamics Springer-Verlag 1997 Climate Dynamics (1997) 13 : 883 904 Climate Dynamics Springer-Verlag 1997 Patterns of low-frequency variability in a three-level quasi-geostrophic model S. Corti, * A. Giannini, S. Tibaldi, F. Molteni

More information

DRY INTRUSION FROM THE INDIAN OCEAN OBSERVED AT SUMATERA ISLAND ON OCTOBER 6-7, 1998

DRY INTRUSION FROM THE INDIAN OCEAN OBSERVED AT SUMATERA ISLAND ON OCTOBER 6-7, 1998 DRY INTRUSION FROM THE INDIAN OCEAN OBSERVED AT SUMATERA ISLAND ON OCTOBER 6-7, 1998 FUMIE MURATA Research Institute for Humanity and Nature, 335 Takashima-cho, Kamigyo, Kyoto, 602-0878, Japan MANABU D.

More information

Title: Decadal-scale variation of South Asian summer monsoon onset and its

Title: Decadal-scale variation of South Asian summer monsoon onset and its Title: Decadal-scale variation of South Asian summer monsoon onset and its relationship with the Pacific decadal oscillation Takeshi Watanabe 1 and Koji Yamazaki 2, 3 1 Research and Information Center,

More information

Vertical Moist Thermodynamic Structure of the MJO in AIRS Observations: An Update and A Comparison to ECMWF Interim Reanalysis

Vertical Moist Thermodynamic Structure of the MJO in AIRS Observations: An Update and A Comparison to ECMWF Interim Reanalysis Vertical Moist Thermodynamic Structure of the MJO in AIRS Observations: An Update and A Comparison to ECMWF Interim Reanalysis Baijun Tian 1 Duane Waliser 1, Eric Fetzer 1, and Yuk Yung 2 1.Jet Propulsion

More information

An Analysis of 500 hpa Height Fields and Zonal Wind: Examination of the Rossby Wave Theory

An Analysis of 500 hpa Height Fields and Zonal Wind: Examination of the Rossby Wave Theory An Analysis of 500 hpa Height Fields and Zonal Wind: Examination of the Rossby Wave Theory Justin Hayward, Chris MacIntosh, Katherine Meinig Department of Geologic and Atmospheric Sciences, Iowa State

More information

Fourier Analysis. 19th October 2015

Fourier Analysis. 19th October 2015 Fourier Analysis Hilary Weller 19th October 2015 This is brief introduction to Fourier analysis and how it is used in atmospheric and oceanic science, for: Analysing data (eg climate

More information

ENSO, AO, and climate in Japan. 15 November 2016 Yoshinori Oikawa, Tokyo Climate Center, Japan Meteorological Agency

ENSO, AO, and climate in Japan. 15 November 2016 Yoshinori Oikawa, Tokyo Climate Center, Japan Meteorological Agency ENSO, AO, and climate in Japan 15 November 2016 Yoshinori Oikawa, Tokyo Climate Center, Japan Meteorological Agency Aims of this lecture At the end of the yesterday s lecture, Hare-run said, - In the exercise

More information

Modes of Interannual Variability of the Southern Hemisphere Circulation Simulated by the CSIRO Climate Model

Modes of Interannual Variability of the Southern Hemisphere Circulation Simulated by the CSIRO Climate Model 15 MAY 2002 CAI AND WATTERSON 1159 Modes of Interannual Variability of the Southern Hemisphere Circulation Simulated by the CSIRO Climate Model WENJU CAI AND IAN G. WATTERSON CSIRO Atmospheric Research,

More information

Equatorially Trapped Waves in Shallow Water

Equatorially Trapped Waves in Shallow Water ! Revised November 20, 2012 6:08 PM! 1 Equatorially Trapped Waves in Shallow Water David Randall Introduction Matsuno (1966; Fig. 1) studied the linearized shallow water equations applied to an equatorial

More information

Zonal Momentum Balance in the Tropical Atmospheric Circulation during the Global Monsoon Mature Months

Zonal Momentum Balance in the Tropical Atmospheric Circulation during the Global Monsoon Mature Months FEBRUARY 2013 Y A N G E T A L. 583 Zonal Momentum Balance in the Tropical Atmospheric Circulation during the Global Monsoon Mature Months WENCHANG YANG, RICHARD SEAGER, AND MARK A. CANE Lamont-Doherty

More information

Downward Wave Coupling between the Stratosphere and Troposphere: The Importance of Meridional Wave Guiding and Comparison with Zonal-Mean Coupling

Downward Wave Coupling between the Stratosphere and Troposphere: The Importance of Meridional Wave Guiding and Comparison with Zonal-Mean Coupling 1DECEMBER 2010 S H A W E T A L. 6365 Downward Wave Coupling between the Stratosphere and Troposphere: The Importance of Meridional Wave Guiding and Comparison with Zonal-Mean Coupling TIFFANY A. SHAW*

More information

P4.2 THE THREE DIMENSIONAL STRUCTURE AND TIME EVOLUTION OF THE DECADAL VARIABILITY REVEALED IN ECMWF REANALYSES

P4.2 THE THREE DIMENSIONAL STRUCTURE AND TIME EVOLUTION OF THE DECADAL VARIABILITY REVEALED IN ECMWF REANALYSES P4.2 THE THREE DIMENSIONAL STRUCTURE AND TIME EVOLUTION OF THE DECADAL VARIABILITY REVEALED IN ECMWF REANALYSES Taehyoun Shim 1, Gyu-Ho Lim* 1 and Dong-In Lee 2 1 School of Earth and Environmental Sciences,

More information