Optimal Tenuring Collection Times for a Generational Garbage Collector based on Continuous Damage Model

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Optimal Tenuring Collection Times for a Generational Garbage Collector based on Continuous Damage Model"

Transcription

1 International Journal of Performability Engineering Vol. 9, o. 5, eptember 3, p RA Consultants Printed in India Optimal enuring Collection imes for a Generational Garbage Collector based on Continuous Damage odel XUFEG ZHAO, and OHIO AAGAWA chool of Economics and anagement, anjing University of echnology 3 Puzhu Road, anjing 86, China Graduate chool of anagement and Information ciences, Aichi Institute of echnology 47 Yachigusa, Yakusa-cho, oyota 47-39, Japan (Received on February 6, 3, revised on June 6, 3) Abstract: he processing time intervals for a generational garbage collector may be ephemeral enough to consider the objects that would survive increase with time continuously according to some probabilistic law. From such a viewpoint, this paper firstly answers for the weak points of cumulative damage model whose damage is additive at discrete times. econdly, we take up a continuous damage model and apply such model to garbage collection policies. Costs for garbage collections are estimated and two models with tenuring collection times, where tenuring collection is made at time or at level for random collections and at the th collection or at level for periodic collections, are proposed. Four cases of optimal tenuring collection times for every model are discussed analytically and numerically, and comparisons of these policies and some useful results are given. eywords: Degradation process, continuous damage, garbage collection, tenuring collection, minor collection.. Introduction Cumulative damage models [] play an important role in reliability theory: hese models are considered as a sequence of shocks that occur randomly and give some amount of damage to a unit. he damage is accumulated to the current damage level and weakens the unit gradually, and the unit fails when the total damage exceeds a failure level. he reliability properties and various maintenance policies for damage models were summarized sufficiently in []. A variety of maintenance models subjected to shocks were studied extensively in [3-8]. ome applications of these damage models into computer science, such as backup policies for a database [9, ], garbage collection policies for the memory management [-4], were explored. otivated by [9-4], we found that the hypothesis of cumulative damage models may be so strong that they are not so practicable for some applications: (a) an amount of damage due to every shock may not have an identical distribution, and the effect of later shocks may be much more serious than former ones. In other words, expected number of shocks until failure in practice is much less than that in theory; (b) it is more practical to suppose that the total damage stored within the unit would increase with time itself, but not be in a constant level until next shock occurs; (c) referring to these applications studied in [9-4], due to high frequency of computer processes in the modern society, it may be not so valid to assume that update of data or garbage occurrence would follow an nonhomogeneous Poisson process, because time intervals of procedures might be very short and unclear enough. Corresponding author s toshi-nakagawa@aitech.ac.jp 539

2 54 Xufeng Zhao and oshio akagawa Firstly, to answer the above two weak points (a) and (b) of cumulative damage models, we consider the model where the total damage increases with time itself continuously according to some probabilistic law, which could be named as continuous damage model. By modifying Xt () = x + µ t+ σwt () [5, p.6], which is a Gaussian process, where Wt () denotes a standard Brownian motion, x is some initial degradation level, and µ and σ are the drift and the variance, respectively, we suppose that the path of the total damage with time t is Xt ( ) = αt+ σb t ( ασ, > ), () where x = means that the initial state of the unit is as good as new and B t is distributed exponentially. o that we can know that total damage Xt () increases with time t strictly and undergoes some random positive change. We make such an assumption also because we cannot neglect the dependence between damage stored within the unit and damage caused by shocks, although some research papers combined the degradation process and shock process [6, 7], but they are independent. econdly, to answer (c), this paper focuses on optimization problems of a generational garbage collector using the continuous damage model obtained in equation (). In memory management in computer science, generational garbage collection [8, 9] has been popular with programmers for the reason that it can be made more efficient. However, for every garbage collection, the manner of stop and copy pause all application threads to collect the garbage. he duration of time in which a garbage collector has worked is called pause time [, p.48], which is an important parameter for interactive systems and depends largely upon the volume of surviving objects and the type of collections. he latest technical report [9] proposed some models by estimating the lifetimes of all objects, however, this kind of technique may be not so easy in practice, because for high frequency of random computer processes, the number of objects in the heap may be too great to count, also because of random factors of object lifetimes. References [-4] improved above method by estimating the survivor rate of one group of objects rather than focusing on every object. o make the estimation cost for collections more easily, we get inspiration from [9] which asserted that garbage increases with time continuously, and apply equation () to estimate surviving objects at some time by statistical methods. It is true that increase in objects might be very unclear at discrete times for the high frequency of computer processes in the modern society. his paper considers a pause time goal that is called time cost or cost for simplicity for a generational garbage collector. Our problem is to obtain optimal tenuring collection times that minimize the expected cost rates. Following sections are organized as: ection gives working schemes and costs for a generational garbage collector. ection 3 discusses the case when garbage collections occur at a nonhomogeneous Poisson process. ection 4 discusses models when collections occur at periodic times. umerical examples are computed in ection 5 and concluding remarks are given in ection 6.. Working cheme and Cost For a generational garbage collector, detailed working schemes that have been introduced in [-4] are given as following steps:. ew objects are allocated in Eden space.. When the first minor collection occurs, surviving objects are copied from Eden into a survivor space. 3. When the second minor collection occurs, surviving objects from Eden and

3 Optimum Replacement Policy for Continuous Damage odel and its Application 54 to Garbage Collection survivor spaces are copied into the other survivor space. 4. In the fashions of -3, minor collection copies surviving objects between the two survivor spaces until they become tenured, i.e., tenuring collection occurs when some parameter meets the tenuring threshold, and then, the older or oldest objects are copied into Old space. 5. When Old space fills up, major collection of the whole heap occurs, and surviving objects from Old space are kept in Old, while objects from Eden and survivor spaces are kept in a survivor space. Although major collection spends much time, Old space will be filled with tenured objects slowly, especially when the tenuring threshold is high and the survivor rate is low, that is, major collection occurs rarely in this case. o that, this paper concentrates only on minor and tenuring collections and considers tenuring collections as renewal points of the collection processes, that is, after tenuring collection, the same collection cycle begins with step to to to 3 to 4. From [-4], we have known that surviving objects that should be copied increase with the number of minor collections. hat is, we can define:. he total surviving objects in Eden and survivor space at time t is Xt () = αt+ σbt with distribution Pr{ Xt ( ) x} = Wtx (, ).. c + c( x) is the cost suffered for every minor collection, where c is the constant cost suffered for scanning surviving objects and x is the amount of copied objects, c( c > c + c( )) is the cost suffered for tenuring collection at level. 3. he expected cost of minor collection at time t is given by C( t, ) = [ c ( )] (, ), (, ) + c x dw t x Wt () where C(, ). It is clear that Ct (, ) increases with t for any. 3. Random Collections It is assumed that garbage collections occur at a nonhomogeneous Poisson process with an intensity function λ () t and a mean-value function that collections occur exactly j times in (, t ] is t R() t λ( u) du. hen, the probability Letting Fj () tdenote the probability that collections occur at least j times in (, t ]. hen, where F ( t). uppose that minor collections are made when the garbage collector begins to work, tenuring collection is made at a planned time ( < ), or when surviving objects have exceeded a threshold level ( < ), whichever occurs first. hen, the mean time to tenuring collection is W (, ) + tdwt (, ) = Wtdt (, ), (3) and the expected cost suffered for minor collections until tenuring collection is

4 54 Xufeng Zhao and oshio akagawa herefore, the expected collection cost rate is c ( c c) W (, ) + λ( tctwtdt ) (, ) (, ) = W (, t ) dt (, ). C It can be seen that C (, ) includes the following collection polices:. enuring collection is made at time for a given, the reason why making such a policy is c < c.. enuring collection is made at level for a given. In this case, c > c. 3. enuring collection is made only at time or only at level. In these two cases, c = c. () Optimal When c < c, we find an optimal which minimizes C (, ) in (5) for a given. Differentiating C (, ) with respect to and setting it equal to zero, ( c c ) h(, ) W( t, ) dt W(, ) + [ λ( C ) (, ) λ( tct ) (, )] Wtdt (, ) = c. Letting L (, ) be the left-hand side of (6), and (4) (5) (6) hus, if λ () t increases with t, then the left-hand side of (6) increases with t from. herefore, there exists a unique optimal ( < ) which satisfies (6). () Optimal When c > c, we find an optimal Letting wt (, x ) be the density function of (, ), which minimizes C (, ) in (5) for a given. Wtx i.e., w(, t x) dw (, t x)/ dx. hen, differentiating C (, ) with respect to and setting it equal to zero, where ( c c ) Q (, ) W( t, ) dt W(, ) + [ Q(, ) λ( tct ) (, )] Wtdt (, ) = c. (7)

5 Optimum Replacement Policy for Continuous Damage odel and its Application 543 to Garbage Collection w (, ) [ c + c ( )] λ( t) w( t, ) dt w(, t ) dt w(, t ) dt (, ), Q(, ). Q Letting L (, ) be the left-hand side of (7), and hus, if Q (, ) and Q (, ) increases with, then the left-hand side of (7) increases with from. herefore, there exists a unique optimal (7). (3) Optimal ( < ) which satisfies When c = c, putting that = in (5), the expected cost rate is (8) where C(, t ) = [ c + c ( x)] dw (, t x) = c + W (, t x) dc ( x). From (6), if λ () t increases with t, then an optimal tenuring collection time minimizes (8) is given by a unique solution of the equation which (9) (4) Optimal When c = c, putting that = in (5), the expected cost rate is () From (7), if Q (, ) increases with, then an optimal tenuring collection time which minimizes () is given by a unique solution of the equation 4. Periodic Collections It is assumed that garbage collections occur at periodic times j ( j =,, ) for a given time interval ( < < ) minor collections are made when the garbage collector begins to work, tenuring collection is made at the th ( =,, ) collection, or at first () collection time when surviving objects have exceeded a threshold level ( < ), whichever occurs first. hen, the mean time to tenuring collection is ( j+ ) W (, ) + ( j + ) dw ( t, ) = W ( j, ). () j he expected cost suffered for minor collections until tenuring collection is

6 544 Xufeng Zhao and oshio akagawa (3) herefore, the expected cost rate is c ( c c ) W(, ) + C( j, ) W( j, ) = C (, ). W ( j, ) (4) () Optimal When c < c, we find an optimal which minimizes C (, ) in (4) for a given. From the inequality C( +, ) C(, ), where ( c c) Q3(, ) W( j, ) W(, ) + [ C(, ) C( j, )] W( j, ) c, Q W(, ) W(( + ), ) 3(, ). W (, ) Letting L (, ) 3 be the left-hand side of (5), (5) hus, if Q3( j, ) increases with and L (, ), 3 > c then there exists a finite and unique minimum () Optimal ( < ) which satisfies (5). When c > c, we find an optimal which minimizes C (, ) in (4) for a given. Differentiating C (, ) with respect to and setting it equal to zero, where ( c c) Q4(, ) W( j, ) W(, ) + W ( j, )[ c + c ( ) C( j, )] = c, Q w(, ) 4(, ). w( j, ) (6)

7 Optimum Replacement Policy for Continuous Damage odel and its Application 545 to Garbage Collection Letting L (, ) 4 be the left-hand side of (6), and hus, if Q4(, ) increases with, then the left-hand side of (6) increases with from. herefore, there exists a unique optimal ( < ) which satisfies (6). (3) Optimal When c = c, putting that = in (4), the expected cost rate is From (5), an optimal tenuring collection time unique solution of the equation (4) Optimal (7) which minimizes (7) is given by a [ C(, ) C( j, )] c. (8) When c = c, putting that = in (4), the expected cost rate is (9) From (6), an optimal tenuring collection time unique solution of the equation which minimizes (9) is given by a 5. umerical Examples We compute numerical examples of the models discussed above when Xt () is given by () for µ = σ = and B t has an exponential distribution e x t. ext, select suitable parameters which can affect the optimal policies and resulting cost rates to compute each model numerically: (i) Initial parameters and are given to compute and and are given to compute and. (ii) /, c c c, c and c mean that the effects of tenuring collection costs at time and level for random collection models and at th collection and level for periodic collection models. (ii) c ( i =,, ) which mean that the effects of minor collection costs are selected to compute i,,,, and From ables -6, we can obtain the following results:. Optimal tenuring collection times increase with the initial parameters and decrease,

8 546 Xufeng Zhao and oshio akagawa with minor or tenuring collection costs, however, the resulting cost rates have the opposite tendencies, that is, they decrease with the initial parameters and increase with minor or tenuring collection costs. ake C, / c in able for and ( ) example: increases with and decreases with c and c. Increasing in, c and c mean tenuring collection time made at a given level is postponed, tenuring and minor collection costs are increased, respectively, so that tenuring collection times should be postponed for and be advanced for c and c to decrease the frequency of tenuring collections and to decrease the total minor collection costs. ( ) C, / c decreases with and increases with c and c for the reason that the frequencies of tenuring collections are decreased and tenuring and minor collection costs are increased.. Compared with ables and, we can derive that and C(, ) C(, ), however, ( ) than and sometimes less than C(, ). and ( ) than C(, ). 3. Compared with ables 3 and 4, C c are sometimes greater C, / c are always greater 4. Compared with ables, and 3, 4, it is clearly that random collections are better than periodic collections. 5. Compared with ables 5 and 6, optimal collection times and the resulting cost rates are almost at the same level for four models, that is, and It is clearly that when / λ =, and become the same model. According to [-4] and step 4 in ection, we also can name and as tenuring threshold of the collection processes. able : Optimal c 5 C, / c when c =. and λ = α = σ =. and ( ) c..5. (, ) / C c (, ) / C c ( ) C, / c

9 Optimum Replacement Policy for Continuous Damage odel and its Application 547 to Garbage Collection able : Optimal c 5 C, when c =. and λ = α = σ =. and ( ) c..5. C(, ) C(, ) ( ) C, able 3: Optimal C, / c when c =. and = α = σ =. and ( ) c c..5. (, ) / C c (, ) / C c ( ) C, / c able 4: Optimal c 5 C, when c =. and λ = α = σ =. and ( ) c..5. C(, ) C(, ) ( ) C,

10 548 Xufeng Zhao and oshio akagawa able 5: Optimal and when λ = α = σ =. c i =, i c =. c = able 6: Optimal and when = α = σ =. c i =, i c =. c =. 6. Conclusions We have firstly pointed out three weak points of cumulative damage models whose damage is only caused by random shocks. o answer these weak points, continuous damage model in equation () has been proposed, which shows that damage stored in the units would increase with time itself and undergoes some random positive change due to shocks. he idea has been motivated by application of damage models into garbage collections in computer science. From ection to ection 5, this paper has focused on optimization problems of tenuring collection times for a generational garbage collector, using the models given in equation (). Obviously, we could monitor the increasing path of surviving objects in practice, then an interesting point is to estimate collection cost in equation (). We have discussed random and periodic collection models for a generational garbage collector according to its working schemes. Optimal tenuring collection times have been obtained and their numerical examples have been given to explain model formulations. Acknowledgement: his work is partially supported by the Grant-in-Aid for cientific Research (C) of Japan ociety for the Promotion of cience under Grant o. 5897;

11 Optimum Replacement Policy for Continuous Damage odel and its Application 549 to Garbage Collection ational atural cience Foundation of China (7477, 7836); Humanities and ocial cience Research Foundation of China (5JA637). References [] Cox, D. R. Renewal heory. etheun, London, 96. [] akagawa,. hock and Damage odels in Reliability heory. pringer, London, 7. [3] Wortman,. A., G.A. lutke, and H. Ayhan. A aintenance trategy for ystems subjected to Deterioration governed by Random hocks. IEEE ransactions on Reliability, 994; 43: [4] heu,.h., and W.. Griffith. Optimal umber of inimal Repairs before Replacement of a ystem subject to hocks. aval Research Logistics, 996; 43(3): [5] heu,.h. A Generalized Age and Block Replacement of a ystem subject to hocks. European Journal of Operational Research, 998; 8(): [6] Zhao, X.F., H.. Zhang, C.H. Qian,. akagawa, and. akamura. Replacement odels for Combining Additive with Independent Damages. International Journal of Performability Engineering, ; 8(): 9-. [7] Zhao, X.F.,. akagawa, and C.H. Qian. Optimal Imperfect Preventive aintenance Policies for a Used ystem. International Journal of ystems cience, ; 43(9): [8] Zhao, X.F., C.H. Qian, and. akagawa. Optimal Policies for Cumulative Damage odels with aintenance Last and First. Reliability Engineering & ystem afety, Feb. 3; :5-59. [9] Qian, C. H.,. akamura, and. akagawa. Cumulative Damage odel with wo inds of hocks and its Application to the Backup Policy. Journal of the Operations Research ociety of Japan, 999; 4(4): 5 5. [] Qian, C.H., Y. Pan, and. akagawa. Optimal Policies for a Database ystem with wo Backup chemes. RAIRO Operations Research, ; 36(3): [] Zhao, X.F.,. akamura,. akagawa. Optimal Policies for Random and Periodic Garbage Collections with enuring hreshold. Communications in Computers and Information cience (Editors: G.. omar, et al.), pringer, Berlin,, pp [] Zhao, X.F.,. akamura, and. akagawa. wo Generational Garbage Collection odels with ajor Collection ime. IEICE ransactions on Fundamentals of Electronics Communications and Computer ciences, ; E94-A (7): [3] Zhao, X.F.,. akamura, and. akagawa. Optimal enuring and ajor Collection imes for a Generational Garbage Collector. Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research, ; 9: 48 (7 pages). [4] Zhao, X.F.,. akamura, C.H. Qian. Generational Garbage Collection Policies. tochastic Reliability and aintenance odeling (Editors:. Dohi and. akagawa), pringer, 3, pp [5] ikulin,.., and. Balakrishnan. Advances in Degradation odeling: Applications to Reliability, urvival Analysis, and Finanace. Birkhouser, Boston,. [6] Li, W., and H. Pham. An Inspection-aintenance odel for ystems with ultiple Competing Processed. IEEE ransactions on Reliability, 5; 54(): [7] Lehmann, A. Joint odeling of Degradation and Failure ime Data. Journal of tatistical Planning and Inference, 9; 39(5): [8] Appel, A.W. imple Generational Garbage Collection and Fast Allocation. oftware Practice and Experience, 989; 9(): [9] Vengerov, D. odeling, Analysis and hroughput Optimization of a Generational Garbage Collector. echnical Report, un Labs, 9; R [] Jones, R., and R. Lins. Garbage Collection: Algorithms for Automatic Dynamic emory anagement. John Wiley & ons, Chichester, 996.

12 55 Xufeng Zhao and oshio akagawa Xufeng Zhao received his B.. degree in Information Engineering in 6 and.. Degree in ystem Engineering in 9, both from anjing University of echnology, China, and Ph.D. degree in 3 from Aichi Institute of echnology, Japan. He is now a postdoctoral fellow at Graduate chool of anagement and Information ciences, Aichi Institute of echnology, Japan, and also serves at chool of Economics and anagement, anjing University of echnology, China. He is currently interested in reliability theory and maintenance policies of stochastic systems, shock models and their applications in computer science. Dr. Zhao is a member of ORJ. oshio akagawa received B..E. and.. degrees from agoya Institute of echnology in 965 and 967, respectively, and Ph.D. degree from yoto University in 977. He worked as a Research Associate at yracuse University for two years from 97 to 973. He is now a Guest Professor at the Department of Business Administration, Aichi Institute of echnology, Japan. He has published 5 books from pringer and about journal papers. His research interests are optimization problems in operations research and management science, and analysis for stochastic and computer systems in reliability and maintenance theory.

Studies on Tenuring Collection Times for a Generational Garbage Collector

Studies on Tenuring Collection Times for a Generational Garbage Collector The Tenth International Symposium on Operations Research and Its Applications (ISORA 211) Dunhuang, China, August 28 31, 211 Copyright 211 ORSC & APORC, pp. 284 291 Studies on Tenuring Collection Times

More information

Optimal Time and Random Inspection Policies for Computer Systems

Optimal Time and Random Inspection Policies for Computer Systems Appl. Math. Inf. Sci. 8, No. 1L, 413-417 214) 413 Applied Mathematics & Information Sciences An International Journal http://dx.doi.org/1.12785/amis/81l51 Optimal Time and Random Inspection Policies for

More information

Time-varying failure rate for system reliability analysis in large-scale railway risk assessment simulation

Time-varying failure rate for system reliability analysis in large-scale railway risk assessment simulation Time-varying failure rate for system reliability analysis in large-scale railway risk assessment simulation H. Zhang, E. Cutright & T. Giras Center of Rail Safety-Critical Excellence, University of Virginia,

More information

AN INTEGRAL MEASURE OF AGING/REJUVENATION FOR REPAIRABLE AND NON REPAIRABLE SYSTEMS

AN INTEGRAL MEASURE OF AGING/REJUVENATION FOR REPAIRABLE AND NON REPAIRABLE SYSTEMS R&RAA # 1 (Vol.1) 8, March AN INEGRAL MEASURE OF AGING/REJUVENAION FOR REPAIRABLE AND NON REPAIRABLE SYSEMS M.P. Kaminskiy and V.V. Krivtsov Abstract his paper introduces a simple index that helps to assess

More information

Calculating the Expexted Time to Control the Recruitment When System Fails

Calculating the Expexted Time to Control the Recruitment When System Fails Available online at www.scinzer.com Scinzer Journal of Engineering, Vol 2, Issue 1, (2016): 1-5 Calculating the Expexted Time to Control the Recruitment When System Fails Kannadasan K*, Pandiyan P, Vinoth

More information

Bivariate Degradation Modeling Based on Gamma Process

Bivariate Degradation Modeling Based on Gamma Process Bivariate Degradation Modeling Based on Gamma Process Jinglun Zhou Zhengqiang Pan Member IAENG and Quan Sun Abstract Many highly reliable products have two or more performance characteristics (PCs). The

More information

An Integral Measure of Aging/Rejuvenation for Repairable and Non-repairable Systems

An Integral Measure of Aging/Rejuvenation for Repairable and Non-repairable Systems An Integral Measure of Aging/Rejuvenation for Repairable and Non-repairable Systems M.P. Kaminskiy and V.V. Krivtsov Abstract This paper introduces a simple index that helps to assess the degree of aging

More information

Stochastic Renewal Processes in Structural Reliability Analysis:

Stochastic Renewal Processes in Structural Reliability Analysis: Stochastic Renewal Processes in Structural Reliability Analysis: An Overview of Models and Applications Professor and Industrial Research Chair Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering University

More information

A new condition based maintenance model with random improvements on the system after maintenance actions: Optimizing by monte carlo simulation

A new condition based maintenance model with random improvements on the system after maintenance actions: Optimizing by monte carlo simulation ISSN 1 746-7233, England, UK World Journal of Modelling and Simulation Vol. 4 (2008) No. 3, pp. 230-236 A new condition based maintenance model with random improvements on the system after maintenance

More information

Load-strength Dynamic Interaction Principle and Failure Rate Model

Load-strength Dynamic Interaction Principle and Failure Rate Model International Journal of Performability Engineering Vol. 6, No. 3, May 21, pp. 25-214. RAMS Consultants Printed in India Load-strength Dynamic Interaction Principle and Failure Rate Model LIYANG XIE and

More information

Gamma process model for time-dependent structural reliability analysis

Gamma process model for time-dependent structural reliability analysis Gamma process model for time-dependent structural reliability analysis M.D. Pandey Department of Civil Engineering, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada J.M. van Noortwijk HKV Consultants,

More information

Integrating Quality and Inspection for the Optimal Lot-sizing Problem with Rework, Minimal Repair and Inspection Time

Integrating Quality and Inspection for the Optimal Lot-sizing Problem with Rework, Minimal Repair and Inspection Time Proceedings of the 2011 International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, January 22 24, 2011 Integrating Quality and Inspection for the Optimal Lot-sizing

More information

CUMULATIVE DAMAGE MODEL WITH TWO KINDS OF SHOCKS AND ITS APPLICATION TO THE BACKUP POLICY

CUMULATIVE DAMAGE MODEL WITH TWO KINDS OF SHOCKS AND ITS APPLICATION TO THE BACKUP POLICY Journal of the Operations Research Society of Japan Vol. 42, No. 4, December 1999 CUMULATIVE DAMAGE MODEL WITH TWO KINDS OF SHOCKS AND ITS APPLICATION TO THE BACKUP POLICY Cunhua Qian Syouji Nakamura Toshio

More information

Computing Consecutive-Type Reliabilities Non-Recursively

Computing Consecutive-Type Reliabilities Non-Recursively IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON RELIABILITY, VOL. 52, NO. 3, SEPTEMBER 2003 367 Computing Consecutive-Type Reliabilities Non-Recursively Galit Shmueli Abstract The reliability of consecutive-type systems has been

More information

Calculation of the reliability function and the remaining life for equipment with unobservable states

Calculation of the reliability function and the remaining life for equipment with unobservable states Calculation of the reliability function and the remaining life for equipment with unobservable states Alireza Ghasemi, Soumaya Yacout *, M-Salah Ouali Département de mathématiques et de génie industriel,

More information

A Dynamic Programming Approach for Sequential Preventive Maintenance Policies with Two Failure Modes

A Dynamic Programming Approach for Sequential Preventive Maintenance Policies with Two Failure Modes Chapter 1 A Dynamic Programming Approach for Sequential Preventive Maintenance Policies with Two Failure Modes Hiroyuki Okamura 1, Tadashi Dohi 1 and Shunji Osaki 2 1 Department of Information Engineering,

More information

CHAPTER 1 A MAINTENANCE MODEL FOR COMPONENTS EXPOSED TO SEVERAL FAILURE MECHANISMS AND IMPERFECT REPAIR

CHAPTER 1 A MAINTENANCE MODEL FOR COMPONENTS EXPOSED TO SEVERAL FAILURE MECHANISMS AND IMPERFECT REPAIR CHAPTER 1 A MAINTENANCE MODEL FOR COMPONENTS EXPOSED TO SEVERAL FAILURE MECHANISMS AND IMPERFECT REPAIR Helge Langseth and Bo Henry Lindqvist Department of Mathematical Sciences Norwegian University of

More information

Lecture 1: Brief Review on Stochastic Processes

Lecture 1: Brief Review on Stochastic Processes Lecture 1: Brief Review on Stochastic Processes A stochastic process is a collection of random variables {X t (s) : t T, s S}, where T is some index set and S is the common sample space of the random variables.

More information

Probabilistic Evaluation of the Effect of Maintenance Parameters on Reliability and Cost

Probabilistic Evaluation of the Effect of Maintenance Parameters on Reliability and Cost Probabilistic Evaluation of the Effect of Maintenance Parameters on Reliability and Cost Mohsen Ghavami Electrical and Computer Engineering Department Texas A&M University College Station, TX 77843-3128,

More information

10 Introduction to Reliability

10 Introduction to Reliability 0 Introduction to Reliability 10 Introduction to Reliability The following notes are based on Volume 6: How to Analyze Reliability Data, by Wayne Nelson (1993), ASQC Press. When considering the reliability

More information

A novel repair model for imperfect maintenance

A novel repair model for imperfect maintenance IMA Journal of Management Mathematics (6) 7, 35 43 doi:.93/imaman/dpi36 Advance Access publication on July 4, 5 A novel repair model for imperfect maintenance SHAOMIN WU AND DEREK CLEMENTS-CROOME School

More information

Availability Optimization for Coal Handling System using Genetic Algorithm

Availability Optimization for Coal Handling System using Genetic Algorithm International Journal of Performability Engineering Vol. 9, o. 1, January 21, pp. 19-1. RAMS Consultants Printed in India Availability Optimization for Coal Handling System using Genetic Algorithm SAJAY

More information

Distribution Fitting (Censored Data)

Distribution Fitting (Censored Data) Distribution Fitting (Censored Data) Summary... 1 Data Input... 2 Analysis Summary... 3 Analysis Options... 4 Goodness-of-Fit Tests... 6 Frequency Histogram... 8 Comparison of Alternative Distributions...

More information

Statistical inference for Markov deterioration models of bridge conditions in the Netherlands

Statistical inference for Markov deterioration models of bridge conditions in the Netherlands Statistical inference for Markov deterioration models of bridge conditions in the Netherlands M.J.Kallen & J.M. van Noortwijk HKV Consultants, Lelystad, and Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands

More information

Failure modeling and maintenance optimization for a railway line

Failure modeling and maintenance optimization for a railway line Failure modeling and maintenance optimization for a railway line Per Hokstad *, Helge Langseth SINTEF Technology and Society, Department of Safety and Reliability, N-7465 Trondheim, Norway Bo H. Lindqvist,

More information

Monotonicity and Aging Properties of Random Sums

Monotonicity and Aging Properties of Random Sums Monotonicity and Aging Properties of Random Sums Jun Cai and Gordon E. Willmot Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science University of Waterloo Waterloo, Ontario Canada N2L 3G1 E-mail: jcai@uwaterloo.ca,

More information

Non-observable failure progression

Non-observable failure progression Non-observable failure progression 1 Age based maintenance policies We consider a situation where we are not able to observe failure progression, or where it is impractical to observe failure progression:

More information

Evaluating the value of structural heath monitoring with longitudinal performance indicators and hazard functions using Bayesian dynamic predictions

Evaluating the value of structural heath monitoring with longitudinal performance indicators and hazard functions using Bayesian dynamic predictions Evaluating the value of structural heath monitoring with longitudinal performance indicators and hazard functions using Bayesian dynamic predictions C. Xing, R. Caspeele, L. Taerwe Ghent University, Department

More information

Mahdi karbasian* & Zoubi Ibrahim

Mahdi karbasian* & Zoubi Ibrahim International Journal of Industrial Engineering & Production Research (010) pp. 105-110 September 010, Volume 1, Number International Journal of Industrial Engineering & Production Research ISSN: 008-4889

More information

Availability and Reliability Analysis for Dependent System with Load-Sharing and Degradation Facility

Availability and Reliability Analysis for Dependent System with Load-Sharing and Degradation Facility International Journal of Systems Science and Applied Mathematics 2018; 3(1): 10-15 http://www.sciencepublishinggroup.com/j/ijssam doi: 10.11648/j.ijssam.20180301.12 ISSN: 2575-5838 (Print); ISSN: 2575-5803

More information

Preventive maintenance decision optimization considering maintenance effect and planning horizon

Preventive maintenance decision optimization considering maintenance effect and planning horizon 30 2 2015 4 JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS ENGINEERING Vol30 No2 Apr 2015 1, 2, 3 (1, 010021; 2, 611130; 3, 610041) :,,,,,,, :;; ; : O2132 : A : 1000 5781(2015)02 0281 08 doi: 1013383/jcnkijse201502016 Preventive

More information

Cost Analysis of Two-Phase M/M/1 Queueing system in the Transient state with N-Policy and Server Breakdowns

Cost Analysis of Two-Phase M/M/1 Queueing system in the Transient state with N-Policy and Server Breakdowns IN (e): 2250 3005 Volume, 07 Issue, 9 eptember 2017 International Journal of Computational Engineering Research (IJCER) Cost Analysis of Two-Phase M/M/1 Queueing system in the Transient state with N-Policy

More information

Truncated Life Test Sampling Plan Under Odd-Weibull Distribution

Truncated Life Test Sampling Plan Under Odd-Weibull Distribution International Journal of Mathematics Trends and Technology ( IJMTT ) Volume 9 Number 2 - July Truncated Life Test Sampling Plan Under Odd-Weibull Distribution G.Laxshmimageshpraba 1, Dr.S.Muthulakshmi

More information

Application of Grey Prediction Model for Failure Prognostics of Electronics

Application of Grey Prediction Model for Failure Prognostics of Electronics International Journal of Performability Engineering, Vol. 6, No. 5, September 2010, pp. 435-442. RAMS Consultants Printed in India Application of Grey Prediction Model for Failure Prognostics of Electronics

More information

EE 445 / 850: Final Examination

EE 445 / 850: Final Examination EE 445 / 850: Final Examination Date and Time: 3 Dec 0, PM Room: HLTH B6 Exam Duration: 3 hours One formula sheet permitted. - Covers chapters - 5 problems each carrying 0 marks - Must show all calculations

More information

Errata for the ASM Study Manual for Exam P, Fourth Edition By Dr. Krzysztof M. Ostaszewski, FSA, CFA, MAAA

Errata for the ASM Study Manual for Exam P, Fourth Edition By Dr. Krzysztof M. Ostaszewski, FSA, CFA, MAAA Errata for the ASM Study Manual for Exam P, Fourth Edition By Dr. Krzysztof M. Ostaszewski, FSA, CFA, MAAA (krzysio@krzysio.net) Effective July 5, 3, only the latest edition of this manual will have its

More information

Importance of the Running-In Phase on the Life of Repairable Systems

Importance of the Running-In Phase on the Life of Repairable Systems Engineering, 214, 6, 78-83 Published Online February 214 (http://www.scirp.org/journal/eng) http://dx.doi.org/1.4236/eng.214.6211 Importance of the Running-In Phase on the Life of Repairable Systems Salima

More information

Design of Nearly Constant Velocity Track Filters for Brief Maneuvers

Design of Nearly Constant Velocity Track Filters for Brief Maneuvers 4th International Conference on Information Fusion Chicago, Illinois, USA, July 5-8, 20 Design of Nearly Constant Velocity rack Filters for Brief Maneuvers W. Dale Blair Georgia ech Research Institute

More information

Estimating Risk of Failure of Engineering Structures using Predictive Likelihood

Estimating Risk of Failure of Engineering Structures using Predictive Likelihood Dublin Institute of Technology ARROW@DIT Conference papers School of Civil and Structural Engineering 2006-1 Estimating Risk of Failure of Engineering Structures using Predictive Likelihood Colin C. Caprani

More information

Repairable Systems Reliability Trend Tests and Evaluation

Repairable Systems Reliability Trend Tests and Evaluation Repairable Systems Reliability Trend Tests and Evaluation Peng Wang, Ph.D., United Technologies Research Center David W. Coit, Ph.D., Rutgers University Keywords: repairable system, reliability trend test,

More information

PROBABILITY AND STOCHASTIC PROCESSES A Friendly Introduction for Electrical and Computer Engineers

PROBABILITY AND STOCHASTIC PROCESSES A Friendly Introduction for Electrical and Computer Engineers PROBABILITY AND STOCHASTIC PROCESSES A Friendly Introduction for Electrical and Computer Engineers Roy D. Yates Rutgers, The State University ofnew Jersey David J. Goodman Rutgers, The State University

More information

Reliability Analysis of Tampered Failure Rate Load-Sharing k-out-of-n:g Systems

Reliability Analysis of Tampered Failure Rate Load-Sharing k-out-of-n:g Systems Reliability Analysis of Tampered Failure Rate Load-Sharing k-out-of-n:g Systems Suprasad V. Amari Relex Software Corporation 540 Pellis Road Greensburg, PA 15601 USA Krishna B. Misra RAMS Consultants 71

More information

Monte Carlo Simulation for Reliability Analysis of Emergency and Standby Power Systems

Monte Carlo Simulation for Reliability Analysis of Emergency and Standby Power Systems Monte Carlo Simulation for Reliability Analysis of Emergency and Standby Power Systems Chanan Singh, Fellow, IEEE Joydeep Mitra, Student Member, IEEE Department of Electrical Engineering Texas A & M University

More information

Stochastic Analysis of Manpower System with Production and Sales

Stochastic Analysis of Manpower System with Production and Sales IOSR Journal of Mathematics (IOSR-JM) e-issn: 2278-5728, p-issn: 239-765X. Volume 0, Issue 5 Ver. II (Sep-Oct. 204), PP 33-37 Stochastic Analysis of Manpower System with Production and Sales K.Hari Kumar,

More information

Constant Stress Partially Accelerated Life Test Design for Inverted Weibull Distribution with Type-I Censoring

Constant Stress Partially Accelerated Life Test Design for Inverted Weibull Distribution with Type-I Censoring Algorithms Research 013, (): 43-49 DOI: 10.593/j.algorithms.01300.0 Constant Stress Partially Accelerated Life Test Design for Mustafa Kamal *, Shazia Zarrin, Arif-Ul-Islam Department of Statistics & Operations

More information

A CONDITION-BASED MAINTENANCE MODEL FOR AVAILABILITY OPTIMIZATION FOR STOCHASTIC DEGRADING SYSTEMS

A CONDITION-BASED MAINTENANCE MODEL FOR AVAILABILITY OPTIMIZATION FOR STOCHASTIC DEGRADING SYSTEMS A CONDITION-BASED MAINTENANCE MODEL FOR AVAILABILITY OPTIMIZATION FOR STOCHASTIC DEGRADING SYSTEMS Abdelhakim Khatab, Daoud Ait-Kadi, Nidhal Rezg To cite this version: Abdelhakim Khatab, Daoud Ait-Kadi,

More information

Reliability of Technical Systems

Reliability of Technical Systems Main Topics 1. Introduction, Key Terms, Framing the Problem 2. Reliability Parameters: Failure Rate, Failure Probability, etc. 3. Some Important Reliability Distributions 4. Component Reliability 5. Software

More information

Introduction to Reliability Theory (part 2)

Introduction to Reliability Theory (part 2) Introduction to Reliability Theory (part 2) Frank Coolen UTOPIAE Training School II, Durham University 3 July 2018 (UTOPIAE) Introduction to Reliability Theory 1 / 21 Outline Statistical issues Software

More information

V Control Distance with Dynamics Parameter Uncertainty

V Control Distance with Dynamics Parameter Uncertainty V Control Distance with Dynamics Parameter Uncertainty Marcus J. Holzinger Increasing quantities of active spacecraft and debris in the space environment pose substantial risk to the continued safety of

More information

Optimum Test Plan for 3-Step, Step-Stress Accelerated Life Tests

Optimum Test Plan for 3-Step, Step-Stress Accelerated Life Tests International Journal of Performability Engineering, Vol., No., January 24, pp.3-4. RAMS Consultants Printed in India Optimum Test Plan for 3-Step, Step-Stress Accelerated Life Tests N. CHANDRA *, MASHROOR

More information

Finding Robust Solutions to Dynamic Optimization Problems

Finding Robust Solutions to Dynamic Optimization Problems Finding Robust Solutions to Dynamic Optimization Problems Haobo Fu 1, Bernhard Sendhoff, Ke Tang 3, and Xin Yao 1 1 CERCIA, School of Computer Science, University of Birmingham, UK Honda Research Institute

More information

Estimation of System Reliability for Dynamic Stress-Strength Modeling with Cumulative Stress and Strength Degradation

Estimation of System Reliability for Dynamic Stress-Strength Modeling with Cumulative Stress and Strength Degradation Estimation of System Reliability for Dynamic Stress-Strength Modeling with Cumulative Stress and Strength Degradation Technical Report No. ASU/2015/3 Dated: 20 November, 2015 Prajamitra Bhuyan Applied

More information

Algorithm for Multiple Model Adaptive Control Based on Input-Output Plant Model

Algorithm for Multiple Model Adaptive Control Based on Input-Output Plant Model BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES CYBERNEICS AND INFORMAION ECHNOLOGIES Volume No Sofia Algorithm for Multiple Model Adaptive Control Based on Input-Output Plant Model sonyo Slavov Department of Automatics

More information

Negative Entropy Living System Models and a Fifth Law of Thermodynamics Alec Feinberg Abstract

Negative Entropy Living System Models and a Fifth Law of Thermodynamics Alec Feinberg Abstract Negative Entropy Living ystem Models and a Fifth Law of hermodynamics Alec Feinberg dfrsoft@gmail.com Abstract his paper will describe some basic negative entropy models for living system growth and repair.

More information

ASM Study Manual for Exam P, Second Edition By Dr. Krzysztof M. Ostaszewski, FSA, CFA, MAAA Errata

ASM Study Manual for Exam P, Second Edition By Dr. Krzysztof M. Ostaszewski, FSA, CFA, MAAA Errata ASM Study Manual for Exam P, Second Edition By Dr. Krzysztof M. Ostaszewski, FSA, CFA, MAAA (krzysio@krzysio.net) Errata Effective July 5, 3, only the latest edition of this manual will have its errata

More information

Reliability Analysis of Repairable Systems with Dependent Component Failures. under Partially Perfect Repair

Reliability Analysis of Repairable Systems with Dependent Component Failures. under Partially Perfect Repair Reliability Analysis of Repairable Systems with Dependent Component Failures under Partially Perfect Repair Qingyu Yang & Nailong Zhang Department of Industrial and System Engineering Wayne State University

More information

Review Paper Machine Repair Problem with Spares and N-Policy Vacation

Review Paper Machine Repair Problem with Spares and N-Policy Vacation Research Journal of Recent Sciences ISSN 2277-2502 Res.J.Recent Sci. Review Paper Machine Repair Problem with Spares and N-Policy Vacation Abstract Sharma D.C. School of Mathematics Statistics and Computational

More information

Image Coding Algorithm Based on All Phase Walsh Biorthogonal Transform

Image Coding Algorithm Based on All Phase Walsh Biorthogonal Transform Image Coding Algorithm Based on All Phase Walsh Biorthogonal ransform Chengyou Wang, Zhengxin Hou, Aiping Yang (chool of Electronic Information Engineering, ianin University, ianin 72 China) wangchengyou@tu.edu.cn,

More information

Distributed demand side management via smart appliances contributing to frequency control

Distributed demand side management via smart appliances contributing to frequency control Journal of Chongqing University (English Edition) [ISSN 1671-84] Vol. 14 No. 3 September 015 doi:10.11835/j.issn.1671-84.015.03.03 o cite this article: ZHANG Wei-chen. via smart appliances contributing

More information

A Reliability-oriented Evolution Method of Software Architecture Based on Contribution Degree of Component

A Reliability-oriented Evolution Method of Software Architecture Based on Contribution Degree of Component 1744 JOURNAL OF SOFWARE, VOL. 7, NO. 8, AUGUS 2012 A Reliability-oriented Evolution Method of Software Architecture Based on Contribution Degree of Component Jun Wang Shenyang University of Chemical echnology,

More information

Markov Repairable Systems with History-Dependent Up and Down States

Markov Repairable Systems with History-Dependent Up and Down States Markov Repairable Systems with History-Dependent Up and Down States Lirong Cui School of Management & Economics Beijing Institute of Technology Beijing 0008, P.R. China lirongcui@bit.edu.cn Haijun Li Department

More information

FUZZY CONTINUOUS REVIEW INVENTORY MODEL WITHOUT BACKORDER FOR DETERIORATING ITEMS. Ajanta Roy *, G.P. Samanta

FUZZY CONTINUOUS REVIEW INVENTORY MODEL WITHOUT BACKORDER FOR DETERIORATING ITEMS. Ajanta Roy *, G.P. Samanta Electronic Journal of Applied Statistical Analysis EJASA, Electron. J. App. Stat. Anal. Vol., Issue 1 (9), 58 66 ISSN 7-5948, DOI 1.185/i75948vn1p58 8 Università del Salento SIBA http://siba-ese.unile.it/index.php/ejasa/index

More information

DESIGN OF PREVENTIVE MAINTENANCE SCHEDULING MODEL FOR DETERIORATING SYSTEMS

DESIGN OF PREVENTIVE MAINTENANCE SCHEDULING MODEL FOR DETERIORATING SYSTEMS DESIGN OF PREVENTIVE MAINTENANCE SCHEDULING MODEL FOR DETERIORATING SYSTEMS P.A. Ozor a, S.O. Onyegegbu Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Nigeria, Nsukka, NIGERIA. a Email: paul.ozor@unn.edu.ng

More information

A conceptual interpretation of the renewal theorem with applications

A conceptual interpretation of the renewal theorem with applications Risk, Reliability and Societal Safety Aven & Vinnem (eds) 2007 Taylor & Francis Group, London, ISBN 978-0-415-44786-7 A conceptual interpretation of the renewal theorem with applications J.A.M. van der

More information

Time. 3 p3 Time. (a) (b)

Time. 3 p3 Time. (a) (b) A Hybrid Algorithm for Solving the Economic Lot and Delivery Scheduling Problem in the Common Cycle Case Suquan Ju Jens Clausen Informatics and Mathematical Modelling echnical University of Denmark 2800

More information

Group Acceptance Sampling Plans using Weighted Binomial on Truncated Life Tests for Inverse Rayleigh and Log Logistic Distributions

Group Acceptance Sampling Plans using Weighted Binomial on Truncated Life Tests for Inverse Rayleigh and Log Logistic Distributions IOSR Journal of Mathematics (IOSRJM) ISSN: 78-578 Volume, Issue 3 (Sep.-Oct. 01), PP 33-38 Group Acceptance Sampling Plans using Weighted Binomial on Truncated Life Tests for Inverse Rayleigh and Log Logistic

More information

Research Article Least Squares Estimators for Unit Root Processes with Locally Stationary Disturbance

Research Article Least Squares Estimators for Unit Root Processes with Locally Stationary Disturbance Advances in Decision Sciences Volume, Article ID 893497, 6 pages doi:.55//893497 Research Article Least Squares Estimators for Unit Root Processes with Locally Stationary Disturbance Junichi Hirukawa and

More information

OPTIMAL COMPUTING BUDGET ALLOCATION UNDER CORRELATED SAMPLING

OPTIMAL COMPUTING BUDGET ALLOCATION UNDER CORRELATED SAMPLING Proceedings of the 2004 Winter Simulation Conference R. G. Ingalls M. D. Rossetti J. S. Smith and B. A. Peters eds. OPIMAL COMPUING BUDGE ALLOCAION UNDER CORRELAED SAMPLING Michael C. Fu he Robert H. Smith

More information

FAILURE-TIME WITH DELAYED ONSET

FAILURE-TIME WITH DELAYED ONSET REVSTAT Statistical Journal Volume 13 Number 3 November 2015 227 231 FAILURE-TIME WITH DELAYED ONSET Authors: Man Yu Wong Department of Mathematics Hong Kong University of Science and Technology Hong Kong

More information

Analysis of a Machine Repair System with Warm Spares and N-Policy Vacations

Analysis of a Machine Repair System with Warm Spares and N-Policy Vacations The 7th International Symposium on Operations Research and Its Applications (ISORA 08) ijiang, China, October 31 Novemver 3, 2008 Copyright 2008 ORSC & APORC, pp. 190 198 Analysis of a Machine Repair System

More information

MULTI-OBJECTIVE IMPERFECT MAINTENANCE FOR DEPENDENT COMPETING RISK SYSTEMS WITH MULTIPLE DEGRADATION PROCESSES AND RANDOM SHOCKS.

MULTI-OBJECTIVE IMPERFECT MAINTENANCE FOR DEPENDENT COMPETING RISK SYSTEMS WITH MULTIPLE DEGRADATION PROCESSES AND RANDOM SHOCKS. MULTI-OBJECTIVE IMPERFECT MAINTENANCE FOR DEPENDENT COMPETING RISK SYSTEMS WITH MULTIPLE DEGRADATION PROCESSES AND RANDOM SHOCKS By YAPING WANG A dissertation submitted to the Graduate School-New Brunswick

More information

A Modified Baum Welch Algorithm for Hidden Markov Models with Multiple Observation Spaces

A Modified Baum Welch Algorithm for Hidden Markov Models with Multiple Observation Spaces IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SPEECH AND AUDIO PROCESSING, VOL. 9, NO. 4, MAY 2001 411 A Modified Baum Welch Algorithm for Hidden Markov Models with Multiple Observation Spaces Paul M. Baggenstoss, Member, IEEE

More information

SCALABILITY OF GARBAGE COLLECTION IN JAVA-BASED DISCRETE-EVENT SIMULATORS

SCALABILITY OF GARBAGE COLLECTION IN JAVA-BASED DISCRETE-EVENT SIMULATORS SCALABILITY OF GARBAGE COLLECTION IN JAVA-BASED DISCRETE-EVENT SIMULATORS DAVID M. NICOL Dartmouth College Hanover, NH 03755 nicol@cs.dartmouth.edu Keywords HotSpot, Java, memory, scalability Abstract

More information

DISCRETE STOCHASTIC PROCESSES Draft of 2nd Edition

DISCRETE STOCHASTIC PROCESSES Draft of 2nd Edition DISCRETE STOCHASTIC PROCESSES Draft of 2nd Edition R. G. Gallager January 31, 2011 i ii Preface These notes are a draft of a major rewrite of a text [9] of the same name. The notes and the text are outgrowths

More information

BAYESIAN NON-PARAMETRIC SIMULATION OF HAZARD FUNCTIONS

BAYESIAN NON-PARAMETRIC SIMULATION OF HAZARD FUNCTIONS Proceedings of the 2009 Winter Simulation Conference. D. Rossetti, R. R. Hill, B. Johansson, A. Dunkin, and R. G. Ingalls, eds. BAYESIAN NON-PARAETRIC SIULATION OF HAZARD FUNCTIONS DITRIY BELYI Operations

More information

Math 151. Rumbos Fall Solutions to Review Problems for Final Exam

Math 151. Rumbos Fall Solutions to Review Problems for Final Exam Math 5. Rumbos Fall 23 Solutions to Review Problems for Final Exam. Three cards are in a bag. One card is red on both sides. Another card is white on both sides. The third card in red on one side and white

More information

Homework 10 (due December 2, 2009)

Homework 10 (due December 2, 2009) Homework (due December, 9) Problem. Let X and Y be independent binomial random variables with parameters (n, p) and (n, p) respectively. Prove that X + Y is a binomial random variable with parameters (n

More information

ASM Study Manual for Exam P, First Edition By Dr. Krzysztof M. Ostaszewski, FSA, CFA, MAAA Errata

ASM Study Manual for Exam P, First Edition By Dr. Krzysztof M. Ostaszewski, FSA, CFA, MAAA Errata ASM Study Manual for Exam P, First Edition By Dr. Krzysztof M. Ostaszewski, FSA, CFA, MAAA (krzysio@krzysio.net) Errata Effective July 5, 3, only the latest edition of this manual will have its errata

More information

Point and Interval Estimation for Gaussian Distribution, Based on Progressively Type-II Censored Samples

Point and Interval Estimation for Gaussian Distribution, Based on Progressively Type-II Censored Samples 90 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON RELIABILITY, VOL. 52, NO. 1, MARCH 2003 Point and Interval Estimation for Gaussian Distribution, Based on Progressively Type-II Censored Samples N. Balakrishnan, N. Kannan, C. T.

More information

An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling

An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling F An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling Fourth Edition Mark A. Pinsky Department of Mathematics Northwestern University Evanston, Illinois Samuel Karlin Department of Mathematics Stanford University Stanford,

More information

Introduction to Continuous-Time Dynamic Optimization: Optimal Control Theory

Introduction to Continuous-Time Dynamic Optimization: Optimal Control Theory Econ 85/Chatterjee Introduction to Continuous-ime Dynamic Optimization: Optimal Control heory 1 States and Controls he concept of a state in mathematical modeling typically refers to a specification of

More information

On the Convolution Order with Reliability Applications

On the Convolution Order with Reliability Applications Applied Mathematical Sciences, Vol. 3, 2009, no. 16, 767-778 On the Convolution Order with Reliability Applications A. Alzaid and M. Kayid King Saud University, College of Science Dept. of Statistics and

More information

RELIABILITY OF A BUILDING UNDER EXTREME WIND LOADS - CHOOSING THE DESIGN WIND SPEED

RELIABILITY OF A BUILDING UNDER EXTREME WIND LOADS - CHOOSING THE DESIGN WIND SPEED Application Example 9 (Independent Random Variables) RELIABILITY OF A BUILDING UNDER EXTREME WIND LOADS - CHOOSING THE DESIGN WIND SPEED Consider the problem of designing a tall building for a certain

More information

Design of Optimal Bayesian Reliability Test Plans for a Series System

Design of Optimal Bayesian Reliability Test Plans for a Series System Volume 109 No 9 2016, 125 133 ISSN: 1311-8080 (printed version); ISSN: 1314-3395 (on-line version) url: http://wwwijpameu ijpameu Design of Optimal Bayesian Reliability Test Plans for a Series System P

More information

Economic Reliability Test Plans using the Generalized Exponential Distribution

Economic Reliability Test Plans using the Generalized Exponential Distribution ISSN 684-843 Journal of Statistics Volume 4, 27, pp. 53-6 Economic Reliability Test Plans using the Generalized Exponential Distribution Muhammad Aslam and Muhammad Qaisar Shahbaz 2 Abstract Economic Reliability

More information

A Novel Situation Awareness Model for Network Systems Security

A Novel Situation Awareness Model for Network Systems Security A Novel Situation Awareness Model for Network Systems Security Guosheng Zhao 1,2, Huiqiang Wang 1, Jian Wang 1, and Linshan Shen 1 1 Institute of Computer Science and echnology, Harbin Engineer University,

More information

A Theoretically Appropriate Poisson Process Monitor

A Theoretically Appropriate Poisson Process Monitor International Journal of Performability Engineering, Vol. 8, No. 4, July, 2012, pp. 457-461. RAMS Consultants Printed in India A Theoretically Appropriate Poisson Process Monitor RYAN BLACK and JUSTIN

More information

Stochastic Analysis of a Two-Unit Cold Standby System with Arbitrary Distributions for Life, Repair and Waiting Times

Stochastic Analysis of a Two-Unit Cold Standby System with Arbitrary Distributions for Life, Repair and Waiting Times International Journal of Performability Engineering Vol. 11, No. 3, May 2015, pp. 293-299. RAMS Consultants Printed in India Stochastic Analysis of a Two-Unit Cold Standby System with Arbitrary Distributions

More information

A New Approach to System Reliability

A New Approach to System Reliability IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON RELIABILITY, VOL. 50, NO. 1, MARCH 2001 75 A New Approach to System Reliability Gopal Chaudhuri, Kuolung Hu, and Nader Afshar Abstract Summary & Conclusions Calculating system-reliability

More information

A novel approach to modelling time-between failures of a repairable system. Dr Shaomin Wu Kent Business School

A novel approach to modelling time-between failures of a repairable system. Dr Shaomin Wu Kent Business School A novel approach to modelling time-between failures of a repairable system Dr Shaomin Wu Kent Business School 1 Wu, S., 2018. A failure process model with the exponential smoothing of intensity functions.

More information

ON SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF PERMUTATION TESTS: INDEPENDENCE BETWEEN TWO SAMPLES

ON SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF PERMUTATION TESTS: INDEPENDENCE BETWEEN TWO SAMPLES ON SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF PERMUTATION TESTS: INDEPENDENCE BETWEEN TWO SAMPLES Hisashi Tanizaki Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, Kobe 657-8501, Japan e-mail: tanizaki@kobe-u.ac.jp Abstract:

More information

RELATIONS FOR MOMENTS OF PROGRESSIVELY TYPE-II RIGHT CENSORED ORDER STATISTICS FROM ERLANG-TRUNCATED EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION

RELATIONS FOR MOMENTS OF PROGRESSIVELY TYPE-II RIGHT CENSORED ORDER STATISTICS FROM ERLANG-TRUNCATED EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION STATISTICS IN TRANSITION new series, December 2017 651 STATISTICS IN TRANSITION new series, December 2017 Vol. 18, No. 4, pp. 651 668, DOI 10.21307/stattrans-2017-005 RELATIONS FOR MOMENTS OF PROGRESSIVELY

More information

IEOR 6711: Stochastic Models I Fall 2012, Professor Whitt, Thursday, October 4 Renewal Theory: Renewal Reward Processes

IEOR 6711: Stochastic Models I Fall 2012, Professor Whitt, Thursday, October 4 Renewal Theory: Renewal Reward Processes IEOR 67: Stochastic Models I Fall 202, Professor Whitt, Thursday, October 4 Renewal Theory: Renewal Reward Processes Simple Renewal-Reward Theory Suppose that we have a sequence of i.i.d. random vectors

More information

errors every 1 hour unless he falls asleep, in which case he just reports the total errors

errors every 1 hour unless he falls asleep, in which case he just reports the total errors I. First Definition of a Poisson Process A. Definition: Poisson process A Poisson Process {X(t), t 0} with intensity λ > 0 is a counting process with the following properties. INDEPENDENT INCREMENTS. For

More information

CALCULATION METHOD FOR NONLINEAR DYNAMIC LEAST-ABSOLUTE DEVIATIONS ESTIMATOR

CALCULATION METHOD FOR NONLINEAR DYNAMIC LEAST-ABSOLUTE DEVIATIONS ESTIMATOR J. Japan Statist. Soc. Vol. 3 No. 200 39 5 CALCULAION MEHOD FOR NONLINEAR DYNAMIC LEAS-ABSOLUE DEVIAIONS ESIMAOR Kohtaro Hitomi * and Masato Kagihara ** In a nonlinear dynamic model, the consistency and

More information

Reliability Analysis of k-out-of-n Systems with Phased- Mission Requirements

Reliability Analysis of k-out-of-n Systems with Phased- Mission Requirements International Journal of Performability Engineering, Vol. 7, No. 6, November 2011, pp. 604-609. RAMS Consultants Printed in India Reliability Analysis of k-out-of-n Systems with Phased- Mission Requirements

More information

Concept of Reliability

Concept of Reliability Concept of Reliability Prepared By Dr. M. S. Memon Department of Industrial Engineering and Management Mehran University of Engineering and Technology Jamshoro, Sindh, Pakistan RELIABILITY Reliability

More information

Probability and Stochastic Processes

Probability and Stochastic Processes Probability and Stochastic Processes A Friendly Introduction Electrical and Computer Engineers Third Edition Roy D. Yates Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey David J. Goodman New York University

More information

Multivariate Distribution Models

Multivariate Distribution Models Multivariate Distribution Models Model Description While the probability distribution for an individual random variable is called marginal, the probability distribution for multiple random variables is

More information

A hidden semi-markov model for the occurrences of water pipe bursts

A hidden semi-markov model for the occurrences of water pipe bursts A hidden semi-markov model for the occurrences of water pipe bursts T. Economou 1, T.C. Bailey 1 and Z. Kapelan 1 1 School of Engineering, Computer Science and Mathematics, University of Exeter, Harrison

More information