ONLINE PAGE PROOFS. Relationships between two numerical variables

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1 14 Relationships between two numerical variables 14.1 Kick off with CAS 14.2 Scatterplots and basic correlation 14.3 Further correlation coefficients 14.4 Making predictions 14.5 Review

2 14.1 Kick off with CAS What information can be obtained from a scatterplot? 1 Using CAS, plot each of the following four scatterplots on a different set of aes. Remember to label the aes with the appropriate variable. a Week number b c d Length (cm) Price ($) Number sold Number of guests Total cost ( $1) Number Score For each of the scatterplots, answer the following questions. 2 As the variable on the horizontal ais increases, what happens to the variable on the vertical ais? 3 Can ou identif or describe a pattern for the scatterplot? 4 Would it be appropriate to join the points to make a curve or a line? 5 Does the scatterplot provide an other information about the data? Please refer to the Resources tab in the Prelims section of our ebookplus for a comprehensive step-b-step guide on how to use our CAS technolog.

3 14.2 worked example 1 Scatterplots and basic correlation bivariate data Often when we look at a situation we are tring to assess how much one variable has caused or influenced another to create the end result. Bivariate data is the term used for information relating to two different variables. When eploring bivariate data, it is necessar to identif which of the two variables is the eplanator variable (represented on the -ais) and which is the response variable (represented on the -ais). For eample, we are given the length of a pair of pants (variable 1) and the age of a person (variable 2). In this eample, the age of a person is not going to depend on the length of their pants, while the length of the pants will generall be eplained b the age of the person. Therefore, the eplanator variable is the age, while the length of the pants is the response variable. Identif the eplanator and response variables in each of the following scenarios. a Distance walked in an hour and the age of a person b The cost of bananas and the average dail temperature in Queensland think a Consider which variable does not respond to the other. The age of a person will not be changed due to the distance the walk; however, their age could eplain the distance the have covered. b The cost of bananas is influenced b suppl and demand. If the growing season has been affected b higher than epected dail temperatures, the number of bananas produced will be less, therefore increasing the price. WritE a Eplanator variable = age Response variable = distance walked in an hour b Eplanator variable = average dail temperature in Queensland Response variable = cost of bananas Interactivit Create scatterplots int-6497 scatterplots A common wa to interpret bivariate data is through the use of a scatterplot. Scatterplots provide a visual displa of the data and can be used to draw correlations and causations between two variables. When constructing a scatterplot, it is important to place the eplanator variable along the -ais and the response variable along the -ais. 582 maths QuesT 11 GeneRal mathematics vce units 1 and 2

4 Units 1 & 2 AOS 6 Topic 2 Concept 1 Scatterplots and correlation Concept summar Practice questions Interactivit Scatterplots int-625 Correlation When interpreting a scatterplot the correlation provides an insight into the relationship between the two variables. The correlation is a measure of the strength of the linear relationship between the two variables. There are three classifications for the correlation of data: 1. Positive correlation: as the eplanator variables (-ais) increase, the response variables (-ais) also increase, forming an upwards trend. 2. Negative correlation: as the eplanator variables (-ais) increase, the response variables (-ais) decrease, forming a downwards trend. 3. No correlation: no visible pattern formed b the data points, which appear to be randoml placed. Strong positive correlation Strong negative correlation Moderate positive correlation Moderate negative correlation Weak positive correlation Weak negative correlation Topic 14 Relationships between two numerical variables 583

5 worked example 2 A local café recorded the number of ice-creams sold per da as well as the dail maimum temperature for 12 das. Temp ( C) No. of ice-creams sold a Identif the response and eplanator variables. b Represent the data in a scatterplot. c Discuss the strength of the relationship between the variables. think a Consider which variable does not rel on the other. This will be the eplanator variable. b Select a reasonable scale for each variable that covers the full range of the data set. Plot the given points, remembering that the eplanator variable should be represented on the -ais and the response variable should be represented on the -ais. c Look at the pattern of the data points. Do the form a linear pattern? Are the progressing in a similar direction, either positive or negative? How strong is the correlation between the variables? WritE/draW a Eplanator variable = temperature Response variable = number of ice-creams sold b No. of ice-creams sold Temperature ( C) c There is a linear relationship between the two variables. As the temperature increases so does the number of ice-creams sold. The correlation between the variables is strong. Therefore, this graph could be described as having a strong positive correlation. Note: The lowest point on the scatterplot could be considered a potential outlier. pearson s product-moment correlation coeffi cient The strength of the linear relationship can be observed from a scatterplot of the data. However, to determine eactl how strong this relationship is we can use Pearson s product-moment correlation coefficient, r, which measures the strength of a linear trend and associates it with a numerical value between 1 and +1. A value of either 1 or +1 indicates a perfect linear correlation, while a result closer to zero indicates no correlation between the variables. The following scale is a guide when using r to describe the strength of a linear relationship. 584 maths QuesT 11 GeneRal mathematics vce units 1 and 2

6 Units 1 & 2 AOS 6 Topic 2 Concept 2 Pearson s correlation coefficient Concept summar Practice questions Interactivit Pearson s productmoment correlation coeffi cient and the coeffi cient of determination int-6251 worked example 3 The formula to calculate Pearson s product-moment correlation coefficient is: n r = 1 i i, where: n 1 i=1 s s n is the numbers of pieces of data in the data set i is an -value (eplanator variable) i is a -value (response variable) s is the standard deviation of the -values s is the standard deviation of the -values is the mean of the -values is the mean of the -values. As this formula can be difficult to work with, once the raw data has been gathered we will use CAS to generate the Pearson s product-moment correlation coefficient value. Causation and coeffi cient of determination The measure of how much the change in one variable is caused b the other is referred to as causation. It is important to note that a strong linear relationship between two variables does not necessaril mean that a change in one variable will cause a change in the other. There are often other factors that need to be considered. When there is a clear eplanator and response variable, the coefficient of determination, r 2, can be calculated to eplore the impact a change in one variable ma have on the other. For eample, if a data set generated an r-value of.9, indicating a ver strong linear relationship, the r 2 -value would be.81. This indicates that 81% of the variation in the -variable is eplained b the variation in the -variable, and 19% can be eplained b other factors. Use the data from Worked eample 2 to answer the following questions. a Use CAS to calculate Pearson s product-moment correlation coefficient correct to 4 decimal places. b Determine the coefficient of determination for this situation correct to 4 decimal places. What causations could be drawn from this information? think a 1 Enter the data values into a CAS to generate the r-value. b 1 Square the value of r to determine the coefficient of determination (r 2 ). 2 Consider the value to be a percentage. What does this value tell ou about the relationship between the two variables? Value of r WritE a r =.9355 b r 2 = } } } } } } } Strong positive linear association Moderate positive linear association Weak positive linear association No linear association Weak negative linear association Moderate negative linear association Strong negative linear association r 2 =.8752 indicates that 87.52% of sales of ice-cream are related to the temperature. Topic 14 RelaTionships between Two numerical variables 585

7 Eercise 14.2 PRactise No. of magazine issues per ear Scatterplots and basic correlation 1 WE1 A surve was conducted to record how long it takes to eat a pizza and the time of da. Identif the eplanator and response variables. 2 A stud recorded the amount of data needed on a phone plan and. the time spent using phone apps. Identif the eplanator and response variables. 3 WE2 The following scatterplot has been established File size (kb) Number of pages a Which variable is the response variable? b How would ou describe the relationship between these variables? 4 With reference to the data in the following table: a identif the response and eplanator variables b represent the data in a scatterplot c identif the tpe of correlation, if an, that is evident from the scatterplot of these two variables. Time (minutes) Weight that can be held (kg) 5 WE3 The following table outlines the cost of an annual magazine subscription along with the number of magazines issues per ear Subscription cost ($) a Use CAS to determine Pearson s product-moment correlation coefficient for this data correct to 4 decimal places. What does this tell ou about the strength of the linear relationship between the variables? b Calculate the coefficient of determination correct to 4 decimal places. What causations could be drawn from this information? What other factors might contribute to this result? 6 After assessing a series of bivariate data, a coefficient of determination value of.52 was calculated. a What does this value tell ou about the strength of relationship between the two variables? b Referring to the variables as and, what causation could be suggested? c Wh can t we use the coefficient of determination to draw eact conclusions? 586 Maths Quest 11 GENERAL MATHEMATICS VCE Units 1 and 2

8 Consolidate 7 For each of the following scenarios, identif the eplanator and response variable. a The age of people (in ears) and the number of star jumps the can complete in one minute b The cost of purchasing various quantities of chocolate c The number of songs stored on a media plaer and the memor capacit used d The growth rate of bacteria in a laborator and the quantit of food supplied 8 The weights and heights of a random sample of people were collected, with the following table displaing the collected data. Height (cm) Weight (kg) a Identif the eplanator and response variables. b Using a reasonable scale, plot the data. 9 Comment on the tpe and strength of the correlation displaed in each of the following scatterplots: a b c 1 Suggest a combination of eplanator variable and response variable that ma produce each of the following correlation trends: a negative correlation b no correlation. 11 Use our understanding of Pearson s product-moment correlation coefficient to eplain what the following results indicate. a r =.68 b r =.97 c r =.1 d r =.3 12 Find the value of the coefficient of determination in the following scenarios and interpret the meaning behind the result. Give our answers correct to 4 decimal places. a A surve found that the correlation between a child s diet and their health is r = b The correlation between global warming and the amount of water in the ocean was found to be r = Using the data table from question 8, calculate Pearson s product-moment correlation coefficient and the coefficient of determination. Give our answers correct to 3 decimal places. 14 The coefficient of determination for a data set is found to be What is the percentage of variation that can be eplained b other factors? Topic 14 Relationships between two numerical variables 587

9 15 A series of data looked at the amount of time soccer teams spent warming up before a match and the number of wins. The coefficient of determination is.86. What conclusions could be drawn from this? Master 16 A surve asked random people for their house number and the combined age of the household members. The following data was collected: House no. Total age of household House no. Total age of household a Using the house number as the eplanator variable, plot this data. b Comment on the resulting scatterplot. c Determine Pearson s product-moment correlation coefficient and the coefficient of determination. Give our answers correct to 4 decimal places. d What conclusions can ou draw from these values? e What percentage of variation could be contributed b other factors? 17 A class of Year 11 students were asked to record the amount of time in hours that the spent on a Histor assignment and the mark out of 1 that the received for the assignment. Time spent (hours) Mark (%) Time spent (hours) Mark (%) a Identif the eplanator and response variables. b Draw a scatterplot to represent this data. 588 Maths Quest 11 GENERAL MATHEMATICS VCE Units 1 and 2

10 14.3 worked example 4 c Comment on the direction and correlation of the data points. d Eplain wh the data is not perfectl linear. e Using the data table, calculate Pearson s product-moment correlation coefficient and the coefficient of determination. Give our answers correct to 3 decimal places. f What do these values suggest about the relationship between a student s assignment mark and the time spent on it? 18 Use CAS to design a data set that meets the following criteria: contains 1 15 data points produces a negative trend has a coefficient of determination between Further correlation coefficients line of best fit After raw data has been plotted as a scatterplot, the scatterplot can be used to determine findings and predictions can be made. A line of best fit can be used to generate information about the data and form an equation for the individual scatterplot. A line of best fit is the straight line that is most representative of the data, with the average distance between the data points and the line being minimised. There are numerous was to draw a line of best fit, some more accurate than others. line of best fi t b ee A quick wa to draw a line of best fit is b ee. This method aims to draw a straight line with approimatel the same number of data points above and below the line. The line should follow the direction of the general trend of the data. This method, while quick, leaves significant room for error. For each of the scatterplots below, use a ruler to draw a line of best fit b ee. a b think a 1 Count the number of data points. 2 Consider the direction of the data points. 3 Draw a straight line through the data points using a pencil. Review the line to confirm an even distribution of data points. WritE/draW a In this eample there are 1 data points; therefore, the line of best fit should have 5 points on each side. In this eample, the trend is positive. The line of best fit will follow this trend. Topic 14 RelaTionships between Two numerical variables 589

11 b 1 Count the number of data points. 2 Consider the direction of the data points. 3 Draw a straight line through the data points using a pencil. Review the line to confirm an even distribution of data points. Units 1 & 2 AOS 6 Topic 2 Concept 3 Least squares regression line Concept summar Practice questions Interactivit Fitting a straight line using least-squares regression int-6254 Least squares regression Sometimes a line of best fit can be drawn b ee; however, in other situations it is necessar to be more accurate. When there are no outliers in a scatterplot, we can generate an equation using the least squares regression line. This line minimises the vertical distances between the data points and the line of best fit. It is called the least squares regression line because if we took the squares of these vertical distances, this line would represent the smallest possible sum of all of these squares. The equation for the least squares regression line takes the form = a + b, where is the response variable, is the eplanator variable, b is the gradient or slope of the line and a is the -intercept. You can use CAS to generate these values. b In this eample there are 9 data points. As there is an odd number of points, either a data point sits on the line or there will be a slight imbalance of points above and below the line. In this eample, the trend is negative. The line of best fit will follow this trend. Manuall calculating the equation for the least squares regression line To find the equation for the least squares regression line, the following elements need to be collected. : the mean of the eplanator variable : the mean of the response variable s : the standard deviation of the eplanator variable s : the standard deviation of the response variable r: Pearson s product-moment correlation coefficient Maths Quest 11 GENERAL MATHEMATICS VCE Units 1 and 2

12 worked example 5 These values can then be substituted to find a and b, using the following formulas: To find the slope: b = r s s To find the -intercept: a = b Once the values for b and a have been found, substitute the results into = a + b to calculate the least squares regression equation. A school recorded the age and height of a group of male students, with the following data being collected: Average age (ears) = Average height (cm) = 16.8 Standard deviation of age = 1.6 Standard deviation of height = 7.5 Pearson s product-moment correlation coefficient =.81 a Identif the eplanator variable. b Calculate the value of b correct to 4 significant figures. c Calculate the value of a correct to 4 significant figures. d Determine the equation of the least squares regression line. think a Consider which variable is more likel to influence the other. b 1 Identif the necessar variables. b s = 1.6 s = 7.5 r =.81 2 Substitute these values into the equation for b. b = r s WritE a Eplanator variable = age = = c 1 Identif the necessar variables. c = = 16.8 m = Substitute these values into the equation for a. a = b = = 11.6 d Substitute the values for b and a into = a + b. d = a + b = s Topic 14 RelaTionships between Two numerical variables 591

13 Eercise 14.3 PRactise Further correlation coefficients 1 WE4 For the scatterplot below, use a ruler to draw a line of best fit b ee. Consolidate 2 For the scatterplot below, use a ruler to draw a line of best fit b ee. 3 WE5 Each student in a class recorded the amount of time the spent on a computer each da and the number of siblings the had. The following data was collected. Average number of siblings = 2.75 Average time spent on a computer per da (min) = 39.5 Standard deviation of number of siblings = 1.39 Standard deviation of time spent on a computer = 2.61 Pearson s product-moment correlation coefficient =.73 a Identif the eplanator variable. b Calculate the value of b correct to 4 significant figures. c Calculate the value of a correct to 4 significant figures. d Determine the equation of the least squares regression line. 4 People were asked to record the distance the travel to work and the time it takes. Where appropriate, give answers to the following questions correct to 4 significant figures. Distance travelled (km) Time taken (mins) a Use CAS to plot this data on a scatterplot. b Determine the values of the following variables. i ii iii s iv s v r c Substitute the values into b = r s to find the value of the slope. s d Solve a = b to find the -intercept. e Identif the least squares regression equation for this data. 5 Draw a line of best fit b ee for the following scatterplots. a b 592 Maths Quest 11 GENERAL MATHEMATICS VCE Units 1 and 2

14 6 For each of scatterplots in question 5, comment on the tpe and strength of the correlation displaed. 7 Use the following information to calculate the values for b and a in the least squares regression line. Give our answers correct to 3 significant figures. = , = 7.6, s = 16.37, s = 1.67, r =.98 8 Use the following data set to answer the questions below. Where necessar, give our answers correct to 3 significant figures a Determine these values: i ii iii s iv s v r b Substitute the values from our answers to part a into b = r s to find the value s of the slope. c Solve a = b to find the value of the -intercept. d Identif the least squares regression equation for this data. 9 The point (1, 7) was added to the data set from question 8. How would this data point affect the equation of the line of best fit? 1 Use our understanding of the least squares regression line equation to sketch the equation = 14 3 on a blank Cartesian plane. 11 A researcher investigating the proposition that tall mothers have tall sons measures the height of 12 mothers and the height of their adult sons. The results are shown below. Height of mother (cm) Height of son (cm) Height of mother (cm) Height of son (cm) a Which variable is the response variable? b Draw a scatterplot and a line of best fit. c Determine the equation of the line of best fit, epressing the equation in terms of height of mother (M) and height of son (S). Give values correct to 4 significant figures. 12 An equation for a regression line is = What conclusions about the trend of the regression line can be determined from the equation? Topic 14 Relationships between two numerical variables 593

15 Master 14.4 Units 1 & 2 AOS 6 Topic 2 Concept 4 Interpretation of slope and intercept Concept summar Practice questions 13 Data on the dail sales of gumboots and the maimum dail temperature were collected. Temp ( C) Dail sales (no. of pairs) Temp ( C) a Draw a scatterplot of this data. b Find the equation of the line of best fit, epressed in terms of temperature (T) and dail sales (D). Give values correct to 4 significant figures. c Find Pearson s product-moment correlation coefficient and the coefficient of determination. Give our answers correct to 4 significant figures. d Interpret these values in the contet of the data. Dail sales (no. of pairs) 14 A data set produced a positive trend and for each incremental increase in the eplanator variable, the response variable increased b 2.5. If = 4 when =, determine the equation for the regression line. 15 a Use CAS to plot the regression line = b Would a data point of (3, 4) be found above or below the regression line? 16 Use CAS to design a data set that meets the following criteria: contains 1 15 data points produces a positive trend has an b value between 2 and 5 in its regression equation. Making predictions Making predictions Often data is collected in order to make informed decisions or predictions about a situation. The regression line equation from a scatterplot can be used for this purpose. Interpreting the regression line equation Remember that the equation for the regression line is in the form = a + b, where b is the gradient or slope, a is the -intercept, and and refer to the two variables. Two important pieces of information can be attained from this equation. 594 Maths Quest 11 GENERAL MATHEMATICS VCE Units 1 and 2

16 1. When the eplanator variable is equal to, the value of the response variable is indicated b the -intercept, a. 2. For each increment of 1 unit of change in the eplanator variable, the change in the response variable is indicated b the value of the slope, b. worked example 6 The least squares regression equation for a line is = a Identif the -intercept. b For each unit of change in the eplanator variable, b how much does the response variable change? c What does our answer to part b tell ou about the direction of the line? think a Consider the equation in the form = a + b. Identif the value that represents a. b The change in the response variable due to the eplanator variable is reflected in the slope. Identif the b value in the equation. c A positive b value indicates a positive trending line, while a negative b value indicates a negative trending line. Units 1 & 2 AOS 6 Topic 2 Concept 5 Predictions and etrapolation Concept summar Practice questions worked example 7 WritE -intercept = 62 b = 8 As the b value is negative, the trend of the line is negative. interpolation and etrapolation The regression line can be used to eplore data points both inside and outside of the scatterplot range. When investigating data inside the variable range, the data is being interpolated. Data points that lie above or below the scatterplot range can also be used to make predictions; this is referred to as the data being etrapolated. using the regression line equation to make predictions The regression equation can be used to make predictions from the data b substituting in a value for either the eplanator variable () or the response variable () in order to find the value of the other variable. Flowers with a diameter of 5 17 cm were measured and the number of petals for each flower was documented. A regression equation of N = d, where N is the number of petals and d is the diameter of the flower (in cm) was established. a Identif the eplanator variable. b Determine the number of petals that would be epected on a flower with a diameter of 15 cm. Round to the nearest whole number. Topic 14 RelaTionships between Two numerical variables 595

17 c Is the value found in part b an eample of interpolated or etrapolated data? d A flower with 35 petals is found. Use the equation to predict the diameter of the flower correct to 1 decimal place. e Is part d an eample of interpolated or etrapolated data? THINK a Consider the format of the equation = a + b. The variable on the right-hand side will be the eplanator variable. WRITE a Eplanator variable = flower diameter b 1 Using the equation, substitute 15 in place of d. b N = d = = Round to the nearest whole value. 29 petals c Consider the data range given in the opening statement. d 1 Using the equation, substitute 3 in place of N. d 35 = d c 15 cm is inside the data range, so this is interpolation, not etrapolation Transpose the equation to solve for d. d = 1.88 = Round to 1 decimal place. = 18.4 (correct to 1 decimal place) e Consider the data range given in the opening statement. e 18.4 cm is outside the data range, so this is an eample of etrapolated data. Limitations of regression line predictions When reviewing predictions drawn from a scatterplot, it is necessar to question the reliabilit of the results. As with an conclusion or prediction, the results rel heavil on the initial data. If the data was collected from a small sample, then the limited information could contain biases or a lack of diversit that would not be present in a larger sample. The more data that can be provided at the start, the more accurate the result that will be produced. The strength of the correlation between the variables also provides an indication of the reliabilit of the data. Data that produces no correlation or a low correlation would suggest that an conclusions drawn from the data will be unreliable. When etrapolating data it is assumed that additional data will follow the same pattern as the data alread in use. This assumption means etrapolated data is not as reliable as interpolated data. Eercise 14.4 PRactise Making predictions 1 WE6 The least squares regression equation for a line is = a Identif the -intercept. b For each unit of change in the eplanator variable, b how much does the response variable change? c What does our answer to part b tell ou about the direction of the line? 596 Maths Quest 11 GENERAL MATHEMATICS VCE Units 1 and 2

18 Consolidate 2 The least squares regression equation for a line is = a Identif the -intercept. b For each unit of change in the eplanator variable, b how much does the response variable change? c What does our answer to part b tell ou about the direction of the line? 3 WE7 A brand of medication for babies bases the dosage on the age (in months) of the child. The regression equation for this situation is M = A, where M is the amount of medication in ml and A is the age in months. a Identif the eplanator variable. b Calculate the amount of medication required for a child aged 6 months. c Determine the age of a child who requires 2.5 ml of the medication. Give our answer correct to 1 decimal place. 4 A surve of the nightl room rate for Sdne hotels and their proimit to the Sdne Harbour Bridge produced the regression equation C = d, where C is the cost of a room per night in dollars and d is the distance to the bridge in kilometres. a Identif the response variable. b Based on this equation, calculate the cost of a hotel room 2.5 km from the bridge. Give our answer correct to the nearest cent. c Determine the distance of a hotel room from the bridge if the cost of the room was $115. Give our answer correct to 2 decimal places. 5 Answer the following questions for the equation = 6 5. a Identif the -intercept. b For each unit of change in the eplanator variable, b how much does the response variable change? c Is the trend of the data positive or negative? d Calculate the value of when = 4. 6 Luc was given the equation = and asked to find the value of when = Her working steps are below: = = = = 15.4 Her teacher indicates her answer is wrong. a Calculate the correct value of. Give our answer correct to 2 decimal places. b Identif and eplain Luc s error. 7 Answer the following questions for the equation = a Identif the -intercept. b For each unit of change in the eplanator variable, b how much does the response variable change? c Is the trend of the data positive or negative? d Calculate the value of when = Answer the following questions for the equation I = s, where I is the number of insects caught and s is the area of a spider s web in cm 2. Topic 14 Relationships between two numerical variables 597

19 a Identif the response variable. b For each unit of change in the eplanator variable, b how much does the response variable change? c Is the trend of the data positive or negative? d Determine how man insects are likel to be caught if the area of the spider s web is 6 cm 2. Give our answer correct to the nearest whole number. 9 a Use the data given to draw a scatterplot and a line of best fit b ee b Find the equation of the line of best fit and use it to predict the value of when = 15. Give our answers correct to 4 significant figures. 1 Use the data given below to complete the following questions a Draw a scatterplot and a line of best fit b ee. b Determine the equation of the line of best fit. Give values correct to 2 significant figures. c Predict the value of when = 2. d Predict the value of when = 9. Give our answers correct to 2 decimal places. 11 The following scatterplot has the equation of c = m, where c is the number of new customers each hour and m is the number of market stalls. 12 No. of new customers each hour No. of market stalls a Using the line of best fit, interpolate the data to find the number of new customers epected if there are 3 market stalls. b Use the formula to etrapolate the number of market stalls required in order to epect 15 new customers. c Eplain wh part a is an eample of interpolating data, while part b demonstrates etrapolation. 598 Maths Quest 11 GENERAL MATHEMATICS VCE Units 1 and 2

20 12 Use the data given below to complete the following questions a Draw a scatterplot and a line of best fit b ee. b Determine the equation of the line of best fit. Give values correct to 4 significant figures. c Etrapolate the data to predict the value of when = 23. d What assumptions are made when etrapolating data? 13 While camping a mathematician estimated that: number of mosquitos around fire = temperature of the fire ( C). a Determine the number of mosquitoes that would be epected if the temperature of the fire was 24 C. Give our answer correct to the nearest whole number. b What would be the temperature of the fire if there were onl 12 mosquitoes in the area? c Identif some factors that could affect the reliabilit of this equation. 14 Data on people s average monthl income and the amount of mone the spend at restaurants was collected. Average monthl income ($s) Mone spent at restaurants per month ($) Average monthl income ($s) Mone spent at restaurants per month ($) a Draw a scatterplot of this data on our calculator. b Find the equation of the line of best fit in terms of average monthl income in thousands of dollars (I) and mone spent at restaurants in dollars (R). Give values correct to 4 significant figures. c Etrapolate the data to predict how much a person who earns $5 a month might spend at restaurants each month. d Eplain wh part c is an eample of etrapolation. e A person spent $265 eating out last month. Estimate their monthl income, giving our answer to the nearest $1. Is this an eample of interpolation or etrapolation? Topic 14 Relationships between two numerical variables 599

21 Master 15 Data on students marks in Geograph and Music were collected. Geograph Music Geograph Music a Is there an obvious eplanator variable in this situation? b Draw a scatterplot of this data on our calculator, using the marks in Geograph as the eplanator variable. c Find the equation of the line of best fit. Give values correct to 4 significant figures. d Based on our equation, if a student received a mark of 85 for Geograph, what mark (to the nearest whole number) would ou predict the would receive for Music? e How confident do ou feel about making predictions for this data? Eplain our response. f Calculate Pearson s product-moment correlation coefficient for this data. How can ou use this value to evaluate the reliabilit of our data? 16 For three months, Cameron has 22 been wearing an eercise-tracking wristband that records the distance he 21 walks and the number of calories he burns. The graph shows his weekl 2 totals. The regression line equation 19 for this data is = a Identif the response variable in 18 this situation. b Rewrite the equation in terms of the 17 eplanator and response variables. 16 c Using the equation for the regression line, determine the number of calories burned if a person walked 5 km in a week. Distanced walked (km) Is this an eample of interpolation or etrapolation? Eplain our response. d Due to an injur, in one week Cameron onl walked 1 km. Use the data to determine the number of calories this distance would burn. Is this an eample of interpolation or etrapolation? Eplain our response. e Pearson s product-moment correlation coefficient for this data is How can ou use this value to evaluate the reliabilit of the data? f List at least two other factors that could influence this data set. Calories burned 6 Maths Quest 11 GENERAL MATHEMATICS VCE Units 1 and 2

22 ONLINE ONLY 14.5 Review the Maths Quest review is available in a customisable format for ou to demonstrate our knowledge of this topic. the review contains: Multiple-choice questions providing ou with the opportunit to practise answering questions using CAS technolog short-answer questions providing ou with the opportunit to demonstrate the skills ou have developed to efficientl answer questions using the most appropriate methods ONLINE ONLY Activities to access ebookplus activities, log on to Interactivities A comprehensive set of relevant interactivities to bring difficult mathematical concepts to life can be found in the Resources section of our ebookplus. Etended-response questions providing ou with the opportunit to practise eam-stle questions. a summar of the ke points covered in this topic is also available as a digital document. REVIEW QUESTIONS Download the Review questions document from the links found in the Resources section of our ebookplus. studon is an interactive and highl visual online tool that helps ou to clearl identif strengths and weaknesses prior to our eams. You can then confidentl target areas of greatest need, enabling ou to achieve our best results. Units 1 & 2 Relationships between two numerical variables Sit topic test Topic 14 RelaTionships between Two numerical variables 61

23 14 Answers Eercise Eplanator variable = time of da Response variable = time taken to eat a pizza 2 Eplanator variable = time spent using phone apps Response variable = amount of data required 3 a File size b Strong positive correlation 4 a Eplanator variable = time Response variable = weight that can be held (kg) b Time (minutes) Weight that can be held (kg) c Strong negative correlation 5 a r =.8947, which indicates a strong positive linear association. b r 2 =.85, which suggests that just over 8% of the subscription cost is due to the number of issues per ear. Other factors might include the number of coloured pages, weight of postage, amount of advertising in each issue. 6 a It indicates a moderate positive linear association between the and variables. b 52% of the variation in is a result of the variation in. c The coefficient of determination provides information about the strength of the data rather than the causation. 7 a Eplanator variable = age Response variable = number of star jumps b Eplanator variable = quantit of chocolate Response variable = cost c Eplanator variable = number of songs Response variable = memor used d Eplanator variable = food supplied Response variable = growth rate 8 a Eplanator variable = height Response variable = weight b Weight (kg) Height (cm) 9 a Weak negative correlation b No correlation c Moderate positive correlation 1 Various possible answers, for eample: a Loss of mone over time b Temperature and number of shoes owned 11 a A moderate positive linear association b A strong negative linear association c No linear association d A weak positive linear association 12 a r 2 = Diet and health have a strong positive association. b r 2 = Global warming and the amount of water in the ocean have a ver strong positive association. 13 r =.989 r 2 = % 15 A strong positive relationship between the amount of time spent warming up and the number of matches won 16 a Total age of household House number b The data points appear random, indicating no correlation. 62 Maths Quest 11 GENERAL MATHEMATICS VCE Units 1 and 2

24 c r =.2135 r 2 =.456 d There is no relationship between the house number and the age of the household. e 95.44% 17 a Eplanator variable = time spent Response variable = mark b 1 Mark (%) Time spent (hours) c Strong positive linear correlation d Each person s understanding of the topic is different and their stud habits are unique. Therefore 1 hour spent on the assignment does not guarantee a consistent result. Individual factors will also influence the assignment mark. e r =.952 r 2 =.96 f There is a strong relationship between the time spent on an assignment and the resulting grade. As the time spent increased, so did the mark. 18 Various answers are possible. An eample data set would be: Eercise a Eplanator variable = number of siblings b 1.82 c d = a a Time taken (min) Distance travelled (km) b i ii iii iv v.749 c.5557 d 2.4 e = a Weak positive correlation b Moderate negative correlation 7 a = 8.795, b = a i 11 ii 3.7 iii 6.6 iv 15.3 v.967 b 2.44 c 57.5 d = The equation for the graph becomes = The -intercept is higher and the slope is slightl steeper a Response variable = height of son b Height of son (cm) c S = M b Height of mother (cm) Topic 14 Relationships between two numerical variables 63

25 12 As the m value is negative, the trend is negative. The -intercept is 3.2, therefore when =, = a Dail sales (no. of pairs) Temperature ( C) b D = T c r =.8621 r 2 =.7432 d There is a moderate negative relationship between the number of gumboots sold and the temperature. The data indicates that 74% of the sales are due to the temperature; therefore 26% of sales are due to other factors. 14 = a b Below the regression line 16 Various answers are possible. An eample data set would be: Eercise a b 1.71 c Positive trend 2 a 15.9 b c Negative trend 3 a Amount of medication b 2.29 ml c 7.5 months old 4 a Cost per night b $ c 3.31 km 5 a 6 b 5 c Negative d 14 6 a 3.9 b Luc incorrectl transposed the She should have moved this first before dividing b a 12 b 25 c Positive d a Number of insects caught b 1.1 c Positive d 66 9 a b = , When = 15, = a b = c 12.8 d a 76 b 65 c Part a looks at data within the original data set range, while part b predicts data outside of the original data set range of 125 new customers each hour. 12 a b = c.24 d It is assumed the data will continue to behave in the same manner as the data originall supplied. 13 a 13 b 3.6 C c The location of the fire, air temperature, proimit to water, etc. 64 Maths Quest 11 GENERAL MATHEMATICS VCE Units 1 and 2

26 14 a 6 Mone spent at restaurants per month ($) b R = I c $ Average monthl income ($s) d Part c is asks ou to predict data outside of the original data set range. e $316, interpolation 15 a There is no obvious eplanator variable. b Music Geograph c G = M d 12 e Not ver confident. The graph does not indicate a strong correlation between the two variables. f r = This indicates ver weak correlation between the data, which supports the view that conclusions cannot be drawn from this data. 16 a Calories burned b Calories burned = Distance walked c 252. Interpolation, as this data is inside the original range. d Etrapolation, as the eplanator variable provided is outside the original data range. e An r value of.9678 indicates a ver strong positive linear relationship, showing that the relationship between the two variables is ver strong and can be used to draw conclusions. f Eamples: speed of walking, difficult of walking surface, foods eaten. Topic 14 Relationships between two numerical variables 65

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